lifeofaguardian
Charting
Almost definitely not a furry
Joined: April 2019
Posts: 123
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Post by lifeofaguardian on Jan 2, 2020 3:45:30 GMT -5
How many more weeks in top 50 for No Guidance to repeat in 2020 :DDDD Looking at my calculations - No Guidance needs to remain at most 6 weeks to be locked, and that's if it fell to 50 and remained there. I expect it to be locked in about 4 weeks, maybe even sooner if it gets enough of a boost from the christmas songs dropping out. I'd say it's in a pretty good position to repeat. |
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dremolus - solarpunk
Diamond Member
𝙁𝙧𝙤𝙢 𝙋𝙖𝙡𝙚𝙨𝙩𝙞𝙣𝙚 𝙩𝙤 𝙩𝙝𝙚 𝙋𝙃, 𝙎𝙩𝙤𝙥 𝙩𝙝𝙚 𝙐.𝙎. 𝙒𝙖𝙧 𝙈𝙖𝙘𝙝𝙞𝙣𝙚
Joined: August 2019
Posts: 13,326
My Reviews
Pronouns: (he/him/they)
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Post by dremolus - solarpunk on Jan 2, 2020 6:19:36 GMT -5
Since I know there are a bunch of mashup fans here, here's the newest year-end mashup from who's currently my favorite year-end mashup DJ
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spicymapping
Platinum Member
ahoe s2e11 out now
Joined: December 2018
Posts: 1,116
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Post by spicymapping on Jan 2, 2020 11:05:48 GMT -5
jesus christ i don't even want to think about next year's year end with ratct please no
TL, DR:
Locked: All I Want For Christmas Is You, Good As Hell, Memories
Added: Rockin' Around The Christmas Tree, Ballin', Bad Guy, Highest In The Room, Trampoline, Bandit, Hot
1. Circles (=)
2. Someone You Loved (=)
3. All I Want For Christmas Is You (+2)
4. Good As Hell (-1)
5. Memories (-1)
PREDICTED CUTOFF - 17K
6. Roxanne (=)
7. Lose You To Love Me (=)
8. Señorita (=)
9. 10,000 Hours (=)
10. No Guidance (=)
11. Dance Monkey (=)
12. Rockin' Around The Christmas Tree (NEW)
13. Truth Hurts (-1)
14. Panini (-1)
15. Bop (-1)
16. Ballin' (NEW)
17. Bad Guy (NEW)
18. Highest In The Room (NEW)
19. Trampoline (NEW)
20. Bandit (NEW)
21. Hot (NEW)
TRACKING CUTOFF - 10K
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Deleted
Joined: January 1970
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Jan 2, 2020 11:48:42 GMT -5
Wait. Does AIWFCIY really have a chance to make this YE? Exciting.
Also, I'm going to predict that The Box will be at least top 10 in the end.
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rockgolf
2x Platinum Member
Pop music fanatic since the days of 7" 45 RPM records.
Joined: August 2018
Posts: 2,126
Pronouns: he/him/his
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Post by rockgolf on Jan 2, 2020 14:46:44 GMT -5
Yes, AIWFCIY has a seriously good chance of making the top 100 of 2020. Probably between #80 & #100.
This week, she's #3, but that won't last. Here's my estimation of the top 100 songs of 2020, based on the charts up to and including January 4, 2020. First week of the calendar year but 6th week of the Billboard year!
The Christmas songs will all have nowhere to go but down. And I think Circles will remain atop this list for a long, long time. It won't stay #1 on the Hot 100, but it has a sizable lead that will increase next week when it returns to #1, and the song has legs. It'll stay on radio forever. I'm sure it's already a lock for the top 5 of 2020 at the end of the year.
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spoons
Charting
Joined: August 2019
Posts: 303
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Post by spoons on Jan 2, 2020 22:22:02 GMT -5
I just wanna praise rockgolf for having hands down my favorite format for these year end prediction posts
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Deleted
Joined: January 1970
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Jan 2, 2020 23:59:06 GMT -5
Yes, AIWFCIY has a seriously good chance of making the top 100 of 2020. Probably between #80 & #100.
