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Post by Rose "Payola" Nylund on Mar 5, 2019 9:10:55 GMT -5
Will Sucker have some longevity in the charts? No |
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rfucom
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Post by rfucom on Mar 5, 2019 9:11:48 GMT -5
Seems like Sucker will debut at no.1
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rfucom
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Post by rfucom on Mar 5, 2019 9:13:17 GMT -5
Will Sucker have some longevity in the charts? No a big NO |
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jenglisbe
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Post by jenglisbe on Mar 5, 2019 10:00:25 GMT -5
After all of the talk of "Shallow" dropping, it might be "Sucker" that threatens for biggest drop from #1.
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renaboss
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Post by renaboss on Mar 5, 2019 10:06:22 GMT -5
Why wouldn't "Sucker" have longevity? Seems like the kinda song radio will eat up.
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Gary
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Post by Gary on Mar 5, 2019 10:13:02 GMT -5
Since Jonas Brothers are older now and have not really been an exclusively Radio Disney act for a while they may last longer than a week
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Mar 5, 2019 10:18:00 GMT -5
It will last around 20 weeks on the chart like Part of Me and Pillowtalk.
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Choco
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Post by Choco on Mar 5, 2019 10:47:53 GMT -5
So... anyone have any estimates? "7 rings" has a huge lead on airplay and I'm guessing the sales for "Sucker" won't be as big as they were for "Shallow" last week.
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jenglisbe
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Post by jenglisbe on Mar 5, 2019 10:48:03 GMT -5
Why wouldn't "Sucker" have longevity? Seems like the kinda song radio will eat up. It could, but it's certainly dropping in sales and streams and its first chart week hasn't ended. We can't yet tell how well it will hold on over the next week and a half, but it will obviously need to stabilize at some point if it's going to hang around. |
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jenglisbe
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Post by jenglisbe on Mar 5, 2019 10:49:13 GMT -5
So... anyone have any estimates? "7 rings" has a huge lead on airplay and I'm guessing the sales for "Sucker" won't be as big as they were for "Shallow" last week. Its sales won't be as big, but its streams look to be much bigger than "Shallow" had last week so that will make up for the sales gap. |
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Choco
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Post by Choco on Mar 5, 2019 10:55:03 GMT -5
So... anyone have any estimates? "7 rings" has a huge lead on airplay and I'm guessing the sales for "Sucker" won't be as big as they were for "Shallow" last week. Its sales won't be as big, but its streams look to be much bigger than "Shallow" had last week so that will make up for the sales gap. Yeah and I don't think "Shallow" itself is much of a threat to "Sucker" this week; it will be between "7 rings" and it for #1. "7 rings" is pretty weak on iTunes and airplay ain't huge yet so I think "Sucker" might get it. |
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Mar 5, 2019 10:57:17 GMT -5
So... anyone have any estimates? "7 rings" has a huge lead on airplay and I'm guessing the sales for "Sucker" won't be as big as they were for "Shallow" last week. Sucker would be a back-to-back challenger for 100k sales right after Shallow. It's released on the first day of the tracking week and more than halfway through it still has 5 times lead over #10 songs on iTunes, that's epic! And Sucker (25m on-demand, 20m+ on youtube and others) would have almost double the raw streaming numbers Shallow had last week (27.3m). So it would be a very easy #1 debut. It's gonna hover above Shallow at overall points for a while |
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jenglisbe
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Post by jenglisbe on Mar 5, 2019 11:18:38 GMT -5
Its sales won't be as big, but its streams look to be much bigger than "Shallow" had last week so that will make up for the sales gap. Yeah and I don't think "Shallow" itself is much of a threat to "Sucker" this week; it will be between "7 rings" and it for #1. "7 rings" is pretty weak on iTunes and airplay ain't huge yet so I think "Sucker" might get it. Oh, my point in comparing to "Shallow" was in terms of the points "Shallow" had this past week to be #1. |
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Mar 5, 2019 11:28:58 GMT -5
MediaBase Overall AI 3/4/2019
Without Me 140.998 (+0.334)
High Hopes 135.680 (-0.909)
Eastside 124.149 (-0.225)
7 rings 106.722 (+1.213) ^
Happier 104.923 (-1.507) v
thank u, next 99.696 (-1.173)
Sunflower 82.244 (-1.374)
Close to Me 78.000 (+1.033)
Wow. 75.859 (+1.445)
SICKO MODE 70.011 (-1.359)
Please Me 62.023 (+1.157)
Dancing with a Stranger 61.148 (+0.771)
Sweet but Psycho 45.043 (+0.734)
Shallow 41.766 (+1.158)
break up with your girlfriend, i'm bored 40.229 (+1.654)
MIDDLE CHILD 28.123 (+0.391)
Sucker 26.495 (+2.517)
Thotiana 23.542 (+0.421)
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jenglisbe
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Post by jenglisbe on Mar 5, 2019 11:47:08 GMT -5
