HeyHeyHey
3x Platinum Member
Joined: February 2010
Posts: 3,758
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Post by HeyHeyHey on Nov 13, 2019 10:27:20 GMT -5
“Old Town Road” has won the CMA for Collaberation Of The Year! I don’t know if it’ll give this a boost but it may if they announce it briefly before a commercial or reference the song on tonight’s show.
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kierz7
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Joined: June 2018
Posts: 2,642 
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Post by kierz7 on Nov 13, 2019 10:47:44 GMT -5
“Old Town Road” has won the CMA for Collaberation Of The Year! I don’t know if it’ll give this a boost but it may if they announce it briefly before a commercial or reference the song on tonight’s show. How and why? LMAO. What exactly are they trying to salvage now? The song was banned from the main Country charts and barely made or had impact on and among Country radio also. Chile... Bye. *Patiently waits for it to win ROTY at the Grammy’s* |
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owenlovesmusic
4x Platinum Member
Always 100
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Posts: 4,998
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Post by owenlovesmusic on Nov 13, 2019 10:52:09 GMT -5
IGOR
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Post by Baby Yoda Hot100Fan on Nov 13, 2019 10:56:30 GMT -5
kworb's Billboard Radio Songs Estimates 2019/11/13
1(=) Lewis Capaldi - Someone You Loved 133.83(+0.52)
2(=) Lizzo - Truth Hurts 116.49(-2.74)
3(+1) Post Malone - Circles 114.04(+0.36)
4(-1) Shawn Mendes & Camila Cabello - Señorita 112.49(-2.58)
5(=) Jonas Brothers - Only Human 104.08(+1.31)
6(=) Lizzo - Good as Hell 102.20(+1.73)
7(=) Ed Sheeran - Beautiful People (feat. Khalid) 98.75(+0.37)
8(+1) SHAED - Trampoline 91.97(+0.68)
9(-1) Ed Sheeran & Justin Bieber - I Don't Care 89.84(-1.72)
10(=) Chris Brown - No Guidance (feat. Drake) 84.71(-0.07)
12(+1) Dan + Shay & Justin Bieber - 10,000 Hours 73.90(+1.21)
19(=) Luke Combs - Even Though I'm Leaving 57.69(+0.98) 24(+2) Selena Gomez - Lose You to Love Me 48.14(+1.49) 25(=) Thomas Rhett - Remember You Young 47.39(+0.73)
38(+3) Mustard - Ballin’ (feat. Roddy Ricch) 36.82(+0.76)
44(+1) Travis Scott - HIGHEST IN THE ROOM 34.54(+0.97)
45(+2) Dustin Lynch - Ridin' Roads 33.85(+0.90)
49(+2) Maren Morris - The Bones 30.47(+0.80) 67(+3) Quality Control, Lil Baby & DaBaby - Baby 25.96(+0.84)
82(+1) Tones and I - Dance Monkey 21.34(+1.00)
-(-) Dua Lipa - Don't Start Now 16.30(+1.36)
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jenglisbe
Diamond Member
Joined: January 2005
Posts: 35,628
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Post by jenglisbe on Nov 13, 2019 10:59:11 GMT -5
“Old Town Road” has won the CMA for Collaberation Of The Year! I don’t know if it’ll give this a boost but it may if they announce it briefly before a commercial or reference the song on tonight’s show. How and why? LMAO. What exactly are they trying to salvage now? The song was banned from the main Country charts and barely made or had impact on and among Country radio also. Chile... Bye. *Patiently waits for it to win ROTY at the Grammy’s* Kacey Musgraves [unfortunately] gets little country airplay but still wins awards... |
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kierz7
