rainie
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but its not real, and you don't exist
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Post by rainie on Oct 30, 2022 20:34:57 GMT -5
1. i'll go with c but i have a weird feeling it might underperform ? probably not less than 30 mil but i could see it reaching the low side of the b range 2. total tossup but my gut is saying nah, that said i could totally be wrong here 3. die for you since it's newer n has more room to grow but i think it'll be close and both will likely end up with at least a peak in the teens when it's all said and done (with die for you potentially cracking the lower half of the top 10)
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Post by ๐ฒ๐ฝ'๐ผ.๐ฐ๐ฟ on Oct 30, 2022 20:54:10 GMT -5
1. C 2. Yes 3. Die for You
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jasper0102
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Post by jasper0102 on Oct 30, 2022 21:18:12 GMT -5
Bruh, how did I get my best point update since the Renaissance week? 1. D 2. No, Drake and 21 are gonna keep her from doing it, though it will be close. 3. Die For You, seems like Unstoppable has peaked on radio and thatโs really all it has.
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enwhy
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Post by enwhy on Nov 3, 2022 11:07:38 GMT -5
1. E: More than 60M - I stand by that the streams off this album are gonna be nuts. Pent up demand for a big GP-friendly rap album (last big one was maybe Kendrick?), Drake/21 being a really good combo, and they appear to be doing a little bit of social media promo? Whatever track they lead with should be able to outstream Anti-Hero's first week. (FWIW I think the album bomb will be much less of an impact...the incoming changes to how airplay is measured will boost most of the top 10 tracks by 15%+, which makes it that much harder to go top 10 off streams alone)
2. No - I've seen absolutely no hype for this documentary or song. Also Drake is probably going to get 15 songs in the Top 40. Also Taylor should still have 5-10 songs in the Top 40...I just don't see it.
3. Die For You - This would've been more of a toss up a few weeks ago. Now, DFY has 3x the streams and 5x the radio bullet as Unstoppable. Once these album bombs settle, DFY could be looking at a Top 10 peak.
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85la
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Joined: July 2007
Posts: 3,695
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Post by 85la on Nov 3, 2022 11:34:45 GMT -5
1. C 2. No 3. Die For You
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Post by Limited Edition on Nov 3, 2022 20:04:11 GMT -5
Q1: D
Q2: No
Q3: Die For You
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Post by Baby Yoda Hot100Fan on Nov 3, 2022 20:20:32 GMT -5
1. D 2. No 3. Die for You
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Deleted
Joined: January 1970
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Nov 3, 2022 22:10:12 GMT -5
1. D 2. No 3. Die For You
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enwhy
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Post by enwhy on Nov 6, 2022 9:47:21 GMT -5
This week's questions (Deadline Thursday, November 10) Next week is looking to be pretty quiet as far as major releases go. Let's do another round of Predict The Peaks! For each song, guess what position it will peak at by Dec 31st. 25 points go to the closest predictors(s) - or 50 if you guess it exactly! Remember, we're predicting where the peak will be by the end of this year - not overall!
***KEEP IN MIND: Last year, the Top 20 was majority Christmas songs by the Dec 11th chart. So we basically have 3-4 weeks left for current songs to peak. Predict accordingly!
