Billboard Hot 100: 9/15/12

[nivekwriter1]

I hope that Maroon 5 will be #3. The predictions say yes, but Ellie and Maroon 5 will be a very close call.

[josh]

Ellie will probably have the streaming advantage again, which could put her on top for this week.

This is also the last week going into the Summer Songs chart. Ellie has one last chance to pass Katy on there, I'm not sure who will come out on top.

[HolidayGuy]

Unless "Triumphant (get 'Em)" had notable On-Demand activity, I don't know what would propel it back onto Bubbling Under.

Good that Swift's single wasn't just a one-week wonder.

[Deleted]

Retro Top 10's for this week:

15 years since MC had her 3rd #1 debut


1 year ago (9/17/11)

1 19 Someone Like You - Adele (1st week of 5 @ #1)
2 1 Moves Like Jagger - Maroon 5 ft. Christina Aguilera
3 3 Pumped Up Kicks - Foster The People
4 2 Party Rock Anthem - LMFAO ft. Lauren Bennett & GoonRock
5 6 Super Bass - Nicki Minaj
6 16 You And I - Lady Gaga
7 4 Lighters - Bad Meets Evil ft. Bruno Mars
8 18 You Make Me Feel... - Cobra Starship ft. Sabi
9 9 Give Me Everything - Pitbull ft. Ne-Yo, AfroJack & Nayer
10 5 Last Friday Night (T.G.I.F.) - Katy Perry
***MTV VMA's effect***


5 years ago (9/15/07)

1 2 Crank That (Soulja Boy) - Soulja Boy (1st week of 7 @ #1)
2 3 Stronger - Kanye West
3 1 Big Girls Don't Cry - Fergie
4 4 The Way I Are - Timbaland ft. Keri Hilson & D.O.E.
5 5 Beautiful Girls - Sean Kingston
6 7 Bartender - T-Pain ft. Akon
7 6 Hey There Delilah - Plain White T's
8 11 Rockstar - Nickelback
9 8 Make Me Better - Fabolous ft. Ne-Yo
10 9 Shawty - Plies ft. T-Pain


10 years ago (9/14/02)

1 1 Dilemma - Nelly & Kelly Rowland (5th week of 10 @ #1)
2 4 Gangsta Lovin' - Eve ft. Alicia Keys
3 2 Complicated - Avril Lavigne
4 3 Hot In Herre - Nelly
5 7 Cleanin' Out My Closet - Eminem
6 5 I Need A Girl (Part Two) - P Diddy ft. Ginuwine, Loon, Mario Winans & Tammy Ruggeri
7 6 Just A Friend 2002 - Mario
8 8 Happy - Ashanti
9 14 One Last Breath - Creed
10 9 Just Like A Pill - P!nk


15 years ago (9/13/97)

1 - Honey - Mariah Carey (1st week of 3 @ #1)
2 1 Mo Money Mo Problems - Notorious B.I.G. ft. Puff Daddy & Mase
3 2 Quit Playing Games (With My Heart) - Backstreet Boys
4 5 How Do I Live - LeAnn Rimes
5 4 2 Become 1 - Spice Girls
6 9 You Make Me Wanna... - Usher
7 3 I'll Be Missing You - Puff Daddy ft. Faith Evans & 112
8 6 Semi-Charmed Life - Third Eye Blind
9 7 Barbie Girl - Aqua
10 8 Never Make A Promise - Dru Hill


Hot 100 Airplay from 15 years ago

1 1 Semi-Charmed Life - Third Eye Blind (2nd week of 3 @ #1)
2 2 Men In Black - Will Smith
3 3 Quit Playing Games (With My Heart) - Backstreet Boys

[Deleted]

Sept 4, 2012 11:16:40 GMT -5 @gagalicious said:

1 2 Crank That (Soulja Boy) - Soulja Boy (1st week of 7 @ #1)
2 3 Stronger - Kanye West
3 1 Big Girls Don't Cry - Fergie
4 4 The Way I Are - Timbaland ft. Keri Hilson & D.O.E.
5 5 Beautiful Girls - Sean Kingston
6 7 Bartender - T-Pain ft. Akon
7 6 Hey There Delilah - Plain White T's
8 11 Rockstar - Nickelback
9 8 Make Me Better - Fabolous ft. Ne-Yo
10 9 Shawty - Plies ft. T-Pain

What a good top 10 & flawless #1.

[jgizzle89]

PSY - Gangnam Style: 2.982

YES!!

