HITS 10/19: ASIB #1 133k, Quavo #2 98k, Ella Mai #5 64k

[Deleted]

Oct 19, 2018 5:14:54 GMT -5 thegreatdivine said:

This new generation of musicians will really find it hard to match yet alone surpass the numbers the Rihanna's, Drake's and Bruno's have put up in their careers. They can barely move any album or single units, lol. It's crazy. Ella Mai, despite blowing the hell up this year, can't even move 70k units first week?

Bruno went into his debut album with two top five features under his belt and the lead single sitting at #1 on the Hot 100 the week of release, and opened with 55k. Rihanna's debut sold 69k its first week on the back of a huge #2 summer hit. When Drake finally did drop a debut album it exploded with a 447k opening, but he had already built up a fanbase through 3 mixtapes and an EP that sold 73k its first week.

That's without going into my old-lady rant about how I miss the '80s and '90s, when you could debut at #80 - or heaven forbid, even #166! - and grow into your superstardom without people screaming 'flop! how is she not selling???' and throwing your whole career in a trashcan because you didn't take off fast enough for everyone's liking. Pretty much no debuts had good first weeks back then.

Ella is doing just fine with no preexisting fanbase and all of two r&b radio hits under her belt. Give her time to sink or swim on her own merits.

[thegreatdivine]

Oct 19, 2018 12:11:05 GMT -5 Baby Yoda Hot100Fan said:

^Numbers are on average down for most artists. There have been few established artists beating their previous career highs or even last album numbers. So, it makes sense that the newer artists will tend to do worse unless they have already a certain level of success.

I know. My comment wasn't to bring Ella Mai down, it was more a reflection on the times we're living in. Even though streaming is a thing now, most new artists will find it hard to match up the stats of the artists I mentioned and it's not their fault. It's just interesting to me.

[Baby Yoda Hot100Fan]

CHART STORY: A STAR SHINES ON

Friday, October 19, 2018

Interscope’s Lady Gaga and Bradley Cooper-led A Star Is Born soundtrack spends its second week at #1 on the HITS Top 50 Chart, tacking on another 134k as the set approaches gold certification. The week’s highest-charting debut, however, belongs to QC/Motown/Capitol’s Quavo, whose Quavo Huncho bows at #2 with approximately 99k.

Another noteworthy new release can be found in 10 Summers/Interscope’s Ella Mai, which rounds out the Top 5 while moving 64k.

And as YMCMB/Republic’s Drake finishes up seven sold-out shows in Los Angeles—three at Staples, four at The Forum—his 2018 blockbuster, Scorpion, creeps back up towards the Top 5, landing at #6 with nearly 50k.

When it comes to marketshare, UMG leads with 73%, WMG follows with 17% and SME is #3 with 9%, while the indies claim 1%.

Streeting this week are projects by Freebandz/Epic/Grade A/Interscope’s Future & Juice WRLD, Lava/Republic’s Greta Van Fleet, Reprise’s Disturbed, QC/Motown/Capitol’s Lil Yachty and Right Hand Music/RCA’s Khalid, as well as Hollywood’s Queen-filled Bohemian Rhapsody soundtrack.

In other news, everyone in the HITS offices thinks they’re going to win the one-billion-dollar Mega Millions Jackpot because they each put in $20. Their odds of winning are now said to be one in 292.2m. We can’t wait for the HITS-branded Caribbean island.

[Zach]

Really happy for ASIB holding up so relatively well. I find the chart runs of big soundtracks from films to be very interesting to watch play out.

[areyoureadytojump]

