Billboard Hot 100 : 9/21/2013

[icefire9]

Sept 11, 2013 16:53:57 GMT -5 KeepDeanWeird said:

Sept 11, 2013 16:03:21 GMT -5 icefire9 said:

Though conversely, Roar is #1 on Amazon while Wrecking Ball isn't even in the top 100.

Huh? WB is #4 on Amazon digital chart. It was in top 10 yesterday as well. So not sure what your point is.

You're right. This is kind of embarrassing.

[Kris]

Sept 11, 2013 17:41:34 GMT -5 Rocky said:

Sept 11, 2013 15:36:33 GMT -5 Kris said:

Harlem Shake was competing against a song that was beginning to peak in airplay and sales and streaming were dropping. 

Totally inaccurate. "Thrift Shop" peaked in sales THE week "Harlem Shake" bowed at #1 with 412,000 downloads (up 6%), reached #1 on Hot 100 Airplay 3 WEEKS after, reached it's peak on the on-demand chart that week and the week after March 2, and posted high streaming numbers for a longer period (reached #1 in May there).

So "Harlem Shake" won over the massive hit "Thrift Shop"s biggest week. And it wasn't peaking already, and didn't start to fall hard on neither component.

I see, I guess I just remember it wrong then. Either way though, what has more points, and what will the point differential be? Thrift Shop in that week vs Harlem Shake or Roar and Wrecking Ball next week? (I don't remember what TS peaked in airplay, I just thought I remember it beginning to peak in that time period.)

[Rocky]

^ My point was just that "Roar" will have less points than "Thrift Shop" so it doesn't need a "Harlem Shake" to push it down to #2. That's it.

Roar vs. TS
Airplay: around the same numbers with a slight advantage for "Roar" if I recall correctly
Streaming: TS had around 10M and Katy will have less than 6M.
Sales: "Thrift Shop" 412,000 vs. "Roar" ~325,000

Miley can go #1 if she sells 40% more than Katy and get around 14M streams which it will for sure.

[surreallife]

If "Wrecking Ball" sells 500K+ and has 20+M streams then it should oust "Roar" from the #1 spot next week.

Even using conservative weightings of 12:1 for sales and 500:1 for streams, "Wrecking Ball" would receive 82,000 chart points if it sold 500,000 downloads and was streamed 20M times (the video was streamed 19.3M across all countries the first day). If "Roar" sells 360,000 downloads and has 165M audience impressions, it would have 52,000 chart points (using 7,500:1 airplay weighting). It would need 30,000 chart points from streaming or 15M streams. And I have not factored any airplay "Wrecking Ball" may get by end of Tuesday.

[icefire9]

Sept 11, 2013 18:35:21 GMT -5 Rocky said:

^ My point was just that "Roar" will have less points than "Thrift Shop" so it doesn't need a "Harlem Shake" to push it down to #2. That's it.

Roar vs. TS
Airplay: around the same numbers with a slight advantage for "Roar" if I recall correctly
Streaming: TS had around 10M and Katy will have less than 6M.
Sales: "Thrift Shop" 412,000 vs. "Roar" ~325,000

Miley can go #1 if she sells 40% more than Katy and get around 14M streams which it will for sure.

Roar had 12M streams this week, up 33% from last week. I doubt it would be less than 6M in streaming next week.

Regardless, Wrecking Ball's selling at about 40% more than Roar right now, so it should be interesting.

[Wrecking Ball]

I'd say Wrecking Ball is almost outselling Roar 2:1 right now. Wrecking ball has a second version at 60 and aren't Katy's sales inflated because of the Pepsi thing??

I think Miley could get something like 25 million in streaming because the video very likely could reach 100 million by Sunday night(it's at 51 million)

[jayhawk1117]

This top hot 100 confirms
Roar will have have competition in 2-3 weeks
Royals peaking at 2 or getting 1-3 weeks at number one
Never count out a song(Summertime Sadness)
Applause staying around the 6-8 region
And
Wrecking Ball may be mileys number one

[TylerG11]

Wrecking Ball should come close to #1 next week, if not it's a DEFINITE 2. Not to mention Britney's new single will come out on Monday. More competition in 2 weeks!

[Deleted]

Is The Fox available as a single? It doesn't appear that way (at least on iTunes and Amazon)

Probably the first top 40-level single in a while to chart based on zero sales and probably the first ever to chart without sales or airplay

[velaxti]

Sept 11, 2013 21:48:30 GMT -5 @2m said:

Is The Fox available as a single? It doesn't appear that way (at least on iTunes and Amazon)

Probably the first top 40-level single in a while to chart based on zero sales and probably the first ever to chart without sales or airplay

Probably. Although not long ago I'm Out by Ciara debuted at #50 with zero sales and tiny airplay.