This week, she's #3, but that won't last. Here's my estimation of the top 100 songs of 2020, based on the charts up to and including January 4, 2020. First week of the calendar year but 6th week of the Billboard year!
The Christmas songs will all have nowhere to go but down. And I think Circles will remain atop this list for a long, long time. It won't stay #1 on the Hot 100, but it has a sizable lead that will increase next week when it returns to #1, and the song has legs. It'll stay on radio forever. I'm sure it's already a lock for the top 5 of 2020 at the end of the year.
I honestly wouldn't be surprised if Circles was the Year-End #1. |
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dremolus - solarpunk
Diamond Member
𝙁𝙧𝙤𝙢 𝙋𝙖𝙡𝙚𝙨𝙩𝙞𝙣𝙚 𝙩𝙤 𝙩𝙝𝙚 𝙋𝙃, 𝙎𝙩𝙤𝙥 𝙩𝙝𝙚 𝙐.𝙎. 𝙒𝙖𝙧 𝙈𝙖𝙘𝙝𝙞𝙣𝙚
Joined: August 2019
Posts: 13,326
My Reviews
Pronouns: (he/him/they)
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Post by dremolus - solarpunk on Jan 3, 2020 8:45:23 GMT -5
The longevity of Post Malone on the charts is insane. 5 songs (eventually including Circles) with 20+ weeks in the Top ten. Does he hold that record?
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Deleted
Joined: January 1970
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Jan 3, 2020 13:56:02 GMT -5
The longevity of Post Malone on the charts is insane. 5 songs (eventually including Circles) with 20+ weeks in the Top ten. Does he hold that record? I imagine so. Likely contenders would probably be Drake, Rihanna, and Ed Sheeran, but I'm not too sure. Regardless, Post's longevity is impressive, and very much deserved, fortunately 😉 |
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GPMB
Gold Member
Joined: December 2016
Posts: 618 
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Post by GPMB on Jan 4, 2020 1:03:33 GMT -5
I’m skeptical of Circles’s ability to make it so high on the year end list tbh since 1. it already made last year’s, and 2. I know that Post is very good with chart longevity, so it’s reasonable to think Circles will remain in the upper ranges of the charts for months, but then again so are Ed Sheeran, Justin Bieber, and Khalid, and both I Don’t Care and Beautiful People dropped out within 30 weeks of their runs
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atg
3x Platinum Member
Joined: April 2016
Posts: 3,004
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Post by atg on Jan 4, 2020 2:23:07 GMT -5
I’m skeptical of Circles’s ability to make it so high on the year end list tbh since 1. it already made last year’s, and 2. I know that Post is very good with chart longevity, so it’s reasonable to think Circles will remain in the upper ranges of the charts for months, but then again so are Ed Sheeran, Justin Bieber, and Khalid, and both I Don’t Care and Beautiful People dropped out within 30 weeks of their runs From post being claimed as nothing but a one hit wonder and being hated to the biggest hip hop/popstar right now with 2 all time hits and incredible longevity with all his songs really gives me motivation to just never give up |
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mako
Platinum Member
formerly known as "the one letter"
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Post by mako on Jan 4, 2020 5:59:10 GMT -5
I don't think Billboard will include AIWFCIY or any Christmas song in the year-end if they are above the threshold.
