fhas
3x Platinum Member
Three-time World Champions: 1992 - 2-1 vs. Barcelona, 1993 - 3-2 vs. Milan, 2005 - 1-0 vs. Liverpool
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Post by fhas on Jan 19, 2020 21:15:17 GMT -5
The 4-11 range is a mess and the formula change is not helping lol. I think after a month or so it's gonna be easier to predict.
For this week, I have The Box becoming the third song to reach 65M on-demand streams in a week (OTR 80.594M, God's Plan 68.000M, The Box 65.425M) and Life Is Good as the first song ever to reach 70M streams despite not being the #1 song of the week.
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annoymous1
7x Platinum Member
Joined: December 2017
Posts: 7,192 
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Post by annoymous1 on Jan 19, 2020 22:01:46 GMT -5
January 23, 201001 01 TiK ToK - Ke$ha (4th of 9 weeks at #1)07 NE Blah Blah Blah - Ke$ha feat. 3OH!3 27 NE Your Love Is My Drug - Ke$ha 1. Kesha really came out the gate with unexpected success in 2010. "Tik Tok" seemed like a bonafide one-hit wonder song. Yet the album debuted #1, her 2nd single debuted top 10, and she had like 5 top 10s that year. 2. I just re-listened to Blah Blah Blah, and it's a guilty pleasure but damn does 2010 music seem like a lifetime ago. 3. 3OH3!'s feature on Blah Blah Blah is barely 15 seconds. That has to be one of the shortest credited features on a hit ever. 30H3! Really didn't say anything in those 15 seconds lol it came and went like there career. |
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Post by Lukas on Jan 19, 2020 22:03:34 GMT -5
fhas is there a specific reason why 10k hours is selling 2x more than Dance Monkey? I know 10k hours was #5 last week but that was because it had better streaming than predicted; it was only #7 on the sales chart last week.
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WolfSpear
Gold Member
Joined: March 2012
Posts: 898 
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Post by WolfSpear on Jan 19, 2020 22:11:03 GMT -5
Back in 2010, Kesha had an incredible debut. 4 top 10 hits off of “Animal” and a #1 debut with “We R Who We R”. Her battle with Dr. Luke casted some shade on her career, but I feel that’s made respectable music through the past decade.
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fhas
3x Platinum Member
Three-time World Champions: 1992 - 2-1 vs. Barcelona, 1993 - 3-2 vs. Milan, 2005 - 1-0 vs. Liverpool
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Post by fhas on Jan 19, 2020 22:18:17 GMT -5
fhas is there a specific reason why 10k hours is selling 2x more than Dance Monkey? I know 10k hours was #5 last week but that was because it had better streaming than predicted; it was only #7 on the sales chart last week. Uh... that's a typo. I had Dance Money at #7 with 24k downloads and Yummy at #5 with 12k in my early prediction and forgot to change the sales numbers for my final prediction. It's DM at #5 with 24k and 10,000 Hours at #7 with 9.7k. Radio, streaming and points are ok. Thank you! |
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spoons
Charting
Joined: August 2019
Posts: 303
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Post by spoons on Jan 20, 2020 0:37:03 GMT -5
final predictions  i refuse to believe that sum 2 prove will debut higher than good news. I just wanted to say that I think lil baby is overhated on pulse, he's a pretty solid rapper and always has a clean flow But Good News and that whole Mac Miller album really was something special so it BETTER debut over sum 2 prove |
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sirskimask
Platinum Member
LLJW 999
Joined: July 2019
Posts: 1,324
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Post by sirskimask on Jan 20, 2020 2:30:38 GMT -5
i refuse to believe that sum 2 prove will debut higher than good news. I just wanted to say that I think lil baby is overhated on pulse, he's a pretty solid rapper and always has a clean flow But Good News and that whole Mac Miller album really was something special so it BETTER debut over sum 2 prove As someone who doesn't care for Lil Baby outside of Drip Too Hard and Pure Cocaine, Sum 2 Prove is actually really good. But with that being sad Mac deserves the higher debut for sure. |
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dremolus - solarpunk
Diamond Member
𝙁𝙧𝙤𝙢 𝙋𝙖𝙡𝙚𝙨𝙩𝙞𝙣𝙚 𝙩𝙤 𝙩𝙝𝙚 𝙋𝙃, 𝙎𝙩𝙤𝙥 𝙩𝙝𝙚 𝙐.𝙎. 𝙒𝙖𝙧 𝙈𝙖𝙘𝙝𝙞𝙣𝙚
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My Reviews
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Post by dremolus - solarpunk on Jan 20, 2020 3:05:25 GMT -5
Sum 2 Prove just sounds like a below average Future song to me. I'll still bat for Drip Too Hard though, that song slaps.
