Deleted
Joined: January 1970
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Post by Deleted on Jan 5, 2020 22:12:12 GMT -5
Khalid--legend of longevity. I'd say Post Malone is the king of longevity, and Khalid is the prince of longevity Imagine Dragons |
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weirdo
Gold Member
Joined: November 2019
Posts: 640
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Post by weirdo on Jan 5, 2020 22:13:37 GMT -5
I'd say Post Malone is the king of longevity, and Khalid is the prince of longevity Imagine Dragons Forgot about them, they are DEFINITELY the kings of longevity |
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sirskimask
Platinum Member
LLJW 999
Joined: July 2019
Posts: 1,324
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Post by sirskimask on Jan 5, 2020 22:59:48 GMT -5
^For the Hot 100, I'd say Ed Sheeran is, among the artists currently charting, the king of longevity in the Hot 100 since he has 3 songs with 54 or more weeks charted. Post Malone has 2 songs with 52 weeks or more and Khalid 2 songs with 51 weeks or more. We'll see how this work out for the 2020s decade. But Ed Sheeran also has had hits that didnt last very long. Beautiful People & I Don't Care didnt last very long, and even without the Christmas music still wouldnt have lasted long Khalid had Up All Night and Post had Goodbyes, nitpicking a couple of outliers doesn't buck the overall trend |
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spoons
Charting
Joined: August 2019
Posts: 303
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Post by spoons on Jan 6, 2020 0:41:18 GMT -5
Feeling like Post Malone is about to get 3 52+ weeks since Circles won't move out the top 10
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weirdo
Gold Member
Joined: November 2019
Posts: 640
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Post by weirdo on Jan 6, 2020 10:50:32 GMT -5
Feeling like Post Malone is about to get 3 52+ weeks since Circles won't move out the top 10 Oh yeah, he definitely will. Circles will probably break the top ten record at some point as well. Post Malone & Ed Sheeran will be tied for most 52+ week songs i think |
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Post by Baby Yoda Hot100Fan on Jan 6, 2020 11:13:06 GMT -5
But Ed Sheeran also has had hits that didnt last very long. Beautiful People & I Don't Care didnt last very long, and even without the Christmas music still wouldnt have lasted long Khalid had Up All Night and Post had Goodbyes, nitpicking a couple of outliers doesn't buck the overall trend Of course, not all songs by the artists we have mentioned will have 52+ weeks longevity. Even for them, those are outliers. Regarding Ed Sheeran, anything from his No. 6 Collaborations should be considered an anomaly and not likely (I'm not saying it's impossible) to get to 52 weeks, given that the songs are somewhat experimental for him. |
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tuna
Platinum Member
weezed to meet you
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Posts: 1,510
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Post by tuna on Jan 6, 2020 11:32:03 GMT -5
Feeling like Post Malone is about to get 3 52+ weeks since Circles won't move out the top 10 Oh yeah, he definitely will. Circles will probably break the top ten record at some point as well. Post Malone & Ed Sheeran will be tied for most 52+ week songs i think It has at least 16 more weeks to go, give it time |
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Post by Baby Yoda Hot100Fan on Jan 6, 2020 12:55:18 GMT -5
Forgot about them, they are DEFINITELY the kings of longevity They also have 3 songs with 52 or more weeks in the Hot 100. So they're tied with Ed Sheeran. While they do have Radioactive, that charted before the more recent recurrent rule was instated. Believer and Thunder both managed 52 weeks under the current rules. Since Ed Sheeran has managed to have all of his 3 songs under the most current recurrent rules, I have to give him a slight edge. |
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weirdo
Gold Member
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Posts: 640
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Post by weirdo on Jan 6, 2020 13:01:19 GMT -5
Forgot about them, they are DEFINITELY the kings of longevity They also have 3 songs with 52 or more weeks in the Hot 100. So they're tied with Ed Sheeran. While they do have Radioactive, that charted before the more recent recurrent rule was instated. Believer and Thunder both managed 52 weeks under the current rules. Since Ed Sheeran has managed to have all of his 3 songs under the most current recurrent rules, I have to give him a slight edge. Although i agree Sheeran probably gets the #1 in longevity, remember that although Believer was already going to drop out of the top 50 soon after it hit 52 weeks, Thunder was in the recurrent top 5 for quite awhile, even hitting #1 multiple times, so if the 25/52 rule didnt exist it probably would have gotten 60 weeks or more. But i agree Sheeran's record is even more impressove |
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Deleted
Joined: January 1970
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Jan 6, 2020 16:17:28 GMT -5
Do you guys think that The Box could be the Year-End #1?
