Billboard Hot 100 : 03/28/2015 - "Uptown Funk!" (11 wks #1)

[Future Captain]

Mar 14, 2015 21:47:05 GMT -5 popbox said:

Mar 14, 2015 21:35:31 GMT -5 Future Captain said:

I like Uptown Funk, but really, it burned out quickly on me. And I have a feeling whatever dethrone UF will have a 5+ weeks reign.

It will probably be the song of the summer that dethrones it and have another really long reign. Watch this year only have like 6 Hot 100 #1's or something.

Then it will be record setting , the previous low is 2005 with 8. Btw, officially, this year's only #1 so far is Uptown Funk because Blank Space started it's reign in 2014

[crystalphnx]

Mar 14, 2015 21:51:46 GMT -5 Future Captain said:

Mar 14, 2015 21:47:05 GMT -5 popbox said:

It will probably be the song of the summer that dethrones it and have another really long reign. Watch this year only have like 6 Hot 100 #1's or something.

Then it will be record setting , the previous low is 2005 with 8. Btw, officially, this year's only #1 so far is Uptown Funk because Blank Space started it's reign in 2014

2002 only had 8 as well - and last year came close, with only 9 :( that's not a record I want matched (or beat) anytime soon, but 2015 has been off to a very stagnant start...

[Future Captain]

Mar 14, 2015 22:53:19 GMT -5 crystalphnx said:

Mar 14, 2015 21:51:46 GMT -5 Future Captain said:

Then it will be record setting , the previous low is 2005 with 8. Btw, officially, this year's only #1 so far is Uptown Funk because Blank Space started it's reign in 2014

2002 only had 8 as well - and last year came close, with only 9 :( that's not a record I want matched (or beat) anytime soon, but 2015 has been off to a very stagnant start...

If you want to exclude How Your Remind Me and You Got It Bad (Which both reach #1 for the first time in 2001), 2002 only have 7 number-ones, and the only reason why 2005 doesn't have only 7 #1's is thanks to Carrie's 1 week at #1.

But yeah, if 2015 somehow managed to become the most stagnant year in history of Billboard Hot 100, I will cry.

In another note, the highest number of #1 in a year is 35 in 1974 and 1975. And in 1975, there's an instance where 14 weeks in a row, there's a new #1 each week.

[jayhawk1117]

Mar 15, 2015 5:21:40 GMT -5 Future Captain said:

Mar 14, 2015 22:53:19 GMT -5 crystalphnx said:

2002 only had 8 as well - and last year came close, with only 9 :( that's not a record I want matched (or beat) anytime soon, but 2015 has been off to a very stagnant start...

If you want to exclude How Your Remind Me and You Got It Bad (Which both reach #1 for the first time in 2001), 2002 only have 7 number-ones, and the only reason why 2005 doesn't have only 7 #1's is thanks to Carrie's 1 week at #1.

But yeah, if 2015 somehow managed to become the most stagnant year in history of Billboard Hot 100, I will cry.

In another note, the highest number of #1 in a year is 35 in 1974 and 1975. And in 1975, there's an instance where 14 weeks in a row, there's a new #1 each week.

Well this year isn't off to a good start with only 2 number ones so far and it's almost a 1/4 through the year

[Deleted]

Uptown funk deserves wherever it is reaching and deserves what it will be nominated and awarded for.
Also I prefer UF stay #1 for 16 weeks instead of songs like 45S and style reach #1!

