oliviafan101
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Post by oliviafan101 on May 7, 2021 12:43:41 GMT -5
Okay top 10 predictions, a shot in the dark. im aware that songs not released yet can also make it here, but im just gonna go off of what we already have 1. Levitating 2. Save Your Tears 3. Drivers License 4. Peaches 5. Mood 6. Leave The Door Open 7. Kiss Me More 8. Blinding Lights 9. Rapstar 10. Up Don’t feel like Rapstar and Up will finish top 10
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gikem
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Post by gikem on May 7, 2021 13:06:23 GMT -5
Okay top 10 predictions, a shot in the dark. im aware that songs not released yet can also make it here, but im just gonna go off of what we already have 1. Levitating 2. Save Your Tears 3. Drivers License 4. Peaches 5. Mood 6. Leave The Door Open 7. Kiss Me More 8. Blinding Lights 9. Rapstar 10. Up Don’t feel like Rapstar and Up will finish top 10 Agreed. I think Positions has a better chance to make it, especially if it survives J. Cole.
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rockgolf
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Post by rockgolf on May 7, 2021 15:52:30 GMT -5
Honestly I never even considered levitating for year end number one. But seeing this second wind has me thinking. Its even rising on streaming and downloads. I can't see it getting to #1 for the year either, but it's bound to catch up to both Drivers License and Blinding Lights the way it's going, especially if it stays in the top ten another month or two. It could be a solid #2.
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alexandria2001
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Post by alexandria2001 on May 7, 2021 16:15:05 GMT -5
The year end top 20 if artists predicted to drop this year drop early enough, then say they perform at their best based on previous trends, which showed a high career peak at first or at one point, then lesser success to some extent following, could hypothetically finish where in this year's top 20:
Hypothetical, long shot (because this is a best case scenario for the artists, not a prediction, just a hypothetical. This is a best case scenario for the artists, but that doesn't mean it's easy for them to get the year end #1 for example. They'd need a huge enough hit with enough longevity to do that,) based on the assumption certain artists continue to have huge success this year, like in previous years. Also going by the idea that the second half of the chart year will be stronger than the first half this year. The ceiling could be around 700,000 points at least. 850,000 if an I Like It or In My Feelings happens this year.) I'll almost randomly predict the floor for the top 20 will be 400,000 points.
1. Post Malone (a song from his upcoming album) 2. Drake (from Certified Lover Boy) 3. Dua Lipa feat. Dababy 4. Justin Bieber feat. Daniel Ceasar & Giveon 5. The Weeknd (Blinding Lights) 6. 24kGoldn (Mood feat. iann dior) 7. Olivia Rodrigo 8. Ed Sheeran (a song from his upcoming album) 9. Kendrick Lamar (maybe) 10. The Weeknd (Save Your Tears) 11. Billie Eilish (from Happier Than Ever) 12. Travis Scott (from Utopia) 13. Roddy Ricch 14. Khalid (a song from his upcoming album) 15. Doja Cat (the song with SZA, Kiss Me More) 16. The Weeknd (a song from his upcoming album) 17. Polo G 18. Ariana Grande 19. Drake (possibly Wants And Needs) 20. (Probably an artist with a song yet to blow up, maybe Hip Hop or Pop or even Slap House, something on a moderate scale similar to Lil Tecca, with Ransom, back in 2019.)
For fun, long shot possibilities:
Trippie Redd and Playboi Carti get into the year end top 20 with Miss The Rage, the HVME remix of Goosebumps becomes the Roses (Imanbek remix) of this year, entering the year end top 20, J. Cole actually promotes the fan favorite this time (a song from The Off Season reaches the year end top 20)
Less long shot 50/50: A song goes viral to the extent where it ends up being a viral behemoth or just a huge song where the artist is more the one who has gone viral (the artist, who may be unknown to us right now, would have the year end number one song in the end.) In My Feelings did finish in the 2018 year end top ten with 800,000 points despite only releasing/debuting in late June of that year.