1: "I'm Good (Blue)" - David Guetta & Bebe Rexha (#14 Peak so far) Last 6 weeks on the chart (goes older -> newer): - 21 - 18 - 16 - 14 - 24 - 15 (would be #10 without Taylor) Estimated 9% point gain in current week What position will "I'm Good (Blue)" peak at? (By 12/31 chart)
2: "CUFF IT" - Beyoncรฉ (#13 Peak so far) Last 6 weeks on the chart: - 54 - 36 - 27 - 33 - 39 - 31 (would be #22 without Taylor) Estimated 7% point gain last week What position will "CUFF IT" peak at? (By 12/31 chart)
3: "Die For You" - The Weeknd (#27 Peak so far) Last 6 weeks on the chart: - 41 - 37 - 33 - 37 - 43 - 27 (would be #18 without Taylor) Estimated 10% point gain last week What position will "Die For You" peak at? (By 12/31 chart)
4: "Just Wanna Rock" - Lil Uzi Vert (#48 Peak so far) Last 6 weeks on the chart: 86 - 48 - 48 (would be #35 without Taylor) Estimated -3% point loss last week What position will "Just Wanna Rock" peak at? (By 12/31 chart)
5: "Golden Hour" - JVKE (#54 Peak so far) Last 6 weeks on the chart: - 60 - 58 - 56 - 62 - 54 - 46 (would be #33 without Taylor) Estimated 8% point gain last week What position will "Golden Hour" peak at? (By 12/31 chart)
6: "Made You Look" - Meghan Trainor (#63 Peak so far) Last 6 weeks on the chart: 95 - 63 (would be #49 without Taylor) Estimated 62% point gain last week What position will "Made You Look" peak at? (By 12/31 chart)
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joshtheking
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Post by joshtheking on Nov 6, 2022 10:04:57 GMT -5
I'm Good (Blue) - #10 Cuff It - #13 Die For You - #16 Just Wanna Rock - #48 Golden Hour - #34 Made You Look - #53
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jasper0102
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I CAN GET BY THE DAYS JUST FINE BUT THE NIGHTS
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Post by jasper0102 on Nov 7, 2022 0:49:59 GMT -5
1. #14 #9 2. #13 3. #27 4. #48 5. #44 6. #55
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enwhy
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Post by enwhy on Nov 9, 2022 22:35:07 GMT -5
Updated the questions to include the latest chart week: 1: "I'm Good (Blue)" - David Guetta & Bebe Rexha (#14 Peak so far) Last 6 weeks on the chart (goes older -> newer): - 21 - 18 - 16 - 14 - 24 - 15 (would be #10 without Taylor)
2: "CUFF IT" - Beyoncรฉ (#13 Peak so far) Last 6 weeks on the chart: - 54 - 36 - 27 - 33 - 39 - 31 (would be #22 without Taylor)
3: "Die For You" - The Weeknd (#27 Peak so far) Last 6 weeks on the chart: - 41 - 37 - 33 - 37 - 43 - 27 (would be #18 without Taylor)
4: "Just Wanna Rock" - Lil Uzi Vert (#48 Peak so far) Last 6 weeks on the chart: 86 - 48 - 48 (would be #35 without Taylor)
5: "Golden Hour" - JVKE (#54 Peak so far) Last 6 weeks on the chart: - 60 - 58 - 56 - 62 - 54 - 46 (would be #33 without Taylor)
6: "Made You Look" - Meghan Trainor (#63 Peak so far) Last 6 weeks on the chart: 95 - 63 (would be #49 without Taylor) Estimated 62% point gain last week What position will "Made You Look" peak at? (By 12/31 chart)
Also, my guesses: 1. I'm Good (Blue) - #7 2. Cuff It - #10 3. Die For You - #8 4. Just Wanna Rock - #48 5. Golden Hour - #35 6. Made You Look - #45
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mms82
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...
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Post by mms82 on Nov 9, 2022 23:57:29 GMT -5
1: 12 2: 18 3: 25 4: 48 5: 35 6: 8
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85la
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Joined: July 2007
Posts: 3,695
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Post by 85la on Nov 10, 2022 11:20:44 GMT -5
1. #10 2. #13 3. #18 4. #22 5. #38 6. #30
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M5AGTS
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Posts: 2,868
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Post by M5AGTS on Nov 10, 2022 13:10:21 GMT -5
1. 10 2. 16 3. 20 4. 27 5. 30 6. 43
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Post by Baby Yoda Hot100Fan on Nov 10, 2022 18:15:02 GMT -5
1. #11 2. #13 3. #15 4. #48 5. #40 6. #27
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Deleted
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Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Nov 10, 2022 22:30:37 GMT -5
1. 13 2. 13 3. 20 4. 48 5. 29 6. 33
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Post by king_billboard_100 on Nov 11, 2022 7:35:26 GMT -5
1. #8 2. #13 3. 14 4. 48 5. 37
6. 23
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enwhy
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Post by enwhy on Nov 13, 2022 10:25:24 GMT -5
Here's this week's Taylor-centric score update! Oct 20: How many songs will Taylor Swift debut in the Top 10?