[alchemy]

Sept 4, 2012 11:36:49 GMT -5 @xiivi said:

Sept 4, 2012 11:16:40 GMT -5 @gagalicious said:

1 2 Crank That (Soulja Boy) - Soulja Boy (1st week of 7 @ #1)
2 3 Stronger - Kanye West
3 1 Big Girls Don't Cry - Fergie
4 4 The Way I Are - Timbaland ft. Keri Hilson & D.O.E.
5 5 Beautiful Girls - Sean Kingston
6 7 Bartender - T-Pain ft. Akon
7 6 Hey There Delilah - Plain White T's
8 11 Rockstar - Nickelback
9 8 Make Me Better - Fabolous ft. Ne-Yo
10 9 Shawty - Plies ft. T-Pain

What a good top 10 & flawless #1.

[nivekwriter1]

WEDNESDAY UPDATE:
TOP 20:

1. ELLIE GOULDING – Lights: 153.643 (+ 0.275)
2. KATY PERRY – Wide Awake: 135.152 (- 1.158)
3. FLO RIDA – Whistle: 121.382 (+ 1.881)
4. PINK – Blow Me (One Last Kiss): 117.699 (+ 1.174)
5. MAROON 5 – Payphone f/Wiz Khalifa: 114.616 (- 1.006)
6. NEON TREES – Everybody Talks: 114.176 (+ 1.296)
7. DAVID GUETTA – Titanium f/Sia: 111.543 (+ 0.556)
8. DEMI LOVATO – Give Your Heart A Break: 109.056 (- 0.035)
9. TAYLOR SWIFT – We Are Never Ever Getting…: 102.711 (+ 1.209)
10. RIHANNA – Where Have You Been: 99.277 (- 1.660)
11. GOTYE – Somebody That I Used To Know: 96.237 (- 0.812)
12. CARLY RAE JEPSEN – Call Me Maybe: 86.944 (- 0.876)
13. CALVIN HARRIS – Let’s Go f/Ne-Yo: 83.064 (- 1.873)
14. MAROON 5 – One More Night: 79.180 (+ 2.028)
15. JUSTIN BIEBER – As Long As You Love Me: 78.523 (+ 2.394)
16. FUN. – Some Nights: 75.305 (+ 1.108)
17. OWL CITY & CARLY RAE JEPSEN – Good Time: 73.637 (+ 1.325)
18. ALEX CLARE – Too Close: 65.936 (+ 0.667)
19. NICKI MINAJ – Pound The Alarm: 64.502 (+ 0.966)
20. KANYE WEST – Mercy f/Big Sean/Pusha T…: 63.484 (- 0.031)

OTHERS:

LITTLE BIG TOWN – Pontoon: 62.768 (+ 0.195)
2 CHAINZ – No Lie f/Drake: 60.785 (- 0.242)
JOSH TURNER – Time Is Love: 58.899 (+ 0.414)
USHER - Scream: 57.732 (- 0.591)
HUNTER HAYES – Wanted: 57.677 (+ 0.619)
CHRIS BROWN – Don’t Wake Me Up: 53.756 (+ 1.235)
KELLY CLARKSON - Stronger (What Doesn't Kill...: 50.408
JASON ALDEAN – Take A Little Ride: 47.940 (+ 0.567)
JASON MRAZ – I Won’t Give Up: 47.652 (+ 0.387)
CARRIE UNDERWOOD – Blown Away: 36.025 (+ 0.268)
NE-YO – Let Me Love You: 33.274 (+ 0.298)
DAVID GUETTA - I Can Only Imagine f/C. Brown: 32.875 (+ 0.742)
TRAIN – 50 Ways To Say Goodbye: 30.584 (+ 0.728)
MATCHBOX TWENTY – She’s So Mean: 29.445 (+ 0.030)
PHILLIP PHILLIPS – Home: 22.981 (+ 0.192)
KARMIN – Hello: 19.459 (+ 0.431)
ENRIQUE IGLESIAS – Finally Found You f/S. Adams: 13.164 (+ 0.799)
MUMFORD & SONS – I Will Wait: 11.337 (+ 0.006)
OLLY MURS - Heart Skips A Beat: 11.335
MUSE – Madness: 9.627 (- 0.002)
KILLERS – Runaways: 7.954 (- 0.002)
ONEREPUBLIC – Feel Again: 7.946 (+ 0.494)
MARIAH CAREY – Triumphant (Get 'Em) f/R. Ross: 5.215 (+ 0.046)
ALICIA KEYS - Girl On Fire: 4.271 (+ 4.093)
PSY - Gangnam Style: 3.324 (+ 0.342)
RIHANNA - Cockiness (I Love It): 0.392

FINAL predictions will come soon.