UOENO also managed top 20 with about 15 million AI and without being top 100 on iTunes I think.

[KeepDeanWeird]

WB only drops to 22 this week, which is not bad considering the lack of airplay, the overall drop in sales - so audio vid and streaming, must've made up difference. As a result, next week is REALLY looking good for WB's chances at #1.

[HolidayGuy]

music.yahoo.com/blogs/chart-watch/week-ending-sept-8-2013-songs-race-r-203208472.html

Week Ending Sept. 8, 2013. Songs: Race & The R&B Chart
Paul Grein Chart Watch - Sept. 11, 2013

The lead artist on the #1 hit on Billboard's Hot R&B/Hip-Hop Songs chart is white. And here's the amazing part: That has been the case for 35 consecutive weeks. "Blurred Lines" by Robin Thicke featuring T.I. + Pharrell tops the R&B/Hip-Hop chart for the 14th week. Immediately before Thicke took over the top spot, Macklemore & Ryan Lewis had back-to-back #1 hits on this chart: "Thrift Shop" (featuring Wanz) for 14 weeks and "Can’t Hold Us" (featuring Ray Dalton) for seven weeks.

This is an unintended consequence of a change in Billboard’s chart methodology for various genres, such as R&B and country. Those charts used to be configured separately from the Hot 100. But now, the R&B and country charts are simply subsets of the Hot 100. The highest-ranking R&B or hip-hop hit on the Hot 100 is #1 on the Hot R&B/Hip-Hop chart. It’s as simple as that.

It didn’t use to be this way. "One Sweet Day" by Mariah Carey & Boyz II Men logged 16 weeks at #1 on the Hot 100 in 1995-1996, longer than any other song since 1955. But, you may be surprised to learn, it never reached #1 on Hot R&B Singles. It logged nine weeks at #2. For seven of those nine weeks, the #1 R&B hit was Whitney Houston’s "Exhale (Shoop Shoop)."

At "pop," though, it was a different story. Houston’s record debuted at #1 and then spent 11 weeks stuck at #2 behind "One Sweet Day." So "One Sweet Day" was a bigger pop record, but “Exhale” was a bigger R&B record.

It worked the other way, too. Some songs did better on the R&B charts than their pop chart success would indicate.

Robin Thicke’s "Lost Without U" spent 11 weeks at #1 on the R&B chart in 2007, but stalled at #14 on the Hot 100. Alicia Keys’ "Un-Thinkable (I’m Ready)" topped the R&B chart for 12 weeks in 2010. On the Hot 100, it peaked at #21. Maxwell’s "Pretty Wings" topped the R&B chart for 14 weeks in 2009. On the Hot 100, it peaked at #33.

As you can see, before the chart methodology change, the charts told two stories—the pop story and the R&B story. There was often a high degree of overlap, but sometimes, as these examples show, there were differences. Now, the charts tell just one story. This is change, but is it progress?

The R&B chart originated in Billboard in October 1942 as Harlem Hit Parade. White artists have had hits on the R&B charts in most eras, just not to the point of locking up the #1 spot for nearly nine months.

"Blurred Lines" holds at #2 on the Hot 100 following a 12-week run at #1. It's #1 on the Radio Songs chart (which measures radio airplay across all genres) for the 10th week. That's the longest run at #1 since "We Found Love" by Rihanna featuring Calvin Harris logged 12 weeks on top nearly two years ago.

Katy Perry’s "Roar" holds at #1 on the Hot 100 and debuts at #1 on the U.K.’s Official Singles Chart. It’s her fourth song to hit the top spot in both the U.S. and the U.K. Only two other female artists in chart history have had four or more transatlantic #1 hits. Rihanna leads with six. Madonna has had five.

Perry’s four songs to reach #1 in both countries are "I Kissed A Girl," "California Gurls" (featuring Snoop Dogg), "Part Of Me" and now "Roar."

Rihanna’s six are "Umbrella" (featuring Jay-Z), "Take A Bow," "Only Girl (In The World)," "What’s My Name?" (featuring Drake), "We Found Love" (featuring Calvin Harris) and Diamonds."

Madonna’s five are "Papa Don’t Preach," "Who’s That Girl," "Like A Prayer," "Vogue" and "Music."

In case you’re wondering, Whitney Houston is next in line with three transatlantic #1 hits: "Saving All My Love For You," "I Wanna Dance With Somebody (Who Loves Me)" and "I Will Always Love You."