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𝓲𝓽'𝓼.𝓰𝓿
Diamond Member
Unsteady Weirdo
𝓪 𝓽𝓸𝓻𝓽𝓾𝓻𝓮𝓭 𝓹𝓸𝓮𝓽
Joined: December 2016
Posts: 10,810
My Charts
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Post by 𝓲𝓽'𝓼.𝓰𝓿 on Jan 20, 2020 4:57:19 GMT -5
Sum 2 Prove just sounds like a below average Future song to me. I'll still bat for Drip Too Hard though, that song slaps.So true! And Hot Girl Bummer rising, how cute! |
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thabb
Charting
hi
Joined: April 2016
Posts: 330
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Post by thabb on Jan 20, 2020 7:45:10 GMT -5
just remembered it's MLK day so the preview is delayed  |
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HeyHeyHey
3x Platinum Member
Joined: February 2010
Posts: 3,758
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Post by HeyHeyHey on Jan 20, 2020 13:58:38 GMT -5
Since “10,000 Hours” is #1 on Billboard Country Airplay it becomes a member of the list of country songs to reach the Hot 100 top 5 and be a country radio #1. Other songs in this category include: “Meant To Be”, “Cruise”, “Love Story” and “You Belong With Me”. “Body Like A Backroad” (peak: 6) and “Before He Cheats” (peak: 8) got close!
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Post by KeepDeanWeird on Jan 20, 2020 14:56:55 GMT -5
Since “10,000 Hours” is #1 on Billboard Country Airplay it becomes a member of the list of country songs to reach the Hot 100 top 5 and be a country radio #1. Other songs in this category include: “Meant To Be”, “Cruise”, “Love Story” and “You Belong With Me”. “Body Like A Backroad” (peak: 6) and “Before He Cheats” (peak: 8) got close! So 'Amazed' hit #1 on H100, but not on Country Airplay? Wasn't it that the last country-genre song to hit #1 on H100? It was 20 years ago so I don't recall! |
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renfield75
Platinum Member
Joined: February 2009
Posts: 1,644
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Post by renfield75 on Jan 20, 2020 15:26:48 GMT -5
Since “10,000 Hours” is #1 on Billboard Country Airplay it becomes a member of the list of country songs to reach the Hot 100 top 5 and be a country radio #1. Other songs in this category include: “Meant To Be”, “Cruise”, “Love Story” and “You Belong With Me”. “Body Like A Backroad” (peak: 6) and “Before He Cheats” (peak: 8) got close! So 'Amazed' hit #1 on H100, but not on Country Airplay? Wasn't it that the last country-genre song to hit #1 on H100? It was 20 years ago so I don't recall! Yes, Amazed was number 1 for (I think) 8 weeks on the country chart which was the longest reign in decades. Throughout the 80s no Country song spent more than 3 weeks at number one! Thats how George Strait and Alabama racked up so many chart-toppers. |
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hughster1
Charting
Joined: September 2010
Posts: 239
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Post by hughster1 on Jan 20, 2020 16:19:29 GMT -5
January 25, 197501 02 Please Mr. Postman - The Carpenters (1st and only week at #1)02 03 Laughter In The Rain - Neil Sedaka 03 01 Mandy - Barry Manilow 04 11 Fire - The Ohio Players 05 06 Boogie On Reggae Woman - Stevie Wonder 06 21 You're No Good - Linda Ronstadt 07 08 One Man Woman/One Woman Man - Paul Anka & Odia Coates 08 09 Morning Side Of The Mountain - Donny & Marie Osmond 09 10 Never Can Say Goodbye - Gloria Gaynor 10 14 Pick Up The Pieces - Average White Band Interesting that half of these songs - "Please Mr. Postman", "Mandy", "You're No Good", "Morning Side of the Mountain", and "Never Can Say Goodbye" - were remakes of previously charted Hot 100 hits. That seems to have been super common in the mid '70's. |
