Billboard Hot 100: 08/04/12

[ListenToItTwice]

^ I'm assuming you mean the TCA?

EDIT: Every time I think I can get away without using Quote my post ends up being on the top of a new page :/

[brucelover]

Does anyone know when the Clear Channel deal for No Doubt begins?

[nivekwriter1]

Airplay update (7/23/2012)

1. MAROON 5 - Payphone f/Wiz Khalifa: 186.989 (- 0.107)
2. CARLY RAE JEPSEN - Call Me Maybe: 166.255 (- 1.541)
3. GOTYE - Somebody That I Used To Know: 154.964 (- 1.426)
4. RIHANNA - Where Have You Been: 154.521 (- 0.256)
5. KATY PERRY - Wide Awake: 144.506 (+ 3.474)
6. ELLIE GOULDING - Lights: 130.164 (+ 2.301) [/b][/color]
7. USHER - Scream: 111.469 (+ 0.301)
8. FUN. - We Are Young f/Janelle Monae: 82.789 (- 1.265)
9. ONE DIRECTION - What Makes You Beautiful: 81.466 (- 0.383)
10. DAVID GUETTA - Titanium f/Sia: 80.893 (+ 0.371)
11. CALVIN HARRIS - Let's Go f/Ne-Yo: 78.752 (+ 1.158)
12. NICKI MINAJ - Starships: 78.516 (+ 0.429)
13. THE WANTED - Glad You Came: 73.973 (- 0.122)
14. DEMI LOVATO - Give Your Heart A Break: 68.114 (+ 0.094)
15. FLO RIDA - Wild Ones f/Sia: 67.375 (- 0.887)
16. KELLY CLARKSON - Stronger (What Doesn't Kill ...: 64.268 (+ 0.044)
17. DIERKS BENTLEY - 5-1-5-0: 63.257 (+ 0.542)
18. PINK - Blow Me (One Last Kiss): 62.523 (+ 2.419)
19. KANYE WEST - Mercy f/Big Sean/Pusha T...: 61.840 (+ 0.396)
20. KENNY CHESNEY - Come Over: 61.734 (+ 0.213) ¥

Others

TRAIN - Drive By: 58.379 (- 0.705)
FLO RIDA - Whistle: 51.438 (+ 2.227)
NEON TREES - Everybody Talks: 50.700 (+ 0.074)
HAVANA BROWN - We Run The Night f/Pitbull: 50.284 (+ 0.161)
USHER - Lemme See f/Rick Ross: 45.278 (+ 0.480)
CHER LLOYD - Want U Back: 39.688 (+ 0.447)
OWL CITY & CARLY RAE JEPSEN - Good Time: 35.373 (+ 0.805)
KELLY CLARKSON - Dark Side: 34.333 (+ 0.178)
ONE DIRECTION - One Thing: 33.079 (+ 0.132)
LITTLE BIG TOWN - Pontoon: 31.384 (+ 1.130)
FUN. - Some Nights: 27.081 (+ 1.077)
THE WANTED - Chasing The Sun: 25.954 (+ 0.872)
MATCHBOX TWENTY - She's So Mean: 23.781 (+ 0.053)
NO DOUBT - Settle Down: 23.655 (+ 3.010)
LINKIN PARK - Burn It Down: 21.918 (+ 0.253)
JUSTIN BIEBER - As Long As You Love Me: 21.259 (+ 0.855)
GREEN DAY - Oh Love: 18.562 (+ 2.113)
JASON ALDEAN - Take A Little Ride: 18.161 (+ 1.438)
CARRIE UNDERWOOD - Blown Away: 13.495 (+ 1.156)
NICKI MINAJ - Pound The Alarm: 10.350 (+ 1.027)[/b]
MAROON 5 - One More Night: 8.280 (+ 0.925)
KILLERS - Runaways: 6.245 (+ 0.226)

[Rocky]

5. KATY PERRY - Wide Awake: 144.506 (+ 3.474)

hm, not bad... really isn't

18. PINK - Blow Me (One Last Kiss): 62.523 (+ 2.419)



FUN. - Some Nights: 27.081 (+ 1.077)

Second 1.000+ update! Go-go-go!

NO DOUBT - Settle Down: 23.655 (+ 3.010)

Still doing well. Impressive.

GREEN DAY - Oh Love: 18.562 (+ 2.113)

It's a surprise, but a nice one.

[cesarams]

I'm happy with Blown Away and Pound The Alarm. Expecting 2 big hits.

