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Post by funkpunkandroll on Feb 16, 2015 10:45:42 GMT -5
Wow, TOL picked up on YouTube streams worldwide!
I think sales wise, it's close. TOL with a slight edge: 304k to probably 296k for UF! but who knows? Can't always tell with Kworb and Billboard always reports different sales. TOL also had more positive radio spins last week than UF! did. Also, while UF! did gain significant points from Friday onwards, TOL was still selling real well so sales for both could increase but the gap would still be small.
I'm thinking Billboard would post digital sales like:
1.) Thinking Out Loud 306,000
2.) Uptown Funk 299,000
Or some crap like that.
The YouTube streams are promising though. Thanks Daniel!
It's gonna be REALLY close.
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ILLUSION
5x Platinum Member
Dupe
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Post by ILLUSION on Feb 16, 2015 11:10:57 GMT -5
YAS Kelly, Nicki, and Ariana!
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Deleted
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Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Feb 16, 2015 11:35:00 GMT -5
So I guess it is possible after all for TOL to get #1 this week!  keeping my hopes up! Need it to get some more big gains in airplay (and I guess for UF to decrease even though I wanted it to break 240M AI...TOL reaching #1 on the Hot 100 is more important for me though lol) |
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wjr15
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Post by wjr15 on Feb 16, 2015 12:04:00 GMT -5
Kinda crazy how strong the #1's have been since last summer. Shake It Off, All About That Bass, Blank Space, and Uptown Funk have all been huge and very strong #1's. Makes me wonder if that is going to be the new trend for #1's.
I miss the days when #1's had high turnover rates sorta like near the end of 2010. Gives more songs the chance to be on top for at least one week.
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mluv
Gold Member
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Posts: 540 
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Post by mluv on Feb 16, 2015 12:23:06 GMT -5
Birthday is decent, but I do not get the hype about Sugar. Idk, I found the chorus really annoying :/ Same with Animals. Still annoyed Maps performed the weakest. I also find the start of Sugar (some of the instrumentation) to be similar to Love Me Harder. I don't think the songs are similar (birthday and sugar) but timing probably helped Sugar. It was released during the Valentine's Day season and people seemed to like the wedding crasher video, especially as it involved real people. Birthday on the other hand, had kind of a child like Nickelodeon type video. It wasn't adult sexy but just cutesy. I don't think it made people want to purchase the song. It's also probably true that people prefer high pitch Adam Levine to high pitch Katy. |
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Feb 16, 2015 13:37:19 GMT -5
I think the US streaming difference might be even more significant than the worldwide one since I stipulate that the Grammys affect US streams much more than streams of other countries since USA is the primary audience of the Grammys (correct me if I'm wrong there) and plus there's Spotify which will see dramatic effects of the Grammys I'm guessing. That being said, TOL might have a sizable enough lead in streaming over UF to get the Hot 100 #1 |
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Post by areyoureadytojump on Feb 16, 2015 13:54:30 GMT -5
Paul Grein's Chart Watch columns are done:
@paulgrein @yahoomusic Thanks. I had fun with it. Alas, a new editor came in and killed the column. I'll still write for them.
