iggyamo
Gold Member
Joined: April 2019
Posts: 582
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Post by iggyamo on Oct 10, 2019 23:51:02 GMT -5
Safe bet debuts:
Light’s Out - Harry Styles
Kinfolks - Sam Hunt
What You See Is What You Get - Luke Combs
Toss up:
Easy - Camilla Cabello (damn, she’s really over saturating herself isn’t she)
Twisted - French Montana, A$AP Rocky, Juicy J, Logic
All Dat - Moneybagg Yo, Megan Thee Stallion
Something from Lil Tjay, YoungBoy Never Broke Again, or Waterparks albums
Unlikely but still possible:
Walking - 88rising, Jackson Wong, Joji, Major Lazer, Swae Lee
How It’s Done - ALMA, Kash Doll, Kim Petras, Stefflon Don
Big Stepper - Roddy Rich
Something from YK Osiris or Wale
There are obviously some more, but I really doubt the rest will impact the charts in any sort of way if Original Me charts and I Think I’m Ok didn’t, I’ll definitely not be ok
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shaz196
Gold Member
Joined: June 2019
Posts: 881 
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Post by shaz196 on Oct 10, 2019 23:57:31 GMT -5
With the amount of hype behind Lights Up on social media I'm expecting a pretty big debut on Spotify.
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humanatur
Charting
Joined: September 2019
Posts: 20
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Post by humanatur on Oct 11, 2019 5:45:28 GMT -5
Lights Up is #1 on US itunes now.
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Post by thegreatdivine on Oct 11, 2019 6:41:04 GMT -5
Lights Up is #1 on US itunes now. I wish we'd stop announcing this like a #1 on iTunes means anything these days. Especially with iTunes now being scrapped. |
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Post by king_billboard_100 on Oct 11, 2019 7:01:06 GMT -5
Lights Up is #1 on US itunes now. I wish we'd stop announcing this like a #1 on iTunes means anything these days. Especially with iTunes now being scrapped. So how much impact the iTunes have on the Hot 100 nowadays? |
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Post by king_billboard_100 on Oct 11, 2019 7:02:34 GMT -5
With the amount of hype behind Lights Up on social media I'm expecting a pretty big debut on Spotify. i wonder if its can debut inside the top 10 |
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jebsib
Platinum Member
Joined: September 2004
Posts: 1,927
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Post by jebsib on Oct 11, 2019 7:06:32 GMT -5
iTunes has traditionally - even this year - been a far greater barometer of what longterm commercial mainstream hits are (and will be) than many streaming services.
So while the points are neglibible, it's still an important litmus test. Not like the Retail Sales chart post 2000.
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Choco
Diamond Member
james dean daydream
Joined: February 2009
Posts: 27,977
My Charts
Pronouns: he/him
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Post by Choco on Oct 11, 2019 7:07:10 GMT -5
*Insert obligatory post about how Rihanna and Adele haven't released anything*
Ok, with that out of the way, carry on.
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Ｓｏｕｎｄｃｌ🕤ｃｋ
Diamond Member
Joined: August 2017
Posts: 11,063
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Post by Ｓｏｕｎｄｃｌ🕤ｃｋ on Oct 11, 2019 7:11:13 GMT -5
With the amount of hype behind Lights Up on social media I'm expecting a pretty big debut on Spotify. i wonder if its can debut inside the top 10 I really really doubt it, but we'll see. |
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Post by thegreatdivine on Oct 11, 2019 7:22:09 GMT -5
iTunes has traditionally - even this year - been a far greater barometer of what longterm commercial mainstream hits are (and will be) than many streaming services. So while the points are neglibible, it's still an important litmus test. Not like the Retail Sales chart post 2000. There are instances where an artist drops a new single which flies to #1 on iTunes for a few hours only to crash before the first 24 hours of it's release. I'm mostly saying iTunes #1's mean nothing because no one does massive figures in digital sales anymore and a song that stays at #1 on US iTunes for an entire tracking week might pull just 20-25K units. Even albums that reach #1 on US iTunes still pull really low figures at the end of a tracking week. I don't think it matters nearly as much as it used to. |
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Post by thegreatdivine on Oct 11, 2019 7:23:10 GMT -5
I wish we'd stop announcing this like a #1 on iTunes means anything these days. Especially with iTunes now being scrapped. So how much impact the iTunes have on the Hot 100 nowadays? Not nearly as much as it used to because no one pulls large units in digital sales. |
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Crimsonio
2x Platinum Member
Star-Crossed 💫
Joined: December 2017
Posts: 2,518
Pronouns: he/him
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Post by Crimsonio on Oct 11, 2019 8:05:42 GMT -5
adele is coming 2nd week of november, lead single is coming next friday or the friday afterwards.
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Post by whales10268 on Oct 11, 2019 8:19:04 GMT -5
I think Harry will debut top 20 and then crash.
