fridayteenage
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Post by fridayteenage on Oct 9, 2023 12:32:39 GMT -5
With Bad Bunny releasing Friday, the odds of CS hitting #1 on H100 are probably slimmer. Even a digital single/video of 'CS - Live from the Eras Tour' might be helpful both sales/streaming. 11 weeks in Top 2 of Pop airplay is mindblowing! Well his only top 3 hit is Cardi's smash. So there's that.
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eagle27
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Post by eagle27 on Oct 9, 2023 19:43:01 GMT -5
Bad Bunny would need to outperform UVST to get a #1, probably would need to promote a specific track also. I have a feeling Cruel Summer is getting massive gains by Friday to challenge Doja.
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Post by ificanthaveyou on Oct 9, 2023 22:20:15 GMT -5
My crazy delulu prediction is that there’ll be a Cruel Summer MV snippet at the end of the Eras Tour Film like the Marvel films do. It’ll end with her winking at the camera and the actual MV premiering at Midnight that night. Then she’ll drop the MV, Tour Video, and remix versions all at once.
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fridayteenage
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Post by fridayteenage on Oct 10, 2023 0:24:30 GMT -5
CS now has just 1 more day in the US spotify top 10 than the WW top 10.
It definitely caught on faster in the US, but the US has been more prone to album bombs temporarily pushing everything else down.
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fearlessarrow
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Post by fearlessarrow on Oct 10, 2023 5:13:39 GMT -5
POP: 1 2 TAYLOR SWIFT Cruel Summer 15569 16411 -842 48.419
-74 Spins -46 Bullet +0.113 Audience
HOT AC: 1 1 TAYLOR SWIFT Cruel Summer 5344 5456 -112 20.903
-28 Spins -13 Bullet +0.151 Audience
AC: 7 7 TAYLOR SWIFT Cruel Summer 1671 1396 275 10.693
+11 Spins -11 Bullet +0.147 Audience
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Az Paynter
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Post by Az Paynter on Oct 11, 2023 8:57:44 GMT -5
It's a four-horse race for #1 this week now. Taylor/SZA/Doja all scrapping against Nicki/Ice Spice who are defending (with a rather bad day today).
POP: 1 2 TAYLOR SWIFT Cruel Summer 15567 16290 -723 48.339
-2 Spins +119 Bullet -0.080 Audience
HOT AC: 1 1 TAYLOR SWIFT Cruel Summer 5312 5432 -120 20.789
-32 Spins -8 Bullet -0.114 Audience
AC: 7 6 TAYLOR SWIFT Cruel Summer 1682 1435 247 10.699
+11 Spins -28 Bullet +0.006 Audience
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Post by ificanthaveyou on Oct 11, 2023 12:52:40 GMT -5
Patiently waiting for a sign from Taylor Nation that they are going to finally going to make a move…
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musiclife
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Post by musiclife on Oct 11, 2023 14:22:13 GMT -5
Patiently waiting for a sign from Taylor Nation that they are going to finally going to make a move… I don't think it's gonna happen lol
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avamaxstan
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Post by avamaxstan on Oct 11, 2023 17:12:35 GMT -5
Ugh, the Bad Bunny bomb is going to be massive. And I fully expect one of the tracks to debut #1. Goddamn.
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Post by ificanthaveyou on Oct 11, 2023 18:27:02 GMT -5
Ugh, the Bad Bunny bomb is going to be massive. And I fully expect one of the tracks to debut #1. Goddamn. Her Eras Tour Film is gonna be massive too and will hopefully bolster streams and sales. She’s at the peak of her radio too whereas Bad Bunny will likely only have streams. There’s a chance if they at least try
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avamaxstan
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Post by avamaxstan on Oct 11, 2023 22:49:22 GMT -5
Ugh, the Bad Bunny bomb is going to be massive. And I fully expect one of the tracks to debut #1. Goddamn. Her Eras Tour Film is gonna be massive too and will hopefully bolster treats and sales. She’s at the peak of her radio too whereas Bad Bunny will likely only have streams. There’s a chance if they at least try 100% she has the #1 if her team pulls even one of the various rabbits out of its hat.
