1^∞
Charting
Joined: April 2018
Posts: 297
Pronouns: it/she
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Post by 1^∞ on Sept 26, 2023 19:28:18 GMT -5
1. No
2a. C
2b. D
3. Yes
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rnb
2x Platinum Member
Joined: December 2022
Posts: 2,675
Pronouns: he/him
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Post by rnb on Sept 26, 2023 19:43:03 GMT -5
1. no
2a. c
2b. d
3. yes
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85la
3x Platinum Member
Joined: July 2007
Posts: 3,916 
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Post by 85la on Sept 28, 2023 20:18:48 GMT -5
1. No. Tempted to say yes due to it being a very non-competitive week and with Subtract opening surprisingly fairly strongly despite no major hits, but I don't think that hype will be sustained into a second album this year, so going with no.
2a. B
2b. C
3. No
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ephelia
Charting
Joined: February 2022
Posts: 313
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Post by ephelia on Sept 28, 2023 22:03:09 GMT -5
Q1: Ed Sheeran
No
Q2: Jung Kook
A: #1 *Note edit*
b) How many first-week sales will “3D” achieve? (10/14 chart)
C: 100 - 149k
Q3: Agora Hills
No
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Post by Baby Yoda Hot100Fan on Sept 28, 2023 22:13:52 GMT -5
1. No. It hasn't gotten much promotion.
2a. B
2b. D
3. No. Maybe next year if radio picks it up.
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enwhy
Gold Member
Joined: January 2021
Posts: 642
Pronouns: he/him
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Post by enwhy on Sept 28, 2023 22:54:23 GMT -5
1. No - This is definitely looking like more of an off-cycle release with not much promo
2a. A: #1 - I think the BTS stans will come out in full force for a Jungkook single with a big name collab
2b. B: 150-199k
3. No - Feels like more of a #10 peak long-running hit. Depends if TikTok has any use for it tbh.
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neogale
Charting
Joined: January 2023
Posts: 193
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Post by neogale on Sept 29, 2023 0:56:48 GMT -5
Q1: Yes
Q2a: B
Q2b: C
Q3: No
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rainie
8x Platinum Member
the future disappears into memory
Joined: February 2016
Posts: 8,784
Pronouns: they / them
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Post by rainie on Sept 29, 2023 1:21:57 GMT -5
aaaaa i keep forgetting that the 12:00 deadline is with east coast time, feel free to not count this if you see fit !
1. nah
2. d, c
3. nope
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Post by Rose "Payola" Nylund on Sept 29, 2023 7:28:43 GMT -5
Gahh i also forgot the deadline but just in case :(
1. No
2a. C
2b. C
3. No
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enwhy
Gold Member
Joined: January 2021
Posts: 642
Pronouns: he/him
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Post by enwhy on Oct 3, 2023 8:18:32 GMT -5
This week's questions (Deadline Thu, Oct 5)Drake’s album is due to release this week, but this is the 3rd or 4th release date we’ve heard by now, and we’ve exhausted a ton of questions about him. So instead, this week we’ll do a round of Predict The Peaks! Bear in mind, (as this is going to start being relevant) the peak you’re predicting is only through the Dec 30th chart. Anything into January 2024 will not count! 2x points continue this week, so 50 points if you’re closest, and 100 if you’re dead on! Q1: Thinkin’ Bout MeMorgan Wallen’s “Thinkin’ Bout Me” is surging into the top 10 on Country radio, and looks due for #1. It originally charted at #9 back when the album dropped in March. Can it outpeak its original spot? Last 5 weeks (Old->New): -34-19-27-17-17 What will be the peak position for Morgan Wallen’s “Thinkin’ Bout Me” in 2023? (1/7 - 12/30 chart)*
*The original peak of #9 would count here, so guess 9 if you don’t think it will repeak.Q2: GreedyTate McRae’s “Greedy” is off to a quick start on the Hot 100, debuting in the Top 40, and looking set to rise in its first 2 weeks. Can she outpeak her biggest hit in the states, “You Broke Me First” (#17)? All signs are looking good for this one. Last 5 weeks (Old->New): 33-24 What will be the peak position for Tate McRae’s “Greedy” in 2023? (1/7 - 12/30 chart)*Q3: Agora HillsDoja Cat’s “Agora Hills” looks likely to be her next big hit. Having taken inspiration from both her old and new style, this one was an immediate album standout. It opened this week at #18, and seems likely to have some longevity - although it’s yet to see a radio push. Last 5 weeks (Old->New): 18 What will be the peak position for Doja Cat’s “Agora Hills” in 2023? (1/7 - 12/30 chart)*Q4: My Love Mine All MineMitski’s “My Love Mine All Mine” from her new album is having a moment on streaming. It just became her first Hot 100 hit in her 10+ year career with a #76 debut. How high will this one rise? Last 5 weeks (Old->New): 76 What will be the peak position for Mitski’s “My Love Mine All Mine” in 2023? (1/7 - 12/30 chart)*
