Billboard Hot 100: 10/02/2021

[dremolus - solarpunk]

US Spotify - 09/20/21

1(=) Lil Nas X - INDUSTRY BABY 1,916,330 (+14,615)
2(=) Drake - Way 2 Sexy 1,497,776 (+15,597)
3(+1) Lil Nas X - THATS WHAT I WANT 1,480,037 (+138,048)
4(-1) The Kid LAROI - STAY 1,462,285 (-17,908)
5(=) Drake - Knife Talk 1,325,855 (+88,467)
6(=) Glass Animals - Heat Waves 1,124,732 (+35,353)
7(=) Lil Nas X - MONTERO (Call Me By Your Name) 1,063,389 (+6,330)
8(=) Drake - Fair Trade 1,056,046 (+76,305)
9(=) Olivia Rodrigo - good 4 u 871,822 (-6,702)
10(+3) Baby Keem - family ties 855,419 (+101,043)

Lil Nas X - MONTERO
17(+1) Lil Nas X - SCOOP 734,735 (+34,804)
20(=) DOLLA SIGN SLIME 685,944 (+21,670)
26(+2) DEAD RIGHT NOW 599,639 (+49,990)
29(+4) TALES OF DOMINICA 558,365 (+44,955)
30(+2) SUN GOES DOWN 547,697 (+34,209)
33(+2) LOST IN THE CITADEL 534,975 (+46,444)
37(=) ONE OF ME 514,831 (+34,074)
39(+4) AM I DREAMING 472,454 (+38,947)
41(+3) DONT WANT IT 467,212 (+38,404)
53(=) VOID 403,394 (+28,533)
56(+5) LIFE AFTER SALEM 369,542 (+25,345)
Total Streams: 10,348,544

Drake - Certified Lover Boy
12(-1) Girls Want Girls 806,192 (+35,203)
25(-1) Champagne Poetry 620,188 (+32,234)
35(+1) No Friends In The Industry 518,616 (+30,173)
46(-1) TSU 433,639 (+14,258)
58(=) In the Bible 367,637 (+19,473)
60(-1) N 2 Deep 361,980 (+14,820)
62(+1) Papi's Home 357,721 (+15,868)
69(+1) Love All 330,293 (+14,550)
83(-1) Pipe Down 310,788 (+15,150)
88(+3) IMY2 309,403 (+24,871)
Total Streams: 9,468,328

Others:
11(-1) Doja Cat - Need to Know 842,241 (-1,886)
13(+3) THE ANXIETY, WILLOW, Tyler Cole - Meet Me At Our Spot 795,384 (+66,895)
14(+1) Kanye West - Hurricane 792,997 (+59,511)
15(-3) Doja Cat - Kiss Me More 769,566 (+1,422)
16(-2) Doja Cat - Woman 752,116 (+6,119)
18(+1) Taylor Swift - Wildest Dreams (Taylor's Version) 700,315 (+15,654)
19(-2) Sleepy Hallow - 2055 688,645 (-32,615)
21(=) Ed Sheeran - Shivers 679,339 (+57,884)
22(+3) Billie Eilish - Happier Than Ever 661,700 (+78,441)
23(+3) Kanye West - Moon 623,574 (+62,161)
24(-1) Ed Sheeran - Bad Habits 620,353 (+21,548)
27(=) Olivia Rodrigo - traitor 592,483 (+42,296)
28(-6) Farruko - Pepas 571,930 (-34,723)
31(+3) Steve Lacy - Dark Red 546,511 (+47,582)
32(-3) Måneskin - Beggin' 537,882 (-3,849)
34(-3) Doja Cat - Get Into It (Yuh) 519,790 (-8,076)
36(-6) Dua Lipa - Levitating 517,451 (-14,796)
38(+3) Kanye West - Off the Grid 486,373 (+47,263)
40(-1) Walker Hayes - Fancy Like 467,740 (-8,987)
47(-1) Surf Curse - Freaks 429,655 (+16,985)
48(+3) Meek Mill - Sharing Locations 427,789 (+45,824)
50(=) Chlöe - Have Mercy 407,648 (+15,489)
51(+4) DaBaby - Lonely 405,773 (+38,670)
52(=) Eslabon Armado, DannyLux - Jugaste y Sufrí 404,089 (+25,384)
57(-1) Oliver Tree - Life Goes On 369,495 (+6,531)
61(+1) The Weeknd - Save Your Tears Remix 359,438 (+16,494)
63(-6) Tai Verdes - A-O-K 354,542 (+5,623)
66(+7) $uicideboy$ - ...And to Those I Love, Thanks for Sticking Around 343,611 (+30,647)
67(-1) The Weeknd - Take My Breath 342,391 (+13,117)
68(+11) Baby Keem - range brothers 331,635 (+32,617)
71(+3) Doja Cat, The Weeknd - You Right 324,803 (+13,546)
73(+20) iann dior - V12 323,770 (+41,447)
75(-11) Megan Thee Stallion - Thot Shit 321,683 (-13,096)
76(-1) A-Wall - Loverboy 319,738 (+10,707)
77(-1) PinkPantheress - Pain 318,418 (+9,891)
82(+18) Lil Tecca - REPEAT IT 311,889 (+36,149)
87(+10) Marshmello - Leave Before You Love Me 309,408 (+29,197)
90(-6) Elton John, Dua Lipa - Cold Heart (PNAU Remix) 305,175 (+10,237)
93(-13) Lizzo - Rumors 302,399 (+4,850)
94(-5) Kanye West - Jail 301,684 (+12,487)
100(-12) Aventura, Bad Bunny - Volví 291,874 (+1,681)

