ddlz
2x Platinum Member
Joined: June 2011
Posts: 2,166
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Post by ddlz on Oct 12, 2019 12:27:04 GMT -5
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Post by violentdreams on Oct 12, 2019 12:34:28 GMT -5
If Drake during his down period still manages to nab one of the biggest hits of the summer (and another pretty decently sized hit), it's gonna be fun watching him in album mode when he's actually trying to rule the charts.
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moonlite
Platinum Member
Joined: September 2018
Posts: 1,185
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Post by moonlite on Oct 12, 2019 12:47:01 GMT -5
Maybe Drake will drop a little something for his birthday, which is in like 2 weeks
If he does tho, it’d be funny how similar this season will be to Fall 2015, with Drake having a single out and Justin and Adele teasing/rumored to release. Then you throw in Rihanna who’ll release in the next couple of months similar to how she did in early 2016
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renaboss
Platinum Member
I don't want to miss a thing.
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Post by renaboss on Oct 12, 2019 12:55:28 GMT -5
Mariah better start sending out those bomb gifts.
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Post by thegreatdivine on Oct 12, 2019 14:07:00 GMT -5
If Drake during his down period still manages to nab one of the biggest hits of the summer (and another pretty decently sized hit), it's gonna be fun watching him in album mode when he's actually trying to rule the charts. His last two album eras were the biggest eras of their respective years. |
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Post by lostinhavana on Oct 12, 2019 15:48:08 GMT -5
think we all can agree that Travis probably isn’t getting a second week at top (if he does debut 1) so I wonder Truth Hurts could get a 7th week or perhaps Capaldi could leap over truth Hurts and get a week on top
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moonlite
Platinum Member
Joined: September 2018
Posts: 1,185
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Post by moonlite on Oct 12, 2019 16:04:41 GMT -5
I dont see why it wouldn’t be TH at #1 this week. Lizzo is still doing better on radio and sales over SYL by a good margin and is higher on streaming as well
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earth
Charting
Joined: August 2019
Posts: 167
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Post by earth on Oct 12, 2019 16:57:44 GMT -5
HITR still below 5M on radio estimates. Also good as hell rising rapidly on radio, circles continuing to rise, as well as memories. Prayed for you is a lot higher on radio than I thought at #15, definitely something to look out for.
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Post by king_billboard_100 on Oct 12, 2019 17:11:47 GMT -5
I can see blackbear, hot girl bummer enter the top 40
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Post by king_billboard_100 on Oct 12, 2019 17:13:23 GMT -5
Maybe Drake will drop a little something for his birthday, which is in like 2 weeks If he does tho, it’d be funny how similar this season will be to Fall 2015, with Drake having a single out and Justin and Adele teasing/rumored to release. Then you throw in Rihanna who’ll release in the next couple of months similar to how she did in early 2016 so next weeks at #1 are going to be Drake/Adele/Bieber? |
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moonlite
Platinum Member
Joined: September 2018
Posts: 1,185
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Post by moonlite on Oct 12, 2019 17:19:45 GMT -5
Maybe Drake will drop a little something for his birthday, which is in like 2 weeks If he does tho, it’d be funny how similar this season will be to Fall 2015, with Drake having a single out and Justin and Adele teasing/rumored to release. Then you throw in Rihanna who’ll release in the next couple of months similar to how she did in early 2016 so next weeks at #1 are going to be Drake/Adele/Bieber? i need something more interesting than what we currently have so  |
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shaz196
Gold Member
Joined: June 2019
Posts: 881 
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Post by shaz196 on Oct 13, 2019 12:32:56 GMT -5
Billboard needs to create chart history pages for more artists, Juice WRLD and Lil Baby don't have one despite both having over 20 songs chart on the Hot 100.
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Deleted
Joined: January 1970
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Oct 13, 2019 12:49:50 GMT -5
Billboard needs to create chart history pages for more artists, Juice WRLD and Lil Baby don't have one despite both having over 20 songs chart on the Hot 100. Yeah, it's annoying but you can use musicchartsarchive.com to view chart histories for those who don't have them on Billboard's website |
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Post by thegreatdivine on Oct 13, 2019 13:28:53 GMT -5
I peeped the Spotify US figures for Friday (a day most songs usually increase in streams) and HITR, while still #1, had lost over 100K streams. It'll also lose more streams in the Saturday and Sunday updates.
