Future Captain
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Post by Future Captain on Mar 15, 2016 19:17:58 GMT -5
OHW ~~~~~~~~~ Rozes James Bay Camilla Cabello(solo at least) Lukas Graham Yo Gotti(for pop) Iffy ~~~~~~~~~ Daya No ~~~~~~~~~ Zayn(no way fans would let that happen) Twenty One Pilots(Ride seems like it could be a pop hit)G-Eazy DNCE Kevin Gates(Right now he's sort of pulling a Bryson Tiller) Ride is taking forever to get to the Hot 100, so I don't know. But it is possible twenty one pilots (I just can't imagine "Ride" doing that well in airplay. I think it will hit the Hot 100, but it won't go too high.) Ride still haven't even been sent to outside of Alt. Heck, it haven't even peaked in Alt. It's doing really well in sales and streaming for an Alt song. Definitely could see it being the Demons to Stressed Out's Radioactive.
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godjanny
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Post by godjanny on Mar 15, 2016 23:49:27 GMT -5
Is You Should Be Here Cole Swindell's first hit or has he gotten one before?
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Nyte
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Post by Nyte on Mar 16, 2016 0:47:43 GMT -5
He had a #28 with "Chillin' It" in 2013.
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someguy
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Post by someguy on Mar 17, 2016 3:01:48 GMT -5
Is You Should Be Here Cole Swindell's first hit or has he gotten one before? He's had five hits at country radio. Wouldn't call him a one hit wonder at all.
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Raccoon
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Post by Raccoon on Mar 23, 2016 22:13:16 GMT -5
Poot Lovato
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MTSChart21
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Post by MTSChart21 on Mar 24, 2016 21:40:09 GMT -5
Update:
OHW ROZES James Bay (sadly) Camila Cabello Lukas Graham (sadly) MNEK Bipolar Sunshine
Not sure about twenty one pilots (We'll have to see how well "Ride" does.) Yo Gotti (Still not sure)
Not OHW ZAYN (I think his next single, whatever it will be, will be a hit. With the fanbase, he will get another hit) G-Eazy DNCE Kevin Gates Daya (Don't Let Me Down will be a hit) Zara Larsson
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godjanny
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Post by godjanny on Mar 25, 2016 22:48:41 GMT -5
What about Troye Sivan and Desiigner? They have hits now.
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tekkenguy
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Post by tekkenguy on Mar 25, 2016 23:06:43 GMT -5
Zayn - Yeah, he's not going anywhere. Being from one of the biggest bands of the decade, he is way too big to disappear. Twenty One Pilots - They're really popular, much more so than most other alt crossover acts recently, so even if their technically a one-hit wonder they won't be seen as one in the eyes of the public. That being said, I'm not sure if they can get another pop hit, but their future looks pretty bright. Lukas Graham - Most likely will be, though their other songs are much higher on iTunes and Spotify than these types of artists usually get. But I'm not putting my money on it, as it seems like a Passenger-esque situation. Rozes - Unless she has another breakthrough as a solo artist, no. G-Eazy - He may not have another pop crossover hit, but he'll be back with rhythmic hits and/or featured spots. DNCE - Joe Jonas will keep this band in the spotlight, though they probably won't last very long. Yo Gotti - His following is quite big compared to other viral rappers, so I think he'll stay. Camila Cabello - I don't see many more guest spots in the near future, so she'll probably have to wait for her solo career for her next opportunity at a hit. But 5H won't be going away anytime soon. Kevin Gates - See Yo Gotti. Zara Larsson - Nope. "Lush Life" is smashing in Europe and will smash here too. "European left-field OHW" doesn't apply here as those types of artists were generally one-hit wonders in Europe as well. MNEK - Probably, like Rozes he's riding Zara's starpower and hasn't really broken out on his own. Daya - Her song with the Chainsmokers will be a hit. Not sure about another solo hit, though. Bipolar Sunshine - He's done. James Bay - Unless LIG can become bigger, I don't see another hit for him. Desiigner - He's just another Vine novelty. One-hit wonder. Troye Sivan - If Youth smashes, then he's all but guaranteed to get a second hit.
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Nyte
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Post by Nyte on Mar 30, 2016 15:14:30 GMT -5
"Don't Let Me Down" just cracked the Top 40, so officially Daya is no longer a OHW overall. I doubt she'll be able to score another hit solo, however.
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redrooster
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Post by redrooster on Mar 31, 2016 19:51:56 GMT -5
I try to reserve judgment on this matter until after I see how their followup singles do. If their followup doesn't make the Hot 100, then they can be considered a one hit wonder. If their followup makes the Hot 100 but not the top 40 then I wait to see how their next single does. If that one doesn't make the top 40, then they're a one hit wonder.
