Billboard Hot 100: 08/19/2023

[dodgerslakers94]

Would you guys say it’s Morgan Wallen or Taylor’s year?

[Gary]

yes both

[firefox]

Aug 10, 2023 19:15:53 GMT -5 dodgerslakers94 said:

Would you guys say it’s Morgan Wallen or Taylor’s year?

Uhm. Of course it's Taylor's. Morgan's US-centric success is not comparable to Taylor's global domination.

[korbel16]

Aug 10, 2023 19:19:42 GMT -5 Gary said:

yes both

sza too in the first half

[imbuemyblue]

I don't think we can fully extrapolate sales from the (admittedly amazing) first hour/8 hrs/day/whatever. She has probably become more front loaded than when 'Midnights' pre-orders happened, as fans have felt closer to her and more fervently obsessed than ever before, following the tour. I think it's a lock on a million, high chance of matching the original's debut, and something like a 50/50 shot at matching 'Midnights'. Pretty much insanity any way you cut it.

[ificanthaveyou]

Aug 10, 2023 19:33:06 GMT -5 imbuemyblue said:

I don't think we can fully extrapolate sales from the (admittedly amazing) first hour/8 hrs/day/whatever. She has probably become more front loaded than when 'Midnights' pre-orders happened, as fans have felt closer to her and more fervently obsessed than ever before, following the tour. I think it's a lock on a million, high chance of matching the original's debut, and something like a 50/50 shot at matching 'Midnights'. Pretty much insanity any way you cut it.

I think they’re gonna push 1989 hard. VMAs, possible SNL, banger lead single. The sky is the limit with this one and Reputation!

[musiclife]

I wonder if it can do 2 million. All 4 deluxe CDs sold out. I'll bet deluxe vinyls are coming and so are signed vinyls and CDs. Then you have streams week 1. 💀 this has also sold well over 400k since the announcement.

[neel]

Hope that album cuts that were missed get to be the big hits of the album. Cause it would be weird seeing hits like “Blank Space” “Wildest Dreams”, “Style” “Bad Blood” and etc get a second growth in popularity.

[bonicap]

Aug 10, 2023 19:33:06 GMT -5 imbuemyblue said:

I don't think we can fully extrapolate sales from the (admittedly amazing) first hour/8 hrs/day/whatever. She has probably become more front loaded than when 'Midnights' pre-orders happened, as fans have felt closer to her and more fervently obsessed than ever before, following the tour. I think it's a lock on a million, high chance of matching the original's debut, and something like a 50/50 shot at matching 'Midnights'. Pretty much insanity any way you cut it.

Agree with everything here. I would add that Midnights had a bunch of boosts during the pre-orders like the clock thing or a huge amount of signed copies. What Taylor has planned between now and release day will make the difference between a 1M or a 1.5M debut.

[musiclife]

Does anyone think there's a chance Cruel Summer sneaks to #1?

[eagle27]

Aug 10, 2023 21:01:07 GMT -5 musiclife said:

Does anyone think there's a chance Cruel Summer sneaks to #1?

Not for this week. Even with a solid streaming boost today the gap is still too big. Cruel Summer is the favorite for next week especially with the news yesterday, unless Drake drops or Olivia’s song pulls a g4u. Either way this is probably the Last Night of the last tracking week for the current chart topper.

[fengyu]

Aug 10, 2023 21:24:41 GMT -5 eagle27 said:

Aug 10, 2023 21:01:07 GMT -5 musiclife said:

Does anyone think there's a chance Cruel Summer sneaks to #1?

Not for this week. Even with a solid streaming boost today the gap is still too big. Cruel Summer is the favorite for next week especially with the news yesterday, unless Drake drops or Olivia’s song pulls a g4u. Either way this is probably the Last Night of the last tracking week for the current chart topper.

this is the first Last Night pun i've seen and i can't believe it's taken that long i love it

[korbel16]

there’s really no telling which number 1 off the album would go #1 during the taylor’s version week

[wavey.]

Aug 10, 2023 19:15:53 GMT -5 dodgerslakers94 said:

Would you guys say it’s Morgan Wallen or Taylor’s year?

Both of their years. A few artists have been eating consistently since the top of the year. Everyone winning.

