Billboard Hot 100 7/14/18 - "Scorpion" storms the chart

[jayhawk1117]

Jul 6, 2018 9:04:23 GMT -5 hot100predictions said:

Future Billboard No. 1s
7/14: Nonstop - Drake
7/21: In My Feelings - Drake
7/28: In My Feelings - Drake
8/4: New TOP?

7/21 seems a bit too soon, 7/28 seems much more likely

[Gary]

Jul 6, 2018 9:50:28 GMT -5 jayhawk1117 said:

Jul 6, 2018 8:36:59 GMT -5 Gary said:

Several posts so far about 5 number ones


He has 2 so far...3 to go

Nonstop is looking like a top 2 debut and In My Feelings is heavily trending upwards. Don't Matter Me is doing pretty well already. Its not like the first single just dropped tonight or something 🤷🏿‍♂️

Sure....anything can happen but, it might be early to declare that he has 5 number ones from this album and that the MJ/Katy Perry record is in trouble.

What will likely also happen after the initial hype wears off is that only a couple songs will stick around and only one song at a time can be #1

[jayhawk1117]

Jul 6, 2018 9:58:45 GMT -5 Gary said:

Jul 6, 2018 9:50:28 GMT -5 jayhawk1117 said:

Nonstop is looking like a top 2 debut and In My Feelings is heavily trending upwards. Don't Matter Me is doing pretty well already. Its not like the first single just dropped tonight or something 🤷🏿‍♂️

Sure....anything can happen but, it might be early to declare that he has 5 number ones from this album and that the MJ/Katy Perry record is in trouble.

What will likely also happen after the initial hype wears off is that only a couple songs will stick around and only one song at a time can be #1

its not like its some insane theory though. If Nonstop debuts at 1 and IMF continues to trend upward as it should, that's already 4 but I get what you mean

[Enigma.]

NfW will be #1 on Monday, no? So he doesn't yet have any more #1's out of this album than he had a week ago.

[slw84]

Jul 6, 2018 8:15:14 GMT -5 Golden Bluebird said:

kworb.net/airadio/

*** = Dropped or added a format

Overall AI (Top 20) - 2018/07/06
1. (=) ZEDD/MAREN MORRIS/GREY - The Middle (142.550) (+0.127)
2. (=) TAYLOR SWIFT - Delicate (132.559) (-0.057)

4. (+1) ARIANA GRANDE - No Tears Left to Cry (129.033) (+3.284) ***
6. (=) CARDI B/BAD BUNNY/J BALVIN - I Like It (117.940) (+2.250)
13. (=) MAROON 5 - Girls Like You f/Cardi B (90.688) (+2.243)

Ariana is putting taylor on notice.

Jul 6, 2018 8:33:36 GMT -5 jayhawk1117 said:

Well with Today's updates, In My Feelings is number 2 on Spotify with 2.1 Million and more than likely going to pass Nonstop by the end of the weekend and has taken the top spot on Apple Music. Drake has 4 number ones in the bag it seems, and if Don't Matter To Me really blows up and doesn't get blocked by In My Feelings then we'll have a 3rd album with 5 number ones.

2018 is a pretty wild year so far, and its only July.

The MJ song and the Mariah song will appeal to many demos so hopefully they get their #1s.

Jul 6, 2018 8:36:59 GMT -5 Gary said:

Several posts so far about 5 number ones


He has 2 so far...3 to go

This is the way Teenage dream started out too...

Jul 6, 2018 9:04:23 GMT -5 hot100predictions said:

Future Billboard No. 1s
7/14: Nonstop - Drake
7/21: In My Feelings - Drake
7/28: In My Feelings - Drake
8/4: New TOP?

Really???
So in my feeling is actually coming for #1.
Maroon 5 needs to discount girls like you on Friday the 13th. Secure that #1

[Gary]

As with any album that accumulates a bunch of number ones

[Mayman]

If Nonstop doesn't debut at #1 this Monday then I'm not sure he will be able to get the 5 #1s eventually.

[badrobot]

I remember when God's Plan was also pegged to break the record for most weeks at #1.

Y'all have counted quite a few un-hatched chickens.