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musiclife
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Post by musiclife on Oct 11, 2023 23:46:34 GMT -5
I don't know. I think they're gonna just focus on the movie and there isn't gonna be direct Cruel Summer promo. I'd love to be proven wrong, but I guess they just don't mind if this doesn't go #1.
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fearlessarrow
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Post by fearlessarrow on Oct 12, 2023 5:45:35 GMT -5
Didn't mention this yet but "Cruel Summer" is the most added song on AC this week with 14 adds.
POP: 1 2 TAYLOR SWIFT Cruel Summer 15560 16145 -585 48.376
-7 Spins +138 Bullet +0.037 Audience
HOT AC: 1 1 TAYLOR SWIFT Cruel Summer 5322 5379 -57 20.762
+10 Spins +63 Bullet -0.027 Audience
AC: 7 6 TAYLOR SWIFT Cruel Summer 1709 1458 251 10.726
+27 Spins +4 Bullet +0.027 Audience
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Az Paynter
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Post by Az Paynter on Oct 12, 2023 8:57:47 GMT -5
If Taylor hasn't done shit for this before with the multitude of opportunities for #1 gift-wrapped for her, then why in fuck would she start now lmao.
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Post by Devil Marlena Nylund on Oct 12, 2023 9:17:45 GMT -5
Why so angry though lmao? It’s not like she and the whole team isn’t already succeeding and busy with much bigger entities all year long.
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Az Paynter
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Post by Az Paynter on Oct 12, 2023 9:18:29 GMT -5
It's 'cause she's supposed to be good at this lmao!
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Ling-Ling
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Post by Ling-Ling on Oct 12, 2023 9:27:29 GMT -5
This film is going to be so massive. There's no telling what kind of streaming boost her catalog (including this) is going to get. For a recent example, look at "Dance The Night," which was on it's way to mid-floppage before Barbie opened and saved it.
If "Cruel Summer" is a genuine moment in the film, I don't think #1 is a crazy call? But that just depends on how it plays in the movie, since it's crammed in there with dozens of other songs.
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Post by ificanthaveyou on Oct 12, 2023 11:07:38 GMT -5
This film is going to be so massive. There's no telling what kind of streaming boost her catalog (including this) is going to get. For a recent example, look at "Dance The Night," which was on it's way to mid-floppage before Barbie opened and saved it. If "Cruel Summer" is a genuine moment in the film, I don't think #1 is a crazy call? But that just depends on how it plays in the movie, since it's crammed in there with dozens of other songs. Hopefully these use it as a credits song too!
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Post by Mayman on Oct 12, 2023 15:04:25 GMT -5
This film is going to be so massive. There's no telling what kind of streaming boost her catalog (including this) is going to get. For a recent example, look at "Dance The Night," which was on it's way to mid-floppage before Barbie opened and saved it. If "Cruel Summer" is a genuine moment in the film, I don't think #1 is a crazy call? But that just depends on how it plays in the movie, since it's crammed in there with dozens of other songs. Hopefully these use it as a credits song too! Long Live is the credits song. Cruel Summer will have the benefit of being the second song in the film, so hopefully people gravitate toward is first after the film.
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85la
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Post by 85la on Oct 12, 2023 15:05:09 GMT -5
This film is going to be so massive. There's no telling what kind of streaming boost her catalog (including this) is going to get. For a recent example, look at "Dance The Night," which was on it's way to mid-floppage before Barbie opened and saved it. If "Cruel Summer" is a genuine moment in the film, I don't think #1 is a crazy call? But that just depends on how it plays in the movie, since it's crammed in there with dozens of other songs. Imagine it finally shoots to #1 and stays there for several weeks, even blocking the 1989 vault tracks lol.
