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Post by phieaglesfan712 on May 11, 2022 8:52:18 GMT -5
Lizzoβs song is fire. Itβll be a multiple week #1. As I have said, this reminds me of late 2014, when we had Blank Space and All About That Bass at the top, and the song on the rise (Uptown Funk) kept growing until it surpassed and became bigger than both of them. Right now, we have As It Was and First Class playing the roles of the big hits at the top, and I feel About Damn Time will eventually end up being bigger than both AIW and FC. |
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renfield75
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Post by renfield75 on May 11, 2022 9:59:19 GMT -5
I'd say this next song is pivotal for Post and Roddy, if it flops for Post that will mean arguably 3/3 of his last songs have flopped and if that happens for Roddy I'm fairly certain his career could be over. Both in thier prime were great tho so I'm hoping that this song sounds at the very least like the two acts want to be there and are trying something different unlike a certain other 12 Carat Toothache single. ORN wasn't a flop tho Yeah, it may have performed below expectations given their track records, but a top ten hit that spent 6 months in the Top 40 isn't really a "flop" |
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dremolus - solarpunk
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Post by dremolus - solarpunk on May 11, 2022 13:03:46 GMT -5
US Spotify - 05/10/22
1(=) Kendrick Lamar - The Heart Part 5 1,639,417 (-845,715)
2(=) Harry Styles - As It Was 1,621,730 (+23,935)
3(=) Jack Harlow - First Class 1,595,751 (+4,331)
4(=) Bad Bunny - Moscow Mule 1,490,637 (-20,481)
5(=) Bad Bunny - TitΓ Me PreguntΓ³ 1,378,685 (-32,523)
6(=) Bad Bunny - DespuΓ©s de la Playa 1,296,323 (-72,221)
7(+1) Lizzo - About Damn Time 1,217,037 (+30,919)
8(-1) Bad Bunny, Chencho Corleone - Me Porto Bonito 1,205,912 (-9,419)
9(=) Bad Bunny, Rauw Alejandro - Party 1,132,312 (-25,396)
10(+3) Future, Tems, Drake - WAIT FOR U 986,161 (+12,260)
Bad Bunny - Un Verano Tin Si
12(-2) Tarot 964,050 (-45,040)
13(-1) Un Ratito 946,237 (-54,366)
14(=) Yo No Soy Celoso 911,868 (-50,014)
15(=) Ojitos Lindos 903,762 (-20,016)
17(=) Neverita 812,622 (-41,877)
19(=) La Corriente 773,640 (-37,344)
20(+1) Efecto 750,736 (-35,619)
23(=) Otro Atardecer 706,872 (-31,741)
24(+2) El ApagΓ³n 673,862 (-21,992)
26(-2) Aguacero 670,195 (-41,384)
27(-2) Dos Mil 16 668,219 (-43,020)
28(-1) Andrea 667,957 (-9,788)
29(-1) Un Coco 643,792 (-25,655)
30(=) Me Fui de Vacaciones 620,288 (-36,560)
31(=) Enséñame a Bailar 614,716 (-39,649)
32(=) Un Verano Sin Ti 596,700 (-39,814)
37(-2) Callaita 535,950 (-22,441)
40(-4) Agosto 517,376 (-30,118)
Total Streams: 19,482,711 (-4%)
Jack Harlow - Come Home, The Kids Miss You
11(=) Dua Lipa 981,637 (-24,332)
22(=) Churchill Downs 722,444 (-17,034)
45(=) Nail Tech 466,546 (-6,889)
75(-13) I'd Do Anything to Make You Smile 353,508 (-42,289)
90(-15) I Got A Shot 324,458 (-41,058)
96(-18) Young Harleezy 316,447 (-40,413)
101(-21) Movie Star 309,551 (-40,612)
115(-32) Side Piece 294,020 (-40,187)
122(-32) Like a Blade of Grass 289,036 (-31,700)
140(-38) Poison 271,564 (-33,214)
166(-61) Talk of the Town 258,274 (-41,847)
192(-71) Lil Secret 245,689 (-35,758)
197(-77) Parent Trap 241,718 (-40,851)
Total Streams: 6,670,643 (-6%)
Others:
16(+2) Future - PUFFIN ON ZOOTIEZ 836,634 (-14,885)
18(+2) Glass Animals - Heat Waves 807,608 (+18,106)
21(-5) Morgan Wallen - Thought You Should Know 735,333 (-153,433)
25(+4) KAROL G - PROVENZA 670,834 (+4,691)
33(+1) Lil Nas X - INDUSTRY BABY 587,807 (+26,509)