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Nyte
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Post by Nyte on Apr 5, 2016 9:47:00 GMT -5
No new entries this week I believe. However, if Disturbed cracks the Top 40 next week, do you think they'll be a OHW? Personally, I don't see them ever scoring another Top 40 hit despite how massively popular they are. The days of hard rock songs becoming pop crossovers are long over. The success of TSOS was largely a fluke and I don't think it can be replicated by them or any other hard rock band.
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redrooster
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Post by redrooster on Apr 5, 2016 13:10:27 GMT -5
No new entries this week I believe. However, if Disturbed cracks the Top 40 next week, do you think they'll be a OHW? Personally, I don't see them ever scoring another Top 40 hit despite how massively popular they are. The days of hard rock songs becoming pop crossovers are long over. The success of TSOS was largely a fluke and I don't think it can be replicated by them or any other hard rock band. They'll be a OHW in the same way N.W.A. or Grateful Dead is.
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House Lannister
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Post by House Lannister on Apr 5, 2016 22:41:37 GMT -5
Updated:
Off the Board: Daya---With Don't Let Me Down, she now has two top 40 hits. Not bad for a karaoke robot gone wrong. Cassadee Pope---Thanks to Think of You, she now has two top 40s.
One Hit Wonders: Rozes---The future for features from dance songs usually aren't that bright. Bipolar Sunshine---The future for features from dance songs usually aren't that bright. MNEK---I'd lean towards no (see Rozes), but I'd like to see his next single to know for sure. James Bay---It might take his next album to know for sure, but I don't think Bay has that X factor that leads to multiple hits (if Hold Back the River couldn't get it done, I'm not sure what else could). Camilla Cabello---As far as a solo career goes, I think she's more Nicole Scherzenger than Beyonce. DNCE---Have you seen the video? It looks like band members for four different groups. They're more likely to break up than land another top 40. Post Malone---He looks like he hasn't had enough practice, much like the title of his one hit. I don't see a second shot coming.
Could Go Either Way: Lukas Graham---On the one hand, we're looking at a band who's largest hit is a reflective one. Not sure how that translates to future songs. On the other, they have an international following and may follow this up with something more uptempo. In other words, we'll have to wait and see. Yo Gotti---I think he needed Minaj to make this a top 40 hit. But it's easier for certain genres to land top 40s than others, and rap is one of them. He may be back.
Won't Be One Hit Wonders: 21 Pilots: As well as Stressed Out has done, I think they've bought some time. The only question is whether they'll break the top 40 with Ride or if it will be from their next album. But I think they'll be around. Zara Larssen---Once Never Forget You fades, Lush Life will (probably) make any discussion of one hit wonder status moot. Like Pilots, I think it's more a matter of time than anything. Zayn---Like I Would probably knocks him off the list. But unlike Pilots and Larssen, I think it might be more of a question of whether he's a one album wonder. G-Eazy---I think he was better with I Mean It than Me, Myself and I (despite Bebe Rexha's hook). There, I said it. I don't think he cracks top 10 again, but I certainly can see him having another top 40 hit. Kevin Gates---Not a fan of his lyrics, but I think he'll have the credibility and hooks to be around for a while. Desiigner---Future might be more questionable, but I think based off that single that we're looking more at a first salvo than a one hit wonder. Troye Sivan---Future looks bright for Sivan and I think he'll have his second hit soon, if not sooner. Tory Lanez---He's got an ear for hooks. Wouldn't be surprised if he gets another top 40. Travis Scott---If Antidote is an indication, I wouldn't be surprised to see him return. Perhaps with his upcoming song featuring the Weeknd?
Future One Hit Wonders Watch: Ruth B (Lost Boy)---41 (I'd lean towards yes) Disturbed (Sound of Silence)---42 (Someone compared them to NWA as far as an out of left field hit goes, and I agree. It's more a victory lap than a sign of things to come. Although I hope that rock makes more inroads in the 2016 Billboard charts than last year) Young Dolph (Cut It)---44 (Considering he's backup to an artist who should have zero top 40s, I think this is his 15 minutes. Probably) Old Dominion (Snapback)---50 (I think they could be around for awhile) Maren Morris (My Church)---58 (She's got youth and her songwriting on her side, so I think she won't be)
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Nyte
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Post by Nyte on Apr 6, 2016 10:46:35 GMT -5
5H doesn't disqualify Camila. Band and solo are counted separately.