112(+18) Kacey Musgraves - breadwinner 268,835 (+28,753)
114(+27) CKay - love nwantiti (ah ah ah) 267,646 (+37,916)
120(-18) J Balvin, Skrillex - In Da Getto 261,389 (-13,578)
122(+13) Sueco - Paralyzed 260,125 (+27,246)
124(+24) Billie Eilish - Happier Than Ever Edit 259,053 (+30,675)
126(-1) Lil Tecca - LOT OF ME 258,400 (+14,738)
129(-15) Blueface, Og Bobby Billions - Outside (Better Days) 256,971 (+2,118)
139(+3) Jordan Davis, Luke Bryan - Buy Dirt 249,346 (+19,725)
163(-7) PinkPantheress - Just for me 229,032 (+6,209)
165(+2) bbno$ - edamame 227,920 (+14,306)
172(+4) Blxst, Tyga - Chosen 221,034 (+12,694)
175(-5) The Weeknd - Save Your Tears 220,447 (+9,044)
176(+14) Ryan Hurd - Chasing After You 218,895 (+20,033)
193(-8) Roddy Ricch - Late At Night 212,054 (+9,749)
195(-15) Måneskin - I WANNA BE YOUR SLAVE 211,515 (+5,404)

Total Streams for Happier Than Ever: 920,753
Total Streams for Save Your Tears: 579,885

Biggest Gains (50K+): Moon, Happier Than Ever, Shivers, Hurricane, Meet Me At Our Spot, family ties, Fair Trade, Knife Talk, THATS WHAT I WANT

[musicspy]

Sept 21, 2021 9:00:31 GMT -5 kalmanta said:

Does anybody know why kworb won’t no longer show the full 1500 places of the Apple Music song chart? It stops at #200 for every major country now.

Kworb also doesnt show positions higher than 200 on Itunes as well. And the Spotify updates are stuck for days

[phieaglesfan712]

Sept 21, 2021 9:01:48 GMT -5 dremolus - solarpunk said:

US Spotify - 09/20/21

1(=) Lil Nas X - INDUSTRY BABY 1,916,330 (+14,615)
2(=) Drake - Way 2 Sexy 1,497,776 (+15,597)
3(+1) Lil Nas X - THATS WHAT I WANT 1,480,037 (+138,048)
4(-1) The Kid LAROI - STAY 1,462,285 (-17,908)
5(=) Drake - Knife Talk 1,325,855 (+88,467)
6(=) Glass Animals - Heat Waves 1,124,732 (+35,353)
7(=) Lil Nas X - MONTERO (Call Me By Your Name) 1,063,389 (+6,330)
8(=) Drake - Fair Trade 1,056,046 (+76,305)
9(=) Olivia Rodrigo - good 4 u 871,822 (-6,702)
10(+3) Baby Keem - family ties 855,419 (+101,043)

Lil Nas X - MONTERO
17(+1) Lil Nas X - SCOOP 734,735 (+34,804)
20(=) DOLLA SIGN SLIME 685,944 (+21,670)
26(+2) DEAD RIGHT NOW 599,639 (+49,990)
29(+4) TALES OF DOMINICA 558,365 (+44,955)
30(+2) SUN GOES DOWN 547,697 (+34,209)
33(+2) LOST IN THE CITADEL 534,975 (+46,444)
37(=) ONE OF ME 514,831 (+34,074)
39(+4) AM I DREAMING 472,454 (+38,947)
41(+3) DONT WANT IT 467,212 (+38,404)
53(=) VOID 403,394 (+28,533)
56(+5) LIFE AFTER SALEM 369,542 (+25,345)
Total Streams: 10,348,544

Great streaming numbers for LNX. Keep streaming Industry Baby to secure its place at #1 on the Hot 100.

