Billboard Hot 100: 12/07/2019

[FindingC7osure]

Nov 27, 2019 17:23:46 GMT -5 FindingC7osure said:

12/07/19 Early Predictions:

	Song	Points
1.	Circles (=)	28,600
2.	Someone You Loved (=)	25,500
3.	Good As Hell (=)	23,700
4.	Memories (=)	22,900
5.	Lose You to Love Me (=)	20,600
6.	10,000 Hours (+3)	20,000
7.	ROXANNE (+5)	19,400
8.	Truth Hurts (+2)	19,200
9.	Señorita (-3)	19,000
10.	No Guidance (-3)	18,800
11.	Bop (+7)	18,700
12.	Panini (-1)	18,200
13.	Dance Monkey (+6)	18,000

Others:

• HIGHEST IN THE ROOM - 17,400
• Trampoline - 17,100
• Lover - 15,500
• AIWFCIY - 14,200
• everything i wanted - 12,800

12/07/19 Final Predictions:

	Song	Points
1.	Circles (=)	29,300
2.	Someone You Loved (=)	25,600
3.	Good As Hell (=)	24,300
4.	Memories (=)	23,400
5.	Lose You to Love Me (=)	21,200
6.	ROXANNE (+6)	21,100
7.	10,000 Hours (+2)	20,600
8.	Dance Monkey (+11)	19,700
9.	No Guidance (-2)	19,500
10.	Truth Hurts (=)	19,300
11.	Panini (=)	19,100
12.	Bop (+6)	18,900
13.	Señorita (-7)	18,800

Others:

• HIGHEST IN THE ROOM - 17,200
• Trampoline - 17,200
• Lover - 15,700
• AIWFCIY - 14,500

I'll be very busy this week, so I'll probably only do final predictions for 12/14!

[Enigma.]

Dec 1, 2019 23:20:49 GMT -5 weirdo said:

Dec 1, 2019 20:08:45 GMT -5 spicymapping said:

Yep. It feels weird making them feel so fast but I can't justify moving them higher. There's too much total movement for anything to stay stable and that'll only snowball going into christmas

Thats what i thought. Im actually a little worried Talk may not reach 52 weeks if ir does fall to #35 next week, but atleast it dosnt have too far to go.

That song has overstayed for so long tbh....

[rimetm]

[gs]

Points averages from everyone's final predictions this week:

1. Circles - 29,100 (=)
2. Someone You Loved - 25,800 (=)
3. Good As Hell - 24,100 (=)
4. Memories - 23,200 (=)
5. Lose You To Love Me - 21,500 (=)
6. ROXANNE - 21,100 (+6)
7. Dance Monkey - 20,200 (+12)
8. 10,000 Hours - 20,000 (+1)
9. No Guidance - 19,700 (-2)
10. BOP - 19,600 (+8)

Will be interesting to see if the collective average ends up being most accurate 

[Kris]

Dec 1, 2019 18:41:18 GMT -5 weirdo said:

Dec 1, 2019 14:21:21 GMT -5 spicymapping said:

final predictions woot

Why are Sucker & I Dont Care falling so fast?, they were falling slowly befote but the last few weeks its just been a complete collapse for those songs. Is it because of all the new debuts lately?

If kworb was still allowed to show individual radio charts I bet they're free fallling on AC due to Christmas music coming into play. 

[weirdo]

Senorita falling out of the top ten would be crazy. I really am happy to see more movement in the charts though. October through November was largely the same songs with no movement

[KeepDeanWeird]

Dec 2, 2019 12:26:20 GMT -5 Kris said:

Dec 1, 2019 18:41:18 GMT -5 weirdo said:

Why are Sucker & I Dont Care falling so fast?, they were falling slowly befote but the last few weeks its just been a complete collapse for those songs. Is it because of all the new debuts lately?

If kworb was still allowed to show individual radio charts I bet they're free fallling on AC due to Christmas music coming into play. 