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Post by ificanthaveyou on Oct 12, 2023 15:20:59 GMT -5
This film is going to be so massive. There's no telling what kind of streaming boost her catalog (including this) is going to get. For a recent example, look at "Dance The Night," which was on it's way to mid-floppage before Barbie opened and saved it. If "Cruel Summer" is a genuine moment in the film, I don't think #1 is a crazy call? But that just depends on how it plays in the movie, since it's crammed in there with dozens of other songs. Imagine it finally shoots to #1 and stays there for several weeks, even blocking the 1989 vault tracks lol. I think if they can get Cruel Summer to hit #1 and if it does it by a small margin, they would release the vault single the very next week so Taylor can replace herself at #1… she’s done everything but that recently.
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85la
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Post by 85la on Oct 12, 2023 17:08:57 GMT -5
Imagine it finally shoots to #1 and stays there for several weeks, even blocking the 1989 vault tracks lol. I think if they can get Cruel Summer to hit #1 and if it does it by a small margin, they would release the vault single the very next week so Taylor can replace herself at #1… she’s done everything but that recently. Perhaps Cruel Summer blocking the vault tracks is unlikely, but you're right in that it could eek in a week or two before, and possibly even return after if the vault tracks don't stick (which they probably won't), nothing from Drake or Bad Bunny takes off, and other competition remains low. An example that comes to mind through all of this is the case of Girls Like You, which after having spent 6 weeks at #2 and 15 in the top 10, and seemingly having peaked in all metrics, including several weeks atop both Radio Songs and Pop Airplay, somehow managed to eek in 7 weeks at #1. And I don't think there was even a precipitating factor for that, I think it was just do to it holding very steadily (mainly on radio), and very low competition at the time. Taylor has the added benefit of a major event that could boost streaming and sales (even if no video or remixes are released) as well as airplay holding very steadily, so she could very well do it, but completely not holding out any hope in case she doesn't.
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Post by ificanthaveyou on Oct 12, 2023 19:30:29 GMT -5
I think if they can get Cruel Summer to hit #1 and if it does it by a small margin, they would release the vault single the very next week so Taylor can replace herself at #1… she’s done everything but that recently. Perhaps Cruel Summer blocking the vault tracks is unlikely, but you're right in that it could eek in a week or two before, and possibly even return after if the vault tracks don't stick (which they probably won't), nothing from Drake or Bad Bunny takes off, and other competition remains low. An example that comes to mind through all of this is the case of Girls Like You, which after having spent 6 weeks at #2 and 15 in the top 10, and seemingly having peaked in all metrics, including several weeks atop both Radio Songs and Pop Airplay, somehow managed to eek in 7 weeks at #1. And I don't think there was even a precipitating factor for that, I think it was just do to it holding very steadily (mainly on radio), and very low competition at the time. Taylor has the added benefit of a major event that could boost streaming and sales (even if no video or remixes are released) as well as airplay holding very steadily, so she could very well do it, but completely not holding out any hope in case she doesn't. I’m also shook that they didn’t already release the CS Eras Tour MV to cross promote the movie and the single. I feel like that was such an epic performance and it may have swayed more people to buy tix opening weekend.
