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Post by KeepDeanWeird on Sept 25, 2019 9:54:54 GMT -5
Remember when Country had like 6 songs in the Top 40? Except for BRC feature, no Country acts last week and probably not for awhile. The next two closest with a bullet are at IDKAY at 47 and Living at 51, which likely is peaking midweek on Country Airplay. "The Git Up" is in the Top 40. That said, I do see "Even Though I'm Leaving" making the Top 40. And maybe "Remember You Young". True about TGU, but it's only #45 on Country Airplay. Maybe radio will accept it, but I doubt it after 3 months of being stuck in that region. Still that means the only 2 top 40 'country' hits are lead by non-traditional artists, which is hopefully a trend that will continue. |
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Post by FindingC7osure on Sept 25, 2019 10:19:04 GMT -5
Long-time lurker here who finally got approved yesterday.   I've been following the Hot 100 for a while now, and I've decided to try my hand at predicting the top 10 with actual points. Below are my early predictions for the week of 10/5. They probably won't be very accurate, especially because I don’t have much data, but I'm hoping they'll get better over time. Please let me know if you have any suggestions for improvement or if you catch anything I may miss! Special shoutout to rimetm for doing weekly real-point estimations on the Year-End thread; they’ve been very helpful for predicting changes in each metric! 10/5/19 Early Predictions:| Song | Points | | 1. Truth Hurts (=) | 37,200 | | 2. Señorita (=) | 32,800 | | 3. Someone You Loved (+1) | 30,200 | | 4. Ran$om (+2) | 28,500 | | 5. No Guidance (+2) | 27,400 | | 6. Bad Guy (-3) | 26,100 | | 7. Panini (-2) | 24,600 | | 8. Circles (+1) | 24,100 | | 9. Goodbyes (-1) | 23,100 | | 10. I Don't Care (+1) | 20,700 | | 11. Talk (+1) | 20,200 | | 12. Old Town Road (-2) | 20,000 |
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Post by Baby Yoda Hot100Fan on Sept 25, 2019 10:48:55 GMT -5
kworb's Billboard Radio Songs Estimates 2019/09/25
1(=) Lizzo - Truth Hurts 157.86(+1.04)
2(=) Shawn Mendes & Camila Cabello - Señorita 150.40(+0.65)
3(=) Ed Sheeran & Justin Bieber - I Don't Care 125.04(-0.47)
4(=) Lewis Capaldi - Someone You Loved 118.10(+1.42)
5(=) Khalid - Talk 114.38(-0.71)
6(=) Jonas Brothers - Sucker 103.59(-0.48)
7(=) Billie Eilish - bad guy 90.76(-1.12)
8(=) Post Malone - Goodbyes (feat. Young Thug) 86.18(-0.40)
9(=) Chris Brown - No Guidance (feat. Drake) 85.76(-0.07)
10(=) Shawn Mendes - If I Can't Have You 74.89(-0.94)
11(+1) Ed Sheeran - Beautiful People (feat. Khalid) 72.96(+0.78) 18(=) Chris Lane - I Don't Know About You 54.90 +1.07 19(+1) Post Malone - Circles 48.92(+0.96)
21(+3) Megan Thee Stallion - Hot Girl Summer (feat. Nicki Minaj & Ty Dolla $ign) 47.95(+0.70) 29(+1) Matt Stell - Prayed for You 44.99(+0.70) 39(+3) Russell Dickerson - Every Little Thing 36.66(+0.77)
47(+2) Lil Nas X - Panini 33.85(+1.36) 59(+10) Maroon 5 - Memories 26.75(+2.99) 100(+3) Lizzo - Good as Hell 15.93(+0.76)
-(-) Halsey - Graveyard 15.68(+1.06)
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Dadude#0839
Charting
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Joined: August 2019
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Post by Dadude#0839 on Sept 25, 2019 11:10:17 GMT -5
I thought someone you loved would peak 11 at best but I am happy it got this far
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Post by king_billboard_100 on Sept 25, 2019 11:11:48 GMT -5
Seems like Circles and Goodbyes wont go to #1
What song do you think will be the next single (Take what you want from me or Enemies)?
