2024 Billboard Hot 100 Year End Predictions (Year 12)

[reputainbow]

SPOILER: Click to show

{Week 22}1 Cruel Summer (Taylor Swift) 6068
2 Lovin on Me (Jack Harlow) 5916
3 I Remember Everything (Zach Bryan/Kacey Musgraves) 4922
4 Snooze (SZA) 4888
5 Greedy (Tate McRae) 4778
6 Paint the Town Red (Doja Cat) 4750
7 Lose Control (Teddy Swims) 4062
8 Fast Car (Luke Combs) 3725
9 Last Night (Morgan Wallen) 3686
10 Agora Hills (Doja Cat) 3531
11 Water (Tyla) 3513
12 Thinkin' Bout Me (Morgan Wallen) 3470
13 Is It Over Now? (Taylor Swift) 3430
14 Stick Season (Noah Kahan) 2906
15 Rich Baby Daddy (Drake/Sexyy Red/SZA) 2673.4
16 What Was I Made For? (Billie Eilish) 2500.6
17 Vampire (Olivia Rodrigo) 2352
18 Need a Favor (Jelly Roll) 2277
19 Pretty Little Poison (Warren Zeiders) 2250.8
20 First Person Shooter (Drake/J. Cole) 2242.4
21 All I Want for Christmas Is You (Mariah Carey) 2234
22 Flowers (Miley Cyrus) 2216
23 Beautiful Things (Benson Boone) 2159
24 Houdini (Dua Lipa) 2153.6
25 Save Me (Jelly Roll/Lainey Wilson) 2115
26 Rockin' Around the Christmas Tree (Brenda Lee) 2079
27 IDGAF (Drake/Yeat) 2050.8
28 Monaco (Bad Bunny) 2049.2
29 Wild Ones (Jessie Murph/Jelly Roll) 2045
30 White Horse (Chris Stapleton) 2007
31 Fukumean (Gunna) 1958
32 Lil Boo Thang (Paul Russell) 1957
33 Good Good (Usher/Summer Walker/21 Savage) 1954.2
34 Truck Bed (HARDY) 1907.8
35 On My Mama (Victoria Monet) 1885
36 World on Fire (Nate Smith) 1877.4
37 Dance the Night (Dua Lipa) 1857
38 The Painter (Cody Johnson) 1844.6
39 Jingle Bell Rock (Bobby Helms) 1817
40 Last Christmas (Wham!) 1735
41 Yes, And? (Ariana Grande) 1680
42 My Love Mine All Mine (Mitski) 1678
43 Texas Hold 'Em (Beyonce) 1661
44 Redrum (21 Savage) 1631
45 Carnival (Kanye West/Ty Dolla $ign/Rich the Kid/Playboi Carti) 1626
46 Where the Wild Things Are (Luke Combs) 1622.2
47 Exes (Tate McRae) 1604.2
48 A Holly Jolly Christmas (Burl Ives) 1595
49 Burn It Down (Parker McCollum) 1592.6
50 Everybody (Nicki Minaj/Lil Uzi Vert) 1591.8
51 Used to Be Young (Miley Cyrus) 1574.8
52 La Diabla (Xavi) 1559.6
53 Never Lose Me (Flo Milli) 1515.8
54 Harley Quinn (Fuerza Regida/Marshmello) 1489.2
55 Surround Sound (JID/21 Savage/Baby Tate) 1473.2
56 Standing Next to You (Jung Kook) 1461
57 You Broke My Heart (Drake) 1460.2
58 FTCU (Nicki Minaj) 1428.8
59 Strangers (Kenya Grace) 1419.6
60 Feather (Sabrina Carpenter) 1404.4
61 Perro Negro (Bad Bunny/Feid) 1364.8
62 500lbs (Lil Tecca) 1298
63 It's the Most Wonderful Time of the Year (Andy Williams) 1267
64 Get Him Back! (Olivia Rodrigo) 1194.4
65 Let It Snow, Let It Snow, Let It Snow (Dean Martin) 1101
66 Virginia Beach (Drake) 1072.8
67 Made for Me (Muni Long) 1067.6
68 La Victima (Xavi) 1063.6
69 Feliz Navidad (Jose Feliciano) 1038
70 Sleigh Ride (The Ronettes) 1019
71 I Know ? (Travis Scott) 1018.8
72 Que Onda (Calle 24/Chino Pacas/Fuerza Regida) 1004
73 Man Made a Bar (Morgan Wallen/Eric Church) 961.2
74 Bellakeo (Peso Pluma/Anitta) 959.6
75 Now That We Don't Talk (Taylor Swift) 958.6
76 Underneath the Tree (Kelly Clarkson) 942
77 Soak City (Do It) (310babii) 933.2
78 One of the Girls (The Weeknd/JENNIE/Lily Rose Depp) 932
79 Segun Quien (Maluma/Carin Leon) 921.6
80 The Christmas Song (Merry Christmas to You) (Nat King Cole) 921
81 Santa Tell Me (Ariana Grande) 916
82 Act II: Date @ 8 (4Batz/Drake) 913
83 Great Gatsby (Rod Wave) 889.2
84 Qlona (Karol G/Peso Pluma) 887.4
85 Kill Bill (SZA) 876
86 Hey Driver (Zach Bryan/The War and Treaty) 864.4
87 Murder on the Dancefloor (Sophie Ellis-Bextor) 856.4
88 Hiss (Megan Thee Stallion) 855.6
89 I Can Feel It (Kane Brown) 853.6
90 Can't Catch Me Now (Olivia Rodrigo) 844.8
91 Selfish (Justin Timberlake) 840
92 23 (Chayce Beckham) 837.2
93 FE!N (Travis Scott/Playboi Carti) 822.4
94 ​Née-Nah (21 Savage/Travis Scott/Metro Boomin) 813.8
95 Save Me the Trouble (Dan + Shay) 807
96 Igual Que Un Ángel (Kali Uchis/Peso Pluma) 802.4
97 Bad Idea Right? (Olivia Rodrigo) 799.4
98 Mmhmm (BigXthaPlug) 774.4
99 Slime You Out (Drake/SZA) 767.2
100 Northern Attitude (Noah Kahan/Hozier) 762