[flextamcsignals]

How does Drunk (And I Don't Wanna Go Home) look? Will Lil Nas X make it go recurrent? I hope not, I really want it to make the year-end list.

[Naos]

Perhaps a little randomly, the Pokemon theme is in the Top 100 on iTunes. Won't do anything chart wise obviously, sales are low, but it's still funny.

[nathanalbright]

Sept 21, 2021 10:27:02 GMT -5 flextamcsignals said:

How does Drunk (And I Don't Wanna Go Home) look? Will Lil Nas X make it go recurrent? I hope not, I really want it to make the year-end list.

From what we have seen, at least, Drunk (And I Don't Want To Go Home) will stay on the charts or go recurrent based on whether or not it is being actively pushed on one or more radio genres, regardless of where it sits on the charts.  The Lil Nas X album bomb would not affect its radio fate, so even if it loses positions it should still have the bullet it would need to avoid recurrency this week.  How long it goes on will depend on whether or not it keeps that bullet, because its odds of going into the top 50 at this point do not appear to be great.    

[joshtheking]

Sept 21, 2021 11:24:45 GMT -5 nathanalbright said:

Sept 21, 2021 10:27:02 GMT -5 flextamcsignals said:

How does Drunk (And I Don't Wanna Go Home) look? Will Lil Nas X make it go recurrent? I hope not, I really want it to make the year-end list.

From what we have seen, at least, Drunk (And I Don't Want To Go Home) will stay on the charts or go recurrent based on whether or not it is being actively pushed on one or more radio genres, regardless of where it sits on the charts.  The Lil Nas X album bomb would not affect its radio fate, so even if it loses positions it should still have the bullet it would need to avoid recurrency this week.  How long it goes on will depend on whether or not it keeps that bullet, because its odds of going into the top 50 at this point do not appear to be great.    

Perhaps it could be another One Too Many. Wouldn't complain because Drunk is a great song. Phigeales can't complain about this one because this song did have legitimate good streaming and sales for a while

[Gary]

Drunk and I Don't Wanna Go Home is gaining on country radio - that is the reason it is not recurrent

One Too Many went recurrent when country radio dropped it and not before

[nathanalbright]

Sept 21, 2021 11:29:13 GMT -5 joshtheking said:

Sept 21, 2021 11:24:45 GMT -5 nathanalbright said:

From what we have seen, at least, Drunk (And I Don't Want To Go Home) will stay on the charts or go recurrent based on whether or not it is being actively pushed on one or more radio genres, regardless of where it sits on the charts.  The Lil Nas X album bomb would not affect its radio fate, so even if it loses positions it should still have the bullet it would need to avoid recurrency this week.  How long it goes on will depend on whether or not it keeps that bullet, because its odds of going into the top 50 at this point do not appear to be great.    

Perhaps it could be another One Too Many. Wouldn't complain because Drunk is a great song. Phigeales can't complain about this one because this song did have legitimate good streaming and sales for a while

Yes, that is the best case scenario here. And let us not forget that OTM did get 100M streams on Spotify and that its comparative sales and streaming, especially earlier in its run, are what allowed the song to rack up so many weeks before it finally got picked up on radio long enough to secure its own YE position and its place as the only sub-50 song so far to have 34 weeks or more on the chart.

[iamsorare]

early predictions

[degen]

I hope Lil Nas X has a trick up his sleeve. Seems odd that he’s that close to #1 and wouldn’t try to go for it. A midweek remix or anything at this point could help.

[nathanalbright]

Sept 21, 2021 14:21:08 GMT -5 degen said:

I hope Lil Nas X has a trick up his sleeve. Seems odd that he’s that close to #1 and wouldn’t try to go for it. A midweek remix or anything at this point could help.

He has seemed strangely complacent during Industry Baby's run so far, letting it get its chart points pretty naturally it would seem.

[dovahduck]

Abel really missed out on this being a top five hit:

[TakeMe]

Sept 21, 2021 11:53:29 GMT -5 iamsorare said:

early predictions

Wild Side a fighter!!!

