Honeymoon
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Post by Honeymoon on Aug 18, 2010 16:31:59 GMT -5
Look for One More Week at the Top for Hip-Hop Artist Before Katy Perry Rolls In
August 18, 2010
Would we lie to you? Well, sometimes we might, but you love the way we lie, right? So does Eminem.
For the seventh time in nine weeks, the rap star’s Shady/Aftermath/Interscope album Recovery will top the HITS’ Top 50 next week, but that should be his last one, as Capitol/EMI’s Katy Perry hits next Tuesday (8/24) with Teenage Dream, and should enter at #1 on the last chart in August.
That’s based on first-day sales figures from music retailers not applying to be JetBlue flight attendants.
Universal Motown Nashville-born, Detroit-raised R&B star Kem’s Intimacy: Album III, should be the week’s best-selling newcomer, with anywhere between 75-80k for his third release.
Veteran Columbia metal group Iron Maiden are back with The Final Frontier, which seems headed for the 65-70k range as the U.K. band celebrates 35 years in the business.
RCA/RED grizzled folkie Ray LaMontagne’s fourth album, God Willin’ & the Creek Don’t Rise, currently #1 at iTunes, despite the Apple music store yanking visibility after Amazon put it on its $3.99 Daily Special (see HITS Rumor Mill item here) is right behind it with 60-65k.
Show Dog country artist Trace Adkins is next with an estimated 45-50k for his album, Cowboy’s Back in Town.
Mercer Street/Downtown artist David Gray’s Foundlin is up next, with a projected total of 20-25k in sales, with the deluxe edition of the album currently #3 at iTunes. That’s the same total predicted for Rounder’s new critically acclaimed John Mellencamp album, No Better Than This, produced by T Bone Burnett and recorded in such historical locations as the Sun Studios in Memphis and a San Antonio hotel room where the great Robert Johnson cut his legendary 16 blues songs.
Disney Pearl’s Grammy contender Brian Wilson Reimagines Gershwin should do between 10-15k, with Rocket Science’s new Filter album in the 6-8k range.
The market was down 6% vs. last week, down 16% vs. same week last year and still down 12% year to date.
And you’re worried about building a Muslim mosque in the shadow of Ground Zero.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Aug 18, 2010 16:34:24 GMT -5
We should expect a strong top 10 this time.
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Honeymoon
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Post by Honeymoon on Aug 18, 2010 16:37:11 GMT -5
Top 5 will be relatively strong (Eminem + the four debuts). I can see Justin Bieber scraping 30k next week, and Arcade Fire should still be a bit above 30k too. I hope to see a 30k+ top ten once again, it's been so long since the last.
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thehellion
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Post by thehellion on Aug 18, 2010 16:39:59 GMT -5
Surprised Hits' prediction for Maiden is so high. Billboard reckons 50k is more likely for them (and Ray LaMontagne for that matter). We'll see what actually happens.
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Honeymoon
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Post by Honeymoon on Aug 18, 2010 16:57:14 GMT -5
We will get a better idea Thursaday night when HDD updates their predictions
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pnobelysk
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Post by pnobelysk on Aug 18, 2010 21:26:24 GMT -5
uh o is dondria going to sell near to nothing? dissapointed >:(
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Diego
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Post by Diego on Aug 19, 2010 4:58:36 GMT -5
Can't wait to see how much Katy sells. Must feel pretty nice knowing you have a pretty much guaranteed #1 album after your last set debuted at #9.
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#LisaRinna
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Post by #LisaRinna on Aug 19, 2010 6:10:38 GMT -5
uh o is dondria going to sell near to nothing? dissapointed >:( She's new and only had a moderate hit limited to the Urban market. I'm not surprised.