Edit: More context, shortened, me calling this a prediction was misleading since I intended it to be a what if hypothetical scenario rather than an actual formal prediction
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Groovy
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Post by Groovy on May 7, 2021 16:19:38 GMT -5
^There’s WAY too many hypotheticals with this prediction, your long shot is more like a marathon.
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gikem
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Post by gikem on May 7, 2021 16:30:28 GMT -5
Keep in mind we're reaching the halfway point of the Billboard year next week. With very rare exceptions (such as CITW/SATWYLT in 1997), the YE #1 typically debuts well before that halfway point. So unless the song in question is extremely strong in points every week, it'll be increasingly tough for any song that debuts between now and the end of the year to have a shot at the upper echelons of the YE.
To that end, I can see Post having another YE top 10 with his album apparently coming later this year, maybe even increasing his top 5 streak if he releases something before the end of June, but #1 is most likely out of the question.
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atg
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Post by atg on May 7, 2021 16:35:59 GMT -5
#getpostmalonehisyearendnumber1
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mikerivera
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Post by mikerivera on May 7, 2021 20:35:27 GMT -5
Keep in mind we're reaching the halfway point of the Billboard year next week. With very rare exceptions (such as CITW/SATWYLT in 1997), the YE #1 typically debuts well before that halfway point. So unless the song in question is extremely strong in points every week, it'll be increasingly tough for any song that debuts between now and the end of the year to have a shot at the upper echelons of the YE. To that end, I can see Post having another YE top 10 with his album apparently coming later this year, maybe even increasing his top 5 streak if he releases something before the end of June, but #1 is most likely out of the question. On the other hand, this has been by far the weakest year of the streaming era. If there was ever a year for a late bloomer to come in and take the top spot, it would be this one. No song this year has even passed the threshold for last year’s top 10. My concern is that the environment to have massive, sustained #1s simply doesn’t exist anymore. The last time we actually had a song like that was The Box over a year ago. WAP, Dynamite and Driver’s License have been the only points monsters since the pandemic started, and all three fizzled out after a couple weeks. And while it’s easy to blame the pandemic for that, it’s really a trend that long predates Covid. The reason the 2010s had so many massive #1s is that sales, streaming and radio all held a lot of individual power. Sales have been in decline since 2016 and are most assuredly not coming back. Radio has been bleeding audience since 2018, the pandemic only accelerated it. And even then, once most listeners make the switch to streaming, they usually don’t return to the radio. So streaming is already the only channel that can power a song to a lot of points. But here’s the thing: radio and sales both centralize listeners to a few, specific songs. Streaming decentralizes that, and leads to fewer people listening to the same few songs (which results in the points being spread more evenly across the chart). So outside of massive hype trains (a la WAP and Drivers License), it’s just harder to become dominant in the first place, let alone to retain that audience for months on end.
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musicbuff26
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Post by musicbuff26 on May 7, 2021 20:44:15 GMT -5
Interesting look at the competing songs for year end #1
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𝓲𝓽'𝓼.𝓰𝓿
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Post by 𝓲𝓽'𝓼.𝓰𝓿 on May 7, 2021 21:52:11 GMT -5
#getpostmalonehisyearendnumber1 Yeah, he got screwed twice and it's even back-to-back too. He just got unlucky that both "Sunflower" and "Circles" had to be second place with the YE #1 being songs with insane chart runs ("Old Town Road" with the 19 weeks at #1 and very strong streaming, and then "Blinding Lights" with the Top 10 longevity and the radio support) Hopefully, third time would be the charm for him and he gets the YE #1 he deserves.
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mikerivera
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Post by mikerivera on May 7, 2021 22:39:57 GMT -5
If Posty really wants his YE #1, he should collaborate with Ed Sheeran. It’ll break ALL the longevity records. It’ll be #1 on two year ends
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kcdawg13
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Post by kcdawg13 on May 8, 2021 0:28:50 GMT -5
I still think Levitating is gonna be the YE #1
Usually by now we know what's gonna be the YE #1, or at least have a decent idea. I remember this time last year we already knew the YE Top 3. It's kind of exciting actually, not knowing what's gonna be #1.