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redrooster
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Post by redrooster on Apr 6, 2016 12:45:17 GMT -5
Zara Larssen---Once Never Forget You fades, Lush Life will make any discussion of one hit wonder status moot. Like Pilots, I think it's more a matter of time than anything. Disturbed (Sound of Silence)---51 (Someone compared them to NWA as far as an out of left field hit goes, and I agree. It's more a victory lap than a sign of things to come. Although I hope that rock makes more inroads in the 2016 Billboard charts than last year) I'm a pretty big Disturbed fan and to be honest I kinda wish they had gone top 40 with something heavier like Inside the Fire or Ten Thousand Fists. It seems the only rock bands who can chart at all these days are Disturbed, Breaking Benjamin and Metallica. Lush Life was #2 on the Bubbling Under Hot 100 chart two weeks ago but seems to have fallen from that position. I'm gonna play Devil's Advocate and say that it won't be a hit.
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Nyte
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Post by Nyte on Apr 7, 2016 15:28:52 GMT -5
Current roster:
Zayn Twenty One Pilots Lukas Graham Rozes G-Eazy DNCE Yo Gotti Desiigner Zara Larsson MNEK Kevin Gates Camila Cabello Bipolar Sunshine Troye Sivan James Bay
Possible newcomers:
Ruth B Maren Morris Disturbed
My predictions:
Zayn - #1 debut single and #1 debut album. Yeah, no way he's going to be a OHW. It's not a matter of if he gets another hit, just a matter of when. Twenty One Pilots - Like I said before, these alternative crossovers tend to go either way. Despite being massively popular, it's possible that their unique style won't be pop-friendly enough to hit the Top 40 again. Lukas Graham - Really iffy on this one. Meteoric as the song was, it could very well end up being another case of Gotye and Hozier, being such a left-field hit despite charting well back home. Rozes - Unless she can have some kind of miraculous breakthrough as a soloist, she'll be forever known as the vocalist behind "Roses". I don't see her getting another hit. G-Eazy - I doubt he'll have as big of a hit as a lead again, but he'll return to the Top 40 both as a lead artist and as a feature. Not to mention hits on rhythmic radio as well. DNCE - They seem to be fairly popular despite Joe Jonas being their frontman. They have a Maroon 5-lite sound that should do them well with the radio, though I don't think they'll last too long or have the same success as Nick. Yo Gotti - Not sure. His music isn't really pop friendly and the success of this song was fueled by viral appeal and a Nicki Minaj remix. Could go either way. Desiigner - Any artist that scores a hit through Vine and isn't named Fetty Wap is a OHW apparently. I'm going to go the safe route and say he'll join T-Wayne, Silento, and ILoveMemphis in obscurity after this is done. Zara Larsson - Despite all the love she gets here, I really am not sure if she can score another hit. "Lush Life" just fell off from its position in the Bubbling Under, which isn't a very good sign to me. MNEK - I don't even think he's trying to target the American audience, which to me means his chances of scoring another hit are very low unless he can manage other hit as a feature. Kevin Gates - Very popular up-and-coming rapper, no way he's going to fall into this fate. Camila Cabello - Her solo career is non-existent at the moment, so I don't see her getting another hit unless she can get another feature. It may be a very long time until she starts a solo career of her own. Bipolar Sunshine - EDM vocalists tend not to get more hits, as stated above. Just ask Foxes or John Martin. His popularity stateside is non-existent. One-hit wonder. Troye Sivan - 50/50. "Youth" soared to the Top 30, before almost immediately falling off. Whether he becomes the next pop idol success remains to be seen. James Bay - Unfortunate as it may sound, he'll probably be a one-hit wonder as these indie acts often end up being.
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tekkenguy
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Post by tekkenguy on Apr 7, 2016 16:27:15 GMT -5
Lush Life isn't the single being promoted right now, so any downward chart movement means nothing until after NFY peaks. Actually, the fact that it's even charting right now despite not being a current single shows there is interest in her beyond NFY. Most one-hit wonder acts' follow-ups, if they even chart, don't hit the charts until after being released as a single. Look at this. "Team" was floating around at the bottom of the chart for several weeks when "Royals" was still in the middle of its reign at #1, before it started to blow up around the end of the year. Or fun.'s "Some Nights", which was on the Hot 100 long before "We Are Young" finished its run.
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Au$tin
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Post by Au$tin on Apr 7, 2016 17:24:45 GMT -5
Zayn - Pillowtalk (#1) Um... He's got plenty from One Direction already, so... Also, as a solo act, yes, he will indeed have plenty of hits.
Twenty One Pilots - Stressed Out (#2) They've had a very good career for years, "Stressed Out" is not their first hit.
Lukas Graham - 7 Years (#2) I could see Lukas Graham becoming 2016's Passenger.
Rozes - Roses (#6) She actually has to release some music first.
G-Eazy - Me, Myself, & I (#7) Isn't this his second hit? I could've sworn he had a hit not too long ago.
DNCE - Cake By the Ocean (#9) Joe Jonas is fine, same boat as ZAYN. DNCE is definitely going to fill the missing Maroon 5/Train gap for a while, so I think they're good for more hits.