2x Platinum Member
Joined: June 2018
Posts: 2,642
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Post by kierz7 on Nov 13, 2019 11:08:47 GMT -5
kworb's Billboard Radio Songs Estimates 2019/11/13
1(=) Lewis Capaldi - Someone You Loved 133.83(+0.52)
2(=) Lizzo - Truth Hurts 116.49(-2.74)
3(+1) Post Malone - Circles 114.04(+0.36)
4(-1) Shawn Mendes & Camila Cabello - Señorita 112.49(-2.58)
5(=) Jonas Brothers - Only Human 104.08(+1.31)
6(=) Lizzo - Good as Hell 102.20(+1.73)
7(=) Ed Sheeran - Beautiful People (feat. Khalid) 98.75(+0.37)
8(+1) SHAED - Trampoline 91.97(+0.68)
9(-1) Ed Sheeran & Justin Bieber - I Don't Care 89.84(-1.72)
10(=) Chris Brown - No Guidance (feat. Drake) 84.71(-0.07)
12(+1) Dan + Shay & Justin Bieber - 10,000 Hours 73.90(+1.21)
19(=) Luke Combs - Even Though I'm Leaving 57.69(+0.98) 24(+2) Selena Gomez - Lose You to Love Me 48.14(+1.49) 25(=) Thomas Rhett - Remember You Young 47.39(+0.73)
38(+3) Mustard - Ballin’ (feat. Roddy Ricch) 36.82(+0.76)
44(+1) Travis Scott - HIGHEST IN THE ROOM 34.54(+0.97)
45(+2) Dustin Lynch - Ridin' Roads 33.85(+0.90)
49(+2) Maren Morris - The Bones 30.47(+0.80) 67(+3) Quality Control, Lil Baby & DaBaby - Baby 25.96(+0.84)
82(+1) Tones and I - Dance Monkey 21.34(+1.00)
-(-) Dua Lipa - Don't Start Now 16.30(+1.36)
These top ten Airplay numbers are just... 💀 💀 💀 There hasn’t been a song that’s hit +160M listener impressions via. Mediabase for well over a year now. |
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dremolus - solarpunk
Diamond Member
𝙁𝙧𝙤𝙢 𝙋𝙖𝙡𝙚𝙨𝙩𝙞𝙣𝙚 𝙩𝙤 𝙩𝙝𝙚 𝙋𝙝𝙞𝙡𝙞𝙥𝙥𝙞𝙣𝙚𝙨, 𝙎𝙩𝙤𝙥 𝙩𝙝𝙚 𝙐.𝙎. 𝙒𝙖𝙧 𝙈𝙖𝙘
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Post by dremolus - solarpunk on Nov 13, 2019 11:09:20 GMT -5
How and why? LMAO. What exactly are they trying to salvage now? The song was banned from the main Country charts and barely made or had impact on and among Country radio also. Chile... Bye. *Patiently waits for it to win ROTY at the Grammy’s* Kacey Musgraves [unfortunately] gets little country airplay but still wins awards... I think Spectrum Pulse has pretty much gone on length on how much the country industry doesn't actually care about supporting actual country music beyond award shows at this point. See also: Sturgill Simpson's latest record. |
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spicymapping
Platinum Member
ahoe s2e11 out now
Joined: December 2018
Posts: 1,116
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Post by spicymapping on Nov 13, 2019 11:23:48 GMT -5
Lover got Remixed by Mendes and is @ #1 on Itunes one update after it's release. Prepare for doomsday.
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13
Charting
Joined: September 2019
Posts: 215
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Post by 13 on Nov 13, 2019 11:34:13 GMT -5
kworb's Billboard Radio Songs Estimates 2019/11/13
1(=) Lewis Capaldi - Someone You Loved 133.83(+0.52)
2(=) Lizzo - Truth Hurts 116.49(-2.74)
3(+1) Post Malone - Circles 114.04(+0.36)
4(-1) Shawn Mendes & Camila Cabello - Señorita 112.49(-2.58)
5(=) Jonas Brothers - Only Human 104.08(+1.31)
6(=) Lizzo - Good as Hell 102.20(+1.73)
7(=) Ed Sheeran - Beautiful People (feat. Khalid) 98.75(+0.37)
8(+1) SHAED - Trampoline 91.97(+0.68)
9(-1) Ed Sheeran & Justin Bieber - I Don't Care 89.84(-1.72)
10(=) Chris Brown - No Guidance (feat. Drake) 84.71(-0.07)