[#LisaRinna]

Sept 4, 2012 7:24:16 GMT -5 nivekwriter1 said:

TUESDAY UPDATE:
MARIAH CAREY – Triumphant (Get 'Em) f/R. Ross: 5.169 (- 0.266)

Sept 5, 2012 7:02:16 GMT -5 nivekwriter1 said:

WEDNESDAY UPDATE:
MARIAH CAREY – Triumphant (Get 'Em) f/R. Ross: 5.215 (- 0.266)

It should be:
MARIAH CAREY – Triumphant (Get 'Em) f/R. Ross: 5.215 (+0.046)

[when the pawn...]

Taylor, Justin, M5 and fun. need to hurry up. This chart is boring.

[nivekwriter1]

Billboard prediction 9/15/2012 FINAL PREDICTIONS

Here's a prediction of the Billboard chart.
It's made with the iTunes data and airplay data.
I tried the prediction on three weeks and only had 2 small mistakes in the top 10 in all the 3 weeks.

# / artist / song / total points this week / how much extra or less points did todays update had than yesterday

1. Taylor Swift - We Are Never Getting Back Together: 991.81 (+ 0.67)
2. Flo Rida - Whistle: 816.19 (+ 1.08)
3. Maroon 5 - One More Night: 738.45 (+ 1.22)
4. Ellie Goulding - Lights: 729.08 (+ 0.84)
5. Katy Perry - Wide Awake: 681.45 (- 8.25)
6. Neon Trees - Everybody Talks: 677.81 (+ 0.71)
7. Fun. - Some Nights: 674.38 (+ 0.63)
8. Maroon 5 ft. Wiz Khalifa - Payphone: 610.54 (- 2.22)
9. P!nk - Blow Me (One Last Kiss): 607.40 (+ 1.18)
10. David Guetta ft. Sia - Titanium: 476.71 (+ 1.79)
11. Owl City & Carly Rae Jepsen - Good Time: 571.79 (- 2.79)
12. Carly Rae Jepsen - Call Me Maybe: 568.88 (- 1.92)
13. Justin Bieber - As Long As You Love Me: 555.77 (- 1.03)
14. Demi Lovato - Give Your Heart A Break: 532.66 (+ 1.53)
15. Gotye ft. Kimbra - Somebody That I Used To Know: 495.87 (- 0.65)
16. Rihanna - Where Have You Been: 481.66 (- 1.59)
17. Alex Clare - Too Close: 462.57 (+ 3.60)
18. Cher Lloyd - Want U Back: 437.11 (- 0.53)
19. Little Big Town - Pontoon: 434.4 (- 1.39)
20. Calvin Harris ft. Ne-Yo - Let's Go: 432.89 (- 1.02)

Debuts, High rises and popular songs outside top 20:

21. Nicki Minaj - Pound The Alarm: 395.97 (+ 2.28)
22. Jason Mraz - I Won't Give Up: 383.83 (+ 2.43)
23. Hunter Hayes - Wanted: 377.57 (+ 3.61)
26. Chris Brown - Don't Wake Me Up: 333.56 (+ 4.90)
31. Train - 50 Ways To Say Goodbye: 278.59 (+ 1.14)[/b]
35. Ne-Yo - Let Me Love You: 199.19 (- 0.30)
36. David Guetta ft. Chris Brown & Lil Wayne I Can Only Imagine: 174.38 (+ 2.70)
38. One Republic - Feel Again: 157.55 (+ 0.31)

Bottom 50:

Eastan Corbin - Lovin' You Is Fun: 149.57 (+ 0.20)
Lupe Fiasco & Guy Sebastian - Battle Scars: 131.43(+ 1.11)
Muse - Madness: 82.57 (+ 1.33)
Karmin - Hello: 73.07 (+ 0.35)
Enrique Iglesias ft. S. Adams - Finally Found You: 45.30 (+ 0.51)

Bubbling Under

Beyoncé - Dance For You: 32.29 (+ 0.25)
Mariah Carey ft. Meek Milk & Rick Ross - Triumphant: 21.56 (- 0.18)
Alicia Keys - Girl On Fire: 20.24 (+ 18.58)
Green Day - Overjoyed: 9.45

[Adonis the DemiGod!]

Is this the first time Mariah had ever had a first single not chart on the HOT 100 at all?

[Lozzy]

Sept 5, 2012 9:34:52 GMT -5 Adonis the DemiGod! said:

Is this the first time Mariah had ever had a first single not chart on the HOT 100 at all?

I believe so, unless "Sweetheart" counts as a first single.

