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Post by Mike is BAD on Mar 6, 2016 15:09:25 GMT -5
Predictions
1. Work
2-3. LY/SO
4. My House
5. PBP
6. Sorry
7. MM&I
8. PILLOWTALK
9. 7 Years
10. ITAPII
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badrobot
3x Platinum Member
Joined: November 2006
Posts: 3,392
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Post by badrobot on Mar 6, 2016 16:35:24 GMT -5
I wonder how many more weeks at #1 Mariah would have if not for limited/deleted singles. I wonder if she actually would've had a lot fewer weeks at #1 if the 90s/early-00s market had been more like today's with a more even playing field. With a handful of exceptions for songs that were only moderate airplay hits, Mariah consistently released physical singles (often with deep discounts) at a time when many big hits were withheld entirely, which helped her immensely on the charts. It would be quite interesting to see if there would be any way to guess at how airplay-only hits from that era would've actually performed if they had physical releases, and which songs they would've displaced at #1. |
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Deleted
Joined: January 1970
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Mar 6, 2016 16:36:04 GMT -5
I just listened to Work From Home on Spotify and, somewhat to my surprise, I actually liked it! Definitely prefer it to Worth It! I hope it can somehow manage to get that top 10 debut this week I also listened to NO and even though I thought it was catchy and I liked it, I can kinda understand the hate towards it. The best actually kinda reminds me of This Love by Maroon 5 lol WFH looks like it would debut at highest, maybe #9 Pretty sure it will be in the top 15 though, top ten is hard since Ibiza, 7 years, One Call Away, and such are riding up there way to the top ten. |
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jenglisbe
Diamond Member
Joined: January 2005
Posts: 35,611
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Post by jenglisbe on Mar 6, 2016 20:06:51 GMT -5
I wonder how many more weeks at #1 Mariah would have if not for limited/deleted singles. I wonder if she actually would've had a lot fewer weeks at #1 if the 90s/early-00s market had been more like today's with a more even playing field. With a handful of exceptions for songs that were only moderate airplay hits, Mariah consistently released physical singles (often with deep discounts) at a time when many big hits were withheld entirely, which helped her immensely on the charts. It would be quite interesting to see if there would be any way to guess at how airplay-only hits from that era would've actually performed if they had physical releases, and which songs they would've displaced at #1. Sure, but then it means current airplay rules (i.e. all formats counting) would have been in effect for all of the 90s. She might then have had more #1s because of her multi-format appeal. |
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Post by areyoureadytojump on Mar 6, 2016 20:19:28 GMT -5
Thanks to Charter2000:
YTD 2016: SONGS WEEK 8
Rank - Estimated Sales (m) - TITLE - Artist
01 - 0,99 - LOVE YOURSELF - Justin Bieber
02 - 0,90 - STRESSED OUT - twenty one pilots
03 - 0,85 - MY HOUSE - Flo Rida
04 - 0,68 - WORK - Rihanna
05 - 0,63 - HELLO - Adele
06 - 0,58 - SORRY - Justin Bieber
07 - 0,54 - PILLOWTALK - ZAYN
08 - 0,50 - ME, MYSELF & I - G-Eazy & Bebe Rexha
09 - 0,48 - ONE CALL AWAY - Charlie Puth
10 - 0,48 - ROSES - The Chainsmokers
11 - 0,41 - HANDS TO MYSELF - Selena Gomez
12 - 0,37 - CAKE BY THE OCEAN - DNCE
13 - 0,36 - DIE A HAPPY MAN - Thomas Rhett
14 - 0,35 - I KNOW WHAT YOU DID LAST SUMMER - Shawn Mendes & Camila Cabello
15 - 0,33 - WHEN WE WERE YOUNG - Adele
