bigfan101
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Post by bigfan101 on Oct 13, 2014 12:15:03 GMT -5
First post updated with now confirmed performances by Florida Georgia Line, Kacey Musgraves and Eric Church.
EDIT: Also added an area for "expert" predictions on winners from the web. If you find one, just shoot me a link and we will include.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Oct 13, 2014 13:03:52 GMT -5
^I'm glad to hear that Reba had spoken out against the crazy nominations in the past. I especially am glad to hear she supported Carrie in the way she did.
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14887fan
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Post by 14887fan on Oct 13, 2014 15:41:53 GMT -5
Kacey performance! Yay!
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onebuffalo
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Post by onebuffalo on Oct 13, 2014 15:51:08 GMT -5
New song from a new CD? One can only hope.
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leilamaurizia
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Post by leilamaurizia on Oct 13, 2014 23:32:29 GMT -5
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Post by Deleted on Oct 14, 2014 5:10:58 GMT -5
I just love when the commercials come out, sometimes I still watch the old ones. Love em.
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leilamaurizia
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Post by leilamaurizia on Oct 15, 2014 4:00:45 GMT -5
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Post by Deleted on Oct 15, 2014 5:22:23 GMT -5
I've stickied this thread for now. I'll leave it that way until after the show :)
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onebuffalo
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Post by onebuffalo on Oct 15, 2014 8:24:53 GMT -5
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Post by Deleted on Oct 17, 2014 2:49:27 GMT -5
I just realized I haven't made any final predictions. So, here we go:
Entertainer of the Year:
1. Blake Shelton 2. George Strait 3. Keith Urban 4. Luke Bryan 5. Miranda Lambert
A tough category, but I'm going to predict Luke Bryan here. I think his team is pushing pretty hard for it this year and I'm not sure if George's final tour momentum has lasted long enough into 2014 for him to "hang on" and win EOTY a 2nd year in a row. I would not be surprised at all if George did win, but I'm giving a slight edge to Luke Bryan. Blake and Keith are both dark horses for me. I think Miranda is least likely to win.
Male Vocalist:
1. Blake Shelton 2. Dierks Bentley 3. Eric Church 4. Keith Urban 5. Luke Bryan
If Blake wins it this year, that'll be 5 years in a row, and he'll match Vince Gill's record (Vince won it each year from 91-95). There's really no reason for the CMA to not award Blake here--it's not like he's cooled off much at all--and yet I feel that they will move on to someone else just because. Dierks certainly had a big year, but he's still not "big enough" in terms of overall starpower. Keith won the award 3 years in a row from 2004-2006, and neither Eric nor Luke has ever won it. I'm going to go with my gut and predict a new winner here: Eric Church
Female Vocalist:
1. Carrie Underwood 2. Kacey Musgraves 3. Martina McBride 4. Miranda Lambert 5. Taylor Swift
Miranda tied Reba for the record last year...will Miranda set a new record with her 5th trophy in a row? Maybe. I'm not saying she's not deserving, but I think the CMA might be ready to move on because, well, that's just what they've always done...after a while, anyway. And Miranda's reign has lasted a long time already. Perhaps the one thing that could enable Miranda to win again (when normally, after 4 wins in a row, I think the CMA would be ready to move on) is a lack of competition, given the dearth of successful females at the format right now. Kacey's radio success has been middling so far, Taylor is virtually eliminated via her move to pop, and Martina has no chance given that she's had no hit single and has no major label backing. Carrie's "See You Again" peaked in August 2013 and after that she was relatively quiet for much of the year, at least at radio. With that said, though, I think she has a chance. So I am going to predict Carrie Underwood here, just barely edging both Miranda and Kacey (I'll probably be wrong but oh well...I just have a hunch the CMA will be hesitant to give Miranda her 5th in a row here even though she's as popular as ever).
Duo of the Year:
1. Dan + Shay 2. Florida Georgia Line 3. Love and Theft 4. The Swon Brothers 5. Thompson Square
This is, for me, really the only category that isn't in doubt. Florida Georgia Line is the only one of these duos that has had a significantly huge year. Love and Theft couldn't crack the top 30 and then got dropped from their label as a result; Dan + Shay have done decently well but not nearly well enough; Thompson Square's momentum curtailed big time; and The Swon Brothers have sold hardly any singles or albums. Thus, Florida Georgia Line should be the easy winner here.
Group of the Year:
1. Eli Young Band 2. Lady Antebellum 3. Little Big Town 4. The Band Perry 5. Zac Brown Band
This is a tough one to predict, mostly because each of these groups has really cooled off compared to their previous album cycles. Eli Young Band's "Dust" labored just to make the top 15, Lady A's album sales have declined significantly, The Band Perry's sales (singles & album) saw a sharp downturn, and Zac Brown Band hasn't had too big of a year. Little Big Town had a couple of singles chart lower before returning to the top 10 with "Day Drinking", and while I think their upcoming album might sell fairly well, it'll be released too late to help with the voting. One variable to consider is that the Zac Brown Band now has some major label partners (Universal/Big Machine) that could help swing some votes their way.