[NeRD]

RIHANNA - Cockiness (I Love It): 0.392

It's starting. :)

[cesarams]

Over on the Digital Songs chart, Taylor Swift rules for a third week at No. 1 with "We Are Never Ever Getting Back Together," selling another 253,000 downloads (down 17%). Maroon 5's "One More Night" holds at No. 2 (193,000; down 1%) and fun.'s "Some Nights" rises one rung to No. 3 (163,000; down 4%).

CMA Awards: Taylor Swift, Blake Shelton Score Nominations

Flo Rida's "Whistle" drops 3-4 (161,000; down 10%), Owl City and Carly Rae Jepsen's "Good Time" is steady at No. 5 (125,000; down 13%) and Phillip Phillips' "Home" jumps 8-6 (115,000; up 6%).

Justin Bieber's "As Long As You Love Me" (featuring Big Sean) drops one slot to No. 7 (115,000; down 12%), Neon Trees' "Everybody Talks" rises 10-8 (102,000; up 3%) and Cher Lloyd's "Want U Back" is a non-mover at No. 9 (101,000; down 6%).

Jepsen's "Call Me Maybe" rounds out the top 10, sliding down three notches to No. 10 (98,000; down 6%).

Digital track sales this past week totaled 22.59 million downloads, down 4% compared with last week (23.51 million) and up 1% stacked next to the comparable week of 2011 (22.43 million). Year-to-date track sales are at 916.31 million, up 6% compared with the same total at this point last year (868.33 million).

Read more at www.billboard.com/news#PKycCEwgfmVK4muK.99

[cesarams]

Predictions:
1- We Are Never Ever Getting Back Together-Taylor Swift
2- Whistle-Flo Rida
3- One More Night-Maroon 5
4- Lights-Ellie Goulding
5- Some Nights-fun.
6- Everybody Talks-Neon Trees
7- Wide Awake-Katy Perry
8- Good Time-Owl City & Carly Rae Jepsen
9- Payphone-Maroon 5 ft. Wiz Khalifa
10- Blow Me(One Last Kiss)-P!nk

[icefire9]

We Are Never Ever...- Down 17%
One More Night- Down 1%
Some Nights- Down 4%
Whistle- Down 10%
Good Time- Down 15%
Home- Up 6%
As Long As You Love Me- Down 12%
Everybody Talks- Up 3%
Want U Back- Down 6%
Call Me Maybe- Down 6%

Nearly every song in the top 10 is decreasing in sales.

[Rhythm Nation]

I don't have iTunes access... What are Taylor's chances of a 4th week?
Looks like it will have a run similar to Born This Way?

[popstop]

With The Voice coming back next week, I have to think "One More Night" has an excellent chance at #1 in a couple weeks.

[cesarams]

Flo Rida's 'Whistle' Returns to No. 1 on Hot 100
by Gary Trust, N.Y. | September 05, 2012 2:20 EDT
Comments 0
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The song spends a second week on top, knocking Taylor Swift's 'We Are Never...' down to No. 2 after two weeks.

Flo Rida's "Whistle" returns to the top of the Billboard Hot 100 for a second week at No. 1, pushing Taylor Swift's "We Are Never Ever Getting Back Together" down to No. 2 after two weeks in charge.

After first leading the Hot 100 three weeks ago, "Whistle" returns to the top perch, fueled by a 5-3 rise on Radio Songs (89 million, up 10%, according to Nielsen BDS). It slips 3-4 on Digital Songs (161,000, down 10%, according to Nielsen SoundScan) and holds at No. 2 on On-Demand Songs (751,000 on-demand streams, down 3%, according to BDS).

"Whistle" wins a close race with Swift's "Never," as the former song decreases by just 1% in overall Hot 100 points and the latter slides by 11%. Once again, sales for "Never" drop, while the song's radio airplay continues to surge. "Never" spends a third week at No. 1 on Digital Songs with 253,000 downloads sold (down 18%). Despite its downturn, "Never" passes a million sold since its release (1.2 million). On Radio Songs, "Never" bounds 13-10 (71 million, up 6%) in its fourth week. The ascent to the Radio Songs top 10 marks Swift's fastest, besting her five-week climb with "Mine," the lead single from her last studio album, "Speak Now," in 2010. "Never," Swift's fifth Radio Songs top 10, previews her fourth studio set, "Red," due Oct. 22.

Taylor Swift vs. Carrie Underwood:
Who's Country's Chart Queen?

