gikem
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Post by gikem on Oct 18, 2021 22:21:43 GMT -5
Tombstone is still looking like the predicted #100. Currently at #93 and it looks like it's gonna be passed by Beggin DrunkTake My Breath Happier Than Ever (pleeeeease) If I Didn't Love You Knife Talk Easy On Me We can hope that it gets bounced by Todo De Ti due to margin of error Sadly, I recently found out that Billboard thought kicking Drunk off the Hot 100 this week would be a good idea, so it will not pass Tombstone. With no other songs expected to pass Tombstone by the end of the tracking year, that leaves Goosebumps and DBTGA as our favorites for the #100. I'd give the slight edge to Goosebumps, though it's very much in the margin of error and I wouldn't be surprised if DBTGA edges it out.
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inverse
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Post by inverse on Oct 19, 2021 0:14:26 GMT -5
Tombstone is still looking like the predicted #100. Currently at #93 and it looks like it's gonna be passed by Beggin DrunkTake My Breath Happier Than Ever (pleeeeease) If I Didn't Love You Knife Talk Easy On Me We can hope that it gets bounced by Todo De Ti due to margin of error Sadly, I recently found out that Billboard thought kicking Drunk off the Hot 100 this week would be a good idea, so it will not pass Tombstone. With no other songs expected to pass Tombstone by the end of the tracking year, that leaves Goosebumps and DBTGA as our favorites for the #100. I'd give the slight edge to Goosebumps, though it's very much in the margin of error and I wouldn't be surprised if DBTGA edges it out. goddammit why did billboard have to pick now to be reasonable after allowing the bad songs pussy fairy & one too many to get away with this
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Post by nathanalbright on Oct 19, 2021 0:17:14 GMT -5
It's not like Billboard is trying to manipulate matters; it depends on whether a song is being actively promoted with radio holding. Once those songs lose radio play, bye bye they go.
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inverse
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Post by inverse on Oct 19, 2021 0:56:21 GMT -5
Man this year's #101 - #110 is shaping up to be blursed with two potential top 3 picks for both the best & worst lists.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Oct 19, 2021 6:10:14 GMT -5
Week 49
Butter will just miss the top 10 Way 2 Sexy locks into the year end {Spoiler}5791 Levitating By Dua Lipa 1 4626 Save Your Tears By The Weeknd 2 4367 Blinding Lights By The Weeknd 3 4340 Mood By 24kGoldn (iann dior) 4 3694 Leave The Door Open By Silk Sonic [Bruno Mars & Anderson .Paak] 5 3538 Drivers License By Olivia Rodrigo 6 3397 Kiss Me More By Doja Cat (SZA) 7 3283 Peaches By Justin Bieber (Giveon & Daniel Ceasar) 8 3209 Montero (Call Me By Your Name) By Lil Nas X 9 3126 Good 4 U By Olivia Rodrigo 10
Top 10 (3000)
2971 Butter By BTS 11 2893 Positions By Ariana Grande 12 2702 Deja Vu By Olivia Rodrigo 13 2622 Go Crazy By Chris Brown (Young Thug) 14 2602 Without You By The Kid LAROI 15 2588 34 + 35 By Ariana Grande 16 2521 What You Know Bout Love By Pop Smoke 17 2513 Forever After All By Luke Combs 18
Top 20 (2500)
2466 Astronaut In The Ocean By Masked Wolf 19 2449 My Ex's Best Friend By Machine Gun Kelly (Blackbear) 20 2400 Stay By The Kid LAROI (Justin Bieber) 21 2375 Heat Waves By Glass Animals 22 2263 Up By Cardi B 23 2209 Best Friend By Saweetie (Doja Cat) 24 2196 Dakiti By Bad Bunny (Jhay Cortez) 25 2160 Therefore I Am By Billie Eilish 26 2128 Bad Habits By Ed Sheeran 27 2126 Heartbreak Anniversary By Giveon 28 2038 Rapstar By Polo G 29 2022 For The Night By Pop Smoke (Lil Baby & DaBaby) 30 1877 Holy By Justin Bieber (Chance The Rapper) 31 1855 Calling My Phone By Lil Tjay (6LACK) 32 1830 Beautiful Mistakes By Maroon 5 (Megan Thee Stallion) 33 1759 On Me By Lil Baby 34 1744 You Broke Me First. By Tate McRae 35 1687 Fancy Like By Walker Hayes 36 1661 I Hope By Gabby Barrett (Charlie Puth) 37 1612 Back In Blood By Pooh Sheisty (Lil Durk) 38 1611 Industry Baby By Lil Nas X (Jack Harlow) 39 1610 Laugh Now Cry Later By Drake (Lil Durk) 40 1602 Dynamite By BTS 41 1547 Beat Box By SpotemGottem 42 1509 Good Days By SZA 43 1499 Wockesha By Moneybagg yo 44 1499 Telepatia By Kali Uchis 45 1482 Traitor By Olivia Rodrigo 46 1478 Wants and Needs By Drake (Lil Baby) 47 1430 Lemonade By Internet Money (Gunna, Don Toliver, & NAV) 48 1405 Every Chance I Get By DJ Khaled (Lil Baby & Lil Durk) 49 1404 Bang! By AJR 50