[Gary]

LOL-exactly


Not saying it can't happen though

[jtd Thee Stallion]

Speaking of unhatched chickens

twenty one pilots debuting at #1? LOL

[Mayman]

Jul 6, 2018 10:16:33 GMT -5 badrobot said:

I remember when God's Plan was also pegged to break the record for most weeks at #1.

Y'all have counted quite a few un-hatched chickens.

It was at #1 for 11 weeks and was behind Nice For What while it was at #1 for another 3 weeks. Had he not released NFW he would have gotten 14 weeks. It's not too far fetched.

[Gary]

All songs would be #1 if something else didn't happen to prevent it

[Choco]

95% of these tracks will probably peak this week. By the time radio catches up to, say, the MJ track, streams will be well below it's current numbers. Remember he had two top 10 debuts with More Life and both tracks eventually went to radio but never even came close to their first week debuts.

He didn't really promote More Life though so anything is possible. Nonstop in particular feels like a track that will peak this week and then go down.

In My Feelings does seem to be catching fire on it's own so that feels like a safer bet.

[Deleted]

Is drake gonna become the next Mariah and block himself from another number one?

[kanfad]

. Nonstop in particular feels like a track that will peak this week and then go down.

This is exactly what im hoping for. Goes #1 next week then dips to let IMF and DMTM shine. They wouldn't need to have promo for Nonstop. I mean, once it reaches #1, it can't go any higher

[bbfan97]

Is Nonstop a single? If not, I believe it would be the first non-single to top the Hot 100 assuming it debuts at the peak.

[Mayman]

Jul 6, 2018 12:11:33 GMT -5 bbfan97 said:

Is Nonstop a single? If not, I believe it would be the first non-single to top the Hot 100 assuming it debuts at the peak.

Nope, although it should be because it's an urban #1 waiting to happen.

[Deleted]

What are the chances for Nice For What at #1 this week?

[Enigma.]

Jul 6, 2018 12:32:37 GMT -5 @ioshirai said:

What are the chances for Nice For What at #1 this week?

It has 120M airplay compared to close to zero of Nonstop

Nonstop has way bigger audio streaming, but NFW also benefits a lot from the album release

Nice for What has about the same sales and way bigger Youtube streaming than Nonstop

It's pretty close I'd say.

[fhas]

Jul 5, 2018 10:53:25 GMT -5 fhas said:

Jul 4, 2018 10:52:33 GMT -5 fhas said:

Scorpion - Tuesday (July 3) update

34,349,029 streams / -11.2% (beerbongs & bentleys: -9.4% on Tuesday - May 1)
---> 255,341,303 streams this week

*Post Malone: Spotify 54.39% / Others 45.61%

*Drake: Spotify 41.91% / Others 58.09% (According to Billboard's report that Scorpion had 435M streams after three days)

After five days, I'm predicting 300-310M Spotify streams for the week.

Scorpion - Wednesday (July 4) update

28,738,852 streams / -16.3% (beerbongs & bentleys: -9.5% on Wednesday - May 2)
---> 284,080,155 streams this week

*Post Malone: Spotify 54.39% / Others 45.61%

*Drake: Spotify 41.91% / Others 58.09% (According to Billboard's report that Scorpion had 435M streams after three days)

Scorpion - Thursday (July 5) update

26,146,926 streams / -9.0% (beerbongs & bentleys: -5.9% on Thursday - May 3)
---> 313,146,379 streams this week (using Spotify Chart's weekly chart, not the seven day totals)

*Post Malone: Spotify 54.39% / Others 45.61%
*Drake: Spotify 41.91% / Others 58.09% (According to Billboard's report that Scorpion had 435M streams after three days)

I have Scorpion at 740,778,839 on-demand streams, but HDD is mentioning 770M (Spotify 40.67% / Others 59.33%).

[Mayman]

How many weeks has Nice For What been #1?

[fhas]

Jul 6, 2018 12:58:48 GMT -5 Mayman said:

How many weeks has Nice For What been #1?

7

[Mayman]

Jul 6, 2018 13:00:48 GMT -5 fhas said:

Jul 6, 2018 12:58:48 GMT -5 Mayman said:

How many weeks has Nice For What been #1?

7

Thanks.

