kimberly
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Post by kimberly on Jul 31, 2019 13:57:05 GMT -5
7 rings - around 580 points I hope the new song doesn't accelerate "7 rings" fall significantly. It's been descent has been the most graceful out of all the singles she released during Sweetener/TUN cycle and I'd like for it to stay that way & get that year-end top ten secured. |
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kimberly
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Post by kimberly on Jul 31, 2019 14:07:47 GMT -5
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Mauricio
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Post by Mauricio on Jul 31, 2019 14:11:41 GMT -5
Can Ariana debut at #1? OTR has about 500 points for this week. With how many points did tu,n and 7 rings debut? Edit: Just did the homework: 7 rings - around 580 points TUN - 443 without a full week, around 400 after one full tracking week BUWYGIM - around 420 I'd say debuting at #1 is achievable if the song is good. On fhasβ system, 7 rings debuted with like 650+ points and Thank u, next debuted with like 450+ as well. |
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deepston
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just like a folk song, our love will be passed on
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Post by deepston on Jul 31, 2019 14:15:54 GMT -5
7 rings - around 580 points I hope the new song doesn't accelerate "7 rings" fall significantly. It's been descent has been the most graceful out of all the singles she released during Sweetener/TUN cycle and I'd like for it to stay that way & get that year-end top ten secured. If anything it'll push the song's streams up for a few days. |
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π
³π
Έππ
²π
Ύ
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Post by π
³π
Έππ
²π
Ύ on Jul 31, 2019 15:15:59 GMT -5
Why is bad guy still gaining on radio? Stop playing that trash.  |
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inverse
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Post by inverse on Jul 31, 2019 15:16:47 GMT -5
How's it looking for "Girl" by Maren Morris. The song is in a precarious position at #44 and climbing but needing to beat the recurrent rule now
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#LisaRinna
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Post by #LisaRinna on Jul 31, 2019 15:26:20 GMT -5
90 points difference!?
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Post by cassiuscasanova on Jul 31, 2019 16:35:23 GMT -5
The question now is whether or not OTR will stay atop regardless of Arianaβs single or will she not debut with enough points
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Post by Baby Yoda Hot100Fan on Jul 31, 2019 16:54:55 GMT -5
How's it looking for "Girl" by Maren Morris. The song is in a precarious position at #44 and climbing but needing to beat the recurrent rule now Probably not good. It already peaked at #1 in Country radio and as often happens to songs there after that happens, it is falling like a rock. |
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π‘πππππ€
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Post by π‘πππππ€ on Jul 31, 2019 17:34:15 GMT -5
I highly doubt the Ariana track will debut at number one. Itβll probably perform similarly to βMoney In The Graveβ. Sheβs overexposed.
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kimberly
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Post by kimberly on Jul 31, 2019 18:20:43 GMT -5
I highly doubt the Ariana track will debut at number one. Itβll probably perform similarly to βMoney In The Graveβ. Sheβs overexposed. I wouldn't be so sure. There's still a good amount of demand, and depending on how sensational the song/music video are and if they spark more romance rumors and all, it might become a viral moment. And (given it's a good song) it will most definitely start off at radio stronger than MITG, probably streaming too because there's a music video. |
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deepston
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just like a folk song, our love will be passed on
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Post by deepston on Jul 31, 2019 18:58:07 GMT -5
7 rings is one of the most defining songs of 2019. I seriously doubt she's overexposed. But I also believe it'll be very hard to debut at #1.
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Post by cassiuscasanova on Jul 31, 2019 19:25:50 GMT -5
Do we know if Ariana is dropping a video same day
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Post by musiclover7 on Jul 31, 2019 19:46:39 GMT -5
she is
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inverse
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Your mind is in disturbia...
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Post by inverse on Jul 31, 2019 20:25:08 GMT -5
Streaming Sunflower now to help it break the record! Oh my god it only just dawned on me that this is actually probably gonna hit 33 weeks. Why couldn't we have just let that be Shape Of You's record and prevent other horribly mediocre songs from tying it.
Guess it's time to starting cheer for Old Town Road to get 35.
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Gary
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Post by Gary on Jul 31, 2019 20:47:50 GMT -5
Yes, the Girls Like You record will be gone soon as well
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jul 31, 2019 21:20:22 GMT -5
Sunflower is one of my favorite #1s of the past few years, so I'm happy with its longevity. I don't know for sure if it will break the top 10 record, but I think it should definitely at least last more than 52 weeks on the Hot 100, which is still quite impressive.
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rfucom
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Post by rfucom on Jul 31, 2019 21:50:00 GMT -5
Posty 33rd week!
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Caviar
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Post by Caviar on Jul 31, 2019 21:54:36 GMT -5
Streaming Sunflower now to help it break the record! Oh my god it only just dawned on me that this is actually probably gonna hit 33 weeks. Why couldn't we have just let that be Shape Of You's record and prevent other horribly mediocre songs from tying it.