12(+1) Dan + Shay & Justin Bieber - 10,000 Hours 73.90(+1.21)
19(=) Luke Combs - Even Though I'm Leaving 57.69(+0.98) 24(+2) Selena Gomez - Lose You to Love Me 48.14(+1.49) 25(=) Thomas Rhett - Remember You Young 47.39(+0.73)
38(+3) Mustard - Ballin’ (feat. Roddy Ricch) 36.82(+0.76)
44(+1) Travis Scott - HIGHEST IN THE ROOM 34.54(+0.97)
45(+2) Dustin Lynch - Ridin' Roads 33.85(+0.90)
49(+2) Maren Morris - The Bones 30.47(+0.80) 67(+3) Quality Control, Lil Baby & DaBaby - Baby 25.96(+0.84)
82(+1) Tones and I - Dance Monkey 21.34(+1.00)
-(-) Dua Lipa - Don't Start Now 16.30(+1.36)
These top ten Airplay numbers are just... 💀 💀 💀 There hasn’t been a song that’s hit +160M listener impressions via. Mediabase for well over a year now. Didn't Truth Hurts and Talk both get 160 this year? |
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Post by Lukas on Nov 13, 2019 12:44:33 GMT -5
I decided to start my own series of predictions for the Billboard Hot 100. Streaming is currently the difficult estimation part, but I'll get to a very accurate system for calculating it eventually. Billboard Hot 100 11/23/2019 Top 10 Predictions:| Rank | Song | Radio | Streaming | Sales | Total | | 1 | Circles | 87,057,398 | 24,071,257 | 17,519 | 30,401 | | 2 | Someone You Loved | 101,236,791 | 19,475,951 | 13,350 | 28,860 | | 3 | Senorita | 77,928,461 | 15,995,107 | 10,330 | 22,851 | | 4 | Truth Hurts | 81,793,710 | 14,267,485 | 9,692 | 22,217 | | 5 | Good As Hell | 81,499,203 | 13,452,124 | 5,898 | 21,033 | | 6 | 10,000 Hours | 57,988,602 | 17,508,882 | 10,088 | 20,909 | | 7 | Memories | 58,330,446 | 14,258,215 | 19,763 | 20,538 | | 8 | No Guidance | 62,482,066 | 17,656,756 | 2,181 | 20,325 | | 9 | Lose You To Love Me | 42,602,710 | 20,709,047 | 6,520 | 20,116 | | 10 | Panini | 47,993,047 | 19,627,762 | 3,069 | 19,635 |
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moonlite
Platinum Member
Joined: September 2018
Posts: 1,185
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Post by moonlite on Nov 13, 2019 12:53:12 GMT -5
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Post by violentdreams on Nov 13, 2019 14:29:30 GMT -5
Good move. It's best for Billie's team to focus all their efforts on this new song instead of continuing to push ATGGGTH.
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Post by Baby Yoda Hot100Fan on Nov 13, 2019 14:58:02 GMT -5
Didn't Truth Hurts and Talk both get 160 this year? Yes, they did. |
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Post by FindingC7osure on Nov 13, 2019 16:07:06 GMT -5
10/23/19 Early Predictions:
| Song | Points | | 1. | Circles (+1) | 28,300 | | 2. | Someone You Loved (-1) | 28,100 | | 3. | Señorita (=) | 22,800 | | 4. | Good As Hell (+3) | 22,600 | | 5. | No Guidance (+2) | 21,900 | | 6. | Truth Hurts (-2) | 21,600 | | 7. | Memories (+2) | 20,300 | | 8. | 10,000 Hours (+2) | 20,000 | | 9. | Lose You to Love Me (-4) | 19,200 | | 10. | Panini (-2) | 18,500 | | 11. | Beautiful People (+4) | 18,300 | | 12. | HIGHEST IN THE ROOM (+2) | 17,900 | | 13. | Trampoline (+3) | 17,600 | | 14. | Hot (-3) | 17,400 | | 15. | Ran$om (-2) | 17,200 |
- 16. Bad Guy (-4) - 17,100
- ROXANNE - 16,000
- Only Human - 15,700
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Post by thegreatdivine on Nov 13, 2019 16:18:32 GMT -5
Woah. Lose You to Love Me is really tumbling down.