[tekkenguy]

Aug 10, 2023 21:24:41 GMT -5 eagle27 said:

Aug 10, 2023 21:01:07 GMT -5 musiclife said:

Does anyone think there's a chance Cruel Summer sneaks to #1?

Not for this week. Even with a solid streaming boost today the gap is still too big. Cruel Summer is the favorite for next week especially with the news yesterday, unless Drake drops or Olivia’s song pulls a g4u. Either way this is probably the Last Night of the last tracking week for the current chart topper.

Is it possible Fast Car gets it?

[Golden Bluebird]

Aug 10, 2023 19:15:53 GMT -5 dodgerslakers94 said:

Would you guys say it’s Morgan Wallen or Taylor’s year?

It's Peso Pluma's year.

In all seriousness though, while I don't think he's as big as Morgan and especially Taylor (though he's certainly bigger than the former artist globally), I do think he deserves to be mentioned in this conversation at least because that guy is having a great 2023.

[mms82]

Aug 11, 2023 0:00:51 GMT -5 Golden Bluebird said:

Aug 10, 2023 19:15:53 GMT -5 dodgerslakers94 said:

Would you guys say it’s Morgan Wallen or Taylor’s year?

It's Peso Pluma's year.

In all seriousness though, while I don't think he's as big as Morgan and especially Taylor (though he's certainly bigger than the former artist globally), I do think he deserves to be mentioned in this conversation at least because that guy is having a great 2023.

Peso Pluma unquestionably wins best breakout year

[dremolus - solarpunk]

US Spotify - 08/09/23

1(=) Gunna - fukumean 1,425,701 (-18,062)
2(=) Taylor Swift - Cruel Summer 1,356,253 (+40,729)
3(+1) Morgan Wallen - Last Night 1,261,828 (+14,982)
4(-1) Travis Scott, Drake - MELTDOWN 1,231,669 (-58,849)
5(=) Nicki Minaj, Ice Spice - Barbie World 1,199,109 (-18,157)
6(=) Billie Eilish - What Was I Made For? 1,146,617 (-19,220)
7(=) Olivia Rodrigo - vampire 1,078,770 (-9,699)
8(=) Doja Cat - Paint the Town Red 942,896 (-18,372)
9(=) Dua Lipa - Dance the Night 936,829 (-15,616)
10(=) Travis Scott - I KNOW ? 905,396 (-27,713)

Travis Scott - UTOPIA [15/19]
11(=) FE!N 872,083 (-49,492)
13(=) TELEKINESIS 809,467 (-27,041)
20(-1) K-POP 651,463 (-16,658)
32(-8) MY EYES 562,706 (-39,909)
35(-6) TOPIA TWINS 548,854 (-29,097)
65(-10) HYAENA 452,097 (-26,125)
70(-8) THANK GOD 434,430 (-28,722)
90(-18) MODERN JAM 402,080 (-25,156)
106(-18) TIL FURTHER NOTICE 381,527 (-20,076)
120(-22) SIRENS 366,163 (-23,157)
130(-17) SKITZO 354,038 (-21,090)
144(-20) GOD'S COUNTRY 337,232 (-23,014)
196(-34) CIRCUS MAXIMUS 302,891 (-21,013)
Total Thirteenth Day Streams: 8,612,096 (-12%)