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pnobelysk
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Post by pnobelysk on Aug 19, 2010 10:47:41 GMT -5
uh o is dondria going to sell near to nothing? dissapointed >:( She's new and only had a moderate hit limited to the Urban market. I'm not surprised. yea she also had a youtube following too though but im not too surprised at how bad her numbers are
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Post by singingsparrow on Aug 19, 2010 18:14:11 GMT -5
Surprised Hits' prediction for Maiden is so high. Billboard reckons 50k is more likely for them (and Ray LaMontagne for that matter). We'll see what actually happens. Regardless of which figure is more accurate, at least 50K is extraordinarily impressive for a band that has had virtually no airplay in the North American market for years and which has sustained itself on cult appeal primarily outside of the European market. Namaste, Lisping Hibiscus
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Post by slicknickshady on Aug 19, 2010 18:16:32 GMT -5
YOUR WEAKEND CHART PREVIEW Eminem logs another week at #1 as Recovery hits the 2.23m mark. Possibly looking to protect their lead as the year's best-selling album, Lady Antebellum sees a boost this week, thanks to sale pricing at iTunes and a Target circular. Lady A will easily pass 2.54m and continue as the year's reigning champ for at least a few more weeks. Here's how it looks headed into the weekend: Eminem (Shady/Aftermath/Interscope) 115-120k*Kem (Universal Motown) 70-75k *Iron Maiden (Columbia) 65-70k *Ray Lamontagne (RCA) 60-65k *Trace Adkins (Show Dog) 45-50k Arcade Fire (Merge) 30-35k Lady Antebellum (Capitol Nashville/EMI) 30-35k Justin Bieber (Island/IDJ) 27-30k *David Gray (Downtown) 24-27k Rick Ross (Def Jam/IDJ) 22-25k Drake (Young Money/Cash Money/Universal Motown) 22-25k *John Mellencamp (Rounder) 21-24k Avenged Sevenfold (Warner Bros.) 21-24k < LOL. www.hitsdailydouble.com/news/rumormill.cgi
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chopped89
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Post by chopped89 on Aug 19, 2010 18:50:58 GMT -5
I think he could do 100k+ for 2 more weeks(including this one). But his sales might rise up and do more than that after the 4 stadium shows in September. The rest of the list is ridiculous, music industry is dying!
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pnobelysk
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Post by pnobelysk on Aug 19, 2010 20:45:16 GMT -5
^ if he performs he will get a good boost from vma's too
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lugus15
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Post by lugus15 on Aug 19, 2010 21:19:15 GMT -5
I think he could do 100k+ for 2 more weeks(including this one). But his sales might rise up and do more than that after the 4 stadium shows in September. The rest of the list is ridiculous, music industry is dying!Please don't be so dramatic.... Those were the numbers in the 40's-60's
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Honeymoon
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Post by Honeymoon on Aug 19, 2010 21:48:43 GMT -5
YOUR WEAKEND CHART PREVIEW Eminem logs another week at #1 as Recovery hits the 2.23m mark. Possibly looking to protect their lead as the year's best-selling album, Lady Antebellum sees a boost this week, thanks to sale pricing at iTunes and a Target circular. Lady A will easily pass 2.54m and continue as the year's reigning champ for at least a few more weeks. Here's how it looks headed into the weekend: Eminem (Shady/Aftermath/Interscope) 115-120k*Kem (Universal Motown) 70-75k *Iron Maiden (Columbia) 65-70k *Ray Lamontagne (RCA) 60-65k *Trace Adkins (Show Dog) 45-50k Arcade Fire (Merge) 30-35k Lady Antebellum (Capitol Nashville/EMI) 30-35k Justin Bieber (Island/IDJ) 27-30k *David Gray (Downtown) 24-27k Rick Ross (Def Jam/IDJ) 22-25k Drake (Young Money/Cash Money/Universal Motown) 22-25k *John Mellencamp (Rounder) 21-24k Avenged Sevenfold (Warner Bros.) 21-24k < LOL. www.hitsdailydouble.com/news/rumormill.cgiKidz Bop Kids 18 (Razor & Tie) 20-22k Camp Rock 2: The Final Jam (Walt Disney) 20-22k
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Diego
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Post by Diego on Aug 19, 2010 23:14:18 GMT -5
Well thank goodness for the debuts, if it wasn't for them the #2 album would be selling 30k+
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thehellion
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Post by thehellion on Aug 20, 2010 6:49:23 GMT -5
If Maiden debut at No.3, it will be their highest ever chart position in the US while that sales total could possibly their biggest of the Soundscan era (1992's Fear Of The Dark, which debuted at No.12 in the US, may have had a bigger first week).
slicknickshady, why the LOL at Avenged Sevenfold?
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Diego
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Post by Diego on Aug 20, 2010 8:57:33 GMT -5
slicknickshady, why the LOL at Avenged Sevenfold? He's pressed that they snatched a #1 week from Fem.
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Post by jj99$ - - LeLe on Aug 20, 2010 12:13:46 GMT -5
they are dropping quite rapidly.