In it's second week, HITR won't have: any sizeable radio updates (if it's first week performance on radio is any indication), any sales from bundles and way fewer streams from all platforms. Is it safe to say that it'll be spending just a single week at #1?
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moonlite
Platinum Member
Joined: September 2018
Posts: 1,185
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Post by moonlite on Oct 13, 2019 13:35:51 GMT -5
I peeped the Spotify US figures for Friday (a day most songs usually increase in streams) and HITR, while still #1, had lost over 100K streams. It'll also lose more streams in the Saturday and Sunday updates. In it's second week, HITR won't have: any sizeable radio updates (if it's first week performance on radio is any indication), any sales from bundles and way fewer streams from all platforms. Is it safe to say that it'll be spending just a single week at #1? I think it's safe to say it'll only be spending a single week in the top 3-5, nonetheless #1 |
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Post by violentdreams on Oct 13, 2019 13:56:14 GMT -5
I peeped the Spotify US figures for Friday (a day most songs usually increase in streams) and HITR, while still #1, had lost over 100K streams. It'll also lose more streams in the Saturday and Sunday updates. In it's second week, HITR won't have: any sizeable radio updates (if it's first week performance on radio is any indication), any sales from bundles and way fewer streams from all platforms. Is it safe to say that it'll be spending just a single week at #1? I'd say as long as it's #1 on AM and pulling between 1.5 and 2 million streams on Spotify, it'll stay in the 7-10 range. If it falls from #1 on AM, then chances are it'll probably drop out of the top 10 as well since it likely needs to do overwhelmingly well there to accommodate for the lack of success in other metrics. |
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Post by thegreatdivine on Oct 13, 2019 14:20:19 GMT -5
I peeped the Spotify US figures for Friday (a day most songs usually increase in streams) and HITR, while still #1, had lost over 100K streams. It'll also lose more streams in the Saturday and Sunday updates. In it's second week, HITR won't have: any sizeable radio updates (if it's first week performance on radio is any indication), any sales from bundles and way fewer streams from all platforms. Is it safe to say that it'll be spending just a single week at #1? I think it's safe to say it'll only be spending a single week in the top 3-5, nonetheless #1 Yeah, I think it'll be frontloaded like This Is America, but if streams from Spotify and Apple Music US can hold, it'll spend more weeks in the top 10 and will decline a bit slower than This Is America did. Either way, this song doesn't seem primed for longevity, especially in the top 10/20 region. |
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Post by thegreatdivine on Oct 13, 2019 14:28:33 GMT -5
I peeped the Spotify US figures for Friday (a day most songs usually increase in streams) and HITR, while still #1, had lost over 100K streams. It'll also lose more streams in the Saturday and Sunday updates. In it's second week, HITR won't have: any sizeable radio updates (if it's first week performance on radio is any indication), any sales from bundles and way fewer streams from all platforms. Is it safe to say that it'll be spending just a single week at #1? I'd say as long as it's #1 on AM and pulling between 1.5 and 2 million streams on Spotify, it'll stay in the 7-10 range. If it falls from #1 on AM, then chances are it'll probably drop out of the top 10 as well since it likely needs to do overwhelmingly well there to accommodate for the lack of success in other metrics. I'm actually surprised rhythmic and urban radio haven't jumped all over it yet. It's an easy enough listen and Travis has landed several songs on both formats before. I think the undoing of the song will be the YouTube US streams stalling, along with the boost from bundles coming to an end. I also feel like for an artist who has appeared on quite a number of songs post-ASTROWORLD till now, people just aren't as eager to push a new song by Travis this time of the year the way they would have months ago if he hadn't appeared on so many features and this was his first appearance on a song since Sicko Mode. I don't know how to explain it. I believe any song that'll perform really well from now till the end of the year will need to either be a new single from an artist who hasn't dropped new music in a while or a song that's been steadily rising in various metrics for the past few weeks and finally stabilizes at a high peak. |
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Post by whales10268 on Oct 13, 2019 15:29:43 GMT -5
Harry has a harsher Day 2 drop than Don’t Call Me Angel on Spotify from a similar day 1 number. His sales may be stronger, looks like a top 15 debut is guaranteed and if it can level off top 10 is possible.