Lorde's "Royals" leaps from #8 to #3. It's the breakthrough hit by the 16-year old New Zealander. You can count on hearing Lorde perform the evocative ballad on the Grammy Awards on Jan. 26, where it is likely to be nominated for Record of the Year and Song of the Year and she for Best New Artist. "Royals" is #1 on the Alternative Songs airplay chart for the fifth week, which ties Alanis Morissette's "You Oughta Know" from 1995 for the longest run at #1 by a female solo artist.

"Holy Grail" by Jay-Z featuring Justin Timberlake jumps from #5 to #4, which is its highest ranking to date. The song has now climbed as high as Michael Jackson’s "Thriller," which gets a shout-out in the song. That hit, the seventh top 10 hit from Jackson’s blockbuster album of the same name, reached #4 in March 1984.

Avicii’s "Wake Me Up!" jumps from #7 to #5. It jumps to #1 on Dance/Electronic Songs, displacing Lady Gaga's "Applause." "Wake Me Up!" tops the 1 million mark in digital sales this week. It’s Avicii’s second million-seller. "Levels" has sold 1,463,000 copies.

"Summertime Sadness" by Lana Del Rey & Cedric Gervais rebounds from #10 to #6. The song tops the 1 million mark in digital sales this week. It’s Del Rey’s first million-seller. "Young And Beautiful," her hit from The Great Gatsby soundtrack, has sold 788K copies. (That song, which peaked at #22 earlier this year, rebounds from #66 to #57 in its 18th week.)

Lady Gaga’s "Applause" dips from #6 to #7 in its fourth week. Here's some better news for Gaga fans: Gaga’s 2009 smash "Poker Face" becomes the seventh song to reach the 7 million mark in digital sales. It’s just the third song by a female solo artist to achieve this feat, following Adele’s "Rolling In The Deep" (7,984,000) and Carly Rae Jepsen’s "Call Me Maybe" (7,223,000). "Poker Face" hit #1 in the spring of 2009. It received Grammy nominations for Record and Song of the Year.

Drake lands his 13th top 10 hit in a little more than four years as "Hold On, We’re Going Home" (featuring Majid Jordan) jumps from #12 to #8 in its fifth week. Drake first cracked the top 10 in June 2009 with "Best I Ever Had."

Eminem's "Berzerk" drops from #3 to #10 in its second week. The song borrows the key riff from Billy Squier's 1981 hit "The Stroke." That song peaked at #17 on the Hot 100 in August 1981—two months before young Marshall Mathers turned nine.

Here's the low-down on this week's top 10 songs.

The Top Five: Katy Perry’s holds at #1 for the second week in its fifth week on the chart. This is its fourth week in the top 10. Digital sales rank: #1 (373K)…"Blurred Lines" by Robin Thicke featuring T.I. + Pharrell holds at #2 for the second week in its 21st week on the chart. This is its 15th week in the top 10. Digital sales rank: #5 (168K)… Lorde’s "Royals" jumps from #8 to #3 in its 10th week on the chart. This is its second week in the top 10. Digital sales rank: #2 (225K)…"Holy Grail" by Jay Z featuring Justin Timberlake jumps from #5 to #4 in its ninth week on the chart. It has been in the top 10 the entire time. Digital sales rank: #7 (159K)… Avicii’s "Wake Me Up!" jumps from #7 to #5 in its 11th week on the chart. This is its third week in the top 10. Digital sales rank: #3 (197K).

The Second Five: "Summertime Sadness" by Lana Del Rey & Cedric Gervais leaps from #10 to #6 in its ninth week on the chart. This is its third week in the top 10. Digital sales rank: #8 (127K)…Lady Gaga’s "Applause" dips from #6 to #7 in its fourth week on the chart. It has been in the top 10 the entire time. Digital sales rank: #6 (160K)… "Hold On, We’re Going Home" by Drake featuring Majid Jordan jumps from #12 to #8 in its fifth week on the chart. It's Drake's 13th top 10 hit; Jordan's first. Digital sales rank: #9 (127K)…Capital Cities' "Safe And Sound" rebounds from #11 to #9 in its 19th week on the chart. The song has climbed as high as #8. This is its fifth week in the top 10. Digital sales rank: #13 (83K)…Eminem’s "Berzerk" drops from #3 to #10 in its second week on the chart. Digital sales rank: #4 (187K).

Two songs drop out of the top 10 this week. Miley Cyrus’ "We Can’t Stop" drops from #4 to #11. Imagine Dragons’ "Radioactive" drops from #9 to #12. Both songs were pivotal in the artists' careers.