[Daniel Collins]

Kworb (03/15/15)

2015/03/15

*** = dropped or added a format

1. MARK RONSON - Uptown Funk f/Bruno Mars: 241.231 (-0.489)
2. ED SHEERAN - Thinking Out Loud: 198.661 (-1.232)
3. TAYLOR SWIFT - Style: 170.038 (+1.321)
4. MAROON 5 - Sugar: 159.014 (+1.525)
5. PITBULL - Time Of Our Lives f/Ne-Yo: 141.568 (+1.023)
6. ELLIE GOULDING - Love Me Like You Do: 117.117 (+4.195) ▲
7. TAYLOR SWIFT - Blank Space: 115.036 (-1.989) ▼
8. RIHANNA/KANYE WEST/P MCCARTNEY - FourFiveSeconds: 109.915 (+0.068)
9. NICKI MINAJ - Truffle Butter f/Drake...: 85.038 (+0.155) ▲
10. USHER - I Don't Mind f/Juicy J: 83.863 (-2.019) ▼
11. HOZIER - Take Me To Church: 83.399 (-1.349)
12. NATALIE LA ROSE - Somebody f/Jeremih: 78.981 (+1.606)
13. BRETT ELDREDGE - Mean To Me: 77.171 (+0.743)
14. MEGHAN TRAINOR - Lips Are Movin: 73.954 (-2.150)
15. JASON ALDEAN - Just Gettin' Started: 73.500 (-0.122)
16. SAM SMITH - I'm Not The Only One: 70.631 (-0.657) ▲
17. LILLYWOOD & ROBIN SCHULZ - Prayer In C: 69.824 (-2.521) ▼
18. COLE SWINDELL - Ain't Worth The Whiskey: 67.263 (+1.191)
19. NE-YO - She Knows f/Juicy J: 64.454 (-1.361)
20. CHRIS YOUNG - Lonely Eyes: 64.089 (+0.558) ▲

21. CHRIS BROWN & TYGA - Ayo: 63.974 (+0.863) ▲
22. NICK JONAS - Jealous: 63.920 (-1.621) ▼
23. ZAC BROWN BAND - Homegrown: 63.868 (+1.127) ▲
24. DARIUS RUCKER - Homegrown Honey: 63.798 (+1.077) ▲
25. CALVIN HARRIS - Outside f/Ellie Goulding: 63.007 (-0.298) ▼
26. KELLY CLARKSON - Heartbeat Song: 61.320 (+0.762) ▲
27. THE WEEKND - Earned It: 60.687 (+2.278) ▲
28. BLAKE SHELTON - Lonely Tonight f/Ashley Monroe: 59.926 (-2.063) ▼
29. LEE BRICE - Drinking Class: 58.411 (+0.514)
30. ARIANA GRANDE - One Last Time: 58.365 (+1.437) ▲
31. SAM HUNT - Take Your Time: 57.867 (+0.000) ▼
32. ELLA HENDERSON - Ghost: 54.032 (-1.582)
33. VANCE JOY - Riptide: 51.630 (-0.611)
34. SAM SMITH - Stay With Me: 51.609 (-0.052)
35. DIERKS BENTLEY - Say You Do: 51.077 (+0.382) ▲
36. FALL OUT BOY - Centuries: 48.512 (-2.252) ▼
37. NICK JONAS - Chains: 45.863 (+0.532) ▲
38. ONE DIRECTION - Night Changes: 45.804 (+0.865) ▲
39. KEITH URBAN - Raise 'Em Up f/Eric Church: 45.684 (+0.081)
40. MAROON 5 - Animals: 45.173 (-0.688) ▼

42. ZEDD - I Want You To Know f/S. Gomez: 44.309 (+3.601***) ▲
44. TYLER FARR - A Guy Walks Into A Bar: 42.708 (+0.444) ▼
45. JASON DERULO - Want To Want Me: 41.556 (+5.916) ▲
47. FLO RIDA - GDFR f/Sage The Gemini: 40.320 (+1.446) ▲
48. WALK THE MOON - Shut Up And Dance: 40.096 (+0.367) ▼
52. A THOUSAND HORSES - Smoke: 36.603 (+0.786) ▲
53. IMAGINE DRAGONS - I Bet My Life: 36.569 (+0.279) ▼
59. JAKE OWEN - What We Ain't Got: 34.300 (+0.211)
60. KENNY CHESNEY - Wild Child w/Grace Potter: 33.383 (+0.845) ▲
64. BILLY CURRINGTON - Don't It: 32.479 (+0.690) ▲
69. TIM MCGRAW - Diamond Rings And Old...: 29.767 (+0.322)
70. DISCLOSURE - Latch f/Sam Smith: 29.742 (+0.680) ▲
72. FETTY WAP - Trap Queen: 27.443 (+0.316) ▲

[kingofpain]

LOL! why is Latch increasing?