[jayhawk1117]

I remember having similar discussions about Despacito , quite literally a year ago so who knows anymore

[Gary]

While You Weren't Looking, Taylor Swift Scored Her Biggest 'Reputation' Radio Hit

7/6/2018 by Andrew Unterberger


The success of 'Delicate' shows how pop listeners haven't moved on from 'Reputation' as quickly as some initially thought.

As resounding as Taylor Swift's first-week numbers for her sixth album Reputation were -- 1.2 million, her fourth straight seven-digit first week, according to Nielsen Music -- it's been hard for her to shake the perception that the album has marked a step back for her, commercially.

In large part, that's because the album's singles haven't been embraced the way her 1989 hits were. That 2014 album spawned three No. 1 hits on the Billboard Hot 100 and essentially ruled radio for a year and a half -- with its first five singles all reaching the top three on Billboard's Radio Songs chart -- achieving a kind of cultural omnipresence that's rare for a 2010s album, to say the least.

Taylor Swift performs onstage during the 2017 DIRECTV NOW Super Saturday Night Concert at Club Nomadic on Feb. 4, 2017 in Houston, Texas.
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Taylor Swift's 'Reputation': The Pop Star Embraces Her Flaws on Her Riskiest Album Yet

Reputation? Well, lead single "Look What You Made Me Do" topped the Hot 100 in its first full tracking week, of course -- even ending the record-tying 16-week reign of "Despacito" -- and stuck there for three weeks. But its shelf life proved relatively short: Within 10 weeks it was out of the chart's top 10, and on Radio Songs, it only peaked at No. 5. Meanwhile, follow-up "...Ready for It?" debuted at No. 4 on the Hot 100, but plummeted from there, only reaching No. 17 on Radio Songs. And despite guest appearances from fellow superstars Future and Ed Sheeran, and a big-budget, globetrotting music video, "End Game" could only crawl to No. 18 on the Hot 100, peaking at No. 15 on Radio Songs.

Upon its establishment as the set's fourth official single, it could be assumed that "Delicate" was only to continue this downward trend for Swift. The Reputation fan favorite debuted at No. 84 on the Hot 100, and climbed slowly from there, but stalled outside the top 40 -- despite the release of both an official Joseph Kahn-directed music video, premiered at the 2018 iHeartRadio Music Awards, and a Spotify-exclusive vertical video, eventually also made available on YouTube. A half-year after the album's release, it seemed like the Reputation era would end without Taylor Swift having the kind of hit she was accustomed to -- the sort of long-simmering smash that proves unavoidable for months on end, particularly on radio, well after the initial headlines surrounding the single's release recede from memory -- and that maybe the imperial phase of her pop stardom had already come to an end.

But a funny thing happened with "Delicate": It kept growing. Though the sensual, intimate, mid-tempo ballad may have seemed less immediately top 40-ready than the more bombastic "Look" and "Ready," it gradually sunk its tentacles into pop radio. It climbed to No. 1 on Adult Pop Songs this week, Swift's first single to top the chart since "Wildest Dreams" almost three years earlier. It's scaling the top five of the Pop Songs chart, and has reached a new peak of No. 4 on Radio Songs -- making it the highest-charting entry from Reputation thus far. This week, it also climbs to No. 20 on the Hot 100, jumping seven spots in its 16th week.

Of course, "Delicate" still has a long way to go to match the overall chart peak of "Look What You Made Me Do" on the Hot 100 -- 19 spots, to be exact -- and may very well not get there, particularly given the song's lack of presence on the Streaming Songs chart, where it's yet to even make an appearance. But what "Delicate" has already given Taylor is something none of her other Reputation singles can claim: a hit that's only gotten bigger the longer audiences have spent with it. Where the first three releases off the album peaked almost immediately upon release, "Delicate" has gradually swelled to arguably her most popular single off the set to date.

The success of "Delicate" is part of an overall turnaround in momentum Swift has undergone for the Reputation era. Swift has attracted uniformly strong reviews and earned some historic grosses for her Reputation Tour, a triumphant victory lap for an album not necessarily considered by all to be an unequivocal win. And it's also hard not to note that the recent PR hits taken by old Swift foe Kanye West related to his controversial opinions and behavior on and off social media have made the narrative surrounding the loss Swift supposedly took in her feud with West in 2016 seem like a distant memory, and sort of small potatoes in comparison.