Luke Bryan's "That's My Kind Of Night" rebounds from #22 to #19 in its fourth week. The song has climbed as high as #16. It's #1 on Hot Country Songs for the fourth week. Bryan had never spent more than two weeks on top before, but he's a lot hotter than he used to be and the genre charts are a lot "slower" than they used to be. Winners stay up there forever, it seems.

Miley Cyrus' "Wrecking Ball" drops from #14 to #22 in its third week, but it's expected to make a major turnaround next week. The song took a sledgehammer to One Direction's record for most views across Vevo in a 24-hour period. "Wrecking Ball" received 19.3 million views, far more than the 12.3 million views that "Best Song Ever" received in July. This marks the first time that a song titled "Wrecking Ball" has charted, though Bruce Springsteen had a #1 album by that title in March 2012. "Wrecking Ball" is in the top 10 on Hot Digital Songs for the second week. Digital sales rank: #10 (116K).

AWOLNATION's "Sail" jumps from #27 to #24 in its 53rd week. This is the song's highest ranking to date, which is remarkable for a song beginning its second year on the chart…Ylvis' "The Fox" is the week's top new entry at #29. This is one of those novelty songs that is so unbelievably awful that you have to drop what you're doing to check it out. Will this have the legs that PSY's "Gangham Style" did or will it fade quickly? We'll see.

Jason Aldean lands his fifth top 30 hit as "Night Train" jumps from #35 to #30 in its 10th week…Tyler Farr's "Redneck Crazy" jumps from #43 to #32 in its 15th week…Paramore's "Still Into You" jumps from #48 to #36 in its ninth week…"Crooked Smile" by J. Cole featuring TLC jumps from #44 to #37 in its 12th week…"Love More" by Chris Brown featuring Nicki Minaj jumps from #52 to #39 in its seventh week. This surpasses the #51 peak of their first collabo, "Right By Side" (by Minaj featuring Brown)…OneRepublic's "Counting Stars" jumps from #55 to #41 in its 12th week. The song has climbed as high as #32…Passenger's "Let Her Go" jumps from #63 to #52 in its sixth week…Selena Gomez's "Slow Down" jumps from #81 to #68 in its fifth week. The song has climbed as high as #66…Bastille's "Pompeii" jumps from #88 to #72 in its fourth week. Bad Blood, the first studio album by the British alternative band, enters The Billboard 200 at #11 this week.

Coldplay's "Atlas" is the week's second highest new entry at #75. This is from the upcoming The Hunger Games: Catching Fire soundtrack. Will this song do as well as Taylor Swift's two big hits from the first The Hunger Games soundtrack? "Safe & Sound" (featuring The Civil Wars) has sold 1,628,000 copies. "Eyes Open" has sold 1,281,000 copies. And will "Atlas" receive an Oscar nomination (which Swift's songs did not)? The members of Coldplay wrote "Atlas." If it wins as Best Song, Chris Martin and his wife Gwyneth Paltrow will have his-and-hers Oscars. Am I getting ahead of myself? Sure, but that's half the fun.

Sheryl Crow's "Easy" jumps from #99 to #79 in its seventh week. Crow's first country album, Feels Like Home, is expected to sell about 30K copies in the coming week…"Bounce It" by Juicy J featuring Wale and Trey Songz jumps from #96 to #81 in its second week…"Almost Is Never Enough" by Ariana Grande featuring Nathan Sykes re-enters the chart at #82. "Baby I" re-enters the chart at #94. Both songs are from Yours Truly, which enters The Billboard 200 at #1 this week…Joe Nichols' "Sunny And 75" jumps from #98 to #83 in its second week…"I Luv This Sh*t" by August Alsina featuring Trinidad James debuts at #85…"Popular Song" by Mika featuring Ariana Grande debuts at #87. This is from Mika's third studio album The Origin Of Love, which was released a year ago.

John Legend’s “All Of Me” debuts at #97. It’s from his fourth solo studio album, Love In The Future, which enters The Billboard 200 at #4 this week…"M.A.A.D. City" by Kendrick Lamar featuring MC Eiht re-enters the chart at #98. The song has climbed as high as #94.

Migos' "Versace" debuts at #99. It's one of two songs on the current Hot 100 whose title is the name of a famous fashion designer. Jay Z's "Tom Ford," which jumps from #77 to #74 in its ninth week, is the other…"Act Right" by Yo Gotti featuring Jeezy and YG, debuts at #100. It's from Yo Gotti's second studio album I Am, which is due Nov. 19.

"I Like It" by Enrique Iglesias featuring Pitbull tops the 4 million mark in digital sales this week. The song reached #4 in August 2010. It's Iglesias' first song to reach this sales plateau. "Tonight (I'm Lovin' You)" (featuring Ludacris & DJ Frank E) is up to 3,204,000.

