2023 Billboard Hot 100 Year End Predictions (Year 11)

[joshtheking]

Mar 8, 2023 11:13:16 GMT -5 plankton5165 said:

This may sound odd, but I think She Had Me At Heads Carolina might be in the year-end again.

It won't, Morgan will wipe it out next week

[korbel16]

as of right now

songs that i’m confident will be in the top 10:
-Anti-Hero
-Die For You
-Creepin

song i’m confident will be in the top 3:
-Flowers
-Kill Bill

[plankton5165]

Mar 8, 2023 11:24:12 GMT -5 joshtheking said:

Mar 8, 2023 11:13:16 GMT -5 plankton5165 said:

This may sound odd, but I think She Had Me At Heads Carolina might be in the year-end again.

It won't, Morgan will wipe it out next week

You never know, Billboard might've counted the weeks it didn't chart due to the Christmas hits.

[rockgolf]

My estimate of where the 2023 Top 100 currently rank (Mar 11 chart):

And my prognostication of how these songs will eventually rank based on dropping 5%/week until out of the top 50.

EST Year end	Song	Artist	YE Est Pts
1	Die For You	The Weeknd	7897
2	Anti-Hero	Taylor Swift	7117
3	Kill Bill	SZA	7034
4	Flowers	Miley Cyrus	6665
5	Unholy	Sam Smith & Kim Petras	6385
6	Creepin'	Metro Boomin, The Weeknd & 21 Savage	5342
7	Cuff It	Beyonce	5070
8	Rich Flex	Drake & 21 Savage	4945
9	I'm Good (Blue)	David Guetta & Bebe Rexha	4838
10	As It Was	Harry Styles	4541
11	Boy's A Liar, Pt. 2	PinkPantheress & Ice Spice	4080
12	Under The Influence	Chris Brown	3887
13	Just Wanna Rock	Lil Uzi Vert	3856
14	Last Night	Morgan Wallen	3810
15	Rock And A Hard Place	Bailey Zimmerman	3558
16	Thank God	Kane Brown With Katelyn Brown	3509
17	You Proof	Morgan Wallen	3440
18	Bad Habit	Steve Lacy	3407
19	Something In The Orange	Zach Bryan	3316
20	Calm Down	Rema & Selena Gomez	2973
21	Lavender Haze	Taylor Swift	2918
22	Golden Hour	JVKE	2835
23	Thought You Should Know	Morgan Wallen	2775
24	Made You Look	Meghan Trainor	2753
25	Until I Found You	Stephen Sanchez	2706
26	TQG	Karol G x Shakira	2549
27	Superhero (Heroes & Villains)	Metro Boomin, Future & Chris Brown	2539
28	Shirt	SZA	2467
29	Players	Coi Leray	2397
30	I Like You (A Happier Song)	Post Malone ft. Doja Cat	2350
31	Going, Going, Gone	Luke Combs	2346
32	Escapism	RAYE ft. 070 Shake	2244
33	All I Want For Christmas Is You	Mariah Carey	2241
34	Wait For U	Future ft. Drake & Tems	2146
35	Heart Like A Truck	Lainey Wilson	2130
36	Lift Me Up	Rihanna	2046
37	Wait In The Truck	HARDY ft. Lainey Wilson	1983
38	Rockin' Around The Christmas Tree	Brenda Lee	1899
39	The Kind Of Love We Make	Luke Combs	1874
40	Tomorrow 2	GloRilla & Cardi B	1842
41	Sure Thing	Miguel	1766
42	Snooze	SZA	1764
43	Super Freaky Girl	Nicki Minaj	1718
44	Jingle Bell Rock	Bobby Helms	1670
45	Spin Bout U	Drake & 21 Savage	1646
46	What My World Spins Around	Jordan Davis	1508
47	Nobody Gets Me	SZA	1467
48	A Holly Jolly Christmas	Burl Ives	1442
49	She Had Me At Heads Carolina	Cole Swindell	1399
50	About Damn Time	Lizzo	1353
51	Last Christmas	Wham!	1299
52	It's The Most Wonderful Time Of The Year	Andy Williams	1217
53	Bebe Dame	Fuerza Regida X Grupo Frontera	1183
54	Low	SZA	1177
55	Unstoppable	Sia	1100
56	Painting Pictures	Superstar Pride	1098
57	Bzrp Music Sessions, Vol. 53	Bizarrap & Shakira	1092
58	I Ain't Worried	OneRepublic	1072
59	Circo Loco	Drake & 21 Savage	1066
60	Feliz Navidad	Jose Feliciano	1063
61	Sunroof	Nicky Youre & dazy	1045
62	The Christmas Song (Merry Christmas To You)	Nat King Cole	1028
63	Vegas	Doja Cat	987
64	Whiskey On You	Nate Smith	983
65	Sleigh Ride	The Ronettes	973
66	Underneath The Tree	Kelly Clarkson	947
67	Blind	SZA	933
68	Let It Snow, Let It Snow, Let It Snow	Dean Martin	896
69	Freestyle	Lil Baby	889
70	Que Vuelvas	Carin Leon X Grupo Frontera	874
71	One Thing At A Time	Morgan Wallen	873
72	Son Of A Sinner	Jelly Roll	870
73	It's Beginning To Look A Lot Like Christmas	Perry Como And The Fontane Sisters With Mitchell Ayres And His Orchestra	870
74	Star Walkin' (League Of Legends Worlds Anthem)	Lil Nas X	841
75	Major Distribution	Drake & 21 Savage	829
76	On BS	Drake & 21 Savage	827
77	Santa Tell Me	Ariana Grande	823
78	Wasted On You	Morgan Wallen	814
79	Bloody Mary	Lady Gaga	812
80	What He Didn't Do	Carly Pearce	790
81	Tennessee Orange	Megan Moroney	789
82	Handle On You	Parker McCollum	770
83	Christmas (Baby Please Come Home)	Darlene Love	767
84	No Se Va	Grupo Frontera	760
85	Love Language	SZA	755
86	White Christmas	Bing Crosby	742
87	Deck The Halls	Nat King Cole	736
88	Love You Anyway	Luke Combs	723
89	Too Many Nights	Metro Boomin ft. Don Toliver & Future	715
90	Hold Me Closer	Elton John & Britney Spears	712
91	Wild As Her	Corey Kent	694
92	Jingle Bells	Frank Sinatra	690
93	Pussy & Millions	Drake & 21 Savage ft. Travis Scott	684
94	It's Beginning To Look A Lot Like Christmas	Michael Buble	668
95	Romantic Homicide	d4vd	660
96	Fall In Love	Bailey Zimmerman	653
97	Victoria's Secret	Jax	641
98	Half Of Me	Thomas Rhett ft. Riley Green	623
99	Rudolph The Red-Nosed Reindeer	Gene Autry	617
100	Here Comes Santa Claus (Right Down Santa Claus Lane)	Gene Autry	616
101	Blue Christmas	Elvis Presley	590

Another week with a new #1 on the weekly and predictive chart. The top songs are close enough at this point that that #1 point boost really pushes the projected points. Should be interesting to see how Last Night is affected next week.