[Dylan :)]

LMLYD's radio domination   Hopefully it'll have overtaken Time Of Our Lives by this time next week, and Style will be #2. Also, strange how Night Changes has been gaining a lot on radio recently. 

[imbondz]

Does anyone know what the #s mean? If a song increases 1.45 for example? What does any of that mean preferably in layman terms.

[rimetm]

Mar 15, 2015 12:32:53 GMT -5 imbondz said:

Does anyone know what the #s mean? If a song increases 1.45 for example? What does any of that mean preferably in layman terms.

Basically, all radio stations are evaluated periodically for how big their average audience is. From there, their plays are reported to Nielson SoundScan, who assigns that audience value per play. For example. if Radio Station X plays Talking Body 5 times in a day, and their audience was calibrated to 5,000 people, those plays add 25,000 audience impressions for the day. The numbers listed here are in millions of impressions, so that amount would be listed as .025. The audience impressions updated daily are the total in that day (Billboard Radio Songs basically uses Monday as what it bases its number off). To continue with that example, imagine there are two stations in the entire US: Station Y with a 30,000 audience, and Station Z with a 40,000 audience. The first day, Y plays a new song 20 times and Z plays it 50 times. This would be represented on the daily charts as:

New Song / Some Artist - 2.600 (+2.600)

Now, the next day, suppose Station Z only plays the song 30 times and Station Y plays it 25 times due a bit of increased requests. That would be shown as:

New Song / Some Artist - 1.950 (-0.650)

It's worth noting that Billboard's sample is a bit smaller than the Mediabase/kworb/whichever-source-is-also-posted-regularly ones. Usually it scales down smoothly, but not always.

Also, when there are talks of radio recalibrations, this means that a set of (or all) stations are being reaudited for their audience. This tends to result in giant hits that have longevity taking a hit, as usually the stations still playing them frequently have stagnated setlists that have been drawing away listeners.

P.S. To someone more experienced than me in these matters, please let me know if I made inaccuracies!

[Deleted]

Best wishes for Believe!
It is really flawless :)

[Deleted]

I don't really see the point of the question mark in the thread title lol...there was no viral video last week right?

1. Uptown Funk! (30% lead)
2. Sugar
3. Thinking Out Loud
4. Love Me Like You Do
5. FourFiveSeconds
6. Earned It
7. Style
8. Time Of Our Lives
9. Lay Me Down (would be higher if it wasn't so shockingly low in airplay; I'm assuming it has decent streaming)
10. Take Me To Church

[Dylan :)]

My predictions..

1. Uptown Funk
2. Sugar
3/4. Thinking Out Loud/Love Me Like You Do (depends on how radio goes for the next day or two)
5. Four Five Seconds
6. Style
7. Earned It
8. Time Of Our Lives
9. Take Me To Church
10. Trap Queen
11/12/13. I Don't Mind/Lay Me Down/G.D.F.R. (Lay Me Down has very little radio, is behind on Spotify and I don't think YouTube streams or sales will be enough to beat IDM, but you never know).

Somebody and One Last Time should fill out the rest of the top 15. Heartbeat Song will fall, but remain in the top 30. Chains will go top 20. Take Your Time will go top 30 and peak, so will Shut Up & Dance, but that may continue rising. I Want You To Know will return to the top 30. Riptide will fall very close to recurrent, as well as Chandelier (pleeeeassee make 52 weeks). Both Empire Cast songs will fall off, Love Me Harder and No Type will go recurrent. I Lived will fall off, as well as Sledgehammer. Hanging Tree will have another small jump. Bright will enter lower regions of the chart, Want To Want Me will enter top 40.

