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Post by Baby Yoda Hot100Fan on Jan 31, 2024 16:30:50 GMT -5
1/31/2024 By Andrew Unterberger
The Contenders is a midweek column that looks at artists aiming for the top of the Billboard charts, and the strategies behind their efforts. This week (for the upcoming Billboard Hot 100 dated Feb. 10), the year’s biggest new rap beef may power the next No. 1 debut, if a conservative pundit doesn’t elbow his way into the race.
Megan Thee Stallion, “Hiss” (Hot Girl Productions) / Nicki Minaj, “Big Foot” (Young Money/Cash Money/Republic): Megan Thee Stallion set the rap and pop worlds ablaze on Friday with her incendiary “Hiss,” striking back against haters and foes who have plagued her drama-filled past few years. No specific names were mentioned, but certain bars were popularly interpreted to be directed at Nicki Minaj – who took the insult personally, firing back at her fellow MC over social media all weekend before dropping her own pointed response to Megan, “Big Foot.”
With the battle between the two inevitably turning into a chart war, many will be looking to next week’s Hot 100 to ultimately crown a victor. It’s not a particularly fair fight, since “Hiss” has a three-day head start on “Big Foot,” having been released at the very start of the tracking week, rather than Sunday at midnight. Nonetheless, with both now out for multiple days, “Hiss” currently leads “Big Foot” by most real-time metrics – it’s atop both Spotify and Apple Music’s daily US streaming charts (“Foot” is right behind it on Apple but about 20 spots lower on Spotify) and claims both the No. 2 and No. 3 spots on the iTunes Top 100 with its multiple versions (“Foot” is No. 4, with both songs also now boasting multiple other variants throughout the top 25).
Will it be enough to pass Jack Harlow’s “Lovin on Me” for the top spot on the Hot 100? It could be close: “Lovin” remains a strong performer in all chart factors, even still gaining in radio as it spends his second week atop the Radio Songs listing. But with “Hiss” given a jolt by all of the extra publicity over the weekend, it’s not only maintained its release momentum, it’s still been growing – and if it continues to do so over the final couple days of the tracking week, it could have a real shot at nabbing Megan both the first Hot 100 No. 1 debut as a lead artist and the first unaccompanied No. 1 of her career.
Tom MacDonald feat. Ben Shapiro, “Facts” (Self-released): Yes, really: After right-wing pundit Ben Shapiro helped propel multiple songs to No. 1 this decade (including Megan’s own “WAP” back in 2020) with either his endorsement or his disavowal, he’s now in pursuit of a Hot 100-topper of his own. He even admits as much on “Facts,” his collab with “anti-woke” rapper Tom MacDonald, as he directs audiences during his own rap verse – again, yes, really — “All my people download this, let’s get a Billboard No. 1.”
He’s likely to get a No. 1 on Billboard’s Digital Song Sales chart, anyway, as “Facts” has held the lead on iTunes essentially since its Jan. 26 release date, even amidst the Nicki/Megan beefing. The song’s streaming numbers are relatively small compared to “Hiss” and “Lovin on Me,” though, and it has no real radio support, so to even challenge for No. 1 it will still have to post a pretty stratospheric sales number in its debut week. Shapiro’s certainly banking on getting bragging rights over one of the week’s primary contenders, at least: “Nicki, take some notes, I just did this for fun,” he also taunts in his verse.
Justin Timberlake, “Selfish” (RCA): In a less wild week, Justin Timberlake’s comeback single would likely be the most buzzed-about debut – though with Timberlake’s commercial fortunes declining fairly steadily over the past decade, “Selfish” was probably always something of a long shot for a No. 1 entrance.
The love song, whose bow will also be hurt by its release coming last Thursday (meaning its first day of consumption totals will count towards the previous chart week), has nonetheless sold consistently and streamed somewhat steadily. It also has been embraced immediately on pop radio, with the song debuting at No. 33 on Pop Airplay this week after just a single day’s airplay. It might not be in the hunt for No. 1, but it could challenge the No. 25 debut of *NSYNC’s “Better Place” last year for the highest-charting JT-related song on the Hot 100 this decade.