[reputainbow]

SPOILER: Click to show

{Week 17}1 Anti-Hero (Taylor Swift) 5119
2 Unholy (Sam Smith/Kim Petras) 4387
3 Rich Flex (Drake/21 Savage) 3688
4 Kill Bill (SZA) 3653
5 Die for You (The Weeknd/Ariana Grande) 3476
6 I'm Good (Blue) (David Guetta/Bebe Rexha) 3450
7 Creepin' (Metro Boomin/The Weeknd/21 Savage) 3294
8 As It Was (Harry Styles) 3044
9 Bad Habit (Steve Lacy) 2893
10 Flowers (Miley Cyrus) 2729
11 Cuff It (Beyonce) 2665
12 Under the Influence (Chris Brown) 2449
13 Something In the Orange (Zach Bryan) 2355.6
14 You Proof (Morgan Wallen) 2337
15 All I Want for Christmas Is You (Mariah Carey) 2336
16 Just Wanna Rock (Lil Uzi Vert) 2326.8
17 Made You Look (Meghan Trainor) 2205.4
18 Golden Hour (JVKE) 2171.8
19 Thank God (Kane Brown/Katelyn Brown) 2081.4
20 Rock and a Hard Place (Bailey Zimmerman) 1999.2
21 Rockin' Around the Christmas Tree (Brenda Lee) 1985
22 Lavender Haze (Taylor Swift) 1958.8
23 Lift Me Up (Rihanna) 1958
24 Shirt (SZA) 1905.6
25 Jingle Bell Rock (Bobby Helms) 1796
26 Until I Found You (Stephen Sanchez) 1790.6
27 I Like You (A Happier Song) (Post Malone/Doja Cat) 1776
28 Superhero (Metro Boomin/Future/Chris Brown) 1734
29 Tomorrow 2 (Glorilla/Cardi B) 1715.4
30 Spin Bout U (Drake/21 Savage) 1683.8
31 Calm Down (Rema/Selena Gomez) 1641.2
32 Wait In the Truck (Hardy/Lainey Wilson) 1605.6
33 Super Freaky Girl (Nicki Minaj) 1598
34 Wait For U (Future/Drake/Tems) 1591
35 Going, Going, Gone (Luke Combs) 1585.2
36 A Holly Jolly Christmas (Burl Ives) 1578
37 Heart Like a Truck (Lainey Wilson) 1502.4
38 Escapism (RAYE/070 Shake) 1434.2
39 What My World Spins Around (Jordan Davis) 1419.8
40 Last Christmas (Wham!) 1349
41 The Kind of Love We Make (Luke Combs) 1347
42 She Had Me At Heads Carolina (Cole Swindell) 1328
43 Thought You Should Know (Morgan Wallen) 1292
44 About Damn Time (Lizzo) 1287
45 Nobody Gets Me (SZA) 1274
46 Snooze (SZA) 1271.6
47 Last Night (Morgan Wallen) 1264
48 It's the Most Wonderful Time of the Year (Andy Williams) 1262
49 Circo Loco (Drake/21 Savage) 1184.6
50 Low (SZA) 1116.8
51 Whiskey on You (Nate Smith) 1113
52 Feliz Navidad (Jose Feliciano) 1082
53 Boy's a Liar, Pt. 2 (PinkPantheress/Ice Spice) 1063
54 Unstoppable (Sia) 1056
55 Bebe Dame (Fuerza Regida/Grupo Frontera) 1036.2
56 I Ain't Worried (OneRepublic) 998
57 Freestyle (Lil Baby) 992
58 The Christmas Song (Merry Christmas to You) (Nat King Cole) 985
59 One Thing At a Time (Morgan Wallen) 984.2
60 Players (Coi Leray) 981
61 Sunroof (Nicky Youre/Dazy) 978
62 Blind (SZA) 963.6
63 No Se Va (Grupo Frontera) 952.8
64 Major Distribution (Drake/21 Savage) 942
65 Victoria's Secret (Jax) 932.4
66 Shakira: BZRP Music Sessions, Vol. 53 (Bizarrap/Shakira) 931
67 Sleigh Ride (The Ronettes) 920
68 Vegas (Doja Cat) 917
69 Star Walkin' (Lil Nas X) 911.2
70 Sure Thing (Miguel) 901
71 On BS (Drake/21 Savage) 897.6
72 Underneath the Tree (Kelly Clarkson) 880
73 Too Many Nights (Metro Boomin/Future/Don Toliver) 868
74 Que Vuelvas (Carin Leon/Grupo Frontera) 849.2
75 Son of a Sinner (Jelly Roll) 832.2
76 Let It Snow, Let It Snow, Let It Snow (Dean Martin) 827
77 It's Beginning To Look A Lot Like Christmas (Perry Como and the Fontane Sisters/Mitchell Ayres and His Orchestra) 817
78 Love Language (SZA) 810.8
79 Romanic Homicide (D4Vd) 785.2
80 Bloody Mary (Lady Gaga) 773.8
81 Santa Tell Me (Ariana Grande) 770
82 Pussy & Millions (Drake/21 Savage/Travis Scott) 770
83 Hold Me Closer (Elton John/Britney Spears) 768.4
84 What He Didn't Do (Carly Pearce) 750.8
85 Tennessee Orange (Megan Moroney) 750
86 Wasted on You (Morgan Wallen) 748
87 Handle on You (Parker McCollum) 734.8
88 Christmas (Baby Please Come Home) (Darlene Love) 724
89 Wild as Her (Corey Kent) 706
90 White Christmas (Bing Crosby) 686
91 Half of Me (Thomas Rhett/Riley Green) 681.2
92 Deck the Halls (Nat King Cole) 676
93 Forget Me (Lewis Capaldi) 675.2
94 California Breeze (Lil Baby) 655.6
95 La Bachata (Manuel Turizo) 644.8
96 La Jumpa (Arcangel/Bad Bunny) 644
97 Here With Me (D4Vd) 638
98 Jingle Bells (Frank Sinatra) 630
99 It's Beginning To Look A Lot Like Christmas (Michael Buble) 626
100 The Color Violet (Tory Lanez) 622.8