Yo Gotti - Down in the DM (#13) "5 Star" says hello. Also, "Law" is gaining traction already IIRC.
Zara Larsson & MNEK - Never Forget You (#17) They're separate artists, lol. Zara already has a smah in "Lush Life" in several parts of the world, she's blowing up all over the world as well. I expect the same in the US.
Kevin Gates - 2 Phones (#18) "Really Really" says hello.
Camila Cabello - I Know What You Did Last Summer (#20) Same as ZAYN, she's doing just fine from Fifth Harmony and she's not even on a solo career.
Bipolar Sunshine - Middle (#20) Same as Rozes
Desiinger - Panda (#21) This is the only one on this list that screams potential one hit wonder to me.
Troye Sivan - Youth (#23) Nah, he's building up too strong of a fanbase.
Daya - Hide Away (#23) She will quietly get a second hit somehow. She's already doing it with The Chainsmokers, and "Sit Still, Look Pretty" is gaining good traction despite negligible hype for her as an artist.
James Bay - Let It Go (#35) "Hold Back the River" says hello.
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Nyte
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Post by Nyte on Apr 7, 2016 17:57:46 GMT -5
All of these artists are on their first Top 40 hit on the mainstream chart in the US. I'm not talking about other countries, or hits on other formats. Additionally, as per Billboard standards band and solo are counted separately (for example, The Who isn't a OHW but Roger Daltrey is).
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Nyte
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Post by Nyte on Apr 11, 2016 14:21:55 GMT -5
New entry:
Wizkid & Kyla - One Dance
Also a weird example, but Pop Style features Jay-Z & Kanye West, neither of whom are OHWs, but they're credited as "The Throne". Which is weird. Would "The Throne" be a OHW by Billboard standards? It's not even an artist or a band, just a weird credit. I'm leaving them off due to how iffy this is. Anyways, current roster:
Zayn Twenty One Pilots Lukas Graham Desiigner Rozes G-Eazy DNCE Yo Gotti Zara Larsson MNEK Kevin Gates Camila Cabello Bipolar Sunshine Wizkid Kyla Troye Sivan James Bay
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Dylan :)
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Post by Dylan :) on Apr 11, 2016 14:43:44 GMT -5
Probably just because no one can say for definiteDesiigner James Bay Bipolar Sunshine Wizkid Kyla Lukas Graham Rozes MNEK PossiblyZara Larsson Kevin Gates Camila Cabello Probably notTwenty One Pilots Zayn G-Eazy DNCE Troye Sivan
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MTSChart21
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Post by MTSChart21 on Apr 11, 2016 14:56:17 GMT -5
PREDICTIONS:
One Hit Wonder: Lukas Graham ROZES MNEK Camila Cabello Bipolar Sunshine Wizkid Kyla James Bay Troye Sivan
Unsure: Desiigner Yo Gotti
Not One Hit Wonder: ZAYN Twenty One Pilots G-Eazy DNCE Zara Larsson Kevin Gates
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Nyte
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Post by Nyte on Apr 11, 2016 15:55:14 GMT -5
For me, it's not question that Wizkid and Kyla are OHWs. They have no popularity stateside, and only got a hit on the back of an established superstar.
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tekkenguy
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Post by tekkenguy on Apr 11, 2016 19:58:15 GMT -5
Updated predictions
OHW -Lukas -Rozes -Bipolar -Wizkid -Kyla -MNEK -Desiigner -Camila (for now)
On the Fence -Gotti -Bay -DNCE
Nope -Zayn -21P -Zara -Troye -G-Eazy -Gates
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MTSChart21
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Post by MTSChart21 on Apr 19, 2016 11:18:24 GMT -5
Here comes Yo Gotti with another song on the Hot 100
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House Lannister
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Post by House Lannister on Apr 19, 2016 12:09:29 GMT -5
G-Eazy - Me, Myself, & I (#7) Isn't this his second hit? I could've sworn he had a hit not too long ago. I Mean It? It charted, but it peaked in the 90s. Or are you referring to You Don't Own Me? After months of waiting, it finally debuts this week as Bubbling Under's Number 2.
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House Lannister
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Post by House Lannister on Apr 19, 2016 12:16:22 GMT -5
I think I jinxed Maren Morris.
As of this week:
On the verge: Ruth B (#41) Disturbed (#42) Young Dolph (#44) Old Dominion (#50)
Perhaps breaking OHW status: OT Genasis (Coco; #44) Alessia Cara (Here; #56)
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Apr 19, 2016 17:18:53 GMT -5
Add in Post Malone, Travis Scott, and Tory Lanez.
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Nyte
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Post by Nyte on Apr 19, 2016 17:42:06 GMT -5
Did their songs peak this year or late 2015? I can't remember.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Apr 19, 2016 19:10:35 GMT -5
This year.
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