IN THE MIX
Morgan Wallen, “Spin You Around (1/24)” (Honeyhole/Big Loud/Mercury/Republic): With Taylor Swift recently raising the commercial ceiling on re-recordings of decade-old songs, it’s hardly shocking to see Morgan Wallen’s acoustic re-do of this early-career ballad – successfully intended to overshadow his old label’s unsanctioned deluxe reissue of early-career debut EP Stand Alone – be received commercially like a brand new single. “Spin You Around (1/24)” may not have the longevity of Wallen’s One Thing at a Time hits, but the combination of curiosity streams and sales for a song many newer fans might not even be familiar with should get it a notable Hot 100 debut.
Ice Spice, “Think U the Shit (Fart)” (Dolo Entertainment/10K/Capitol): Something of a “yes, really” in its own right, Ice Spice’s purposefully goofy latest single has divided the internet into those who find it to be frivolous, winking fun and those who think it’s just too silly for serious listening. The song might not be too long for the charts – the rapper just announced her imminent debut album, so she may be moving on fairly quickly herself – but initial interest in “Shit (Fart)” should be enough for a good Hot 100 debut, perhaps good enough to become her first unaccompanied top 40 hit.
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wavey.
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Post by wavey. on Jan 31, 2024 16:47:07 GMT -5
That's on her and whatever she wants to do. She clearly doesn't care cause she's went off on Twitter before lol. Can't dictate someone should use their SM, we know this. This is nothing new. End of the day, Meg sent a shot that affected her, so she shot back in her way. Its clearly some behind the scenes stuff we don't know about..Social Media just amplifies a lot of shit(and I clearly can see other perceptions on how she looks on Twitter), so it is what it is. For me it's the social media aspect that makes this different than old rap beefs. I know rap beefs are a thing, and of course rap battles and such are iconic. What I don't know is how truly personal they got in the 80s and 90s. Regardless, I know social media wasn't a thing then. Megan made a brief comment in a song, but Nicki went on a social media rampage and then released an entire song directed at Megan. The problem now is that stans (and Nicki stans are among the worst) run with things and take it beyond a 'rap battle' (and Nicki took it beyond the music too). Nicki knows damn well her stans have a habit of doxxing people, and more so just taking it way too far. avamaxstan and HamedM1 💔 mentioned some things, but the latest is that now Nicki fans are going in on a teenage activitst in Michigan who was trying to bring attention to the water crisis that still exists (she tagged Nicki and Megan and asked them to turn their energy to helping people). It's just not healthy in any way, and IMO someone like Nicki should be taking that into account. I respect it. We got different perspectives and that's fine. |