[justbeingernest48]

Mar 8, 2023 1:27:40 GMT -5 dremolus - solarpunk said:

Thought of doing this, the best and worst debuts of each moth

Best Debuts of January:
NewJeans - Ditto (BEST DEBUT OF THE MONTH)
Kali Uchis - I Wish you Roses
Bizarrap & Shakira - BZRP Music Sessions, Vol 53
Tiesto and Tate McRae - 10:35
Lady Gaga - Bloody Mary
NewJeans - OMG
Moneybagg Yo & GloRilla - On Wat U On

Worst Debuts of January:
Hotel Ugly - Shut up My Moms Calling
Tory Lanez - The Color Violet
Jason Aldean - That’s What Tequila Does

Best Debuts of February
Ice Spice - In Ha Mood
Lil Yachty - the BLACK seminole. (BEST DEBUT OF THE MONTH)
Lizzy McAlpine - ceilings
Pink Pantheress and Ice Spice - Boy's a liar Pt. 2
Zach Bryan feat. Maggie Rogers - Dawns

Worst Debuts of February
Falling in Reverse - Watch the World Burn
The Kid LAROI - Love Again
Morgan Wallen - Everything I Love
Morgan Wallen - I Wrote the Book
NF - HOPE

Gotta put in a good word for Everything I Love, that song is a banger in my book

[𝓲𝓽'𝓼.𝓰𝓿]

Feb 14, 2023 8:15:51 GMT -5 𝓲𝓽'𝓼.𝓰𝓿 said:

So it looks like the 2023 re-entries are likely gonna be:

- Unholy
- Bad Habit
- The four Christmas songs
- You Proof
- Something in the Orange
- Rock and a Hard Place
- As It Was

Super Freaky Girl left this week, but possible if the 2023 YE has a lower cut-off (EDIT: assuming the cut-off is the same as last year, it will be at the bottom 5)

I don't think the other songs that were in the 2022 YE that still hangs around has enough time to clinch a YE re-entry, particularly with the incoming Morgan Wallen album bomb (e.g. I Like You, About Damn Time, WAIT FOR U) 

The 2023 YE will have the possibility to feature 13 re-entries, with the 10 mentioned + "I Like You (A Happier Song)" being now in the Locked Cut-Off (140,000). "Super Freaky Girl" and "WAIT FOR U" are in the projected cut-off (130,000) based on PositivityMaster48's YE predictions.

[Baby Yoda Hot100Fan]

[PositivityMaster48]

Week 18! Also known as “The Morgan Wallen Domination” Week! Way to go!

[rockgolf]

I call this week the "Wallen-nami".

And how do all those new songs affect the projected year-end?

EST Year end	Song	Artist	YE Est Pts
1	Kill Bill	SZA	7325
2	Flowers	Miley Cyrus	7010
3	Die For You	The Weeknd	6700
4	Anti-Hero	Taylor Swift	6504
5	Last Night	Morgan Wallen	6090
6	Unholy	Sam Smith & Kim Petras	5725
7	Creepin'	Metro Boomin, The Weeknd & 21 Savage	5562
8	You Proof	Morgan Wallen	4954
9	I'm Good (Blue)	David Guetta & Bebe Rexha	4476
10	Rich Flex	Drake & 21 Savage	4232
11	As It Was	Harry Styles	4095
12	Thought You Should Know	Morgan Wallen	3907
13	Boy's A Liar, Pt. 2	PinkPantheress & Ice Spice	3885
14	Cuff It	Beyonce	3816
15	Rock And A Hard Place	Bailey Zimmerman	3605
16	Under The Influence	Chris Brown	3548
17	Just Wanna Rock	Lil Uzi Vert	3399
18	One Thing At A Time	Morgan Wallen	3292
19	Thank God	Kane Brown With Katelyn Brown	3165
20	Calm Down	Rema & Selena Gomez	3012
21	Bad Habit	Steve Lacy	2981
22	Lavender Haze	Taylor Swift	2760
23	Something In The Orange	Zach Bryan	2717
24	Thinkin' Bout Me	Morgan Wallen	2430
25	Made You Look	Meghan Trainor	2412
26	Golden Hour	JVKE	2395
27	Until I Found You	Stephen Sanchez	2343
28	All I Want For Christmas Is You	Mariah Carey	2241
29	Shirt	SZA	2130
30	Going, Going, Gone	Luke Combs	2075
31	Lift Me Up	Rihanna	2074
32	Escapism	RAYE ft. 070 Shake	1975
33	Players	Coi Leray	1960
34	Superhero (Heroes & Villains)	Metro Boomin, Future & Chris Brown	1955
35	I Like You (A Happier Song)	Post Malone ft. Doja Cat	1931
36	Everything I Love	Morgan Wallen	1919
37	I Wrote The Book	Morgan Wallen	1912
38	Rockin' Around The Christmas Tree	Brenda Lee	1899
39	Tomorrow 2	GloRilla & Cardi B	1842
40	TQG	Karol G x Shakira	1773
41	Wait In The Truck	HARDY ft. Lainey Wilson	1757
42	Wait For U	Future ft. Drake & Tems	1730
43	Spin Bout U	Drake & 21 Savage	1724
44	Super Freaky Girl	Nicki Minaj	1718
45	Jingle Bell Rock	Bobby Helms	1670
46	Ain't That Some	Morgan Wallen	1609
47	Red Ruby Da Sleeze	Nicki Minaj	1590
48	Man Made A Bar	Morgan Wallen ft. Eric Church	1572
49	Heart Like A Truck	Lainey Wilson	1531
50	Sure Thing	Miguel	1513
51	What My World Spins Around	Jordan Davis	1508
52	The Kind Of Love We Make	Luke Combs	1451
53	A Holly Jolly Christmas	Burl Ives	1442
54	Snooze	SZA	1427
55	Nobody Gets Me	SZA	1422
56	She Had Me At Heads Carolina	Cole Swindell	1399
57	About Damn Time	Lizzo	1353
58	Last Christmas	Wham!	1299
59	It's The Most Wonderful Time Of The Year	Andy Williams	1217
60	Low	SZA	1211
61	Bebe Dame	Fuerza Regida X Grupo Frontera	1165
62	Unstoppable	Sia	1100
63	I Ain't Worried	OneRepublic	1072
64	Bzrp Music Sessions, Vol. 53	Bizarrap & Shakira	1069
65	Circo Loco	Drake & 21 Savage	1066
66	Feliz Navidad	Jose Feliciano	1063
67	Sunroof	Nicky Youre & dazy	1045
68	The Christmas Song (Merry Christmas To You)	Nat King Cole	1028
69	Vegas	Doja Cat	987
70	Whiskey On You	Nate Smith	983
71	Sleigh Ride	The Ronettes	973
72	Underneath The Tree	Kelly Clarkson	947
73	'98 Braves	Morgan Wallen	936
74	Blind	SZA	933
75	Freestyle	Lil Baby	929
76	Que Vuelvas	Carin Leon X Grupo Frontera	910
77	Let It Snow, Let It Snow, Let It Snow	Dean Martin	896
78	Bloody Mary	Lady Gaga	892
79	Son Of A Sinner	Jelly Roll	870
80	It's Beginning To Look A Lot Like Christmas	Perry Como And The Fontane Sisters With Mitchell Ayres And His Orchestra	870
81	Star Walkin' (League Of Legends Worlds Anthem)	Lil Nas X	841
82	What He Didn't Do	Carly Pearce	837
83	Major Distribution	Drake & 21 Savage	829
84	On BS	Drake & 21 Savage	827
85	Devil Don't Know	Morgan Wallen	827
86	Tennessee Orange	Megan Moroney	824
87	Santa Tell Me	Ariana Grande	823
88	Sunrise	Morgan Wallen	821
89	Wasted On You	Morgan Wallen	814
90	Handle On You	Parker McCollum	813
91	Christmas (Baby Please Come Home)	Darlene Love	767
92	No Se Va	Grupo Frontera	760
93	Love Language	SZA	755
94	White Christmas	Bing Crosby	742
95	Wild As Her	Corey Kent	739
96	Deck The Halls	Nat King Cole	736
97	Too Many Nights	Metro Boomin ft. Don Toliver & Future	715
98	Hold Me Closer	Elton John & Britney Spears	712
99	Jingle Bells	Frank Sinatra	690
100	Pussy & Millions	Drake & 21 Savage ft. Travis Scott	684