I'm going to give a slight edge to Lady Antebellum, mostly because "Bartender" has been the biggest hit when compared to the other nominees' singles. Realistically this is probably a 4-horse race...the only group I don't see winning is the Eli Young Band.
Album of the Year:
1. Crash My Party - Luke Bryan 2. Fuse - Keith Urban 3. Platinum - Miranda Lambert 4. Riser - Dierks Bentley 5. The Outsiders - Eric Church
Oofta...what a tough category to predict. Luke has the sales but not really the critical acclaim. Eric and Miranda have a mix of both, while both Fuse and Riser have been met with relatively strong reviews despite somewhat lower sales numbers. This is a toss-up to me between Miranda and Eric, and I'm just going to give the edge to Eric Church (and I really don't know why).
New Artist of the Year:
1. Brandy Clark 2. Brett Eldredge 3. Cole Swindell 4. Kip Moore 5. Thomas Rhett
This is another tough category. First thing's first--it's great to see Brandy Clark get some recognition here, but I think she's the least likely to win. I can honestly see any of the 4 guys winning it. Up until recently I didn't think Kip Moore had much of a chance due to his huge loss of momentum this year, but "Hey Pretty Girl" was a big hit last summer, and his team has put out an ad that makes a very strong case for him. I'm going to give the edge to Brett Eldredge, but I could see Kip taking it, even though most of his success came in 2012 and 2013.
Single of the Year:
1. "Automatic" - Miranda Lambert 2. "Mine Would Be You" - Blake Shelton 3. "Drunk On A Plane" - Dierks Bentley 4. "Give Me Back My Hometown" - Eric Church 5. "Meanwhile Back At Mama's" - Tim McGraw f/ Faith Hill
This is another tough one to predict, but I'm going to go with Dierks' "Drunk On A Plane", and here's why: the last 4 winners in this category have all been mega-hits..."Cruise" in 2013, "Pontoon" in 2012, "If I Die Young" in 2011, and "Need You Now" in 2010. I don't think any of this year's 5 nominated songs was quite as big as any of the recent winners, but DOAP feels like the biggest hit out of the 5 nominees. Honorable mention goes to Tim and Eric, and also Miranda because, well, she's Miranda.
Song of the Year:
1. "Automatic" | Written by Miranda Lambert, Natalie Hemby, and Nicolle Galyon 2. "I Don't Dance" | Written by Lee Brice, Dallas Davidson, and Rob Hatch 3. "Follow Your Arrow" | Written by Kacey Musgraves, Shane McAnally, and Brandy Clark 4. "Give Me Back My Hometown" | Written by Eric Church and Luke Laird 5. "I Hold On" | Written by Dierks Bentley and Brett James
Hmm...this one's super tough as well! The last 4 winners were "I Drive Your Truck", "Over You", "If I Die Young", and "The House That Built Me"...CMA voters seem to like rewarding the more thoughtful songs in this category. As much as I'd love to see "Follow Your Arrow" pick up the win, I don't think enough of the country industry is ready to make that kind of 'statement', so to speak. Even if I did think FYA had a good chance, I don't know that I'd consider it the front-runner. Thus, it's really hard to pick here. I'll go with Eric's "Give Me Back My Hometown" here, and I don't really know why (funny, I said that when I picked Eric for Album as well). Basically I think their chances are all pretty even in my book, but if Miranda edges Eric for the Album win, then perhaps Eric's chances go up here? Idk (and yes, I know I predicted Eric--not Miranda--for both Album and Song...I almost went with "I Hold On" here but I feel like "Drunk On A Plane" will win Single and I don't know if I see Dierks getting both Single and Song, with 2 separate songs. All kinds of possibilities!)
Video of the Year:
1. "Automatic" 2. "Drunk On A Plane" 3. "Follow Your Arrow" 4. "Bartender" 5. "Somethin' Bad"
This could really go to any of these videos...each song was a big hit and each of them has very visual videos. I feel like Dierks and Miranda/Carrie have the best chance, though, so I'll go with Miranda & Carrie - "Somethin' Bad".
Musical Event of the Year:
1. "Meanwhile Back At Mama's" - Tim McGraw f/ Faith Hill 2. "Bakersfield" - Vince Gill & Paul Franklin 3. "Somethin' Bad" - Miranda Lambert & Carrie Underwood 4. "You Can't Make Old Friends" - Kenny Rogers & Dolly Parton 5. "We Were Us" - Keith Urban & Miranda Lambert
The last category, and it's an interesting one. The entire Vince/Paul album is nominated, and we also have veterans Kenny and Dolly on here. It'd be pretty cool to see either one of these win but I have a hunch the trophy will go to one of the radio hits. I'll predict a win for Keith & Miranda - "We Were Us", simply because it has 2 huge labels (Sony & Universal) behind it. That will likely get all of UMG's vote (going to Keith Urban), and if they get votes from Sony too (Miranda), then I think WWU will come out on top. Basically I think UMG will throw all their votes here rather than going with a more dark horse choice like Bakersfield, and I think the combined labels behind "We Were Us" will help it edge out a win over both "Somethin' Bad" and "Meanwhile Back At Mama's". WWU also has the bragging rights of being the only airplay #1 in this group.