Other:
12(=) Luke Combs - Fast Car 846,188 (+9,505)
14(=) Eslabon Armado, Peso Pluma - Ella Baila Sola 771,107 (-7,168)
15(=) Jung Kook, Latto - Seven 752,041 (+4,233)
18(=) Tyler the Creator, Kali Uchis - See You Again 670,172 (-120)
19(+1) Taylor Swift - august 657,409 (-7,073)
22(+1) Taylor Swift - Anti-Hero 639,191 (+27,475)
23(-2) NewJeans - Super Shy 625,640 (-193)
25(=) Peso Pluma, Gabito Ballesteros, Junior H - LADY GAGA 597,799 (-1,319)
27(+5) Taylor Swift - Karma 595,598 (+27,948)
28(+9) Taylor Swift - Style 584,040 (+47,432)
29(+5) Bailey Zimmerman - Religiously 582,273 (+16,686)
33(=) Noah Kahan, Post Malone - Dial Drunk Remix 561,233 (-4,547)
34(-4) Charlie XCX - Speed Drive 560,329 (-9,411)
36(-1) Myke Towers - LALA 547,524 (+3,008)
37(+13) Taylor Swift - Blank Space 545,450 (+45,100)
38(-2) Lil Durk, J. Cole - All My Life 538,742 (-418)
39(-1) Taylor Swift - cardigan 536,534 (+4,925)
40(=) Taylor Swift - I Can See You 531,243 (+8,460)
41(=) Morgan Wallen - Thinkin' Bout Me 527,185 (+5,353)
43(-1[) Bad Bunny - WHERE SHE GOES 521,209 (+2,733)
44(-5) Post Malone - Chemical 517,797 (-10,674)
45(+7) Taylor Swift - Don't Blame Me 510,395 (+15,993)
46(-2) Ice Spice - Deli 507,940 (-6,195)
47(-2) SZA - Snooze 507,048 (-4,619)
48(-1) Grupo Frontera, Bad Bunny - un x100to 505,885 (+3,017)
50(-4) Fuerza Regida - SABOR FRESA 499,457 (-3,997)
51(-2) Kali Uchis - Moonlight 498,528 (-2,033)
53(=) Laufey - From the Start 489,006 (+6,879)
55(-1) David Kushner - Daylight 477,818 (-1,046)
56(+1) Peso Pluma, Grupo Frontera - TULUM 474,731 (+404)
57(+8) Miley Cyrus - Flowers 468,582 (+12,718)
59(+1) Tyler Childers - In Your Love 466,976 (+429)
60(+1) Fuerza Regida - TQM 462,371 (-2,197)
62(+1) Troye Sivan - Rush 459,014 (-1,918)
63(-4) Ryan Gosling - I'm Just Ken 455,422 (-13,282)
67(=) FIFTY FIFTY - Cupid (Twin Version) 449,600 (-430)
68(-4) Post Malone - Enough is Enough 442,770 (-18,151)
69(+6) Rema, Selena Gomez - Calm Down 435,548 (+12,496)
71(+5) Taylor Swift - Lover 433,064 (+12,701)
76(+9) NLE Choppa - It's Getting Hot 422,345 (+11,696)
77(-3) Bizarrap, Peso Pluma - Bzrp Music Sessions, Vol. 55 421,209 (-3,055)
83(-4) Young Nudy, 21 Savage - Peaches & Eggplants 413,245 (-2,481)
86(+1) Peso Pluma, Jasiel Nuñez - LAGUNAS 408,479 (+5,242)
87(+15) Taylor Swift - Lavender Haze 404,369 (+17,567)
91(-1) Jordan Davis - Next Thing You Know 400,395 (+4,878)
92(-1) Noah Kahan - Stick Season 400,323 (+5,436)
93(+11) Zach Bryan, Maggie Rogers - Dawns 398,986 (+6,241)
96(+7) Taylor Swift - Enchanted (Taylor's Version) 395,539 (+8,886)
100(-8) The Weeknd, Playboi Carti, Madonna - Popular 390,510 (-3,466)