"Power Trip" by J. Cole featuring Miguel tops the 1 million mark in digital sales. It’s J. Cole’s second song as a lead artist to hit this mark. "Work Out" is up to 1,853,000.

[Au$tin]

Sept 11, 2013 17:42:58 GMT -5 RadioBeatz said:

"The Fox" debuts at #29 on the Hot 100:

www.billboard.com/articles/news/5687397/ylvis-viral-hit-the-fox-debuts-on-hot-100

Ick. Go away.

Sept 11, 2013 21:48:30 GMT -5 @2m said:

Is The Fox available as a single? It doesn't appear that way (at least on iTunes and Amazon)

I think it hits iTunes next week.

---

As for "Wrecking Ball" vs. "Roar," I still can't see "Wrecking Ball" getting there. The streaming will be high, yes, but so will "Roar." "Roar" will literally be #2 behind "Wrecking Ball" in streaming and sales, while airplay wise, "Roar" will be miles ahead of "Wrecking Ball." I think 500k for "Wrecking Ball" is just too high of expectations. "Wrecking Ball" is likely to start falling as early as overnight, so I'd say the sales difference between them will be much closer. Say 400k for "Ball" and 315k for "Roar."

Though, I'd love to see "Wrecking Ball" hit #1, I just don't see it happening.

[Wrecking Ball]

Bill Werde tweeted:
adventitious but not infeasible. RT @mileydelfenty: @bwerde could Wrecking Ball sell +600k this week? It's expected +500k

[Adonis the DemiGod!]

WOW! Miley is a lock for #1 radio be damned.

[Rocky]

Sept 11, 2013 22:58:23 GMT -5 Wrecking Ball said:

Bill Werde tweeted:
adventitious but not infeasible. RT @mileydelfenty: @bwerde could Wrecking Ball sell +600k this week? It's expected +500k

[summers]

Sept 10, 2013 15:56:53 GMT -5 lawmak said:

Sept 10, 2013 9:42:39 GMT -5 @gagalicious said:

Top 10 flashbacks for this week:

15 years ago (9/19/98)

1 1 I Don't Want To Miss A Thing - Aerosmith (3rd week of 4 @ #1)
2 2 The First Night - Monica
3 3 Crush - Jennifer Paige
4 4 My Way - Usher
5 5 The Boy Is Mine - Brandy & Monica
6 6 Daydreamin' - Tatyana Ali
7 11 Time After Time - Inoj (who?)
8 10 Lookin' At Me - Mase ft. Puff Daddy
9 7 You're Still The One - Shania Twain
10 12 When The Lights Go Out - Five

I was thinking the same..so I checked it out..she's an R&B singer..the song is a cover of THAT Cyndi Lauper song..it's very poppish..she has a very thin voice..the production is so "late 90's Janet"..I could have pictured Janet Jackson singing this..

I actually remember INOJ  and that cover. God I feel so old...

[Deleted]