With the Hot 100 points gap between "Whistle" and "Never" slim, streaming helps decide the winner. While "Whistle" ranks at No. 2 on On-Demand Songs, "Never" has not yet been made available to on-demand streaming services that also contribute to the Hot 100's data sources. Thus, it does not yet rank on the On-Demand Songs streaming chart.

Maroon 5's "One More Night" lifts 4-3 on the Hot 100 with the chart's top Airplay and Streaming Gainer awards, as it pushes 16-13 on Radio Songs (61 million, up 22%) and 19-11 on On-Demand Songs (516,000, up 25%). Having been the Hot 100's top Digital Gainer the previous three weeks, "Night" has won a combination of the three badges in each of the last five frames. On Digital Songs, it spends a second week at No. 2 (193,000, down 1%) and passes a million in sales to-date.

Ellie Goulding's No. 2-peaking "Lights" dims 3-4 on the Hot 100, while fun.'s "Some Nights" again bullets at No. 5 with gains on Radio Songs (14-17; 55 million, up 7%) and On-Demand Songs (4-3; 751,000, up 2%). On Digital Songs, it rises 4-3 (163,000, down 4%).



Neon Trees boast the Hot 100's lone new top 10 entry, as "Everybody Talks" soars 11-6 to become their first top 10 on the survey. After reaching No. 7 on Alternative Songs in April, the track has steadily won support at pop and adult radio, this week crowning Adult Pop Songs (2-1) and rising 8-7 on Pop Songs. "Everybody" advances 9-5 on Radio Songs (82 million, up 9%), 10-8 on Digital Songs (102,000, up 3%) and 17-15 on On-Demand Songs (456,000, up 6%).

Neon Trees had previously approached the Hot 100's top 10 with its introductory hit, "Animal," which reached No. 13 in November 2010.

Katy Perry's No. 2 hit "Wide Awake" remains at No. 7 on the Hot 100, while Owl City and Carly Rae Jepsen's "Good Time" inches from No. 9 to a new peak at No. 8, powered by gains in airplay (up 9% to 56 million) and on-demand streaming (up 5% to 537,000).

Justin Bieber's "As Long as You Love Me," featuring Big Sean, rises 10-9 on the Hot 100, climbing 9-6 on On-Demand Songs (630,000, up 6%) and 17-15 on Radio Songs (58 million, up 18%). Although it declines by 12% in sales to 115,000 (dipping 6-7 on Digital Songs), "Long" pushes past a million in downloads sold to-date.

Jepsen's former nine-week Hot 100 No. 1 "Call Me Maybe" rounds out the Hot 100's top 10, dropping 6-10. Having spent the past 11 weeks atop Billboard's Songs of the Summer chart, presented by Pepsi, can the song claim the coveted title of the top summer song of 2012? Check Billboard.com tomorrow (Sept. 6) when the season's final ranking will be revealed.

Also visit Billboard.com tomorrow for all rankings, including the Hot 100 and On-Demand Songs in their entirety and Digital Songs and Radio Songs, which will be refreshed, as they are each Thursday.

Read more at www.billboard.com/news#BqY4UWUDZsmZKLBh.99

[Deleted]

Unexpected, but awesome, turn events for the #1 spot!

[josh]

Wow that was a (pleasant) surprise!

Dumb move not to have Taylor's song on streaming; it cost her another week at #1.

[fridayteenage]

Ughhhhhhhhhhhhh. Ughhhhhhhh. Stupid streaming rule.

Seriously, are the people on this forum a fan of that generic "Give me a blow job" song?

[Deleted]

Whaaaat? Whistle is selling less than 2/3 of Taylor, and only 18 mill ahead in airplay. Do these numbers work with the hypothetical formulas?

[Deleted]

Sept 5, 2012 13:29:52 GMT -5 fridayteenage said:

Seriously, are the people on this forum a fan of that generic "Give me a blow job" song?

It's one of the best releases this year easily for me.

[icefire9]

I have no sympathy for Taylor. They didn't release the song on streaming. Thats what they get for ignoring one of the chart's big three formats.

[icefire9]

Glad to see Everybody talks in the top 10! Yet another Alternative crossover that is now seeing mainstream sucess.

[josh]

Sept 5, 2012 13:41:04 GMT -5 icefire9 said:

I have no sympathy for Taylor. They didn't release the song on streaming. Thats what they get for ignoring one of the chart's big three formats.

I have no sympathy for the label. Since it probably wasn't her decision.

[Fat Ass Kelly Price]

Lbr, both songs are quite crap. Whistle is at least catchy and not as annoying.

[Agent Yoncé]

Well, she met my predictions [2wks at #1]. Lol. I wonder if she'll have a chance to go back.