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Deleted
Joined: January 1970
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Feb 16, 2015 14:02:57 GMT -5
Paul Grein's Chart Watch columns are done: @paulgrein @yahoomusic Thanks. I had fun with it. Alas, a new editor came in and killed the column. I'll still write for them.  |
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Post by funkpunkandroll on Feb 16, 2015 14:10:16 GMT -5
Paul Grein's Chart Watch columns are done: @paulgrein @yahoomusic Thanks. I had fun with it. Alas, a new editor came in and killed the column. I'll still write for them. Uh what?! Thanks a lot, Yahoo... |
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Post by funkpunkandroll on Feb 16, 2015 14:11:30 GMT -5
I think the US streaming difference might be even more significant than the worldwide one since I stipulate that the Grammys affect US streams much more than streams of other countries since USA is the primary audience of the Grammys (correct me if I'm wrong there) and plus there's Spotify which will see dramatic effects of the Grammys I'm guessing. That being said, TOL might have a sizable enough lead in streaming over UF to get the Hot 100 #1 Yep. UF's streams were minimal compared to TOL's streams worldwide. I surely hope most of the streams are from here! They have to be lmao... plus with good sales and good radio airplay, the sky's still the limit! :) |
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Deleted
Joined: January 1970
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Feb 16, 2015 14:41:30 GMT -5
1. Ed Sheeran - Thinking Out Loud 269k 307k +14%
2. Mark Ronson - Uptown Funk 320k 286k -10%
3. Rihanna and Kanye West and Paul McCartney - FourFiveSeconds 181k 263k +44%
4. Maroon 5 - Sugar 164k 169k +3%
5. Hozier - Take Me to Church 134k 163k +21%
6. Ellie Goulding - Love Me Like You Do 112k 148k +32%
7. Sam Smith - Stay With Me 81k 126k +55%
8. Taylor Swift - Style 91k 108k +19%
9. The Weeknd - Earned It 69k 101k +44%
10. Sam Smith - I'm Not the Only One 76k 90k +17%
11. Taylor Swift - Blank Space 86k 81k -5%
12. Meghan Trainor - Lips Are Movin 83k 72k -13%
13. AWOLNATION - I'm On Fire 72k
14. Pitbull & Ne-Yo - Time of Our Lives 79k 71k -9%
15. Fall Out Boy - Centuries 71k 67k -5%
16. Usher - I Don't Mind 57k 64k +10%
17. Nicki Minaj - Truffle Butter 64k 63k -1%
18. Taylor Swift - Shake It Off 67k 61k -8%
19. Flo Rida - GDFR 49k 57k +16%
20. Drake - Energy 55k
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Post by Queen of Insomnia. on Feb 16, 2015 14:48:10 GMT -5
Updated estimates
1. Thinking Out Loud 307,000
2. Uptown Funk 286,000
3. FourFiveSeconds 263,000
4. Sugar 169,000
5. Love Me Like You Do 148,000
6. Take Me To Church 163,000
7. Style 108,000
8. Earned It 101,000
9. Stay With Me 126,000
10. I'm Not The Only One 90,000
kworb.net/cc
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imbondz
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Post by imbondz on Feb 16, 2015 15:06:56 GMT -5
Is everyone here wanting TOL to hit #1 this week? I am. UF is great but time for Ed to get his
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YourFaveIsAFlop
5x Platinum Member
Catch me in the fridge, right where the ice be
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Post by YourFaveIsAFlop on Feb 16, 2015 15:12:14 GMT -5
I tried reading it but some of the delusions are too strong to even follow |
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Deleted
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Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Feb 16, 2015 15:12:28 GMT -5
Is everyone here wanting TOL to hit #1 this week? I am. UF is great but time for Ed to get his Absolutely. I'm all for Ed getting a #1 as well as UF getting 10 weeks at #1  with the sales patterns for UF I expect that it will return to #1 on the 3/7 chart (assuming TOL is #1 2/28) and probably stay there for 3/14 and maybe 3/21. One more week after that would be the tenth and after that I'm ready for another #1 (as long as it isn't FourFiveSeconds) |
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imbondz
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Post by imbondz on Feb 16, 2015 15:14:28 GMT -5
Agreed. Haaaaaaate 4/5seconds. Ugh.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Feb 16, 2015 15:22:58 GMT -5
I don't hate it I just find it really boring and don't want to see it at #1 instead of some of the other songs. It doesn't seem really threatening though given that it's not going very far on iTunes ATM. It doesn't seem like the kind of single that will hold up very long. I can see it peaking at #3 like Stay did.
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wavey.
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Post by wavey. on Feb 16, 2015 15:43:52 GMT -5
Subjective. But if it gets number 1, it gets number 1.
