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Post by Baby Yoda Hot100Fan on Dec 18, 2019 9:38:35 GMT -5
Billboard Radio Songs Estimates 2019/12/18
1(=) Lizzo - Good as Hell 127.73(-0.74)
2(=) Post Malone - Circles 127.42(+0.56)
3(=) Maroon 5 - Memories 112.87(+1.41)
4(=) Lewis Capaldi - Someone You Loved 106.49(-0.74)
5(+1) Dan + Shay & Justin Bieber - 10,000 Hours 103.36(+1.25)
6(-1) Selena Gomez - Lose You to Love Me 103.32(+1.10)
7(=) SHAED - Trampoline 84.34(-1.05)
8(=) Jonas Brothers - Only Human 75.14(-0.46)
9(=) Chris Brown - No Guidance (feat. Drake) 73.25(-0.70)
10(=) Lizzo - Truth Hurts 70.61(-1.22)
20(=) The Weeknd - Heartless 53.61(+1.22)
23(=) Dustin Lynch - Ridin' Roads 50.11(+0.70) 24(+1) Maren Morris - The Bones 49.49(+0.84)
31(+2) Arizona Zervas - ROXANNE 46.67(+1.09)
57(+4) DaBaby - BOP 26.37(+0.89) 62(+7) Harry Styles - Adore You 25.08(+1.61) -(-) Ed Sheeran - South of the Border (feat. Camila Cabello & Cardi B) 12.22(+0.74)
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Normi
6x Platinum Member
Original Pop Flop Stan
probably high right now
Joined: February 2017
Posts: 6,931
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Post by Normi on Dec 18, 2019 9:50:36 GMT -5
Posty coming for that Radio songs #1!! Even if it's just for a week
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dynamac
Charting
Joined: September 2017
Posts: 338 
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Post by dynamac on Dec 18, 2019 9:56:08 GMT -5
With 6ix9ine potentially being released today, I wouldn’t discount whatever he releases next making a run for that top spot.
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lurker2
Gold Member
Joined: April 2019
Posts: 690
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Post by lurker2 on Dec 18, 2019 9:57:42 GMT -5
With 6ix9ine potentially being released today, I wouldn’t discount whatever he releases next making a run for that top spot. I think that’s unlikely, given how strong Mariah is. It might get top ten, though. |
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Verisimilitude
8x Platinum Member
'90s Zealot
Joined: July 2010
Posts: 8,976
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Post by Verisimilitude on Dec 18, 2019 10:03:57 GMT -5
One more week til Christmas! At least 2 more weeks for Mimi!
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Post by Baby Yoda Hot100Fan on Dec 18, 2019 10:11:29 GMT -5
^For now, I agree. There's nothing to make me think otherwise.
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anorable
Charting
Blinding Lights for Top 10!
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Post by anorable on Dec 18, 2019 10:30:00 GMT -5
With 6ix9ine potentially being released today, I wouldn’t discount whatever he releases next making a run for that top spot. Don’t see him having anything bigger than FEFE. |
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kierz7
2x Platinum Member
Joined: June 2018
Posts: 2,642
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Post by kierz7 on Dec 18, 2019 10:31:22 GMT -5
Brenda Lee!!!!!!!
A #2 Hot 100 Hit, in 2019, from a song she recorded at 12 year’s old, in 1956?
A LEGEND!
😂
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jodakyellow
Platinum Member
Joined: July 2018
Posts: 1,536
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Post by jodakyellow on Dec 18, 2019 10:33:55 GMT -5
Designed by Marc Brickman, the lights of the NYC landmark will correspond with the notes of her holiday hit -- which will play simultaneously on iHeartMedia New York’s Z100, Power 105.1, 103.5 KTU and 106.7 Lite FM starting at 8 p.m. from Thursday through Christmas Day.
What does this mean exactly? That starting Thursday and going through Christmas if you turn on any one of those stations you'll hear the song playing? That seems, not right? Or that they're all going to play the song at the exact same time? I think those stations will all play the song at 8pm every night from the 19th through the 25th, synced perfectly to the Empire State Building light show. |
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lazer
2x Platinum Member
Joined: January 2018
Posts: 2,628
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Post by lazer on Dec 18, 2019 10:34:10 GMT -5
If 6ix9ine is gonna be released, he has to keep his profile on the low and change his identity because it won't be safe for him to be in public after cooperating with the feds.
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Post by violentdreams on Dec 18, 2019 10:51:20 GMT -5
As polarizing as 6ix9ine is, the man was becoming a bonafide hit machine before he got locked up and I think his profile will only increase if he gets out.