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Post by nathanalbright on Jan 6, 2020 16:18:19 GMT -5
Oh yeah, he definitely will. Circles will probably break the top ten record at some point as well. Post Malone & Ed Sheeran will be tied for most 52+ week songs i think It has at least 16 more weeks to go, give it time We will probably be talking about it all of those weeks, though. |
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Deleted
Joined: January 1970
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Jan 6, 2020 16:34:32 GMT -5
Only Human managed to re-chart and pretty high as well (at #25). I'd put the song as a pure toss up for making the 2020 year end list.
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Post by Baby Yoda Hot100Fan on Jan 6, 2020 16:52:07 GMT -5
^If it manages to stick around long enough.
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Post by nathanalbright on Jan 6, 2020 17:08:44 GMT -5
^If it manages to stick around long enough. That's what makes it a toss up, whether it will or not. |
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Post by Baby Yoda Hot100Fan on Jan 6, 2020 17:47:52 GMT -5
^Of course. We'll have to see what it can do before it goes recurrent for good.
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GPMB
Gold Member
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Posts: 618 
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Post by GPMB on Jan 6, 2020 19:08:19 GMT -5
But Ed Sheeran also has had hits that didnt last very long. Beautiful People & I Don't Care didnt last very long, and even without the Christmas music still wouldnt have lasted long Khalid had Up All Night and Post had Goodbyes, nitpicking a couple of outliers doesn't buck the overall trend Ngl I’m not surprised Goodbyes fell off pretty quickly, i always knew it was going to happen the second Circles started to take all of its momentum sometime in September or October, and plus even though I love it it doesn’t sound like as much of a smash as Circles, Better Now, or Sunflower |
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inverse
2x Platinum Member
Your mind is in disturbia...
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Posts: 2,095
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Post by inverse on Jan 6, 2020 20:06:52 GMT -5
Not a sure thing or anything like that but I think AIWFCIY might actually scrape by I have it with about the point total of what Shotta Flow got last year
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spicymapping
Platinum Member
ahoe s2e11 out now
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Posts: 1,116
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Post by spicymapping on Jan 6, 2020 21:58:40 GMT -5
we're still in january and we have a dropout lock jfc
TL, DR:
Locked: Roxanne
Added: Woah, Old Town Road, Everything I Wanted, Heartless, One Man Band, Ransom, Lover, Even Though I'm Leaving
1. Circles (=)
2. Someone You Loved (=)
3. Memories (+1)
4. Good As Hell (=)
5. Roxanne (+1)
6. All I Want For Christmas Is You (-3)
PREDICTED CUTOFF - 17K
7. Lose You To Love Me (=)
8. Señorita (=)
9. 10,000 Hours (=)
10. Dance Monkey (+1)
11. No Guidance (-1)
12. Truth Hurts (+1)
13. Panini (+1)
14. Ballin' (+2)
15. Bop (=)
16. Highest In The Room (+2)
17. Bad Guy (=)
18. Rockin' Around The Christmas Tree (-6)
19. Trampoline (=)
20. Bandit (=)
21. Hot (=)
22. Woah (NEW)
23. Old Town Road (NEW)
24. Everything I Wanted (NEW)
25. Heartless (NEW)
26. One Man Band (NEW)
27. Ransom (NEW)
28. Lover (NEW)
29. Even Though I'm Leaving (NEW)
TRACKING CUTOFF - 10K
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Deleted
Joined: January 1970
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Jan 6, 2020 23:52:59 GMT -5
Here's week 8 of my 2020 year end predictions. I re-added Only Human, I Don't Care and Beautiful People (doubt the last one will make it though).
Locked This Week: Someone You Loved
Will Lock Next Week: Memories, Good As Hell & Roxanne
Within Striking Distance Next Week: Lose You To Love Me, 10,000 Hours, Dance Monkey & Senorita
Dropouts:
All I Want For Christmas Is You 1912 (Will probably make the 2020 year end list at around #90).
