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Post by Limited Edition on Nov 17, 2022 17:34:44 GMT -5
Q1: No Q2: No Q3: No
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Post by Baby Yoda Hot100Fan on Nov 17, 2022 21:11:13 GMT -5
1. No 2. No 3. No
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Nov 17, 2022 21:46:47 GMT -5
1. Yes 2. No 3. No
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enwhy
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Post by enwhy on Nov 20, 2022 10:44:09 GMT -5
Here's this week's score update! Nov 3: How many 1st-week streams will the top-performing song off "Her Loss" get? A: Less than 30M (0%) B: 30 - 40M (0%) C: 40 - 50M (42%) D: 50 - 60M (50%) E: More than 60M (8%)
The official number was 58.9M for "Rich Flex". Looks like this outperformed our expectations a bit - the average was around 50M. Congrats to those who chose Option D - Baby Yoda Hot100Fan @imhappy259 jasper0102 joshtheking Limited Edition M5AGTS (6/12, 50%). You'll each earn 20 points for guessing correctly! Nov 3: Will Selena Gomez's song "My Mind & Me" debut in the Top 40?"My Mind & Me" opened with strong 1st week radio numbers, but weaker-than-usual streams. Consequently, it did not debut top 40, instead landing at #83. The majority (9/12, 75%) of you predicted correctly here. 85la Baby Yoda Hot100Fan enwhy @imhappy259 jasper0102 joshtheking Limited Edition rainie renfield75 each earn 13 points. Oct 27: Who will have more 1st-week streams on their top song: Drake/21 Savage or Taylor?This one was SO CLOSE - the final tally was 59.7M for "Anti-Hero" vs 58.9M for "Rich Flex". Taylor won by a mere 800k stream margin! As the only one who guessed Drake, I demand a recount! Congrats to the 14 of you who guessed Taylor here - each earn 11 points (14/15, 93%). Oct 27: Will Drake chart 10 songs in the top 10 during the release week of "Her Loss"?This one was less close. Drake managed 8/10, sandwiched on both sides by Unholy and Anti-Hero (with its 30 remixes). Again, congratulations to the 14/15 (93%) who voted No here. You'll each earn 11 points for the correct prediction. Finally, with the holiday song takeover imminent, it looks like we can close out the results from our September round of "Predict the Peaks"!Sep 1: What position will "I Like You" peak at? Predictions: 2-3-3-4-5-5-6-6-6-7-8-9"I Like You" ultimately peaked at #3, becoming the top song of Post Malone's album this year. Even weirder, I think Doja did the heavy lifting here! How quickly things can change. Congrats to khan & yosh9x for guessing exactly right. They'll both earn 50 points! Sep 1: What position will "I Ain't Worried" peak at? Predictions: 5-5-6-6-7-7-8-8-9-10-10-13Another song that overperformed our expectations! OneRepublic had enough radio and streaming behind them to peak at #6 on the Hot 100. The timing (very weak charts pre-Taylor) didn't hurt either! Props to kindofbiased & joshtheking for the correct guesses - each earn 50 points! Sep 1: What position will "5 Foot 9" peak at? Predictions: 13-15-16-17-18-18-19-20-20-21-22-22Here's one that underperformed everyone's predictions. While it looked promising early, it never really gained enough momentum to break into the top 20, ultimately peaking at #22. big2000 & enwhy guessed correctly here, each earning 50 points. Sep 1: What position will "Hold Me Closer" peak at? Predictions: 6-8-8-10-11-11-12-12-12-13-14-19This one's funny because I ran this question during HMC's debut week. There was a ton of uncertainty around how many digital sales it was getting, which led to a pretty wide spread of guesses. Evidently it sold pretty well, because it managed a #6 debut, which wound up being the peak. Yours truly guessed this one would peak at #6, and I'll gladly take my 50 points Click here to see full selections & scoresjoshtheking moves back into the #2 spot. kindofbiased & khan each advance +1, while big2000 enters the top 15! Scoreboard1 (=) enwhy 969 2 (▲1) joshtheking 808 3 (▼1) 85la 777 4 (=) jasper0102 727 5 (=) Limited Edition 691 6 (=) imhappy259 612 7 (=) Baby Yoda Hot100Fan 604 8 (=) phieaglesfan712 549 9 (▲1) kindofbiased 464 10 (▼1) M5AGTS 435 11 (=) Gen V.B. 395 12 (▲1) khan 394 13 (▼1) renfield75 349 14 (▲2) big2000 280 15 (▼1) livelightning 258
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enwhy
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Post by enwhy on Nov 20, 2022 10:44:56 GMT -5
This week's questions (Deadline Thursday, November 24)Let's play some Predict The Peaks: Christmas Edition! For each song, guess what position it will peak at by Jan 7th. 25 points go to the closest predictors(s) - or 50 if you guess it exactly! A couple important notes for this round: - This will go through the 1/7/23 chart week, in order to include Christmas week.