No one came close on this one! Taylor of course debuted 10 songs in the top 10. Without a doubt, the biggest album debut in Hot 100 history. It wasn't particularly close either, as Billboard announced she would have done it with streams alone - no sales gimmicks needed! Our closest predictor, mms82 , will earn 55 points for their guess of 6 (a perfect guess of 10 would've earned 110 points, but for a "closest" guess, I cut it in half). Congrats! Oct 20: Will a Taylor track beat "First Class" (54.6M) for the biggest streaming week of the year next week?Taylor also managed the biggest streaming week of the year, with "Anti-Hero" earning 59.7M first-week streams! This was another that came by surprise - only 36% (4/11) predictors thought she would do this. Congrats to ๐ฒ๐ฝ'๐ผ.๐ฐ๐ฟ joshtheking M5AGTS mms82 for being correct! They each earn 28 points. Sep 15: Will Taylor Swift spend multiple weeks at #1 by the end of the year?"Anti-Hero" easily took the #1 spot for its first 2 weeks, and so the majority of you were correct in guessing that she would return to the top for longer than a week. Remember, this was no certainty. From the question: "To find her last multi-week #1, we have to go back half a decade, to 2017's "Look What You Made Me Do" (3 wks at #1). Can she do it again?"Congrats to Baby Yoda Hot100Fan ๐ฒ๐ฝ'๐ผ.๐ฐ๐ฟ @imhappy259 jasper0102 joshtheking kindofbiased Limited Edition M5AGTS (67%, 8/12) for guessing correctly here, and earning 15 points apiece! May 19: Will at least 2 of the Top Ten 2010s Artists be credited on a #1 hit between 6/4 and the end of 2022? 1) Drake, 2) Taylor Swift, 3) Bruno Mars, 4) Rihanna, 5) Adele, 6) Ed Sheeran, 7) Justin Bieber, 8) Katy Perry, 9) Maroon 5, 10) Post MaloneYou know who had a great 2022? Established artists. Drake secured the #1 way back in June with "Jimmy Cooks", while Taylor earned hers a couple weeks ago with "Anti-Hero". Even Rihanna ("Lift Me Up", #2) and Post Malone ("I Like You", #3) have come close. Congrats to Baby Yoda Hot100Fan enwhy gikem @imhappy259 inverse Limited Edition Music Fan phieaglesfan712 for guessing correctly. Each earn 13 points! As a reminder, there was a follow-up about how many top 2010s artists would hit #1. 60% of you said 2, but I'll leave it open until the end of this year. Looking ahead:- Drake vs Taylor is the big topic this week. Drake is projecting around 59M streams off his lead (42% Predicted 50-60M, 8% Predicted 60M+)
- Drake still might barely out-stream Taylor's lead, but we'll have to wait to see the final data (93% said Taylor would out-stream Drake)
- Meanwhile, Taylor appears likely to block Drake from a potential Top 10 sweep (93% said Drake wouldn't sweep top 10)
- Selena Gomez's "My Mind & Me" is looking likely to debut in the lower rungs of the chart (25% said she's debut Top 40)
- "Unholy" is looking very strong still, with potential to secure its 7th week in the Top 10 (25% guessed 5-9 top 10 weeks, 25% guessed 10+)
- Joji looks likely to win our "second-hit sweepstakes" from over the summer. His new song "Die For You" is set to debut somewhere around #60 (35% thought Joji would have the biggest 2nd hit - the rest voted for Latto)
Click here to see full selections & scoresPretty quiet update this week. M5AGTS advances another spot in the top 10, while mms82 makes a big jump to join the top 15! Scoreboard1 (=) enwhy 869 2 (=) 85la 777 3 (=) joshtheking 758 4 (=) jasper0102 727 5 (=) Limited Edition 691 6 (=) imhappy259 612 7 (=) Baby Yoda Hot100Fan 604 8 (=) phieaglesfan712 549 9 (โฒ1) M5AGTS 435 10 (โผ1) kindofbiased 414 11 (=) Gen V.B. 395 12 (=) renfield75 349 13 (=) khan 344 14 (=) livelightning 258 14 (โฒ4) mms82 258
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enwhy
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Post by enwhy on Nov 13, 2022 10:26:13 GMT -5
This week's questions (Deadline Thursday, November 17)We're reaching a slightly more dead time in the year and it's getting harder to find good questions. Just as a heads up, there will probably be more "long-shot" questions or 2-question weeks going forward. As always, let me know if you have any suggestions! Q1: Nicky Youre"Sunroof" dominated TikTok and then the radio this summer, earning a Hot 100 peak of #4. While it was somewhat controversial with many online calling it "soulless" and "AI-generated", it did seem to resonate with a lot of people. At the very least, it did its job of being an earworm. Now Nicky Youre sets out to do the impossible: keep the momentum going off a TikTok-driven hit. His new song, "Eyes on You" sounds decent from the snippet, but he'll need some luck and virality for it to catch on. Can he keep it going, or will he be doomed to become another One Hit Wonder? Will Nicky Youre's "Eyes on You" debut on the Hot 100? (12/3 chart) Q2: BROCKHAMPTONI was shocked to learn that BROCKHAMPTON has a grand total of 1 song that's ever charted on the Hot 100. Their 2019 song, "Sugar", peaked at #66. The band, led by Kevin Abstract, has certainly made its mark in music circles, but hasn't yet broken through. Earlier this year, they revealed that they would release one final album before disbanding. Their last album, called "The Family", is scheduled to release next week. Will any songs by BROCKHAMPTON debut in the Hot 100? (12/3 chart)Q3: Who run the world?