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inverse
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Post by inverse on May 8, 2021 1:20:43 GMT -5
Interesting look at the competing songs for year end #1 DL is unfortunately gonna get a really strong week pretty soon with the album release and sometimes that leads to weird longterm stability. For example Post Malone's Rockstar went 32 to 8 on the album week and then took eight weeks to fall back below 32 again so you can never say for sure. Think Save Your Tears will probably be the #1 by the end.
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oliviafan101
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Post by oliviafan101 on May 8, 2021 3:02:22 GMT -5
Interesting look at the competing songs for year end #1 DL is unfortunately gonna get a really strong week pretty soon with the album release and sometimes that leads to weird longterm stability. For example Post Malone's Rockstar went 32 to 8 on the album week and then took eight weeks to fall back below 32 again so you can never say for sure. Think Save Your Tears will probably be the #1 by the end. Fortunately*
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dremolus - solarpunk
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Post by dremolus - solarpunk on May 8, 2021 3:30:01 GMT -5
Predictions for the year end top 20 but by the artists names, as to show which artist could finish where in this year's top 20: Hypothetical, long shot, prediction based on the assumption certain artists continue to have huge success this year, like in previous years. Also going by the idea that the second half of the chart year will be stronger than the first half this year. The ceiling could be around 700,000 points at least. 850,000 if an I Like It or In My Feelings happens this year.) I'll almost randomly predict the floor for the top 20 will be 400,000 points. 1. Post Malone (a song from his upcoming album) 2. Drake (from Certified Lover Boy) 3. Dua Lipa feat. Dababy 4. Justin Bieber feat. Daniel Ceasar & Giveon 5. The Weeknd (Blinding Lights) 6. 24kGoldn (Mood feat. iann dior) 7. Olivia Rodrigo 8. Ed Sheeran (a song from his upcoming album) 9. Kendrick Lamar (maybe) 10. The Weeknd (Save Your Tears) 11. Billie Eilish (from Happier Than Ever) 12. Travis Scott (from Utopia) 13. Roddy Ricch 14. Khalid (a song from his upcoming album) 15. Doja Cat (the song with SZA, Kiss Me More) 16. The Weeknd (a song from his upcoming album) 17. Polo G 18. Ariana Grande 19. Drake (possibly Wants And Needs) 20. (Probably an artist with a song yet to blow up, maybe Hip Hop or Pop or even Slap House, something on a moderate scale similar to Lil Tecca, with Ransom, back in 2019.) As Groovy already stated, there's wayyyyy too many hypotheticals here and we're already half-way through the chart year so even if these album release do come true, I doubt the big releases will be that high (look at 2018 and 2020). Some of these albums haven't even been announced like Khalid, Ed Sheeran, Kendrick Lamar, Roddy Ricch, Weeknd's upcoming album, plus Utopia doesn't even have a proper date yet. Why aren't you basing this on songs that are being tracked right now or songs that actually exist? No offense but this reads more like a dream-YE list than one based on current trends right now.
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Post by After Minutes on May 8, 2021 3:39:16 GMT -5
I think that a major problem is that we've no year-defining hit this year, so it's pretty hard to guess. DL was huge, don't get me wrong, but it's impact felt a little... Limited? Contained would be the better word, I guess. So, if I had to guess, this would be my top 10: 1. Save Your Tears 2. Mood 3. Driver's license 4. Levitating 5. Blinding Lights 6. Leave the Door Open 7. Peaches 8. Positions 9. Kiss Me More 10. Rapstar
But I could see two or even three songs that haven't been released yet/haven't blown up make the ye-top 10, though the #1 is highly unlikely imo
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joshtheking
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Post by joshtheking on May 8, 2021 6:52:17 GMT -5
I think Deja Vu will have more longevity than Drivers License. It's fairly slow on radio rn but it is still gaining every day, and when the album drops it'll hopefully help the song stay stable and then radio gets more on board over the summer. Not sure about year end top 10, but maybe top 20
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iwin
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Post by iwin on May 8, 2021 7:12:41 GMT -5
Say, if an unreleased song was to top the ye this year, how many big weeks at no 1 would it need?