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avalyn
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Post by avalyn on Oct 20, 2014 13:51:11 GMT -5
Little Big Town will be performing Day Drinking with Ariana Grande. Miranda Lambert will be permforming with Meghan Trainor with All About the Bass + possibly/more than likely a song of Miranda's with it. Lucy Hale will be presenting. sources: www.spotlightcountry.com/meghan-trainor-ariana-grande-to-perform-at-cma-awards/@deatonrobert 13s13 seconds ago @meghan_Trainor with @mirandalambert and @arianagrande with @littlebigtown the Cma awards are going to be epic!
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bigfan101
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Post by bigfan101 on Oct 20, 2014 13:56:50 GMT -5
^ Added to first post.
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onebuffalo
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Post by onebuffalo on Oct 20, 2014 13:57:58 GMT -5
Little Big Town will be performing Day Drinking with Ariana Grande. Miranda Lambert will be permforming with Meghan Trainor with All About the Bass + possibly/more than likely a song of Miranda's with it. Lucy Hale will be presenting. sources: www.spotlightcountry.com/meghan-trainor-ariana-grande-to-perform-at-cma-awards/@deatonrobert 13s13 seconds ago @meghan_Trainor with @mirandalambert and @arianagrande with @littlebigtown the Cma awards are going to be epic! I'm waiting for Iggy Azalea to perform Fancy at the C.M.A. Awards.
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14887fan
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Post by 14887fan on Oct 20, 2014 14:20:32 GMT -5
There's a huge Twitter eruption going on right now with the Ariana Grande/Little Big Town and Meghan Trainor/Miranda Lambert match-ups. (BTW, in case anyone was wondering, this is all being confirmed through PR for the artists, so all we're waiting on now is a press release from the CMAs. Expect the release within the next week or so since this is usually the time where more and more artists are confirmed for presenting/performing slots.) My take on things...
1)...I'm really not opposed to the Pop collabs. Here's why: I know I've been one to put down the genre-crossing at these shows (CMT Music Awards 2014, FGL/Luke Bryan/ZZ Top/Jason Derulo, etc.), so this could seem like a contradiction. The Ariana Grande/Meghan Trainor performances just...don't bother me, though. We don't know exactly what ML will be performing (many are assuming it'll be "Little Red Wagon"), but we do know that Grande is going to be performing "Day Drinking" with LBT (...why are they not moving onto another single? That's another story, but w/e). That kind of settles nicely with me because it isn't going to become a platform for Grande's newest single. That's where I'd see an issue. But the fact of the matter is that both Trainor and Grande are talented. *dodges tomatoes, puts foot in mouth, bites tongue, etc.* It's also clear that the CMAs are going for bigger ratings with these inclusions, and I wouldn't be surprised to see more crossover performances get announced after these two.
2) (And here's my beef with this) Why female Pop acts? Could Brandy Clark, Kellie Pickler, Sheryl Crow, Lauren Alaina, Sara Evans, Lucy Hale, Ashley Monroe, Gwen Sebastian, Leah Turner, etc. not be sufficient collaborators on these songs? Y'know, women in the flipping Country genre for the Country Music Association Awards?
IDK. I guess it'll be nice to have more women on the stage, but the CMAs could've at least dipped into the talent pool within the genre that they're honoring.
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onebuffalo
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Post by onebuffalo on Oct 20, 2014 14:24:29 GMT -5
There's a huge Twitter eruption going on right now with the Ariana Grande/Little Big Town and Meghan Trainor/Miranda Lambert match-ups. (BTW, in case anyone was wondering, this is all being confirmed through PR for the artists, so all we're waiting on now is a press release from the CMAs. Expect the release within the next week or so since this is usually the time where more and more artists are confirmed for presenting/performing slots.) My take on things... 1)...I'm really not opposed to the Pop collabs. Here's why: I know I've been one to put down the genre-crossing at these shows (CMT Music Awards 2014, FGL/Luke Bryan/ZZ Top/Jason Derulo, etc.), so this could seem like a contradiction. The Ariana Grande/Meghan Trainor performances just...don't bother me, though. We don't know exactly what ML will be performing (many are assuming it'll be "Little Red Wagon"), but we do know that Grande is going to be performing "Day Drinking" with LBT (...why are they not moving onto another single? That's another story, but w/e). That kind of settles nicely with me because it isn't going to become a platform for Grande's newest single. That's where I'd see an issue. But the fact of the matter is that both Trainor and Grande are talented. *dodges tomatoes, puts foot in mouth, bites tongue, etc.* It's also clear that the CMAs are going for bigger ratings with these inclusions, and I wouldn't be surprised to see more crossover performances get announced after these two. 2) (And here's my beef with this) Why female Pop acts? Could Brandy Clark, Kellie Pickler, Sheryl Crow, Lauren Alaina, Sara Evans, Lucy Hale, Ashley Monroe, Gwen Sebastian, Leah Turner, etc. not be sufficient collaborators on these songs? Y'know, women in the flipping Country genre for the Country Music Association Awards? IDK. I guess it'll be nice to have more women on the stage, but the CMAs could've at least dipped into the talent pool within the genre that they're honoring. If I'm not mistaken, didn't last year's show have lower ratings than the year before? I think including more pop acts is actually hurting the C.M.A.s. I do agree with your point with the female country artist involvement. We already have plenty of talent there to go 'round.