1 Circles 2300
2 Someone You Loved 2068 - - - - - LOCKED CUTOFF (2000 Points) - - - - -
3 Memories 1922 4 All I Want For Christmas Is You 1912
5 Good As Hell 1909
6 Roxanne 1790 - - - - - STRIKING DISTANCE (1700 Points) - - - - - 7 Lose You To Love Me 1669
8 10,000 Hours 1612
9 Dance Monkey 1578
10 Senorita 1562 - - - - - TRACKING CUTOFF (1500 Points) - - - - - 11 No Guidance 1483
12 Ballin' 1421
13 Bad Guy 1403
14 HIGHEST IN THE ROOM 1399
15 BOP 1396
16 Panini 1385
17 Truth Hurts 1373
18 Trampoline 1288
19 Bandit 1241
20 Hot 1215
21 Woah 1178
22 Old Town Road 1169
23 Everything I Wanted 1128
24 Ran$om 1120
25 Lover 1112
26 One Man Band 1107
27 Even Though I'm Leaving 1090
28 Heartless 1064
29 On Chill 1025
30 Don't Start Now 1014
31 Only Human 975
32 Graveyard 973
33 Hot Girl Bummer 947
34 Playing Games 922
35 Heat 913
36 The Bones 888
37 Juicy 874
38 Falling 848
39 Beautiful People 823
40 The Box 802
41 Take What You Want 770
42 I Don't Care 651
43 Into The Unknown 640
44 Blinding Lights 610
45 Suicidal 587
46 Nice To Meet Ya 577
47 Adore You 564
48 No Idea 534
49 Futsal Shuffle 2020 509
50 My Oh My 403
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tanooki
Diamond Member
2019 Breakthrough
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Posts: 10,118
Pronouns: they/she/fae
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Post by tanooki on Jan 7, 2020 0:51:01 GMT -5
1/11/20 - Week 8
1 Circles 2,322
2 Someone You Loved 2,032
3 Memories 1,890
4 Good As Hell 1,848
5 Roxanne 1,812
6 All I Want For Christmas Is You 1,806
7 Lose You to Love Me 1,574
8 10,000 Hours 1,522
9 Dance Monkey 1,495
10 Senorita 1,428
11 No Guidance 1,355
12 Rockin Around the Christmas Tree 1,291
13 BOP 1,288
14 Panini 1,275
15 Ballin' 1,270
16 HIGHEST IN THE ROOM 1,265
17 Truth Hurts 1,249
18 bad guy 1,230
19 Trampoline 1,144
20 Bandit 1,082
21 Hot 1,047
22 A Holly Jolly Christmas 1,026
23 Woah 1,019
24 Old Town Road 1,014
25 everything I wanted 977
26 Jingle Bell Rock 950
27 Ran$om 943
28 Heartless 941
29 Lover 941
30 One Man Band 931
31 Even Though I'm Leaving 909
32 Only Human 843
33 On Chill 832
34 Don't Start Now 800
35 It’s the Most Wonderful Time of the Year 789
36 Graveyard 750
37 hot girl bummer 724
38 Beautiful People 719
39 Playing Games 711
40 Heat 704
41 The Box 697
42 The Bones 672
43 Falling 668
44 Juicy 653
45 VIBEZ 595
46 What If I Never Get Over You 593
47 Heart on Ice 588
48 Take What You Want 582
49 Last Christmas 575
50 Remember You Young 574
51 I Don't Care 571
52 Camelot 558
53 Let It Snow, Let It Snow, Let It Snow 550
54 Feliz Navidad 538
55 Leave Em Alone 536
56 Ridin Roads 535
57 223's 534
58 Talk 532
59 Heartache Medication 521
60 Kinfolks 515
61 The Christmas Song 515
62 Baby 498
63 Blinding Lights 486
64 Into the Unknown 467
65 Nice to Meet Ya 466
66 Enemies 466
67 Sleigh Ride 444
68 Hate Me 441
69 Suicidal 440
70 Slow Dancing in the Dark 440
71 Rudolph the Red-Nosed Reindeer 440
72 Futsal Shuffle 2020 438
73 Death 435
74 Adore You 434
75 Easy 419
76 Baby Sitter 417
77 Happy Holiday/The Holiday Season 414
78 Yellow Hearts 413
79 Vete 409
80 How Do You Sleep? 409
81 Suge 392
82 Prayed For You 390
83 No Idea 384
84 Homesick 376
85 Watermelon Sugar 376
86 Lucid Dreams 374
87 Time 346
88 Sucker 342
89 Goodbyes 332
90 RITMO 320
91 Start Wit Me 317
92 Like It's Christmas 311
93 We Were 311
94 Candy 306
95 Jerry Sprunger 304
96 Follow God 297
97 Here Comes Santa Claus 291
98 My Oh My 288
99 We Back 278
100 Tip Toe 278
101 One Thing Right 273
102 Tusa 266
103 6 Kiss 238
104 all the good girls go to hell 233
105 Make No Sense 225
106 It's Beginning to Look A Lot Like Christmas 209
107 La Cancion 208
108 Best on Earth 205
109 Money in the Grave 199
110 Dancing With a Stranger 185
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Deleted
Joined: January 1970
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Jan 7, 2020 5:28:43 GMT -5
Do you guys think that The Box could be the Year-End #1? It's too early to tell, I think. We were sure last year that the Year-End #1 was between "Without Me" and "Sunflower", until "Old Town Road" arrived in its country-trap glory. I think the future Year-End #1 is not in the top 20 yet, and maybe not even on the charts. |
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Deleted
Joined: January 1970
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Jan 7, 2020 5:33:04 GMT -5
Okay, "Don't Start Now" just reached a new peak this week at #21 and it seems to be rising well on all three mediums. It seems to be fairly safe to make the Year-End now, hopefully. 🤞
With that in mind, my concern rests with "Lover" and "Take What You Want", with the former having a painfully slow rise in airplay while the latter just needs a proper single push while the hype is still there. I really need these two to make the Year-End
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lifeofaguardian
Charting
Almost definitely not a furry
Joined: April 2019
Posts: 123
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Post by lifeofaguardian on Jan 7, 2020 7:17:45 GMT -5
Alright, now that the christmas music has left us, I've also started my "predictions" list. But before we get to that, I'll show off the current state of the charts according to my calculations.