[puwrpler04]

Yah was kinda projecting a bigger cutoff with the amount of songs clinching in the next few weeks. I think 1330 is a bit agressive of a cutoff cause alot of songs won’t clinch after April due to their just now being alot of songs on pace for it. I think it should be at 1300

It looks like though now Surround Sound and You Broke My Heart will miss which stinks cause they’re both great songs.Burn it down could miss too depending on when radio drops it but it’s very borderline.FTCU will also be very borderline

[whaleblubber]

Yeah the cut-off is gonna be high this year.

SPOILER: Click to show

{Week 22 projections (with new cutoff)}1 Lovin On Me 8300
3 Lose Control 7212
5 Cruel Summer 6271
6 I Remember Everything 6224
7 Greedy 6200
8 Beautiful Things 5586
9 Carnival 5184
10 Agora Hills 5173

11 Water 4797
12 Fast Car 4769
13 Snooze 4680
14 Stick Season 4628
15 Texas Hold 'Em 4467
16 Paint The Town Red 4373
17 Is It Over Now? (Taylor's Version) 4246
22 Houdini 3715
23 Last Night 3663
24 Redrum 3610

26 Thinkin' Bout Me 3309
30 Saturn 3118
34 Never Lose Me 2944
35 Made For Me 2892
36 What Was I Made For? 2910
37 Feather 2863
38 End Of Beginning 2798
39 Whatever She Wants 2774
40 We Can't Be Friends (Wait For Your Love)2658
45 La Diabla 2455
46 Exes 2431
47 Truck Bed 2418
48 Where The Wild Things Are 2410
49 Yes, And? 2409
50 Pretty Little Poison 2316

53 Vampire 2136
54 Everybody 2117
55 Rich Baby Daddy 2093
56 Wild Ones 2075
57 Selfish 2070
58 Save Me 2070
62 Surround Sound 1979
63 Act II: Date @ 8 1974
64 All I Want For Christmas Is You 1931
69 Rockin' Around The Christmas Tree 1827
70 Man Made A Bar 1805
71 First Person Shooter 1796
72 The Painter 1755
73 Need A Favor 1746
74 Yeah Glo! 1714
75 Jingle Bell Rock 1674
76 Flowers 1637
77 You Broke My Heart 1637
78 I Can Feel It 1624
79 Last Christmas 1617
80 23 1597
81 Lil Boo Thang 1586
82 White Horse 1582
83 Good Good 1558
84 Monaco 1525
85 IDGAF 1520
86 FTCU 1503
87 Fukumean 1500
88 World On Fire 1482
89 On My Mama 1476
90 A Holly Jolly Christmas 1470
92 Soak City (Do It) 1434
93 Burn It Down 1387
94 Dance The Night 1386
95 One Of The Girls 1383
97 My Love Mine All Mine 1338
98 Mamaw's House 1317
99 Praise Jah In The Moonlight 1312

[Harx]

So, what's the prognosis for Feather now? Assuming that radio will keep it afloat for a few more weeks until Beyonce or Taylor album bomb? Would that be enough with the new cutoff?

Never Lose Me should probably make it...? Not sure about La Diabla and Exes

[puwrpler04]

Mar 19, 2024 18:46:45 GMT -5 Harx said:

So, what's the prognosis for Feather now? Assuming that radio will keep it afloat for a few more weeks until Beyonce or Taylor album bomb? Would that be enough with the new cutoff?

Never Lose Me should probably make it...? Not sure about La Diabla and Exes

All of these prolly makes it Feather only needs 25000 and it’s still gaining on pop.Exes clinches next week,Never lose me has the album and enough streaming to make it. And La Diabla has 7 weeks to clinch it’s safe

[rockgolf]

My estimate of where the year-end stands (Mar 23, 2024 chart):

My projection of how songs charted to date will order by the end of the year:

EST Year end	Song	Artist	YE Est Pts
1	Lovin On Me	Jack Harlow	8314
2	Lose Control	Teddy Swims	7867
3	Cruel Summer	Taylor Swift	7311
4	Greedy	Tate McRae	6858
5	I Remember Everything	Zach Bryan ft. Kacey Musgraves	6772
6	Snooze	SZA	6136
7	Beautiful Things	Benson Boone	5457
8	Last Night	Morgan Wallen	5161
9	Agora Hills	Doja Cat	5140
10	Paint The Town Red	Doja Cat	5121
11	Fast Car	Luke Combs	5060
12	We Can't Be Friends (Wait For Your Love)	Ariana Grande	4933
13	Water	Tyla	4927
14	Carnival	¥$: Ye & Ty Dolla $ign  ft. Rich The Kid & Playboi Carti	4604
15	Thinkin' Bout Me	Morgan Wallen	4489
16	Stick Season	Noah Kahan	4422
17	Is It Over Now? (Taylor's Version) [From The Vault]	Taylor Swift	4338
18	Yes, And?	Ariana Grande	3890
19	Texas Hold 'Em	Beyonce	3880
20	What Was I Made For?	Billie Eilish	3155
21	Rich Baby Daddy	Drake ft. Sexyy Red & SZA	2874
22	Houdini	Dua Lipa	2818
23	Redrum	21 Savage	2503
24	Vampire	Olivia Rodrigo	2497
25	Pretty Little Poison	Warren Zeiders	2489
26	Flowers	Miley Cyrus	2419
27	Need A Favor	Jelly Roll	2412
28	First Person Shooter	Drake ft. J. Cole	2369
29	Save Me	Jelly Roll With Lainey Wilson	2285
30	Truck Bed	HARDY	2263
31	Wild Ones	Jessie Murph & Jelly Roll	2192
32	All I Want For Christmas Is You	Mariah Carey	2162
33	White Horse	Chris Stapleton	2145
34	Lil Boo Thang	Paul Russell	2102
35	Fukumean	Gunna	2099
36	Good Good	Usher, Summer Walker & 21 Savage	2079
37	Never Lose Me	Flo Milli	2025
38	Monaco	Bad Bunny	2023
39	Rockin' Around The Christmas Tree	Brenda Lee	2012
40	IDGAF	Drake ft. Yeat	2009
41	Dance The Night	Dua Lipa	1975
42	Saturn	SZA	1974
43	World On Fire	Nate Smith	1960
44	On My Mama	Victoria Monet	1944
45	Feather	Sabrina Carpenter	1840
46	Made For Me	Muni Long	1837
47	My Love Mine All Mine	Mitski	1796
48	The Painter	Cody Johnson	1789
49	La Diabla	Xavi	1739
50	Everybody	Nicki Minaj ft. Lil Uzi Vert	1726
51	Jingle Bell Rock	Bobby Helms	1694
52	Used To Be Young	Miley Cyrus	1689
53	Exes	Tate McRae	1673
54	Last Christmas	Wham!	1586
55	Where The Wild Things Are	Luke Combs	1576
56	The Boy Is Mine	Ariana Grande	1563
57	Supernatural	Ariana Grande	1554
58	FTCU	Nicki Minaj	1480
59	Surround Sound	JID ft. 21 Savage & Baby Tate	1477
60	You Broke My Heart	Drake	1468
61	Strangers	Kenya Grace	1439
62	A Holly Jolly Christmas	Burl Ives	1435
63	Burn It Down	Parker McCollum	1434
64	End Of Beginning	Djo	1431
65	Harley Quinn	Fuerza Regida & Marshmello	1409
66	Whatever She Wants	Bryson Tiller	1391
67	Fast Car	Tracy Chapman	1370
68	It's The Most Wonderful Time Of The Year	Andy Williams	1230
69	Selfish	Justin Timberlake	1228
70	500lbs	Lil Tecca	1222
71	Get Him Back!	Olivia Rodrigo	1157
72	Standing Next To You	Jung Kook	1124
73	Let It Snow, Let It Snow, Let It Snow!	Dean Martin	1121
74	Perro Negro	Bad Bunny & Feid	1118
75	I Know ?	Travis Scott	1103
76	Sleigh Ride	The Ronettes	1094
77	Feliz Navidad	Jose Feliciano	1071
78	La Victima	Xavi	1049
79	Underneath The Tree	Kelly Clarkson	967
80	Eternal Sunshine	Ariana Grande	963
81	The Christmas Song  (Merry Christmas To You)	Nat "King" Cole	961
82	Virginia Beach	Drake	957
83	Man Made A Bar	Morgan Wallen ft. Eric Church	956
84	Santa Tell Me	Ariana Grande	956
85	Bye	Ariana Grande	949
86	Kill Bill	SZA	940
87	Don't Wanna Break Up Again	Ariana Grande	929
88	One Of The Girls	The Weeknd, JENNIE & Lily Rose Depp	907
89	Now That We Don't Talk (Taylor's Version) [From The Vault]	Taylor Swift	877
90	Murder On The Dancefloor	Sophie Ellis-Bextor	849
91	Bellakeo	Peso Pluma & Anitta	845
92	True Story	Ariana Grande	821
93	Dial Drunk	Noah Kahan With Post Malone	797
94	White Christmas	Bing Crosby  With Ken Darby Singers  & John Scott Trotter & His Orchestra	797
95	Hiss	Megan Thee Stallion	795
96	Christmas (Baby Please Come Home)	Darlene Love	792
97	I Can Feel It	Kane Brown	783
98	Jingle Bells	Frank Sinatra With The Orchestra  & Chorus Of Gordon Jenkins	780
99	Nee-nah	21 Savage, Travis Scott & Metro Boomin	770
100	Qlona	Karol G & Peso Pluma	768

Lose Control has moved to 2nd. Heyyyy, you don't think it could climb to #1 do ya?

Nahhhhh!

Mebbe?

[Groovy]

[puwrpler04]

Billboard Year End Predictions April Edition

Cutoff Is 133,000 For Now I Think It might be slightly lower
Redrum 100% Locks Next Week
Exes 100% Locks Next Week
Yes And? 100% Locks Next Week
Where The Wild Things Are 100% Happy Streaming Kept Up Enough to Lock Next Week
La Diabla 100% Locks Either Next Week Or Week After
Burn It Down 100% Locks Next Week
Never Lose Me 100% Locks Next Week
Surround Sound 20% Needs Cutoff to go back to 125,000 cause this has no shot at the new cutoff and might even miss 125,000
FTCU 80% As Long as this charts till week 20 This will get around 138,000 Points. Now it could be knocked off by Future,Beyoncé,and Taylor but I think it survives
You Broke My Heart 25% Also needs cutoff to go back to 125,000 but it does have a slight chance to buck recurrency rules
Feather 100% Locks in 2-3 Weeks
Carnival 100% Locks in 2 Weeks
Texas Hold ‘Em 100% Locks in 2 Weeks
Made For Me 90% I think this holds enough with radio gains to make it
Man Made A Bar 50% This Is Peaking now and will survive Future and Beyoncés Album bombs. But the big Question is will it Survives Taylor’s as by that point it might start to drop on radio.Ive learned not to doubt Morgan tho and if it survives Taylor it’s essentially a lock to make it
One Of The Girls 60% Needs radio to get more on board and I think it Will eventually
Selfish 50% Depends on how long radio wants to support this
Act ll: Date @ 8 75% A Drake features insures a lot of streaming and this will just need to slowly decline to make it
Fein 50% If radio is actually gonna pick this up it has a legit shot with how good the streaming is
23. 30% Don’t think this has a lot of a shot unless streaming really picks up cause radio is close to peaking