[s9983]

Sept 21, 2021 14:21:08 GMT -5 degen said:

I hope Lil Nas X has a trick up his sleeve. Seems odd that he’s that close to #1 and wouldn’t try to go for it. A midweek remix or anything at this point could help.

agreed. It's prolly bc the biggest prediction pages TOTC and simon don't do predictions anymore and those were the ones that went viral and would get celebs' attention. He's also more focused on promoting the album. Getting a #1 album is definitely the priority for him. That one is a lot closer too

[jenglisbe]

Sept 21, 2021 15:16:50 GMT -5 s9983 said:

Sept 21, 2021 14:21:08 GMT -5 degen said:

I hope Lil Nas X has a trick up his sleeve. Seems odd that he’s that close to #1 and wouldn’t try to go for it. A midweek remix or anything at this point could help.

agreed. It's prolly bc the biggest prediction pages TOTC and simon don't do predictions anymore and those were the ones that went viral and would get celebs' attention. He's also more focused on promoting the album. Getting a #1 album is definitely the priority for him. That one is a lot closer too

Helping the single helps the album, too, though.

[s9983]

Sept 21, 2021 15:18:06 GMT -5 jenglisbe said:

Sept 21, 2021 15:16:50 GMT -5 s9983 said:

agreed. It's prolly bc the biggest prediction pages TOTC and simon don't do predictions anymore and those were the ones that went viral and would get celebs' attention. He's also more focused on promoting the album. Getting a #1 album is definitely the priority for him. That one is a lot closer too

Helping the single helps the album, too, though.

Not nearly as much as supporting the album itself tho lmao. He's very knowledgable about the charts considering the fact that he used to be part of stan twitter. He should have released a 2nd version/remixes of the song or dropped different versions of it on youtube like he did with montero. Squandered opportunities honestly. If his album doesn't go #1 that's gonna be rly unfortunate considering he prolly would've had the #1 album almost any other week lmao

[degen]

Sept 21, 2021 15:29:05 GMT -5 s9983 said:

Sept 21, 2021 15:18:06 GMT -5 jenglisbe said:

Helping the single helps the album, too, though.

Not nearly as much as supporting the album itself tho lmao. He's very knowledgable about the charts considering the fact that he used to be part of stan twitter. He should have released a 2nd version/remixes of the song or dropped different versions of it on youtube like he did with montero. Squandered opportunities honestly. If his album doesn't go #1 that's gonna be rly unfortunate considering he prolly would've had the #1 album almost any other week lmao

While a #1 album would be great, it doesn’t feel as prominent as a Hot 100 #1 for some reason. Maybe “Industry Baby” will have a chance again in a couple weeks after radio is higher and BTS is done with their carnage on the charts? Its streams seem to be holding up very well so I don’t see it losing much steam. I’m not writing off a #1 for IB if it doesn’t happen this week.

[phieaglesfan712]

I think it’s this week or bust for Industry Baby, as far as the Hot 100 #1 goes. Even if the Coldplay/BTS thing is a one-week wonder, Fancy Like is almost certainly going to jump ahead of IB in a few weeks time.

[kcdawg13]

I like the idea of a Lil Nas X hit without any gimmicks, Industry Baby being such a big hit without any tactics to get it to #1 is cool. Once in a while it's fine to let the song just ride, at the end of the day the track has great streaming and still has a ways before it peaks on radio, so it should have decent longevity even if it doesn't get #1.

[fridayteenage]

Stop trying to will fancy like into being a #1 hit, please.

[s9983]

Sept 21, 2021 16:55:55 GMT -5 phieaglesfan712 said:

I think it’s this week or bust for Industry Baby, as far as the Hot 100 #1 goes. Even if the Coldplay/BTS thing is a one-week wonder, Fancy Like is almost certainly going to jump ahead of IB in a few weeks time.

fancy like? LMAO said who? That song is nowhere near IB on the charts nor does it seem very upcoming. Other songs are bigger threats.

[kcdawg13]

I really don't think Fancy Like is going #1, maybe #2. But really it's streaming and radio isn't there to push it past Stay.

[jenglisbe]

Sept 21, 2021 18:56:38 GMT -5 kcdawg13 said:

I really don't think Fancy Like is going #1, maybe #2. But really it's streaming and radio isn't there to push it past Stay.