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Post by sheardbeard on Dec 18, 2019 10:53:07 GMT -5
Brenda Lee!!!!!!! A #2 Hot 100 Hit, in 2019, from a song she recorded at 12 year’s old, in 1956? A LEGEND! 😂 *recorded at 13 years old in 1958 to be annoyingly exact, but I echo your sentiment and enthusiasm! |
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divasummer
Diamond Member
Joined: November 2011
Posts: 10,043
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Post by divasummer on Dec 18, 2019 10:57:36 GMT -5
Is it odd that even though Mariah's my favorite I actually don't want her to surpass the Beatles? I'm perfectly content with this being her last #1. I do believe a 20th #1 would have to be POPULAR ARTIST ft. Mariah Carey, rather than Mariah Carey ft. POPULAR ARTIST. We all know by now collabs between megastars don't necessarily make for mega-hits, so it's best to relegate her to a feature. I wonder how well Mariah Carey & Ariana Grande would do though. No it's not odd. MiMi is my favorite living artist and it would be nice to see her jump on a collab and get another number 1 hit but I don't care. I'm beyond happy with this current accomplishment. Talent wins! |
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lazer
2x Platinum Member
Joined: January 2018
Posts: 2,628
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Post by lazer on Dec 18, 2019 11:00:40 GMT -5
As polarizing as 6ix9ine is, the man was becoming a bonafide hit machine before he got locked up and I think his profile will only increase if he gets out. He can't make music about being a hard gangsta anymore. His credibility is lost. |
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Deleted
Joined: January 1970
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Dec 18, 2019 11:09:54 GMT -5
He’ll just start flexing. Don’t think it’s that much of a loss not being able to rap about gang violence for him tbh. People will still stream anything he puts out, as long as he has hype. Think if he does drop, it’ll be VERY front loaded.
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Post by violentdreams on Dec 18, 2019 11:14:03 GMT -5
As polarizing as 6ix9ine is, the man was becoming a bonafide hit machine before he got locked up and I think his profile will only increase if he gets out. He can't make music about being a hard gangsta anymore. His credibility is lost. He was pivoting away from loud, aggressive gangsta rap and more towards straightforward pop rap anyways. It's not hard to imagine him making songs like FEFE and MAMA except without the violent imagery. |
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Deleted
Joined: January 1970
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Dec 18, 2019 11:17:29 GMT -5
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cking33
Gold Member
Joined: July 2010
Posts: 960
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Post by cking33 on Dec 18, 2019 11:18:29 GMT -5
Pulling for Lil Uzi to crack the top 10. Mariah’s lead is just ... wow. |
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moonlite
Platinum Member
Joined: September 2018
Posts: 1,185
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Post by moonlite on Dec 18, 2019 11:18:29 GMT -5
As polarizing as 6ix9ine is, the man was becoming a bonafide hit machine before he got locked up and I think his profile will only increase if he gets out. He can't make music about being a hard gangsta anymore. His credibility is lost. You think his fanbase gives af about credibility? lol |
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Ｓｏｕｎｄｃｌ🕤ｃｋ
Diamond Member
Joined: August 2017
Posts: 11,069
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Post by Ｓｏｕｎｄｃｌ🕤ｃｋ on Dec 18, 2019 11:20:35 GMT -5
and people really thought Futsal will debut at #1  |
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weirdo
Gold Member
Joined: November 2019
Posts: 640
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Post by weirdo on Dec 18, 2019 11:27:47 GMT -5
and people really thought Futsal will debut at #1 It could still go #1 another week if radio & sales grow as well as streaming |
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Post by violentdreams on Dec 18, 2019 11:28:20 GMT -5
Instead he's only debuting at #8 during a week where Christmas songs are obliterating the charts. Uzi must be sorely "disappointed".
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Ｓｏｕｎｄｃｌ🕤ｃｋ
Diamond Member
Joined: August 2017
Posts: 11,069
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Post by Ｓｏｕｎｄｃｌ🕤ｃｋ on Dec 18, 2019 11:39:07 GMT -5
Instead he's only debuting at #8 during a week where Christmas songs are obliterating the charts. Uzi must be sorely "disappointed". Well, it was his choice...and only 3 Christmas songs are ahead. |
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Post by whales10268 on Dec 18, 2019 12:32:06 GMT -5
Hopefully 6ix9ine tanks. He’s the literal worst besides Lil Pump.
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nak
Gold Member
Joined: August 2019
Posts: 638
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Post by nak on Dec 18, 2019 12:32:32 GMT -5
How many points do yall expect her to gain after the new music video?