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Post by phieaglesfan712 on May 8, 2021 7:26:51 GMT -5
Say, if an unreleased song was to top the ye this year, how many big weeks at no 1 would it need? It depends on how late in the year the song was released, but they would need to go on a One Dance or Closer type run to have a chance. (These songs were released on a weak year, and they still didn't beat out Love Yourself for #1.) That being said, I think the Year End #1 has already made its mark on the chart, unless Kiss Me More gets that One Dance type run this summer, or BTS stans mass buy Butter all the way to double-digit weeks at #1.
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lifeofaguardian
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Post by lifeofaguardian on May 8, 2021 7:36:47 GMT -5
Week 25 - 08/05/2021Almost halfway through the year! No song really stands out to me as the Year-End number 1 so far, we'll just have to see! Current Tally (all songs over 125.000 points, 185.000 points to be considered locked):Added this week:Lil Nas X - Montero (Call Me By Your Name) Drop-Outs this week:None Songs Locked this week (and last):Silk Sonic (Bruno Mars & Anderson .Paak) - Leave the Door Open Pooh Shiesty ft. Lil Durk - Back In Blood Luke Combs - Forever After All The Kid LAROI - Without You Saweetie ft. Doja Cat - Best Friend Lil Tjay ft. 6LACK - Calling My Phone Justin Bieber - Anyone Songs Crossing the Cut-off this week (and last):Doja Cat - Streets SpotemGottem ft. Pooh Shiesty or DaBaby - Beat Box Currently lowest Locked song:Justin Bieber - Anyone Songs predicted to lock within 5 weeks:1 week:Doja Cat - Streets SpotemGottem ft. Pooh Shiesty or DaBaby - Beat Box Justin Bieber ft. Daniel Caesar & Giveon - Peaches 2 weeks:Gabby Barrett - the Good Ones Masked Wolf - Astronaut in the Ocean 3 weeks:Lil Nas X - Montero (Call Me By Your Name) 4 weeks:Thomas Rhett - What's Your Country Song Drake - What's Next Polo G - Rapstar 5 weeks:Parmalee x Blanco Brown - Just the Way H.E.R. - Damage Giveon - Heartbreak Anniversary Crossing cutoff in 5 weeks:Drake ft. Lil Baby - Wants and Needs Doja Cat ft. SZA - Kiss Me More Predicted Positions for Locked Drop-Outs:#67: Chris Stapleton - Starting Over #93: Megan Thee Stallion ft. DaBaby - Cry Baby Forecast (Songs must have 158.000 points when adding multiple weeks of the points gained last week to their total):
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Post by xtynaaguilera99 on May 8, 2021 7:42:49 GMT -5
Is Ariana Grande credited for Save Your Tears on YE?
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Groovy
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Post by Groovy on May 8, 2021 8:09:01 GMT -5
Is Ariana Grande credited for Save Your Tears on YE? Depends on how many weeks it gets but as of now, no.
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gikem
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Post by gikem on May 8, 2021 8:36:45 GMT -5
phieaglesfan kind of mentioned it already, but I do want to reiterate that Butter finishing in the YE top 10 is not out of the question. It's obviously going to have a huge debut that won't last, but the weakness of the current top spot means it could be there for several weeks, and given BTS' stans know how to mass-buy to meet their goals and there's more time for the song to make an impact on the YE than Dynamite had last year, I wouldn't be surprised if that's what ultimately ends up happening.