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Post by king_billboard_100 on Sept 25, 2019 11:12:43 GMT -5
I thought someone you loved would peak 11 at best but I am happy it got this far i like this song it should go #1!! |
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lazer
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Post by lazer on Sept 25, 2019 11:31:12 GMT -5
Seems like Circles and Goodbyes wont go to #1 What song do you think will be the next single (Take what you want from me or Enemies)? Take What You Want should be the next single no question. |
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Post by Naos on Sept 25, 2019 11:35:07 GMT -5
God, I hope "Someone You Loved" doesn't go to #1. Such a mediocre, boring song.
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Dadude#0839
Charting
i stan olivia rodrigo
Joined: August 2019
Posts: 162
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Post by Dadude#0839 on Sept 25, 2019 11:45:58 GMT -5
Seems like Circles and Goodbyes wont go to #1 What song do you think will be the next single (Take what you want from me or Enemies)? It'll be take what you want, I'm calling it |
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Post by Golden Bluebird on Sept 25, 2019 13:28:23 GMT -5
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Dadude#0839
Charting
i stan olivia rodrigo
Joined: August 2019
Posts: 162
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Post by Dadude#0839 on Sept 25, 2019 13:30:46 GMT -5
HOLY CRAP DCMA TANKED IN THOSE PREDICTIONS
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dovahduck
Platinum Member
Kavinsky finally dropped! :)
Joined: April 2018
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Post by dovahduck on Sept 25, 2019 13:53:04 GMT -5
Seems like Circles and Goodbyes wont go to #1 What song do you think will be the next single (Take what you want from me or Enemies)? Currently both "Enemies" and "Allergic" are being pushed as radio singles. |
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Post by Naos on Sept 25, 2019 13:59:54 GMT -5
I didn't expect "Don't Call Me Angel" or "Graveyard" to last, but... "Camelot"? Really? That mediocre, generic trap song?
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Enigma.
Diamond Member
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Posts: 14,179
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Post by Enigma. on Sept 25, 2019 14:04:39 GMT -5
How is Camelot that high in predictions? It's not top ten in any streaming platform and the airplay isn't certainly on par with that position either? Is there a super popular video somewhere or a remix or... Top 40 sure, but #24?
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Kris
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Post by Kris on Sept 25, 2019 14:28:22 GMT -5
God, I hope "Someone You Loved" doesn't go to #1. Such a mediocre, boring song. It's like a Someone Like You v2. |
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Post by nathanalbright on Sept 25, 2019 14:34:54 GMT -5
God, I hope "Someone You Loved" doesn't go to #1. Such a mediocre, boring song. It's like a Someone Like You v2. With worse singing and lyrics to boot. |
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Post by Rose "Payola" Nylund on Sept 25, 2019 14:36:01 GMT -5
Pulse, where every ballad is deemed a Someone Like You duplicate, regardless of lack of similarities beyond tempo.
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Enigma.
Diamond Member
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Posts: 14,179
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Post by Enigma. on Sept 25, 2019 14:42:56 GMT -5
Well there are the words "Someone" and "You" too lol
It's nothing alike imo
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Caviar
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Post by Caviar on Sept 25, 2019 15:02:04 GMT -5
Pulse, where every ballad is deemed a Someone Like You duplicate, regardless of lack of similarities beyond tempo. This board is getting more and more out of touch with the public. |
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Gary
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Posts: 45,896
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Post by Gary on Sept 25, 2019 15:08:15 GMT -5
At least we moved off the Maroon 5 comparison (for now)
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lights
Charting
https://hot100reviews.home.blog/
Joined: August 2019
Posts: 397
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Post by lights on Sept 25, 2019 15:11:28 GMT -5
God, I hope "Someone You Loved" doesn't go to #1. Such a mediocre, boring song. It's like a Someone Like You v2. Good God, how do I unsee this. Someone Like You is one of the best hits of the whole decade, Someone You loved is dross. |
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Deleted
Joined: January 1970
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Post by Deleted on Sept 25, 2019 15:15:45 GMT -5
Camelot is probably getting a lot of views from YT, whilst this song is also doing better on streaming platforms than his other stuff. NLE Choppa tends to do well mostly on YT anyway.