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Post by KeepDeanWeird on Jan 20, 2020 18:13:48 GMT -5
January 25, 197501 02 Please Mr. Postman - The Carpenters (1st and only week at #1)02 03 Laughter In The Rain - Neil Sedaka 03 01 Mandy - Barry Manilow 04 11 Fire - The Ohio Players 05 06 Boogie On Reggae Woman - Stevie Wonder 06 21 You're No Good - Linda Ronstadt 07 08 One Man Woman/One Woman Man - Paul Anka & Odia Coates 08 09 Morning Side Of The Mountain - Donny & Marie Osmond 09 10 Never Can Say Goodbye - Gloria Gaynor 10 14 Pick Up The Pieces - Average White Band Interesting that half of these songs - "Please Mr. Postman", "Mandy", "You're No Good", "Morning Side of the Mountain", and "Never Can Say Goodbye" - were remakes of previously charted Hot 100 hits. That seems to have been super common in the mid '70's. It occurred to me that remakes pretty much ended during the late 1990s just as early era of internet radio starting taking hold, followed by the emergence of YouTube, etc. Sampling then provided a way to 'revive' a successful hit for a new era. Successful remakes - especially of hit singles - were possible previously because radio was the primary way people received music consistently. Since these remakes were primarily geared to Top 40, you had a whole new audience that probably never heard the original unless you caught it on oldies station or had sought it out by purchasing a album/CD that contained it. |
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colson
Diamond Member
Joined: February 2006
Posts: 17,925
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Post by colson on Jan 20, 2020 18:46:49 GMT -5
Lady Marmalade was probably one of the first biggest remakes of the millennium.
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tuna
Platinum Member
weezed to meet you
Joined: July 2019
Posts: 1,510
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Post by tuna on Jan 20, 2020 19:11:58 GMT -5
what songs in the bottom half of the chart do you think have potential to become big?
SUGAR is an obvious one but I feel like Slide could have a successful run eventually, as well as Say So
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Post by thegreatdivine on Jan 20, 2020 20:03:49 GMT -5
Already.
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annoymous1
7x Platinum Member
Joined: December 2017
Posts: 7,192
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Post by annoymous1 on Jan 20, 2020 20:04:36 GMT -5
Drake's Impact as usual.
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Post by thegreatdivine on Jan 20, 2020 20:24:50 GMT -5
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atg
3x Platinum Member
Joined: April 2016
Posts: 3,004
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Post by atg on Jan 20, 2020 21:36:33 GMT -5
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Post by Lukas on Jan 20, 2020 22:33:34 GMT -5
Okay I hate posting predictions so late but since the chart is not out, I did not include Yummy's radio tanking in my previous prediction, AND I changed my streaming formula, let's do this again: | Rank | Song | Radio | Sales | On-Demand Streaming | You-Tube | Passive/UGC | Total Streaming | Weighted Streaming | Total Points | | 1 | The Box | 20,300,000 | 14,400 | 65,400,000 | 9,000,000 | 20,700,000 | 95,100,000 | 79,200,000 | 58,100 | | 2 | Life Is Good | 15,600,000 | 30,000 | 53,600,000 | 13,500,000 | 5,900,000 | 73,000,000 | 64,000,000 | 49,900 | | 3 | Circles | 101,100,000 | 18,300 | 16,700,000 | 1,300,000 | 6,500,000 | 24,500,000 | 19,900,000 | 30,800 | | 4 | Memories | 96,100,000 | 19,400 | 10,700,000 | 1,300,000 | 5,700,000 | 17,700,000 | 14,000,000 | 26,300 | | 5 | 10,000 Hours | 91,000,000 | 11,500 | 10,400,000 | 1,000,000 | 7,300,000 | 18,700,000 | 14,400,000 | 24,500 | | 6 | Dance Monkey | 50,000,000 | 20,000 | 16,000,000 | 2,000,000 | 8,300,000 | 26,300,000 | 20,700,000 | 24,300 | | 7 | Lose You To Love Me | 87,400,000 | 11,800 | 12,000,000 | 1,300,000 | 4,700,000 | 18,000,000 | 14,600,000 | 24,200 | | 8 | Someone You Loved | 87,400,000 | 10,000 | 10,700,000 | 600,000 | 7,800,000 | 19,100,000 | 14,500,000 | 23,800 | | 9 | Yummy | 48,700,000 | 12,000 | 16,200,000 | 5,500,000 | 5,500,000 | 27,200,000 | 22,000,000 | 23,600 | | 10 | Roxanne | 59,200,000 | 7,500 | 18,000,000 | 0 | 6,800,000 | 24,900,000 | 20,200,000 | 23,200 |
