korbel16
Platinum Member
Joined: September 2017
Posts: 1,908
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Post by korbel16 on May 8, 2019 1:39:05 GMT -5
OTR is def not breaking the record. I give it 9-12 weeks #1 before another song swoops in. For a song to have a fair reach at the record, it has to not peak until around it's 6th-10th week #1, then have weak competition + very small declines the remaining weeks. OTR already peaked its second week. A song isn't gonna stay 15 more weeks at #1 after its peak (the only exception would be if a song was doing like 500 million streams a week, Candle in the Wind esque numbers). That's how Despacito, which didn't peak in points until its 7th-8th week at #1 was able to tie the record. but despacito didn’t have the average number 2 song being below 30k points. If that were the case it’d be sitting at 20 weeks at number 1 before it fell below wow’s last week points around 28k. I feel like OTR has a good chance but then again this week will only be it’s 6th week at #1. It has another 10 weeks to prove us wrong
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Enigma.
Diamond Member
Joined: July 2007
Posts: 14,176
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Post by Enigma. on May 8, 2019 2:32:43 GMT -5
The defining point for OTR is how it fares with the callouts on pop radio. It has been in decline in streaming every week so the possible increase in points (and 10+ weeks for that matter) depends on airplay tbh.
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Post by kcdawg13 on May 8, 2019 3:08:58 GMT -5
OTR's 17th week at #1 will be August 3rd, that's a long time from now, however there's not a lot that seems like it's gonna stop it. Bieber & Sheeran seem like they could do it, but honestly with the faltering success of other pop stars right now I wouldn't say it's a guarantee. Drake's on break, Post just seems to release whenever he wants, Adele likely won't be dropping until Q4, Taylor Swift isn't really a threat anymore.
So I guess we'll see.
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Soundcl🕤ck
Diamond Member
Joined: August 2017
Posts: 11,069
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Post by Soundcl🕤ck on May 8, 2019 5:47:19 GMT -5
Just wait for OTR music video.
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Post by chartslovergermany on May 8, 2019 6:18:01 GMT -5
Love how the stans are roasting and attacking Nas Maraj on Twitter and Instagram 😂😂half of the comments are asking for panini,the other half is hating on him hehe :) Anyways any news about Rihanna's music?
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tanooki
Diamond Member
2019 Breakthrough
lucia gta 6
Joined: August 2017
Posts: 10,118
Pronouns: they/she/fae
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Post by tanooki on May 8, 2019 6:35:46 GMT -5
If In My Feelings didn't exist, Girls Like You would've been a 15 week #1...
These charts have been incredibly weak and can easily be taken advantage of. The BRC version of OTR does not have an official video yet and could bring the songs momentum back up, who knows
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Soundcl🕤ck
Diamond Member
Joined: August 2017
Posts: 11,069
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Post by Soundcl🕤ck on May 8, 2019 6:57:19 GMT -5
Love how the stans are roasting and attacking Nas Maraj on Twitter and Instagram 😂😂half of the comments are asking for panini,the other half is hating on him hehe That is sad actually.
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jenglisbe
Diamond Member
Joined: January 2005
Posts: 35,628
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Post by jenglisbe on May 8, 2019 7:01:25 GMT -5
Yeah these discussions about the record happen every time, and as we’ve seen, a new song can come out of nowhere and blow up. We didn’t see “See You Again” coming, or “Old Town Road” for that matter. What’s #2 now has nothing to do with July.
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fhas
3x Platinum Member
Three-time World Champions: 1992 - 2-1 vs. Barcelona, 1993 - 3-2 vs. Milan, 2005 - 1-0 vs. Liverpool
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Post by fhas on May 8, 2019 7:08:00 GMT -5
Love how the stans are roasting and attacking Nas Maraj on Twitter and Instagram 😂😂half of the comments are asking for panini,the other half is hating on him hehe Anyways any news about Rihanna's music? If you love that... you're not a good person to say the least.
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jenglisbe
Diamond Member
Joined: January 2005
Posts: 35,628
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Post by jenglisbe on May 8, 2019 7:09:59 GMT -5
The Diplo remix of “OTR” is holding up well on iTunes.