Top 50 Predictions
Beautiful Things 100% It’s gonna make it in a month
Truck Bed 20% I think Taylor knocks it off when radio drops soon
Wild Ones 75% I stand corrected from last month saying this has no shot. In My defense did not think pop radio would pick this up but now since it has I think it makes it
Save Me 50% It it survives Taylor it prolly has enough to make it
Houdini 40% Might fall just short with Albums coming
Pretty Little Poision 40%^
Vampire 40% ^
What Was I Made For 50%^ But This Is Closer To Cutoff

Future Hits
We Can’t Be Friends
Prolly One More Ari Single
New Beyoncé song
Prolly 2-3 Taylor Songs
Saturn
End Of Beginning
Whatever She Wants
Yah Glo!
Wild Flowers And Wild Horses
Praise Jah In The Moonlight
Scared To Start
Training Season
Where It Ends
Either Cowgirls Or 98 Braves (Or if Morgan’s feeling funky could push Spin You Around Morgan’s Version to Radio)
Think I’m In Love With You
Dirt Cheap
Something From Metro and Futures I hope It’s Like That

[kingvavis]

What do you guys think will be in the year end top 10? Some that come to mind is Lovin On Me, Cruel Summer, Lose Control, Beautiful Things, I Remember Everything, and maybe Greedy

[whaleblubber]

Week 23 - March 30, 2024
LOCKED FOR TOP 25 (6 songs)
*Taylor Swift - Cruel Summer
Jack Harlow - Lovin On Me
*Zach Bryan feat. Kacey Musgraves - I Remember Everything
*SZA - Snooze
Tate McRae - Greedy
*Doja Cat - Paint The Town Red

LOCKED FOR TOP 50 (8 songs)
*Morgan Wallen - Last Night
*Luke Combs - Fast Car
*Morgan Wallen - Thinkin' Bout Me
Tyla - Water
Doja Cat - Agora Hills
Taylor Swift - Is It Over Now? (Taylor's Version) [From The Vault]
Teddy Swims - Lose Control
Noah Kahan - Stick Season

LOCKED FOR TOP 100 (29 songs)
*Mariah Carey - All I Want For Christmas Is You
*Brenda Lee - Rockin' Around The Christmas Tree
*Bobby Helms - Jingle Bell Rock
*Wham! - Last Christmas
*Burl Ives - A Holly Jolly Christmas
Drake feat. Sexyy Red & SZA - Rich Baby Daddy
Drake feat. J. Cole - First Person Shooter
Paul Russell - Lil Boo Thang
Drake feat. Yeat - IDGAF
Chris Stapleton - White Horse
Miley Cyrus - Used To Be Young
*Gunna - Fukumean
Bad Bunny - Monaco
*Jelly Roll - Need A Favor
*Billie Eilish - What Was I Made For?
Usher, Summer Walker & 21 Savage - Good Good
*Olivia Rodrigo - Vampire
Mitski - My Love Mine All Mine
Jelly Roll feat. Lainey Wilson - Save Me
Warren Zeiders - Pretty Little Poison
*Miley Cyrus - Flowers
Dua Lipa - Houdini
Victoria Monét - On My Mama
Jessie Murph feat. Jelly Roll - Wild Ones
*Dua Lipa - Dance The Night
Nate Smith - World On Fire
HARDY - Truck Bed
Cody Johnson - The Painter
Benson Boone - Beautiful Things
Nicki Minaj feat. Lil Uzi Vert - Everybody

[PositivityMaster48]

Week 19:

[jasper0102]

Mar 24, 2024 17:47:46 GMT -5 kingvavis said:

What do you guys think will be in the year end top 10? Some that come to mind is Lovin On Me, Cruel Summer, Lose Control, Beautiful Things, I Remember Everything, and maybe Greedy

Atp all of those songs are probably gonna make the YE top 10 (though i still have my doubts for BT)

[reputainbow]

