Billboard Hot 100: 05/01/2021

[goldentakes]

Thugger/Drake will probably debut high but I think it'll fall off hard next week. The whole project was pretty mediocre, I wished Thugger would do stuff more in line with "Beautiful Thugger Girls", that mixtape was God tier.

[thegreatdivine]

All 23 songs from Slime Language 2 are currently in the top 73 of US Apple Music.

8 songs in the top 10.
12 songs in the top 20.
15 songs in the top 30.
18 songs in the top 40.
19 songs in the top 50.
22 songs in the top 60.

[meg]

If anyone interested and wants to actually see their live performances, BTS is doing 24h free old concerts marathon on youtube.

[iamsorare]

Apr 16, 2021 22:49:03 GMT -5 goldentakes said:

Thugger/Drake will probably debut high but I think it'll fall off hard next week. The whole project was pretty mediocre, I wished Thugger would do stuff more in line with "Beautiful Thugger Girls", that mixtape was God tier.

this is how drake's singles and features are performing on the charts the last few years..big debuts and then big fall

[nekotuo]

i think cupcakke has good chances to go viral in the tiktok era and have a few hits!

[phieaglesfan712]

Apr 17, 2021 5:16:26 GMT -5 iamsorare said:

Apr 16, 2021 22:49:03 GMT -5 goldentakes said:

Thugger/Drake will probably debut high but I think it'll fall off hard next week. The whole project was pretty mediocre, I wished Thugger would do stuff more in line with "Beautiful Thugger Girls", that mixtape was God tier.

this is how drake's singles and features are performing on the charts the last few years..big debuts and then big fall

Although No Guidance was an exception, and spent over 40 weeks on the charts.

[iamsorare]

Apr 17, 2021 7:14:32 GMT -5 phieaglesfan712 said:

Apr 17, 2021 5:16:26 GMT -5 iamsorare said:

this is how drake's singles and features are performing on the charts the last few years..big debuts and then big fall

Although No Guidance was an exception, and spent over 40 weeks on the charts.

thank you Chris!

[ontopofthis]

Apr 17, 2021 5:16:26 GMT -5 iamsorare said:

Apr 16, 2021 22:49:03 GMT -5 goldentakes said:

Thugger/Drake will probably debut high but I think it'll fall off hard next week. The whole project was pretty mediocre, I wished Thugger would do stuff more in line with "Beautiful Thugger Girls", that mixtape was God tier.

this is how drake's singles and features are performing on the charts the last few years..big debuts and then big fall

What Drake songs have had big debuts then big falls, though? This place feels really similar to The Twilight Zone at times

[phieaglesfan712]

Apr 17, 2021 9:51:15 GMT -5 ontopofthis said:

Apr 17, 2021 5:16:26 GMT -5 iamsorare said:

this is how drake's singles and features are performing on the charts the last few years..big debuts and then big fall

What Drake songs have had big debuts then big falls, though? This place feels really similar to The Twilight Zone at times

I do remember Drake debuting songs at 1-2-3 about a month ago, but they fell like rocks in Weeks 2, 3, and 4.

Edit: I looked up the runs, and although the songs stabilized in Week 5, their runs from Weeks 1-4 are anything but stable:

What's Next: 1-4-8-13
Wants and Needs: 2-10-19-34
Lemon Pepper Freestyle: 3-31-56-70

[joshtheking]

What happened to Kiss Me More on radio? Did I miss something?

[thegreatdivine]

Apr 17, 2021 10:04:45 GMT -5 joshtheking said:

What happened to Kiss Me More on radio? Did I miss something?

8th-day rolling effect. It should go back to gaining in tomorrow's update.

[joshtheking]

Apr 17, 2021 10:09:48 GMT -5 thegreatdivine said:

Apr 17, 2021 10:04:45 GMT -5 joshtheking said:

What happened to Kiss Me More on radio? Did I miss something?

8th-day rolling effect. It should go back to gaining in tomorrow's update.

Oh okay thanks. I've only started looking at radio updates

[ontopofthis]

Apr 17, 2021 10:04:42 GMT -5 phieaglesfan712 said:

Apr 17, 2021 9:51:15 GMT -5 ontopofthis said:

What Drake songs have had big debuts then big falls, though? This place feels really similar to The Twilight Zone at times

I do remember Drake debuting songs at 1-2-3 about a month ago, but they fell like rocks in Weeks 2, 3, and 4.

Edit: I looked up the runs, and although the songs stabilized in Week 5, their runs from Weeks 1-4 are anything but stable:

What's Next: 1-4-8-13
Wants and Needs: 2-10-19-34
Lemon Pepper Freestyle: 3-31-56-70

Falling 1 to 4 is falling like a rock? You have to be trolling, so I am just going to not entertain this anymore

[dremolus - solarpunk]

Apr 17, 2021 10:04:42 GMT -5 phieaglesfan712 said:

Apr 17, 2021 9:51:15 GMT -5 ontopofthis said:

What Drake songs have had big debuts then big falls, though? This place feels really similar to The Twilight Zone at times

I do remember Drake debuting songs at 1-2-3 about a month ago, but they fell like rocks in Weeks 2, 3, and 4.

Edit: I looked up the runs, and although the songs stabilized in Week 5, their runs from Weeks 1-4 are anything but stable:

What's Next: 1-4-8-13
Wants and Needs: 2-10-19-34
Lemon Pepper Freestyle: 3-31-56-70

WAN and LPF aren't proper singles, of course they're dropping like rocks

[phieaglesfan712]

1-4 by itself is not a bad fall, but the further drops to outside of the Top 10 by week 4 showed it was not really that stable. However, the first 4 weeks run of Lemon Pepper Freestyle's run is right there with Franchise and Trollz.