You're correct. The AC spin count has dropped sharply on Mediabase building charts. On the other hand, JB has a solid shot at #1 on AC with "LIC"

[Lukas]

And to think that people actually thought that Senorita could break the top ten record. Perhaps Billboard’s reweighing of x0.85 for their all-time lists would actually be a suitable one for this coming era. Especially with top songs such as Truth Hurts and Senorita most likely not making it to 25 weeks in the top 10.

[candypaint]

Señorita falling out the Top 10 would be great. The stagnancy of the Top 10 is always super boring and DaBaby getting another Top 10 would be sweet.

[kierz7]

I still haven’t actively listened to nor heard:

• BOP
• 10K Hours
• Dance Monkey
• ROXANNE

Also, I’ve only ever heard less than a minute of “Circles”.

💀 💀 💀

Which of those songs are actually worth listening to? Seriously?

[mikeymonster]

Dec 2, 2019 12:44:13 GMT -5 kierz7 said:

I still haven’t actively listened to nor heard:

• BOP
• 10K Hours
• Dance Monkey
• ROXANNE

Also, I’ve only ever heard less than a minute of “Circles”.

💀 💀 💀

Which of those songs are actually worth listening to? Seriously?

If you were to listen to any of those songs you've mentioned then definitely "Circles" and maybe "10,000 Hours" (even though I don't really like it). They're the only ones out of those that don't burn your ears. 

[shoocoochoocoo]

None of those is top quality music, of course...Far from it!

[lostinhavana]

Speaking of Señorita, remember that it’s on Camila’s album coming out Friday so depending on how well Romance does it could get a slight boost from it

[Enigma.]

10 000 Hrs is tragic.

[Ｓｏｕｎｄｃｌ🕤ｃｋ]

#1 Circles
#2 Someone You Loved
#3 Good As Hell
#4 Memories
#5 Roxanne
#6 Lose You To Love Me
#7 Senorita
#8 10,000 Hours
#9 Truth Hurts
#10 No Guidance

#11 Dance Monkey
#12 BOP
#16 Ballin
#18 All I Want For Christmas Is You

[candypaint]

Dec 2, 2019 12:44:13 GMT -5 kierz7 said:

I still haven’t actively listened to nor heard:

• BOP
• 10K Hours
• Dance Monkey
• ROXANNE

Also, I’ve only ever heard less than a minute of “Circles”.

💀 💀 💀

Which of those songs are actually worth listening to? Seriously?

ROXANNE, BOP, and Circles are all great tracks.

Dance Monkey is just unlistenable IMO.

[thegreatdivine]

YES at No Guidance sneaking in another week in the top 10. It's been a great run.

[Ｓｏｕｎｄｃｌ🕤ｃｋ]

Weeks in the top 10

Senorita 23
No Guidance 23
Truth Hurts 22
Circles 13
Someone You Loved 12
10,000 Hours 6
Lose You To Love Me 5
Good As Hell 5
Memories 4
Roxanne 1

[Lukas]

Post Malone's 'Circles' Spends Second Week at No. 1 on Hot 100, Arizona Zervas' 'Roxanne' Zooms to Top Five

12/2/2019 by Gary Trust

'Roxanne' roars from No. 12 to No. 5.

Post Malone tallies a second week at No. 1 on the Billboard Hot 100 with "Circles," which takes over as the top-selling song in the U.S. after the singer-songwriter and rapper performed it on the American Music Awards on Nov. 24.

Plus, Arizona Zervas' debut hit "Roxanne" soars from No. 12 to No. 5 on the Hot 100, as it remains the most-streamed song in the country.

Let's run down the top 10 on the Hot 100 (dated Dec. 7), which blends all-genre U.S. streaming, radio airplay and sales data. All charts will update on Billboard.com tomorrow (Dec. 3).

"Circles," released on Republic Records, blasts from No. 6 to No. 1 on the Digital Song Sales chart, surging by 45% to 20,000 sold in the week ending Nov. 28, according to Nielsen Music. It rises 5-3 on Streaming Songs, up 5% to 24.6 million U.S. streams in the same span, while keeping at No. 3 on Radio Songs, with 90.6 million audience impressions, essentially even week-over-week, in the week ending Dec. 1.