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Post by violentdreams on Oct 13, 2019 15:48:05 GMT -5
I'd say as long as it's #1 on AM and pulling between 1.5 and 2 million streams on Spotify, it'll stay in the 7-10 range. If it falls from #1 on AM, then chances are it'll probably drop out of the top 10 as well since it likely needs to do overwhelmingly well there to accommodate for the lack of success in other metrics. I'm actually surprised rhythmic and urban radio haven't jumped all over it yet. It's an easy enough listen and Travis has landed several songs on both formats before. I think the undoing of the song will be the YouTube US streams stalling, along with the boost from bundles coming to an end. I also feel like for an artist who has appeared on quite a number of songs post-ASTROWORLD till now, people just aren't as eager to push a new song by Travis this time of the year the way they would have months ago if he hadn't appeared on so many features and this was his first appearance on a song since Sicko Mode. I don't know how to explain it. I believe any song that'll perform really well from now till the end of the year will need to either be a new single from an artist who hasn't dropped new music in a while or a song that's been steadily rising in various metrics for the past few weeks and finally stabilizes at a high peak. It doesn't really have anything to do with how often he's appeared on songs, as evident from the massive debut. The problem is the song is very, very mediocre and has nothing in the way of a catchy hook or melody. It sounds like an average album track, not a lead single. If Travis actually tried, I think he could get a smash easily, but Highest in the Room is not indicative of any of his strong suits and the performance is pretty much reflecting that. |
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Post by thegreatdivine on Oct 13, 2019 16:10:26 GMT -5
violentdreams yeah, it's definitely not lead single material. I said that from the very beginning. The deeper we go into the streaming era, the less impressed I am by peaks and the more I'm interested in seeing the longevity a song/album has. I still wonder why Travis chose that particular song to push as a single. He should have better songs in the vault.
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Post by Mayman on Oct 13, 2019 16:26:39 GMT -5
Fans have been wanting him to put HITR on streaming services since it started performing it on tour. I think they went all out because it was so hyped, but the final version was kind of underwhelming.
I still think the Lil Baby verse will come out with a remix later on.
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notgoodenglish
Gold Member
MAX VERSTAPPEN KING OF THE WORLD
Joined: September 2019
Posts: 594
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Post by notgoodenglish on Oct 13, 2019 16:34:54 GMT -5
Is there any chance of Someone you loved being number 2 this week ? And being number one the next week ? (if Adele don't drop any single)
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moonlite
Platinum Member
Joined: September 2018
Posts: 1,185
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Post by moonlite on Oct 13, 2019 16:45:05 GMT -5
Is there any chance of Someone you loved being number 2 this week ? And being number one the next week ? (if Adele don't drop any single) Its not impossible, but I dont see it being #2 this week. And it definitely won't be #1 next week, Truth Hurts has to big of a lead over it. |
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notgoodenglish
Gold Member
MAX VERSTAPPEN KING OF THE WORLD
Joined: September 2019
Posts: 594
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Post by notgoodenglish on Oct 13, 2019 16:49:20 GMT -5
thank you for your response <3
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Post by whales10268 on Oct 13, 2019 18:18:11 GMT -5
Someone You Loved is ahead of Senorita in every metric other than Radio, so it will be number 2 soon. Number one looks unlikely, I can’t imagine there won’t be another big debut before it overtakes Truth Hurts.
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sirskimask
Platinum Member
LLJW 999
Joined: July 2019
Posts: 1,324
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Post by sirskimask on Oct 13, 2019 19:11:56 GMT -5
Someone You Loved is ahead of Senorita in every metric other than Radio, so it will be number 2 soon. Number one looks unlikely, I can’t imagine there won’t be another big debut before it overtakes Truth Hurts. Adele will probably block it eventually |
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Dadude#0839
Charting
i stan olivia rodrigo
Joined: August 2019
Posts: 162
Pronouns: He/Him
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Post by Dadude#0839 on Oct 13, 2019 19:15:20 GMT -5
I predict HITR will have moderate longevity if it holds up on spotify and gets a remix, like 20-25 week run, but if it falls, it could have a This Is America type run
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Deleted
Joined: January 1970
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Oct 14, 2019 3:33:19 GMT -5
I personally think Someone You Loved will eventually reach #1 once it passes Truth Hurts on radio, but probably only for a week or two.
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Post by thegreatdivine on Oct 14, 2019 3:59:30 GMT -5
I personally think Someone You Loved will eventually reach #1 once it passes Truth Hurts on radio, but probably only for a week or two. It all depends on which superstar artists drop from now till the end of the year. |
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