[Groovy]

Mar 8, 2023 10:37:49 GMT -5 Groovy said:

Doja Cat now joins Drake, The Weeknd and Kane Brown as the only artists to clinch a YE in every year of the 2020s.

Future as well

[reputainbow]

SPOILER: Click to show

{Week 18}1 Anti-Hero (Taylor Swift) 5293
2 Unholy (Sam Smith/Kim Petras) 4545
3 Kill Bill (SZA) 3964
4 Rich Flex (Drake/21 Savage) 3802
5 Die for You (The Weeknd/Ariana Grande) 3769
6 I'm Good (Blue) (David Guetta/Bebe Rexha) 3590
7 Creepin' (Metro Boomin/The Weeknd/21 Savage) 3551
8 As It Was (Harry Styles) 3180
9 Flowers (Miley Cyrus) 3058
10 Bad Habit (Steve Lacy) 2893
11 Cuff It (Beyonce) 2797
12 Under the Influence (Chris Brown) 2579
13 You Proof (Morgan Wallen) 2558
14 Just Wanna Rock (Lil Uzi Vert) 2464.8
15 Something In the Orange (Zach Bryan) 2455.6
16 All I Want for Christmas Is You (Mariah Carey) 2336
17 Made You Look (Meghan Trainor) 2289.8
18 Golden Hour (JVKE) 2264.8
19 Thank God (Kane Brown/Katelyn Brown) 2207.4
20 Rock and a Hard Place (Bailey Zimmerman) 2141.2
21 Lavender Haze (Taylor Swift) 2078.8
22 Lift Me Up (Rihanna) 2009.6
23 Shirt (SZA) 1997.6
24 Rockin' Around the Christmas Tree (Brenda Lee) 1985
25 Until I Found You (Stephen Sanchez) 1894.6
26 Superhero (Metro Boomin/Future/Chris Brown) 1831
27 Jingle Bell Rock (Bobby Helms) 1796
28 Calm Down (Rema/Selena Gomez) 1787.2
29 I Like You (A Happier Song) (Post Malone/Doja Cat) 1776
30 Spin Bout U (Drake/21 Savage) 1759.4
31 Tomorrow 2 (Glorilla/Cardi B) 1715.4
32 Going, Going, Gone (Luke Combs) 1695.2
33 Wait In the Truck (Hardy/Lainey Wilson) 1689.2
34 Last Night (Morgan Wallen) 1664
35 Super Freaky Girl (Nicki Minaj) 1598
36 Wait For U (Future/Drake/Tems) 1591
37 Heart Like a Truck (Lainey Wilson) 1588.4
38 A Holly Jolly Christmas (Burl Ives) 1578
39 Escapism (RAYE/070 Shake) 1550.2
40 Thought You Should Know (Morgan Wallen) 1531
41 What My World Spins Around (Jordan Davis) 1419.8
42 Snooze (SZA) 1367.6
43 Last Christmas (Wham!) 1349
44 The Kind of Love We Make (Luke Combs) 1347
45 Nobody Gets Me (SZA) 1345.6
46 Boy's a Liar, Pt. 2 (PinkPantheress/Ice Spice) 1338
47 She Had Me At Heads Carolina (Cole Swindell) 1328
48 About Damn Time (Lizzo) 1287
49 It's the Most Wonderful Time of the Year (Andy Williams) 1262
50 Circo Loco (Drake/21 Savage) 1184.6
51 Low (SZA) 1173.2
52 One Thing At a Time (Morgan Wallen) 1169.2
53 Bebe Dame (Fuerza Regida/Grupo Frontera) 1115
54 Players (Coi Leray) 1115
55 Whiskey on You (Nate Smith) 1113
56 Feliz Navidad (Jose Feliciano) 1082
57 Unstoppable (Sia) 1056
58 Freestyle (Lil Baby) 1053.2
59 Sure Thing (Miguel) 1009
60 Shakira: BZRP Music Sessions, Vol. 53 (Bizarrap/Shakira) 1005
61 I Ain't Worried (OneRepublic) 998
62 The Christmas Song (Merry Christmas to You) (Nat King Cole) 985
63 Sunroof (Nicky Youre/Dazy) 978
64 Blind (SZA) 963.6
65 No Se Va (Grupo Frontera) 952.8
66 Major Distribution (Drake/21 Savage) 942
67 Victoria's Secret (Jax) 932.4
68 Sleigh Ride (The Ronettes) 920
69 Vegas (Doja Cat) 917
70 Star Walkin' (Lil Nas X) 911.2
71 Que Vuelvas (Carin Leon/Grupo Frontera) 907.2
72 On BS (Drake/21 Savage) 897.6
73 Underneath the Tree (Kelly Clarkson) 880
74 Too Many Nights (Metro Boomin/Future/Don Toliver) 868
75 Bloody Mary (Lady Gaga) 851
76 Son of a Sinner (Jelly Roll) 832.2
77 Let It Snow, Let It Snow, Let It Snow (Dean Martin) 827
78 What He Didn't Do (Carly Pearce) 817.6
79 It's Beginning To Look A Lot Like Christmas (Perry Como and the Fontane Sisters/Mitchell Ayres and His Orchestra) 817
80 Love Language (SZA) 810.8
81 Tennessee Orange (Megan Moroney) 807.2
82 Handle on You (Parker McCollum) 798.4
83 Romanic Homicide (D4Vd) 785.2
84 Wild as Her (Corey Kent) 771.2
85 Santa Tell Me (Ariana Grande) 770
86 Pussy & Millions (Drake/21 Savage/Travis Scott) 770
87 Hold Me Closer (Elton John/Britney Spears) 768.4
88 Wasted on You (Morgan Wallen) 748
89 Christmas (Baby Please Come Home) (Darlene Love) 724
90 White Christmas (Bing Crosby) 686
91 Half of Me (Thomas Rhett/Riley Green) 681.2
92 Deck the Halls (Nat King Cole) 676
93 Forget Me (Lewis Capaldi) 675.2
94 California Breeze (Lil Baby) 655.6
95 La Bachata (Manuel Turizo) 644.8
96 La Jumpa (Arcangel/Bad Bunny) 644
97 Here With Me (D4Vd) 638
98 Jingle Bells (Frank Sinatra) 630
99 It's Beginning To Look A Lot Like Christmas (Michael Buble) 626
100 The Color Violet (Tory Lanez) 622.8