SPS

hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming

LW TW ARTIST | TITLE |
LABEL
TOTAL CHANGE ALBUMS TEA SEA

1 1 LADY GAGA & BRADLEY COOPER | A STAR IS BORN SOUNDTRACK
INTERSCOPE
133,888 -39% 79,924 20,397 33,567

-- 2 QUAVO | QUAVO HUNCHO
QUALITY CONTROL/MOTOWN/CAPITOL
98,553 -- 6,483 2,622 89,448
3 3 LIL WAYNE | THA CARTER V
YOUNG MONEY
79,269 -39% 8,185 2,178 68,906
4 4 LIL BABY & GUNNA | DRIP HARDER
QUALITY CONTROL/MOTOWN/CAPITOL
70,046 -45% 767 1,145 68,134
-- 5 ELLA MAI | ELLA MAI
10 SUMMERS/INTERSCOPE
64,429 -- 16,777 3,355 44,297
8 6 DRAKE | SCORPION
YMCMB/REPUBLIC
49,687 1% 2,733 2,218 44,736
2 7 TWENTY ONE PILOTS | TRENCH
FUELED BY RAMEN
45,252 -72% 25,913 727 18,612
9 8 TRAVIS SCOTT | ASTROWORLD
CACTUS JACK/GRAND HUSTLE/EPIC
41,093 -16% 2,614 1,308 37,172
10 9 POST MALONE | BEERBONGS & BENTLEYS
REPUBLIC
39,364 -5% 2,842 3,538 32,984
11 10 EMINEM | KAMIKAZE
SHADY/AFTERMATH/INTERSCOPE
32,852 -19% 9,391 1,972 21,490

14 11 JUICE WRLD | GOODBYE & GOOD RIDDANCE
GRADE A/INTERSCOPE
28,213 -10% 425 1,419 26,368
12 12 XXXTENTACION | ?
BAD VIBES FOREVER
26,498 -22% 1,068 1,052 24,377
13 13 KEVIN GATES | LUCA BRASI 3
ATLANTIC
26,203 -18% 1,842 385 23,977
16 14 ARIANA GRANDE | SWEETENER
REPUBLIC
24,305 -10% 3,144 1,635 19,526
20 15 CARDI B | INVASION OF PRIVACY
ATLANTIC
23,167 8% 850 2,134 20,183
-- 16 TOBYMAC | THE ELEMENTS
FOREFRONT
20,445 -- 16,932 1,091 2,422
5 17 ERIC CHURCH | DESPERATE MAN
EMI NASHVILLE
20,169 -83% 13,542 902 5,725
21 18 LUKE COMBS | THIS ONE'S FOR YOU TOO
RIVER HOUSE/COLUMBIA NASHVILLE
20,021 -7% 3,790 2,138 14,093
18 19 NICKI MINAJ | QUEEN
YMCMB/REPUBLIC
19,900 -20% 1,124 534 18,242
36 20 THE GREATEST SHOWMAN | SOUNDTRACK
ATLANTIC
19,732 -14% 9,321 1,598 8,813
22 21 LAUREN DAIGLE | LOOK UP CHILD
CENTRICITY
19,210 -14% 11,221 1,502 6,487
29 22 BTS | LOVE YOURSELF 'ANSWER'
BIGHIT/COLUMBIA
18,735 1% 9,581 1,122 8,032
31 23 ED SHEERAN | DIVIDE
ATLANTIC
17,768 -13% 2,864 1,925 12,980
19 24 SHECK WES | MUDBOY
CACTUS JACK/G.O.O.D./INTERSCOPE
17,640 -27% 1,342 712 15,586