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Post by funkpunkandroll on Feb 16, 2015 15:56:59 GMT -5
Nah imbondz, you're not the only one looking for TOL to get #1. :)
Hmm, seems like Mark didn't really gain much after going back to #1 (then again it WAS the weekend) lol
Also on the current chart, it seems like TOL is picking up steam again (though no green updates for the top three songs, which are UF, Shawn and TOL). But LMLYD could be a surprise upset lol
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brady47
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Post by brady47 on Feb 16, 2015 16:01:16 GMT -5
I enjoy Sugar a lot, but I'll admit that I'm a bit pressed that its smashing when Birthday didn't. because dark horse was still like number 4 when it was released. LOL Dark Horse and her power...it was just too strong, Unconditionally & Birthday didn't stand a chance. |
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brady47
Platinum Member
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Post by brady47 on Feb 16, 2015 16:02:47 GMT -5
omg can people stop with the same excuses. people didn't like birthday. period. if they did then it would have sold well and had good callout scores and streaming (not talking about the video since the length decreased replayability, but other streaming like spotify). animals was still huge on airplay when sugar was released yet sugar is still a big hit. I know, I just find it weird how people didn't like Birthday, but like Sugar which is basically the same song. Do they just like Adam's falsetto better? I don't know why, but I like Sugar 10x more than Birthday. Sugar seems more catchy to me. Birthday was good, but got old so fast. |
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Deleted
Joined: January 1970
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Feb 16, 2015 16:03:44 GMT -5
I know, I just find it weird how people didn't like Birthday, but like Sugar which is basically the same song. Do they just like Adam's falsetto better? I don't know why, but I like Sugar 10x more than Birthday. Sugar seems more catchy to me. Birthday was good, but got old so fast. Exactly the same way for me lol |
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johonmilla
Charting
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Posts: 72
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Post by johonmilla on Feb 16, 2015 19:21:13 GMT -5
Is everyone here wanting TOL to hit #1 this week? I am. UF is great but time for Ed to get his I feel like the only one who doesn't want TOL to hit #1. It is kinda boring and slow IMO, but Uptown Funk is getting annoying, so i'm like half and half right now leaning to uptown Funk. |
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Deleted
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Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Feb 16, 2015 19:37:34 GMT -5
My revised prediction:
1. Thinking Out Loud (2-3% lead)
2. Uptown Funk
3. FourFiveSeconds
4. Take Me To Church
5. Sugar
6. Blank Space
7. Love Me Like You Do
8. Style
9. I'm Not The Only One
10. Lips Are Movin'
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TylerG11
Charting
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Posts: 195
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Post by TylerG11 on Feb 16, 2015 21:10:36 GMT -5
I really love Thinking Out Loud. I wouldn't mind it going to number one. I'm also madly in love with the voice of Bruno Mars, so if he and Mark stay at number one, I won't mind so much. However, I don't think TOL will hit number one unless it has a much bigger lead in sales then the current estimate. I just don't see it happening unless it holds on further down the road.
I also pray to god LMLYD NEVER hits number one. I really cannot stand Ellie's voice. UGH.
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Kris
2x Platinum Member
Joined: June 2013
Posts: 2,222
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Post by Kris on Feb 16, 2015 21:21:13 GMT -5
Chart Highlights: Mana, Shakira Debut at No. 1 on Latin Airplay
Plus, new leaders for Walk the Moon, Modest Mouse, Mary J. Blige, Florida Georgia Line, Ricky Martin & more.
Chart Highlights offers a sneak peek at a select group of Billboard charts every Monday. (All charts below are based on radio airplay except for Dance Club Songs, which is based on reports submitted by a panel of DJs.) Find out the top songs, Greatest Gainers and debuts on the surveys listed below.
All our charts are refreshed on Billboard.com and Billboardbiz every Thursday and appear in the next issue of Billboard magazine.