[Baby Yoda Hot100Fan]

[85la]

The Billboard Awards will air on Nov. 19 this year. It will cover consumption on the charts dated Nov. 19, 2022 through Oct. 21, 2023. I wonder if the published year-end lists will also cover this timeframe?

[Baby Yoda Hot100Fan]

^If the latter were the case, the 2023 Year-End charts would only cover 49 weeks. It wouldn't be unprecedented, given that the 2010s Decade-End charts were close to two months short of covering 10 years worth of charts.

BTW, I guess that announcement explains why they had been quiet about this years' BBMAs.

[nathanalbright]

Would this potentially mark another shift of the BB Chart year?

[puwrpler04]

Albums with the Most Year End singles

This is for the whole decade
7
Bad Bunny, Un Verano Sin Ti, (Me Porto Bonito,Titi Me Pregunto,Moscow Mule,Efecto,Party,Despuses De La Playa,Ojitos Lindos)



5

Doja Cat, Planet Her, (Kiss Me More,Need To Know,Woman,You Right,Get Into It (Yuh)
Justice, Justin Bieber, (Ghost,Peaches,Holy,Lonley,Anyone)
Luke Combs, What You See Is What You Get, (Forever After All,Better Together,Even Though I’m Leaving,Does To Me,Lovin On You) (Beer Never Broke My Heart Made 2019 so 6 from this album🤯)
Lil Baby, My Turn, (Woah,We Paid,Emotionally Scarree,The Bigger Picture,Sum 2 Prove)

4

Olivia Rodrigo, Sour, (Good 4 You,Drivers License,Deja Vu,Traitor)
Dua Lipa, Future Nostalga, (Levitating,Don’t Start Now,Break My Heart,We Good)
Pop Smoke, Shoot For The Stars Aim For The Moon, (What You Know Bout Love,For The Night,The Woo,Mood Swings) (On Spotify Dior Is On It but it’s a bonus track So this could be 5 depending on who you ask)
SZA, SOS, (Kill Bill,I Hate U,Good Days,Shirt)

3

The Weeknd After Hours, (Blinding Lights,Save Your Tears,Heartless)
Lil Nas X, Montero, (Montero,That’s What I Want,Industry Baby)
Doja Cat,Hot Pink, (Say So,Streets,Juicy)
Ariana Grande, Positions, (Positions,34+35,POV)
Morgan Wallen, Dangerous The Double Album, (Wasted On You,Sand In My Boots,More Than My Hometown)
Cole Swindell, Stereotype, (She Had Me At Heads Carolina,Never Say Never,Single Saturday Night)
Luke Combs, Growin Up, (The Kind Of Love We Make,Doin This,Going,Going,Gone)
Kane Brown, Different Man (Thank God,Like I Love Country Music,One Mississippi)



Potential Future Ones
SOS Could end up with 7 as Snooze And Nobody Gets Me will clinch soon, and Low still has a shot
One Thing At A Time Will 100% get 3 As Last Night, and Thought You Should Know will Clinch Next Week along With You Proof,One Thing At A Time Is Likley Too

Midnights,Her Loss,Heroes Vs Villans,Harry’s House,Renaissance,Leave The Light On,Twelve Carot Toothache, and I Never Liked You, all have 2 songs locked and are released within the last year so they could get 3 or more if a new single gains traction

[Groovy]

I've already stated that I think Anti Hero will be top this YE and now with the Eras Tour kicking off, I think it's gonna be even more certain.

[PositivityMaster48]

Week 19!