[kanimal]

Mar 14, 2015 20:46:02 GMT -5 Dylan :) said:

What I don't get is how hard I Really Like You is flopping...

There is no denying that the video dramatically underperformed, but I definitely get the impression the label didn't think this was going to come storming out of the gate the way we might have here.  As I wrote in the song thread, the fact that they launched the song three weeks before impact means that they didn't anticipate the market instantly jumping on a Carly Rae Jepsen song - they knew they needed to build some momentum with sales and a viral video first.

The sales and video performance are definitely disillusioning, and I definitely have my doubts about whether this is going to truly blow up, but the release schedule makes it clear they didn't see this as an instant #1.

[Daniel Collins]

Mar 15, 2015 17:44:15 GMT -5 @markg94 said:

I don't really see the point of the question mark in the thread title lol...there was no viral video last week right?

Billboard knows that "Uptown Funk!" will have its 11th week this week but they won't declare it yet since it's not yet official, so why would I? ;)

[Daniel Collins]

Mediabase (03/16/15)

1. MARK RONSON - Uptown Funk f/Bruno Mars: 236.758 (+ 0.231)
2. ED SHEERAN - Thinking Out Loud: 195.562 (- 0.881)
3. TAYLOR SWIFT - Style: 171.300 (+ 1.203)
4. MAROON 5 - Sugar: 158.127 (+ 1.671)
5. PITBULL - Time Of Our Lives f/Ne-Yo: 138.701 (+ 0.608)
6. ELLIE GOULDING - Love Me Like You Do: 117.299 (+ 2.809)
7. TAYLOR SWIFT - Blank Space: 112.319 (- 0.969)
8. RIHANNA/KANYE WEST/P MCCARTNEY - FourFiveSeconds: 110.717 (+ 0.570)
9. NICKI MINAJ - Truffle Butter f/Drake...: 85.448 (+ 0.260)
10. HOZIER - Take Me To Church: 84.020 (- 1.059)
11. NATALIE LA ROSE - Somebody f/Jeremih: 82.788 (+ 1.680) ▲
12. USHER - I Don't Mind f/Juicy J: 81.892 (- 2.126) ▼
13. BRETT ELDREDGE - Mean To Me: 77.361 (+ 0.096)
14. JASON ALDEAN - Just Gettin' Started: 72.931 (- 0.647)
15. MEGHAN TRAINOR - Lips Are Movin: 71.048 (- 1.805)
16. SAM SMITH – I’m Not The Only One: 70.653 (- 0.488)
17. COLE SWINDELL - Ain't Worth The Whiskey: 67.768 (+ 0.448) ▲
18. LILLYWOOD & ROBIN SCHULZ - Prayer In C: 67.004 (- 1.694) ▼
19. CHRIS BROWN & TYGA - Ayo: 65.299 (+ 1.219) ▲
20. ZAC BROWN BAND - Homegrown: 64.805 (+ 0.913) ▲