Helping spark its gains, Post Malone performed "Circles" in a medley with "Take What You Want" (with Ozzy Osbourne, Travis Scott and Watt) on the AMAs, which aired live on Nov. 24 on ABC. Both songs are from Post Malone's LP Hollywood's Bleeding, which won for favorite album – rap/hip-hop that night.

With "Circles," Post Malone adds his fourth Digital Song Sales No. 1, after "Rockstar," featuring 21 Savage, ruled for a week in October 2017, "Psycho," featuring Ty Dolla $ign, led for two weeks beginning in March 2018 and "Sunflower (Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse)," with Swae Lee, reigned for three frames in January.

Lewis Capaldi's "Someone You Loved" holds at No. 2 on the Hot 100, after the ballad logged three weeks at No. 1. It becomes his first No. 1 on the Adult Contemporary radio airplay chart (after topping the Adult Pop Songs and Pop Songs airplay tallies for seven and three weeks, respectively).

Lizzo's "Good as Hell" spends a second week at its No. 3 Hot 100 best, as it adds a fifth week at No. 1 on the Hot R&B Songs chart and a third frame atop Hot R&B/Hip-Hop Songs (both of which employ the same multi-metric methodology as the Hot 100), as well as a second week at No. 1 on Radio Songs (97.4 million, up 4%).

Maroon 5's "Memories" is steady at its No. 4 Hot 100 high, as it becomes the band's record-extending 14th No. 1 on Adult Pop Songs.

Arizona Zervas' breakthrough hit "Roxanne" bounds from No. 12 to No. 5 on the Hot 100, as it tallies a second week at No. 1 on Streaming Songs (36.6 million, up 22%), rises 42-33 on Digital Song Sales (5,000, up 12%) and pushes closer to Radio Songs (15.2 million, up 65%).

The track reaches the Hot 100's top 10 in its fourth week on the survey, after it debuted at No. 34 on the chart dated Nov. 16. Upon its entrance, the song was self-released, before Zervas signed with Columbia Records.

"Roxanne" concurrently becomes Zervas' first No. 1 on the multi-metric Hot Rap Songs chart. (The song by the Maryland native is not a remake of The Police's "Roxanne," the band's first Hot 100 hit that reached No. 32 in 1979.)

Selena Gomez's "Lose You to Love Me" dips 5-6 on the Hot 100, after becoming her first No. 1, while becoming her eighth top 10 on Radio Songs (13-9; 62.2 million, up 16%).

Shawn Mendes and Camila Cabello's former Hot 100 No. 1 "Señorita" descends 6-7 and Dan + Shay and Justin Bieber's "10,000 Hours" rises 9-8, after debuting at its No. 4 peak. The latter leads the multi-metric Hot Country Songs chart for an eighth week.

As Post Malone did, Gomez, Mendes, Cabello and Dan + Shay also all shone in the AMAs spotlight on Nov. 24. Gomez performed "Lose" (in a medley with her fellow new song "Look at Her Now"); Mendes and Cabello sang "Señorita," which also won for collaboration of the year; and Dan + Shay claimed the award for favorite duo or group – country.

Rounding out the Hot 100's top 10, Lizzo's former seven-week No. 1 "Truth Hurts" rebounds 10-9 (after she performed her song "Jerome" on the AMAs) and Chris Brown's "No Guidance," featuring Drake, falls 7-10, after reaching No. 5.

Just outside the Hot 100's top 10, Tones and I's "Dance Monkey" leaps 19-11, DaBaby's "Bop" jumps 18-12, Mustard's "Ballin'," featuring Roddy Ricch, rises 20-16 and Mariah Carey's 1994 seasonal classic "All I Want for Christmas Is You" dashes 31-18.