24 25 POST MALONE | STONEY
REPUBLIC
17,534 -9% 881 804 15,849
-- 26 USHER & ZAYTOVEN | "A"
BRAND USHER/RCA
14,816 -- 4,302 899 9,616
23 27 XXXTENTACION | 17
BAD VIBES FOREVER/EMPIRE
14,753 -12% 222 361 14,170
26 28 LIL BABY | HARDER THAN EVER
QUALITY CONTROL/MOTOWN/CAPITOL
14,421 -8% 118 389 13,914
34 29 6LACK | EAST ATLANTA LOVE LETTER
LVRN/INTERSCOPE
14,030 0% 522 236 13,272
28 30 MAC MILLER | SWIMMING
WARNER BROS.
13,791 -10% 1,930 212 11,649
38 31 HAMILTON | ORIGINAL BROADWAY MUSICAL
UPTOWN/ATLANTIC
13,713 8% 3,857 300 9,557
25 32 TAYLOR SWIFT | REPUTATION
BIG MACHINE/BMLG
13,303 -18% 3,186 888 9,229
33 33 YOUNGBOY NEVER BROKE AGAIN | 4RESPECT 4FREEDOM 4LOYALTY 4WHATIMPORTANT
NEVER BROKE AGAIN
13,135 -9% 145 187 12,803
46 34 MAROON 5 | RED PILL BLUES
222/INTERSCOPE
13,083 -9% 920 2,455 9,708
37 35 IMAGINE DRAGONS | EVOLVE
KIDINAKORNER/INTERSCOPE
13,034 2% 2,864 1,654 8,517
-- 36 SHAWN MENDES | SHAWN MENDES
ISLAND
12,967 -- 4,354 924 7,689
42 37 PANIC! AT THE DISCO | PRAY FOR THE WICKED
CRUSH/FUELED BY RAMEN
12,814 4% 3,346 2,103 7,366
45 38 KHALID | AMERICAN TEEN
RIGHT HAND MUSIC/RCA
12,714 4% 750 348 11,615
50 39 QUEEN | GREATEST HITS
HOLLYWOOD
12,243 -4% 2,315 2,007 7,920
-- 40 ELVIS COSTELLO AND THE IMPOSTERS | LOOK NOW
CONCORD
12,089 -- 11,884 94 111
44 41 MIGOS | CULTURE II
QUALITY CONTROL/MOTOWN/CAPITOL
12,040 -1% 404 461 11,175
-- 42 CAMILA CABELLO | CAMILA
SYCO/EPIC
12,018 -- 1,425 1,522 9,071
40 43 OZUNA | AURA
VP/DIMELO VI
11,939 -5% 237 315 11,387
48 44 BAZZI | COSMIC
IAMCOSMIC/ATLANTIC
11,937 -7% 169 1,301 10,467
35 45 TRIPPIE REDD | LIFE'S A TRIP
TENTHOUSAND
11,797 -10% 56 130 11,611
32 46 CARRIE UNDERWOOD | CRY PRETTY
CAPITOL NASHVILLE
11,592 -20% 7,942 554 3,096
6 47 STEVE PERRY | TRACES
FANTASY
11,471 -84% 11,052 112 306
-- 48 DAN + SHAY | DAN + SHAY
WARNER BROS./WARNER MUSIC NASHVILLE
11,410 -- 1,432 1,696 8,282
-- 49 CHRIS STAPLETON | TRAVELLER
MERCURY NASHVILLE
11,369 -- 3,540 931 6,898
-- 50 KENDRICK LAMAR | DAMN.
TDE/AFTERMATH/INTERSCOPE
11,061 -- 1,100 296 9,666