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thabb
Charting
hi
Joined: April 2016
Posts: 330
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Post by thabb on Jan 20, 2020 23:19:26 GMT -5
Okay I hate posting predictions so late but since the chart is not out, I did not include Yummy's radio tanking in my previous prediction, AND I changed my streaming formula, let's do this again: | Rank | Song | Radio | Sales | On-Demand Streaming | You-Tube | Passive/UGC | Total Streaming | Weighted Streaming | Total Points | | 1 | The Box | 20,300,000 | 14,400 | 65,400,000 | 9,000,000 | 20,700,000 | 95,100,000 | 79,200,000 | 58,100 | | 2 | Life Is Good | 15,600,000 | 30,000 | 53,600,000 | 13,500,000 | 5,900,000 | 73,000,000 | 64,000,000 | 49,900 | | 3 | Circles | 101,100,000 | 18,300 | 16,700,000 | 1,300,000 | 6,500,000 | 24,500,000 | 19,900,000 | 30,800 | | 4 | Memories | 96,100,000 | 19,400 | 10,700,000 | 1,300,000 | 5,700,000 | 17,700,000 | 14,000,000 | 26,300 | | 5 | 10,000 Hours | 91,000,000 | 11,500 | 10,400,000 | 1,000,000 | 7,300,000 | 18,700,000 | 14,400,000 | 24,500 | | 6 | Dance Monkey | 50,000,000 | 20,000 | 16,000,000 | 2,000,000 | 8,300,000 | 26,300,000 | 20,700,000 | 24,300 | | 7 | Lose You To Love Me | 87,400,000 | 11,800 | 12,000,000 | 1,300,000 | 4,700,000 | 18,000,000 | 14,600,000 | 24,200 | | 8 | Someone You Loved | 87,400,000 | 10,000 | 10,700,000 | 600,000 | 7,800,000 | 19,100,000 | 14,500,000 | 23,800 | | 9 | Yummy | 48,700,000 | 12,000 | 16,200,000 | 5,500,000 | 5,500,000 | 27,200,000 | 22,000,000 | 23,600 | | 10 | Roxanne | 59,200,000 | 7,500 | 18,000,000 | 0 | 6,800,000 | 24,900,000 | 20,200,000 | 23,200 |
straight zero for YT for Roxanne? did i miss something |
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Post by Lukas on Jan 20, 2020 23:27:04 GMT -5
Okay I hate posting predictions so late but since the chart is not out, I did not include Yummy's radio tanking in my previous prediction, AND I changed my streaming formula, let's do this again: | Rank | Song | Radio | Sales | On-Demand Streaming | You-Tube | Passive/UGC | Total Streaming | Weighted Streaming | Total Points | | 1 | The Box | 20,300,000 | 14,400 | 65,400,000 | 9,000,000 | 20,700,000 | 95,100,000 | 79,200,000 | 58,100 | | 2 | Life Is Good | 15,600,000 | 30,000 | 53,600,000 | 13,500,000 | 5,900,000 | 73,000,000 | 64,000,000 | 49,900 | | 3 | Circles | 101,100,000 | 18,300 | 16,700,000 | 1,300,000 | 6,500,000 | 24,500,000 | 19,900,000 | 30,800 | | 4 | Memories | 96,100,000 | 19,400 | 10,700,000 | 1,300,000 | 5,700,000 | 17,700,000 | 14,000,000 | 26,300 | | 5 | 10,000 Hours | 91,000,000 | 11,500 | 10,400,000 | 1,000,000 | 7,300,000 | 18,700,000 | 14,400,000 | 24,500 | | 6 | Dance Monkey | 50,000,000 | 20,000 | 16,000,000 | 2,000,000 | 8,300,000 | 26,300,000 | 20,700,000 | 24,300 | | 7 | Lose You To Love Me | 87,400,000 | 11,800 | 12,000,000 | 1,300,000 | 4,700,000 | 18,000,000 | 14,600,000 | 24,200 | | 8 | Someone You Loved | 87,400,000 | 10,000 | 10,700,000 | 600,000 | 7,800,000 | 19,100,000 | 14,500,000 | 23,800 | | 9 | Yummy | 48,700,000 | 12,000 | 16,200,000 | 5,500,000 | 5,500,000 | 27,200,000 | 22,000,000 | 23,600 | | 10 | Roxanne | 59,200,000 | 7,500 | 18,000,000 | 0 | 6,800,000 | 24,900,000 | 20,200,000 | 23,200 |