This Week Last Week Two Weeks Ago Weeks Title, Artist Peak
1 1 2 5 AG Roar, Katy Perry 1
2 2 1 21 Blurred Lines, Robin Thicke Featuring T.I. + Pharrell 1
3 8 12 10 DG Royals, Lorde 3
4 5 6 9 Holy Grail, Jay Z Featuring Justin Timberlake 4
5 7 7 11 Wake Me Up!, Avicii 5
6 10 9 9 Summertime Sadness, Lana Del Rey & Cedric Gervais 6
7 6 4 4 Applause, Lady Gaga 4
8 12 17 5 Hold On, We're Going Home, Drake Featuring Majid Jordan 8
9 11 8 19 Safe And Sound, Capital Cities 8
10 3 – 2 Berzerk, Eminem 3
11 4 3 14 We Can't Stop, Miley Cyrus 2
12 9 5 54 Radioactive, Imagine Dragons 3
13 17 13 25 Clarity, Zedd Featuring Foxes 8
14 15 10 21 Get Lucky, Daft Punk Featuring Pharrell Williams 2
15 16 11 17 Treasure, Bruno Mars 5
16 18 14 37 Cups (Pitch Perfect's When I'm Gone), Anna Kendrick 6
17 13 15 26 Same Love, Macklemore & Ryan Lewis Featuring Mary Lambert 11
18 21 16 16 Love Somebody, Maroon 5 10
19 22 19 4 That's My Kind Of Night, Luke Bryan 16
20 20 18 7 Best Song Ever, One Direction 2
21 19 21 30 Mirrors, Justin Timberlake 2
22 14 50 3 Wrecking Ball, Miley Cyrus 14
23 24 22 21 I Need Your Love, Calvin Harris Featuring Ellie Goulding 16
24 27 25 53 Sail, AWOLNATION 24
25 23 20 31 Can't Hold Us, Macklemore & Ryan Lewis Featuring Ray Dalton 1
26 26 23 49 Cruise, Florida Georgia Line Featuring Nelly 4
27 28 24 27 Gone, Gone, Gone, Phillip Phillips 24
28 30 30 13 Round Here, Florida Georgia Line 28
29 0 Hot Shot Debut 1 The Fox, Ylvis 29
30 35 33 10 Night Train, Jason Aldean 30
31 25 83 3 Give It 2 U, Robin Thicke Featuring Kendrick Lamar 25
32 43 43 15 Redneck Crazy, Tyler Farr 32
33 36 36 13 It Goes Like This, Thomas Rhett 33
34 31 27 30 Just Give Me A Reason, P!nk Featuring Nate Ruess 1
35 33 29 7 Gas Pedal, Sage The Gemini Featuring IamSu 29
36 48 49 9 Still Into You, Paramore 36
37 44 47 12 Crooked Smile, J. Cole Featuring TLC 37
38 38 48 7 Beware, Big Sean Featuring Lil Wayne & Jhene Aiko 38
39 52 52 7 Love More, Chris Brown Featuring Nicki Minaj 39
40 41 31 13 Brave, Sara Bareilles 31
41 55 54 12 Counting Stars, OneRepublic 32
42 32 26 24 The Way, Ariana Grande Featuring Mac Miller 9
43 49 51 10 Everything Has Changed, Taylor Swift Featuring Ed Sheeran 41
44 29 44 9 Take Back The Night, Justin Timberlake 29
45 40 35 16 Little Bit Of Everything, Keith Urban 33
46 34 32 22 Come & Get It, Selena Gomez 6
47 37 40 49 Thrift Shop, Macklemore & Ryan Lewis Featuring Wanz 1
48 51 56 16 Hey Girl, Billy Currington 48
49 45 39 31 Stay, Rihanna Featuring Mikky Ekko 3
50 39 28 21 The Other Side, Jason Derulo 18
51 54 53 18 All Over The Road, Easton Corbin 51
52 63 62 6 Let Her Go, Passenger 52
53 53 46 20 Body Party, Ciara 22
54 58 60 6 Mine Would Be You, Blake Shelton 54
55 57 57 8 Type Of Way, Rich Homie Quan 55
56 64 64 7 Southern Girl, Tim McGraw 56
57 66 80 18 Young And Beautiful, Lana Del Rey 22
58 46 34 16 Don't Ya, Brett Eldredge 30
59 56 45 18 Runnin' Outta Moonlight, Randy Houser 24
60 65 66 8 Red Nose, Sage The Gemini 54
61 62 63 15 Point At You, Justin Moore 61
62 61 59 6 True Love, P!nk Featuring Lily Allen 59
63 69 70 8 Aw Naw, Chris Young 63
64 73 72 13 Sweater Weather, The Neighbourhood 64
65 68 68 11 Parking Lot Party, Lee Brice 65
66 67 71 13 HeadBand, B.o.B Featuring 2 Chainz 64
67 70 67 10 Feds Watching, 2 Chainz Featuring Pharrell 67
68 81 94 5 Slow Down, Selena Gomez 66
69 59 37 19 See You Again, Carrie Underwood 34
70 71 65 18 Tapout, Rich Gang Featuring Lil Wayne, Birdman, Future, Mack Maine, Nicki Minaj 44
71 74 58 9 Don't Drop That Thun Thun!, The FiNATTiCZ 35
72 88 87 4 Pompeii, Bastille 72
73 76 77 3 Replay, Zendaya 73
74 77 75 9 Tom Ford, Jay Z 39
75 0 New 1 Atlas, Coldplay 75
76 82 86 10 Red, Taylor Swift 6
77 72 69 13 Beneath Your Beautiful, Labrinth Featuring Emeli Sande 34
78 75 61 6 Turn The Night Up, Enrique Iglesias 61
79 99 93 7 Easy, Sheryl Crow 79
80 86 78 3 Darte Un Beso, Prince Royce 78
81 96 – 2 Bounce It, Juicy J Featuring Wale And Trey Songz 81
82 – 84 2 Almost Is Never Enough, Ariana Grande Featuring Nathan Sykes 82
83 98 – 2 Sunny And 75, Joe Nichols 83
84 79 73 12 Ain't Worried About Nothin, French Montana 63
85 0 New 1 I Luv This Sh*t, August Alsina/Trinidad James 85
86 80 81 11 Goodbye Town, Lady Antebellum 80
87 0 New 1 Popular Song, MIKA Featuring Ariana Grande 87
88 60 – 2 Gorilla, Bruno Mars 60
89 90 79 4 Bruises, Train Featuring Ashley Monroe 79
90 84 90 7 When I See This Bar, Kenny Chesney 84
91 95 76 6 Miss Movin' On, Fifth Harmony 76
92 97 100 3 American Girl, Bonnie McKee 92
93 85 91 14 Wop, J. Dash 51
94 – – 2 Baby I, Ariana Grande 21
95 92 92 9 F*ckwithmeyouknowigotit, Jay Z Featuring Rick Ross 64
96 87 – 2 Loco, Enrique Iglesias Featuring Romeo Santos 87
97 0 New 1 All Of Me, John Legend 97
98 – – 2 m.A.A.d City, Kendrick Lamar Featuring MC Eiht 94
99 0 New 1 Versace, Migos 99
100 0 New 1 Act Right, Yo Gotti Featuring Jeezy & YG 100