CHRIS YOUNG - Lonely Eyes: 64.498 (+ 0.392) ▼
DARIUS RUCKER - Homegrown Honey: 64.634 (+ 0.748)
NE-YO - She Knows f/Juicy J: 63.874 (- 0.721) ▼
CALVIN HARRIS - Outside f/Ellie Goulding: 63.708 (+ 0.563)
THE WEEKND - Earned It: 63.454 (+ 2.728)
KELLY CLARKSON - Heartbeat Song: 62.076 (+ 0.402)
ARIANA GRANDE – One Last Time: 59.710 (+ 1.308)
SAM HUNT – Take Your Time: 59.552 (+ 0.767)
LEE BRICE - Drinking Class: 58.438 (+ 0.010)
JASON DERULO - Want To Want Me: 48.585 (+ 6.280)
ONE DIRECTION - Night Changes: 47.018 (+ 0.853)
NICK JONAS - Chains: 46.565 (+ 0.621)
ZEDD - I Want You To Know f/S. Gomez: 46.265 (+ 1.889)
FLO RIDA – GDFR f/ Sage The Gemini: 41.730 (+ 1.095)
WALK THE MOON - Shut Up And Dance: 40.705 (+ 0.574)
RAE SREMMURD - Throw Sum Mo f/Nicki Minaj: 37.191 (+ 0.587)
MIRANDA LAMBERT - Little Red Wagon: 30.729 (+ 0.088)
FETTY WAP - Trap Queen: 28.797 (+ 0.528)
SAM SMITH – Lay Me Down: 26.441 (+ 0.216)
GEORGE EZRA - Budapest: 24.957 (+ 0.429)
CARRIE UNDERWOOD – Little Toy Guns: 23.071 (+ 0.915)
TOVE LO - Talking Body: 22.441 (+ 1.094)
TORI KELLY - Nobody Love: 21.799 (+ 0.534)
BIG SEAN - Blessings f/Drake: 20.365 (+ 0.308)
KANYE WEST F/T.LONDON - All Day f/A.Kingd./P.McCartney: 19.880 (+ 1.105)
SHEPPARD - Geronimo: 19.575 (+ 0.161)
NICKI MINAJ – Feeling Myself f/Beyoncé: 19.117 (+ 0.040)
MUMFORD & SONS - Believe: 14.112 (+ 1.997)
ECHOSMITH - Bright: 13.784 (+ 1.017)
MICHAEL RAY - Kiss You In The Morning: 13.292 (+ 1.052)
CIARA - I Bet: 12.103 (+ 0.002)
LITTLE BIG TOWN - Girl Crush: 11.524 (- 0.092)
WHO IS FANCY - Goodbye: 11.838 (+ 1.066)
FLORENCE + THE MACHINE - What Kind Of Man: 8.546 (- 0.134)
LUNCHMONEY LEWIS - Bills: 8.626 (+ 0.181)
DJ SNAKE & ALUNAGEORGE - You Know You Like It: 7.597 (- 0.042)
ERIC CHURCH - Like A Wrecking Ball: 7.868 (+ 0.303)
NATE RUESS - Nothing Without Love: 7.386 (+ 0.116)
FIFTH HARMONY - Worth It f/Kid Ink: 7.090 (+ 0.060)
WALE - The Matrimony f/Usher: 6.454 (+ 0.510)
SIA – Elastic Heart: 5.538 (- 0.013)
IGGY AZALEA – Trouble f/Jennifer Hudson: 4.566 (- 0.017)
DAVID GUETTA - Hey Mama f/Nicki Minaj: 4.437 (+ 0.179)
TINASHE - All Hands On Deck: 3.810 (+ 0.204)
LIFE OF DILLON - Overload: 2.808 (+ 0.073)
ZAC BROWN BAND - Heavy Is The Head f/C. Cornell: 2.929 (+ 0.440)
KACEY MUSGRAVES - Biscuits: 2.360 (+ 0.217)
TY DOLLA $IGN - Drop That Kitty f/Charli XCX..: 2.063 (+ 0.150)
IMAGINE DRAGONS - Shots: 1.953 (+ 0.042)
RYN WEAVER - OctaHate: 1.839 (+ 0.072)
CHARLI XCX - Doing It: 1.599 (- 0.015)
CARLY RAE JEPSEN - I Really Like You: 1.083 (+ 0.044)
FALL OUT BOY - Uma Thurman: 0.809 (- 0.016)
MEGHAN TRAINOR - Dear Future Husband: 0.630 (+ 0.124)

[wavey.]

What was Nicki's last Top 10 on Mediabase?
Also, don't count "Truffle Butter" out for a Top 10 spot.

[ILLUSION]

Mar 16, 2015 9:02:39 GMT -5 wavey. said:

What was Nicki's last Top 10 on Mediabase?
Also, don't count "Truffle Butter" out for a Top 10 spot.

Starships?