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jaffery
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Post by jaffery on May 8, 2021 8:43:54 GMT -5
Predictions for the year end top 20 but by the artists names, as to show which artist could finish where in this year's top 20: Hypothetical, long shot, prediction based on the assumption certain artists continue to have huge success this year, like in previous years. Also going by the idea that the second half of the chart year will be stronger than the first half this year. The ceiling could be around 700,000 points at least. 850,000 if an I Like It or In My Feelings happens this year.) I'll almost randomly predict the floor for the top 20 will be 400,000 points. 1. Post Malone (a song from his upcoming album) 2. Drake (from Certified Lover Boy) 3. Dua Lipa feat. Dababy 4. Justin Bieber feat. Daniel Ceasar & Giveon 5. The Weeknd (Blinding Lights) 6. 24kGoldn (Mood feat. iann dior) 7. Olivia Rodrigo 8. Ed Sheeran (a song from his upcoming album) 9. Kendrick Lamar (maybe) 10. The Weeknd (Save Your Tears) 11. Billie Eilish (from Happier Than Ever) 12. Travis Scott (from Utopia) 13. Roddy Ricch 14. Khalid (a song from his upcoming album) 15. Doja Cat (the song with SZA, Kiss Me More) 16. The Weeknd (a song from his upcoming album) 17. Polo G 18. Ariana Grande 19. Drake (possibly Wants And Needs) 20. (Probably an artist with a song yet to blow up, maybe Hip Hop or Pop or even Slap House, something on a moderate scale similar to Lil Tecca, with Ransom, back in 2019.) Very much long shot possibilities: Trippie Redd and Playboi Carti get into the year end top 20 with Miss The Rage, the HVME remix of Goosebumps becomes the Roses (Imanbek remix) of this year, entering the year end top 20, J. Cole actually promotes the fan favorite this time (a song from The Off Season reaches the year end top 20) Less long shot, 50/50: A song goes viral to the extent where it ends up being a viral behemoth or just a huge song where the artist is more the one who has gone viral (the artist, who may be unknown to us right now, would have the year end number one song in the end.) In My Feelings did finish in the 2018 year end top ten with 800,000 points despite only releasing/debuting in late June of that year. Post Malone could have the year end #1 song if he drops early enough, has a huge longevity hit with the single, but it would likely have to be a bigger hit in the moment as well in order to be likely to become the #1 hit of the year, giving Posty his longtime coming year end #1, after two years of finishing at #2. Drake could end up having the year end #1 with a regular big Drake hit, going by the chart point trends (and chart point projections) this year. He'll be more likely to get the year end #1 if there's no big Post Malone hit like the hypothetical one previously mentioned. Or if there's no huge viral hit of someone else's. Drake secures his 2021 year end #1 if he gets a huge viral hit instead. If ed sheeran releases the lead to minus, it's gonna go #1 this year or next year for sure
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jaffery
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Post by jaffery on May 8, 2021 8:48:21 GMT -5
I see peaches getting the year end #1 once the song has a 2nd wind with an award show performance with giveon and daniel ceaser and scooter releases the acoustic npr version which made it go viral in the first place. It has every single radio format on lock as well so it's longevity is secured
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dremolus - solarpunk
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Post by dremolus - solarpunk on May 8, 2021 8:58:08 GMT -5
Predictions for the year end top 20 but by the artists names, as to show which artist could finish where in this year's top 20: Hypothetical, long shot, prediction based on the assumption certain artists continue to have huge success this year, like in previous years. Also going by the idea that the second half of the chart year will be stronger than the first half this year. The ceiling could be around 700,000 points at least. 850,000 if an I Like It or In My Feelings happens this year.) I'll almost randomly predict the floor for the top 20 will be 400,000 points. 1. Post Malone (a song from his upcoming album) 2. Drake (from Certified Lover Boy) 3. Dua Lipa feat. Dababy 4. Justin Bieber feat. Daniel Ceasar & Giveon 5. The Weeknd (Blinding Lights) 6. 