Pop Songs
*** No. 1 (4 weeks)*** "Uptown Funk!" Mark Ronson Featuring Bruno Mars
Greatest Gainer No. 6 "Style" Taylor Swift
Debut No. 28 "One Last Time" Ariana Grande
Grande charts a fifth single from My Everything, as "One Last Time" debuts at No. 28. The set's first four hits peaked at different spots in the Pop Songs top four: "Problem," featuring Iggy Azalea (No. 1, two weeks); "Break Free," featuring Zedd (No. 4); "Bang Bang," with Jessie J and Nicki Minaj (No. 2); and "Love Me Harder," with The Weeknd (No. 3).
Debut No. 33 "Nobody Love" Tori Kelly
Debut No. 36 "Lay Me Down" Sam Smith
Debut No. 39 "Bright" Echosmith
Adult Contemporary
*** No. 1 (2 weeks)*** "Blank Space" Taylor Swift
Greatest Gainer No. 7 "Thinking Out Loud" Ed Sheeran
Debut No. 25 "Style" Taylor Swift
Debut No. 30 "Love Me Like You Do" Ellie Goulding
Adult Pop Songs
*** No. 1 (2 weeks)*** "Thinking Out Loud" Ed Sheeran
Greatest Gainer No. 7 "Sugar" Maroon 5
Debut No. 31 "Lay Me Down" Sam Smith
Debut No. 38 "First Kiss" Kid Rock
Debut No. 40 "High" Young Rising Sons
Rhythmic Songs
*** No. 1 (3 weeks)*** "Uptown Funk!" Mark Ronson Featuring Bruno Mars
Greatest Gainer No. 6 "Truffle Butter" Nicki Minaj Featuring Drake & Lil Wayne
Debut No. 31 "Open Wide" Calvin Harris Featuring Big Sean
Debut No. 38 "One Last Time" Ariana Grande
Debut No. 39 "Outside" Calvin Harris Featuring Ellie Goulding
Debut No. 40 "Blessings" Big Sean Featuring Drake
R&B/Hip-Hop Airplay
*** No. 1 (3 weeks)*** "7/11" Beyonce
Greatest Gainer No. 6 "Truffle Butter" Nicki Minaj Featuring Drake & Lil Wayne
Debut No. 46 "How Bout Now (Remix)" Jordin Sparks
Debut No. 47 "FourFiveSeconds" Rihanna & Kanye West & Paul McCartney
Debut No. 48 "Every Moment" Jodeci
Debut No. 50 "Bad B*tch" French Montana Featuring Jeremih
Adult R&B Songs
*** No. 1 (2 weeks)*** "Nobody" Kem
Greatest Gainer No. 15 "Every Moment" Jodeci
Debut No. 27 "Earned It (Fifty Shades Of Grey)" The Weeknd
Debut No. 30 "Doubt" Mary J. Blige
Rap Airplay
*** No. 1 (2 weeks)*** "Only" Nicki Minaj Featuring Drake, Lil Wayne & Chris Brown
Greatest Gainer No. 2 "Truffle Butter" Nicki Minaj Featuring Drake & Lil Wayne
Debut No. 24 "F**k Up Some Commas" Future
Rock Airplay
*** No. 1 (1 week)*** "Shut Up And Dance" WALK THE MOON
Walk the Moon defies chart gravity, rising to No. 1 on Rock Airplay with "Shut Up and Dance," its first leader on the list. It's also the band's first No. 1 on Alternative Songs.