[Dylan :)]

Elastic Heart #301 and added to pop 
Also, Bright's first +1M update   Good day

[Kworb]

Sales estimates

1. Uptown Funk 192,000
2. Sugar 178,000
3. Love Me Like You Do 152,000
4. Lay Me Down 140,000
5. Thinking Out Loud 136,000
6. FourFiveSeconds 126,000
7. Believe 100,000
8. Earned It 97,000
9. GDFR 91,000
10. Style 83,000
11. Chains 69,000
12. Trap Queen 67,000
13. Shut Up And Dance 66,000
14. Time Of Our Lives 66,000
15. Take Me To Church 63,000
16. Truffle Butter 60,000
17. Somebody 57,000
18. Take Your Time 55,000
19. Want To Want Me 50,000
20. Blank Space 48,000

kworb.net/cc

[Deleted]

Mar 16, 2015 9:37:59 GMT -5 ILLUSION said:

Mar 16, 2015 9:02:39 GMT -5 wavey. said:

What was Nicki's last Top 10 on Mediabase?
Also, don't count "Truffle Butter" out for a Top 10 spot.

Starships?

What about Bang Bang?

[Verisimilitude]

Spotify's Top 50 Streams:

4,102,826 plays1Maroon 5 - Sugar
4,049,489 plays2Various Artists - Love Me Like You Do - From "Fifty Shades Of Grey"
3,984,766 plays3Mark Ronson - Uptown Funk
3,784,480 plays4Rihanna - FourFiveSeconds
3,407,223 plays5Ed Sheeran - Thinking Out Loud
3,146,841 plays6The Weeknd - Earned It (Fifty Shades Of Grey) - From The "Fifty Shades Of Grey" Soundtrack
2,624,684 plays7Hozier - Take Me to Church
2,577,033 plays8Drake - Energy
2,514,700 plays9Flo Rida - GDFR (feat. Sage The Gemini & Lookas)
2,464,291 plays10Pitbull - Time of Our Lives
2,446,733 plays11Drake - Know Yourself
2,356,248 plays12Fetty Wap - Trap Queen
2,233,068 plays13Ariana Grande - One Last Time
2,173,847 plays14Big Sean - I Don't Fuck With You
2,147,679 plays15Natalie La Rose - Somebody
2,095,811 plays16Sam Smith - I'm Not The Only One
2,073,227 plays17Drake - Legend
2,034,647 plays18Drake - 10 Bands
2,031,531 plays19Usher - I Don't Mind
2,026,288 plays20Sam Smith - Lay Me Down
1,995,096 plays21Nicki Minaj - Truffle Butter
1,933,291 plays22Big Sean - Blessings
1,867,212 plays23Zedd - I Want You To Know
1,776,303 plays24Nicki Minaj - Only
1,771,432 plays25Kanye West - All Day
1,723,665 plays26Sia - Elastic Heart
1,720,237 plays27Sam Smith - Stay With Me
1,676,357 plays28Fall Out Boy - Centuries
1,642,513 plays29Carly Rae Jepsen - I Really Like You
1,630,708 plays30Mumford & Sons - Believe
1,606,880 plays31Jack Ü - Where Are Ü Now (feat. Justin Bieber)
1,603,730 plays32WALK THE MOON - Shut Up and Dance
1,568,725 plays33Chris Brown - Ayo
1,554,413 plays34Tove Lo - Talking Body
1,486,761 plays35Calvin Harris - Outside
1,484,693 plays36Beyoncé - 7/11
1,432,384 plays37Kelly Clarkson - Heartbeat Song
1,426,788 plays38Vance Joy - Riptide
1,416,419 plays39Ne-Yo - She Knows
1,415,990 plays40Drake - No Tellin'
1,413,726 plays41Ariana Grande - Love Me Harder
1,397,500 plays42Sia - Chandelier
1,346,298 plays43Drake - 6 God
1,341,760 plays44Rae Sremmurd - No Type
1,316,013 plays45Meghan Trainor - Lips Are Movin
1,294,770 plays46Jessie J - Bang Bang
1,268,168 plays47Alesso - Heroes (we could be)
1,253,839 plays48Nick Jonas - Jealous
1,216,500 plays49Maroon 5 - Animals
1,132,903 plays50Big Sean - One Man Ca

Rest of top 200: charts.spotify.com/?object=tracks&rank=most_streamed&country=us&windowtype=weekly&date=latest

[Deleted]

Wow 20 songs with over 2 million plays...I remember a year ago barely one or two would have that many :O

Mar 16, 2015 8:07:56 GMT -5 Dylan :) said:

My predictions..