SPOILER: Click to show

{Week 23}1 Cruel Summer (Taylor Swift) 6253
2 Lovin on Me (Jack Harlow) 6209
3 I Remember Everything (Zach Bryan/Kacey Musgraves) 5161
4 Snooze (SZA) 5054
5 Greedy (Tate McRae) 4999
6 Paint the Town Red (Doja Cat) 4868
7 Lose Control (Teddy Swims) 4462
8 Fast Car (Luke Combs) 3875
9 Last Night (Morgan Wallen) 3844
10 Agora Hills (Doja Cat) 3701
11 Water (Tyla) 3655
12 Thinkin' Bout Me (Morgan Wallen) 3610
13 Is It Over Now? (Taylor Swift) 3550
14 Stick Season (Noah Kahan) 3080
15 Rich Baby Daddy (Drake/Sexyy Red/SZA) 2673.4
16 What Was I Made For? (Billie Eilish) 2616.6
17 Beautiful Things (Benson Boone) 2488
18 Vampire (Olivia Rodrigo) 2448
19 Pretty Little Poison (Warren Zeiders) 2354.8
20 Houdini (Dua Lipa) 2277.6
21 Need a Favor (Jelly Roll) 2277
22 First Person Shooter (Drake/J. Cole) 2242.4
23 All I Want for Christmas Is You (Mariah Carey) 2234
24 Save Me (Jelly Roll/Lainey Wilson) 2221
25 Flowers (Miley Cyrus) 2216
26 Wild Ones (Jessie Murph/Jelly Roll) 2153
27 Rockin' Around the Christmas Tree (Brenda Lee) 2079
28 IDGAF (Drake/Yeat) 2050.8
29 Monaco (Bad Bunny) 2049.2
30 Truck Bed (HARDY) 2035.8
31 White Horse (Chris Stapleton) 2007
32 Fukumean (Gunna) 1958
33 Lil Boo Thang (Paul Russell) 1957
34 Good Good (Usher/Summer Walker/21 Savage) 1954.2
35 Texas Hold 'Em (Beyonce) 1918
36 Carnival (Kanye West/Ty Dolla $ign/Rich the Kid/Playboi Carti) 1901
37 On My Mama (Victoria Monet) 1885
38 World on Fire (Nate Smith) 1877.4
39 Dance the Night (Dua Lipa) 1857
40 The Painter (Cody Johnson) 1844.6
41 Jingle Bell Rock (Bobby Helms) 1817
42 Yes, And? (Ariana Grande) 1790
43 Redrum (21 Savage) 1769
44 Last Christmas (Wham!) 1735
45 Where the Wild Things Are (Luke Combs) 1723.2
46 Exes (Tate McRae) 1703.2
47 Burn It Down (Parker McCollum) 1692.6
48 Everybody (Nicki Minaj/Lil Uzi Vert) 1681
49 My Love Mine All Mine (Mitski) 1678
50 Never Lose Me (Flo Milli) 1677.8
51 La Diabla (Xavi) 1657.6
52 A Holly Jolly Christmas (Burl Ives) 1595
53 Used to Be Young (Miley Cyrus) 1574.8
54 Surround Sound (JID/21 Savage/Baby Tate) 1557.6
55 Harley Quinn (Fuerza Regida/Marshmello) 1553.6
56 You Broke My Heart (Drake) 1535
57 Feather (Sabrina Carpenter) 1534.4
58 FTCU (Nicki Minaj) 1502
59 Standing Next to You (Jung Kook) 1461
60 Perro Negro (Bad Bunny/Feid) 1427.6
61 Strangers (Kenya Grace) 1419.6
62 500lbs (Lil Tecca) 1298
63 It's the Most Wonderful Time of the Year (Andy Williams) 1267
64 Made for Me (Muni Long) 1199.6
65 Get Him Back! (Olivia Rodrigo) 1194.4
66 La Victima (Xavi) 1132
67 Let It Snow, Let It Snow, Let It Snow (Dean Martin) 1101
68 Man Made a Bar (Morgan Wallen/Eric Church) 1087.2
69 Virginia Beach (Drake) 1072.8
70 Act II: Date @ 8 (4Batz/Drake) 1059
71 Feliz Navidad (Jose Feliciano) 1038
72 Soak City (Do It) (310babii) 1020.8
73 Sleigh Ride (The Ronettes) 1019
74 I Know ? (Travis Scott) 1018.8
75 Bellakeo (Peso Pluma/Anitta) 1017.6
76 One of the Girls (The Weeknd/JENNIE/Lily Rose Depp) 1015.6
77 Que Onda (Calle 24/Chino Pacas/Fuerza Regida) 1004
78 Selfish (Justin Timberlake) 962
79 Now That We Don't Talk (Taylor Swift) 958.6
80 Underneath the Tree (Kelly Clarkson) 942
81 23 (Chayce Beckham) 934.2
82 I Can Feel It (Kane Brown) 933.2
83 Segun Quien (Maluma/Carin Leon) 921.6
84 The Christmas Song (Merry Christmas to You) (Nat King Cole) 921
85 Murder on the Dancefloor (Sophie Ellis-Bextor) 917.6
86 FE!N (Travis Scott/Playboi Carti) 917.4
87 Santa Tell Me (Ariana Grande) 916
88 Great Gatsby (Rod Wave) 889.2
89 Qlona (Karol G/Peso Pluma) 887.4
90 Kill Bill (SZA) 876
91 ​Née-Nah (21 Savage/Travis Scott/Metro Boomin) 872.6
92 Hey Driver (Zach Bryan/The War and Treaty) 864.4
93 Hiss (Megan Thee Stallion) 855.6
94 Igual Que Un Ángel (Kali Uchis/Peso Pluma) 853.2
95 Mmhmm (BigXthaPlug) 848.4
96 Can't Catch Me Now (Olivia Rodrigo) 844.8
97 Save Me the Trouble (Dan + Shay) 807
98 Bad Idea Right? (Olivia Rodrigo) 799.4
99 Slime You Out (Drake/SZA) 767.2
100 Mamaw's House (Thomas Rhett/Morgan Wallen) 766.8

[Groovy]

[whaleblubber]

SPOILER: Click to show

{Week 23 projections}1 Lovin On Me 8226
3 Lose Control 7348
5 Cruel Summer 6461
6 I Remember Everything 6217
7 Greedy 6034
8 Beautiful Things 5875
9 Agora Hills 5213
10 Carnival 4853