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14887fan
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Post by 14887fan on Oct 20, 2014 14:30:26 GMT -5
There's a huge Twitter eruption going on right now with the Ariana Grande/Little Big Town and Meghan Trainor/Miranda Lambert match-ups. (BTW, in case anyone was wondering, this is all being confirmed through PR for the artists, so all we're waiting on now is a press release from the CMAs. Expect the release within the next week or so since this is usually the time where more and more artists are confirmed for presenting/performing slots.) My take on things... 1)...I'm really not opposed to the Pop collabs. Here's why: I know I've been one to put down the genre-crossing at these shows (CMT Music Awards 2014, FGL/Luke Bryan/ZZ Top/Jason Derulo, etc.), so this could seem like a contradiction. The Ariana Grande/Meghan Trainor performances just...don't bother me, though. We don't know exactly what ML will be performing (many are assuming it'll be "Little Red Wagon"), but we do know that Grande is going to be performing "Day Drinking" with LBT (...why are they not moving onto another single? That's another story, but w/e). That kind of settles nicely with me because it isn't going to become a platform for Grande's newest single. That's where I'd see an issue. But the fact of the matter is that both Trainor and Grande are talented. *dodges tomatoes, puts foot in mouth, bites tongue, etc.* It's also clear that the CMAs are going for bigger ratings with these inclusions, and I wouldn't be surprised to see more crossover performances get announced after these two. 2) (And here's my beef with this) Why female Pop acts? Could Brandy Clark, Kellie Pickler, Sheryl Crow, Lauren Alaina, Sara Evans, Lucy Hale, Ashley Monroe, Gwen Sebastian, Leah Turner, etc. not be sufficient collaborators on these songs? Y'know, women in the flipping Country genre for the Country Music Association Awards? IDK. I guess it'll be nice to have more women on the stage, but the CMAs could've at least dipped into the talent pool within the genre that they're honoring. If I'm not mistaken, didn't last year's show have lower ratings than the year before? I think including more pop acts is actually hurting the C.M.A.s. I do agree with your point with the female country artist involvement. We already have plenty of talent there to go 'round. Nope. Last year's CMA ratings were huge: tvbythenumbers.zap2it.com/2013/11/07/abcs-cma-awards-surges-to-its-biggest-audience-in-4-years-2nd-most-watched-in-8-years/214169/16.6 million viewers with a 4.7 in the key demo -- the show's biggest audience in 4 years and the 2nd-most watched in 8 years. Part of the reason the ratings were up so much, though, was because of Hurricane Sandy's effect on the East Coast the year before. I don't think the Pop acts will hurt the ratings at all. It'll add to the show, actually. Grande has a diehard fanbase. Trainor, not so much, but that's mostly due to the fact that she's a new artist.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Oct 20, 2014 14:31:26 GMT -5
There's a huge Twitter eruption going on right now with the Ariana Grande/Little Big Town and Meghan Trainor/Miranda Lambert match-ups. (BTW, in case anyone was wondering, this is all being confirmed through PR for the artists, so all we're waiting on now is a press release from the CMAs. Expect the release within the next week or so since this is usually the time where more and more artists are confirmed for presenting/performing slots.) My take on things... 1)...I'm really not opposed to the Pop collabs. Here's why: I know I've been one to put down the genre-crossing at these shows (CMT Music Awards 2014, FGL/Luke Bryan/ZZ Top/Jason Derulo, etc.), so this could seem like a contradiction. The Ariana Grande/Meghan Trainor performances just...don't bother me, though. We don't know exactly what ML will be performing (many are assuming it'll be "Little Red Wagon"), but we do know that Grande is going to be performing "Day Drinking" with LBT (...why are they not moving onto another single? That's another story, but w/e). That kind of settles nicely with me because it isn't going to become a platform for Grande's newest single. That's where I'd see an issue. But the fact of the matter is that both Trainor and Grande are talented. *dodges tomatoes, puts foot in mouth, bites tongue, etc.* It's also clear that the CMAs are going for bigger ratings with these inclusions, and I wouldn't be surprised to see more crossover performances get announced after these two. 2) (And here's my beef with this) Why female Pop acts? Could Brandy Clark, Kellie Pickler, Sheryl Crow, Lauren Alaina, Sara Evans, Lucy Hale, Ashley Monroe, Gwen Sebastian, Leah Turner, etc. not be sufficient collaborators on these songs? Y'know, women in the flipping Country genre for the Country Music Association Awards? IDK. I guess it'll be nice to have more women on the stage, but the CMAs could've at least dipped into the talent pool within the genre that they're honoring. THIS. I realize Kellie, Kacey, etc. won't bring ratings the way the Pop collaborations will, but Jesus fucking Christ talk about a slap in the face to ALL those Country ladies. Ugh.