Debut/Greatest Gainer No. 28 "Absolution Calling" Incubus
Debut No. 36 "What Kind Of Man" Florence + The Machine
Alternative Songs
*** No. 1 (1 week)*** "Shut Up And Dance" WALK THE MOON
Debut/Greatest Gainer No. 27 "Absolution Calling" Incubus
Debut No. 29 "Congregation" Foo Fighters
Debut No. 36 "What Kind Of Man" Florence + The Machine
Debut No. 37 "Peaches" In The Valley Below
Adult Alternative Songs
*** No. 1 (1 week)*** "Lampshades On Fire" Modest Mouse
Debut/Greatest Gainer No. 23 "Don't Wanna Fight" Alabama Shakes
Debut No. 24 "Sedona" Houndmouth
Mainstream Rock Songs
*** No. 1 (4 weeks)*** "I Am Machine" Three Days Grace
Greatest Gainer No. 9 "Congregation" Foo Fighters
Debut No. 28 "Absolution Calling" Incubus
Debut No. 39 "Coming For The Throne" Otherwise
Dance Club Songs
*** No. 1 (1 week)*** "Right Now" Mary J. Blige
Greatest Gainer No. 4 "Time Of Our Lives" Pitbull & Ne-Yo
Debut No. 43 "Free People" Tony Moran featuring Martha Wash
Debut No. 47 "Love Is Independent" D.O.N.S. Featuring Polina Griffith
Debut No. 48 "What I Need (Right Here, Right Now)" Dasco Featuring Justina Maria
Dance/Mix Show Airplay
*** No. 1 (3 weeks)*** "Uptown Funk!" Mark Ronson Featuring Bruno Mars
Greatest Gainer No. 3 "Outside" Calvin Harris Featuring Ellie Goulding
Debut No. 39 "Somebody" Natalie La Rose Featuring Jeremih
Debut No. 40 "Love Me Like You Do" Ellie Goulding
Country Airplay
*** No. 1 (1 week)*** "Sun Daze" Florida Georgia Line
Florida Georgia Line lands its sixth No. 1 on Country Airplay, as "Sun Daze" climbs 2-1. Of the duo's seven proper country radio single, only "This Is How We Roll," featuring Luke Bryan, has missed the summit, stopping at No. 2.
Greatest Gainer No. 13 "Homegrown" Zac Brown Band
Debut No. 54 "Kiss You In The Morning" Michael Ray
Debut No. 58 "My Mistake" Cam
Debut No. 60 "Hit The Road" Waterloo Revival
Christian Airplay
*** No. 1 (2 weeks)*** "Jesus Loves Me" Chris Tomlin
Greatest Gainer No. 7 "Because He Lives (Amen)" Matt Maher
Debut No. 44 "Compass" Jonathan Thulin
Debut No. 45 "Who You Say You Are" About A Mile
Gospel Airplay
*** No. 1 (2 weeks)*** "Fill Me Up" Casey J
Debut No. 25 "You Are" Virtue
Debut/Greatest Gainer No. 27 "Yes You Can" Marvin Sapp
Debut No. 30 "Grace" Ricky Dillard & New G
Latin Airplay
Debut/Greatest Gainer *** No. 1 (1 week)*** "Mi Verdad" Mana Featuring Shakira
The super pairing of Mana and Shakira results in the No. 1 debut "Mi Verdad." The collab arrives as each act's 10th No. 1 (and Mana's third No. 1 debut; it's Shakira's first). With its video filmed late last year at a wine cellar in the outskirts of Barcelona, the song is the first single from Mana's forthcoming album.