11 Stick Season 4800
12 Water 4666
13 Snooze 4654
14 Is It Over Now? (Taylor's Version) 4456
15 Texas Hold 'Em 4392
16 We Can't Be Friends (Wait For Your Love)4375
17 Paint The Town Red 4287
20 Last Night 3906
21 Never Lose Me 3759
22 Fast Car 3745
23 Houdini 3638
24 Redrum 3544
25 Thinkin' Bout Me 3424

30 Act II: Date @ 8 3135
31 End Of Beginning 3132
32 Feather 3119
33 Saturn 3001
35 Made For Me 2916
36 What Was I Made For? 2889
37 Yes, And? 2814
40 Whatever She Wants 2647
42 Truck Bed 2612
44 Selfish 2500
45 Where The Wild Things Are 2455
46 Exes 2421
47 La Diabla 2358
50 Everybody 2184

51 Pretty Little Poison 2165
53 Save Me 2144
55 Rich Baby Daddy 2093
56 Wild Ones 2078
61 Vampire 1988
64 All I Want For Christmas Is You 1931
67 Yeah Glo! 1875
68 Surround Sound 1862
70 Man Made A Bar 1833
71 Rockin' Around The Christmas Tree 1827
72 The Boy Is Mine 1817
73 First Person Shooter 1796
75 Need A Favor 1746
77 Jingle Bell Rock 1674
78 23 1669
79 Flowers 1637
80 Last Christmas 1617
81 Burn It Down 1607
82 FTCU 1603
83 Lil Boo Thang 1586
84 White Horse 1582
85 You Broke My Heart 1576
86 Good Good 1558
87 Monaco 1525
88 IDGAF 1520
89 Fukumean 1500
90 Soak City (Do It) 1499
91 World On Fire 1482
92 On My Mama 1476
93 A Holly Jolly Christmas 1470
94 One Of The Girls 1434
95 The Painter 1403
96 Supernatural 1379
97 Dance The Night 1386
98 My Love Mine All Mine 1338
99 Get In With Me 1337
100 Wildflowers And Wild Horses 1295

[rockgolf]

Mar. 30 estimates:

And my extended prediction:

EST Year end	Song	Artist	YE Est Pts
1	Lovin On Me	Jack Harlow	9011
2	Lose Control	Teddy Swims	8951
3	Cruel Summer	Taylor Swift	8312
4	I Remember Everything	Zach Bryan ft. Kacey Musgraves	7108
5	Greedy	Tate McRae	7076
6	Snooze	SZA	6283
7	Beautiful Things	Benson Boone	6197
8	Last Night	Morgan Wallen	5443
9	Agora Hills	Doja Cat	5304
10	Paint The Town Red	Doja Cat	5245
11	Fast Car	Luke Combs	5243
12	Water	Tyla	5086
13	Thinkin' Bout Me	Morgan Wallen	4759
14	Stick Season	Noah Kahan	4621
15	Carnival	¥$: Ye & Ty Dolla $ign  ft. Rich The Kid & Playboi Carti	4410
16	Is It Over Now?  (Taylor's Version) [From The Vault]	Taylor Swift	4203
17	We Can't Be Friends (Wait For Your Love)	Ariana Grande	4131
18	Texas Hold 'Em	Beyonce	4100
19	What Was I Made For?	Billie Eilish	3285
20	Never Lose Me	Flo Milli	3167
21	Houdini	Dua Lipa	3108
22	Rich Baby Daddy	Drake ft. Sexyy Red & SZA	2874
23	Pretty Little Poison	Warren Zeiders	2824
24	Save Me	Jelly Roll With Lainey Wilson	2819
25	Truck Bed	HARDY	2776
26	Redrum	21 Savage	2647
27	Wild Ones	Jessie Murph & Jelly Roll	2632
28	Vampire	Olivia Rodrigo	2597
29	Enough (Miami)	Cardi B	2430
30	Flowers	Miley Cyrus	2419
31	Need A Favor	Jelly Roll	2412
32	First Person Shooter	Drake ft. J. Cole	2369
33	Feather	Sabrina Carpenter	2349
34	Yes, And?	Ariana Grande	2230
35	All I Want For Christmas Is You	Mariah Carey	2162
36	White Horse	Chris Stapleton	2145
37	Saturn	SZA	2119
38	End Of Beginning	Djo	2113
39	Lil Boo Thang	Paul Russell	2102
40	Fukumean	Gunna	2099
41	Made For Me	Muni Long	2096
42	Good Good	Usher, Summer Walker & 21 Savage	2079
43	Monaco	Bad Bunny	2023
44	Rockin' Around The Christmas Tree	Brenda Lee	2012
45	IDGAF	Drake ft. Yeat	2009
46	Dance The Night	Dua Lipa	1975
47	World On Fire	Nate Smith	1960
48	On My Mama	Victoria Monet	1944
49	Man Made A Bar	Morgan Wallen ft. Eric Church	1885
50	Exes	Tate McRae	1874
51	La Diabla	Xavi	1841
52	Everybody	Nicki Minaj ft. Lil Uzi Vert	1821
53	My Love Mine All Mine	Mitski	1796
54	The Painter	Cody Johnson	1789
55	Where The Wild Things Are	Luke Combs	1781
56	Selfish	Justin Timberlake	1735
57	Jingle Bell Rock	Bobby Helms	1694
58	Used To Be Young	Miley Cyrus	1689
59	Burn It Down	Parker McCollum	1637
60	Last Christmas	Wham!	1586
61	Surround Sound	JID ft. 21 Savage & Baby Tate	1566
62	You Broke My Heart	Drake	1545
63	FTCU	Nicki Minaj	1535
64	Whatever She Wants	Bryson Tiller	1533
65	Harley Quinn	Fuerza Regida & Marshmello	1453
66	Strangers	Kenya Grace	1439
67	A Holly Jolly Christmas	Burl Ives	1435
68	Fast Car	Tracy Chapman	1385
69	It's The Most Wonderful Time Of The Year	Andy Williams	1230
70	500lbs	Lil Tecca	1222
71	Perro Negro	Bad Bunny & Feid	1160
72	Get Him Back!	Olivia Rodrigo	1157
73	Standing Next To You	Jung Kook	1124
74	Let It Snow, Let It Snow, Let It Snow!	Dean Martin	1121
75	I Know ?	Travis Scott	1103
76	La Victima	Xavi	1098
77	Sleigh Ride	The Ronettes	1094
78	Feliz Navidad	Jose Feliciano	1071
79	One Of The Girls	The Weeknd, JENNIE & Lily Rose Depp	995
80	Underneath The Tree	Kelly Clarkson	967
81	Get It Sexyy	Sexyy Red	963
82	The Christmas Song  (Merry Christmas To You)	Nat "King" Cole	961
83	Virginia Beach	Drake	957
84	Santa Tell Me	Ariana Grande	956
85	Kill Bill	SZA	940
86	Murder On The Dancefloor	Sophie Ellis-Bextor	889
87	Bellakeo	Peso Pluma & Anitta	881
88	Now That We Don't Talk (Taylor's Version) [From The Vault]	Taylor Swift	877
89	Yeah Glo!	GloRilla	868
90	I Can Feel It	Kane Brown	866
91	23	Chayce Beckham	846
92	FE!N	Travis Scott ft. Playboi Carti	820
93	Nee-nah	21 Savage, Travis Scott & Metro Boomin	807
94	Dial Drunk	Noah Kahan With Post Malone	797
95	White Christmas	Bing Crosby With Ken Darby Singers  & John Scott Trotter & His Orchestra	797
96	Hiss	Megan Thee Stallion	795
97	Christmas (Baby Please Come Home)	Darlene Love	792
98	Jingle Bells	Frank Sinatra With The Orchestra  & Chorus Of Gordon Jenkins	780
99	Igual Que Un Angel	Kali Uchis & Peso Pluma	775
100	Qlona	Karol G & Peso Pluma	768