- Peaks will be relative to this year only! So if a song has peaked at #1 before, but you think it will land at #3 this year, you should guess #3.
1: "Rockin' Around The Christmas Tree" - Brenda LeePeaks from each of the last 4 years on the chart (goes older -> newer): - 9 - 2 - 2 - 2 What position will "Rockin' Around The Christmas Tree" peak at? (By 1/7 chart)2: "Last Christmas" - Wham!Last 4 years: - 25 - 11 - 9 - 7 What position will "Last Christmas" peak at? (By 1/7 chart)3: "Feliz Navidad" - Jose FelicianoLast 4 years: - 29 - 12 - 6 - 8 What position will "Feliz Navidad" peak at? (By 1/7 chart)4: "Underneath The Tree" - Kelly ClarksonLast 4 years: - 44 - 31 - 12 - 13 What position will "Underneath The Tree" peak at? (By 1/7 chart)5: "All I Want For Christmas Is You" - Mariah CareyLast 4 years: - 3 - 1(x3) - 1(x2) - 1(x3) Pay attention - this question is different than the others! How many weeks will AIWFCIY spend at #1? (12/3 - 1/7 chart)
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joshtheking
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Post by joshtheking on Nov 20, 2022 11:38:22 GMT -5
Rockin' Around The Christmas Tree - #1(x1) [Manifesting it!] Last Christmas - #8 Feliz Navidad - #11 Underneath The Tree - #10 All I Want For Christmas Is You - #1(x2)
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khan
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Post by khan on Nov 20, 2022 14:08:22 GMT -5
Oops forgot to do these for like a month.
Rockin' Around the Christmas Tree - #2 (But I certainly wouldn't mind being proven wrong!)
Last Christmas - #6
Feliz Navidad - #9
Underneath the Tree - #10 (It's only been growing, I think this is finally the year.)
All I Want for Christmas Is You - Two weeks
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M5AGTS
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Post by M5AGTS on Nov 20, 2022 15:00:32 GMT -5
Ratct: 2 Lc: 6 Fn: 7 Utt: 11 Aiwfciy: 2 weeks
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rainie
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Post by rainie on Nov 20, 2022 16:28:33 GMT -5
1. i'd be a fool to bet against it peaking at 2 again, no ? so #2 2. #6 3. #7 4. #12 5. 4 weeks
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renfield75
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Post by renfield75 on Nov 20, 2022 16:29:29 GMT -5
Rockin' Around the Christmas Tree - #2
Last Christmas - #7
Feliz Navidad - #10
Underneath the Tree - #9
All I Want for Christmas Is You - Two weeks
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jayhawk1117
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Post by jayhawk1117 on Nov 20, 2022 17:10:47 GMT -5
Rocking Around The Christmas Tree - 2
Last Christmas - 8
Feliz Navidad - 12
Underneath The Tree - 9 (PLEASE)
3 weeks for Mariah
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kindofbiased
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Post by kindofbiased on Nov 20, 2022 17:58:15 GMT -5
RATCT - #2 (but pulling for a week at #1) Last Christmas - #6 Feliz Navidad - #9 Underneath The Tree - #10 3 weeks at #1 for AIWFCIY
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jasper0102
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Post by jasper0102 on Nov 21, 2022 0:41:48 GMT -5
1. 2 (hope i'm wrong!) 2. 6 3. 7 4. 11 5. 4 weeks at #1
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𝓲𝓽'𝓼.𝓰𝓿
Diamond Member
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𝓪 𝓽𝓸𝓻𝓽𝓾𝓻𝓮𝓭 𝓹𝓸𝓮𝓽
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My Charts
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Post by 𝓲𝓽'𝓼.𝓰𝓿 on Nov 21, 2022 6:28:25 GMT -5
1. 2 again because Mariah 2. 5 (this deserves Top 5!) 3. 7 4. 12 5. 3 weeks for Mariah this time
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85la
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Post by 85la on Nov 22, 2022 21:23:08 GMT -5
1. 2 2. 8 3. 9 4. 10 5. 3 weeks
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Post by Baby Yoda Hot100Fan on Nov 22, 2022 23:30:38 GMT -5
1. 2 2. 5 3. 9 4. 11 5. 3 weeks
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enwhy
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Post by enwhy on Nov 24, 2022 20:11:14 GMT -5
1. 2 2. 6 3. 9 4. 10 5. 4 weeks
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Nov 24, 2022 23:48:35 GMT -5
1. 2 2. 5 3. 8 4. 9 5. 4
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enwhy
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Post by enwhy on Nov 28, 2022 11:22:37 GMT -5
This week's questions (Deadline Friday, December 2) Apologies for the late question this week - I'll extend the deadline to 11:59pm Friday this week (1 extra day). For any of these future #1 questions, if you think an unreleased song will be #1, you will get full credit so long as you include the artist. (i.e. "Unreleased Cardi B Song" would count as a valid answer)
Q1: Streaming #1 Christmas music is fast-rising on the charts, and Christmas songs are all but certain to own the year's final streaming chart. But which song?! This year looks like it may actually be a contest - during the 11/26 chart week, "Rockin' Around the Christmas Tree" had 80-85% the streams of "All I Want For Christmas Is You". Historically this has gotten closer as Christmas approaches. Not to mention, RATCT has actually been doing better on Spotify so far. Still, AIWFCIY always posts strong Amazon Music numbers which could be enough of a buffer...can Mariah hold onto the crown for another year? What song will top the Streaming Chart during the final week of 2022? (12/31 chart)