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85la
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Post by 85la on Oct 12, 2023 22:17:45 GMT -5
Perhaps Cruel Summer blocking the vault tracks is unlikely, but you're right in that it could eek in a week or two before, and possibly even return after if the vault tracks don't stick (which they probably won't), nothing from Drake or Bad Bunny takes off, and other competition remains low. An example that comes to mind through all of this is the case of Girls Like You, which after having spent 6 weeks at #2 and 15 in the top 10, and seemingly having peaked in all metrics, including several weeks atop both Radio Songs and Pop Airplay, somehow managed to eek in 7 weeks at #1. And I don't think there was even a precipitating factor for that, I think it was just do to it holding very steadily (mainly on radio), and very low competition at the time. Taylor has the added benefit of a major event that could boost streaming and sales (even if no video or remixes are released) as well as airplay holding very steadily, so she could very well do it, but completely not holding out any hope in case she doesn't. I’m also shook that they didn’t already release the CS Eras Tour MV to cross promote the movie and the single. I feel like that was such an epic performance and it may have swayed more people to buy tix opening weekend. They might have been prevented from doing so due to an exclusive agreement with the theaters, but I guess we'll know if that was the reason by tomorrow.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Oct 13, 2023 1:39:10 GMT -5
I think if they can get Cruel Summer to hit #1 and if it does it by a small margin, they would release the vault single the very next week so Taylor can replace herself at #1… she’s done everything but that recently. Perhaps Cruel Summer blocking the vault tracks is unlikely, but you're right in that it could eek in a week or two before, and possibly even return after if the vault tracks don't stick (which they probably won't), nothing from Drake or Bad Bunny takes off, and other competition remains low. An example that comes to mind through all of this is the case of Girls Like You, which after having spent 6 weeks at #2 and 15 in the top 10, and seemingly having peaked in all metrics, including several weeks atop both Radio Songs and Pop Airplay, somehow managed to eek in 7 weeks at #1. And I don't think there was even a precipitating factor for that, I think it was just do to it holding very steadily (mainly on radio), and very low competition at the time. Taylor has the added benefit of a major event that could boost streaming and sales (even if no video or remixes are released) as well as airplay holding very steadily, so she could very well do it, but completely not holding out any hope in case she doesn't. Only two vault track have gone Top 5 tho...
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Post by ificanthaveyou on Oct 13, 2023 1:46:45 GMT -5
Perhaps Cruel Summer blocking the vault tracks is unlikely, but you're right in that it could eek in a week or two before, and possibly even return after if the vault tracks don't stick (which they probably won't), nothing from Drake or Bad Bunny takes off, and other competition remains low. An example that comes to mind through all of this is the case of Girls Like You, which after having spent 6 weeks at #2 and 15 in the top 10, and seemingly having peaked in all metrics, including several weeks atop both Radio Songs and Pop Airplay, somehow managed to eek in 7 weeks at #1. And I don't think there was even a precipitating factor for that, I think it was just do to it holding very steadily (mainly on radio), and very low competition at the time. Taylor has the added benefit of a major event that could boost streaming and sales (even if no video or remixes are released) as well as airplay holding very steadily, so she could very well do it, but completely not holding out any hope in case she doesn't. Only two vault track have gone Top 5 tho... This is her first pop vault so I’m expecting fire. Everything else sounded so intentionally dated and sonically wouldn’t fit on radio, but if these 1989 vault songs are anything like Blank Space or even Cruel Summer they are going to explode!
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fearlessarrow
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Post by fearlessarrow on Oct 13, 2023 5:45:48 GMT -5
Only 113 spins separate "Barbie World" and "Cruel Summer", but "Snooze" is hot on CS's tail as it's only 77 spins behind it.
POP: 1 2 TAYLOR SWIFT Cruel Summer 15542 16081 -539 48.362
-18 Spins +46 Bullet -0.014 Audience
HOT AC: 1 1 TAYLOR SWIFT Cruel Summer 5311 5350 -39 20.659
-11 Spins +18 Bullet -0.103 Audience
AC: 7 6 TAYLOR SWIFT Cruel Summer 1721 1496 225 10.868
+12 Spins -26 Bullet +0.142 Audience
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Az Paynter
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Post by Az Paynter on Oct 13, 2023 6:00:28 GMT -5
'Snooze' had a +251 today. 'Barbie World' might have an outside chance at being the Billboard #1 this week since it's #1 in today's update but Taylor is definitely not getting the Mediabase #1 back on Sunday after that surge from SZA.
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Post by stormlover74 on Oct 13, 2023 10:07:00 GMT -5
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Post by imbuemyblue on Oct 13, 2023 10:11:56 GMT -5
oh, she's taking it... could be our week, girlies!
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