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Deleted
Joined: January 1970
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Jan 4, 2020 6:35:12 GMT -5
I’m skeptical of Circles’s ability to make it so high on the year end list tbh since 1. it already made last year’s, and 2. I know that Post is very good with chart longevity, so it’s reasonable to think Circles will remain in the upper ranges of the charts for months, but then again so are Ed Sheeran, Justin Bieber, and Khalid, and both I Don’t Care and Beautiful People dropped out within 30 weeks of their runs I was really expecting "Beautiful People" to stick around for longer. With the slow rise of a Khalid hit and the stability of an Ed Sheeran hit, it had everything to be a longevity behemoth, but Christmas killed it too early 😢 |
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insen_13
Platinum Member
Gave you too much but it wasn't enough
Joined: June 2018
Posts: 1,452
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Post by insen_13 on Jan 4, 2020 6:40:41 GMT -5
I’m skeptical of Circles’s ability to make it so high on the year end list tbh since 1. it already made last year’s, and 2. I know that Post is very good with chart longevity, so it’s reasonable to think Circles will remain in the upper ranges of the charts for months, but then again so are Ed Sheeran, Justin Bieber, and Khalid, and both I Don’t Care and Beautiful People dropped out within 30 weeks of their runs I was really expecting "Beautiful People" to stick around for longer. With the slow rise of a Khalid hit and the stability of an Ed Sheeran hit, it had everything to be a longevity behemoth, but Christmas killed it too early 😢 Sadly :'( |
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Post by Baby Yoda Hot100Fan on Jan 4, 2020 7:43:46 GMT -5
^Hopefully, South of the Border can become a hit.
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weirdo
Gold Member
Joined: November 2019
Posts: 640
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Post by weirdo on Jan 4, 2020 10:30:31 GMT -5
I’m skeptical of Circles’s ability to make it so high on the year end list tbh since 1. it already made last year’s, and 2. I know that Post is very good with chart longevity, so it’s reasonable to think Circles will remain in the upper ranges of the charts for months, but then again so are Ed Sheeran, Justin Bieber, and Khalid, and both I Don’t Care and Beautiful People dropped out within 30 weeks of their runs I was really expecting "Beautiful People" to stick around for longer. With the slow rise of a Khalid hit and the stability of an Ed Sheeran hit, it had everything to be a longevity behemoth, but Christmas killed it too early 😢 Beautiful People was already falling fast even without the Christmaa stuff. I rememver seeing a "Top 50 without Christmas music" thing (i think ir was for either 12/14 or 12/21) and Beautiful People would have been at #38 even without Christmas stuff. It was already on its way out and definitely had less longeviry then a usual Khalid song (I Don't Care showed that Ed Sheeran doesn't always have good longevity) |
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Deleted
Joined: January 1970
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Jan 4, 2020 10:40:26 GMT -5
^Hopefully, South of the Border can become a hit. I would have hoped for “Antisocial” or “Cross Me” to become hits, but I’ll take what I can get. Its boost was so unexpected, though, especially since this song seems to be tailored as a summer hit. |
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GPMB
Gold Member
Joined: December 2016
Posts: 618
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Post by GPMB on Jan 4, 2020 18:34:59 GMT -5
I was really expecting "Beautiful People" to stick around for longer. With the slow rise of a Khalid hit and the stability of an Ed Sheeran hit, it had everything to be a longevity behemoth, but Christmas killed it too early 😢 Beautiful People was already falling fast even without the Christmaa stuff. I rememver seeing a "Top 50 without Christmas music" thing (i think ir was for either 12/14 or 12/21) and Beautiful People would have been at #38 even without Christmas stuff. It was already on its way out and definitely had less longeviry then a usual Khalid song (I Don't Care showed that Ed Sheeran doesn't always have good longevity) just when it looked like it was about to take off and become a smash, its momentum crashed hard. I guess between the poor longevity of both BP and IDC and the complete failure of Cross Me and Antisocial, the general public is getting sick of Ed Sheeran pretty quickly and I can’t blame them at all |