34(-1) Zach Bryan - Something in the Orange 560,057 (-22,568)
35(+3) J. Cole - No Role Modelz 554,315 (+30,610)
36(+1) The Kid LAROI - STAY 551,890 (+19,643)
38(+2) Justin Bieber - Ghost 531,404 (+23,576)
41(+3) Doja Cat - Woman 499,936 (+24,571)
42(+1) Imagine Dragons - Enemy 498,324 (+9,519)
43(-1) Future, Drake - IM ON ONE 493,560 (+1,488)
44(+4) Morgan Wallen - Wasted On You 474,947 (+22,206)
47(+3) WILLOW - Wait a Minute! 454,464 (+20,281)
48(-1) Arctic Monkeys - 505 452,997 (-5,795)
52(+3) Camila Cabello - Bam Bam 429,755 (+11,303)
54(+11) Becky G, KAROL G - MAMIII 422,598 (+34,027)
55(+6) Lil Nas X - THATS WHAT I WANT 422,589 (+18,680)
56(+1) Steve Lacy - Dark Red 422,399 (+8,650)
57(+3) Kodak Black - Super Gremlin 417,465 (+9,392)
58(-2) Suki Waterhouse - Good Looking 416,561 (+2,794)
59(=) The Walters - I Love You So 408,300 (-1,116)
60(-11) The Kid Laroi - Thousand Miles 405,184 (-38,036)
61(+5) Dove Cameron - Boyfriend 404,056 (+17,435)
62(+1) Elley DuhΓ© - MIDDLE OF THE NIGHT 404,026 (+12,502)
64(-25) Taylor Swift - This Love (Taylor's Version) 399,540 (-116,612)
66(-2) Tyler the Creator - See You Again 390,815 (+1,877)
67(-16) Morgan Wallen - Don't Think Jesus 388,214 (-39,758)
74(+3) Yeat - MonΓ«y so big 361,827(-1,096)
77(-9) Leah Kate - 10 Things I Hate About You 352,006 (-33,079)
78(+6) CafunΓ© - Tek It 347,616 (+15,450)
79(+6) Latto - Big Energy 343,479 (+11,474)
81(-7) A$AP ROCKY - D.M.B. 342,219 (-23,543)
83(+48) Justin Bieber, Don Toliver - Honest 339,738 (+64,254)
85(+2) Frank Ocean - Lost 339,442 (+12,186)
86(+2) Lil Baby - Right On 332,433 (+9,442)
91(+5) Doja Cat - Vegas 322,088 (+9,087)
98(+47) Gunna - pushin P 310,548 (+45,025)
99(+2) Tyler the Creator - NEW MAGIC WAND 310,176 (+3,441)
105(-16) Lauren Spencer-Smith - Flowers 303,708 (-17,548)
107(+3) Em Beihold - Numb Little Bug 301,835 (+9,282)
110(-4) Benson Boone - In The Stars 298,046 (-627)
111(+8) Cody Johnson - 'Til You Can't 297,776 (+14,824)
112(-18) Future - 712PM 297,060 (-18,941)
116(+1) Ruth B. - Dandelions 293,686 (+8,825)
120(+7) Tate McRae - she's all i wanna be 291,001 (+12,134)
123(+1) Lil Tjay - In My Head 288,887 (+8,889)
124(+12) Megan Thee Stallion, Dua Lipa - Sweetest Pie 288,123 (+15,078)
127(+14) Doja Cat - Get Into It (Yuh) 286,342 (+19,491)
128(+14) Young Nudy, 21 Savage - EA 286,313 (+19,617)
129(+38) Nicky Youre, dazy - Sunroof 286,000 (+32,041)
134(-11) ERNEST - Flower Shops 276,073 (-4,222)
135(-2) The Rare Occasions - Notion 275,820 (+1,228)
139(-2) Beach House - Space Song 273,244 (+274)
144(+17) Lil Durk - What Happened To Virgil 269,782 (+12,626)
163(+14) Morgan Wallen - Cover Me Up 259,063 (+11,188)
173(-44) Nate Smith - Whiskey On You 254,952 (-22,819)
174(-22) BoyWithUke - IDGAF 254,261 (-6,405)
175(re-entry) Megan Thee Stallion - Plan B 253,158
180(-40) Future - LOVE YOU BETTER 250,662 (-16,250)
184(=) Lil Baby - In A Minute 248,817 (+3,802)
188(+12) SleazyWorld Go - Sleazy Flow 247,381 (+12,831)
191(-45) TOMORROW X TOGETHER - Good Boy Gone Bad 246,017 (-18,762)
Top 10 Without Bad Bunny:
1. The Heart Part 5
2. As It Was
3. First Class
4. About Damn Time
5. WAIT FOR U
6. Dua Lipa
7. PUFFIN ON ZOOTIEZ
8. Heat Waves
9. Thought You Should Know
10. Churchill Downs
Biggest Gains (50K+): Honest
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Post by dremolus - solarpunk on May 11, 2022 13:11:42 GMT -5