[rockgolf]

Current status of year-end Top 100 in my method to Mar 25, 2023:

And where I project this will lead to by the end of the year:

EST Year end	Song	Artist	YE Est Pts
1	Flowers	Miley Cyrus	8279
2	Anti-Hero	Taylor Swift	7627
3	Kill Bill	SZA	7616
4	Die For You	The Weeknd	6962
5	Creepin'	Metro Boomin, The Weeknd & 21 Savage	6127
6	Unholy	Sam Smith & Kim Petras	5922
7	Last Night	Morgan Wallen	5766
8	You Proof	Morgan Wallen	5150
9	I'm Good (Blue)	David Guetta & Bebe Rexha	5130
10	As It Was	Harry Styles	4847
11	Rich Flex	Drake & 21 Savage	4744
12	Under The Influence	Chris Brown	4309
13	Calm Down	Rema & Selena Gomez	4180
14	Just Wanna Rock	Lil Uzi Vert	4023
15	Thought You Should Know	Morgan Wallen	4007
16	Cuff It	Beyonce	3977
17	Rock And A Hard Place	Bailey Zimmerman	3948
18	Boy's A Liar, Pt. 2	PinkPantheress & Ice Spice	3781
19	Thank God	Kane Brown With Katelyn Brown	3446
20	Something In The Orange	Zach Bryan	3439
21	Lavender Haze	Taylor Swift	3172
22	Bad Habit	Steve Lacy	2981
23	Until I Found You	Stephen Sanchez	2955
24	Golden Hour	JVKE	2825
25	Players	Coi Leray	2746
26	Going, Going, Gone	Luke Combs	2588
27	Shirt	SZA	2564
28	One Thing At A Time	Morgan Wallen	2521
29	Made You Look	Meghan Trainor	2512
30	Superhero (Heroes & Villains)	Metro Boomin, Future & Chris Brown	2507
31	Escapism	RAYE ft. 070 Shake	2505
32	All I Want For Christmas Is You	Mariah Carey	2241
33	Lift Me Up	Rihanna	2128
34	Heart Like A Truck	Lainey Wilson	2065
35	Sure Thing	Miguel	2050
36	Snooze	SZA	1974
37	Wait In The Truck	HARDY ft. Lainey Wilson	1960
38	I Like You (A Happier Song)	Post Malone ft. Doja Cat	1931
39	Rockin' Around The Christmas Tree	Brenda Lee	1899
40	Tomorrow 2	GloRilla & Cardi B	1842
41	TQG	Karol G x Shakira	1828
42	Spin Bout U	Drake & 21 Savage	1825
43	Thinkin' Bout Me	Morgan Wallen	1771
44	Wait For U	Future ft. Drake & Tems	1730
45	Super Freaky Girl	Nicki Minaj	1718
46	Jingle Bell Rock	Bobby Helms	1670
47	Nobody Gets Me	SZA	1518
48	What My World Spins Around	Jordan Davis	1508
49	The Kind Of Love We Make	Luke Combs	1451
50	A Holly Jolly Christmas	Burl Ives	1442
51	She Had Me At Heads Carolina	Cole Swindell	1399
52	About Damn Time	Lizzo	1353
53	Everything I Love	Morgan Wallen	1337
54	Last Christmas	Wham!	1299
55	Bzrp Music Sessions, Vol. 53	Bizarrap & Shakira	1268
56	Bebe Dame	Fuerza Regida X Grupo Frontera	1264
57	Low	SZA	1254
58	It's The Most Wonderful Time Of The Year	Andy Williams	1217
59	I Wrote The Book	Morgan Wallen	1187
60	Unstoppable	Sia	1100
61	Bloody Mary	Lady Gaga	1093
62	I Ain't Worried	OneRepublic	1072
63	Circo Loco	Drake & 21 Savage	1066
64	Feliz Navidad	Jose Feliciano	1063
65	Sunroof	Nicky Youre & dazy	1045
66	The Christmas Song (Merry Christmas To You)	Nat King Cole	1028
67	Freestyle	Lil Baby	1010
68	Vegas	Doja Cat	987
69	Whiskey On You	Nate Smith	983
70	Sleigh Ride	The Ronettes	973
71	Que Vuelvas	Carin Leon X Grupo Frontera	952
72	Underneath The Tree	Kelly Clarkson	947
73	Blind	SZA	933
74	What He Didn't Do	Carly Pearce	931
75	Handle On You	Parker McCollum	904
76	Let It Snow, Let It Snow, Let It Snow	Dean Martin	896
77	Tennessee Orange	Megan Moroney	875
78	It's Beginning To Look A Lot Like Christmas	Perry Como And The Fontane Sisters With Mitchell Ayres And His Orchestra	870
79	Son Of A Sinner	Jelly Roll	870
80	Star Walkin' (League Of Legends Worlds Anthem)	Lil Nas X	841
81	Ain't That Some	Morgan Wallen	837
82	Major Distribution	Drake & 21 Savage	829
83	Wild As Her	Corey Kent	828
84	On BS	Drake & 21 Savage	827
85	Santa Tell Me	Ariana Grande	823
86	Favorite Song	Toosii	819
87	Wasted On You	Morgan Wallen	814
88	Christmas (Baby Please Come Home)	Darlene Love	767
89	No Se Va	Grupo Frontera	760
90	Love Language	SZA	755
91	White Christmas	Bing Crosby	742
92	Deck The Halls	Nat King Cole	736
93	Too Many Nights	Metro Boomin ft. Don Toliver & Future	715
94	Hold Me Closer	Elton John & Britney Spears	712
95	Red Ruby Da Sleeze	Nicki Minaj	711
96	Jingle Bells	Frank Sinatra	690
97	Pussy & Millions	Drake & 21 Savage ft. Travis Scott	684
98	It's Beginning To Look A Lot Like Christmas	Michael Buble	668
99	Romantic Homicide	d4vd	660
100	Fall In Love	Bailey Zimmerman	653

[Baby Yoda Hot100Fan]

[reputainbow]