1. Uptown Funk
2. Sugar
3/4. Thinking Out Loud/Love Me Like You Do (depends on how radio goes for the next day or two)
5. Four Five Seconds
6. Style
7. Earned It
8. Time Of Our Lives
9. Take Me To Church
10. Trap Queen
11/12/13. I Don't Mind/Lay Me Down/G.D.F.R. (Lay Me Down has very little radio, is behind on Spotify and I don't think YouTube streams or sales will be enough to beat IDM, but you never know).

Somebody and One Last Time should fill out the rest of the top 15. Heartbeat Song will fall, but remain in the top 30. Chains will go top 20. Take Your Time will go top 30 and peak, so will Shut Up & Dance, but that may continue rising. I Want You To Know will return to the top 30. Riptide will fall very close to recurrent, as well as Chandelier (pleeeeassee make 52 weeks). Both Empire Cast songs will fall off, Love Me Harder and No Type will go recurrent. I Lived will fall off, as well as Sledgehammer. Hanging Tree will have another small jump. Bright will enter lower regions of the chart, Want To Want Me will enter top 40.

LMLYD is still pretty far behind TOL in airplay (although gaining). It's not that far ahead in sales. It would need at least a 3 million streams lead over TOL which, considering that TOL had a lead over it in streams last week, is very unlikely. Next week (4/4) LMLYD will likely pass TOL, returning to its peak position of #3 (maybe even get to #2 if Sugar starts falling). Also I think Earned It will pass Style this week (according to Daniel's predictions, they were really close in points last week).

And I sure as hell hope you're wrong about Trap Queen couldn't bear more than 15 seconds of it. I know LMD has weak airplay right now (shocking considering that it's a Sam Smith single that has been out for some time now) but it has very strong sales and will probably have a decent amount of streaming for both versions combined. I think it will be #9 or #10 with TMTC being the other one. TQ will probably be #11 or #12 (at least that's my wishful thinking). Glad that BS is finally leaving the top ten but if that means TQ enters then nooooooooooo thank you, I'd rather have BS in the top ten until June than for Trash Queen to be top ten.

[Dylan :)]

Mar 16, 2015 17:53:13 GMT -5 @markg94 said:

Wow 20 songs with over 2 million plays...I remember a year ago barely one or two would have that many :O

Mar 16, 2015 8:07:56 GMT -5 Dylan :) said:

My predictions..

1. Uptown Funk
2. Sugar
3/4. Thinking Out Loud/Love Me Like You Do (depends on how radio goes for the next day or two)
5. Four Five Seconds
6. Style
7. Earned It
8. Time Of Our Lives
9. Take Me To Church
10. Trap Queen
11/12/13. I Don't Mind/Lay Me Down/G.D.F.R. (Lay Me Down has very little radio, is behind on Spotify and I don't think YouTube streams or sales will be enough to beat IDM, but you never know).

Somebody and One Last Time should fill out the rest of the top 15. Heartbeat Song will fall, but remain in the top 30. Chains will go top 20. Take Your Time will go top 30 and peak, so will Shut Up & Dance, but that may continue rising. I Want You To Know will return to the top 30. Riptide will fall very close to recurrent, as well as Chandelier (pleeeeassee make 52 weeks). Both Empire Cast songs will fall off, Love Me Harder and No Type will go recurrent. I Lived will fall off, as well as Sledgehammer. Hanging Tree will have another small jump. Bright will enter lower regions of the chart, Want To Want Me will enter top 40.