[nivekwriter1]

My predictions will come later in the day.
I already can say that Wide Awake is still rising very fast and that
Payphone now really has to gain to get #1.
This is 100% Payphone's last week to reach #1.
Next week 'Wide Awake' probably will be #1.

[nick64]

Very happy with Let's Go's, BMOLK's, and Whistle's updates. Keep rising!

[nivekwriter1]

I use daily airplay data and the pop bars to make a prediction for the hot 100. Last week i had almost the complete top 10 right, so maybe it is a good predictor.

The number behind the song are the points it has gained this week until now.

Gains
1 point more than last day: bold
2 points more than last day: green
3 points more than last day: red
5 points more than last day: purple

Prediction hot 100 (until now)

1. Carly Rae Jepsen - Call Me Maybe (787.16)
2. Maroon 5 ft. Wiz Khalifa - Payphone (777.81)
3. Katy Perry - Wide Awake (759.63)
4. Flo Rida - Whistle (611.34)
5. Gotye ft. Kimbra - Somebody That I Used To Know (605.76)
6. Ellie Goulding - Lights (597.18)
7. Rihanna - Where Have You Been (568.88)
8. David Guetta ft. Sia - Titanium (468.19)
9. Jason Aldean - Take A Little Ride (436.04)
10. Usher - Scream (435.11)
11. P!nk - Blow Me (One Last Kiss) (430.51)
12. One Direction - What Makes You Beautiful (349.94)
13. Cher Lloyd - Want U Back (348.04)
14. Nicki Minaj - Starships (348.00)
15. Fun. ft. Janelle Monaé - We Are Young (338.84)
16. Fun. - Some Nights (336.31)
17. Calvin Harris ft. Ne-Yo - Let's Go (324.71)
18. Demi Lovato - Give Your Heart A Break (320.50)
19. Kayne West ft. Big Sean, Pusha T, Tyga - Mercy (318.34)
20. Owl City ft. Carly Rae Jepsen - Good Time (306.39)

High rises and debuts outside the top 20

31. No Doubt - Settle Down (216.08)
38. Kelly Clarkson - Dark Side (179.33)
41. Justin Bieber - As Long As You Love Me (148.25)
42. T.I. - Go Get It (147.23)

Bottom 50

Matchbox Twenty - She's So Mean (117.98)
Carrie Underwood - Blown Away (94.68)
B.o.B. ft. Taylor Swift - Both Of Us (84.25)
Green Day - Oh Love (38.81)
Maroon 5 - One More Nights (30.03)
Nicki Minaj - Pound The Alarm (25.87)

[nivekwriter1]

Airplay update (7/24/2012)

1. MAROON 5 - Payphone f/Wiz Khalifa: 185.428 (- 1.561)
2. CARLY RAE JEPSEN - Call Me Maybe: 164.023 (- 2.232)
3. RIHANNA - Where Have You Been: 155.444 (+ 0.923)
4. GOTYE - Somebody That I Used To Know: 152.798 (- 2.166)
5. KATY PERRY - Wide Awake: 147.764 (+ 3.258)
6. ELLIE GOULDING - Lights: 133.587 (+ 3.423)
7. USHER - Scream: 112.843 (+ 1.374) [/b]
8. DAVID GUETTA - Titanium f/Sia: 81.356 (+ 0.463)
9. FUN. - We Are Young f/Janelle Monae: 80.736 (- 2.053)
10. ONE DIRECTION - What Makes You Beautiful: 80.342 (- 1.124)
11. CALVIN HARRIS - Let's Go f/Ne-Yo: 80.147 (+ 1.395)
12. NICKI MINAJ - Starships: 75.662 (- 2.854)
13. THE WANTED - Glad You Came: 73.699 (- 0.274)
14. DEMI LOVATO - Give Your Heart A Break: 68.392 (+ 0.278)
15. FLO RIDA - Wild Ones f/Sia: 66.208 (- 1.167)
16. PINK - Blow Me (One Last Kiss): 64.566 (+ 2.043)
17. KELLY CLARKSON - Stronger (What Doesn't Kill ...: 64.020 (- 0.248)
18. DIERKS BENTLEY - 5-1-5-0: 63.263 (+ 0.006)
19. KENNY CHESNEY - Come Over: 62.282 (+ 0.548)
20. KANYE WEST - Mercy f/Big Sean/Pusha T...: 62.015 (+ 0.175)

