Billboard Hot 100: 02/27/2016

[carreramd]

Feb 11, 2016 13:59:21 GMT -5 THINKIN BOUT YOU said:

Feb 11, 2016 12:11:33 GMT -5 @markg94 said:

I still hope for CBTO to make top ten. It's still gaining on pop if I'm not mistaken. Such a catchy song...

I know it's catchy. But the melody sounds somehow unoriginal, same with Aqua's Barbie Girl or DJ Snake & Alunageorge's You Know You Like It (Remix) or... The Weeknd's Prisoner or Wicked Games, or... Charlie Puth's Some Type of Love
I ironically almost love all of those songs but just trying to figure out why they sound so "derived" from an old melody or sample even if they might not really be from a sample

I love CBTO but I have to agree... This song reminds me a lot of Uptown Funk.

[Deleted]

Feb 11, 2016 19:33:49 GMT -5 carreramd said:

Feb 11, 2016 13:59:21 GMT -5 THINKIN BOUT YOU said:

I know it's catchy. But the melody sounds somehow unoriginal, same with Aqua's Barbie Girl or DJ Snake & Alunageorge's You Know You Like It (Remix) or... The Weeknd's Prisoner or Wicked Games, or... Charlie Puth's Some Type of Love
I ironically almost love all of those songs but just trying to figure out why they sound so "derived" from an old melody or sample even if they might not really be from a sample

I love CBTO but I have to agree... This song reminds me a lot of Uptown Funk.

CBTO reminds me of Maroon 5's TSGHLAM more than anything tbh (especially the "I-I-I-I-I-I" part). CBTO is a much, much catchier version of the M5 song to me. Parts of it kinda sound like M5's other song Sugar to me too (i.e. the "waste time on a masterpiece" part)

[brady47]

So impressed with the longevity of "Wildest Dreams" on radio, especially for a 5th single. It's in its 24th week, and it's still in the top 15.

[popmusic1]

YOUTUBE BUIDLING CHART
Week ending: 02/11
Status: 02/05 - 02/09

Pos	Title	Artist	Building	Projected TW
1	Sorry	Justin Bieber	5.488	7.683
2	Love Yourself	Justin Bieber	4.565	6.392
3	Watch Me (Whip / Nae Nae) (Spanglish Version)	SilentĂł	4.075	5.705
4	Hello	Adele	4.069	5.697
5	PILLOWTALK	Zayn Malik	3.262	4.567
6	Stressed Out	twenty one pilots	3.231	4.523
7	Don't	Bryson Tiller	2.912	4.076
8	Uptown Funk	Mark Ronson	2.801	3.921
9	Hotline Bling	Drake	2.758	3.861
10	What Do You Mean?	Justin Bieber	2.618	3.665
11	White Iverson	Post Malone	2.511	3.515
12	Me, Myself & I	G-Eazy	2.503	3.504
13	My House	Flo Rida	2.491	3.488
14	See You Again (feat. Charlie Puth) - Universal Pictures Film Music	Wiz Khalifa	2.458	3.442
15	Down In the DM	Yo Gotti	2.439	3.414
16	The Hills	The Weeknd	2.282	3.195
17	Trap Queen	Fetty Wap	2.271	3.180
18	679	Fetty Wap	2.215	3.101
19	Stitches	Shawn Mendes	2.193	3.071
20	Say It	Tory Lanez	2.154	3.016
21	Exchange	Bryson Tiller	2.106	2.949
22	Jumpman	Drake	1.973	2.762
23	Best Friend	Young Thug	1.954	2.736
24	Antidote	Travis Scott	1.883	2.637
25	2 Phones	Kevin Gates	1.704	2.386
26	Shake It Off	Taylor Swift	1.667	2.334
27	Really Really	Kevin Gates	1.664	2.330
28	Watch Me Work	Tinashe	1.641	2.297
29	Lean On (feat. MĂ? & DJ Snake)	Major Lazer	1.599	2.238
30	Betcha Can't Do It Like Me Challenge	DLow	1.545	2.163
31	Roses	The Chainsmokers	1.507	2.110
32	My Way (Feat. Monty)	Fetty Wap	1.460	2.044
33	Hymn For The Weekend	Coldplay	1.452	2.033
34	Here	Alessia Cara	1.427	1.998
35	Can't Feel My Face	The Weeknd	1.406	1.969
36	Sugar	Maroon 5	1.395	1.952
37	Hands To Myself	Selena Gomez	1.392	1.949
38	Where Ya At	Future	1.370	1.918
39	Gangnam Style	PSY	1.359	1.903
40	Like I'm Gonna Lose You	Meghan Trainor	1.348	1.887

