jeiboy
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Post by jeiboy on Sept 16, 2018 7:21:03 GMT -5
I don't think GLY is going to make it to #1. If radio is what you're hinging everything on, pop radio will single-handedly thwart that with the way they apparently don't give a f**k about the horrible callouts for IMF and are reviving it when it (should have) already peaked. IMF is dropping harder than GLY currently in overall radio and that might just be what gives GLY the upper hand in the next tracking week because their sales are pretty much the same, but IMF's streams are higher. No it's not |
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kanfad
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Post by kanfad on Sept 16, 2018 7:38:15 GMT -5
Today's pop update for IMF is about a +0.800 in audience. That keeps up, it'll negate any audience losses it gets at other formats. That would only widen the gap back up if IMF holds steady in overall audience while GLY continues to backslide. Urban and Rhythmic continues to fall though " That keeps up, it'll negate any audience losses it gets at other formats." |
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jeiboy
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Post by jeiboy on Sept 16, 2018 8:02:35 GMT -5
Girls Like You:
Pop: -0.437 aud
HAC: -0.244 aud
AC: -0.164 aud
-0.845 aud
In My Feelings:
Pop: +0.793 aud
Urb: -0.250 aud
Rhy: -0.593 aud
-0.050 aud
negating the updates of yesterday tbh
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Post by thegreatdivine on Sept 16, 2018 8:09:32 GMT -5
How the hell is IMF getting another wind at pop radio with such terrible callout scores?
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Az Paynter
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Post by Az Paynter on Sept 16, 2018 8:10:31 GMT -5
^ That highlights what I'm saying. If airplay is the metric you're hoping/assuming GLY will get to #1, what's happened today will prevent that from happening if it becomes a trend. How the hell is IMF getting another wind at pop radio with such terrible callout scores? Unless radio is just moving the spins they're dropping from Cardi/Post/maybe even M5 and giving some of them back to Drake just because it's the 'next in line' or whatever... |
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Post by thegreatdivine on Sept 16, 2018 8:11:14 GMT -5
Well, I think it's pretty much a done deal that IMF will remain #1 come Monday. IMF is dropping harder than GLY currently in overall radio and that might just be what gives GLY the upper hand in the next tracking week because their sales are pretty much the same, but IMF's streams are higher. No it's not The update Billboard posted had it slightly above GLY for Monday's update and there have been no boosts for GLY in any metric to suggest that it'd magically jump above IMF. Also, all the predictions I've seen so far have IMF slightly above GLY. We'll just have to wait and see at this point. I think IMF has it, though. |
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Post by thegreatdivine on Sept 16, 2018 8:12:38 GMT -5
^ That highlights what I'm saying. If airplay is the metric you're hoping/assuming GLY will get to #1, what's happened today will prevent that from happening if it becomes a trend. Yeah, I think I get you now. The update IMF got on pop today was much bigger than the one it got yesterday, so I see it now. If that continues and GLY continues to drop, IMF will spend an 11th week at #1, no doubt. That's crazy that that's even a possibility. These past few weeks have been crazy/weird tracking those two songs. |
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Post by thegreatdivine on Sept 16, 2018 8:15:42 GMT -5
^ That highlights what I'm saying. If airplay is the metric you're hoping/assuming GLY will get to #1, what's happened today will prevent that from happening if it becomes a trend. How the hell is IMF getting another wind at pop radio with such terrible callout scores? Unless radio is just moving the spins they're dropping from Cardi/Post/maybe even M5 and giving some of them back to Drake just because it's the 'next in line' or whatever... Lol, I don't think radio works that way. At this point in a song's run, it's updates, positive or negative, are determined by it's callout scores. IMF's callout scores have been terrible for WEEKS now, which is why it started getting dropped on pop so quickly after a quick rise on the format. It also started to drop as soon as it peaked on the rythmic and urban formats I'm guessing because Drake has already sent a lot of songs to the summit of both formats this year and because he started pushing Nonstop as a single on both formats around the same time. |
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Post by Golden Bluebird on Sept 16, 2018 8:18:04 GMT -5
kworb.net/airadio/*** = Dropped or added a format Overall AI (Top 20) - 2018/09/161. (=) MAROON 5 - Girls Like You f/Cardi B (164.030) (-0.919) 2. (=) POST MALONE - Better Now (145.286) (-0.541) 3. (=) CARDI B/BAD BUNNY/J BALVIN - I Like It (131.480) (-3.074) 4. (=) KHALID X NORMANI - Love Lies (122.758) (+0.627) 5. (=) DRAKE - In My Feelings (110.770) (-0.063) 6. (=) SELENA GOMEZ - Back To You (102.972) (+0.684) 7. (+1) 5 SECONDS OF SUMMER - Youngblood (91.644) (+1.527) 8. (-1) TAYLOR SWIFT - Delicate (89.396) (-1.037) 9. (=) DJ KHALED/BIEBER/CHANCE/QUAVO - No Brainer (79.785) (+0.015) 10. (=) ARIANA GRANDE - No Tears Left to Cry (77.372) (-0.883) 11. (=) ELLA MAI - Boo'd Up (70.139) (-1.203) 12. (=) ZEDD/MAREN MORRIS/GREY - The Middle (69.438) (-0.021) 13. (=) JUICE WRLD - Lucid Dreams (69.030) (+1.213) 14. (=) LAUV - I Like Me Better (65.752) (-0.125) 15. (+1) LUKE BRYAN - Sunrise. Sunburn. Sunset (64.721) (-0.118) 16. (-1) TYGA - Taste f/Offset (64.467) (-0.533) 17. (=) ARIANA GRANDE - God Is A Woman (63.623) (+1.165) 18. (+2) IMAGINE DRAGONS - Natural (61.056) (+1.431) 19. (=) OLD DOMINION - Hotel Key (60.309) (+0.048) 20. (-2) BEBE REXHA - Meant to Be f/Florida Georgia Line (59.775) (-0.595) Others: 21. (=) DYLAN SCOTT - Hooked (58.670) (+0.698) 22. (+1) LOVELYTHEBAND - Broken (56.417) (+0.564) 27. (=) FLORIDA GEORGIA LINE - Simple (50.260) (+0.518) 41. (+3) LIL DUVAL - Smile B*tch f/Snoop & B.Greezy (38.430) (+1.021) 71. (+8) MARSHMELLO - Happier f/Bastille (27.215) (+1.752)