Others

TRAIN - Drive By: 58.424 (+ 0.045)
FLO RIDA - Whistle: 53.352 (+ 1.914)
HAVANA BROWN - We Run The Night f/Pitbull: 51.606 (+ 1.322)
NEON TREES - Everybody Talks: 50.623 (- 0.077)
USHER - Lemme See f/Rick Ross: 45.461 (+ 0.183)
CHER LLOYD - Want U Back: 40.511 (+ 0.823)
OWL CITY & CARLY RAE JEPSEN - Good Time: 36.406 (+ 1.033)
KELLY CLARKSON - Dark Side: 34.551 (+ 0.218)
ONE DIRECTION - One Thing: 33.102 (+ 0.023)
LITTLE BIG TOWN - Pontoon: 32.609 (+ 1.225)
FUN. - Some Nights: 28.223 (+ 1.142)
THE WANTED - Chasing The Sun: 26.306 (+ 0.352)
MATCHBOX TWENTY - She's So Mean: 23.919 (+ 0.138)
JUSTIN BIEBER - As Long As You Love Me: 22.400 (+ 1.141)
LINKIN PARK - Burn It Down: 22.319 (+ 0.401)
NO DOUBT - Settle Down: 21.810 (- 1.845)
GREEN DAY - Oh Love: 14.306 (- 4.256)
CARRIE UNDERWOOD - Blown Away: 14.091 (+ 0.596)
JASON ALDEAN - Take A Little Ride: 11.630 (- 6.531)
NICKI MINAJ - Pound The Alarm: 11.513 (+ 1.163)
MAROON 5 - One More Night: 9.252 (+ 0.972)
KILLERS - Runaways: 6.429 (+ 0.184)

[badrobot]

8th day effect for No Doubt.

But, as you can see it was much more severe for Green Day than ND.

I don't think the No Doubt song is going to really take off... I wonder if they have a strong second single planned.

[Rocky]

FUN. - Some Nights: 28.223 (+ 1.142)

Some Nights!

And Lights as well is the biggest gainer

[nivekwriter1]

I use daily airplay data and the pop bars to make a prediction for the hot 100. Last week i had almost the complete top 10 right, so maybe it is a good predictor.

The number behind the song are the points it has gained this week until now.

Gains
1 point more than last day: bold
2 points more than last day: green
3 points more than last day: red
5 points more than last day: purple

Prediction hot 100 (until now)

1. Carly Rae Jepsen - Call Me Maybe (940.61) BIG DROP
2. Maroon 5 ft. Wiz Khalifa - Payphone (931.79)
3. Katy Perry - Wide Awake (919.31)
4. Flo Rida - Whistle (740.11)
5. Gotye ft. Kimbra - Somebody That I Used To Know (723.12)
6. Ellie Goulding - Lights (718.56)
7. Rihanna - Where Have You Been (682.93)
8. David Guetta ft. Sia - Titanium (556.40)
9. Usher - Scream (526.88)
10. P!nk - Blow Me (One Last Kiss) (515.91)
11. Jason Aldean - Take A Little Ride (496.06) BIG DROP
12. Cher Lloyd - Want U Back (421.30)
13. One Direction - What Makes You Beautiful (419.72)
14. Nicki Minaj - Starships (413.81)
15. Fun. - Some Nights (407.48) :o
16. Fun. ft. Janelle Monaé - We Are Young (405.62)
17. Calvin Harris ft. Ne-Yo - Let's Go (405.63)
18. Demi Lovato - Give Your Heart A Break (387.04)
19. Kayne West ft. Big Sean, Pusha T, Tyga - Mercy (380.18)
20. Owl City ft. Carly Rae Jepsen - Good Time (370.36)

Debuts and high rises outside the top 20

33. Little Big Town - Pontoon (291.05)
37. No Doubt - Settle Down (249.08)
39. Kelly Clarkson - Dark Side (216.85)
41. The Wanted - Chasing The Sun (204.43)[/b]
42. Justin Bieber - As Long As You Love Me (188.14)

Bottom 50:

51 - 60. Matchbox Twenty - She's So Mean (141.92)
56 - 60. Carrie Underwood - Blown Away (115.96)
61 - 65. Maroon 5 - One More Night (54.08)
66 - 70. Green Day - Oh Love (47.22)
71 - 80. Nicki Minaj - Pound The Alarm (32.77)

[dlostfan]

This will be a pretty interesting weekend after a long time. CMB, Payphone and WA are battling for #1-3 and STIUTK. Lights and Whistle are battling for #4-6.

[josh]

I think Lights should pass Gotye. Sales are better, radio will be about even, and it's pretty close on streaming as of last week. Maybe pass him this week? Flo I don't think he will pass, sales and radio will probably about even out, with him having a slight lead. Gotye will most likely have a big lead from streaming, though.

So probably 1-6:

CMM
WA
PP
Lights
STIUTK
Whistle

[SPRΞΞ]

next week is when the magic happens!