Find out more Hot 100 news on Billboard.com this week, and, for all chart news, you can listen (and subscribe) to Billboard's Pop Shop Podcast and follow billboard and billboardcharts on both Twitter and Instagram. And again, be sure to visit Billboard.com tomorrow (Dec. 3), when all charts, including the Hot 100 in its entirety, will refresh.

[lazer]

Honestly, there needs to be a formula change in order to decrease longevity in the top ten.

[Leo ✔]

Go Roxanne!!!

[weirdo]

Senorita still in the Top 10 which is cool but this will probably be its last week sadly. Suprised to see Truth Hurts still in the Top 10

Hoping The Weeknd can take down Circles. We dont need another 4wk #1

[moonlite]

Random but the #1 on Digital Song Sales has been at exactly 20k for 4 weeks now

[Lukas]

Dec 2, 2019 14:05:40 GMT -5 lazer said:

Honestly, there needs to be a formula change in order to decrease longevity in the top ten.

Not necessarily. Unless you're trying to do something like this:

Getting rid of UGC views or weighing them much less than they currently are weighted (like, from two-thirds of a normal stream to just one-third) would do that. UGC views are the reason why older songs are still inside the top 10, like Senorita is. Its increase in UGC views kept it inside the top 10. There is no way that they should be weighed as much as a regular YouTube stream.


The main point is, turnover rates don't matter at all as long as the chart accurately represents what people are listening to.

[Ｓｏｕｎｄｃｌ🕤ｃｋ]

Dec 2, 2019 14:10:22 GMT -5 weirdo said:

Senorita still in the Top 10 which is cool but this will probably be its last week sadly. Suprised to see Truth Hurts still in the Top 10

Hoping The Weeknd can take down Circles. We dont need another 4wk #1

Camila's album is in 4 days, Senorita will be in the top 10 again. 

[lazer]

Dec 2, 2019 14:14:20 GMT -5 Lukas said:

Dec 2, 2019 14:05:40 GMT -5 lazer said:

Honestly, there needs to be a formula change in order to decrease longevity in the top ten.

Not necessarily. Unless you're trying to do something like this:

Getting rid of UGC views or weighing them much less than they currently are weighted (like, from two-thirds of a normal stream to just one-third) would do that. UGC views are the reason why older songs are still inside the top 10, like Senorita is. Its increase in UGC views kept it inside the top 10. There is no way that they should be weighed as much as a regular YouTube stream.

Turnover rates don't matter at all as long as the chart accurately represents what people are listening to.

Billboard needs to decrease the UGC weight. It shouldn’t be equal to a regular stream. That’s why so many songs nowadays overstayed their welcome in the top ten.

[sirskimask]

Dec 2, 2019 14:10:22 GMT -5 weirdo said:

Senorita still in the Top 10 which is cool but this will probably be its last week sadly. Suprised to see Truth Hurts still in the Top 10

Hoping The Weeknd can take down Circles. We dont need another 4wk #1

What's so bad about 4 week #1's? Not that I don't want Abel to hit #1 or anything but 4 weeks is not very long at all lol 

[candypaint]

How funny would it be if all the begging for Circles to not stall at #2 and dethrone SYL comes back to bite and in return blocks Heartless from #1.

[Lukas]

Dec 2, 2019 15:05:43 GMT -5 candypaint said:

How funny would it be if all the begging for Circles to not stall at #2 and dethrone SYL comes back to bite and in return blocks Heartless from #1.

Well many people did not want Someone You Loved to be at #1 during those weeks. Definitely more than the number of people who want The Weeknd to debut at #1.

[weirdo]

Dec 2, 2019 14:14:34 GMT -5 Ｓｏｕｎｄｃｌ🕤ｃｋ said:

Dec 2, 2019 14:10:22 GMT -5 weirdo said:

Senorita still in the Top 10 which is cool but this will probably be its last week sadly. Suprised to see Truth Hurts still in the Top 10

Hoping The Weeknd can take down Circles. We dont need another 4wk #1

Camila's album is in 4 days, Senorita will be in the top 10 again. 

Good point