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Post by dremolus - solarpunk on Feb 1, 2024 2:55:35 GMT -5
US Spotify - 01/30/24
1(=) Megan Thee Stallion - HISS 1,679,387 (+29,904)
2(=) 21 Savage - redrum 1,591,466 (+66,227)
3(=) Noah Kahan - Stick Season 1,524,506 (+56,040)
4(=) Jack Harlow - Lovin On Me 1,504,684 (+74,273)
5(=) Zach Bryan, Kacey Musgraves - I Remember Everything 1,359,803 (+47,734)
6(=) Flo Milli - Never Lose Me 1,324,795 (+67,615)
7(+1) Benson Boone - Beautiful Things 1,263,170 (+137,839) (+12%)
8(+1) Xavi - La Diabla 1,172,908 (+48,559)
9(-2) Mitski - My Love Mine All Mine 1,162,006 (+17,897)
10(+2) Tate McRae - greedy 1,024,898 (+55,239)
Other:
11(=) Kali Uchis, Peso Pluma - Igual Que Un Ángel 984,480 (-1,391)
12(+2) Teddy Swims - Lose Control 963,078 (+67,209) *NEW PEAK*
13(=) Taylor Swift - Cruel Summer 946,369 (+7,955)
14(+1) Zach Bryan - Something in the Orange 910,933 (+26,900)
15(+3) JID, 21 Savage, Baby Tate - Surround Sound 896,763 (+45,544)
16(+3) Ariana Grande - yes, and? 884,775 (+53,019)
17(=) The Weeknd, JENNIE, Lily-Rose Depp - One of the Girls 883,594 (+26,371)
18(-2) The Weeknd, Playboi Carti, Madonna - Popular 878,976 (+17,458)
19(+5) Lil Tecca - 500lbs 839,610 (+74,079) (+10%)
20(+1) Drake, Sexyy Red, SZA - Rich Baby Daddy 832,432 (+38,551)
21(-1) Xavi - La Victima 831,376 (+32,352)
23(-13) Nicki Minaj - Big Foot 798,402 (-270,378) (-25%)
24(+3) Nicki Minaj - FTCU 791,967 (+61,208)
25(-3) Ice Spice - Think U The Shit (Fart) 786,617 (-2,542)
26(+3) Drake, Yeat - IDGAF 766,928 (+39,715)
27(+1) Travis Scott - I KNOW ? 759,908 (+31,660)
28(-2) Doja Cat - Agora Hills 759,140 (+23,352)
29(+2) Sabrina Carpenter - Feather 747,846 (+44,426)
30(=) 4batz - act ii: date @ 8 726,208 (+12,387)
31(+1) 21 Savage, Travis Scott, Metro Boomin - née-nah 709,166 (+20,726)
32(+3) Doja Cat - Paint the Town Red 696,031 (+40,072)
33(=) SZA - Snooze 694,264 (+21,105)
34(=) Frank Ocean - Pink + White 692,539 (+19,709)
35(-12) Morgan Wallen - Spin You Around (Morgan's Version) 686,294 (-87,669) (-11%)
36(+4) Drake, J. Cole - First Person Shooter 673,591 (+54,453)
38(-2) Sophie Ellis-Bextor - Murder on the Dancefloor 659,421-645,633 (+13,788)
41(-2) Rich Amiri - ONE CALL 652,282 (+31,454)
45(-2) TV Girl - Lovers Rock 613,523 (-2,211)
46(+1) Travis Scott, Playboi Carti - FE!N 609,735 (+29,980)
48(+1) Calle 24, Chino Pacas, Fuerza Regida - Que Onda 600,713 (+32,235)
49(+2) Tate McRae - exes 592,241 (+33,486)
50(-2) Billie Eilish - What Was I Made For? 591,087 (+19,291)
51(+10) Zach Bryan - Heading South 587,999 (+53,760) (+10%)
53(-3) Taylor Swift - Is It Over Now? 585,130 (+22,022)
56(-1) Fuerza Regida, Marshmello - HARLEY QUINN 567,641 (+25,497)
57(=) 21 Savage, Doja Cat - n.h.i.e. 562,202 (+24,061)
58(-6) TV Girl - Not Allowed 558,094 (+354)
59(+3) Ritchy Mitch & The Coal Miners - Evergreen 554,795 (+29,645)
60(-6) Good Neighbors - Home 552,177 (+7,777)
61(-5) Peso Pluma, Anitta - BELLAKEO 550,609 (+9,845)