24kGoldn (Mood feat. iann dior) 7. Olivia Rodrigo 8. Ed Sheeran (a song from his upcoming album) 9. Kendrick Lamar (maybe) 10. The Weeknd (Save Your Tears) 11. Billie Eilish (from Happier Than Ever) 12. Travis Scott (from Utopia) 13. Roddy Ricch 14. Khalid (a song from his upcoming album) 15. Doja Cat (the song with SZA, Kiss Me More) 16. The Weeknd (a song from his upcoming album) 17. Polo G 18. Ariana Grande 19. Drake (possibly Wants And Needs) 20. (Probably an artist with a song yet to blow up, maybe Hip Hop or Pop or even Slap House, something on a moderate scale similar to Lil Tecca, with Ransom, back in 2019.) Very much long shot possibilities: Trippie Redd and Playboi Carti get into the year end top 20 with Miss The Rage, the HVME remix of Goosebumps becomes the Roses (Imanbek remix) of this year, entering the year end top 20, J. Cole actually promotes the fan favorite this time (a song from The Off Season reaches the year end top 20) Less long shot, 50/50: A song goes viral to the extent where it ends up being a viral behemoth or just a huge song where the artist is more the one who has gone viral (the artist, who may be unknown to us right now, would have the year end number one song in the end.) In My Feelings did finish in the 2018 year end top ten with 800,000 points despite only releasing/debuting in late June of that year. Post Malone could have the year end #1 song if he drops early enough, has a huge longevity hit with the single, but it would likely have to be a bigger hit in the moment as well in order to be likely to become the #1 hit of the year, giving Posty his longtime coming year end #1, after two years of finishing at #2. Drake could end up having the year end #1 with a regular big Drake hit, going by the chart point trends (and chart point projections) this year. He'll be more likely to get the year end #1 if there's no big Post Malone hit like the hypothetical one previously mentioned. Or if there's no huge viral hit of someone else's. Drake secures his 2021 year end #1 if he gets a huge viral hit instead. If ed sheeran releases the lead to minus, it's gonna go #1 this year or next year for sure I think y'all are putting too much stock in past records Trends indicate popularity which can help predict which songs we can expect to be successful but it's never an absolute fact certain songs will be big. In no way will Ed Sheeran have another Shape of You or Perfect, and the same goes for Drake not having another In My Feelings or God's Plan. There are either surprise smashes no one expects that end up beating established names (Bodak Yellow, drivers license, The Box, Old Town Road, Panda) or artists will see consistent success. Also I think you're forgetting that Ed Sheeran released an album after Divide which didn't go to number one when if not for OTR we all would've predicted would've gotten a number one hit, and that he released a return to folk with Afterglow which bombed on both airplay and streams.
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alexandria2001
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Post by alexandria2001 on May 8, 2021 9:10:22 GMT -5
Predictions for the year end top 20 but by the artists names, as to show which artist could finish where in this year's top 20: Hypothetical, long shot, prediction based on the assumption certain artists continue to have huge success this year, like in previous years. Also going by the idea that the second half of the chart year will be stronger than the first half this year. The ceiling could be around 700,000 points at least. 850,000 if an I Like It or In My Feelings happens this year.) I'll almost randomly predict the floor for the top 20 will be 400,000 points. 1. Post Malone (a song from his upcoming album) 2. Drake (from Certified Lover Boy) 3. Dua Lipa feat. Dababy 4. Justin Bieber feat. Daniel Ceasar & Giveon 5. The Weeknd (Blinding Lights) 6. 24kGoldn (Mood feat. iann dior) 7. Olivia Rodrigo 8. Ed Sheeran (a song from his upcoming album) 9. Kendrick Lamar (maybe) 10. The Weeknd (Save Your Tears) 11. Billie Eilish (from Happier Than Ever) 12. Travis Scott (from Utopia) 13. Roddy Ricch 14. Khalid (a song from his upcoming album) 15. Doja Cat (the song with SZA, Kiss Me More) 16. The Weeknd (a song from his upcoming album) 17. Polo G 18. Ariana Grande 19. Drake (possibly Wants And Needs) 20. (Probably an artist with a song yet to blow up, maybe Hip Hop or Pop or even Slap House, something on a moderate scale similar to Lil Tecca, with Ransom, back in 2019.) As Groovy already stated, there's wayyyyy too many hypotheticals here and we're already half-way through the chart year so even if these album release do come true, I doubt the big releases will be that high (look at 2018 and 2020). Some of these albums haven't even been announced like Khalid, Ed Sheeran, Kendrick Lamar, Roddy Ricch, Weeknd's upcoming album, plus Utopia doesn't even have a proper date yet. Why aren't you basing this on songs that are being tracked right now or songs that actually exist? No offense but this reads more like a dream-YE list than one based on current trends right now. I see what you mean. I did that