16 - 0,31 - SUMMER SIXTEEN - Drake
17 - 0,31 - STAND BY YOU - Rachel Platten
18 - 0,29 - HIDE AWAY - Daya
19 - 0,29 - 7 YEARS - Lukas Graham
20 - 0,28 - STITCHES - Shawn Mendes
21 - 0,28 - SAME OLD LOVE - Selena Gomez
22 - 0,27 - LIKE I'M GONNA LOSE YOU - Meghan Trainor
23 - 0,26 - IN THE NIGHT - The Weeknd
24 - 0,26 - EX'S & OH'S - Elle King
25 - 0,25 - ADVENTURE OF A LIFETIME - Coldplay
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leoapp
4x Platinum Member
Joined: March 2008
Posts: 4,991
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Post by leoapp on Mar 6, 2016 22:52:17 GMT -5
Didn't Sony delete the single so Celine could get #1? I can't recall. Possibly. I don't remember reading about "OSD" in particular, but I know previous single "Fantasy" was deleted. That makes a lot of sense. I was surprised they actually kept the physical single around that long. After all, "IBT" was deleted when it was #1 to push Unplugged sales and that seemed to be the beginning of that practice (or at least one that was reported on). Yeah "IBT" was limited/deleted. I wonder how many more weeks at #1 Mariah would have if not for limited/deleted singles. At a minimum I'll Be There, Fantasy, Heartbreaker, and TGIFY were limited/deleted. I think there may have been more. The week "Smooth" took over #1 from "Heartbreaker" Billboard noted what a close race it was, so surely "HB" would have had another week at #1 with more singles available. IBT, Fantasy, OSD, Heartbreaker and TGIFY were all deleted. I didn't know why Fantasy was deleted so early. She could've had back to back #1 debuts. Whitney's Exhale luckily interrupted for 1 week before OSD debuted. OSD was deleted to help Celine' Beacuse You Loved Me zoomed to #1. But Can't Let Go was her first single to get deleted, but it peaked at #2 Hot 100 (damn!!!, still mad with this, maybe they thought it would peak at #1 with limited single, wrong calculation). It's to increase Emotions album sales which at that time underperformed (#4 Billboard 200 peak and declined a bit quick), a disappointment compared to her massive debut album sales. |
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carreramd
Charting
Joined: September 2015
Posts: 406 
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Post by carreramd on Mar 6, 2016 23:38:54 GMT -5
predictions
1. WORK
2. LOVE YOURSELF
3. STRESSED OUT
4. MY HOUSE
5. SORRY
6/7. PILLOWTALK
6/7. PIECE BY PIECE
8. ME, MYSELF & I
9. 7 YEARS
10. HELLO
11/12. CAKE BY THE OCEAN
11/12. WORK FROM HOME
13. ROSES
14. I TOOK A PILL IN IBIZA
15. HANDS TO MYSELF
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Post by Mike is BAD on Mar 7, 2016 6:44:29 GMT -5
predictions 1. WORK 2. LOVE YOURSELF 3. STRESSED OUT 4. MY HOUSE 5. SORRY 6/7. PILLOWTALK 6/7. PIECE BY PIECE 8. ME, MYSELF & I 9. 7 YEARS 10. HELLO 11/12. CAKE BY THE OCEAN 11/12. WORK FROM HOME 13. ROSES 14. I TOOK A PILL IN IBIZA 15. HANDS TO MYSELF That is very similar to Istravi's prediction! |
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Daniel Collins
4x Platinum Member
With every broken bone, I swear I lived
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Post by Daniel Collins on Mar 7, 2016 9:16:07 GMT -5
2016/03/07
*** = dropped or added a format
1. JUSTIN BIEBER - Love Yourself: 201.940 (+0.930)
2. TWENTY ONE PILOTS - Stressed Out: 185.003 (-0.100)
3. JUSTIN BIEBER - Sorry: 150.134 (-1.723)
4. RIHANNA - Work f/Drake: 137.644 (+3.954***)
5. FLO RIDA - My House: 131.764 (+1.405)
6. ADELE - Hello: 112.353 (-0.577)
7. G-EAZY - Me Myself And I f/Bebe Rexha: 108.338 (+1.007)
8. THE CHAINSMOKERS - Roses f/Rozes: 100.220 (+0.311) ▲
9. SHAWN MENDES - Stitches: 99.670 (-0.352) ▼
10. DNCE - Cake By The Ocean: 96.789 (+1.101)
11. SELENA GOMEZ - Hands To Myself: 93.034 (+1.233)
