HITS 10/19: ASIB #1 133k, Quavo #2 98k, Ella Mai #5 64k

[Baby Yoda Hot100Fan]

NEW RELEASES TO MAKE YOU QUAVER

Monday, October 15, 2018

Look for the Lady Gaga-Bradley Cooper A Star Is Born ST to repeat at #1 next week, with early reads pointing to a total north of 125k. Here's what we have so far for the two key new releases of the week:

Quavo (Quality Control/Motown/Capitol) 100-110k total activity, 5-7k album
Ella Mai (10 Summers/Interscope) 50-55k, 13-15k

Also due to be in five or six figures this week: bong hits by our editorial staff. Stay tuned for updates, as well as more weed jokes.

[Eloqueen™]

LG is KILLING it.

[Caviar]

Ouch at Ella. Hopefully she can get to 80k.

[Rican@]

Right. Ouch at Ella. I'd assume she would be the first R&B female singer (whose name isn't Beyonce) in a while to hit 100K SPS especially with a top 5 hit and almost top 10 hit too. But damn!

[Future Captain]

Not surprised at Ella's number tbh. Boo'd Up and Trip are big hits but she's pretty much another faceless R&B hitmaker.

[collegedropout]

Did Ella beat Sza?

[Mayman]

About what I expected for Quavo, although wouldn't be surprised if his numbers went down.

Okay numbers for Ella, expected her to do better.

[Deleted]

Oct 15, 2018 19:49:27 GMT -5 collegedropout said:

Did Ella beat Sza?

No, but Ella's projections aren't too far off from that. Ctrl opened with 60k SPS (25k pure sales).

Ella is a new star (so r&b fans are still waiting for her to prove herself) with no crossover hits (so pop fans aren't checking for her). She has previous material, but unlike SZA virtually no one in the US had heard them before Boo'd Up, so she didn't have a cult following to give her a bit of a boost. With all that in mind, I think 50-55k is fine for what is essentially her major label debut. The important thing for her is to have a long era so people will be more immediately interested in her when album #2 comes.

[jtd Thee Stallion]

I’m just glad Quavo isn’t gonna be #1 with that trash can of an albums.

[Wavey✨️]

That's not bad for Ella, it could trend upward if she has any late night performances this week. Interscope could've done worse smh.

Quavo, sis. 5-7k?

[Glove Slap]

NOT Quavoncé already at the EIL period on the first effort.

[Devil Marlena Nylund]

I'm trying to remember if any of Gaga's other #1 albums got more than a week at #1?

[Devil Marlena Nylund]

Oh right, Born This Way debuted at #1, stayed there for week 2 despite a then-record 84% drop and fell to #2 in its third week.

Artpop went 1-8-7 for its first three weeks

Not sure about Cheek To Cheek

Joanne went 1-5

[Enigma.]

Brilliant second week for ASIB, I can see it going platinum by the end of year!

[Baby Yoda Hot100Fan]

Oct 15, 2018 23:28:06 GMT -5 Devil Marlena Nylund said:

Not sure about Cheek To Cheek

1-4

[Choco]

Good for ASIB.

OK for Ella. Boo'd Up is bigger than any of SZA's singles so far, but I still feel like Ella is way more faceless to the GP than SZA.

ZZzZ @ Quavo. Boring ass album.

[Enigma.]

Quavo (and Lil Wayne's poor longevity so far) point out that not all rap is automatically embraced by streaming audience.

[Baby Yoda Hot100Fan]

Oct 16, 2018 13:25:11 GMT -5 Choco said:

Good for ASIB.

OK for Ella. Boo'd Up is bigger than any of SZA's singles so far, but I still feel like Ella is way more faceless to the GP than SZA.

Boo'd Up is definitely bigger than even All the Stars. I do think some people do recognize Ella given that the videos for Boo'd Up and Trip have been in the weekly top 10 of YouTube. But yeah, it is quite possible the GP doesn't what she looks like. That said, her song have even been more overlooked in her native UK.

[areyoureadytojump]

hitsdailydouble.com/news&id=313834&title=YOUR-TOP-20-IS-BORN-UNDER-A-BRAD-SIGN

Tuesday, October 16, 2018

YOUR TOP 20 IS BORN UNDER A BRAD SIGN

The Gaga-Bradley A Star Is Born ST will repeat at #1. UMG could have the top six titles this week and 8 of the Top 10.

1. Lady Gaga & Bradley Cooper (Interscope) 125-135k Total Activity, 79-84k Albums
2. *Quavo (QC/Motown/Capitol) 95-105k, 6-7k
3. Lil Wayne (Young Money) 90-95k, 9-11k
4. Lil Baby & Gunna (QC/Motown/Capitol) 64-69k, 1-2k
5. *Ella Mai (10 Summers/Interscope) 54-59k, 14-16k
6. Drake (YMCMB/Republic) 51-56k, 2-3k
7. Twenty One Pilots (Fueled By Ramen) 50-55k, 28-32k
8. Travis Scott (Cactus Jack/Grand Hustle/Epic) 43-47k, 2-3k
9. Post Malone (Republic) 41-45k, 3-4k
10. Eminem (Shady/Aftermath/Interscope) 34-37k, 9-11k

11. Juice WRLD (Grade A/Interscope) 29-32k, <1k
12. XXXTentacion (Bad Vibes Forever) 27-30k, 1-2k
13. Ariana Grande (Republic) 23-26k, 3-4k
14. Cardi B (Atlantic) 22-25k, <1k
15. Nicki Minaj (YMCMB/Republic) 22-25k, 2-3k
16. Kevin Gates (Atlantic) 22-25k, 1-2k
17. Luke Combs (River House/Columbia Nashville) 20-23k, 3-4k
18. The Greatest Showman (Atlantic) 19-22k, 9-11k
19. Eric Church (EMI Nashville) 18-20k, 12-14k
20. Ed Sheeran (Atlantic) 18-20k, 3-4k

*DEBUTS

[Enigma.]

I think so, considering it opened with almost 500k, but it's probably down to lack of real hits so far.

[Wavey✨️]

"Uproar" is getting the most steam so far(as a single). Another 100k for a 3rd week isn't bad, but consistent.

[Troublemaker]

TobyMac is supposedly selling well and he’s still not even top 20? These are scary times...

[Baby Yoda Hot100Fan]

^Mostly pure sales and minimal track sales and streaming of album songs have done to a lot of albums this year.

[Enigma.]

The quality of music aside, 53 year old Christian rapper is hardly in great demand in any era, not to mention streaming heavy one.

[#LisaRinna]

GODga is slaying everyone.

[Naos]

Oct 18, 2018 14:08:18 GMT -5 Enigma. said:

The quality of music aside, 53 year old Christian rapper is hardly in great demand in any era, not to mention streaming heavy one.

I would think the recent success of Lauren Daigle and NF would help the genre a bit, but they just seem like outliers.

[Anticonformity]

Tobymac's albums keep getting worse in quality imo

[Enigma.]

I don't think Christian music in general is in decline, For King & Country reached #7 just last week, Lauren Daigle crossed 100k and NF is getting pop radio success. It's just tobyMac himself and what's his position in the field.

[thegreatdivine]

This new generation of musicians will really find it hard to match yet alone surpass the numbers the Rihanna's, Drake's and Bruno's have put up in their careers. They can barely move any album or single units, lol. It's crazy. Ella Mai, despite blowing the hell up this year, can't even move 70k units first week?

[Baby Yoda Hot100Fan]

^Numbers are on average down for most artists. There have been few established artists beating their previous career highs or even last album numbers. So, it makes sense that the newer artists will tend to do worse unless they have already a certain level of success.