[puwrpler04]

Billboard Year End Artists 2024
Week 23

130,000 Is Cutoff

Drake 3 (Rich Baby Daddy,First Person Shooter,IDGAF)
Jelly Roll 3 (Need A Favor,Save Me,Wild Ones)



Doja Cat 2 (Paint The Town Red,Agora Hills)
Dua Lipa 2 (Houdini,Dance The Night)
Morgan Wallen 2 (Last Night,Thinkin Bout Me)
SZA 2 (Snooze,Rich Baby Daddy)
Taylor Swift 2 (Cruel Summer,Is It Over Now?)


21 Savage 1 (Good Good)
Bad Bunny 1 (Monaco)
Benson Boone 1 (Beautiful Things)
Billie Eilish 1 (What Was I Made For?)
Bobby Helms 1 (Jingle Bell Rock)
Brenda Lee 1 (Rockin Around The Christmas Tree)
Burl Ives 1 (A Holly Jolly Christmas)
Chris Stapleton 1 (White Horse)
Cody Johnson 1 (The Painter)
Gunna 1 (Fukumean)
Hardy 1 (Truck Bed)
Jack Harlow 1 (Lovin On Me)
Jesse Murph 1 (Wild Ones)
J Cole 1 (First Person Shooter)
Kacey Musgraves 1 (I Remember Everything)
Lainey Wilson 1 (Save Me)
+1 Lil Uzi Vert 1 (Everybody)
Luke Combs 1 (Fast Car)
Mariah Carey 1 (All I Want For Christmas Is You)
-1 Miley Cyrus 1 (Flowers)
Mitski 1 (My Love Mine All Mine)
Nate Smith 1 (World On Fire)
+1 Nicki Minaj 1 (Everybody)
Noah Kahan 1 (Stick Season)
Olivia Rodrigo 1 (Vampire)
Paul Russell 1 (Lil Bo Thang)
Sexxy Red 1 (Rich Baby Daddy)
Summer Walker 1 (Good Good)
Tate McRae 1 (Greedy)
Teddy Swims 1 (Lose Control)
Tyla 1 (Water)
Usher 1 (Good Good)
Victoria Monet 1 (On My Mama)
Warren Zeiders 1 (Pretty Little Poison)
WHAM! 1 (Last Christmas)
Yeat 1 (IDGAF)
Zach Bryan 1 (I Remember Everything)

Locked Next Week
Tate McRae 2nd (Exes)
21 Savage 2nd (Redrum)
Ariana Grande (Yes And?)
Luke Combs 2nd (Where The Wild Things Are)
Flo Milli (Never Lose Me)
Parker McCollum (Burn It Down)
Kanye West (Carnival)
Ty Dolla $ign (Carnival)
Rich The Kid (Carnival)
Playboy Carti (Carnival)
Beyoncé (Texas Hold ‘Em)

[PositivityMaster48]

Week 20! (Almost caught up!)

[theycallmedualian]

Let’s pretend to be Taylor’s marketing team and gin up a tale to sell more CS remixes. We know it worked for AH since it got 300k + downloads. If she makes it work one more time, CS might just get #1 at the end of the year.

What could you conjure up?

[rockgolf]

Mar 27, 2024 3:38:58 GMT -5 theycallmedualian said:

Let’s pretend to be Taylor’s marketing team and gin up a tale to sell more CS remixes. We know it worked for AH since it got 300k + downloads. If she makes it work one more time, CS might just get #1 at the end of the year.

What could you conjure up?

