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Post by Mayman on Dec 31, 2018 13:28:29 GMT -5
Wow! I didn't expect all of this.
RIP to everyone who participated in this week's prediction game.
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Xander
Charting
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Posts: 316
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Post by Xander on Dec 31, 2018 13:33:35 GMT -5
Do you guys think that Billboard changed the fomula again?
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Post by Mayman on Dec 31, 2018 13:34:28 GMT -5
Poor Money :/
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tanooki
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2019 Breakthrough
lucia gta 6
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Post by tanooki on Dec 31, 2018 13:35:46 GMT -5
Do you guys think that Billboard changed the fomula again? 1. They would've announced if they did 2. They wouldn't, they already did not even 6 months ago |
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kimberly
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act i RENAISSANCE
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Post by kimberly on Dec 31, 2018 13:35:50 GMT -5
#1 Streaming - All I Want For Christmas is You - 51.9 #1 Sales Without Me 47,000 #1 Radio High Hopes - 124.6 This is the first #1 week for TUN where it is not leading any of the component charts |
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rimetm
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Post by rimetm on Dec 31, 2018 13:35:52 GMT -5
I told yβall not to underestimate the effect of those last 5 holiday days of sales/streams for Christmas songs, and I was totally proven right. Quite a few users who specifically said this would be the βdying breathβ type week for the songs now have egg on their face.
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rockgolf
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Post by rockgolf on Dec 31, 2018 13:36:26 GMT -5
So I do a chart based on the year in which songs peak, and includes their entire chart run.
As of right now, the top 4 songs to peak in 2019 are:
1. All I Want For Christmas (Released 1994) 2. Rockin' Around the Christmas Tree (1958) 3. Jingle Bell Rock (1957) 4. A Holly Jolly Christmas (1964)
...which means all 4 of these will drop from the 2018 chart.
It also put Mariah within the possibility of reaching the top 100 of 2019, assuming she gets back on the charts in early to mid-November 2019.
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Post by Baby Yoda Hot100Fan on Dec 31, 2018 13:37:09 GMT -5
^Indeed. Most likely did not expect to see four holiday songs in the top 10 this week.
I actually predicted that AIWFCIY would reach the top 3 and three songs the top 10 this season, which turned out to be too conservative on the latter point. Next year, they should do even better as people do seem to have embraced streamung for then at least at Spotify.
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Gary
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Posts: 45,891
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Post by Gary on Dec 31, 2018 13:37:42 GMT -5
I told yβall not to underestimate the effect of those last 5 holiday days of sales/streams for Christmas songs, and I was totally proven right. Quite a few users who specifically said this would be the βdying breathβ type week for the songs now have egg on their face. Congratulations to you |
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fhas
3x Platinum Member
Three-time World Champions: 1992 - 2-1 vs. Barcelona, 1993 - 3-2 vs. Milan, 2005 - 1-0 vs. Liverpool
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Post by fhas on Dec 31, 2018 13:39:02 GMT -5
#1 Streaming - All I Want For Christmas is You - 51.9 #1 Sales Without Me 47,000 #1 Radio High Hopes - 124.6 This is the first #1 week for TUN where it is not leading any of the component charts Sales: #3 Radio: #5 Streaming: #9 This is crazy. |
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Post by livelightning on Dec 31, 2018 13:41:32 GMT -5
Why did It's the most wonderful time of the year drop all of a sudden when every other Christmas song rose?
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rockgolf
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Post by rockgolf on Dec 31, 2018 13:42:51 GMT -5
fhas: If AIWFCIY charts in early November, does this put it within distance of making the top 100 of 2019?
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fhas
3x Platinum Member
Three-time World Champions: 1992 - 2-1 vs. Barcelona, 1993 - 3-2 vs. Milan, 2005 - 1-0 vs. Liverpool
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Post by fhas on Dec 31, 2018 13:44:10 GMT -5
fhas : If AIWFCIY charts in early November, does this put it within distance of making the top 100 of 2019? It would need two weeks at #7-10 (22k points/week). |
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fhas
3x Platinum Member
Three-time World Champions: 1992 - 2-1 vs. Barcelona, 1993 - 3-2 vs. Milan, 2005 - 1-0 vs. Liverpool
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Post by fhas on Dec 31, 2018 13:48:11 GMT -5
Imagine the 2020s decade-end charts with a lot of Christmas songs. Good lord.
