jodakyellow
Platinum Member
Joined: July 2018
Posts: 1,535
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Post by jodakyellow on May 2, 2019 12:33:40 GMT -5
We have to take into account Billboard randomly changing rules so certain songs can climb higher. And I’m certain Billboard would want ME to jump to #1. I was thinking about this, but can't for the life of me think of a reasonable rule change that would get "ME!" to #1. A few ridiculous obviously-not-gonna happens ones i thought of: 1. "For one week only, the Hot 100 is all-female, to celebrate the badass women moving music forward." 2. "Remixes are now segregated by race, so OTR will be split into two chart entries." 3. "The chart is now based on four main components: radio airplay, sales, streaming, and desperation." |
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rimetm
2x Platinum Member
Just a Good Ol' Chart Shmuck
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Post by rimetm on May 2, 2019 12:40:49 GMT -5
The real answer is to finally cash in the “We’ll be adjusting the streaming weights in 2019” card they seemingly never used while also changing the sales divider from 6 to like 4 or 3. If they want to keep the metric, it’s overdue for a buff seeing how much the market has shrunk since the last adjustment.
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Post by Naos on May 2, 2019 13:07:08 GMT -5
They could go the Japan Hot 100 route and add social media mentions of the song. Though I feel like if they did that, BTS could end up easily getting a #1.
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Post by Baby Yoda Hot100Fan on May 2, 2019 13:43:18 GMT -5
kworb's Billboard Radio Songs Estimates 2019/05/02
1(=) Jonas Brothers - Sucker 137.00(+0.63)
2(=) Sam Smith & Normani - Dancing with a Stranger 128.31(+1.24)
3(=) Halsey - Without Me 105.42/(-0.53)
4(=) Ava Max - Sweet but Psycho 105.17(+1.27)
5(=) Post Malone - Wow. 102.75(+0.53)
6(=) Ariana Grande - 7 rings 98.66(-0.96)
7(=) benny blanco, Halsey & Khalid - Eastside 96.22(-0.81) 8(=) Ariana Grande - break up with your girlfriend, i'm bored 93.10(-1.05)
9(=) Panic! At the Disco - High Hopes 88.04(-0.24)
10(=) Lady Gaga & Bradley Cooper - Shallow 85.16(-1.71)
11(=) Lil Nas X - Old Town Road (feat. Billy Ray Cyrus) [Remix] 85.01(+2.36) 12(+1) Taylor Swift - ME! (feat. Brendon Urie of Panic! At The Disco) 82.88(+10.67) 18(+4) Khalid - Talk 62.52(+1.90) - - Beyonce - Before I Let Go (Homecoming Lv 10.94(+1.07) - - Marshmello, Tyga & Chris Brown - Light It Up 8.25(+2.93)
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Deleted
Joined: January 1970
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on May 2, 2019 14:40:51 GMT -5
They could go the Japan Hot 100 route and add social media mentions of the song. Though I feel like if they did that, BTS could end up easily getting a #1.Knowing Billboard, this would probably give them more incentive to do it. |
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renaboss
Platinum Member
I don't want to miss a thing.
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Post by renaboss on May 2, 2019 15:00:20 GMT -5
Speaking of BTS, is "Boy with Luv" showing any signs of becoming an actual hit? I am now obsessed with that song.
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Post by Baby Yoda Hot100Fan on May 2, 2019 15:17:24 GMT -5
^I guess it did rise in digital sales, but is still only #30 in iTunes. In the YT worldwide views over the last 24 hours it only swapped places with Kill This Love. The BBMAs performance will probably cushion its fall in the Hot 100.
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Ｓｏｕｎｄｃｌ🕤ｃｋ
Diamond Member
Joined: August 2017
Posts: 11,066
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Post by Ｓｏｕｎｄｃｌ🕤ｃｋ on May 2, 2019 15:41:30 GMT -5
Spotify 05/01/2019
1.Old Town Road (Remix) 1,490,233 (-13k)
3.ME! 1,380,147 (+27k)
7.Old Town Road 960,665 (-9k)
Apple Music
1.Old Town Road (Remix)
9.ME!