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kindofbiased
Platinum Member
Rough surf on the coast
Joined: May 2017
Posts: 1,759 
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Post by kindofbiased on Oct 3, 2023 9:43:13 GMT -5
1. 9
2. 4
3. 12
4. 27 (my heart wants to say this will go top 10 but I'm gonna play it safe)
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renfield75
Platinum Member
Joined: February 2009
Posts: 1,644
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Post by renfield75 on Oct 3, 2023 11:22:42 GMT -5
1.9
2.13...I think radio will pick it up after streaming peaks and it will get caught just outside the top ten
3.7
4.76...unfortunately I think some upcoming album bombs will keep this from going higher, but hopefully it has some longevity
And of course we're not far off from Christmas songs returning, so peaks by December 30th are going to be weird
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1^∞
Charting
Joined: April 2018
Posts: 297
Pronouns: it/she
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Post by 1^∞ on Oct 3, 2023 14:15:05 GMT -5
1. 9
2. 8
3. 5
4. 28
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fengyu
Charting
Joined: August 2020
Posts: 290
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Post by fengyu on Oct 3, 2023 20:02:41 GMT -5
Q1: Thinkin’ Bout Me
9
Q2: Greedy
12
Q3: Agora Hills
8
Q4: My Love Mine All Mine
44
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Post by Rose "Payola" Nylund on Oct 3, 2023 20:16:03 GMT -5
Q1: Thinkin’ Bout Me
What will be the peak position for Morgan Wallen’s “Thinkin’ Bout Me” in 2023? (1/7 - 12/30 chart)*
#8
Q2: Greedy
What will be the peak position for Tate McRae’s “Greedy” in 2023? (1/7 - 12/30 chart)*
#14
Q3: Agora Hills
What will be the peak position for Doja Cat’s “Agora Hills” in 2023? (1/7 - 12/30 chart)*
#4
Q4: My Love Mine All Mine
What will be the peak position for Mitski’s “My Love Mine All Mine” in 2023? (1/7 - 12/30 chart)*
#76
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mms82
Platinum Member
...
Joined: January 2019
Posts: 1,282
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Post by mms82 on Oct 3, 2023 21:05:08 GMT -5
1: 6
2: 10
3: 14
4: 39
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jasper0102
2x Platinum Member
I CAN GET BY THE DAYS JUST FINE BUT THE NIGHTS
Joined: May 2022
Posts: 2,845
Pronouns: he/him
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Post by jasper0102 on Oct 4, 2023 7:31:30 GMT -5
1. 7
2. 4
3. 13
4. 46
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enwhy
Gold Member
Joined: January 2021
Posts: 642
Pronouns: he/him
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Post by enwhy on Oct 5, 2023 11:51:41 GMT -5
For anyone who hasn't seen - TOTC has put out their mid-week projections: - Thinkin' Bout Me projected to rise +4 to #13 - Greedy projected to rise +10 to #14 - Agora Hills projected to drop below #25 (also has fallen out of the Top 10 on US Spotify) - No info on My Love Mine All Mine, but it appears to be up +30-40% on US Spotify this week My predictions: 1. TBM - #5 - This has a few weeks of gains left in it, assuming country radio takes it to #1. Hard to see how it doesn't wind up out-peaking its original spot imo 2. Greedy - #3 - It's weird, this hasn't clicked at all for me while I've loved some of her past upbeat stuff. Still, her label will push this like crazy with how strong the streaming has been 3. Agora Hills - #18 - I don't think this outpeaks its debut week. For one, there appears to be no radio push for it? And the streaming numbers are falling fast. 4. My Love Mine All Mine - #45 - It's probably going to peak this week sadly. I feel like this has hit its ceiling. Still happy for Mitski's first Hot 100 hit! Tagging anyone who hasn't responded yet - 12ish hours to go! |
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joshtheking
Platinum Member
Joined: April 2020
Posts: 1,554
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Post by joshtheking on Oct 5, 2023 12:21:10 GMT -5
1. #6
2. #7
3. #18
4. #50
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85la
3x Platinum Member
Joined: July 2007
Posts: 3,916
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Post by 85la on Oct 5, 2023 12:41:34 GMT -5
I do think some of these could potentially go a little higher after the new year, but especially keeping in mind that this is only through the 12/30 chart!