[ontopofthis]

On another note, I think that SZA’s song on social media is going to debut really high when they launch it similar to Montero, Rapstar and Drivers License. Number one is not out of the question if they release a video with it. Her album CTRL has not left the Billboard 200 yet. Her album is going to be so big

[thegreatdivine]

Apr 17, 2021 10:24:15 GMT -5 dremolus - solarpunk said:

Apr 17, 2021 10:04:42 GMT -5 phieaglesfan712 said:

I do remember Drake debuting songs at 1-2-3 about a month ago, but they fell like rocks in Weeks 2, 3, and 4.

Edit: I looked up the runs, and although the songs stabilized in Week 5, their runs from Weeks 1-4 are anything but stable:

What's Next: 1-4-8-13
Wants and Needs: 2-10-19-34
Lemon Pepper Freestyle: 3-31-56-70

WAN and LPF aren't proper singles, of course they're dropping like rocks

I think the only song anyone should/could have expected to have some stability is What's Next as it's the only song out of the 3 that got pushed on radio/got a music video. I know I expected it to spend more than 3 weeks in the top 10 and to not be dropping as hard as it is but even that's neither here nor there. Drake releases lots of music every year. Everything won't be a smash hit.

[CF15]

Apr 17, 2021 5:16:26 GMT -5 iamsorare said:

Apr 16, 2021 22:49:03 GMT -5 goldentakes said:

Thugger/Drake will probably debut high but I think it'll fall off hard next week. The whole project was pretty mediocre, I wished Thugger would do stuff more in line with "Beautiful Thugger Girls", that mixtape was God tier.

this is how drake's singles and features are performing on the charts the last few years..big debuts and then big fall

His early singles were the same way. I remember "Headlines" in 2011-2012 being his first one to surpass 24 weeks on the Hot 100 (while not even peaking in the top ten), despite "Best I Ever Had" peaking at #2 for several weeks. I guess his chart runs are just similar to many of Eminem's singles, with quick and high peaks but short chart life.

[iamsorare]

Spotify is late again

[starlord]

Apr 17, 2021 11:25:01 GMT -5 CF15 said:

Apr 17, 2021 5:16:26 GMT -5 iamsorare said:

this is how drake's singles and features are performing on the charts the last few years..big debuts and then big fall

His early singles were the same way. I remember "Headlines" in 2011-2012 being his first one to surpass 24 weeks on the Hot 100 (while not even peaking in the top ten), despite "Best I Ever Had" peaking at #2 for several weeks.
I guess his chart runs are just similar to many of Eminem's singles, with quick and high peaks but short chart life.

Yes, but that era was completely different. Digital singles were huge which were upfront and rap wasn't radio's darling(at least in this era Rap Superstar can peak better). 

[kalmanta]

Apr 17, 2021 10:29:44 GMT -5 ontopofthis said:

On another note, I think that SZA’s song on social media is going to debut really high when they launch it similar to Montero, Rapstar and Drivers License. Number one is not out of the question if they release a video with it. Her album CTRL has not left the Billboard 200 yet. Her album is going to be so big

You mean „Shirt/Bloodstained“? Yeah, the hype is big, it’s not even out and there are multiple versions with 1M+ views on YouTube.

[Enigma.]

Solid has 2.9 million streams on Spotify play count.

[iamsorare]

Apr 17, 2021 13:40:09 GMT -5 Enigma. said:

Solid has 2.9 million streams on Spotify play count.

not good but not that bad !... obviously it won't be a smash

[iHype.]

Apr 17, 2021 13:51:12 GMT -5 iamsorare said:

Apr 17, 2021 13:40:09 GMT -5 Enigma. said:

Solid has 2.9 million streams on Spotify play count.

not good but not that bad !... obviously it won't be a smash

3 million for a Young Thug/Gunna song isn’t good?...

[goldentakes]

Apr 17, 2021 13:40:09 GMT -5 Enigma. said:

Solid has 2.9 million streams on Spotify play count.

My guess with filtering it's probably around 2.6 million WW but most of those are probably U.S streams, so maybe like 1.7 mil?

[iamsorare]

Apr 17, 2021 16:51:54 GMT -5 iHype. said:

Apr 17, 2021 13:51:12 GMT -5 iamsorare said:

not good but not that bad !... obviously it won't be a smash

3 million for a Young Thug/Gunna song isn’t good?...

for a song with young thug/gunna AND drake yeah it's not good

[iHype.]

Apr 17, 2021 17:39:46 GMT -5 iamsorare said:

Apr 17, 2021 16:51:54 GMT -5 iHype. said:

3 million for a Young Thug/Gunna song isn’t good?...

for a song with young thug/gunna AND drake yeah it's not good

Lol, the song is probably doing near nothing outside US. It's primarily a Young Thug/Gunna project, and they have no big fanbases outside of US. Why on Earth one would expect a big global opening for a song by them is weird. Drake didn't magically make Bryson Tiller/21 Savage/Lil Baby/etc do huge global numbers when he did a feature for them. 

3 million means it probably did 2m+ in US. You were expecting 5 million+? 

"Mr. Right Now" debuted with 3.5 million worldwide on Spotify and 21 Savage's album did higher numbers in general first week (171k versus a projected 125k for Gunna/Thug).

[kimberly]

#3 start with 1.6 million. solid start but nothing impressive.

[iamsorare]

Safe to say that we won't have a new #1 song on hot 100 next week.probably rapstar will remain at #1 or lil nas vs. bieber to return ...

[𝕡𝕙𝕖𝕖𝕓𝕤]

“Rapstar” hasn’t clicked for me yet and I’m panicking because I don’t wanna be one of the whiners that doesn’t get it 😭