[Deleted]

Sept 11, 2013 15:36:15 GMT -5 Au$tin said:

Sept 11, 2013 15:34:41 GMT -5 icefire9 said:

Didn't the Harlem Shake have like 4x the streams that Miley is likely to have, though?

Yes, "Harlem Shake" had well over 100 million streams the week it went #1. "Wrecking Ball" won't even come close to that. "Roar" will be #1.

Harlem Shake had a 4x lead though. Miley could potentially edge above Katy if enough of the views are from the US (the VMA's probably raised interest in her there more than other countries). Miley should have around ~120 million by the end of the week. 8,4 million streams are equal to 140 million airplay according to the 12/7500/450 formula, meaning Miley only needs around 20m of those 120m views to be from the US, then she'll be around the same as Katy's radio + streaming total, giving her a chance at number one if their sales are similar. However, currently Roar is 0.56 of Wrecking Ball, meaning she doesn't even need that much. :)

[damazz09]

From the Yahoo Article

1. Roar- #1 for 2 weeks, Top 10 for 4 weeks, 373k
2. Blurred Lines- Top 10 for 15 weeks, 168k
3. Royals- Top 10 for 2 weeks, 225k
4. Holy Grail- Top 10 for 9 weeks, 159k
5. Wake Me Up!- Top 10 for 3 weeks, 197k
6. Summertime Sadness- Top 10 for 3 weeks, 127k
7. Applause- Top 10 for 4 weeks, 160k
8. Hold On, We're Going Home- Top 10 for 1 week, 127k
9. Safe And Sound- Top 10 for 5 weeks, 83k
10. Berzerk- Top 10 for 2 weeks, 187k
11. We Can't Stop
12. Radioactive
19. Luke Bryan "That's My Kind Of Night" #1 on Hot Country Songs for 4 Weeks
22. Miley Cyrus "Wrecking Ball", 116k
24. AWOLNATION "Sail"
29. Ylvis "The Fox"
30. Jason Aldean "Night Train"
32. Tyler Farr "Redneck Crazy"
36. Paramore "Still Into You"
37. J. Cole ft. TLC "Crooked Smile"
39. Chris Brown ft. Nicki Minaj "Love More"
41. OneRepublic "Counting Stars"
52. Passenger "Let Her Go"
68. Selena Gomez "Slow Down"
72. Bastille "Pompeii"
74. Jay-Z "Tom Ford"
75. Coldplay "Atlas"
79. Sheryl Crow "Easy"
81. Juicy J ft. Trey Songz & Wale "Bounce It"
82. Ariana Grande ft. Nathan Sykes "Almost Is Never Enough"
83. Joe Nichols "Sunny And 75"
85. Alsina ft. Trinidad James "I Luv This Sh*t"
87. Mika ft. Ariana Grande "Popular Song"
94. Ariana Grande "Baby I"
97. John Legend "All Of Me"
98. Kendrick Lamar ft. MC Eiht "M.A.A.D. City"
99. Migos "Versace"
100. Yo Gotti ft. Jeezy & YG "Act Right"

Females To Top Both USA Hot 100 & UK Official Singles 3x or More
Rihanna (6)- Umbrella, Take A Bow, Only Girl (In The World), What's My Name, We Found Love, Diamonds
Madonna (5)- Papa Don't Preach, Who's That Girl, Like A Prayer, Vogue, Music
Katy Perry (4)- I Kissed A Girl, California Gurls, Part Of Me, Roar
Whitney Houston (3)- Saving All My Love For You, I Wanna Dance With Somebody (Who Loves Me), I Will Always Love You