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Post by do u know da wae on Sept 16, 2018 8:35:50 GMT -5
The absolute value of GLY losses minus IMF losses suggests that IMF will certainly be #1 tomorrow. Now let’s see if it can hold on. Remember how far it falls doesn’t matter, only the difference in fall between it and GLY
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jeiboy
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Post by jeiboy on Sept 16, 2018 8:42:52 GMT -5
The update Billboard posted had it slightly above GLY for Monday's update and there have been no boosts for GLY in any metric to suggest that it'd magically jump above IMF. Also, all the predictions I've seen so far have IMF slightly above GLY. We'll just have to wait and see at this point. I think IMF has it, though. |
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jenglisbe
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Post by jenglisbe on Sept 16, 2018 8:45:22 GMT -5
"GLY" is nearing 900 million views, which is a solid total for a new-ish song. It's also their second most streamed video.
"Sugar" has 2.7 billion views, which is way more than any other M5 video. What happened there?
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Post by Golden Bluebird on Sept 16, 2018 8:48:29 GMT -5
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jenglisbe
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Post by jenglisbe on Sept 16, 2018 8:51:50 GMT -5
Lol "GLY" better go on discount.
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Post by thegreatdivine on Sept 16, 2018 8:52:37 GMT -5
The update Billboard posted had it slightly above GLY for Monday's update and there have been no boosts for GLY in any metric to suggest that it'd magically jump above IMF. Also, all the predictions I've seen so far have IMF slightly above GLY. We'll just have to wait and see at this point. I think IMF has it, though. Why should streams be lower than expected? I ran my own calculations and they tally with fhas'. IMF should pull in at least 41 million streams. Only way GLY goes #1 tomorrow is if an error is made in the calculations of IMF's numbers. |
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Post by thegreatdivine on Sept 16, 2018 8:55:50 GMT -5
Lol "GLY" better go on discount. Their label were dumb to ever take that discount off. I believe they could have had the #1 song tomorrow if they hadn't taken it off. |
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jeiboy
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Post by jeiboy on Sept 16, 2018 8:58:15 GMT -5
If streams are lower than expected , GLY has it Why should streams be lower than expected? I ran my own calculations and they tally with fhas '. IMF should pull in at least 41 million streams. Only way GLY goes #1 tomorrow is if an error is made in the calculations of IMF's numbers. bigger decrease from previous weekly streams |
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slw84
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Post by slw84 on Sept 16, 2018 9:08:40 GMT -5
is GLY possibly the most successful pop song released this year thus far ? feels like hip hop dominated the hot 100 this year and GLY has been the only pop song for at least the past 5 months to be in the top 5 !! many ppl may not realize but i think GLY grammy chances are very good in pop duo category ! This, the middle and the ariana song is GLY possibly the most successful pop song released this year thus far ? feels like hip hop dominated the hot 100 this year and GLY has been the only pop song for at least the past 5 months to be in the top 5 !! many ppl may not realize but i think GLY grammy chances are very good in pop duo category ! Yes, it probably is. The only other pop-sounding song released this year that was a massive success was The Middle, which was EDM with a few Pop aspects (and a Country singer as the vocalist.) oh wow Why should streams be lower than expected? I ran my own calculations and they tally with fhas '. IMF should pull in at least 41 million streams. Only way GLY goes #1 tomorrow is if an error is made in the calculations of IMF's numbers. bigger decrease from previous weekly streams I still think it's ith IMF/GLY this Monday GLY next Monday unless Eminem puts it on all formats. Eminem next #1 down the line |
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Post by thegreatdivine on Sept 16, 2018 9:10:47 GMT -5
Why should streams be lower than expected? I ran my own calculations and they tally with fhas '. IMF should pull in at least 41 million streams. Only way GLY goes #1 tomorrow is if an error is made in the calculations of IMF's numbers. bigger decrease from previous weekly streams IMF should still pull in above 40 million streams while GLY should pull in about 28 million streams. IMF still has the edge. |
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kierz7
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Post by kierz7 on Sept 16, 2018 9:15:56 GMT -5
LMAO. All this back-and-forth between two sh*t, done-to-death songs.