Others:
7/11 Beyonce 987k
Adventure Of A Lifetime Coldplay 973k
Paradise Coldplay 677k
When We Were Young Adele 630k
The Sound Of Silence Disturbed 505k
Work Rihanna 317k

Important: Formation by Beyonce is NOT registered on YouTube yet = no streams

[felipe]

Feb 10, 2016 21:23:19 GMT -5 Gary said:

Feb 10, 2016 21:01:12 GMT -5 badrobot said:

She apparently had a single called "The Sweetest Thing" that charted before "Doo Wop." Also she was credited as a feature on a couple songs before that too.

Doo Wop was the first Hot 100 song.  'Can't Take My Eyes Off Of You'  charted on the airplay chart a few months before Doo Wop did but did not appear on the Hot 100

So she has released singles before that failed to hit the Hot 100, and Doo Wop was her first song to do so, even though it was not her debut single. Is that it?

Same thing with Baauer, right? I believe he'd released some singles before HS, so that wasn't really his debut single.

[ml7673]

I'm surprised no one's mentioning this, but Hello - Adele could possibly break the record of most weeks in the top 10 after a top 10 debut, the current record holders (Starships, Sugar, What Do You Mean) had 21 weeks

Unless it falls suddenly, it could beat that, it's still in the top 5 after 15 weeks

[Deleted]

Feb 12, 2016 9:27:53 GMT -5 ml7673 said:

I'm surprised no one's mentioning this, but Hello - Adele could possibly break the record of most weeks in the top 10 after a top 10 debut, the current record holders (Starships, Sugar, What Do You Mean) had 21 weeks

Unless it falls suddenly, it could beat that, it's still in the top 5 after 15 weeks

Wouldn't it be more realistic for Sorry to take that record? It has the same number of weeks, but isn't falling as fast.

[ml7673]

Feb 12, 2016 9:42:14 GMT -5 @zach808 said:

Feb 12, 2016 9:27:53 GMT -5 ml7673 said:

I'm surprised no one's mentioning this, but Hello - Adele could possibly break the record of most weeks in the top 10 after a top 10 debut, the current record holders (Starships, Sugar, What Do You Mean) had 21 weeks

Unless it falls suddenly, it could beat that, it's still in the top 5 after 15 weeks

Wouldn't it be more realistic for Sorry to take that record? It has the same number of weeks, but isn't falling as fast.

Sorry, I just realized that.

[MTSChart21]

Feb 11, 2016 13:45:53 GMT -5 @markg94 said:

Feb 11, 2016 13:25:11 GMT -5 nighttime said:

Anyone have a mock-up of what the top 10 is likely going to look like?

1. Love Yourself
2. Stressed Out (starting to think it'll peak here, unfortunately...)
3. My House
4. Sorry
5. Work
6. Hello
7. Me Myself & I
8. Roses
9. Pillowtalk
10. Adventure Of A Lifetime(?)

I know someone on this thread said that AOAL has little chance but I honestly can't imagine what else #10 would be...Hands To Myself I feel will have less points, In The Night is (sadly) on the decline now and Summer Sixteen will obviously fall out of the top ten this week (possibly even top 20). This may be one of those weeks where there's a huge gap between 9 and 10

First the prediction for PILLOWTALK was #5, then #7, and now #9? 

[MTSChart21]

Feb 12, 2016 9:44:09 GMT -5 ml7673 said:

Feb 12, 2016 9:42:14 GMT -5 @zach808 said:

Wouldn't it be more realistic for Sorry to take that record? It has the same number of weeks, but isn't falling as fast.

Sorry, I just realized that.

I think Sorry will be able to do it. It's still going strong and only has to last 7 more weeks in the top 10. I think Hello will either barely miss the record or barely beat it.

Prediction:
Hello: 20-23 weeks in top 10.
Sorry: 22-25 weeks in top 10.