12. CHARLIE PUTH - One Call Away: 80.446 (+0.590)
13. ADELE - When We Were Young: 77.520 (-1.116)
14. SELENA GOMEZ - Same Old Love: 71.988 (-1.659***)
15. RANDY HOUSER - We Went: 71.920 (+0.582) ▲
16. CARRIE UNDERWOOD - Heartbeat: 71.504 (+0.271) ▲
17. TAYLOR SWIFT - Wildest Dreams: 71.342 (-0.342) ▼
18. ZAYN - Pillowtalk: 71.277 (+1.255) ▲
19. THE WEEKND - In The Night: 69.109 (-2.785) ▼
20. ALESSIA CARA - Here: 66.109 (-1.211)
21. ELLE KING - Ex's and Oh's: 65.715 (-0.996)
22. ZAC BROWN BAND - Beautiful Drug: 65.424 (+0.627)
23. MIKE POSNER - I Took A Pill In Ibiza: 65.054 (+1.533)
24. RACHEL PLATTEN - Stand By You: 60.664 (-1.052)
25. BRETT ELDREDGE - Drunk On Your Love: 58.605 (+0.639) ▲
26. COLE SWINDELL - You Should Be Here: 58.101 (+0.308) ▲
27. MEGHAN TRAINOR - Like I'm Gonna Lose You: 56.459 (-0.756) ▲
28. KEITH URBAN - Break On Me: 56.211 (-2.096) ▼
29. DAYA - Hide Away: 55.259 (-1.867)
30. TORY LANEZ - Say It: 54.617 (-0.832)
31. FLORIDA-GEORGIA LINE - Confession: 53.542 (+0.093)
32. CHASE BRYANT - Little Bit Of You: 52.915 (+0.133) ▲
33. WALK THE MOON - Shut Up And Dance: 52.671 (-0.410) ▼
34. LUKAS GRAHAM - 7 Years: 52.535 (+1.123) ▲
35. ELLIE GOULDING - Something In The Way You Move: 52.223 (+0.249) ▼
36. THOMAS RHETT - Die A Happy Man: 50.158 (-0.177)
37. RASCAL FLATTS - I Like The Sound Of That: 49.552 (+0.556) ▲
38. THE WEEKND - The Hills: 49.518 (+0.192) ▼
39. CHRIS BROWN - Back To Sleep: 48.972 (-0.158)
40. ROBIN SCHULZ - Sugar f/Francesco Yates: 48.536 (-0.216) ▲
41. DRAKE - Hotline Bling: 48.125 (-1.060) ▼
42. GRANGER SMITH - Backroad Song: 46.968 (-1.580)
43. BRYSON TILLER - Don't: 46.394 (-1.004)
44. YO GOTTI - Down In The DM: 45.824 (-0.225) ▲
45. ELLIE GOULDING - On My Mind: 45.601 (-1.415) ▼
46. LUKE BRYAN - Home Alone Tonight: 45.120 (-1.100) ▼
47. JEREMIH - Oui: 44.363 (+0.004)
48. JASON DERULO - Want To Want Me: 44.133 (-0.020)
49. BEYONCE - Formation: 43.341 (+0.619)
50. OLD DOMINION - Snapback: 43.045 (+0.399)
51. DRAKE & FUTURE - Jumpman: 43.019 (+0.384)
52. CHRIS STAPLETON - Nobody To Blame: 41.140 (+0.409) ▲
53. MARK RONSON - Uptown Funk f/Bruno Mars: 40.831 (-0.095) ▼
54. MAREN MORRIS - My Church: 38.913 (-0.137)
55. COLDPLAY - Adventure Of A Lifetime: 38.779 (+1.143***) ▲
56. JAMES BAY - Let It Go: 38.761 (+0.524) ▼
57. MAJOR LAZER - Lean On f/MØ & DJ Snake: 38.056 (+0.162) ▼
58. DUSTIN LYNCH - Mind Reader: 36.765 (+0.351)
59. CHRIS YOUNG & CASSADEE POPE - Think Of You: 36.346 (+0.581) ▲
60. X AMBASSADORS - Renegades: 36.276 (+0.005) ▼
61. FETTY WAP - Again: 36.068 (+1.427***) ▲
62. THE WEEKND - Can't Feel My Face: 35.705 (+0.479) ▼
63. LEE BRICE - That Don't Sound Like You: 35.341 (+0.453) ▼
64. DJ SNAKE - Middle f/Bipolar Sunshine: 34.446 (+1.177) ▲
65. ZARA LARSSON & MNEK - Never Forget You: 33.543 (+2.133***) ▲
66. DIERKS BENTLEY - Somewhere On A Beach: 33.196 (+0.292)
67. R. CITY - Locked Away f/Adam Levine: 33.089 (-0.586) ▼
68. TAYLOR SWIFT - New Romantics: 32.604 (+1.453) ▲
69. LOCASH - I Love This Life: 32.264 (-0.257) ▼
70. MEGHAN TRAINOR - NO: 31.838 (+5.956) ▲
71. RACHEL PLATTEN - Fight Song: 31.533 (+0.009) ▼
72. BROTHERS OSBORNE - Stay A Little Longer: 31.503 (-0.906) ▼
73. KELSEA BALLERINI - Dibs: 31.100 (-1.235) ▼
74. DJ LUKE NASTYY - Might Be: 31.073 (+0.499)
75. ED SHEERAN - Photograph: 30.898 (+0.081) ▼
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MTSChart21
4x Platinum Member
"My Name's Blurryface"
If I can't be close to you, I'll settle for the ghost of you
Joined: October 2015
Posts: 4,347
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Post by MTSChart21 on Mar 7, 2016 9:21:04 GMT -5
Wow! Love Yourself is still gaining
Nice gains for My House, PILLOWTALK, I Took A Pill In Ibiza, 7 Years, NO, and Never Forget You.