101(-4) Dave, Central Cee - Sprinter 389,717 (-954)
103(+1) Zach Bryan - Sun to Me 386,948 (+1,077)
105(-10) Post Malone - Overdrive 384,716 (-6,336)
107(+1) Brent Faiyaz - Clouded 381,506 (-642)
108(-1) Lil Uzi Vert - Flooded the Face 380,261 (-2,642)
110(-1) Peso Pluma - BYE 379,030 (-2,271)
112(-6) Post Malone - Mourning 375,165 (-8,458)
114(+5) That Mexican OT, Paul Wall, DRODi - Johnny Dang 373,694 (+7,373)
115(+10) Taylor Swift - Getaway Car 372,703 (+16,726)
116(+18) Jimin - Like Crazy 372,603 (+27,448)
122(-7) Yahritza Y Su Esencia, Grupo Frontera - Frágil 365,118 (-4,234)
124(+2) TV Girl - Lovers Rock 361,822 (+5,968)
125(+8) Taylor Swift - Delicate 359,829 (+12,008)
126(+6) Taylor Swift - Love Story (Taylor's Version) 359,186 (+11,078)
128(=) Faye Webster - I Know You 355,889 (+727)
131(-4) Peso Pluma, Junior H - LUNA 352,467 (-2,911)
132(+14) Taylor Swift - Bejeweled 352,092 (+19,278)
135(+3) Tyler Childers - Feathered Indians 347,112 (+6,901)
136(=) Tyler Childers - All Your'n 347,106 (+1,450)
139(+1) Zach Bryan - Oklahoma Smokeshow 340,501 (+1,450)
142(-11) Offset, Cardi B - JEALOUSY 338,662 (-9,988)
145(+2) Grupo Frontera, Grupo Firme - EL AMOR DE SU VIDA 336,842 (+4,698)
147(-10) Jason Aldean - Try That in a Small Town 335,592 (-5,205)
151(+35) Taylor Swift - Shake It Off 332,427 (+24,308)
155(-5) Lil Durk, Morgan Wallen - Stand By Me 328,852 (+206)
158(+10) Taylor Swift - The Man 327,104 (+7,457)
159(-8) Tainy, Bad Bunny - MOJABI GHOST 326,630 (-1,705)
160(+16) Feid, Young Miko - Classy 101 326,623 (+14,340)
162(+2) HARDY - TRUCK BED 325,650 (+3,596)
163(+15) Taylor Swift - Midnight Rain 325,317 (+13,542)
167(-6) Doechii - What It Is (Solo Version) 321,696 (-2,888)
169(-3) Jelly Roll - Need A Favor 321,258 (+22)
173(-20) Steve Lacy - Infrunami 319,827 (-7,775)
174(-4) Odetari, 6arelyhuman - GMFU 319,706 (+1,472)
175(+2) Taylor Swift - You Belong With Me (Taylor's Version) 319,137 (+7,166)
176(-28) Post Malone - Something Real 319,100 (-13,030)
181(-12) NewJeans - New Jeans 314,203 (-5,429)
185(+11) Taylor Swift - You're On Your Own, Kid 310,624 (+11,180)
188(-1) Kaliii - Area Codes 306,839 (+1,215)
195(re-entry) KAROL G - AMARGURA 303,472
197(+3) Taylor Swift - All Too Well (10 Minute Version) 302,286 (+7,049)
198(re-entry) Taylor Swift - ...Ready for It? 301,672
199(re-entry) Taylor Swift - Look What You Made Me Do 300,639

Taylor currently has 24 songs on the charts.

[firefox]

When was the last time RFI and LWYMMD charted on US Spotify?

[fengyu]

All of 1989 (deluxe) charts on US Spotify except This Love.

[dremolus - solarpunk]

Brief Daily Spotify Update:

Only a 26K difference between fukumean and Cruel Summer for the top spot on Spotify

Taylor with 33 songs on Spotify, 15 of them from the original 1989

[Groovy]

I would also like to throw SZA into this conversation, 2023 has also been her year.

[imbuemyblue]

Ugh, I really wanted #1 on Spotify for 'Cruel Summer'. Maybe today? I like Olivia's new song, but it's giving buzz track to me. It really does sound like it belongs in the opening credits of some teen hit movie, which is fun.

[eagle27]

So Style and Blank Space are probably charting this week. Cruel Summer is only 2 spots behind Last Night on Apple and strongly ahead on Spotify, iTunes, and radio. Fast Car might get screwed and stay at #2 while Last Night goes 1 to 3. Obviously Bad Idea Right is still a wildcard but this week is more predictable without Drake yet.

[jayhawk1117]

Aug 11, 2023 7:05:49 GMT -5 imbuemyblue said:

Ugh, I really wanted #1 on Spotify for 'Cruel Summer'. Maybe today? I like Olivia's new song, but it's giving buzz track to me. It really does sound like it belongs in the opening credits of some teen hit movie, which is fun.

a sub 30k gap between the 2 and with the way the swifties are going CRAZY this week, there’s a good chance it happens tomorrow

[Taylor.]

[musiclife]

It's Taylor's year. Lol Followed by Morgan. Then followed by Sza. Then followed by Peso Pluma.

[musiclife]

Aug 11, 2023 7:55:15 GMT -5 Taylor. said:

Really no This Love? Lol

Sorry didn't mean to double post.

[fengyu]

[Ling-Ling]

OMG at Snooze, like come on, lol.