[Verisimilitude]

Spotify U.S. Top 200 Weekly Streaming Chart 2/11/2016:

Position Track Name Artist Streams

1 PILLOWTALK ZAYN 7633642
2 Work Rihanna 6874937
3 Me, Myself & I G-Eazy 6454193
4 Love Yourself Justin Bieber 6213907
5 Stressed Out Twenty One Pilots 5648074
6 Sorry Justin Bieber 5392966
7 Roses The Chainsmokers 5043170
8 My House Flo Rida 4835543
9 Hands To Myself Selena Gomez 4296476
10 Don't Bryson Tiller 4196082
11 Jumpman Drake 3921677
12 Summer Sixteen Drake 3900537
13 I Took A Pill In Ibiza - Seeb Remix Mike Posner 3681440
14 What Do You Mean? Justin Bieber 3502191
15 White Iverson Post Malone 3320942
16 Cake By The Ocean DNCE 3318175
17 Hide Away Daya 3188783
18 I Know What You Did Last Summer Shawn Mendes 3125657
19 Adventure Of A Lifetime Coldplay 3056640
20 Hello Adele 2963050
21 Hotline Bling Drake 2890990
22 Stitches Shawn Mendes 2848406
23 No Role Modelz J. Cole 2752441
24 Stay Kygo 2667017
25 Exchange Bryson Tiller 2607100
26 In The Night The Weeknd 2586206
27 Antidote Travi$ Scott 2553682
28 The Hills The Weeknd 2499478
29 One Call Away Charlie Puth 2493264
30 Lush Life Zara Larsson 2446973
31 Here Alessia Cara 2383339
32 7 Years Lukas Graham 2375432
33 YOUTH Troye Sivan 2375384
34 679 (feat. Remy Boyz) Fetty Wap 2356325
35 Same Old Love Selena Gomez 2348463
36 Sugar (feat. Francesco Yates) Robin Schulz 2319736
37 Bang my Head (feat. Sia & Fetty Wap) David Guetta 2267131
38 Big Rings Drake 2188289
39 Can't Feel My Face The Weeknd 2179068
40 Bake Sale (feat. Travis Scott) Wiz Khalifa 2111937
41 Trap Queen Fetty Wap 2093975
42 Faded Alan Walker 2082541
43 Down In the DM Yo Gotti 2065840
44 2 Phones Kevin Gates 2061827
45 Lay It All On Me (feat. Ed Sheeran) Rudimental 2016098
46 Hymn For The Weekend Coldplay 2007933
47 Back To Back Drake 1946922
48 On My Mind Ellie Goulding 1940328
49 Say It Tory Lanez 1925372
50 Sorry Not Sorry Bryson Tiller 1888757
51 Don't Let Me Down The Chainsmokers 1812262
52 When We Were Young Adele 1806845
53 The Fix Nelly 1768112
54 All My Friends Snakehips 1718434
55 Lean On (feat. MØ & DJ Snake) Major Lazer 1674835
56 Again Fetty Wap 1669685
57 Love Myself Hailee Steinfeld 1592121
58 Middle DJ Snake 1555140
59 Where Ya At Future 1545633
60 Where Are Ü Now (with Justin Bieber) Jack Ü 1518105
61 We Don't Talk Anymore (feat. Selena Gomez) Charlie Puth 1498025
62 Get Ugly Jason Derulo 1493355
63 In My Room (feat. Ty Dolla $ign & Tyga) Yellow Claw 1447147
64 Ophelia The Lumineers 1444096
65 New Americana Halsey 1430030
66 Perfect One Direction 1427784
67 Like I'm Gonna Lose You Meghan Trainor 1421612
68 Needed Me Rihanna 1409393
69 Hollow Tori Kelly 1408134
70 Be Right There Diplo 1385457
71 Running Out Matoma 1360571
72 I Mean It G-Eazy 1357494
73 Really Really Kevin Gates 1348586
74 Something In The Way You Move Ellie Goulding 1348439
75 Die A Happy Man Thomas Rhett 1340040
76 Desperado Rihanna 1332751
77 Right Hand Drake 1301542
78 Light It Up (feat. Nyla & Fuse ODG) - Remix Major Lazer 1284807
79 Wet Dreamz J. Cole 1280733
80 Consideration Rihanna 1260500
81 Irresistible Fall Out Boy 1251292
82 Photograph Ed Sheeran 1248438
83 Back Up Dej Loaf 1247402
84 Cheap Thrills Sia 1243520
85 Thinking Out Loud Ed Sheeran 1241214
86 I'll Show You Justin Bieber 1232112
87 Watch Out 2 Chainz 1229260
88 Often The Weeknd 1194289
89 Kiss It Better Rihanna 1192323
90 Gold Kiiara 1180070
91 Dessert Dawin 1174879
92 Good For You Selena Gomez 1164745
93 Planez Jeremih 1159676
94 F*ck Up Some Commas Future 1156612
95 Ride Twenty One Pilots 1155457
96 Back To Sleep Chris Brown 1155375
97 oui Jeremih 1155169
98 Energy Drake 1150267
99 Earned It (Fifty Shades Of Grey) The Weeknd 1142573
100 See You Again (feat. Charlie Puth) - From "Furious 7" Wiz Khalifa 1128764