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14887fan
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Post by 14887fan on Oct 20, 2014 14:54:59 GMT -5
We don't know exactly what ML will be performing (many are assuming it'll be "Little Red Wagon"), but we do know that Grande is going to be performing "Day Drinking" with LBT (...why are they not moving onto another single? That's another story, but w/e). That kind of settles nicely with me because it isn't going to become a platform for Grande's newest single. That's where I'd see an issue. Update: they're performing "All About That Bass". www.wwgp1050.com/2014/10/20/miranda-lambert-performing-with-all-about-that-bass-singer-meghan-trainor-on-cma-awards/Ok, well now we know 2 things: 1) "All About That Bass" is this year's "Call Me Maybe" (it's everywhere). 2) Miranda Lambert will be performing twice (no way is the night's biggest nominee and likely biggest winner getting 1 performance, with that 1 performance being a duet w/ a Pop star on a song that's already peaked).
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onebuffalo
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Post by onebuffalo on Oct 20, 2014 15:03:24 GMT -5
Thank you for the response 14887fan. It is an indictment against country artists when pop artists are 'needed' to prop up the C.M.A.s.
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Post by countryfan4life on Oct 20, 2014 17:43:21 GMT -5
I better make my predictions before I forget. Just so you are warned, it's my usual lengthy babbling on and on. Entertainer of the Year: Luke Bryan: My Pick and Will Win Miranda Lambert: Dark Horse Blake Shelton George Strait Keith Urban This is tough to call because, while I would not put it past the CMA to award George a second year in a row, I still don't think it will happen. Blake has had another strong year, but I'm predicting Luke to finally win it. He has everyone beat in all categories, plus he hasn't released anything polarizing or "in your face" bro country to radio since TMKON. Scratch that, he did sing on and co-write "This Is How We Roll," but hopefully that doesn't work against him. If there is any time for him to win, it would be now. As far as Miranda goes, for me she is a dark horse. She has a lot of hype surrounding her, which is nothing new, but for some reason it seems different this time around. She is also the only female nominated and with all of the complaints about women in country not getting enough credit, the CMA might want to award her to make a statement. Not saying that she would not deserve it based on her merit, but I can see this playing a role as well. As much as I hate to say this but for me Keith is the underdog here. He is still killing it out there, but I think the others have more momentum going into the awards. I still think it was completely ridiculous how Jason Aldean was snubbed here and I don’t blame him for being upset. Still you can’t run your mouth like he did, but I do understand his frustration. Male Vocalist of the YearDierks Bentley: Dark Horse/Will Win/Would not mind winning Luke Bryan: My Pick Eric Church Blake Shelton Keith Urban I would say Keith is the underdog here as well for the same reasons I stated above. I think he has more of a chance in this category, but I still feel the others have more momentum. I thought last year Blake's reign would end, but I was wrong, so another win in this category would not surprise me. The reign has to end sometime, and if it does this year, and they decide to award someone new, I think the award should go to Luke. Will he win? I doubt it. He has yet to win in this category for both the CMAs and ACMs and, I don't think this year will be any different. I think it's going to be a toss-up between Dierks and Eric with Dierks slightly edging him out. Eric might have more star power, but there was a lot of buzz surrounding Dierks this year. So I say they give it to the dark horse. Female Vocalist of the YearMiranda Lambert: Will Win Martina McBride Kacey Musgraves: Dark Horse Carrie Underwood: Want to win Taylor Swift Well Martina and Taylor are the least likely to win here due to Taylor's recent complete pop conversion and Martina's quiet year commercially. I will say, even though I have not listened to Martina’s new album I did hear good things about it. I know vocal performance on an album plays a role in this category so you never know. I still think it's between Carrie, Miranda, and Kacey due to the fact they have the critical acclaim and have more commercial success in country music. Carrie is my favorite to win out of all of them, but unfortunately I don't see it happening. Other than The Sound of Music, "See You Again," and the "Somethin' Bad" collaboration with Miranda, she has had a pretty quiet year. "Something In The Water" created some buzz, but it's way too new to impact the voting. Kacey Musgraves is my dark horse here. I know she still doesn't have as much commercial success Carrie and Miranda, but I feel she has left an impact. Enough for the win, I'm not sure. Lastly, I thought Miranda's reign would end last year too with this award, so since it didn’t, I'm guessing she will win again this year. Pretty sure she broke the record this year at the ACMs, so I'm expecting the same thing happening here. I feel she had the most active year out of the nominees too. Album of the YearCrash My Party – Luke Bryan: My Pick Fuse – Keith Urban: My Pick Platinum – Miranda Lambert: Will Win Riser – Dierks Bentley: Dark Horse/My Pick The Outsiders – Eric Church If this was based on sales alone Luke’s album would win. I mean it has been on the charts for over a year and it's still in the top 10 surrounded by newer releases. With that said the CMA normally puts critical acclaim over popularity, so more than likely it won’t win. This one will be a toss-up between Miranda and Eric, with Miranda’s album winning. Eric may have sold more, but Miranda’s album has not been out as long and it seems every time she has an album nominated it usually wins. I would love to see Dierks or Keith win, but even though they had the critical acclaim, they did not have huge sales. Between the two I think Dierks has more of a chance and could pull an upset here despite having lower sales than Miranda and Eric. Vocal Group of the YearEli Young Band Lady Antebellum Little Big Town The Band Perry: Will Win/My Pick Zac Brown Band This is tough because I feel no group really stood out to me this year. Eli Young Band saw some success with “Drunk Last Night” and “Dust,” but I don’t think it’s enough for them to win. Zac Brown Band seemed to be quiet after “Jump Right In” and “Sweet Annie.” Little Big Town gained some momentum back with “Day Drinking” but I don’t think it’s enough to hold on to the title for another year. Who cares though, they are now Opry Members so that beats everything! :) Lady Antebellum has had more radio success, but recent history has shown that once the CMA moves on from an artist/band they tend not to win again, which has always frustrated me. So with all of that said I am predicting The Band Perry to win here. They have seen some radio success and headlined a world tour. On a side note I would like to know what Rascal Flatts has to do to earn a nomination in this category again… just saying. New Artist of the YearBrandy Clark Brett Eldredge: Will Win/My Pick Kip Moore Thomas Rhett Cole Swindell: Would not mind winning This category should be interesting. Out of all the nominees, Brett is the most well rounded, critical acclaim/commercially successful nominee on the ballot. I like Kip, but I feel like he has lost a little momentum after “Hey Pretty Girl” and probably had more of a chance to win this last year or the year before. Although now that I think about it, Zac Brown Band won in 2011 and they were way beyond their years as a new artist, so who knows. If it was not for the bro country backlash I would say that Thomas Rhett would be the clear winner, but he being one of the contributors will probably kill his chances. I don’t see Cole winning for the same reason, and because he is still pretty new. It will probably be between these 4 guys with Brett winning. Nothing against Brandy Clark, but she is probably the least likely to win. Honestly, if it was not for Pules or SirusXM I would have never heard of her, so without commercial success I do not think her critical acclaim will be enough to win. I know Kacey won last year, but she at least had some commercial success with the enormous amount of critical acclaim. I still think Dan + Shay, The Swon Brothers, Cassadee Pope, or Danielle Bradbery should have been nominated. Vocal Duo of the YearDan + Shay: My Pick (Imagine the shock if they won) Florida Georgia Line: Will Win Love and Theft The Swon Brothers Thompson Square Ah the easiest prediction of them all. Dan + Shay and The Swon Brothers are too new. Love and Theft had a quiet year and were just dropped from their label, :'( and it feels like Thompson Square has fallen off the face of the Earth. Florida Georgia Line will win this year and probably for the next few years until some of these duos start stepping up. I see a lot of potential in Dan + Shay and The Swon Brothers. Then there’s Madie and Tae and if Love and Theft get singed again, and they duplicate the success they had with “Angel Eyes,” this category can become pretty competitive. Single of the Year (Award goes to artist and producer)"Automatic," Miranda Lambert "Drunk on a Plane," Dierks Bentley: Will Win and My Pick "Give Me Back My Hometown," Eric Church "Meanwhile Back at Mama's," Tim McGraw featuring Faith Hill "Mine Would Be You," Blake Shelton Like jhomes87 said looking at recent winners in this category it looks like they will probably go with “Drunk on a Plane.” Dierks has had a strong year this year and if he is not awarded anywhere else it should be here or music video. I still would not count any of the others especially Blake and Miranda. Song of the Year (Award goes to songwriters)"Automatic," written by Nicolle Galyon, Natalie Hemby and Miranda Lambert "Follow Your Arrow," written by Kacey Musgraves, Brandy Clark and Shane McAnally "Give Me Back My Hometown," written by Eric Church and Luke Laird "I Don't Dance," written by Lee Brice, Rob Hatch, and Dallas Davidson: Will Win "I Hold On," written by Brett James and Dierks Bentley: My Pick/Dark Horse This one should be interesting. Kacey is known for more original lyrics, but I know some were against “Follow Your Arrow” for being so controversial. I am not going with Eric, because I feel like Springsteen was a better song and it did not win when it was nominated, so I have my doubts for “Give Me Back My Hometown.” If Dierks wins in Single of the Year he probably won’t win here. I still would not count him out, because I have seen the same song win in both categories, so I don’t see why 2 different songs by the same artist can’t win in both categories too. I think it will be a toss-up between Miranda and Lee. Last year “I Drove Your Truck” beat out “Mama’s Broken Heart” which proves that