And it's also noteworthy that "Delicate" is the song that's marking the turnaround. While "Look What You Made Me Do" was outwardly vindictive -- apparently in direct response to the Kim and Kanye controversy of the prior year -- and "...Ready for It?" and "End Game" further pushed the idea of Taylor the Avenger with their talk of vendettas and maps of buried hatchets, "Delicate" puts the drama to bed. "My reputation's never been worse, so you must like for me," Swift concludes in the opening lines, the only reference to her feuding days in what otherwise unfolds to be the kind of tender, irresistible pop song that few artists do better. For "Delicate" -- the single that feels the most disconnected from the oft-overwrought Reputation rollout and Swift's accompanying new personality -- to be the song most connecting with fans, would seem to demonstrate that they too still like Taylor for Taylor.

Of course, none of this is to say that Reputation is now on its way to matching the blockbuster status of 1989: Indeed, Swift may not have another album of that size again. (Of course, it might be a while before anyone else does, either -- since its release, Justin Bieber's Purpose is the only other LP to spawn three Hot 100 No. 1 singles, and no other set has managed five top five singles.) But even if Reputation shows the superstar to be moving into a less commercially bulletproof stage of her career, the late-arriving success of "Delicate" also proves that she's still a major pop force -- particularly at radio -- and shouldn't be counted out so easily again.

[Deleted]

How many streams does Nonstop need to go number one

[Enigma.]

Jul 6, 2018 15:08:48 GMT -5 Gary said:

Of course, none of this is to say that Reputation is now on its way to matching the blockbuster status of 1989: Indeed, Swift may not have another album of that size again. (Of course, it might be a while before anyone else does, either -- since its release, Justin Bieber's Purpose is the only other LP to spawn three Hot 100 No. 1 singles, and no other set has managed five top five singles.) But even if Reputation shows the superstar to be moving into a less commercially bulletproof stage of her career, the late-arriving success of "Delicate" also proves that she's still a major pop force -- particularly at radio -- and shouldn't be counted out so easily again.

Funny that he mentions this because Scorpion is probably going to change it.

[Envoirment]

I really hope Maroon 5 can make it to #1 at some point. A discount when the song's airplay is peaking should nab it the #1.

[Gary]

Drake's 'Scorpion' Is the First Album to Hit 1 Billion Global Streams in a Single Week

7/6/2018 by Kevin Rutherford


The superstar's new album rewrites the mark for the most streams globally in a seven-day period.

Drake's new set Scorpion has become the first album to hit 1 billion streams globally across all streaming platforms in a single week, industry sources have confirmed to Billboard.

In all, Scorpion's tracks accumulated more than 1 billion streams globally in the most recent tracking week (June 29-July 5), the set's first week available, making it the first album to reach the milestone. Previously, Post Malone's beerbongs & bentleys held the global record with just under 700 million streams (April 27-May 3), according to industry insiders.

Additionally, Scorpion scored over 750 million streams U.S.-only in its first seven days, according to sources, likewise smashing the domestic record set by Post Malone's beerbongs (431.3 million, according to Nielsen Music). As previously reported, Scorpion broke beerbongs' record in just its first three days by tallying 435 million U.S. streams from June 29 through July 1. Beerbongs achieved that total over its first seven days, April 27-May 3.

Scorpion's streaming numbers alone should easily send it to a No. 1 launch on the Billboard 200 albums chart dated July 14 with over 700,000 equivalent album units earned in the U.S. in its first week, according to industry forecasters, marking the biggest week for an album in 2018 so far.

Final U.S. sales and streaming tabulations according to Nielsen Music will be announced once all data is fully processed, with the top 10 and highlights of the Billboard 200 scheduled to be revealed on Billboard's websites Sunday, July 8. The top 10 and highlights of the Billboard Hot 100 songs chart will post the following day, Monday, July 9.

Scorpion's debut coincides with the Billboard 200's first week of employing an updated weighting formula for on-demand audio streams, giving greater emphasis to paid subscription streams. The Hot 100 will also employ this formula beginning with the July 14-dated ranking.

[Gary]

New formula week