101 Never Forget You Zara Larsson 1126016
102 My Way (feat. Monty) Fetty Wap 1125454
103 $ave Dat Money (feat. Fetty Wap & Rich Homie Quan) Lil Dicky 1116550
104 How Deep Is Your Love Calvin Harris 1081708
105 Best Friend Young Thug 1080811
106 Yeah, I Said It Rihanna 1066808
107 Come Get Her Rae Sremmurd 1061296
108 G.O.M.D. J. Cole 1059863
109 Know Yourself Drake 1042969
110 Promise Kid Ink 1032346
111 Flex (Ooh, Ooh, Ooh) Rich Homie Quan 1029172
112 Woo Rihanna 1024872
113 Drag Me Down One Direction 1020254
114 Fast Car - Radio Edit Jonas Blue 1017697
115 Break Up In A Small Town Sam Hunt 1013389
116 Tear In My Heart Twenty One Pilots 1003493
117 Emperor's New Clothes Panic! At The Disco 995225
118 Victorious Panic! At The Disco 989648
119 Legend Drake 988391
120 The Sound The 1975 981786
121 Elevated Wiz Khalifa 975865
122 Uptown Funk Mark Ronson 970729
123 Car Radio Twenty One Pilots 968508
124 Same Ol’ Mistakes Rihanna 966337
125 Death Of A Bachelor Panic! At The Disco 964258
126 Cowboy Wiz Khalifa 955699
127 Run Away With Me Carly Rae Jepsen 947284
128 The Feeling Justin Bieber 945955
129 Diamonds Dancing Drake 943468
130 11-Jul Beyoncé 941425
131 Dirty Mind (feat. Sam Martin) Flo Rida 928469
132 This Could Be Us Rae Sremmurd 922614
133 Pass Dat Jeremih 920507
134 Boys Like You Who Is Fancy 887901
135 Bet You Can't Do It Like Me IAmDLOW 887308
136 James Joint Rihanna 884255
137 RGF Island Fetty Wap 882013
138 Lost Boy Ruth B 881624
139 I Don't Fuck With You Big Sean 877837
140 Sugar Maroon 5 875554
141 Shut Up and Dance WALK THE MOON 870408
142 History One Direction 867454
143 Ni**as In Paris JAY Z 863783
144 Some Kind Of Drug G-Eazy 861766
145 All Eyes On You (feat. Chris Brown & Nicki Minaj) Meek Mill 858933
146 Higher Rihanna 857996
147 Love On The Brain Rihanna 849909
148 Sound Of Your Heart Shawn Hook 848602
149 Renegades X Ambassadors 848204
150 Cheerleader - Felix Jaehn Remix Radio Edit OMI 844034
151 F**kin' Problems A$AP Rocky 843430
152 Locked Away R. City 840659
153 Been That Way Bryson Tiller 835746
154 Calm Down G-Eazy 835084
155 A Sky Full of Stars Coldplay 834973
156 Let's Get Lost G-Eazy 833939
157 Bitch Better Have My Money Rihanna 833763
158 Downtown (feat. Eric Nally, Melle Mel, Kool Moe Dee & Grandmaster Caz) Macklemore & Ryan Lewis 832990
159 Acquainted The Weeknd 830337
160 Ex's & Oh's Elle King 826267
161 R.I.C.O. (feat. Drake) Meek Mill 825937
162 Weekend (feat. Miguel) Mac Miller 822750
163 Lit (feat. Ty Dolla $ign) Wiz Khalifa 821587
164 Take Me To Church Hozier 818522
165 A Tale of 2 Citiez J. Cole 802105
166 Let It Go James Bay 801800
167 Drifting G-Eazy 795502
168 New Level A$AP Ferg 793899
169 Slow Motion Trey Songz 793033
170 Viva La Vida Coldplay 790783
171 Riptide Vance Joy 789089
172 Wild Things Alessia Cara 788879
173 Stay With Me Sam Smith 786591
174 Want To Want Me Jason Derulo 783110
175 Gold Digger Kanye West 782793
176 Start A Riot BANNERS 779627
177 Purpose Justin Bieber 778991
178 Blasé (feat. Future & Rae Sremmurd) Ty Dolla $ign 775021
179 The Scientist Coldplay 770203
180 Live From The Gutter Drake 767340
181 Confident Demi Lovato 767102
182 Celebrate (feat. Rico Love) Wiz Khalifa 760467
183 Paradise Coldplay 760204
184 Random G-Eazy 759734
185 3005 Childish Gambino 758310
186 Centuries Fall Out Boy 757586
187 Let Em' Know Bryson Tiller 757114
188 Order More G-Eazy 756190
189 Never Ending Rihanna 748470
190 F Cancer (Boosie) [feat. Quavo] Young Thug 747344
191 Close To You Rihanna 741209
192 Digital Dash Drake 739489
193 No Type Rae Sremmurd 736507
194 Apparently J. Cole 736484
195 All of Me John Legend 736373
196 Call Waiting Wiz Khalifa 735983
197 Blessings Big Sean 735523
198 Fix You Coldplay 734535
199 10 Bands Drake 731711
200 FourFiveSeconds Rihanna 731100