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moonlite
Platinum Member
Joined: September 2018
Posts: 1,185
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Post by moonlite on May 8, 2019 7:19:10 GMT -5
Me has nosedived to #28 on Apple Music today
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Post by chartslovergermany on May 8, 2019 9:08:41 GMT -5
" Soundcl🕤ck" " fhas" ,First I would recommend you both to look at yourself,since you both were busy hating on TayTay/ME! literally every few hours for more than a week now😂😂😂 If you think I'm just kidding and joking you can look at the 5/11/2019 thread and read your messages :)
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tallen2001
Platinum Member
See my days are cold without you
Joined: September 2018
Posts: 1,215
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Post by tallen2001 on May 8, 2019 9:21:07 GMT -5
I swear every Hot 100 thread is just a flaming dumpster fire behind a 7/11.
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Soundcl🕤ck
Diamond Member
Joined: August 2017
Posts: 11,069
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Post by Soundcl🕤ck on May 8, 2019 9:36:01 GMT -5
" Soundcl🕤ck " " fhas " ,First I would recommend you both to look at yourself first,since you both were busy hating on TayTay literally every few hours for more than a week now😂😂😂 If you think I'm just kidding and joking you can look at the 5/11/2019 thread and read your messages Hating? I don't like Taylor, but I don't hate her. I was rooting for OTR because I like that song and I was really ok with Taylor until she (I'll use a nice expression) REALLY REALLY wanted to be #1. On the other hand, you like the fact that her fans are hating on him because.........he has a bigger song? That's absurd.
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iHype.
4x Platinum Member
Joined: October 2014
Posts: 4,714
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Post by iHype. on May 8, 2019 9:39:43 GMT -5
OTR is def not breaking the record. I give it 9-12 weeks #1 before another song swoops in. For a song to have a fair reach at the record, it has to not peak until around it's 6th-10th week #1, then have weak competition + very small declines the remaining weeks. OTR already peaked its second week. A song isn't gonna stay 15 more weeks at #1 after its peak (the only exception would be if a song was doing like 500 million streams a week, Candle in the Wind esque numbers). That's how Despacito, which didn't peak in points until its 7th-8th week at #1 was able to tie the record. but despacito didn’t have the average number 2 song being below 30k points. If that were the case it’d be sitting at 20 weeks at number 1 before it fell below wow’s last week points around 28k. I feel like OTR has a good chance but then again this week will only be it’s 6th week at #1. It has another 10 weeks to prove us wrong There’s isn’t gonna be another 3 months straight of no other song doing above 300 points, that’s not even realistic. That is just wishful thinking lol. New music will be released.
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Post by chartslovergermany on May 8, 2019 10:35:06 GMT -5
" Soundcl🕤ck " " fhas " ,First I would recommend you both to look at yourself first,since you both were busy hating on TayTay literally every few hours for more than a week now😂😂😂 If you think I'm just kidding and joking you can look at the 5/11/2019 thread and read your messages Hating? I don't like Taylor, but I don't hate her. I was rooting for OTR because I like that song and I was really ok with Taylor until she (I'll use a nice expression) REALLY REALLY wanted to be #1. On the other hand, you like the fact that her fans are hating on him because.........he has a bigger song? That's absurd. Yeah I do and now?Need a tissue?😂😂 You can't judge people if you yourself talk **** ;) If someone else would have said that who didn't hated on TayTay I would be like "okay",but that out of all people you want to criticize others is funny and embarrassing. It's Like a robber trying to judge a murderer 😂🤷♂️
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gabe
3x Platinum Member
gay
Joined: July 2018
Posts: 3,238
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Post by gabe on May 8, 2019 10:57:27 GMT -5
Hating? I don't like Taylor, but I don't hate her. I was rooting for OTR because I like that song and I was really ok with Taylor until she (I'll use a nice expression) REALLY REALLY wanted to be #1. On the other hand, you like the fact that her fans are hating on him because.........he has a bigger song? That's absurd. Yeah I do and now?Need a tissue?😂😂 You can't judge people if you yourself talk **** If someone else would have said that who didn't hated on TayTay I would be like "okay",but that out of all people you want to criticize others is funny and embarrassing. It's Like a robber trying to judge a murderer 😂🤷♂️ shut up 😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂
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ddlz
2x Platinum Member
Joined: June 2011
Posts: 2,166
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Post by ddlz on May 8, 2019 11:04:30 GMT -5
Spotify 8.(+4) Lizzo - Truth Hurts
Apple Music 29.(+269) Lizzo - Truth Hurts
Another song of the summer contender!