Guess it's time to starting cheer for Old Town Road to get 35.
I'm old enough to remember when it was the βStarshipsβ record. |
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Post by Rose "Payola" Nylund on Jul 31, 2019 22:25:11 GMT -5
Sunflower > Shape of You though
Yes to Old Town Road owning that record as well in 4 months
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85la
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Post by 85la on Aug 1, 2019 1:05:31 GMT -5
Oh my god it only just dawned on me that this is actually probably gonna hit 33 weeks. Why couldn't we have just let that be Shape Of You's record and prevent other horribly mediocre songs from tying it.
Guess it's time to starting cheer for Old Town Road to get 35.
I'm old enough to remember when it was the βStarshipsβ record. The Starships record was for songs with the most consecutive weeks in the top 10 right after debuting there (no gaps in top 10 after debut), but in Shape of You's case it holds that record and the most-weeks-in-the-top-10 record. Girls Like You didn't debut in the top 10, and Sunflower dropped out of the top 10 for a couple weeks after debuting there, so Sunflower could only match or beat the most weeks in top 10 record. |
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Enigma.
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Post by Enigma. on Aug 1, 2019 2:03:09 GMT -5
So if Simm's predictions are correct, Chance the Rapper must still wait for his first top 40 single as a lead artist. Very sad.
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Au$tin
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Post by Au$tin on Aug 1, 2019 5:13:02 GMT -5
Why is bad guy still gaining on radio? Stop playing that trash. Because it resonates with radio listeners really well and still has room to grow on nearly all formats except alternative. It's also killing it in streaming and sales, so you seem to actually have the unpopular opinion of disliking it. I know it sucks to see songs you don't like doing well, but that's the way life goes sometimes. |
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Post by thegreatdivine on Aug 1, 2019 5:38:03 GMT -5
So if Simm's predictions are correct, Chance the Rapper must still wait for his first top 40 single as a lead artist. Very sad. I might regret asking this, but why would it be sad? |
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narp
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Post by narp on Aug 1, 2019 5:43:18 GMT -5
I saw a post somewhere that said something like his audience is youth pastors that sit on chairs backwards. I donβt know what thatβs supposed to mean, but maybe his songs are lame, and itβd be sad for songs so lame to debut so high.
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Enigma.
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Post by Enigma. on Aug 1, 2019 6:10:34 GMT -5
I think he deserves some top 20 hits like other rappers, that's all! Tyler's latest single reached #13, Press #16, Megatron #20 etc
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Post by thegreatdivine on Aug 1, 2019 6:35:36 GMT -5
I think he deserves some top 20 hits like other rappers, that's all! Tyler's latest single reached #13, Press #16, Megatron #20 etc Oh, okay. I also feel like every relevant mainstream rappers deserves some level of commercial success, but that has never been and might never be Chance's audience. He's never been a streaming force. Neither has Tyler, but he still managed to chart some songs off his album release, so who knows? Chance might get lucky, too. |
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HolidayGuy
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Post by HolidayGuy on Aug 1, 2019 7:17:43 GMT -5
^This album, though, is seeing strong streaming numbers- not at the level of a Drake, for instance, but strong.
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Post by KeepDeanWeird on Aug 1, 2019 8:02:41 GMT -5
^This album, though, is seeing strong streaming numbers- not at the level of a Drake, for instance, but strong. #1 album or Top 20/40 single? Which do you think CtR would choose? Also, if youβre gonna release 22-track albums, itβs inevitable that those streams are going to be spread out. |
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Post by Baby Yoda Hot100Fan on Aug 1, 2019 8:12:28 GMT -5
kworb's Billboard Radio Songs Estimates 2019/08/01
1(=) Khalid - Talk 178.04(-0.10)
2(=) Ed Sheeran & Justin Bieber - I Don't Care 157.04(-0.13)
3(=) Jonas Brothers - Sucker 137.76(+0.20)
4(=) Billie Eilish - bad guy 122.76(+0.48)
5(=) Shawn Mendes - If I Can't Have You 120.67(+0.58)
6(=) Panic! At the Disco - Hey Look Ma, I Made It 115.56(+0.07)
7(=) Lizzo - Truth Hurts 104.78(+1.56)
8(=) Shawn Mendes & Camila Cabello - SeΓ±orita 98.58(+2.99)
9(=) Sam Smith & Normani - Dancing with a Stranger 91.22(-0.07)
10(=) Dan + Shay - Speechless 70.17(+0.46)
13(+3) Luke Combs - Beer Never Broke My Heart 61.34(+0.96) 19(+1) Post Malone - Goodbyes (feat. Young Thug) 56.68(+0.82) 22(+1) Lewis Capaldi - Someone You Loved 54.48(+0.85) 24(+1) Justin Moore - The Ones That Didnβt Make It Back Home 52.82(+0.92) 41(=) Ed Sheeran - Beautiful People (feat. Khalid) 37.46(+0.95)
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