[Deleted]

Feb 12, 2016 9:46:38 GMT -5 MTSChart21 said:

Feb 11, 2016 13:45:53 GMT -5 @markg94 said:

1. Love Yourself
2. Stressed Out (starting to think it'll peak here, unfortunately...)
3. My House
4. Sorry
5. Work
6. Hello
7. Me Myself & I
8. Roses
9. Pillowtalk
10. Adventure Of A Lifetime(?)

I know someone on this thread said that AOAL has little chance but I honestly can't imagine what else #10 would be...Hands To Myself I feel will have less points, In The Night is (sadly) on the decline now and Summer Sixteen will obviously fall out of the top ten this week (possibly even top 20). This may be one of those weeks where there's a huge gap between 9 and 10

First the prediction for PILLOWTALK was #5, then #7, and now #9? 

I could be wrong of course, but it's just that it's been falling a lot in YouTube streams and especially sales while songs like Me Myself & I and Roses are gaining so I think they could pass it. I highly doubt it'll be in the top 5 though. I think #7 is the highest it could possibly be. 

[Ravi]

Feb 12, 2016 13:12:32 GMT -5 @markg94 said:

Feb 12, 2016 9:46:38 GMT -5 MTSChart21 said:

First the prediction for PILLOWTALK was #5, then #7, and now #9? 

I could be wrong of course, but it's just that it's been falling a lot in YouTube streams and especially sales while songs like Me Myself & I and Roses are gaining so I think they could pass it. I highly doubt it'll be in the top 5 though. I think #7 is the highest it could possibly be. 

#7 is where it will be...... no more, no less.

I could be wrong, of course. :)

But I am probably not.

[Envoirment]

52 When We Were Young Adele 1806845

Great start for this on spotify - should provide a nice boost for it on the Hot 100. It's climbing more and more each day on spotify so I expect it'll do around 2.5-3 million streams next week. Perhaps even more with the Grammys performance coming up.

[Ravi]

Feb 12, 2016 13:38:22 GMT -5 Envoirment said:

52 When We Were Young Adele 1806845

Great start for this on spotify - should provide a nice boost for it on the Hot 100. It's climbing more and more each day on spotify so I expect it'll do around 2.5-3 million streams next week. Perhaps even more with the Grammys performance coming up.

"When We Were Young" should enter Top-20 this week.

Good shot at entering Top-10 next week.

[Kworb]

Sales estimates

1. My House 127,000
2. Work 99,000
3. Love Yourself 95,000
4. Stressed Out 91,000
5. Pillowtalk 83,000
6. Adventure Of A Lifetime 72,000
7. Hello 60,000
8. Me, Myself & I 59,000
9. Low Life 56,000
10. One Call Away 52,000
11. Sorry 50,000
12. Hands To Myself 47,000
13. Down In The DM 45,000
14. Roses 45,000
15. Summer Sixteen 42,000
16. 7 Years 40,000
17. When We Were Young 40,000
18. Fly Shit Only 39,000
19. Die A Happy Man 38,000
20. Cake By The Ocean 37,000
21. Viva La Vida 35,000

kworb.net/cc

[Deleted]

Feb 12, 2016 13:23:19 GMT -5 Ravi said:

Feb 12, 2016 13:12:32 GMT -5 @markg94 said:

I could be wrong of course, but it's just that it's been falling a lot in YouTube streams and especially sales while songs like Me Myself & I and Roses are gaining so I think they could pass it. I highly doubt it'll be in the top 5 though. I think #7 is the highest it could possibly be. 