1. #8
2. #7
3. #18
4. #45
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jhitwild
Bubbling Under
Joined: June 2023
Posts: 16
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Post by jhitwild on Oct 5, 2023 13:17:23 GMT -5
rough estimates
1. #9
2. #5
3. #10
4. #40
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Post by imbuemyblue on Oct 5, 2023 14:32:31 GMT -5
1. #9
2. #12
3. #8
4. #48
This is a really fun week, since they're all basically just wild guesses lol
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Post by Baby Yoda Hot100Fan on Oct 5, 2023 22:25:14 GMT -5
1. 9
2. 8
3. 18
4. 38
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annoymous1
7x Platinum Member
Joined: December 2017
Posts: 7,184
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Post by annoymous1 on Oct 5, 2023 22:28:24 GMT -5
1. 5
2. 15
3. 18
4. 58
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rainie
8x Platinum Member
the future disappears into memory
Joined: February 2016
Posts: 8,784
Pronouns: they / them
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Post by rainie on Oct 5, 2023 22:49:38 GMT -5
tbm: #7
greedy: #6
agora hills: #18
my love all mine: #53
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ephelia
Charting
Joined: February 2022
Posts: 313
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Post by ephelia on Oct 5, 2023 22:54:06 GMT -5
Q1: Thinkin’ Bout Me
9
Q2: Greedy
10
Q3: Agora Hills
18
Q4: My Love Mine All Mine
60
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neel
Gold Member
Joined: February 2023
Posts: 570
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Post by neel on Oct 5, 2023 22:55:12 GMT -5
Q1: 7
Q2: Top 5
Q3: 14
Q4: 13
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rnb
2x Platinum Member
Joined: December 2022
Posts: 2,675
Pronouns: he/him
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Post by rnb on Oct 6, 2023 16:57:30 GMT -5
could’ve sworn I posted oops
1. 9
2. 6
3. 15
4. 48
edit: shit I think im past the deadline 😭 oh well
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enwhy
Gold Member
Joined: January 2021
Posts: 642
Pronouns: he/him
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Post by enwhy on Oct 10, 2023 23:18:10 GMT -5
This week's questions (Deadline Thu, Oct 12)Sorry for being late this week. Wanted to get a couple questions out since there’s a new Bad Bunny album out on Friday! Q1: Bad Bunny vs DrakeDrake is projecting to debut “For All The Dogs” at #1 on the Billboard 200 with 400-450k units. Bad Bunny’s last album “Un Verano Sin Ti” was his biggest ever, debuting at #1 with 274k units. How will Bad Bunny’s new 22-track album “Nadie Sabe Lo Que Va a Pasar Mañana” compare? How will Bad Bunny’s new album compare to Drake’s on the BB200? (10/28 chart)
A - Bad Bunny’s 1st week units will be MORE THAN Drake’s 1st week units
B - Bad Bunny’s 1st week units will be BETWEEN 50-100% of Drake’s 1st week units
C - Bad Bunny’s 1st week units will be LESS THAN 50% than Drake’s 1st week unitsQ2: Top 10On release week, “Un Verano Sin Ti” (Bad Bunny’s last album) landed 4 of the 10 spots in the Top 10. Will he be able to beat that with his new album? How many spots in the Hot 100 Top 10 will songs from Bad Bunny’s new album occupy? (10/28 chart)
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jasper0102
2x Platinum Member
I CAN GET BY THE DAYS JUST FINE BUT THE NIGHTS
Joined: May 2022
Posts: 2,845
Pronouns: he/him
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Post by jasper0102 on Oct 11, 2023 7:29:06 GMT -5
1. B
2. 3
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