LMLYD is still pretty far behind TOL in airplay (although gaining). It's not that far ahead in sales. It would need at least a 3 million streams lead over TOL which, considering that TOL had a lead over it in streams last week, is very unlikely. Next week (4/4) LMLYD will likely pass TOL, returning to its peak position of #3 (maybe even get to #2 if Sugar starts falling). Also I think Earned It will pass Style this week (according to Daniel's predictions, they were really close in points last week).

And I sure as hell hope you're wrong about Trap Queen couldn't bear more than 15 seconds of it. I know LMD has weak airplay right now (shocking considering that it's a Sam Smith single that has been out for some time now) but it has very strong sales and will probably have a decent amount of streaming for both versions combined. I think it will be #9 or #10 with TMTC being the other one. TQ will probably be #11 or #12 (at least that's my wishful thinking). Glad that BS is finally leaving the top ten but if that means TQ enters then nooooooooooo thank you, I'd rather have BS in the top ten until June than for Trash Queen to be top ten.

Oo, forgot about Blank Space lol. Yeah, I now think Lay Me Down will be higher than I Don't Mind, I never realised how much IDM was dropping on radio. I would not be surprised if Trap Queen went top ten this week. I don't want it to (obviously), but will be top 70 on radio, 67K sales and I presume a truck load of streams   I'm hoping TMTC finally falls out of the top 10 this week and begins to collapse all together.

[tekkenguy]

Uptown Funk still has a huge lead on airplay. It's still 45m ahead of TOL and that's falling hard. Next song with a bullet is Style and that's 70m away.

Plus it's still doing hugely on streaming, and it's not showing any signs of slowing down on iTunes. It's clearly the most dominant force on the charts since Happy or even Blurred Lines. It won't be leaving #1 anytime soon and has year-end #1 pretty much in the bag.

[popbox]

Mar 16, 2015 20:32:03 GMT -5 tekkenguy said:

Uptown Funk still has a huge lead on airplay. It's still 45m ahead of TOL and that's falling hard. Next song with a bullet is Style and that's 70m away.

Plus it's still doing hugely on streaming, and it's not showing any signs of slowing down on iTunes. It's clearly the most dominant force on the charts since Happy or even Blurred Lines. It won't be leaving #1 anytime soon and has year-end #1 pretty much in the bag.

At this point it kind of has decade #1 in the bag. Something else would have to just be one of the biggest hits ever between now and 2019 to stop that. Ironically enough, last decade's #1 came at this same point in the decade: We Belong Together in 2005.

[Deleted]

Mar 16, 2015 21:06:04 GMT -5 popbox said:

Mar 16, 2015 20:32:03 GMT -5 tekkenguy said:

Uptown Funk still has a huge lead on airplay. It's still 45m ahead of TOL and that's falling hard. Next song with a bullet is Style and that's 70m away.

Plus it's still doing hugely on streaming, and it's not showing any signs of slowing down on iTunes. It's clearly the most dominant force on the charts since Happy or even Blurred Lines. It won't be leaving #1 anytime soon and has year-end #1 pretty much in the bag.

At this point it kind of has decade #1 in the bag. Something else would have to just be one of the biggest hits ever between now and 2019 to stop that. Ironically enough, last decade's #1 came at this same point in the decade: We Belong Together in 2005.

Well we first must see it pull off close to 29 weeks in the top 10 and 68 weeks on the chart like "Party Rock Anthem" did before we can be sure that it will be the decade-end #1

[Future Captain]

Party Rock Anthem is going to be the biggest hit of 2010's, like it or not, of course, unless a Smooth or How Do I Live sized hit appeared.....

[YourFaveIsAFlop]

I'm surprised UF has lasted this long to be honest. I guess it's unoffensive enough, but it's just generic 70s throwback memes mashed together into a 4 minute mishmosh of nothingness.

[ILLUSION]

Not bad streaming numbers for Kelly