#7 is where it will be...... no more, no less.

I could be wrong, of course. :)

But I am probably not.

Let's do some calculations

PILLOWTALK:

Sales ~= 81k/9 = 9000
Airplay ~= 30M/10k = 3000
Streaming ~= 13.2M/1200 = 11000
Total = 23000



Roses:

Sales ~= 45k/9 = 5000
Airplay ~= 80M/10k = 8000
Streaming ~= 7.8M/1200 = 6500
Total = 19500



Me Myself & I:

Sales ~= 63k/9 = 7000
Airplay ~= 55M/10 = 5500
Streaming ~= 12M/1200 = 10000
Total ~= 22500



so it probably won't be #9 then I guess. It'll come really close between 7 and 8. I have a feeling sales isn't weighted quite as heavily as everyone thinks (maybe sales/10 instead of sales/9). I'm gonna predict that PILLOWTALK will be #8, with Me Myself & I at #7 and Roses at #9

[Ravi]

Revised Predictions:

Rank	Song	Sales	Airplay	Streams	Points
1	Love Yourself	95	140	16.0	37,900
2	Stressed Out	95	135	13.0	34,900
3	Sorry	50	135	17.0	33,200
4	My House	130	75	11.0	31,100
5	Hello	60	110	12.0	27,700
6	Work	100	65	10.0	25,900
7	PILLOWATALK	80	30	16.0	25,200
8	Me, Myself & I	60	55	12.5	22,600
9	Roses	45	80	9.0	20,500
10-12	Stitches	25	80	8.0	17,400
10-12	Adventure of a Lifetime	75	40	6.0	17,300
10-12	Hands To Myself	50	50	8.0	17,200

* Top 5 looks set, with Love Yourself regaining #1 spot, while "Stressed Out"and "My House" jumping to #2 and #4 respectively.

* Work should enter Top-5 in coming weeks, while PILLOWTALK held better than anybody expected. It might hang around in the lower half of Top-10 for a few more weeks now, it looks like. Zayn has a genuine hit.

* Me, Myself & I overtakes Roses, and I have a feeling it is going to be in Top-10 for a long long long time.

* It has got pretty interesting for #10. "Adventure of a Lifetime" couldn't maintain the momentum. On the other hand, Stitches is showing great longevity. Hands To Myself also has a shot at re-entering Top-10.

[Ravi]

Feb 12, 2016 14:12:36 GMT -5 @markg94 said:

Feb 12, 2016 13:23:19 GMT -5 Ravi said:

#7 is where it will be...... no more, no less.

I could be wrong, of course. :)

But I am probably not.

Let's do some calculations

PILLOWTALK:

Sales ~= 81k/9 = 9000
Airplay ~= 30M/10k = 3000
Streaming ~= 13.2M/1200 = 11000
Total = 23000



Roses:

Sales ~= 45k/9 = 5000
Airplay ~= 80M/10k = 8000
Streaming ~= 7.8M/1200 = 6500
Total = 19500



Me Myself & I:

Sales ~= 63k/9 = 7000
Airplay ~= 55M/10 = 5500
Streaming ~= 12M/1200 = 10000
Total ~= 22500



so it probably won't be #9 then I guess. It'll come really close between 7 and 8. I have a feeling sales isn't weighted quite as heavily as everyone thinks (maybe sales/10 instead of sales/9). I'm gonna predict that PILLOWTALK will be #8, with Me Myself & I at #7 and Roses at #9

You are underestimating PILLOWTALK's streaming:

Format TW LW %Change

Spotify 7.63 9.49 -19.6%
Youtube 4.50 7.08 -36.5%

So overall, it should see 25-30% drop.

Last week, it had 22.3M streams. So this week it should have 15.5-16.5M streams.