Debut No. 42 "Que Aun Te Amo" Pesado
Debut No. 43 "Contigo" Calibre 50
Debut No. 47 "El Perdon" Nicky Jam & Enrique Iglesias
Debut No. 49 "Querida" Juan Gabriel Featuring Juanes
Debut No. 50 "Nota de Amor" Wisin + Carlos Vives Featuring Daddy Yankee
Regional Mexican Songs
*** No. 1 (5 weeks)*** "Levantando Polvadera" Voz de Mando
Debut/Greatest Gainer No. 19 "Contigo" Calibre 50
Debut No. 28 "Me Sobrabas Tu" Banda Los Recoditos
Debut No. 36 "Unas Heladas" Maximo Grado
Debut No. 39 "Dime Que Si" Vizzio
Latin Pop Songs
*** No. 1 (1 week)*** "Disparo Al Corazon" Ricky Martin
Debut/Greatest Gainer No. 4 "Mi Verdad" Mana Featuring Shakira
Debut No. 23 "Cavernicolas" Ricardo Arjona
Debut No. 34 "Nota de Amor" Wisin + Carlos Vives Featuring Daddy Yankee
Debut No. 37 "Noche Bohemia" Jerry Rivera Featuring Anthony Santos
Debut No. 38 "Tatuaje" Elvis Crespo Featuring Bachata Heightz
Tropical Songs
*** No. 1 (1 week)*** "Mal de Amor" Sharlene Featuring Servando & Florentino
Debut/Greatest Gainer No. 6 "Mi Verdad" Mana Featuring Shakira
Debut No. 32 "Dejate Llevar" Jonathan Moly
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Daniel Collins
4x Platinum Member
With every broken bone, I swear I lived
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Post by Daniel Collins on Feb 16, 2015 22:20:56 GMT -5
YouTube (Worldwide) 2/8/15 - 2/14/15 "Thinking Out Loud" 34.8 M (+13.7M) "Uptown Funk!" 32.7 M (+3.7M) 2/1/15 - 2/7/15 "Thinking Out Loud" 21.1 M "Uptown Funk!" 29.0 M To clarify: 2/8/15 - 2/14/15 "Thinking Out Loud" = 240.3 - 205.5M = 34.8 M (+13.7M) "Uptown Funk!" 213.1M - 180.4M = 32.7 M (+3.7M) 2/1/15 - 2/7/15 "Thinking Out Loud" 205.5M - 184.4M = 21.1 M "Uptown Funk!" 180.4M - 151.4M = 29.0 M Some people might think that it's a 13M vs. 3.7M instead of a 34M vs. 32M. I really hope that most of the stream increase came from US. |
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summers
Platinum Member
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Posts: 1,587
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Post by summers on Feb 16, 2015 22:30:43 GMT -5
Agreed. Haaaaaaate 4/5seconds. Ugh. I'm surprised that a lot of you hate fourfiveseconds. I think it's a very well crafted song and unlike any other songs in the radio right now. I don't know about it hitting #1, but I'm loving it. Oh, and I too hope Ed can go at least one week at the top. |
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Post by funkpunkandroll on Feb 17, 2015 0:48:12 GMT -5
YouTube (Worldwide) 2/8/15 - 2/14/15 "Thinking Out Loud" 34.8 M (+13.7M) "Uptown Funk!" 32.7 M (+3.7M) 2/1/15 - 2/7/15 "Thinking Out Loud" 21.1 M "Uptown Funk!" 29.0 M To clarify: 2/8/15 - 2/14/15 "Thinking Out Loud" = 240.3 - 205.5M = 34.8 M (+13.7M) "Uptown Funk!" 213.1M - 180.4M = 32.7 M (+3.7M) 2/1/15 - 2/7/15 "Thinking Out Loud" 205.5M - 184.4M = 21.1 M "Uptown Funk!" 180.4M - 151.4M = 29.0 M Some people might think that it's a 13M vs. 3.7M instead of a 34M vs. 32M. I really hope that most of the stream increase came from US. I love how you broke that down... I do have a feeling most of the TOL streams are probably U.S.-based due to the post Grammys effect so while UF! had another good stream week, TOL picked up post Grammys... |
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Joe1240
6x Platinum Member
Taylor Swift-The Best in Pop & Country Music!
Joined: September 2003
Posts: 6,959
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Post by Joe1240 on Feb 17, 2015 1:35:00 GMT -5
Ariana Grande One Last Time MV on VEVO 2 Million Views in one day. Could more views put this even higher on the charts this week.Ariana is a bigger artist than she was one year ago,her videos on VEVO now days get lots of views no matter what she releases.
Two Big Taylor songs on the charts-
Style going top 10 for sure.
Wonderland on Itunes if sales are enrough,this go debut like the previous promo singles did last October just no promotion this time around although.
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