straight zero for YT for Roxanne? did i miss something Well, the YT column is only for official views. I’ve moved all of the user generated videos to the third column. As far as I can tell, there is no official video for Roxanne since I can’t find it on YT top music videos or Kworb’s charts (correct me if this is false). |
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dremolus - solarpunk
Diamond Member
𝙁𝙧𝙤𝙢 𝙋𝙖𝙡𝙚𝙨𝙩𝙞𝙣𝙚 𝙩𝙤 𝙩𝙝𝙚 𝙋𝙃, 𝙎𝙩𝙤𝙥 𝙩𝙝𝙚 𝙐.𝙎. 𝙒𝙖𝙧 𝙈𝙖𝙘𝙝𝙞𝙣𝙚
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Post by dremolus - solarpunk on Jan 20, 2020 23:39:29 GMT -5
Do audio or lyric videos not count to the YouTube of a song?
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Post by Lukas on Jan 20, 2020 23:46:16 GMT -5
Do audio or lyric videos not count to the YouTube of a song? Don’t they have to be from the artist’s official channel to count? Pretty sure that’s the case; for example, if I created a lyric video for The Box then it would fall under UGC, not YT official. Which I don’t think any of Roxanne’s videos are. |
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Leo ✔
Diamond Member
Julia Michaels Stan
Happy happy happy ♪
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Post by Leo ✔ on Jan 20, 2020 23:56:40 GMT -5
Do audio or lyric videos not count to the YouTube of a song? Don’t they have to be from the artist’s official channel to count? Pretty sure that’s the case; for example, if I created a lyric video for The Box then it would fall under UGC, not YT official. Which I don’t think any of Roxanne’s videos are. I believe the audio and lyrics video are on his channel. ETA: Yep, they are. |
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Post by Lukas on Jan 21, 2020 0:01:57 GMT -5
Don’t they have to be from the artist’s official channel to count? Pretty sure that’s the case; for example, if I created a lyric video for The Box then it would fall under UGC, not YT official. Which I don’t think any of Roxanne’s videos are. I believe the audio and lyrics video are on his channel. ETA: Yep, they are. thanks for clarifying, if I have time before top 10 reveals tomorrow to fix it then I will |
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Post by KeepDeanWeird on Jan 21, 2020 0:09:37 GMT -5
Lady Marmalade was probably one of the first biggest remakes of the millennium. Correct in 2001. Other than Idol charity singles, how many other covers have hit No 1 or even the Top 10 since then? I’m sure there’s been a handful, but overall it’s been a huge shift from what was a very common practice in the industry. It was interesting how covers go be really good even through the 90s (All By Myself, Without You) or horrific (Total Eclipse of the Heart), but it was always fascinating to analyze a new interpretation on a previous hit. Those days I suppose are long gone. |
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Post by campbellssoup on Jan 21, 2020 0:47:47 GMT -5
Lady Marmalade was probably one of the first biggest remakes of the millennium. Correct in 2001. Other than Idol charity singles, how many other covers have hit No 1 or even the Top 10 since then? I’m sure there’s been a handful, but overall it’s been a huge shift from what was a very common practice in the industry. It was interesting how covers go be really good even through the 90s (All By Myself, Without You) or horrific (Total Eclipse of the Heart), but it was always fascinating to analyze a new interpretation on a previous hit. Those days I suppose are long gone. Theres been a lot of covers within alternative music recently (Africa, Doin’ Time, Running Up That Hill) so maybe the practice can hopefully spread back to the Hot 100. |
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