Can RIHANNA release her "FentyxMusic" lead single already so we can actually have a fresh #1 to discuss? Hopefully hers will be the next crossover radio SMASH!
Ugh! I seriously miss her on the charts. This is depressing.
-------
O.T: GLY will be #1. (nnn. I hope).
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kanfad
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Post by kanfad on Sept 16, 2018 9:18:23 GMT -5
^^Im sorry, Eminem? With which song? I hope not with Killshot, because diss songs don't have that long a life span
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lazer
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Post by lazer on Sept 16, 2018 9:19:59 GMT -5
^^Im sorry, Eminem? With which song? I hope not with Killshot, because diss songs don't have that long a life span I think they're talking about Lucky You. |
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Sept 16, 2018 9:50:56 GMT -5
am i the only one who feels stuck in the middle? y'all gotta argue
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kanfad
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Post by kanfad on Sept 16, 2018 9:51:29 GMT -5
^^Im sorry, Eminem? With which song? I hope not with Killshot, because diss songs don't have that long a life span I think they're talking about Lucky You. Oh, I didn't realize it was getting that kind of buzz. Or are they just thinking that the points are so low all across the board that basically any song in the top 15 that hasnt peaked yet has a chance at #1 Either way I'll be keeping my eyes on it |
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imbondz
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Post by imbondz on Sept 16, 2018 9:54:01 GMT -5
I am not a rap fan at all. And yet I like IMF. Based on past chart history I’m assuming it will be #1 again. Tho I still like Maroon 5 and wouldn’t mind them getting another one even tho the song isn’t close to their top 5 best.
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ddlz
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Post by ddlz on Sept 16, 2018 10:04:58 GMT -5
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Post by Baby Yoda Hot100Fan on Sept 16, 2018 10:34:59 GMT -5
^If it gets a video, it could be able to get to #1.
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Soulsista
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Post by Soulsista on Sept 16, 2018 10:44:42 GMT -5
Billboard Top 10 from 60, 55, 50, 45, and 40 years ago:
September 15, 1958 (For the week ending September 20)
01 01 Nel Blu Dipinto Di Blu (Volare) - Domenico Modugno (4th of 5 weeks at #1)
02 03 Bird Dog - The Everly Brothers
03 02 Little Star - The Elegants
04 11 It's All In The Game - Tommy Edwards
05 04 Just a Dream - Jimmy Clanton & His Rockets
06 08 Rock-In Robin - Bobby Day
07 14 Born Too Late - The Poni-Tails
08 10 Western Movies - The Olympics
09 13 Tears On My Pillow - Little Anthony & The Imperials
10 28 Susie Darlin' - Robin Luke
September 21, 1963
01 02 Blue Velvet - Bobby Vinton (1st of 3 weeks at #1)
02 01 My Boyfriend's Back - The Angels
03 03 If I Had a Hammer - Trini Lopez
04 05 (Love Is Like a) Heat Wave - Martha & The Vandellas
05 09 Sally, Go 'Round The Roses - The Jaynetts
06 06 Then He Kissed Me - The Crystals
07 07 Surfer Girl - The Beach Boys
08 15 Mickey's Monkey - The Miracles
09 04 Hello Muddah, Hello Fadduh (A Letter From Camp) - Allan Sherman
10 13 Cry Baby - Garnet Mimms & The Enchanters
September 21, 1968
01 02 Harper Valley P.T.A. - Jeannie C. Riley (1st and only week at #1)
02 01 People Got To Be Free - The Rascals
03 10 Hey Jude - The Beatles
04 08 Hush - Deep Purple
05 05 1, 2, 3, Red Light - 1910 Fruitgum Co.