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jayhawk1117
2x Platinum Member
Joined: July 2013
Posts: 2,758
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Post by jayhawk1117 on Dec 18, 2019 12:46:27 GMT -5
A new MV, the locked massive bonus from Christmas week, I genuinely think she's getting near or more than 500 overall
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dynamac
Charting
Joined: September 2017
Posts: 338
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Post by dynamac on Dec 18, 2019 12:49:55 GMT -5
6ix9ine got two years, so looks like we’ll be having this discussion again next year
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Enigma.
Diamond Member
Joined: July 2007
Posts: 14,176
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Post by Enigma. on Dec 18, 2019 13:00:14 GMT -5
Uzi is doing numbers that are between Heartless and Blinding Lights, he has no business to go top 5 as of now but it's different story after Xmas.
EDIT: I think it does more like BL as it's dropped below The Box by Roddy Ricch on AM already.
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lights
Charting
https://hot100reviews.home.blog/
Joined: August 2019
Posts: 397
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Post by lights on Dec 18, 2019 13:46:09 GMT -5
12/28/2019 Early Predictions:I made some changes to my formula so everything here should be more accurate. Mainly: 1) I changed my running formula a little bit. Basically, radio/7000 + sales/6 + weighted streaming/1500 changed to radio/7500 + sales/5 + weighted streaming/1500, which I found to be slightly more consistent with my formula. 2) I changed how I'm calculating UGC, as well as placing some more of the on-demand streams into the paid tiers (a full point) for Christmas songs (since Amazon music is completely paid), and I was informed that some of the Pandora streams were actually UGC streams, so a fixed percentage of Pandora streams are weighed 2/3rds of a point (they're still listed in the passive tier). Also, I have GAH, ITMWTOTY, and FS2020 not far behind BOP (all are less than 500 points behind it!). FS2020 could make it safely into the top 10 depending on its AM numbers/UGC views. Fun fact: AIWFCIY is at #1 with a comfortable 27.2% lead over RATCT for this week. If this is accurate, this means that this is the biggest ratio in points between the #1 and the #2 song ever since OTR commanded the chart. Before this week, the biggest ratio between points between #1 and #2 after OTR commanded the chart was when "Highest in the Room" beat "Truth Hurts" by about a 25% lead. | Rank | Song | Radio | Sales | On-Demand Streaming | Free Streaming | Passive Streaming | Total Streaming | Weighted Streaming | Total Points | | 1 | All I Want For Christmas Is You | 40,300,000 | 11,500 | 30,900,000 | 13,700,000 | 7,200,000 | 51,800,000 | 43,500,000 | 36,673 | | 2 | Rockin' Around the Christmas Tree | 35,700,000 | 6,000 | 25,000,000 | 4,100,000 | 12,000,000 | 41,100,000 | 34,300,000 | 28,827 | | 3 | Circles | 98,800,000 | 12,000 | 16,200,000 | 3,600,000 | 3,150,000 | 22,950,000 | 19,500,000 | 28,573 | | 4 | Roxanne | 39,500,000 | 6,000 | 17,300,000 | 15,300,000 | 1,900,000 | 34,500,000 | 27,600,000 | 24,867 | | 5 | A Holly Jolly Christmas | 28,900,000 | 2,000 | 22,700,000 | 3,800,000 | 9,500,000 | 36,000,000 | 30,300,000 | 24,453 | | 6 | Memories | 88,200,000 | 12,500 | 9,200,000 | 7,100,000 | 2,550,000 | 18,850,000 | 14,900,000 | 24,193 | | 7 | Someone You Loved | 79,000,000 | 10,000 | 11,200,000 | 6,300,000 | 2,650,000 | 20,150,000 | 16,300,000 | 23,400 | | 8 | Dance Monkey | 41,800,000 | 14,500 | 12,400,000 | 12,200,000 | 1,750,000 | 26,350,000 | 20,900,000 | 22,407 | | 9 | Jingle Bell Rock | 28,100,000 | 2,000 | 22,800,000 | 3,900,000 | 4,100,000 | 30,800,000 | 27,200,000 | 22,280 | | 10 | BOP | 21,300,000 | 4,000 | 16,000,000 | 17,000,000 | 2,100,000 | 35,100,000 | 27,700,000 | 22,107 |
How many points did you have AIWFCIY on under this formula last week? |
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Post by nathanalbright on Dec 18, 2019 13:54:58 GMT -5
With 6ix9ine potentially being released today, I wouldn’t discount whatever he releases next making a run for that top spot. I'm sure his Snitch9ine mixtape will be popular for at least one week  . |
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