whole thing more for fun, not in a troll way, but as an "if they ended up having hits this year/best case scenario based on previous years" type of prediction, so I agree it does read more like a dream year end. As for predictions that should be taken more seriously, I agree it would be difficult for Drake or Post Malone to get into the upper top ten of the year end as I stated. I'm thinking the best case for them IF they keep up their past success through this year. Yeah, we won't know for sure until the end of the year, and yes, best case isn't always most likey, especially since artists don't usually match their previous success (that's why I put Billie at #11 for best case 2021 instead of in the top 5.) Maybe I shouldn't have called it a prediction. If I'd make a not too-hypothetical/more should be treated more seriously than a "best case, IF..." by artist names then I'll do this: 1. Levitating 2. Peaches 3. Blinding Lights 4. Mood 5. Drivers License 6. Save Your Tears #7 - #10 could end up being anything not released yet. If certain songs keep up some longevity in the end they could make it in anyway. A mega hit with longevity could pass Save Your Tears if it debuts really soon then does 30k - 60k each week for a while then say Save Your Tears ends up falling in the summer because I feel like it was on the downswing before aside from the remix boost, but year end top 10 is still likely.) Here's less details to make it sound less like I'm treating the year end predictions too much like a marathon or as if I'm overthinking/overanalyzing about the dozens of possibilities at hand. I put in loads of, probably too much, details whenever I write anything, also I have fun with hypothetical scenarios, but the former is more of the issue for me (but that's my own responsibility. All I have to do is not obsess over comment structure (damn anxiety) so I don't press myself to dump everything into one single post.) So I will be a bit lighter on details in single posts. I should've kept in my head that post I made above, haha, because now I see how that was too much for a single post.
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Post by phieaglesfan712 on May 8, 2021 9:41:26 GMT -5
I see peaches getting the year end #1 once the song has a 2nd wind with an award show performance with giveon and daniel ceaser and scooter releases the acoustic npr version which made it go viral in the first place. It has every single radio format on lock as well so it's longevity is secured Well, the Billboard Music Awards show is on May 23rd (which will coincide with the Olivia album and Butter release week). It will be interesting to see who performs there. After the Grammy's debacle, I get the feeling Abel is going to be one of the performers.
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mikerivera
Platinum Member
Joined: November 2018
Posts: 1,666
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Post by mikerivera on May 8, 2021 9:48:09 GMT -5
I agree that Sheeran probably won’t have another Perfect or Shape of You, but let’s not forget that I Don’t Care was still a big hit that would’ve been #1 without the OTR craze. Also, Afterglow wasn’t promoted whatsoever, so I wouldn’t call it a flop. It’s like how Drake isn’t as big as he was in 2018, but he still put out an EP where all three songs went to the top 3. And that Laugh Now, Cry Later would have gone to #1 if it wasn’t for WAP and Dynamite. They’re in the same boat as Taylor Swift; no longer at their commercial peaks, but still some of the biggest names in music. I think we’re gonna see that from The Weeknd after this album cycle as well.
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jaffery
New Member
Joined: October 2019
Posts: 317
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Post by jaffery on May 8, 2021 10:59:45 GMT -5
I agree that Sheeran probably won’t have another Perfect or Shape of You, but let’s not forget that I Don’t Care was still a big hit that would’ve been #1 without the OTR craze. Also, Afterglow wasn’t promoted whatsoever, so I wouldn’t call it a flop. It’s like how Drake isn’t as big as he was in 2018, but he still put out an EP where all three songs went to the top 3. And that Laugh Now, Cry Later would have gone to #1 if it wasn’t for WAP and Dynamite. They’re in the same boat as Taylor Swift; no longer at their commercial peaks, but still some of the biggest names in music. I think we’re gonna see that from The Weeknd after this album cycle as well. wayyy to early to say ed sheeran wont have another perfect sized hit. The gp consume his math symbol albums on a whole different level because they appeal to every demographic. He will the biggest artist in the world when he comes back with Minus, mark my words.
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