[Agent Yoncé]

I'm stunned as how well 'Whistle' is doing. There's no feature on that track. 2nd Top 10 w/no features attached (all from this era) :o

[NeRD]

1. CMM
2. PP
3. WA
4. SIUTK
5. Whistle


I think Payphone will hold on to #2 for one more week. We have to remember that Katy's sales were barely more than Carly's last week when she was #1 on Digital Songs. This week she isn't #1, and Carly has been on her tail all week.

Next week will be interesting indeed. Depends on how much Katy grows in streaming. Her airplay is exploding now, but realistically, she only has a little more to grow since Rhythmic isn't really supporting. I see it peaking around 160 million in AI.

She may be able to pass Carly in airplay, but I think it'll be alot closer than we think. She may have a couple more days of huge gains, but I think she'll begin to slow dramatically by the end of the week.

Yeah, Whistle probably still won't be much of a threat next week, but the following week it will for sure.

[Deleted]

Retro Top 10's this week

1 year ago (8/6/11)

1 1 Party Rock Anthem - LMFAO ft. Lauren Bennett & GoonRock (4th week of 6 @ #1)
2 3 Last Friday Night (T.G.I.F.) - Katy Perry
3 2 Give Me Everything - Pitbull ft. Ne-Yo, AfroJack & Nayer
4 5 Super Bass - Nicki Minaj
5 4 Rolling In The Deep - Adele
6 6 How To Love - Lil' Wayne
7 9 Tonight Tonight - Hot Chelle Rae
8 7 The Edge Of Glory - Lady Gaga
9 8 Good Life - OneRepublic
10 17 Lighters - Bad Meets Evil ft. Bruno Mars


5 years ago (8/4/07)

1 1 Hey There Delilah - Plain White T's (2nd and final week @ #1)
2 3 Big Girls Don't Cry - Fergie
3 2 Umbrella - Rihanna ft. Jay-Z
4 5 The Way I Are - Timbaland ft. Keri Hilson & D.O.E.
5 4 Party Like A Rockstar - Shop Boyz
6 - What Time Is It - High School Musical Cast
7 - Sorry, Blame It On Me - Akon
8 7 A Bay Bay - Hurricane Chris
9 6 Buy U A Drank (Shawty Snappin') - T-Pain ft. Yung Joc
10 8 Bartender - T-Pain ft. Akon


10 years ago (8/3/02)

1 1 Hot In Herre - Nelly (6th week of 7 @ #1)
2 3 Complicated - Avril Lavigne
3 8 Dilemma - Nelly & Kelly Rowland
4 5 I Need A Girl (Part Two) - P Diddy ft. Ginuwine, Loon, Mario Winans & Tammy Rugerri
5 4 Hero - Chad Kroeger ft. Josey Scott
6 2 Without Me - Eminem
7 12 Just A Friend 2002 - Mario
8 11 Down 4 U - Irv Gotti presents The Inc ft. Ja Rule, Ashanti & Charli Baltim
9 6 Oh Boy - Cam'ron ft. Juelz Santana
10 10 I'm Gonna Be Alright - Jennifer Lopez ft. Nas


15 years ago (8/2/97)

1 1 I'll Be Missing You - Puff Daddy ft. Faith Evans & 112 (8th week of 11 @ #1)
2 2 Bitch - Meredith Brooks
3 3 Quit Playing Games (With My Heart) - Backstreet Boys
4 - Mo Money Mo Problems - Notorious B.I.G. ft. Puff Daddy & Mase
5 6 Semi-Charmed Life - Third Eye Blind
6 4 Return Of The Mack - Mark Morrison
7 8 Do You Know (What It Takes) - Robyn
8 7 Sunny Came Home - Shawn Colvin
9 10 Gotham City - R. Kelly
10 9 Look Into My Eyes - Bone Thugs-N-Harmony


Hot 100 Airplay from 15 years ago

1 1 Sunny Came Home - Shawn Colvin (4th and final week @ #1)
2 2 Men In Black - Will Smith
3 3 Semi-Charmed Life - Third Eye Blind

[icefire9]

I'm hoping Lights can get a little higher on the Hot 100. Right now it looks like it will be breaking even, passing SIUTK but being passed by Whistle in the next few weeks.

[jj99$ - - LeLe]

The $0.25 Call Me Maybe Sale on Amazon is no more i Believe, So her Sales should Decrease a bit, but i still see her outselling Katy This Week On the Digital Chart.