"FL" is now top 15 at country with a huge bullet. If it gets to #1 there it would be over 30 million impressions.
It is approaching top 20 at Top 40 radio. If it were to go top 10 there, it could get 30 million impressions or more.
It also has a big bullet at Hot AC. If it peaks at all 3 formats at a similar time, it could easily threaten for #1 in airplay.

Its sales have been steadily strong, so it has that metric going for it as well.

[Baby Yoda Hot100Fan]

September is #2 at iTunes.

Not many other than the BTS Army paid attention to this happening today:

Watch BTS music video for Permission to Dance, filmed at the United Nations

[otaviohmg]

[dremolus - solarpunk]

I mean regardless of whether MONTERO or INDUSTRY BABY goes to number one or not, he'll still have 2/3 songs in the Top 10 and the album would still be one of the best albums of the year. It's a win for him no matter what happens.

[phieaglesfan712]

Sept 21, 2021 18:41:17 GMT -5 s9983 said:

Sept 21, 2021 16:55:55 GMT -5 phieaglesfan712 said:

I think it’s this week or bust for Industry Baby, as far as the Hot 100 #1 goes. Even if the Coldplay/BTS thing is a one-week wonder, Fancy Like is almost certainly going to jump ahead of IB in a few weeks time.

fancy like? LMAO said who? That song is nowhere near IB on the charts nor does it seem very upcoming. Other songs are bigger threats.

lol, you must be looking at a different chart than I am. The 9/25 Hot 100 chart I'm looking at has Fancy Like at #5 (and believe it or not, above IB). The reason why IB is moving above FL is this week is because of the album release, and that boost is only temporary. I fully expect FL to move back above IB. FL is almost certainly going to be a #1 soon. It's #1 in sales (without a discount, I might add) and rapidly growing on radio. There aren't any songs that are bigger threats out there right now. The only one that really comes close is Heat Waves, and that is missing the radio it needs to compete with FL.

[s9983]

Sept 21, 2021 23:06:37 GMT -5 phieaglesfan712 said:

Sept 21, 2021 18:41:17 GMT -5 s9983 said:

fancy like? LMAO said who? That song is nowhere near IB on the charts nor does it seem very upcoming. Other songs are bigger threats.

lol, you must be looking at a different chart than I am. The 9/25 Hot 100 chart I'm looking at has Fancy Like at #5 (and believe it or not, above IB). The reason why IB is moving above FL is this week is because of the album release, and that boost is only temporary. I fully expect FL to move back above IB. FL is almost certainly going to be a #1 soon. It's #1 in sales (without a discount, I might add) and rapidly growing on radio. There aren't any songs that are bigger threats out there right now. The only one that really comes close is Heat Waves, and that is missing the radio it needs to compete with FL.

fair point, had no idea it was that high, and i still dont understand how it's possible. Must be some absurd number of sales it's getting. Rising airplay as well which can prove to be a threat... Although the streaming numbers aren't anything great. It's probably going to fizzle out but yea, no chance of going #1 unless theres an increase in streams when the airplay is near/at it's peak

[Baby Yoda Hot100Fan]

kworb's Billboard Radio Songs Estimates 2021/09/22

1(=) The Kid LAROI & Justin Bieber - STAY 98.70(+1.06)
2(=) Ed Sheeran - Bad Habits 96.21(+0.20)
3(=) Olivia Rodrigo - good 4 u 87.64(-0.06)
4(=) Doja Cat - Kiss Me More (feat. SZA) 80.94(-0.19)
5(=) Dua Lipa - Levitating (feat. DaBaby) 70.67(-0.83)
6(=) The Weeknd - Save Your Tears 57.15(-0.19)
7(=) Lil Nas X & Jack Harlow - INDUSTRY BABY 57.08(+1.01)
8(=) Lil Nas X - MONTERO (Call Me By Your Name) 55.61(-0.21)
9(+1) Doja Cat & The Weeknd - You Right 54.17(-0.22)
10(+1) The Weeknd - Take My Breath 54.08(+0.44)

12(=) Wizkid - Essence (feat. Tems) 52.67(+1.03)

15(=) Måneskin - Beggin 46.27(+1.33)

24(+1) Walker Hayes - Fancy Like 35.86(+1.85)

38(+4) Ed Sheeran - Shivers 29.03(+1.73)

48(+7) Doja Cat - Need To Know 25.34(+1.68)

-(-) Justin Bieber - Ghost 6.70(+0.93)

-(-) Jhay Cortez & Anuel Aa - Ley Seca 2.16(+0.81) +