So... anyone have any estimates? "7 rings" has a huge lead on airplay and I'm guessing the sales for "Sucker" won't be as big as they were for "Shallow" last week. Sucker would be a back-to-back challenger for 100k sales right after Shallow. It's released on the first day of the tracking week and more than halfway through it still has 5 times lead over #10 songs on iTunes, that's epic! And Sucker (25m on-demand, 20m+ on youtube and others) would have almost double the raw streaming numbers Shallow had last week (27.3m). So it would be a very easy #1 debut. It's gonna hover above Shallow at overall points for a while And "Shallow" is even with it in sales now (probably ahead overall with the multiple versions) and much older. |
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Post by Baby Yoda Hot100Fan on Mar 5, 2019 11:56:45 GMT -5
It will last around 20 weeks on the chart like Part of Me and Pillowtalk. Actually, those songs lasted 22 and 24 weeks, respectively. Look What You Made Me Do and Harlem Shake would be examples of #1 songs lasting 20 weeks in the Hot 100. |
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jenglisbe
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Post by jenglisbe on Mar 5, 2019 11:57:27 GMT -5
It will last around 20 weeks on the chart like Part of Me and Pillowtalk. Actually, those songs lasted 22 and 24 weeks, respectively. Look What You Made Me Do and Harlem Shake would be examples of #1 songs lasting 20 weeks in the Hot 100. I guess you missed the word "around" in the post you quoted. |
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rockgolf
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Post by rockgolf on Mar 5, 2019 12:11:07 GMT -5
Don't underestimate JoBros. They've shown in their solo work (Close, Chains, Cake By The Ocean) that they are radio-friendly, and I'd expect Sucker to get more airplay than most of the songs currently in the top ten within a short period. Radio is hungry for hits they don't have to bleep.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Mar 5, 2019 12:24:44 GMT -5
Early prediction:
Sucker: 90k sales + 18M AI + 47M streams = 425 pts.
7 rings: 22K sales + 86M AI + 44M streams = 386 pts.
Please Me: 26k sales + 50M AI + 35M streams = 293 pts.
Shallow: 60k sales + 41M AI + 23M streams = 278 pts.
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Choco
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Post by Choco on Mar 5, 2019 12:37:49 GMT -5
But I thought "Shallow" was dead and going to have a record breaking drop?  |
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noober
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Post by noober on Mar 5, 2019 12:46:25 GMT -5
I think shallow will finish in the top 20 YE chart
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jenglisbe
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Post by jenglisbe on Mar 5, 2019 12:51:12 GMT -5
Early prediction: Sucker: 90k sales + 18M AI + 47M streams = 425 pts. 7 rings: 22K sales + 86M AI + 44M streams = 386 pts. Shallow: 60k sales + 41M AI + 30M streams = 317 pts. Please Me: 26k sales + 50M AI + 35M streams = 293 pts. Why would "Shallow" have more streams this week than last week? |
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Mar 5, 2019 13:49:47 GMT -5
Early prediction: Sucker: 90k sales + 18M AI + 47M streams = 425 pts. 7 rings: 22K sales + 86M AI + 44M streams = 386 pts. Shallow: 60k sales + 41M AI + 30M streams = 317 pts. Please Me: 26k sales + 50M AI + 35M streams = 293 pts. Why would "Shallow" have more streams this week than last week? I believe I made a mistake. Now I think it might receive a total of 23M streams (10M from YouTube, 13M from Spotify, AM, etc). On the Hot 100 it will drop to #5 or #6. |
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ddlz
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Post by ddlz on Mar 5, 2019 16:08:58 GMT -5
I totally forgot that Post is a Jonas Brothers stan. Ok, I'm officially rooting for Sucker to go #1!  |
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korbel16
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Post by korbel16 on Mar 5, 2019 16:31:03 GMT -5
Early prediction: Sucker: 90k sales + 18M AI + 47M streams = 425 pts. 7 rings: 22K sales + 86M AI + 44M streams = 386 pts. Please Me: 26k sales + 50M AI + 35M streams = 293 pts. Shallow: 60k sales + 41M AI + 23M streams = 278 pts. i appreciate the estimates, but idk if 7 rings will be up from 43m to 44m in streams maybe around 40m |
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Post by wayneashleymusic on Mar 5, 2019 18:05:47 GMT -5
Just bought my copy from iTunes!
Kinda cool that this could be the first number 1 single ever for the Jonas Brothers. Heck anything above number 5 would be a first for them.
I think they'll get it.
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Ｓｏｕｎｄｃｌ🕤ｃｋ
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Post by Ｓｏｕｎｄｃｌ🕤ｃｋ on Mar 5, 2019 20:36:59 GMT -5
When I see what is #1 now, I feel sorry for NTLTC. "Sucker" is a good song, but #1 material? IDK...happy for their success tho.
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owenlovesmusic
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Post by owenlovesmusic on Mar 5, 2019 20:40:48 GMT -5
2019: year of low quality #1s
“Without Me”, “7 Rings” and now possibly “Sucker”
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wavey.
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Post by wavey. on Mar 5, 2019 20:44:44 GMT -5
Whew idk about alla that in terms of quality🤷🏽♂️
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Post by Naos on Mar 5, 2019 20:52:12 GMT -5
2019: year of low quality #1s “Without Me”, “7 Rings” and now possibly “Sucker” Yeah, because 2018 didn't have "Perfect", "SAD!", "Girls Like You", "thank u, next", and "Sicko Mode". |
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