Q2: Radio #1 This one may have more potential songs - who will run the radio charts in the final chart week? Here is a selection of "on the rise" songs along with their past 5 weeks on the Radio Chart (thru 11/26). Reminder that there are 5 more weeks to 12/31. UNHOLY: - 25 - 19 - 12 - 5 - 1 ANTI-HERO: 13 - 14 - 9 - 4 SUPER FREAKY GIRL: - 12 -10 - 7 - 7 - 7 I'M GOOD (BLUE): - 17 - 15 - 15 - 10 - 8 DIE FOR YOU: - 31 - 23 - 17 - 13 - 11 CUFF IT: 47 - 31 - 22 - 16 - 14 LIFT ME UP: 6 - 15 - 15 MADE YOU LOOK: Likely to debut on 12/3 chart What song will top the Radio Songs Chart during the final week of 2022? (12/31 chart)
Q3: SZA SZA's long-awaited album "S.O.S" is set for a December release. Her fans are cautiously optimistic, as she's been iffy with deadlines in the past and has even said she's still making changes. SZA's seen exceptional success since the start of the pandemic, with "Good Days" (#9) - Kiss Me More (#3) - I Hate U (#7) - Shirt (#11). Can she capitalize on all of this hype and vault herself into true A-List popstar status (or R&B-star)? Can she overcome the rush of Christmas songs? Will the album actually come out? Will SZA chart multiple songs in the Top 10 simultaneously this year? (12/10 - 1/14 chart)* *I'm giving this one through 1/14 to account for the album potentially releasing on the last weekend of December
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Groovy
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Post by Groovy on Nov 28, 2022 11:27:59 GMT -5
Q1. Probably RATCT or AIWFCIY Q2. Unholy Q3. No
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joshtheking
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Post by joshtheking on Nov 28, 2022 12:20:47 GMT -5
1. RATCT 2. Anti-Hero 3. No
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mms82
Platinum Member
...
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Post by mms82 on Nov 28, 2022 13:49:19 GMT -5
1 AIWFCIY 2 Antihero 3 No
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M5AGTS
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Post by M5AGTS on Nov 28, 2022 15:06:51 GMT -5
1. Aiwfciy 2. Anti Hero 3. No
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Nov 28, 2022 16:41:15 GMT -5
1. Aiwfciy 2. Anti Hero 3. No
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85la
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Post by 85la on Nov 28, 2022 18:39:53 GMT -5
1. AIWFCIY - just gonna go with this, because if Rockin' hasn't been able to beat it in any previous years, I doubt it ever will. 2. Unholy - it has a comfortable lead and currently getting larger gains than any viable threats below it, and along with the Christmas freeze coming, I'm thinking this should stay pretty solid. 3. No
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jayhawk1117
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Post by jayhawk1117 on Nov 28, 2022 21:36:17 GMT -5
1. All I want for Christmas, can’t bet against Mariah
2. Unholy, got a lead now and nothing is gaining fast enough to outpace it with the Christmas freeze here
3. Imma go against the grain and say yes. The hype is clearly there whenever she’s dropped. I’m thinking a top 5 and one song that is BATTLING for 9/10.
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jasper0102
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Post by jasper0102 on Nov 29, 2022 0:21:00 GMT -5
1 RATCT 2 Anti-Hero 3 I'm leaning on Yes, but i won't be surprised if she doesn't do it
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renfield75
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Post by renfield75 on Nov 29, 2022 15:26:20 GMT -5
1 All I Want For Christmas Is You - I think Amazon will again be the decider and tip in Mariah's favor 2 Anti-Hero - I think once Unholy starts to drop it will drop fast, not to mention people will be less interested in hearing a song named "Unholy" during Christmas 3 No - Even if she actually releases I don't see more than one album cut getting past Taylor and the Christmas songs
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khan
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Post by khan on Dec 1, 2022 18:53:28 GMT -5
1. All I Want for Christmas Is You - Just a pattern at this point tbh.
2. Unholy - I wanna say Anti-Hero, but that Christmas radio freeze is pretty reliable. I think it'll only reach the top after the new year starts, and Unholy will sit there until the moment comes.
3. No - lol no Christmas is unstoppable.
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rainie
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Post by rainie on Dec 1, 2022 20:25:44 GMT -5
1. aiwfciy, though it's honestly a tossup 2. antihero 3. i want to believe and i think she easily could at a different time of year but i don't see this happening with all the christmas songs lingering around, not to mention she might not even drop, so i'll be safe and say no
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