[MTSChart21]

Streaming is killing Stressed Out's chances of being #1 :(

[popmusic1]

YOUTUBE BUIDLING CHART
Week ending: 02/11
Status: 02/05 - 02/10

Pos	Title	Artist	Building	Projected TW
1	Sorry	Justin Bieber	6.396	7.462
2	Love Yourself	Justin Bieber	5.414	6.317
3	Watch Me (Whip / Nae Nae)	SilentĂł	4.668	5.447
4	Hello	Adele	4.644	5.418
5	PILLOWTALK	Zayn Malik	3.936	4.592
6	Stressed Out	twenty one pilots	3.833	4.472
7	Don't	Bryson Tiller	3.485	4.066
8	Uptown Funk	Mark Ronson	3.309	3.860
9	Hotline Bling	Drake	3.271	3.816
10	What Do You Mean?	Justin Bieber	3.078	3.591
11	Me, Myself & I	G-Eazy	3.003	3.503
12	White Iverson	Post Malone	2.943	3.434
13	My House	Flo Rida	2.927	3.415
14	See You Again (feat. Charlie Puth)	Wiz Khalifa	2.923	3.411
15	Down In the DM	Yo Gotti	2.812	3.281
16	The Hills	The Weeknd	2.723	3.177
17	Trap Queen	Fetty Wap	2.684	3.131
18	679	Fetty Wap	2.611	3.046
19	Say It	Tory Lanez	2.589	3.020
20	Stitches	Shawn Mendes	2.569	2.997
21	Exchange	Bryson Tiller	2.520	2.940
22	Jumpman	Drake	2.362	2.756
23	Best Friend	Young Thug	2.311	2.696
24	Antidote	Travis Scott	2.239	2.612
25	2 Phones	Kevin Gates	2.044	2.385
26	Really Really	Kevin Gates	1.981	2.312
27	Shake It Off	Taylor Swift	1.963	2.290
28	Lean On (feat. MĂ? & DJ Snake)	Major Lazer	1.894	2.209
29	Roses	The Chainsmokers	1.801	2.101
30	Betcha Can't Do It Like Me Challenge	DLow	1.773	2.068
31	Watch Me Work	Tinashe	1.756	2.048
32	My Way (Feat. Monty)	Fetty Wap	1.718	2.004
33	Here	Alessia Cara	1.689	1.970
34	Can't Feel My Face	The Weeknd	1.672	1.951
35	Sugar	Maroon 5	1.657	1.933
36	Hymn For The Weekend	Coldplay	1.645	1.919
37	Where Ya At	Future	1.641	1.915
38	Hands To Myself	Selena Gomez	1.625	1.896
39	Like I'm Gonna Lose You	Meghan Trainor	1.601	1.867
40	Gangnam Style	PSY	1.594	1.860

Others:
7/11 Beyonce 1.137m
Adventure Of A Lifetime Coldplay 1.144m
Paradise Coldplay 788k
Work Rihanna 740k
The Sound Of Silence Disturbed 605k

[Deleted]

^ Wait, how did you get 16M streams for PILLOWTALK? Lmfao

Also Sitiches will be #12 at best. 10 and 11 will be the other two you mentioned

Rank Song Sales Airplay Streams Points
1 Love Yourself 95 140 15.0 37,000
2 Stressed Out 90 140 10.8 33,000 
3 Sorry 50 135 15.6 32,000
4 My House 135 75 10.0 31,000
5 Hello 60 110 10.0 26,000
6 Work 99 65 9.0 25,000
7-8 PILLOWTALK 80 30 14.0 23,500
7-8 Me, Myself & I 63 55 12.6 23,000
9 Roses 45 80 8.0 19,500
10-11 Hands To Myself 50 50 8.0 17,000
10-11 Adventure of a Lifetime 72 40 6.0 17,000
12 Stitches 27 75 6.6 16,000
13 Hotline Bling 27 50 8.4 15,000
14(?) Cake By The Ocean 36 60 4.8 13,000

[Deleted]

Feb 12, 2016 15:14:03 GMT -5 MTSChart21 said:

Streaming is killing Stressed Out's chances of being #1 :(

I'd say it's a combination of everything, not just streaming. It always manages to have slightly worse sales and airplay than Love Yourself too. Neither of these songs have any real weak points anymore, but Love Yourself just has better numbers all around.