Bananarama

[Studio Cart]

Mar 27, 2024 3:38:58 GMT -5 theycallmedualian said:

Let’s pretend to be Taylor’s marketing team and gin up a tale to sell more CS remixes. We know it worked for AH since it got 300k + downloads. If she makes it work one more time, CS might just get #1 at the end of the year.

What could you conjure up?

Yeah, like CS is just 300 points behind YE no. 1

[theycallmedualian]

Mar 27, 2024 11:15:51 GMT -5 Studio Cart said:

Mar 27, 2024 3:38:58 GMT -5 theycallmedualian said:

Let’s pretend to be Taylor’s marketing team and gin up a tale to sell more CS remixes. We know it worked for AH since it got 300k + downloads. If she makes it work one more time, CS might just get #1 at the end of the year.

What could you conjure up?

Yeah, like CS is just 300 points behind YE no. 1

300k sales is 500 points, and if it lapses into week 2, with increased streams, then it could easily gain up to 700 points which is for much CS is projected to be behind.

[PositivityMaster48]

Week 21:

[Groovy]

Is it safe to assume that Lose Control will end in the top 3?

[rockgolf]

Mar 28, 2024 10:19:42 GMT -5 Groovy said:

Is it safe to assume that Lose Control will end in the top 3?

I'd say so. I doubt it's even peaked on radio.

[puwrpler04]

Billboard Year End Artists 2024
Week 23

133,000 Is Cutoff

Drake 3 (Rich Baby Daddy,First Person Shooter,IDGAF)
Jelly Roll 3 (Need A Favor,Save Me,Wild Ones)


+1 21 Savage 2 (Good Good,Redrum)
Doja Cat 2 (Paint The Town Red,Agora Hills)
Dua Lipa 2 (Houdini,Dance The Night)
+1 Luke Combs 2 (Fast Car,Where The Wild Things Are)
Morgan Wallen 2 (Last Night,Thinkin Bout Me)
SZA 2 (Snooze,Rich Baby Daddy)
+1 Tate McRae 2 (Greedy,Exes)
Taylor Swift 2 (Cruel Summer,Is It Over Now?)


+1 Ariana Grande 1 (Yes And?)
Bad Bunny 1 (Monaco)
Benson Boone 1 (Beautiful Things)
+1 Beyoncé 1 (Texas Hold ‘Em)
Billie Eilish 1 (What Was I Made For?)
Bobby Helms 1 (Jingle Bell Rock)
Brenda Lee 1 (Rockin Around The Christmas Tree)
Burl Ives 1 (A Holly Jolly Christmas)
Chris Stapleton 1 (White Horse)
Cody Johnson 1 (The Painter)
+1 Flo Milli 1 (Never Lose Me)
Gunna 1 (Fukumean)
Hardy 1 (Truck Bed)
Jack Harlow 1 (Lovin On Me)
Jesse Murph 1 (Wild Ones)
J Cole 1 (First Person Shooter)
Kacey Musgraves 1 (I Remember Everything)
+1 Kanye West 1 (Carnival)
Lainey Wilson 1 (Save Me)
Lil Uzi Vert 1 (Everybody)
Mariah Carey 1 (All I Want For Christmas Is You)
Miley Cyrus 1 (Flowers)
Mitski 1 (My Love Mine All Mine)
Nate Smith 1 (World On Fire)
Nicki Minaj 1 (Everybody)
Noah Kahan 1 (Stick Season)
Olivia Rodrigo 1 (Vampire)
Paul Russell 1 (Lil Bo Thang)
+1 Playboi Carti 1 (Carnival)
+1 Rich The Kid 1 (Carnival)
Sexxy Red 1 (Rich Baby Daddy)
Summer Walker 1 (Good Good)
Teddy Swims 1 (Lose Control)
+1 Ty Dolla $ign 1 (Carnival)
Tyla 1 (Water)
Usher 1 (Good Good)
Victoria Monet 1 (On My Mama)
Warren Zeiders 1 (Pretty Little Poison)
WHAM! 1 (Last Christmas)
Yeat 1 (IDGAF)
Zach Bryan 1 (I Remember Everything)

Locked Next Week
Sabrina Carpenter (Feather)

*Parker McCollum has a shot to lock this week.TOTC says it’ll go recurrent but I haven’t seen anywhere where it says Burn It Down Is Declining on Radio.We will just have to see Tuesday

[onerandomguy]

There definitely seems to be a lot more competition this year compared to last year.

As much as I love “Cruel Summer”, I won’t be torn if it isn’t song of the year, given “1989 (Taylor’s Version) will likely end up being the album of the year, being the FOURTH time Taylor has achieved it!

[puwrpler04]

* Parker McCollum has a shot to lock this week.TOTC says it’ll go recurrent but I haven’t seen anywhere where it says Burn It Down Is Declining on Radio.We will just have to see Tuesday[/quote]



Welp ended up being right in the end. Just think it’s stupid that if supposedly gained on radio and So did Wild Ones why did they not go recurrent but FEIN did?

[nathanalbright]

Good question, and I know it's one a lot of people are asking.

[Baby Yoda Hot100Fan]

Apr 2, 2024 12:24:26 GMT -5 puwrpler04 said:

* Parker McCollum has a shot to lock this week.TOTC says it’ll go recurrent but I haven’t seen anywhere where it says Burn It Down Is Declining on Radio.We will just have to see Tuesday

Welp ended up being right in the end. Just think it’s stupid that if supposedly gained on radio and So did Wild Ones why did they not go recurrent but FEIN did?

Burn It Down just set a new radio peak yesterday according to kworb. Regarding Wild Ones surviving vs. Fe!n going recurrent, that's Billboard's inconsistency ...