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Crimsonio
2x Platinum Member
Star-Crossed 💫
Joined: December 2017
Posts: 2,518
Pronouns: he/him
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Post by Crimsonio on May 8, 2019 11:10:17 GMT -5
Spotify 8.(+4) Lizzo - Truth Hurts Apple Music 29.(+269) Lizzo - Truth Hurts Another song of the summer contender! Omfg this needs to chart ALREADY!!! Lizzo is literally everything so I'd love for her to have a hit! Anyways, if Taylor releases a good second single in about a month or so I think it would snatch the #1 if OTR is decreasing in points. Me! literally has one of the biggest point totals of any song from the past two years, it's only behind Look What You Made Me Do, Old Town Road, God's Plan and In My Feelings in terms of points. Taylor is not "over" contrary to popular belief. I'd say it's one of the strongest #2's of all time and the strongest since probably Anaconda.
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Post by chartslovergermany on May 8, 2019 11:16:38 GMT -5
Yeah I do and now?Need a tissue?😂😂 You can't judge people if you yourself talk **** If someone else would have said that who didn't hated on TayTay I would be like "okay",but that out of all people you want to criticize others is funny and embarrassing. It's Like a robber trying to judge a murderer 😂🤷♂️ shut up 😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂 same to you ;)
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Gary
Diamond Member
Joined: January 2014
Posts: 45,891
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Post by Gary on May 8, 2019 11:36:56 GMT -5
So Taylor released a single that did not debut at #1 or did not climb to #1 after the initial radio deal.
It does not mean it can't still climb to #1 later if it grows at radio
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Mauricio
Charting
Necesito un tono
Joined: June 2018
Posts: 386
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Post by Mauricio on May 8, 2019 12:10:26 GMT -5
I hope so, I want more #1 turnover. But I don't think it will climb to #1, by then its streaming will not be enough.
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Post by Naos on May 8, 2019 12:14:25 GMT -5
Luke Combs' "Beer Never Broke My Heart" takes #1 on iTunes.
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jodakyellow
Platinum Member
Joined: July 2018
Posts: 1,536
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Post by jodakyellow on May 8, 2019 12:29:18 GMT -5
Spotify 8.(+4) Lizzo - Truth Hurts Apple Music 29.(+269) Lizzo - Truth Hurts Another song of the summer contender! Is that already a day old? I'm seeing it at #7 on Spotify and #17 on Apple Music! (RISE, BITCH, RISE!!) There's no way it doesn't debut on the Hot 100 this week, right? There's no way.
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spicymapping
Platinum Member
ahoe s2e11 out now
Joined: December 2018
Posts: 1,116
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Post by spicymapping on May 8, 2019 12:29:30 GMT -5
I'm having trouble not dying of laughter every time I read the phrase "Beer Never Broke My Heart".
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jodakyellow
Platinum Member
Joined: July 2018
Posts: 1,536
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Post by jodakyellow on May 8, 2019 12:31:22 GMT -5
I'm having trouble not dying of laughter every time I read the phrase "Beer Never Broke My Heart". Real country song titles that sound like people making fun of country song titles are EVERYTHING to me.
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Post by chartslovergermany on May 8, 2019 12:37:44 GMT -5
Omg Zachary is in Lizzo's Truth Hurts video😍😍Ugh we stan. Love seeing the song getting huge ❤️she deserved it,period "I just took a DNA Test turns out I'm 100% that ***** 😂"
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Mauricio
Charting
Necesito un tono
Joined: June 2018
Posts: 386
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Post by Mauricio on May 8, 2019 12:45:18 GMT -5
Paradise by Bazzi up to #20 with 682k streams on Spotify. I'm rooting very hard for that song :'v
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tallen2001
Platinum Member
See my days are cold without you
Joined: September 2018
Posts: 1,215
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Post by tallen2001 on May 8, 2019 12:46:39 GMT -5
I’m mostly rooting for Juice and Truth Hurts. Juice is the perfect song for the summer and it seems like radio is starting to pick up on it.
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Post by chartslovergermany on May 8, 2019 13:13:37 GMT -5
I’m mostly rooting for Juice and Truth Hurts. Juice is the perfect song for the summer and it seems like radio is starting to pick up on it. taste,love both but truth hurts is my favorite
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