SPOILER: Click to show

{Week 19}1 Anti-Hero (Taylor Swift) 5532
2 Unholy (Sam Smith/Kim Petras) 4715
3 Kill Bill (SZA) 4275
4 Die for You (The Weeknd/Ariana Grande) 4062
5 Rich Flex (Drake/21 Savage) 3932
6 Creepin' (Metro Boomin/The Weeknd/21 Savage) 3826
7 I'm Good (Blue) (David Guetta/Bebe Rexha) 3756
8 Flowers (Miley Cyrus) 3458
9 As It Was (Harry Styles) 3342
10 Cuff It (Beyonce) 2935
11 Bad Habit (Steve Lacy) 2893
12 You Proof (Morgan Wallen) 2743
13 Under the Influence (Chris Brown) 2737
14 Just Wanna Rock (Lil Uzi Vert) 2614.8
15 Something In the Orange (Zach Bryan) 2577.6
16 Made You Look (Meghan Trainor) 2385.8
17 Golden Hour (JVKE) 2366.8
18 Thank God (Kane Brown/Katelyn Brown) 2347.4
19 All I Want for Christmas Is You (Mariah Carey) 2336
20 Rock and a Hard Place (Bailey Zimmerman) 2319.2
21 Lavender Haze (Taylor Swift) 2210.8
22 Shirt (SZA) 2101.6
23 Lift Me Up (Rihanna) 2082
24 Until I Found You (Stephen Sanchez) 2020.6
25 Calm Down (Rema/Selena Gomez) 2008.2
26 Last Night (Morgan Wallen) 1993
27 Rockin' Around the Christmas Tree (Brenda Lee) 1985
28 Superhero (Metro Boomin/Future/Chris Brown) 1945
29 Spin Bout U (Drake/21 Savage) 1856.4
30 Going, Going, Gone (Luke Combs) 1823.2
31 Jingle Bell Rock (Bobby Helms) 1796
32 Wait In the Truck (Hardy/Lainey Wilson) 1789.2
33 I Like You (A Happier Song) (Post Malone/Doja Cat) 1776
34 Thought You Should Know (Morgan Wallen) 1734
35 Tomorrow 2 (Glorilla/Cardi B) 1715.4
36 Heart Like a Truck (Lainey Wilson) 1694.4
37 Escapism (RAYE/070 Shake) 1686.2
38 Super Freaky Girl (Nicki Minaj) 1598
39 Boy's a Liar, Pt. 2 (PinkPantheress/Ice Spice) 1595
40 Wait For U (Future/Drake/Tems) 1591
41 A Holly Jolly Christmas (Burl Ives) 1578
42 Snooze (SZA) 1479.6
43 Nobody Gets Me (SZA) 1437.6
44 What My World Spins Around (Jordan Davis) 1419.8
45 Last Christmas (Wham!) 1349
46 The Kind of Love We Make (Luke Combs) 1347
47 She Had Me At Heads Carolina (Cole Swindell) 1328
48 One Thing At a Time (Morgan Wallen) 1311.2
49 Players (Coi Leray) 1289
50 About Damn Time (Lizzo) 1287
51 It's the Most Wonderful Time of the Year (Andy Williams) 1262
52 Low (SZA) 1236.8
53 Bebe Dame (Fuerza Regida/Grupo Frontera) 1210
54 Circo Loco (Drake/21 Savage) 1184.6
55 Sure Thing (Miguel) 1143
56 Freestyle (Lil Baby) 1131.2
57 Whiskey on You (Nate Smith) 1113
58 Shakira: BZRP Music Sessions, Vol. 53 (Bizarrap/Shakira) 1103
59 Feliz Navidad (Jose Feliciano) 1082
60 Unstoppable (Sia) 1056
61 I Ain't Worried (OneRepublic) 998
62 The Christmas Song (Merry Christmas to You) (Nat King Cole) 985
63 Sunroof (Nicky Youre/Dazy) 978
64 Que Vuelvas (Carin Leon/Grupo Frontera) 970
65 Blind (SZA) 963.6
66 No Se Va (Grupo Frontera) 952.8
67 Bloody Mary (Lady Gaga) 950
68 Major Distribution (Drake/21 Savage) 942
69 Victoria's Secret (Jax) 932.4
70 Sleigh Ride (The Ronettes) 920
71 Vegas (Doja Cat) 917
72 Star Walkin' (Lil Nas X) 911.2
73 What He Didn't Do (Carly Pearce) 906
74 On BS (Drake/21 Savage) 897.6
75 Handle on You (Parker McCollum) 884.4
76 Underneath the Tree (Kelly Clarkson) 880
77 Tennessee Orange (Megan Moroney) 877.2
78 Too Many Nights (Metro Boomin/Future/Don Toliver) 868
79 Wild as Her (Corey Kent) 855.6
80 Son of a Sinner (Jelly Roll) 832.2
81 Let It Snow, Let It Snow, Let It Snow (Dean Martin) 827
82 It's Beginning To Look A Lot Like Christmas (Perry Como and the Fontane Sisters/Mitchell Ayres and His Orchestra) 817
83 Love Language (SZA) 810.8
84 Romanic Homicide (D4Vd) 785.2
85 Santa Tell Me (Ariana Grande) 770
86 Pussy & Millions (Drake/21 Savage/Travis Scott) 770
87 Hold Me Closer (Elton John/Britney Spears) 768.4
88 Wasted on You (Morgan Wallen) 748
89 Christmas (Baby Please Come Home) (Darlene Love) 724
90 I Wrote the Book (Morgan Wallen) 700.8
91 White Christmas (Bing Crosby) 686
92 Half of Me (Thomas Rhett/Riley Green) 681.2
93 Deck the Halls (Nat King Cole) 676
94 Forget Me (Lewis Capaldi) 675.2
95 Everything I Love (Morgan Wallen) 658.4
96 California Breeze (Lil Baby) 655.6
97 La Bachata (Manuel Turizo) 644.8
98 Nonsense (Sabrina Carpenter) 644.4
99 La Jumpa (Arcangel/Bad Bunny) 644
100 You Didn't (Brett Young) 638.4

[Groovy]

[kcdawg13]

It's interesting, but I have a feeling that over half the Top 10 is already locked for the real YE Top 10: Flowers, Kill Bill, Last Night, Die For You, Creepin, Unholy and Anti-Hero. Of course it all depends on how much longevity each of those singles have, and what comes later. I think the only song out of that bunch I'm not confident is gonna finish Top 10 is Unholy, otherwise everything else looks pretty good.

[rockgolf]

Mar 24, 2023 11:25:48 GMT -5 kcdawg13 said:

It's interesting, but I have a feeling that over half the Top 10 is already locked for the real YE Top 10: Flowers, Kill Bill, Last Night, Die For You, Creepin, Unholy and Anti-Hero. Of course it all depends on how much longevity each of those singles have, and what comes later. I think the only song out of that bunch I'm not confident is gonna finish Top 10 is Unholy, otherwise everything else looks pretty good.

I'd add  Creepin to that list.

[Baby Yoda Hot100Fan]

^I would actually think that Die for You might be at greater risk than Creepin' missing out the YE top 10, given that it has already charted 33 weeks on the Hot 100.