ย Looking at the last 5 weeks of the year, it seems we have a few viable candidates for #1. There's of course "Anti-Hero", which Taylor seems determined to keep at the top for as long as possible. Then Drake & 21 have "Rich Flex" and "Spin Bout U", the top 2 on Apple Music right now. "Unholy" is massive and still climbing up radio. There's an outside shot SZA or Rihanna release something huge in December. Finally, Mariah Carey and Brenda Lee will likely dominate Christmas. Of those, only the Drake/21 tracks have a male singer on them. I'm sure you can see where I'm going with this. Will any male artist be credited on a #1 song in December? (12/3 - 12/31 chart)
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joshtheking
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Posts: 1,392
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Post by joshtheking on Nov 13, 2022 10:53:51 GMT -5
Taylorโฆ I will never doubt you again my queen
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M5AGTS
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Post by M5AGTS on Nov 13, 2022 12:12:01 GMT -5
1. No 2. No 3. No
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85la
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Joined: July 2007
Posts: 3,695
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Post by 85la on Nov 13, 2022 16:17:03 GMT -5
1. No 2. No 3. No
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Post by ๐ฒ๐ฝ'๐ผ.๐ฐ๐ฟ on Nov 13, 2022 17:38:56 GMT -5
1. No 2. No 3. No, it will be a strong hold for Ms. Swift and Ms. Mariah
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jasper0102
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I CAN GET BY THE DAYS JUST FINE BUT THE NIGHTS
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Post by jasper0102 on Nov 13, 2022 17:54:07 GMT -5
1. No 2. No (I'm thinking the beginning of the Christmas returns will keep these 2 from happening but we'll see) 3. No, the only chance is if Jingle Bell Rock goes to number one, which is something i actually want to see come to think of it.
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kindofbiased
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Post by kindofbiased on Nov 15, 2022 11:11:09 GMT -5
1. No 2. No 3. No, I can't actually see a male artist going #1 for the foreseeable future between the Christmas season and Anti-Hero
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enwhy
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Post by enwhy on Nov 16, 2022 11:12:28 GMT -5
1. Yes - I want to break up all the "No's" and I could see this one happening. He's signed with Columbia and they've shown a willingness to push him like crazy on radio. This second song sounds just as radio-friendly as Sunroof. I don't think his streams will be super impressive though, any kind of debut would be toward the bottom.
2. No - BROCKHAMPTON's first 2 singles for this album didn't even show up on the Spotify Daily 200. This is probably not happening.
3. No - This COULD happen but I don't think so. Drake's numbers are falling quickly while Taylor's radio is looking really solid. It might take a new release to make this one happen, but there's nothing major releasing in Nov/Dec.
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joshtheking
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Post by joshtheking on Nov 16, 2022 11:28:25 GMT -5
1. No- He seems like a one hit wonder to me lol 2. No- Sadly I don't see it 3. No- With the hold Taylor has (and will be prepared to hold if anyone dares challenge her lol) I can't see it, and Mariah will also be coming in strong soon
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renfield75
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Post by renfield75 on Nov 16, 2022 16:00:20 GMT -5
I feel like '97 Destiny's Child 'cause I'm all 1. No 2. No 3. No
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enwhy
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Post by enwhy on Nov 17, 2022 8:42:07 GMT -5
Small wording change to Q2: BROCKHAMPTON is releasing 2 albums today as a surprise. Originally I asked if any songs from "The Family" would debut, now I'm changing that to any song by them period.
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