The current cutoff for locked songs is 175.000 points - though I'm aware that this will most likely lower as the year goes on. I'll adjust as I go along.
New songs:
Lil Nas X ft. Billy Ray Cyrus - Old Town Road
Lil Baby - Woah
Billie Eilish - everything i wanted
Old Dominion - One Man Band
Lil Tecca - Ran$om
Luke Combs - Even Though I'm Leaving
Taylor Swift - Lover
The Weeknd - Heartless
Drop-outs (decided to remove this song because the chance of it returning any time soon is negligible):
Brenda Lee - Rockin' Around The Christmas Tree
Locked songs:
Lewis Capaldi - Someone You Loved
Maroon 5 - Memories
Lizzo - Good As Hell
Lowest locked song:
Lizzo - Good As Hell
And now for the predictions - these are the songs that would make the year-end list if they either get to 20 weeks or remain for 10 more weeks (depending on multiple factors)
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Deleted
Joined: January 1970
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Jan 7, 2020 7:50:09 GMT -5
I hope we don't get too many repeats this year with the exception of "Circles" and "Someone You Loved", which were much bigger this chart year anyway.
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Post by twelvevinylrecords on Jan 7, 2020 8:30:29 GMT -5
How awesome would it be if Don't Start Now, Take what you want, Everything I wanted, Good As Hell, Dance Monkey, Lover, Heartless and Blinding Lights all make the Year End? That would automatically make this YE better than 2018 and 2019
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atg
3x Platinum Member
Joined: April 2016
Posts: 3,004
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Post by atg on Jan 7, 2020 8:51:46 GMT -5
How awesome would it be if Don't Start Now, Take what you want, Everything I wanted, Good As Hell, Dance Monkey, Lover, Heartless and Blinding Lights all make the Year End? That would automatically make this YE better than 2018 and 2019 And adore you |
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atg
3x Platinum Member
Joined: April 2016
Posts: 3,004
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Post by atg on Jan 7, 2020 8:52:15 GMT -5
I hope we don't get too many repeats this year with the exception of "Circles" and "Someone You Loved", which were much bigger this chart year anyway. Circles deserves it. The other one i really hope it flops or doesn’t make it high on the list |
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Deleted
Joined: January 1970
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Jan 7, 2020 9:09:27 GMT -5
How awesome would it be if Don't Start Now, Take what you want, Everything I wanted, Good As Hell, Dance Monkey, Lover, Heartless and Blinding Lights all make the Year End? That would automatically make this YE better than 2018 and 2019 And adore you While we're at it, it would be wonderful if "Nice To Meet Ya" and "Leave Em Alone" made it as well, but it seems rather unlikely at this point. "Adore You" deserves to make it, though, so I'll also be rooting for it. 👍 |
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anorable
Charting
Blinding Lights for Top 10!
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Post by anorable on Jan 7, 2020 9:32:08 GMT -5
While we're at it, it would be wonderful if "Nice To Meet Ya" and "Leave Em Alone" made it as well, but it seems rather unlikely at this point. "Adore You" deserves to make it, though, so I'll also be rooting for it. 👍 Don’t forget Even Though I’m Leaving. |
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Deleted
Joined: January 1970
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Jan 7, 2020 10:58:35 GMT -5
How awesome would it be if Don't Start Now, Take what you want, Everything I wanted, Good As Hell, Dance Monkey, Lover, Heartless and Blinding Lights all make the Year End? That would automatically make this YE better than 2018 and 2019 If all the songs we've been mentioning over these last few posts made the Year End, 2020 would undoubtedly be both better and more unique and diverse than 2018 and 2019. I could already build my top 5 songs of this chart year (so far) from this list alone 😍 On another note, I really love your profile picture 😂 |
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