Miranda does not win in every category she is involved in. With that said I am going to go with “I Don’t Dance.” It is a solid song lyrically, it had a good chart performance, and when I saw him perform it live the reaction for it was ridiculous. I still would not count out Miranda, because she is Miranda, and I feel like if she does win something for “Automatic” I think it is much more appropriate to win it here than single of the year. This is also one of my favorite releases from her so I actually would not mind to see her win. Musical Event of the Year"Bakersfield," Vince Gill and Paul Franklin "Meanwhile Back at Mama's," Tim McGraw and Faith Hill "Something Bad," Miranda Lambert and Carrie Underwood "We Were Us," Keith Urban and Miranda Lambert: Will Win/My Pick "You Can't Make Old Friends," Kenny Rogers and Dolly Parton This category is fun this year. You have the classic duet partners Kenny and Dolly, and Tim and Faith, then Vince’s whole album is nominated, and then you have Miranda involved in two songs. I think Miranda will win, but the question is, with which duet partner? My guess is that she will probably win with Keith Urban, because it’s a better song over all. The only reason I would want “Something Bad” would be for Carrie to win too, but if they win for video I want Miranda and Keith for collaboration. Then there’s part of me that would like to see Tim and Faith. Music Video of the Year"Automatic," Miranda Lambert "Bartender," Lady Antebellum "Follow Your Arrow," Kacey Musgraves "Something Bad," Miranda Lambert and Carrie Underwood I think this will be a toss-up between “Drunk on a Plane” and “Something Bad.” “Drunk on a Plane” is hilarious, and “Something Bad” is fierce so there is no disappointment here if one of these wins. With the star power of Carrie and Miranda I’m predicting them to win. Wow looks like I favored Dierks Bentley quite a bit. I hope all of my predictions or at least some of them come true and he has a big night! Everyone knows he is way overdue for this. I just hope Luke wins for EOT and Brett Eldredge winning new artist would be nice too. Overall it should be an interesting show this year and now Ariana Grande and Meghan Trainor are performing? Am I reading right? I’m with 14887fan on this. I’m not necessarily against pop/country collaborations, but what’s wrong with the women we have in country music? I don’t mind it during the CMT Awards, because it’s expected with the MTV affiliation, but the CMA’s… really? I pegged them as an award show that would be against that type of thing. I mean I guess the Ariana Grande performance isn’t too bad because she is singing Little Big Town’s song with them, but Meghan Trainor is actually singing her song, and therefor gets to promote it on a country music show. How is that fair to the other ladies in country music? A lot of them are struggling to get noticed in country music as it is and they are overlooked for pop artists? I guess they want ratings and this is the way to do it. Other than that I am excited for the performances and the show in general. I know Brad and Carrie are going to kill it like they always do hosting and Brad probably has about a thousand jokes about Carrie being pregnant. :)
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14887fan
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Post by 14887fan on Oct 20, 2014 17:49:32 GMT -5
Loved reading your predictions, countryfan4life. News: CMA Promo rollout will begin the week prior to the show with Brad & Carrie stopping by Late Night with Seth Meyers (likely a collaborative interview). No word on a performance from either of them, though.
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Post by countryfan4life on Oct 20, 2014 17:56:44 GMT -5
Loved reading your predictions, countryfan4life. News: CMA Promo rollout will begin the week prior to the show with Brad & Carrie stopping by Late Night with Seth Meyers (likely a collaborative interview). No word on a performance from either of them, though. Yay I love Seth Meyers! An appearance on Jimmy Fallon as well would be even better! Here's a fun fact about the Seth and Brad friendship: Seth's wife is a huge country music fan and Seth had Brad sing at his wedding for her as a surprise. Since then they became pretty good friends and Seth and his wife even went with Brad and Kimberly to the CMA's last year.
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avalyn
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Post by avalyn on Oct 20, 2014 19:55:21 GMT -5
We don't know exactly what ML will be performing (many are assuming it'll be "Little Red Wagon"), but we do know that Grande is going to be performing "Day Drinking" with LBT (...why are they not moving onto another single? That's another story, but w/e). That kind of settles nicely with me because it isn't going to become a platform for Grande's newest single. That's where I'd see an issue. Update: they're performing "All About That Bass". www.wwgp1050.com/2014/10/20/miranda-lambert-performing-with-all-about-that-bass-singer-meghan-trainor-on-cma-awards/Ok, well now we know 2 things: 1) "All About That Bass" is this year's "Call Me Maybe" (it's everywhere). 2) Miranda Lambert will be performing twice (no way is the night's biggest nominee and likely biggest winner getting 1 performance, with that 1 performance being a duet w/ a Pop star on a song that's already peaked). I believe it'll be a mash up for Miranda of Meghan's song and Miranda's song. I posted all about that all this afternoon in this same post.