ORN proved there's still radio thirst for Post, even if the song sucks. A Roddy collab screams non-event though. Post Malone was way less big in 2017 and 21 Savage was way less big in 2017 then Roddy is in 2022 (even with his post 2020 flops) and rockstar still debuted at 2 and went #1 for a bunch of weeks. if the song is good it'll do the same β debut at 2 behind Kendrick and go #1 for a while But the thing was in 2017, both 21 Savage and Post Malone had hype and momentum behind them. Part of the reason rockstar debuted as high as it did was because Post had became a sleeper success in 2017: Congratulations became a sleeper hit throughout the year, and Stoney wound up as one of the biggest albums of 2017 because of consistent streaming that was steady and strong, even if it never topped the charts. There was real support with many people, and there's a difference between being less big than your peak and being small but not having peaked in interest. In 2022, neither Roddy or Post have that momentum to translate to a #2 debut (especially with how most of us are expecting a massive album bomb for Kendrick). Roddy hasn't charted in months and Post only has one song on the charts and it was never that big on streaming, most of it's momentum came from radio. |
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Post by phieaglesfan712 on May 11, 2022 13:23:51 GMT -5
Iβm going to hedge my bets and say 10, which would be the same position as Jail. I have a hard time seeing it any higher with the streaming numbers much lower than Hurricane/Jail. (Now that Iβve said this, Iβm contemplating switching out The Heart Part 5 for a much safer option like Thought You Should Know or Me Porto Bonito.) Why do you keep bringing up Hurricane and Jail for this when they're not the same artists lol Hurricane and Jail were (the most recent huge songs) released on a Sunday, just like The Heart Part 5, so those songs are probably the best baseline on what we could use to project The Heart Part 5. Based on the numbers so far, thereβs just no way it debuts as high as Hurricane. |
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jenglisbe
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Post by jenglisbe on May 11, 2022 13:27:01 GMT -5
Why do you keep bringing up Hurricane and Jail for this when they're not the same artists lol Hurricane and Jail were released on a Sunday, just like The Heart Part 5, so those songs are probably the best baseline on what we could use to project The Heart Part 5. Based on the numbers so far, thereβs just no way it debuts as high as Hurricane. For the Sunday release they can be compared, but you then also have to look at the numbers the other songs in the top 10 are doing. Are the songs at #3, #6, etc doing similar numbers now as when "Jail" and "Hurricane" debuted? |
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inverse
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Post by inverse on May 12, 2022 0:47:13 GMT -5
I'd say this next song is pivotal for Post and Roddy, if it flops for Post that will mean arguably 3/3 of his last songs have flopped and if that happens for Roddy I'm fairly certain his career could be over. Both in thier prime were great tho so I'm hoping that this song sounds at the very least like the two acts want to be there and are trying something different unlike a certain other 12 Carat Toothache single. ORN wasn't a flop tho wasn't really a hit either? kinda in the middle ground where if the album does well then its fine but if there isnt another hit from the album it wasn't nearly relevant enough to save it from flop status. Kinda like how Chained To The Rhythm and Say Something were both technically hits & made the year end list but both albums are still total flop eras regardless i know it spent more time in the top 40 than those others but thats just because radio spammed it longer doesn't really mean anything |
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