[nathanalbright]

Die For You has another 19 weeks before having to worry about superrecurrency, and I would expect that it could amass enough points to clinch a YE spot by then.

[reputainbow]

SPOILER: Click to show

{Week 20}1 Anti-Hero (Taylor Swift) 5771
2 Unholy (Sam Smith/Kim Petras) 4865
3 Kill Bill (SZA) 4586
4 Die for You (The Weeknd/Ariana Grande) 4337
5 Creepin' (Metro Boomin/The Weeknd/21 Savage) 4119
6 Rich Flex (Drake/21 Savage) 4060
7 I'm Good (Blue) (David Guetta/Bebe Rexha) 3914
8 Flowers (Miley Cyrus) 3858
9 As It Was (Harry Styles) 3504
10 Cuff It (Beyonce) 3055
11 You Proof (Morgan Wallen) 2913
12 Under the Influence (Chris Brown) 2903
13 Bad Habit (Steve Lacy) 2893
14 Just Wanna Rock (Lil Uzi Vert) 2760.8
15 Something In the Orange (Zach Bryan) 2693.6
16 Rock and a Hard Place (Bailey Zimmerman) 2504.2
17 Thank God (Kane Brown/Katelyn Brown) 2473.4
18 Golden Hour (JVKE) 2466.8
19 Made You Look (Meghan Trainor) 2385.8
20 Lavender Haze (Taylor Swift) 2364.8
21 All I Want for Christmas Is You (Mariah Carey) 2336
22 Last Night (Morgan Wallen) 2322
23 Calm Down (Rema/Selena Gomez) 2229.2
24 Shirt (SZA) 2199.6
25 Until I Found You (Stephen Sanchez) 2144.6
26 Lift Me Up (Rihanna) 2082
27 Superhero (Metro Boomin/Future/Chris Brown) 2059
28 Rockin' Around the Christmas Tree (Brenda Lee) 1985
29 Spin Bout U (Drake/21 Savage) 1958.4
30 Going, Going, Gone (Luke Combs) 1941.2
31 Thought You Should Know (Morgan Wallen) 1912
32 Wait In the Truck (Hardy/Lainey Wilson) 1888.2
33 Boy's a Liar, Pt. 2 (PinkPantheress/Ice Spice) 1852
34 Escapism (RAYE/070 Shake) 1820.2
35 Heart Like a Truck (Lainey Wilson) 1806.4
36 Jingle Bell Rock (Bobby Helms) 1796
37 I Like You (A Happier Song) (Post Malone/Doja Cat) 1776
38 Tomorrow 2 (Glorilla/Cardi B) 1715.4
39 Super Freaky Girl (Nicki Minaj) 1598
40 Wait For U (Future/Drake/Tems) 1591
41 Snooze (SZA) 1589.6
42 A Holly Jolly Christmas (Burl Ives) 1578
43 Nobody Gets Me (SZA) 1526
44 Players (Coi Leray) 1492
45 One Thing At a Time (Morgan Wallen) 1443.2
46 What My World Spins Around (Jordan Davis) 1419.8
47 Last Christmas (Wham!) 1349
48 The Kind of Love We Make (Luke Combs) 1347
49 She Had Me At Heads Carolina (Cole Swindell) 1328
50 Bebe Dame (Fuerza Regida/Grupo Frontera) 1302
51 Low (SZA) 1302
52 About Damn Time (Lizzo) 1287
53 Sure Thing (Miguel) 1279
54 It's the Most Wonderful Time of the Year (Andy Williams) 1262
55 Freestyle (Lil Baby) 1210
56 Shakira: BZRP Music Sessions, Vol. 53 (Bizarrap/Shakira) 1190.6
57 Circo Loco (Drake/21 Savage) 1184.6
58 Whiskey on You (Nate Smith) 1113
59 Feliz Navidad (Jose Feliciano) 1082
60 Unstoppable (Sia) 1056
61 Bloody Mary (Lady Gaga) 1051
62 Que Vuelvas (Carin Leon/Grupo Frontera) 1037.6
63 What He Didn't Do (Carly Pearce) 1014
64 I Ain't Worried (OneRepublic) 998
65 The Christmas Song (Merry Christmas to You) (Nat King Cole) 985
66 Sunroof (Nicky Youre/Dazy) 978
67 Handle on You (Parker McCollum) 968
68 Blind (SZA) 963.6
69 Tennessee Orange (Megan Moroney) 952.8
70 No Se Va (Grupo Frontera) 952.8
71 Major Distribution (Drake/21 Savage) 942
72 Wild as Her (Corey Kent) 940
73 Victoria's Secret (Jax) 932.4
74 Sleigh Ride (The Ronettes) 920
75 Vegas (Doja Cat) 917
76 Star Walkin' (Lil Nas X) 911.2
77 On BS (Drake/21 Savage) 897.6
78 Underneath the Tree (Kelly Clarkson) 880
79 Too Many Nights (Metro Boomin/Future/Don Toliver) 868
80 Son of a Sinner (Jelly Roll) 832.2
81 Let It Snow, Let It Snow, Let It Snow (Dean Martin) 827
82 It's Beginning To Look A Lot Like Christmas (Perry Como and the Fontane Sisters/Mitchell Ayres and His Orchestra) 817
83 Love Language (SZA) 810.8
84 I Wrote the Book (Morgan Wallen) 796.8
85 Romanic Homicide (D4Vd) 785.2
86 Santa Tell Me (Ariana Grande) 770
87 Pussy & Millions (Drake/21 Savage/Travis Scott) 770
88 Hold Me Closer (Elton John/Britney Spears) 768.4
89 Everything I Love (Morgan Wallen) 764.4
90 Wasted on You (Morgan Wallen) 748
91 Christmas (Baby Please Come Home) (Darlene Love) 724
92 Nonsense (Sabrina Carpenter) 719.2
93 You Didn't (Brett Young) 697.2
94 Here With Me (D4Vd) 689.6
95 White Christmas (Bing Crosby) 686
96 Half of Me (Thomas Rhett/Riley Green) 681.2
97 TQG (Karol G/Shakira) 677
98 Deck the Halls (Nat King Cole) 676
99 Forget Me (Lewis Capaldi) 675.2
100 Dawns (Zach Bryan/Maggie Rogers) 664.4

[Groovy]

[korbel16]

at this point, I think kill bill will be #1 on the year end list