I like this update. (Except for Stressed Out losing airplay)
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Verisimilitude
8x Platinum Member
'90s Zealot
Joined: July 2010
Posts: 8,976
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Post by Verisimilitude on Mar 7, 2016 11:12:45 GMT -5
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Deleted
Joined: January 1970
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Mar 7, 2016 11:59:30 GMT -5
US DIGITAL SALES
01 PIECE BY PIECE 210k
02 WORK 154k
03 MY HOUSE 103k
04 7 YEARS 95k
05 WORK FROM HOME 88k
06 PILLOWTALK 83k
07 STRESSED OUT 82k
08 LOVE YOURSELF 80k
09 ME MYSELF & I 61k
10 I TOOK A PILL IN IBIZA 59k
19 IT'S YOU 36k
27 TIL IT HAPPENS TO YOU 28k
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Caviar
Diamond Member
Queen X
Joined: October 2003
Posts: 31,164
My Charts
Pronouns: He/his
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Post by Caviar on Mar 7, 2016 12:21:21 GMT -5
Damn! "Work" got 43 million streams again?!? Has any other song consistently gotten updates this big?
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Deleted
Joined: January 1970
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Mar 7, 2016 12:34:09 GMT -5
Damn! "Work" got 43 million streams again?!? Has any other song consistently gotten updates this big? Hello had 3 straight 40m+ streaming weeks... its first week had over 60m. |
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Caviar
Diamond Member
Queen X
Joined: October 2003
Posts: 31,164
My Charts
Pronouns: He/his
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Post by Caviar on Mar 7, 2016 12:40:25 GMT -5
Damn! "Work" got 43 million streams again?!? Has any other song consistently gotten updates this big? Hello had 3 straight 40m+ streaming weeks... its first week had over 60m. Thanks. I knew Hello had 60 million first week but wasn't so sure after that. |
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Deleted
Joined: January 1970
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Mar 7, 2016 12:46:13 GMT -5
Hello had 3 straight 40m+ streaming weeks... its first week had over 60m. Thanks. I knew Hello had 60 million first week but wasn't so sure after that. You're welcome. And just for reference/comparison sake, Hello's 4th through 10th week streaming figures: 4 34.7m 5 35.5m 6 27.5m 7 26.5m 8 21.6m 9 21.1m 10 19.8m |
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MTSChart21
4x Platinum Member
"My Name's Blurryface"
If I can't be close to you, I'll settle for the ghost of you
Joined: October 2015
Posts: 4,347
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Post by MTSChart21 on Mar 7, 2016 13:23:03 GMT -5
My Predictions:
1. Work (=)
2. Love Yourself (=)
3. Stressed Out (=)
4. My House (+1)
5. Sorry (-1)
6. PILLOWTALK (=)
7. Piece By Piece (Debut)
8. Me, Myself & I (-1)
9. 7 Years (+3)
10. Hello (-2)
11. Cake By The Ocean (-2)
12. Work From Home (Debut)
13. Roses (-3)
14. I Took A Pill In Ibiza (+1)
15. Hands To Myself (-4)
16. One Call Away (-2)
17. Down In The DM (-4)
18. Stitches (-2)
19. Don't (-2)
23. Back To Sleep (+13)
31. Never Forget You (+27)
47. Middle (+10)
58. YOUTH (+9)
61. iT's YoU (Debut)
75. New Romantics (Re-Entry)
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Deleted
Joined: January 1970
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Mar 7, 2016 13:33:18 GMT -5
Fifth Harmony fans won't be too pleased if WFH debuts AND peaks at #12. >  |
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MTSChart21
4x Platinum Member
"My Name's Blurryface"
If I can't be close to you, I'll settle for the ghost of you
Joined: October 2015
Posts: 4,347
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Post by MTSChart21 on Mar 7, 2016 13:37:51 GMT -5
Fifth Harmony fans won't be too pleased if WFH debuts AND peaks at #12. > I have a funny feeling it will peak at whatever position it debuts at. And I think it will debut at #12 |
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skizzo
3x Platinum Member
Joined: May 2007
Posts: 3,538
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Post by skizzo on Mar 7, 2016 13:39:50 GMT -5