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McCreerian
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Post by McCreerian on Oct 20, 2014 21:19:32 GMT -5
Thank you for the response 14887fan. It is an indictment against country artists when pop artists are 'needed' to prop up the C.M.A.s. Boy do I miss the 1990s (into the early 00s) when Country females and Country singers in general were respected by the CMA and the awards were a pleasure to watch. You sure wouldn't have seen a collaboration between Reba and Madonna or Shania and Britney or Garth and Puff Daddy! What an f-ing joke. I love Country music but I hate the Country industry. The Country industry has taken all the joy away from being a Country fan, for me anyway. I listen to pop radio and hear female after female, they are dominating. Just like Country radio used to be (compared to now) when I was growing up. I just don't see how Country executives can't see that and try to copy it in Country? Isn't copy-cating one of the basic practices of the music industry? Country radio just lost their biggest selling female to the Pop genre by her own choice and they just said "Don't let the door hit ya!" without grasping the loss it's going to be. This genre is so screwed up.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Oct 20, 2014 21:20:32 GMT -5
we do know that Grande is going to be performing "Day Drinking" with LBT (...why are they not moving onto another single? That's another story, but w/e). "Day Drinking" is at #7 on tonight's Billboard chart and will likely move up to #4 next week (it should pass Chase Rice, Luke Bryan, and FGL this week). So, that means it will almost certainly still be in the top 3 when the CMA's roll around. I expect Sam Hunt or Blake Shelton will be at #1 during CMA week, but LBT has a good shot at #1 about 4-5 weeks from now. I'm not surprised at all that they're doing "Day Drinking"...it was totally expected for me :) I think several other performers will do recent big hits as well. I would not be surprised to see Lady A do "Bartender", and I actually expect Dierks Bentley to perform "Drunk On A Plane" rather than "Say You Do", and I also expect Kenny Chesney to perform "American Kids" rather than "Til It's Gone". I can also see Aldean doing "Burnin' It Down" and FGL going with "Dirt". A lot of this is in the hands of the producers of the show too (I know you know that--I'm just saying it as a general FYI to others).
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Post by tim on Oct 20, 2014 22:27:58 GMT -5
There was a full "for your consideration" ad in tonight's weekly Country Aircheck for George Strait and I have to say I was not expecting his team or MCA to be doing much behind the scenes to get him another Entertainer of the Year win, but with the release of the live album (and now a deluxe edition coming), a full Country Weekly spread, and this ad there is obviously an organized effort by his team. I'm still not quite expecting a win for him again, but who knows. I'm still working out my predictions and will have them up later this week I think.
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phil1996
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Post by phil1996 on Oct 20, 2014 23:29:08 GMT -5
* About Jason Aldean saying "there's people who shouldn't have been nominated"....Miranda? Eric? Kacey? Any guesses? I'd be legitimately pissed off if it's about one the 3 I mentioned...they write songs on their own, about several topics, and each have their own unique sound. Meanwhile, Mr. Aldean spent really hard work rewriting "She's Country" about 14 different times for tracks on his new album. C'mon man. You've made so much money, you should be thankful. Record some better material, lose the attitude, show some respect to other talented artists, and maybe you'll be nominated again. Not an Aldean hater at all, as I really enjoyed the 2 albums before "Old Boots", but just stating my opinion on him and his complaints.
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kanimal
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Post by kanimal on Oct 21, 2014 0:43:32 GMT -5
When "All About That Bass" was first taking off, Bobby Bones got super behind it and played it enough that it gained some chart traction on Billboard.
He claims he was pressured to stop playing it at the expense of actual country songs.
So it's interesting to see the country community now trying to get in on the action it didn't want four months ago.
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kanimal
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Post by kanimal on Oct 21, 2014 0:53:51 GMT -5
2) (And here's my beef with this) Why female Pop acts? Could Brandy Clark, Kellie Pickler, Sheryl Crow, Lauren Alaina, Sara Evans, Lucy Hale, Ashley Monroe, Gwen Sebastian, Leah Turner, etc. not be sufficient collaborators on these songs? Y'know, women in the flipping Country genre for the Country Music Association Awards? IDK. I guess it'll be nice to have more women on the stage, but the CMAs could've at least dipped into the talent pool within the genre that they're honoring. One thing to consider is what the artists *themselves* want. I mean, yes, there are certain names on that list that I'm sure Miranda Lambert and Little Big Town would love to help out. But let's not forget that they also want to *benefit* from that performance. If they perform with the girls behind some of this year's biggest hits -- one of whom is a killer vocalist and the other of whom is a Nashville-based songwriter who wrote the year's big pop phenomenon -- they benefit from additional spotlight and attention. It raises their profiles. If they perform with the majority of the names you mentioned, they're doing all the heavy lifting. They're using their star power to carry someone else who is offering nothing overt in return (except maybe a good performance - but they'll get that with the pop singers anyway). If I'm Florida Georgia Line, I'm performing with Nelly and Jason DeRulo, not John King. And if I'm Little Big Town, I'm performing with Ariana Grande rather than Leah Turner.
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Lizl
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Post by Lizl on Oct 21, 2014 1:02:42 GMT -5
I'm actually excited for this Miranda/Meghan duet at the CMAs. I bet it will be fun! So much sass and girl power! With LBT/Ariana, not so much. Very odd pairing. But let's see. ;)
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