[areyoureadytojump]

Sales

hitsdailydouble.com/building_album_chart

1 1
LADY GAGA & BRADLEY COOPER
A STAR IS BORN SOUNDTRACK
INTERSCOPE 79,924 -52%

2 2
TWENTY ONE PILOTS
TRENCH
FUELED BY RAMEN 25,913 -81%
-- 3
TOBYMAC
THE ELEMENTS
FOREFRONT 16,932 --
-- 4
ELLA MAI
ELLA MAI
10 SUMMERS/INTERSCOPE 16,777 --
3 5
ERIC CHURCH
DESPERATE MAN
EMI NASHVILLE 13,542 -87%
-- 6 ELVIS COSTELLO AND THE IMPOSTERS
LOOK NOW
CONCORD 11,884 --
13 7 LAUREN DAIGLE
LOOK UP CHILD
CENTRICITY 11,221 8%
4 8 STEVE PERRY
TRACES
FANTASY 11,052 -85%
24 9 BTS
LOVE YOURSELF 'ANSWER'
BIGHIT/COLUMBIA 9,581 72%
9 10 EMINEM
KAMIKAZE
SHADY/AFTERMATH/INTERSCOPE 9,391 -28%

36 11 THE GREATEST SHOWMAN
SOUNDTRACK
ATLANTIC 9,321 -20%
15 12 CHER
DANCING QUEEN
WARNER BROS. 8,543 -3%
8 13 LIL WAYNE
THA CARTER V
YOUNG MONEY 8,185 -43%
10 14 CARRIE UNDERWOOD
CRY PRETTY
CAPITOL NASHVILLE 7,942 -27%
-- 15 ATREYU
IN OUR WAKE
SPINEFARM 7,267 --
-- 16 QUAVO
QUAVO HUNCHO
QUALITY CONTROL/MOTOWN/CAPITOL 6,483 --
22 17 TOM PETTY & THE HEARTBREAKERS
AN AMERICAN TREASURE
WARNER BROS. 6,173 0%
-- 18 POLYPHIA
NEW LEVELS NEW DEVILS
EQUAL VISION 6,161 --
-- 19 YOUNG THE GIANT
MIRROR MASTER
ELEKTRA 5,831 --
-- 20 NCT 127
NCT #127 REGULAR-IRREGULAR
SM ENTERTAINMENT 5,831 --
-- 21 ERIC CLAPTON
HAPPY XMAS
BUSHBRANCH/SURFDOG 5,762 --
-- 22 JOHN HIATT
THE ECLIPSE SESSIONS
NEW WEST 5,467 --
17 23 JOSH GROBAN
BRIDGES
REPRISE 4,830 -34%
-- 24 KURT VILE
BOTTLE IT IN
MATADOR 4,647 --
-- 25 COLTER WALL
SONGS OF THE PLAINS
YOUNG MARY'S 4,628 --
-- 26 TOM MORELLO
THE ATLAS UNDERGROUND
MOM + POP 4,445 --
29 27 TONY BENNETT & DIANA KRALL
LOVE IS HERE TO STAY
VERVE/COLUMBIA 4,442 -3%
-- 28 SHAWN MENDES
SHAWN MENDES
ISLAND 4,354 --
-- 29 USHER & ZAYTOVEN
"A"
BRAND USHER/RCA 4,302 --
-- 30 MORGAN EVANS
THINGS THAT WE DRINK TO
WARNER BROS. 4,146 --
34 31 HAMILTON
ORIGINAL BROADWAY MUSICAL
UPTOWN/ATLANTIC 3,857 3%
33 32 LUKE COMBS
THIS ONE'S FOR YOU TOO
RIVER HOUSE/COLUMBIA NASHVILLE 3,790 -1%
38 33 CHRIS STAPLETON
TRAVELLER
MERCURY NASHVILLE 3,540 11%
39 34 MAMMA MIA! HERE WE GO AGAIN
SOUNDTRACK
CAPITOL 3,431 11%
26 35 PAUL MCCARTNEY
EGYPT STATION
CAPITOL 3,356 -35%
30 36 PANIC! AT THE DISCO
PRAY FOR THE WICKED
CRUSH/FUELED BY RAMEN 3,346 -17%
20 37 TAYLOR SWIFT
REPUTATION
BIG MACHINE/BMLG 3,186 -53%
35 38 ARIANA GRANDE
SWEETENER
REPUBLIC 3,144 -9%
-- 39 ED SHEERAN
DIVIDE
ATLANTIC 2,864 --
41 40 IMAGINE DRAGONS
EVOLVE
KIDINAKORNER/INTERSCOPE 2,864 -6%
37 41 POST MALONE
BEERBONGS & BENTLEYS
REPUBLIC 2,842 -11%
-- 42 JESS GLYNNE
ALWAYS IN BETWEEN
ATLANTIC 2,791 --
48 43 DRAKE
SCORPION
YMCMB/REPUBLIC 2,733 14%
42 44 BOB SEGER
GREATEST HITS
CAPITOL 2,709 -10%
-- 45 JIMMIE ALLEN
MERCURY LANE
STONEY CREEK 2,673 --
45 46 METALLICA
METALLICA
BLACKENED 2,657 -1%
44 47 TRAVIS SCOTT
ASTROWORLD
CACTUS JACK/GRAND HUSTLE/EPIC 2,614 -6%
46 48 QUEEN
GREATEST HITS
HOLLYWOOD 2,315 -11%
47 49 KANE BROWN
KANE BROWN
RCA NASHVILLE/ZONE 4 2,252 -9%
-- 50 J. COLE
KOD
DREAMVILLE/ROC NATION/INTERSCOPE 2,083 --

[Naos]

Oct 20, 2018 3:07:23 GMT -5 Codex said:

Oct 19, 2018 13:38:14 GMT -5 thegreatdivine said:

I know. My comment wasn't to bring Ella Mai down, it was more a reflection on the times we're living in. Even though streaming is a thing now, most new artists will find it hard to match up the stats of the artists I mentioned and it's not their fault. It's just interesting to me.

You completely skipped over @antigonerising’s post about how the artists you are comparing her to stared out with the exact same difficulties, and slowly built up a strong and loyal fanbase. This isn’t a new concept. Some further examples:

Baby One More Time debuted with 121k
Taylor Swift debuted with 40k
The Fame debuted with 24k

Ella’s debut is actually higher than most debuts from the 2000s. In the past, new artists needed to convince people to buy their entire albums separately, based on just 1 hit. Now, the SPS from your breakthrough hits can inflate your album debut numbers.

And because of this, I take SPS less seriously. It's an unnatural inflation.

[Rose "Payola" Nylund]

It's amazing that A Star Is Born wasn't a sure bet #1 for its first week and is now spending its second week at #1.