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thehellion
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Post by thehellion on Aug 20, 2010 13:31:06 GMT -5
they are dropping quite rapidly. That really doesn't matter. They'll surpass the 250k mark next week and are well on their way to achieving their 4th Gold album in a row, which is really good for a hard rock band these days. Platinum isn't out of the question either. Their sales performance is hardly worthy of an LOL. Yes, it's not doing Eminem numbers but what else is?
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Honeymoon
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Post by Honeymoon on Aug 20, 2010 18:51:52 GMT -5
slicknickshady, why the LOL at Avenged Sevenfold? He's pressed that they snatched a #1 week from Fem. Yep. Every time I read one of his posts now it's like I like Eminem a little bit less.
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Choco
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Post by Choco on Aug 20, 2010 18:58:31 GMT -5
BTW i'm kind of sad because without promo, The Fame might not get another top 10 placement for a week. I hope the VMAs help the album.
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pnobelysk
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Post by pnobelysk on Aug 20, 2010 19:48:37 GMT -5
^ she might be a big seller for holiday sales
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lovelydayz
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Post by lovelydayz on Aug 20, 2010 19:53:16 GMT -5
I don't understand the laughing at AS's drop. Artists like them do not see that much success and they usually sell decently overtime. I'm not sure if that poster is just being a difficult Em stan, but not everyone will be doing Em's incredible numbers.
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Post by ListenToItTwice on Aug 20, 2010 21:16:20 GMT -5
^^ You're new here. Allow me to tell you that he is a difficult Em stan. He seems like a pretty nice guy though, all things considered.
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Post by slicknickshady on Aug 20, 2010 21:20:17 GMT -5
To be fair, i didnt add the lol. It was there from the TR-Shady site i took the list from. I usually bring it straight from hits but i saw it first on the TR-Shady board. If you look there you will clearly see thats why the LOL is in this post. www.forum.trshady.com/viewtopic.php?p=1315626#p1315626I say what i think so you know very well if i put that i would admit to it. I go by Slicknickshady on that forum if you look through that thread so clearly i didnt put that. That really doesn't matter. They'll surpass the 250k mark next week and are well on their way to achieving their 4th Gold album in a row, which is really good for a hard rock band these days. Tell that to the band Tool. 10,000 Days - Total Sales: 1,736,000 Lateralus - Total Sales: 2,609,000 Ænima - Total Sales: 3,429,000 Undertow - Total Sales: 2,910,000 Opiate (EP) - Total Sales: 1,155,000
Also, I'm not an Eminem stan. I'm a fan of Eminem.
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Gravity.
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Post by Gravity. on Aug 21, 2010 0:19:32 GMT -5
Why do you always bring up Tool? They haven't released an album in years. A7X is doing very well for a rock album in 2010.
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Post by slicknickshady on Aug 21, 2010 1:28:58 GMT -5
Why do you always bring up Tool? They haven't released an album in years. A7X is doing very well for a rock album in 2010. I guarantee there next release in 2011 does over 500K first week. If it doesnt ill leave this forum. When it comes to Tool, they will sell regardless of how the record industry is. They released one in 2006. (over 500K first week) They released one in 2001. (over 500k first week) They released one in 1996.
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thehellion
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Post by thehellion on Aug 21, 2010 4:15:12 GMT -5
Tell that to the band Tool. 10,000 Days - Total Sales: 1,736,000 Lateralus - Total Sales: 2,609,000 Ænima - Total Sales: 3,429,000 Undertow - Total Sales: 2,910,000 Opiate (EP) - Total Sales: 1,155,000
It's not fair to compare their sales with those managed by Tool. Tool got big when old media was still king and the internet was in its infancy. By the time A7X broke through in 2005, CD sales were well down on those managed just 5 years earlier and the internet was eating into the audiences for print, radio and television. This has all continued to this day. In an era where everyone is increasingly following their own niche, A7X have down very well to create a broader following for itself.
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Post by onefrayedrepublic on Aug 21, 2010 8:11:10 GMT -5
Why do you always bring up Tool? They haven't released an album in years. A7X is doing very well for a rock album in 2010. I guarantee there next release in 2011 does over 500K first week. If it doesnt ill leave this forum. When it comes to Tool, they will sell regardless of how the record industry is. They released one in 2006. (over 500K first week) They released one in 2001. (over 500k first week) They released one in 1996. It'll be sad losing you as a forum member.
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