Longest #1 on the Radio Songs Chart in 2010's
1. Rihanna ft. Calvin Harris "We Found Love" 12 Weeks
2. Robin Thicke ft. T.I. & Pharrell "Blurred Lines" 10 Weeks


Longest Streak of #1 Songs on Hot R&B/Hip Hop Chart by a White Lead Artist
"Thrift Shop" (14 weeks) followed by "Can't Hold Us" (7 weeks) followed by "Blurred Lines" (14 weeks)
For a total of 35 Weeks

#1 Songs on Hot R&B Singles That Did Not Top Billboard Hot 100
Mariah Carey & Boyz II Men "One Sweet Day" #1 on Billboard Hot 100, 9 weeks at #2 on R&B (exception)
Robin Thicke "Lost Without U" #14 on Billboard Hot 100, 11 weeks at #1 on R&B
Alicia Keys "Un-Thinkable (I'm Ready)" #21 on Billboard Hot 100, 12 weeks at #1 on R&B
Maxwell "Pretty Wings" #33 on Billboard Hot 100, 14 weeks at #1 on R&B

Longest #1 on the Radio Songs Chart in 2010's
1. Rihanna ft. Calvin Harris "We Found Love" 12 Weeks
2. Robin Thicke ft. T.I. & Pharrell "Blurred Lines" 10 Weeks

Longest #1 on Alternative Song Airplay For A Female Artist
1. Alanis Morissette "You Oughta Know" 5 Weeks
2. Lorde "Royals" 5 Weeks

Most Views on Vevo in 24 Hours
1. Miley Cyrus "Wrecking Ball" 19.3 million
2. One Direction "Best Song Ever" 12.3 million

Digital Download Milestones
Lady Gaga "Poker Face" 7 million
Enrique Iglesias ft. Pitbull "I Like It!" 4 million
Avicii "Wake Me Up!" 1 million
Lana Del Ray & Cedric Gervais "Summertime Sadness" 1 million
J. Cole ft. Miguel "Power Trip" 1 million

Female Lead Solo's to Hit 7 million+ Digital Downloads
Adele "Rolling In The Deep" 7.98 million
Carly Rae Jepsen "Call Me Maybe" 7.22 million
Lady Gaga "Poker Face" 7.0+ million

Avicii Digital Download 1 million +
1. Avicii "Levels" 1.5 million
2. Avicii "Wake Me Up!" 1.0+ million

[Adonis the DemiGod!]

Sept 11, 2013 15:36:15 GMT -5 Au$tin said:

Sept 11, 2013 15:34:41 GMT -5 icefire9 said:

Didn't the Harlem Shake have like 4x the streams that Miley is likely to have, though?

Yes, "Harlem Shake" had well over 100 million streams the week it went #1. "Wrecking Ball" won't even come close to that. "Roar" will be #1.

Harlem shake was number one for 5 weeks with 0 airplay. All those weeks the streams werent at 100million and Miley has waaaay more sales than harlem shake. #1 is a given at this point.

[forg]

Great variety in the top 10

[icefire9]

Sept 11, 2013 22:58:23 GMT -5 Wrecking Ball said:

Bill Werde tweeted:
adventitious but not infeasible. RT @mileydelfenty: @bwerde could Wrecking Ball sell +600k this week? It's expected +500k

Wow, if it's feasible for Wrecking Ball to sell 600k, then Roar is toast. Apparently, even Taylor should be nervous for her record with WANEGBT.

What's the highest sales week for a song that's not a debut and wasn't over Christmas?

[Adonis the DemiGod!]

Miley is bigger than Radio!

[Au$tin]

Sept 12, 2013 10:43:22 GMT -5 icefire9 said:

What's the highest sales week for a song that's not a debut and wasn't over Christmas?

"Somebody That I Used to Know" has been the only song to sell over 500k in a week without the help of it being the song's first week in sales or Christmas, so this would be incredibly massive for Miley if she is able to do that.

[areyoureadytojump]

The Top 50 of the Hot 100, Airplay and Digital charts are here:

www1.billboard.biz/bbbiz/photos/pdf/2013/TFMmw0912.pdf

[Glove Slap]

According to kworb, Roar has started to gain a bit on WB.

[when the pawn...]

So is it official? Is Miley 2013's IT Girl?

[brady47]

So Wrecking Ball is going to have the biggest jump to #1 for singles that weren't just released digitally? Adele did it last with Someone Like You from #19 to #1 correct?

[brady47]

Wow, pretty shocked that Wrecking Ball will become Miley's first #1. She missed the spot so many times by monster hits like I Gotta Feeling and Blurred Lines, she deserves it, although Wrecking Ball would be the last single I'd think woulda hit #1.