I wonder how many more weeks at #1 Mariah would have if not for limited/deleted singles. I wonder if she actually would've had a lot fewer weeks at #1 if the 90s/early-00s market had been more like today's with a more even playing field. With a handful of exceptions for songs that were only moderate airplay hits, Mariah consistently released physical singles (often with deep discounts) at a time when many big hits were withheld entirely, which helped her immensely on the charts. It would be quite interesting to see if there would be any way to guess at how airplay-only hits from that era would've actually performed if they had physical releases, and which songs they would've displaced at #1. Pretty sure songs like "Torn", "As Long As You Love Me", "Oops! I Did It Again", "Lovefool", "Iris", would've been #1 at one point. |
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Deleted
Joined: January 1970
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Mar 7, 2016 13:40:05 GMT -5
Fifth Harmony fans won't be too pleased if WFH debuts AND peaks at #12. > I'm not a 5H fan and even I won't be pleased if that happens. I ended up liking the song after first listen (I liked Sledgehammer too) so I do hope it manages to make the top ten. Even though it is somewhat a replica of "Work" and the beat resembles Maroon 5's "This Love" lol, it's quite catchy! |
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Deleted
Joined: January 1970
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Mar 7, 2016 13:47:00 GMT -5
Is James Bay's "Let It Go" going to go up in position and will it do well on the charts (not saying top 10, but at least have some longevity and have some moderate success)? I really enjoy that song.
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imbondz
2x Platinum Member
Joined: January 2006
Posts: 2,609
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Post by imbondz on Mar 7, 2016 14:11:39 GMT -5
^ it's already successful regardless of what position it ends up on the charts.
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Deleted
Joined: January 1970
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Mar 7, 2016 14:33:31 GMT -5
Via Periscope Live Stream: 10. Cake By The Ocean 9. 7 Years 8. Piece By Piece (thought it would be higher...) 7. Me, Myself & I 6. Pillowtalk (24-15 on radio) 5. Sorry (FINALLY!) 4. My House (finally!!!!!) 3. Stressed Out (at long last #1 on Pop Radio!!!) 2. Love Yourself 1. Work (44.4 million streams) OTHERS: Not on Hot 100 yet: Company (debuts on Pop Songs) and New Romantics 59. It's You 34. Never Forget You 15. Hands To Myself 14. I Took A Pill In Ibiza 12. Work From Home 11. Hello They said Sorry debuted at #1  |
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Dylan :)
Diamond Member
smth 'bout youu
Joined: October 2014
Posts: 13,029
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Post by Dylan :) on Mar 7, 2016 14:34:21 GMT -5
Just beat me to it :(
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Deleted
Joined: January 1970
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Mar 7, 2016 14:37:43 GMT -5
sorry hehe  |
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Deleted
Joined: January 1970
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Mar 7, 2016 14:39:11 GMT -5
so far looks like Hello might be out of the T10 this week
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Deleted
Joined: January 1970
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Mar 7, 2016 14:41:24 GMT -5
so far looks like Hello might be out of the T10 this week yep :( also pretty obviously no 5H in top ten... |
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Dylan :)
Diamond Member
smth 'bout youu
Joined: October 2014
Posts: 13,029
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Post by Dylan :) on Mar 7, 2016 14:48:19 GMT -5
Why did they have to say #9 would be "worth it" :'( Probably #11 lol
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Deleted
Joined: January 1970
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Mar 7, 2016 14:52:26 GMT -5
OH SNAP! 12 was dead on.
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