[Au$tin]

Jul 24, 2012 11:34:01 GMT -5 jj99$ - - LeLe said:

The $0.25 Call Me Maybe Sale on Amazon is no more i Believe, So her Sales should Decrease a bit, but i still see her outselling Katy This Week On the Digital Chart.

Nah. Katy's been ahead all week on iTunes, and the $0.25 Amazon deal is over.

[brucelover]

Has Gotye announced another single?

[nivekwriter1]

Jul 24, 2012 12:03:35 GMT -5 brucelover said:

Has Gotye announced another single?

No, here are the release dates from his singles from the album: 'Making Mirrors'.

1. Eyes Wide Open (5 November 2010)
2. Somebody That I Used To Know (5 July 2011)
3. I Feel Better (24 October 2011)
4. Easy Way Out (27 February 2012)


Here are the peaks from the songs

1. Eyes Wide Open (#96 US - #8 Poland)
2. Somebody That I Used To Know (#1 (8wks) US - #1 (5wks) UK)
3. I Feel Better (Didn't charted in US or UK - #2 Belgium)
4. Easy Way Out (Didn't charted)

[Au$tin]

"Eyes Wide Open" was just released to alternative radio here.

[badrobot]

Jul 24, 2012 11:19:38 GMT -5 Agent Yoncé said:

I'm stunned as how well 'Whistle' is doing. There's no feature on that track. 2nd Top 10 w/no features attached (all from this era) :o

While you may "officially" be correct since Etta James was not credited on "Good Feeling," I think it's pretty clear that the song's success was largely due to her vocal hook.

[nick64]

Jul 24, 2012 13:14:02 GMT -5 nivekwriter1 said:

Jul 24, 2012 12:03:35 GMT -5 brucelover said:

Has Gotye announced another single?

No, here are the release dates from his singles from the album: 'Making Mirrors'.

1. Eyes Wide Open (5 November 2010)
2. Somebody That I Used To Know (5 July 2011)
3. I Feel Better (24 October 2011)
4. Easy Way Out (27 February 2012)


Here are the peaks from the songs

1. Eyes Wide Open (#96 US - #8 Poland)
2. Somebody That I Used To Know (#1 (8wks) US - #1 (5wks) UK)
3. I Feel Better (Didn't charted in US or UK - #2 Belgium)
4. Easy Way Out (Didn't charted)

I believe those are his UK singles. STIUTK was the lead single for Making Mirrors in the US, and Eyes Wide Open is the follow up. So far, it isn't doing too well.

Jul 24, 2012 13:39:41 GMT -5 badrobot said:

Jul 24, 2012 11:19:38 GMT -5 Agent Yoncé said:

I'm stunned as how well 'Whistle' is doing. There's no feature on that track. 2nd Top 10 w/no features attached (all from this era) :o

While you may "officially" be correct since Etta James was not credited on "Good Feeling," I think it's pretty clear that the song's success was largely due to her vocal hook.

I think the reverse works for Club Can't Handle Me, though. While David Guetta was listed as a feature, Flo performed the whole song, and Guetta didn't add anything that other producers don't add to a song. Although "officially", Whistle and Good Feeling are his only solo hits, Whistle and Club Can't Handle Me are in reality his only solo hits.

[freezinggame]

Things aren't looking so good for Dark Side.

[Deleted]

^Dark Side has been rebounding very well as of late actually.

[Peaches. [Ch, r. is]]

Jul 24, 2012 14:23:26 GMT -5 freezinggame said:

Things aren't looking so good for Dark Side.

Don't judge by it's AI. It's gaining spins on HAC but losing AI there.

[nivekwriter1]

Jul 24, 2012 14:14:56 GMT -5 nick64 said:

Jul 24, 2012 13:14:02 GMT -5 nivekwriter1 said:

No, here are the release dates from his singles from the album: 'Making Mirrors'.

1. Eyes Wide Open (5 November 2010)
2. Somebody That I Used To Know (5 July 2011)
3. I Feel Better (24 October 2011)
4. Easy Way Out (27 February 2012)


Here are the peaks from the songs

1. Eyes Wide Open (#96 US - #8 Poland)
2. Somebody That I Used To Know (#1 (8wks) US - #1 (5wks) UK)
3. I Feel Better (Didn't charted in US or UK - #2 Belgium)
4. Easy Way Out (Didn't charted)

I believe those are his UK singles. STIUTK was the lead single for Making Mirrors in the US, and Eyes Wide Open is the follow up. So far, it isn't doing too well.

It aren't the UK releases, but global releases. Only in the US he made STIUTK lead single. I hope he releases a next and succesfull single, because you're right that the other songs aren't doing so well.