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korbel16
Platinum Member
Joined: September 2017
Posts: 1,908
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Post by korbel16 on Nov 13, 2019 16:34:44 GMT -5
how was truth hurts ahead of senorita for so long ... then nose dives lower than it these past few weeks :’(
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sirskimask
Platinum Member
LLJW 999
Joined: July 2019
Posts: 1,324
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Post by sirskimask on Nov 13, 2019 17:26:38 GMT -5
Circles and SYL are way too close, come on Post
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tuna
Platinum Member
weezed to meet you
Joined: July 2019
Posts: 1,510
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Post by tuna on Nov 13, 2019 17:33:22 GMT -5
You guys think Lover will get a boost from the remix?
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Post by kcdawg13 on Nov 13, 2019 17:34:55 GMT -5
I really hope Circles gets #1, it's revenge for Wow. and Better Now getting shafted.
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Deleted
Joined: January 1970
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Nov 13, 2019 17:49:56 GMT -5
Woah. Lose You to Love Me is really tumbling down. I wouldn’t say that, the points are super close and it could easily stay at five next week |
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xyz
Charting
Joined: February 2019
Posts: 123
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Post by xyz on Nov 13, 2019 18:46:52 GMT -5
Woah. Lose You to Love Me is really tumbling down. #5 Spotify #9 AM #5 iTunes #24 Radio I think it has remained pretty consistent except for YT where it plummeted last week |
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gs
Charting
Joined: October 2019
Posts: 453
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Post by gs on Nov 13, 2019 19:11:48 GMT -5
Early predictions The drop in Spotify/ODS and YouTube are negatively offsetting Circles' radio increases, hope it can turn around
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tanooki
Diamond Member
2019 Breakthrough
lucia gta 6
Joined: August 2017
Posts: 10,118
Pronouns: they/she/fae
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Post by tanooki on Nov 13, 2019 19:12:43 GMT -5
Glad to see more predictors!
Also, new Billie song just dropped.
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Post by Rose "Payola" Nylund on Nov 13, 2019 19:16:19 GMT -5
Remember when predictions used to happen in a predictions thread
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tanooki
Diamond Member
2019 Breakthrough
lucia gta 6
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Post by tanooki on Nov 13, 2019 19:19:13 GMT -5
Remember when predictions used to happen in a predictions thread at least the predictions posted here have actual data attached to them, rather than just "idk i feel like this song will do this" |
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Post by Lukas on Nov 13, 2019 19:22:09 GMT -5
Predictions posted with data actually have some relevance to how the charts will eventually play out. In some ways it could even tie into some of the component charts as well, which is even more relevant to the topic.
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Post by Rose "Payola" Nylund on Nov 13, 2019 19:28:28 GMT -5
It would be fine if there was some discussion around the actual chart. I see so many faux charts posted in the lead up to the real one that I often don’t even know what’s real.
Though I suppose if it mattered that much, I could just go to Billboard’s site itself and see them for myself.
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tanooki
Diamond Member
2019 Breakthrough
lucia gta 6
Joined: August 2017
Posts: 10,118
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Post by tanooki on Nov 13, 2019 19:32:56 GMT -5
It would be fine if there was some discussion around the actual chart. I see so many faux charts posted in the lead up to the real one that I often don’t even know what’s real. Though I suppose if it mattered that much, I could just go to Billboard’s site itself and see them for myself. Billboard themselves fucks up more than anyone here lol, when they do Monday reveals sometimes they'll straight up just say the wrong chart position for a popular song (usually its 1 position off, confusing everyone ex. saying a song is 28 than later saying is 29) |
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gabe
3x Platinum Member
gay
Joined: July 2018
Posts: 3,238
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Post by gabe on Nov 13, 2019 19:44:11 GMT -5
It would be fine if there was some discussion around the actual chart. I see so many faux charts posted in the lead up to the real one that I often don’t even know what’s real. Though I suppose if it mattered that much, I could just go to Billboard’s site itself and see them for myself. we see so many faux charts afterwards too but everyone creams themselves over the bubbling under r&b radio recurrents |
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mzumii
Charting
stream the downward spiral
Joined: January 2019
Posts: 304
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Post by mzumii on Nov 13, 2019 20:09:26 GMT -5
It would be fine if there was some discussion around the actual chart. I see so many faux charts posted in the lead up to the real one that I often don’t even know what’s real. Though I suppose if it mattered that much, I could just go to Billboard’s site itself and see them for myself. I don't know what to believe but I guess I'll just go with the predictions that favor my personal taste |
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