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weirdo
Gold Member
Joined: November 2019
Posts: 640
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Post by weirdo on Jan 4, 2020 19:17:08 GMT -5
Beautiful People was already falling fast even without the Christmaa stuff. I rememver seeing a "Top 50 without Christmas music" thing (i think ir was for either 12/14 or 12/21) and Beautiful People would have been at #38 even without Christmas stuff. It was already on its way out and definitely had less longeviry then a usual Khalid song (I Don't Care showed that Ed Sheeran doesn't always have good longevity) just when it looked like it was about to take off and become a smash, its momentum crashed hard. I guess between the poor longevity of both BP and IDC and the complete failure of Cross Me and Antisocial, the general public is getting sick of Ed Sheeran pretty quickly and I can’t blame them at all Agreed, and it looks like Khalid may have peaked with "Talk". Up All Night was a flop and Beautiful People didnt even hit top ten, and fell off muh quicker then most of his songs. I also worry about Ariana Grande, she flopped with Charlies Angels hard, but she could make a comeback |
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tuna
Platinum Member
weezed to meet you
Joined: July 2019
Posts: 1,510
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Post by tuna on Jan 4, 2020 19:36:12 GMT -5
Agreed, and it looks like Khalid may have peaked with "Talk". Up All Night was a flop and Beautiful People didnt even hit top ten, and fell off muh quicker then most of his songs. Up All Night was a loosie and Beautiful People was mostly Sheeran's song. When he starts the rollout for album 3 he'll do much better. |
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atg
3x Platinum Member
Joined: April 2016
Posts: 3,004
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Post by atg on Jan 4, 2020 20:04:54 GMT -5
Agreed, and it looks like Khalid may have peaked with "Talk". Up All Night was a flop and Beautiful People didnt even hit top ten, and fell off muh quicker then most of his songs. Up All Night was a loosie and Beautiful People was mostly Sheeran's song. When he starts the rollout for album 3 he'll do much better. Better and talk had longevity, his next lead single might be more huge |
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weirdo
Gold Member
Joined: November 2019
Posts: 640
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Post by weirdo on Jan 4, 2020 22:42:14 GMT -5
Agreed, and it looks like Khalid may have peaked with "Talk". Up All Night was a flop and Beautiful People didnt even hit top ten, and fell off muh quicker then most of his songs. Up All Night was a loosie and Beautiful People was mostly Sheeran's song. When he starts the rollout for album 3 he'll do much better. I hope Khalid's next album does well, but i think it'll be interesting to see if it does. It would be cool to see him get hid first #1 though. If he released in the winter he might be able to pull it off cause usually the #1s are weak from about September to early December (GLY, Circles, Heartless). Something funny i noticed is how despite his title of "king of longevity" and the fact that he has multiple 40+ week songs, hes never actually had a song reach 52 weeks. Think about it, the hits he had went like this Love Lies - 51wks (so, so, so unlucky) Better - 48wks Talk - i forget how many weeks but i THINK between 41-45 |
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Post by Baby Yoda Hot100Fan on Jan 4, 2020 22:52:57 GMT -5
Agreed, and it looks like Khalid may have peaked with "Talk". Up All Night was a flop and Beautiful People didnt even hit top ten, and fell off muh quicker then most of his songs. I also worry about Ariana Grande, she flopped with Charlies Angels hard, but she could make a comeback Both artists probably suffered from overexposure. If I'm not mistaken Khalid has been charting in the Hot 100 almost continuously since Location came out.
Ariana pretty much saturated by releasing Sweetener and Thank U, Next. While the Charlie's Angels soundtrack wasn't technically an album of hers, she did have heavy involvement in it. And releasing Monopoly and then Boyfriend just before Charlie's Angles had already set the point of saturation for her. About the song flopping, the fact that the movie itself flopped, didn't help the song. I do see her returning to success, but it doesn't seem likely she'll be as successful as when she had two back to back #1s in the Hot 100 with thank, u next and 7 Rings. She does need to give the GP a break for that to happen.