06 03 Light My Fire - Jose Feliciano
07 04 Born To Be Wild - Steppenwolf
08 11 The Fool On The Hill - Sergio Mendes & Brasil '66
09 23 I've Got To Get a Message To You - The Bee Gees
10 06 The House That Jack Built - Aretha Franklin
12 38 Revolution - The Beatles
15 60 Fire - The Crazy World Of Arthur Brown
19 57 My Special Angels - The Vogues
21 52 Midnight Confessions - The Grass Roots
September 22, 1973
01 02 Let's Get It On - Marvin Gaye (2nd and final week at #1)
02 05 We're An American Band - Grand Funk
03 01 Delta Dawn - Helen Reddy
04 04 Loves Me Like a Rock - Paul Simon w/The Dixie Hummingbirds
05 03 Say, Has Anybody Seen My Sweet Gypsy Rose - Dawn feat. Tony Orlando
06 06 Brother Louie - The Stories
07 11 Half-Breed - Cher
08 13 Higher Ground - Stevie Wonder
09 07 Touch Me In The Morning - Diana Ross
10 15 That Lady (Part 1) - The Isley Brothers
22 55 Angie - The Rolling Stones
September 23, 1978
01 01 Boogie Oogie Oogie - A Taste Of Honey (3rd and final week at #1)
02 05 Kiss You All Over - Exile
03 04 Hopelessly Devoted To You - Olivia Newton-John
04 02 Three Times a Lady - The Commodores
05 06 An Everlasting Love - Andy Gibb
06 07 Summer Nights - John Travolta, Olivia Newton-John & The Cast Of Grease
07 08 Don't Look Back - Boston
08 03 Hot Blooded - Foreigner
09 11 Hot Child In The City - Nick Gilder
10 15 Reminiscing - The Little River Band
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Soulsista
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Post by Soulsista on Sept 16, 2018 11:01:08 GMT -5
Billboard Top 10 from 35, 30, 25, and 20 years ago:
September 24, 1983
01 02 Tell Her About It - Billy Joel (1st and only week at #1)
02 04 Total Eclipse Of The Heart - Bonnie Tyler
03 03 The Safety Dance - Men Without Hats
04 01 Maniac - Michael Sembello
05 09 Making Love Out Of Nothing At All - Air Supply
06 05 Sweet Dreams (Are Made Of This) - The Eurythmics
07 07 Human Nature - Michael Jackson
08 08 Puttin' On The Ritz - Taco
09 12 (She's) Sexy + 17 - The Stray Cats
10 10 Don't Cry - Asia
September 24, 1988
01 04 Don't Worry, Be Happy - Bobby McFerrin (1st of 2 weeks at #1)
02 01 Sweet Child O' Mine - Guns N' Roses
03 05 I'll Always Love You - Taylor Dayne
04 02 Simply Irresistible - Robert Palmer
05 09 Love Bites - Def Leppard
06 03 Perfect World - Huey Lewis & The News
07 11 One Good Woman - Peter Cetera
08 07 If It Isn't Love - New Edition
09 08 Nobody's Fool - Kenny Loggins
10 15 Don't Be Cruel - Cheap Trick
September 25, 1993
01 01 Dreamlover - Mariah Carey (3rd of 8 weeks at #1)
02 02 Whoomp! (There It Is) - Tag Team
03 05 Right Here (Human Nature) / Downtown - SWV
04 03 Can't Help Falling In Love - UB40
05 04 If - Janet Jackson
06 06 The River Of Dreams - Billy Joel
07 08 Will You Be There - Michael Jackson
08 07 Runaway Train - Soul Asylum
09 09 Lately - Jodeci
10 10 Baby I'm Yours - Shai
September 19, 1998
01 01 I Don't Want To Miss a Thing - Aerosmith (3rd of 4 weeks at #1)
02 02 The First Night - Monica
03 03 Crush - Jennifer Paige
04 04 My Way - Usher
05 05 The Boy Is Mine - Brandy & Monica
06 06 Daydreamin' - Tatyana Ali
07 11 Time After Time - INOJ
08 10 Lookin' At Me - Mase feat. Puff Daddy
09 07 You're Still The One - Shania Twain
10 12 When The Lights Go Out - Next
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slw84
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Post by slw84 on Sept 16, 2018 11:09:25 GMT -5
at this point, any of the songs missing a vid in the top 10 can hit #1 based on low point #s So em or Post can do it soon. |
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