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Gary
Diamond Member
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Posts: 45,891
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Post by Gary on Dec 31, 2018 13:49:21 GMT -5
Why did It's the most wonderful time of the year drop all of a sudden when every other Christmas song rose? Still at #13 |
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Post by KeepDeanWeird on Dec 31, 2018 13:49:30 GMT -5
Unless BB changes the formula again, 2019 Xmas week will have 6 days of streaming (+20%) and 3 days of radio (+50%).
As I predicted in the AIWFCIY thread a couple of weeks ago, I figured things would be stable this week because last year AIWFCIY only dropped to 13 from 9 - and that was with 4 days of streaming and 1 day of radio. Sales are so low across the board that the point difference between the top songs is negligible and will be even less next year.
This Xmas season really made chart-watching fun again. This tracking week should be even crazier with all the titles that will drop off.
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Me. I Am l!nk!nfan815...
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All Lives Canβt Matter Until Black Lives Matter
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Post by Me. I Am l!nk!nfan815... on Dec 31, 2018 13:51:03 GMT -5
Her power. Her mind when she created this song...  |
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Gary
Diamond Member
Joined: January 2014
Posts: 45,891
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Post by Gary on Dec 31, 2018 13:51:44 GMT -5
Ariana Grande, Halsey, Mariah
First top 3 dominance by women since November 2014
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Post by Mayman on Dec 31, 2018 13:54:14 GMT -5
No features in the top 10 as the article said.
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Post by Baby Yoda Hot100Fan on Dec 31, 2018 13:54:50 GMT -5
Two refreshing things about the top 10 mentioned in the article are the all female top 3 and all songs with no credited features.
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Post by Rose "Payola" Nylund on Dec 31, 2018 13:55:07 GMT -5
So I do a chart based on the year in which songs peak, and includes their entire chart run.
As of right now, the top 4 songs to peak in 2019 are:
1. All I Want For Christmas (1997) 2. Rockin' Around the Christmas Tree (1958) 3. Jingle Bell Rock (1957) 4. A Holly Jolly Christmas (1964)
...which means all 4 of these will drop from the 2018 chart.
It also put Mariah within the possibility of reaching the top 100 of 2019, assuming she gets back on the charts in early to mid-November 2019.
Is the year when each song came out because Mariahβs is from 1994. |
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Enigma.
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Post by Enigma. on Dec 31, 2018 13:56:32 GMT -5
Well, AIWFCIY broke the daily record on Spotify so rightfully top 3, never thought it'd rise THAT high though, #4 or 5 max.
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kimberly
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Post by kimberly on Dec 31, 2018 13:59:50 GMT -5
Is the year when each song came out because Mariahβs is from 1994. I think 1997 is when it first charted. |
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rockgolf
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Post by rockgolf on Dec 31, 2018 14:01:58 GMT -5
Is the year when each song came out because Mariahβs is from 1994. |
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Gary
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Posts: 45,891
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Post by Gary on Dec 31, 2018 14:04:29 GMT -5
Is the year when each song came out because Mariahβs is from 1994. 1-8-2000 was the first appearance on the Hot 100 |
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rockgolf
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Post by rockgolf on Dec 31, 2018 14:04:51 GMT -5
Why did It's the most wonderful time of the year drop all of a sudden when every other Christmas song rose? |
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spicymapping
Platinum Member
ahoe s2e11 out now
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Post by spicymapping on Dec 31, 2018 14:06:51 GMT -5
Why did It's the most wonderful time of the year drop all of a sudden when every other Christmas song rose? Still at #13 Wait, How do you know songs below the top 10 at this point? Or is there an obvious way I have been blind to this whole time? |
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rockgolf
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Post by rockgolf on Dec 31, 2018 14:07:33 GMT -5
12-24-1994 on the Airplay chart
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Post by hot100predictions on Dec 31, 2018 14:07:37 GMT -5
Ariana Grande, Halsey, Mariah First top 3 dominance by women since November 2014 So much taste back in 2014, ugg we Stan. |
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rockgolf
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Pop music fanatic since the days of 7" 45 RPM records.
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Post by rockgolf on Dec 31, 2018 14:08:18 GMT -5
Wait, How do you know songs below the top 10 at this point? Or is there an obvious way I have been blind to this whole time? |
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