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tanooki
Diamond Member
2019 Breakthrough
lucia gta 6
Joined: August 2017
Posts: 10,118
Pronouns: they/she/fae
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Post by tanooki on Jan 5, 2020 0:36:20 GMT -5
Up All Night was a loosie and Beautiful People was mostly Sheeran's song. When he starts the rollout for album 3 he'll do much better. I hope Khalid's next album does well, but i think it'll be interesting to see if it does. It would be cool to see him get hid first #1 though. If he released in the winter he might be able to pull it off cause usually the #1s are weak from about September to early December (GLY, Circles, Heartless). Something funny i noticed is how despite his title of "king of longevity" and the fact that he has multiple 40+ week songs, hes never actually had a song reach 52 weeks. Think about it, the hits he had went like this Love Lies - 51wks (so, so, so unlucky) Better - 48wks Talk - i forget how many weeks but i THINK between 41-45 Eastside hit 52 |
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weirdo
Gold Member
Joined: November 2019
Posts: 640
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Post by weirdo on Jan 5, 2020 0:50:30 GMT -5
I hope Khalid's next album does well, but i think it'll be interesting to see if it does. It would be cool to see him get hid first #1 though. If he released in the winter he might be able to pull it off cause usually the #1s are weak from about September to early December (GLY, Circles, Heartless). Something funny i noticed is how despite his title of "king of longevity" and the fact that he has multiple 40+ week songs, hes never actually had a song reach 52 weeks. Think about it, the hits he had went like this Love Lies - 51wks (so, so, so unlucky) Better - 48wks Talk - i forget how many weeks but i THINK between 41-45 Eastside hit 52 Oops, i forgot he was on that |
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Post by nathanalbright on Jan 5, 2020 19:16:05 GMT -5
Oops, i forgot he was on that Khalid--legend of longevity. |
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weirdo
Gold Member
Joined: November 2019
Posts: 640
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Post by weirdo on Jan 5, 2020 20:56:39 GMT -5
Oops, i forgot he was on that Khalid--legend of longevity. I'd say Post Malone is the king of longevity, and Khalid is the prince of longevity |
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Post by Baby Yoda Hot100Fan on Jan 5, 2020 21:24:23 GMT -5
^For the Hot 100, I'd say Ed Sheeran is, among the artists currently charting, the king of longevity in the Hot 100 since he has 3 songs with 54 or more weeks charted. Post Malone has 2 songs with 52 weeks or more and Khalid 2 songs with 51 weeks or more. We'll see how this work out for the 2020s decade.
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weirdo
Gold Member
Joined: November 2019
Posts: 640
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Post by weirdo on Jan 5, 2020 21:33:09 GMT -5
^For the Hot 100, I'd say Ed Sheeran is, among the artists currently charting, the king of longevity in the Hot 100 since he has 3 songs with 54 or more weeks charted. Post Malone has 2 songs with 52 weeks or more and Khalid 2 songs with 51 weeks or more. We'll see how this work out for the 2020s decade. But Ed Sheeran also has had hits that didnt last very long. Beautiful People & I Don't Care didnt last very long, and even without the Christmas music still wouldnt have lasted long |
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atg
3x Platinum Member
Joined: April 2016
Posts: 3,004
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Post by atg on Jan 5, 2020 22:09:41 GMT -5
^For the Hot 100, I'd say Ed Sheeran is, among the artists currently charting, the king of longevity in the Hot 100 since he has 3 songs with 54 or more weeks charted. Post Malone has 2 songs with 52 weeks or more and Khalid 2 songs with 51 weeks or more. We'll see how this work out for the 2020s decade. But Ed Sheeran also has had hits that didnt last very long. Beautiful People & I Don't Care didnt last very long, and even without the Christmas music still wouldnt have lasted long His collaboration project is different from his main line albums Look at how long Thinking out loud, photograph, perfect and especially shape of you lasted. The latter is still lingering around the top 100 globally on apple music and was the 3rd biggest song of the decade and 9th best song of all time on billboard. Also he’s still the most streamed artist monthly on spotify I think ed is the king of longevity and post malone is a runner up for the throne while khalid is the prince |
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