65(+8) BigXthaPlug - Mmhmm 509,644 (+29,676)
67(+8) Kenya Grace - Strangers 506,644 (+33,156)
70(-6) 21 Savage - all of me 502,007 (-11,174)
74(=) Tyla - Water 497,342 (+22,088)
75(-7) YG Marley - Praise Jah in the Moonlight 491,735 (-5,053)
78(+3) Zach Bryan, The War and Treaty - Hey Driver 488,335 (+25,699)
79(+6) Nicki Minaj, Lil Uzi Vert - Everybody 485,911 (+33,472)
81(-1) Michael Marcagi - Scared to Start 483,853 (+17,931)
82(+1) Bad Bunny, Feid - PERRO NEGRO 480,620 (+23,687)
83(-17) Arctic Monkeys - I Wanna Be Yours 477,132 (-25,746)
86(-4) PARTYNEXTDOOR - Break from Toronto 471,140 (+8,583)
87(=) Travis Scott - MY EYES 466,989 (+17,178)
89(-5) Justin Timberlake - Selfish 464,533 (+8,459)
91(-3) The Red Clay Strays - Wondering Why 461,336 (+13,323)
93(-4) Jessie Murph, Jelly Roll - Wild Ones 454,987 (+13,397)
96(-4) Olivia Rodrigo - Can't Catch Me Now 444,359 (+7,117)
97(+9) Bad Bunny - MONACO 443,768 (+28,927)
101(-2) Reneé Rapp, Megan Thee Stallion - Not My Fault 436,517 (+7,828)
103(-10) Zach Bryan - Oklahoma Smokeshow 436,372 (-345)
104(-3) TV Girl - Cigarettes out the Window 434,920 (+8,180)
105(-2) Junior H - Y LLORO 433,669 (+10,754)
113(-4) Andrew Underberg, Sam Haft, Keith David, Blake Roman - Loser, Baby 422,260 (+14,048)
117(-17) Natasha Bedingfield - Unwritten 420,521 (-6,908)
119(+14) Chris Stapleton - White Horse 417,966 (+32,569)
122(=) Warren Zeiders - Pretty Little Poison 412,758 (+19,538)
123(-8) Taylor Swift - Don't Blame Me 412,646 (+12,106)
126(+3) Drake - You Broke My Heart 408,059 (+19,826)
131(+30) Morgan Wallen, Eric Church - Man Made A Bar 401,977 (+43,422) (+12%)
132(-20) Steve Lacy - Clouded 401,442 (-1,276)
135(+6) Xavi, Los Dareyes De La Sierra - Poco A Poco 398,726 (+21,135)
136(-12) Oscar Ortiz, Edgardo Nuñez - FIRST LOVE 398,480 (+6,070)
146(+14) Cody Johnson - The Painter 390,401 (+31,524)
149(+1) Dylan Gossett - Coal 389,098 (+22,773)
158(+12) Dua Lipa - Houdini 376,302 (+28,638)
162(-10) Christian Nodal, Peso Pluma - La Intención 371,595 (+7,907)
165(-9) Zach Bryan - Tourniquet 369,831 (+9,280)
167(-3) Feid, ATL Jacob - LUNA 368,867 (+13,701)
168(-13) Laufey - From the Start 368,861 (+7,796)
175(-16) Steve Lacy - Some 361,333 (+2,408)
179(=) Blake Roman, Sam Haft, Andrew Underberg - Poison 360,123 (+18,939)
180(-33) Steve Lacy - C U Girl 359,623 (-11,322)
181(-16) Taylor Swift - Now That We Don't Talk 359,616 (+6,825)
184(-10) Drake - Practice 355,721 (+8,865)
186(+10) Noah Kahan, Hozier - Northern Attitude 355,149 (+20,647)
189(+5) Noah Kahan - All My Love 353,019 (+18,144)
192(re-entry) Noah Kahan - You're Gonna Go Far 351,184
195(-14) Hozier - Work Song 349,298 (+8,486)
193(DEBUT) NLE Choppa, BigXthaPlug - PISTOL PACCIN 350,902
200(re-entry) Key Glock - Let's Go 343,625
Biggest Gains (50K+): Heading South, First Person Shooter, FTCU, 500lbs, yes and?, Lose Control, greedy, Beautiful Things, Never Lose Me, Lovin On Me, Stick Season, redrum
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