28.Old Town Road
YouTube 04/30/2019
1.Old Town Road (Remix) 4,427,244 [+130,087]
2.ME! 3,304,564 [+1,000,946]
iTunes
1.ME! 1.0000
2.Old Town Road (combined) 8.1210
Radio
11.Old Town Road 85.01 [+2.36]
12.ME! 82.88 [+10.67] *without 8th day effect*
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aznsinger
Charting
Check out my album on spotify, itunes, and apple music,
Joined: September 2017
Posts: 329 
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Post by aznsinger on May 2, 2019 15:48:02 GMT -5
So Taylor winning in sales and radio this week will be number two because she’s behind OTR in streams? 😭😅
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Ｓｏｕｎｄｃｌ🕤ｃｋ
Diamond Member
Joined: August 2017
Posts: 11,066
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Post by Ｓｏｕｎｄｃｌ🕤ｃｋ on May 2, 2019 15:49:06 GMT -5
So Taylor winning in sales and radio this week will be number two because she’s behind OTR in streams? 😭😅 Actually, she's winning in sales only. |
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aznsinger
Charting
Check out my album on spotify, itunes, and apple music,
Joined: September 2017
Posts: 329
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Post by aznsinger on May 2, 2019 15:56:33 GMT -5
Oh okay so she’s definitely losing even without the data of her bundles and new videos on YT. Damn I’m so sad
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Post by Naos on May 2, 2019 16:20:35 GMT -5
Speaking of BTS, is "Boy with Luv" showing any signs of becoming an actual hit? I am now obsessed with that song. No. At this point, it might around the same time on the Hot 100 as "MIC Drop", which had 10 weeks on the chart and only peaked at #28. |
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imbondz
2x Platinum Member
Joined: January 2006
Posts: 2,609
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Post by imbondz on May 2, 2019 16:30:49 GMT -5
Don’t understand the BTS love. Beyond cheesy.
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Abbaschand
Platinum Member
Joined: July 2016
Posts: 1,638
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Post by Abbaschand on May 2, 2019 16:42:33 GMT -5
We have to take into account Billboard randomly changing rules so certain songs can climb higher. And I’m certain Billboard would want ME to jump to #1. 3. "The chart is now based on four main components: radio airplay, sales, streaming, and desperation." Big desperation, big desperation. Ooh, you and me, we got big desperation. |
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Mylo13 💜
Diamond Member
@grapefanatic
Wishing everyone an amazing day and life 💜
Joined: July 2017
Posts: 10,107
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Post by Mylo13 💜 on May 2, 2019 16:47:31 GMT -5
3. "The chart is now based on four main components: radio airplay, sales, streaming, and desperation." Big desperation, big desperation. Ooh, you and me, we got big desperation. Ehhh, and you BETTER have heard about ME! ooh We got some big Enemies ahhhhh |
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Kris
2x Platinum Member
Joined: June 2013
Posts: 2,222
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Post by Kris on May 2, 2019 16:58:37 GMT -5
2.ME! 3,304,564 [+1,000,946]
Is this including the lyric video and BTS/live performance? |
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Ｓｏｕｎｄｃｌ🕤ｃｋ
Diamond Member
Joined: August 2017
Posts: 11,066
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Post by Ｓｏｕｎｄｃｌ🕤ｃｋ on May 2, 2019 17:12:10 GMT -5
2.ME! 3,304,564 [+1,000,946]
Is this including the lyric video and BTS/live performance? I think she released lyric video on 1st May. |
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Deleted
Joined: January 1970
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on May 2, 2019 17:27:30 GMT -5
Is eyes on you going number one this week
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Deleted
Joined: January 1970
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on May 2, 2019 17:50:35 GMT -5
2.ME! 3,304,564 [+1,000,946]
Is this including the lyric video and BTS/live performance? Definitely doesn't include the BBMAs performance. That has 7.9 million views rn |
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Post by Baby Yoda Hot100Fan on May 2, 2019 17:55:53 GMT -5
^The data was for 4/30. So, it obviously doesn't. The live performance was posted 17 hours ago and lyric video yesterday.