[Deleted]

Feb 12, 2016 14:56:30 GMT -5 Ravi said:

Feb 12, 2016 14:12:36 GMT -5 @markg94 said:

Let's do some calculations

PILLOWTALK:

Sales ~= 81k/9 = 9000
Airplay ~= 30M/10k = 3000
Streaming ~= 13.2M/1200 = 11000
Total = 23000



Roses:

Sales ~= 45k/9 = 5000
Airplay ~= 80M/10k = 8000
Streaming ~= 7.8M/1200 = 6500
Total = 19500



Me Myself & I:

Sales ~= 63k/9 = 7000
Airplay ~= 55M/10 = 5500
Streaming ~= 12M/1200 = 10000
Total ~= 22500



so it probably won't be #9 then I guess. It'll come really close between 7 and 8. I have a feeling sales isn't weighted quite as heavily as everyone thinks (maybe sales/10 instead of sales/9). I'm gonna predict that PILLOWTALK will be #8, with Me Myself & I at #7 and Roses at #9

You are underestimating PILLOWTALK's streaming:

Format TW LW %Change

Spotify 7.63 9.49 -19.6%
Youtube 4.50 7.08 -36.5%

So overall, it should see 25-30% drop.

Last week, it had 22.3M streams. So this week it should have 15.5-16.5M streams.

How does it get so much streaming outside of YouTube and Spotify? I thought those two would be 90% of total streaming. Anyway, even under my model, PILLOWTALK is ahead so I will change my prediction to PILLOWTALK at #7 and MM&I #8. 

Feb 12, 2016 15:44:57 GMT -5 @zach808 said:

Feb 12, 2016 15:14:03 GMT -5 MTSChart21 said:

Streaming is killing Stressed Out's chances of being #1 :(

I'd say it's a combination of everything, not just streaming. It always manages to have slightly worse sales and airplay than Love Yourself too. Neither of these songs have any real weak points anymore, but Love Yourself just has better numbers all around.

Stressed Out will likely be ahead of Love Yourself in airplay very soon and possibly sales as well (LY saw a weird surge the last few days...maybe a low key commercial feature or something. Ultimately, streaming will likely be the downfall of Stressed Out. It was so close too :(

[Deleted]

I'm actually thinking that airplay's gonna be about the same for the two going forward. Both songs are maxing out their potential at pop radio, and are only having decent to bad gains on rhythmic and HAC. I imagine they're both gonna peak at around the same place. As for sales, Stressed Out's been on a bigger downward spiral than Love Yourself for a couple weeks now. Unless Love Yourself absolutely crashes in sales in a couple days, I'm pretty sure the streaming would be nothing but the nail in the coffin. I'm thinking My House is gonna knock them both out in the next couple weeks. Sales for that song have not cooled down from the Super Bowl, and it's making a lot of gains everywhere else too.

[Deleted]

Yeah I wouldn't be surprised either if My House eventually spends a week or two at #1. It still has plenty room to grow on airplay and streaming before that happens though.

And actually on pop radio Stressed Out is gaining nicely on Love Yourself (LY is decreasing while SO is still steadily increasing...though I get what you're saying in that SO probably won't be increasing for much longer)

[Au$tin]

Current AI bullets for "Stressed Out" and "Love Yourself" across formats:

Pop
Love Yourself - 126.765 (+1.138)
Stressed Out - 117.563 (+9.735)

Hot AC
Love Yourself - 21.504 (+3.164)
Stressed Out - 34.486 (+1.911)

Rhythmic
Love Yourself - 20.076 (+1.441)
Stressed Out - 1.401 (+0.056)

AC
Love Yourself - 1.252 (+0.285)
Stressed Out - 0.218 (+0.057)

Those are the only formats that both songs are charting in the top 50 right now. Across all of them, that's an overall increase of +6.028 for "Love Yourself" and +11.759 for "Stressed Out." (This is of course weekly.)

Just for a nice comparison to see how they're both growing in airplay right now.

[forg]

My House I think is likely the next #1, sales are so good and it will only rise soon enough on both airplay and streaming

[Ravi]

Feb 12, 2016 15:51:54 GMT -5 @markg94 said:

Feb 12, 2016 14:56:30 GMT -5 Ravi said:

You are underestimating PILLOWTALK's streaming:

Format TW LW %Change

Spotify 7.63 9.49 -19.6%
Youtube 4.50 7.08 -36.5%

So overall, it should see 25-30% drop.

Last week, it had 22.3M streams. So this week it should have 15.5-16.5M streams.

How does it get so much streaming outside of YouTube and Spotify? I thought those two would be 90% of total streaming. Anyway, even under my model, PILLOWTALK is ahead so I will change my prediction to PILLOWTALK at #7 and MM&I #8. 

It's more like 72-80%. I guess Apple Music etc. make significant contribution............

[THINKIN BOUT YOU]

Feb 9, 2016 19:00:06 GMT -5 carreramd said:

Acquainted is the next single of The Weeknd? 3 weeks in a row on the Hot 100.

It sounds so much like The Hills...