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humanatur
Charting
Joined: September 2019
Posts: 20
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Post by humanatur on Oct 11, 2019 8:19:40 GMT -5
Lights Up is #1 on US itunes now. I wish we'd stop announcing this like a #1 on iTunes means anything these days. Especially with iTunes now being scrapped. lol I literally said it's position and nothing else. Did I say it would be top10 cause of Itunes? nope. Just last week that bts member track debuted around 80s even tho hitted itunes #1. |
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Post by thegreatdivine on Oct 11, 2019 8:42:11 GMT -5
I wish we'd stop announcing this like a #1 on iTunes means anything these days. Especially with iTunes now being scrapped. lol I literally said it's position and nothing else. Did I say it would be top10 cause of Itunes? nope. Just last week that bts member track debuted around 80s even tho hitted itunes #1. I know that. I was speaking strictly on reaching #1 on iTunes not having as much meaning as it used to. |
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lazer
2x Platinum Member
Joined: January 2018
Posts: 2,627
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Post by lazer on Oct 11, 2019 9:31:24 GMT -5
We’ll have to see how the new Adele single perform in an era where streaming is everything. When she released Hello, streaming was growing but sales did kinda matter too in 2015.
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Post by violentdreams on Oct 11, 2019 11:58:16 GMT -5
On Chill will probably reach a new peak this week thanks to Wale's album release. If it peaks in the top 20 while never reaching the top 200 on Spotify, I will be very impressed.
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degen
2x Platinum Member
Banned
Joined: August 2019
Posts: 2,173
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Post by degen on Oct 11, 2019 12:10:27 GMT -5
adele is coming 2nd week of november, lead single is coming next friday or the friday afterwards. Receipt? |
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Post by Golden Bluebird on Oct 11, 2019 12:32:14 GMT -5
Um, iggyamo, you should correct the spelling of the thread title. It says "Hit" when it should be "Hot". |
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shaz196
Gold Member
Joined: June 2019
Posts: 881
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Post by shaz196 on Oct 11, 2019 13:46:50 GMT -5
We’ll have to see how the new Adele single perform in an era where streaming is everything. When she released Hello, streaming was growing but sales did kinda matter too in 2015. Yeah but even then she crushed it on streaming, Hello peaked with 2.7 million streams on Spotify in 2015, that's probably equivalent to 5 million today. |
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jtd Thee Stallion
6x Platinum Member
Meet Me @ The Altar Fan Account
Joined: September 2015
Posts: 6,893
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Post by jtd Thee Stallion on Oct 11, 2019 14:05:05 GMT -5
On Chill will probably reach a new peak this week thanks to Wale's album release. If it peaks in the top 20 while never reaching the top 200 on Spotify, I will be very impressed. I’m like 99% sure it’s gonna be top 200 with the release of his album |
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Post by kcdawg13 on Oct 12, 2019 4:09:44 GMT -5
Adele's first day on Spotify is gonna be insane, she'll for sure do 10 million+ worldwide. I think she could pull good numbers in the US too, maybe 4.5 million. I don't expect her to have great longevity on streaming however.
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forg
2x Platinum Member
Joined: May 2009
Posts: 2,356
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Post by forg on Oct 12, 2019 6:00:02 GMT -5
Hello had the 1M sales which broke the single sales week record of Right Round by 400K lol Glad she was able to do that 1 million digital single sales before sales collapsed.
I dunno what to expect with her streaming this time around, so much has changed in 4 years! Taylor Swift ended her 1M+ album debut sales week this year so Adele is the only blockbuster star left we have yet to see how she could do with streaming as the main force and sales nearly dead. It's so different now but who knows maybe it could click. Someone You Loved is the last song I expected to be in the Spotify Top 10, so there's a chance an Adele ballad could connect in streaming
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Post by violentdreams on Oct 12, 2019 9:46:30 GMT -5
2 million Spotify debut for Harry Styles, very likely he's looking at a top 15 debut if it holds steady. Highest in the Room decreased by around 110k streams despite it being a Friday, and it likely won't reach 2 million again after the Saturday and Sunday decreases.
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Enigma.
Diamond Member
Joined: July 2007
Posts: 14,171
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Post by Enigma. on Oct 12, 2019 10:00:26 GMT -5
The drop for HITR is going to be pretty harsh whether it's from #1 or #2.
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lazer
2x Platinum Member
Joined: January 2018
Posts: 2,627
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Post by lazer on Oct 12, 2019 10:33:50 GMT -5
Impressive debut from Harry Styles on Spotify!
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moonlite
Platinum Member
Joined: September 2018
Posts: 1,185
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Post by moonlite on Oct 12, 2019 10:41:16 GMT -5
Yea I think Travis will fall to like 7-9
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despy
Charting
Joined: June 2019
Posts: 141
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Post by despy on Oct 12, 2019 11:04:55 GMT -5
I think Harry will debut top 20 and then crash. MTE, hopefully he proves us wrong.... |
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crazyb
5x Platinum Member
What's Going On?
Joined: March 2017
Posts: 5,450
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Post by crazyb on Oct 12, 2019 11:59:04 GMT -5
I'm really missing being able to look at more then 3 charts on Billboard.
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spicymapping
Platinum Member
ahoe s2e11 out now
Joined: December 2018
Posts: 1,116
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Post by spicymapping on Oct 12, 2019 12:22:46 GMT -5
Tjay and YoungBoy will probably get minor album bombs this week.
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