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moonlite
Platinum Member
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Posts: 1,185
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Post by moonlite on Sept 25, 2019 15:17:07 GMT -5
oh wow, they did a complete overhaul of the H100 and B200 chart layouts. Don't know if I like it
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Post by kcdawg13 on Sept 25, 2019 15:22:46 GMT -5
Lil’ Uzi Vert is most DEFINITELY not over as a commercial act, nor has he peaked. He is one of the very few 2010’s Rap acts that I genuinely enjoy. His new album is by far anticipated by Hip-Hop fans and Hip-Hop critics alike. As for 6IX9INE... LMAO. That Man has lost all sense of credibility within the Hip-Hop community (not that he ever had it in the first place) and his new album (whenever that’s released) will more than likely trashed by the media. That said, I have no doubt that many of his “fans” will run to heavily stream it. Drake, J.Cole, Kendrick Lamar, Travis Scott, 21 Savage etc. will all have big eras with their new solo projects, to varying degrees of success. More than likely, as it’s always been throughout this decade, Kendrick Lamar will receive the most acclaim and be religiously praised by music critics alike and win the most awards, whereas Drake will see the most commercial (streaming/chart) success. Uzi continuously pushing back his releases and not showing up to his shows like an asshole has made me lose a lot of respect for him, Wayne and Kanye do the same thing but they are more respected in the community. Uzi isn't in the place in his career yet to pull this kind of shit. Dude is inconsistent, no one knows if it's label meandering or him just being lazy. He has quit music and then dropped a track afterwards. Uzi's only hit under his belt is XO Tour Llif3 and I don't see him ever getting back to that point, I think he'll get a couple more decent sized hits and his album will probably be front-loaded but he'll never be in the same league as Drake or Kendrick as commercially viable. |
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Post by nathanalbright on Sept 25, 2019 15:29:52 GMT -5
I'm hoping in Drake's next era he tackles the thorny issues of co-parenting and being a single father while simultaneously maintaining he has five or six more years of being free.  |
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Choco
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Post by Choco on Sept 25, 2019 15:34:53 GMT -5
I'm hoping in Drake's next era he tackles the thorny issues of co-parenting and being a single father while simultaneously maintaining he has five or six more years of being free. Probably gonna be another album about money and girls. Why change what has worked for like 4 albums in a row now. Remember the kid thing wasn't even suppossed to come out but Kanye had to Kanye... |
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Post by kcdawg13 on Sept 25, 2019 15:35:02 GMT -5
I'm hoping in Drake's next era he tackles the thorny issues of co-parenting and being a single father while simultaneously maintaining he has five or six more years of being free. Drake making an album about parenting requires him to actually be in his son's life first |
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Caviar
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Post by Caviar on Sept 25, 2019 15:36:00 GMT -5
I'm hoping in Drake's next era he tackles the thorny issues of co-parenting and being a single father while simultaneously maintaining he has five or six more years of being free. Drake making an album about parenting requires him to actually be in his son's life first What indicates that he isn’t in his child’s life? |
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moonlite
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Post by moonlite on Sept 25, 2019 15:37:53 GMT -5
I'm hoping in Drake's next era he tackles the thorny issues of co-parenting and being a single father while simultaneously maintaining he has five or six more years of being free. Probably gonna be another album about money and girls. Why change what has worked for like 4 albums in a row now. Remember the kid thing wasn't even suppossed to come out but Kanye had to Kanye...Huh? He was gonna announce it when Scorpion dropped |
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Gary
Diamond Member
Joined: January 2014
Posts: 45,896
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Post by Gary on Sept 25, 2019 15:38:59 GMT -5
oh wow, they did a complete overhaul of the H100 and B200 chart layouts. Don't know if I like it Yeah they simplified it a bit Took out alot of the glitzy stuff and removed some of the stats |
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