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Deleted
Joined: January 1970
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on May 2, 2019 18:01:08 GMT -5
^The data was for 4/30. So, it obviously doesn't. The live performance was posted 17 hours ago and lyric video yesterday. oic, I thought it was data for 5/1 for some reason |
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lugus15
Gold Member
Joined: April 2009
Posts: 790
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Post by lugus15 on May 2, 2019 18:22:56 GMT -5
Taylor may not reach #1 but mad respect to her staying true to her pop sound. I mean she coulda gone trap and gotten an easy #1. So far this year we've got Trap Pop, Trap Country and Trap Soundtrack.
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Kris
2x Platinum Member
Joined: June 2013
Posts: 2,222
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Post by Kris on May 2, 2019 18:24:01 GMT -5
Oh oops didn't even see the date. 3M seems kind of low the for 30th though.
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moonlite
Platinum Member
Joined: September 2018
Posts: 1,185
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Post by moonlite on May 2, 2019 18:25:46 GMT -5
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Post by kcdawg13 on May 2, 2019 18:37:32 GMT -5
Honestly respect to her for pushing this hard for #1, after an era with no promotion and underwhelming chart success it’s cool to see Taylor actually wanting to get another #1.
It’s unfortunate she released right now with such a massive song at the top, I don’t think her team was expecting Old Town Road. ME! would have been #1 any week before Old Town Road.
I love OTR but I’m rooting for Taylor, because she’s pushing hard and because that 100-1 jump is gonna be iconic.
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Post by billboardtopten on May 2, 2019 18:41:08 GMT -5
Honestly respect to her for pushing this hard for #1, after an era with no promotion and underwhelming chart success it’s cool to see Taylor actually wanting to get another #1. It’s unfortunate she released right now with such a massive song at the top, I don’t think her team was expecting Old Town Road. ME! would have been #1 any week before Old Town Road. I love OTR but I’m rooting for Taylor, because she’s pushing hard and because that 100-1 jump is gonna be iconic. All she needs is an iTunes discount, and maybe...JUST maybe... |
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Post by kcdawg13 on May 2, 2019 18:46:28 GMT -5
^ Billboard continues to track radio until Sunday so even with the 8th day effect tomorrow it should still be good, it has a healthy lead against OTR on iTunes, however I don’t know how long that’s gonna last. They are pretty neck and neck on Streaming as the original version of OTR continues to descend down Spotify. They are also neck and neck on YouTube, honestly it’s shaping up to be a pretty fair fight even though everyone initially thought Lil Nas X would be very far a head of her.
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Deleted
Joined: January 1970
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on May 2, 2019 20:03:45 GMT -5
She is still pulling tricks and there is no Billboard article yet. Yeah probably not happening.
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Post by billboardtopten on May 2, 2019 20:16:30 GMT -5
She is still pulling tricks and there is no Billboard article yet. Yeah probably not happening. You know it's not even the end of the tracking week JUST yet, right? |
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Deleted
Joined: January 1970
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on May 2, 2019 22:12:32 GMT -5
^ Billboard continues to track radio until Sunday so even with the 8th day effect tomorrow it should still be good, it has a healthy lead against OTR on iTunes, however I don’t know how long that’s gonna last. They are pretty neck and neck on Streaming as the original version of OTR continues to descend down Spotify. They are also neck and neck on YouTube, honestly it’s shaping up to be a pretty fair fight even though everyone initially thought Lil Nas X would be very far a head of her. They aren't really neck and neck on streaming. OTR should get around 18-19m streams on spotify, while Me will get around 12-13m. OTR remix was #1 on AM all week long, while the original lingered around the bottom of the top 20. Me made it as far as #2 on release day, and it's been lingering from 10-8 for some days. OTR should get around 44m OD streams this week while Me should get around 24m. And OTR will be ahead of it in YT. If i would make any estimative of total streams, I'd say OTR will get around 100m, while Me will get around 60m. |
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