Top 50 (1400)
1395 Starting Over By Chris Stapleton 51 1393 Whoopty By CJ 52 1384 You're Mines Still By Yung Bleu (Drake) 53 1374 Willow By Taylor Swift 54 1344 Better Together By Luke Combs 55 1326 You Right By Doja Cat (The Weeknd) 56 1324 Leave Before You Love Me By Marshmello (Jonas Brothers) 57 1301 Body By Megan Thee Stallion 58 1249 The Good Ones By Gabby Barrett 59 1235 Lonely By Justin Bieber (Benny Blanco) 60 1228 Need To Know By Doja Cat 61 1209 Late At Night By Roddy Ricch 62 1205 Streets By Doja Cat 63 1160 Famous Friends By Chris Young (Kane Brown) 64 1147 Thot S**t By Megan Thee Stallion 65 1123 Glad You Exist By Dan + Shay 66 1108 Anyone By Justin Bieber 67 1106 Lil Bit By Nelly (Florida Georgia Line) 68 1067 Time Today By Moneybagg yo 69 1060 What's Next By Drake 70 1044 Kings & Queens By Ava Max 71 1039 Beggin' By Maneskin 72 1038 Track Star By Mooski 73 1026 Essence By Wizkid (Tems) 74 1014 Cry Baby By Megan Thee Stallion (DaBaby) 75 1011 What's Your Country Song By Thomas Rhett 76 998 No More Parties By Coi Leray 77 997 Chasing After You By Ryan Hurd (Maren Morris) 78 969 All I Want For Christmas Is You By Mariah Carey 79 945 Good Time By Niko Moon 80 938 pov By Ariana Grande 81 910 Way 2 Sexy By Drake (Future & Young Thug) 82 909 Just The Way By Parmalee (Blanco Brown) 83 908 We're Good By Dua Lipa 84
YE (900)
893 Yonaguni By Bad Bunny 85 872 ROCKSTAR By DaBaby (Roddy Ricch) 86 864 Arcade By Duncan Laurence 87 861 Before You Go By Lewis Capaldi 88 853 Throat Baby (Go Baby) By BRS Kash 89 847 Things A Man Oughta Know By Lainey Wilson 90 846 Todo De Ti By Rauw Alejandro 91 842 Drinkin' Beer. Talkin' God. Amen By Chase Rice (Florida Georgia Line) 92 831 Take My Breath By The Weeknd 93 828 Hell Of A View By Eric Church 94 824 Put Your Records On By Ritt Momney 95 818 Single Saturday Night By Cole Swindell 96 815 Goosebumps By HVME (Travis Scott) 97 813 Happier Than Ever By Billie Eilish 98 807 Rockin' Around The Christmas Tree By Brenda Lee 99 805 Damage By H.E.R. 100 Bubbling Under {Spoiler}805 More Than My Hometown By Morgan Wallen 101 804 If I Didn't Love You By Jason Aldean (Carrie Underwood) 102 785 Settling Down By Miranda Lambert 103 770 Breaking Up Was Easy In The 90's By Sam Hunt 104 743 Gone By Dierks Bentley 105 738 Tombstone By Rod Wave 106 737 Down To One By Luke Bryan 107 734 Whats Poppin By Jack Harlow (DaBaby, Lil Wayne, & Tory Lanez) 108 732 Whole Lotta Money By BIA (Nicki Minaj) 109 731 Pepas By Farruko 110 717 One Too Many By Keith Urban (P!nk) 111 712 Savage Love (Laxed - Siren Beat) By Jawsh 685 (Jason Derulo) 112 711 Made For You By Jake Owen 113 708 Waves By Luke Bryan 114 706 WAP By Cardi B (Megan Thee Stallion) 115 698 Wasted On You By Morgan Wallen 116 697 Knife Talk By Drake (21 Savage & Project Pat) 117 693 m y . l i f e By J. Cole (21 Savage & Morray) 118 689 Blame It On You By Jason Aldean 119 686 Jingle Bell Rock By Bobby Helms 120 661 A-O-K By Tai Verdes 121 649 Cold Beer Calling My Name By Jameson Rodgers (Luke Combs) 122 643 Drunk (AIDWGH) By Elle King (Miranda Lambert) 123 642 Ski By Young Thug (Gunna) 124 640 Diamonds By Sam Smith 125 I have been running another year end system that is closer to other predictions in points. {Spoiler}10707 Levitating By Dua Lipa 1 8332 Save Your Tears By The Weeknd 2 8018 Blinding Lights By The Weeknd 3 7654 Mood By 24kGoldn (iann dior) 4 6775 Leave The Door Open By Silk Sonic [Bruno Mars & Anderson .Paak] 5 6402 Good 4 U By Olivia Rodrigo 6 6309 Kiss Me More By Doja Cat (SZA) 7 6057 Drivers License By Olivia Rodrigo 8 6004 Peaches By Justin Bieber (Giveon & Daniel Ceasar) 9 5731 Montero (Call Me By Your Name) By Lil Nas X 10 5559 Butter By BTS 11 5292 Positions By Ariana Grande 12 4723 Go Crazy By Chris Brown (Young Thug) 13 4709 Deja Vu By Olivia Rodrigo 14 4631 34 + 35 By Ariana Grande 15 4445 Forever After All By Luke Combs 16 4432 Without You By The Kid LAROI 17 4296 Astronaut In The Ocean By Masked Wolf 18 4284 What You Know Bout Love By Pop Smoke 19 4265 Stay By The Kid LAROI (Justin Bieber) 20 4149 Up By Cardi B 21 4080 Heat Waves By Glass Animals 22 4078 My Ex's Best Friend By Machine Gun Kelly (Blackbear) 23 4071 Bad Habits By Ed Sheeran 24 3816 Therefore I Am By Billie Eilish 25 3743 Dakiti By Bad Bunny (Jhay Cortez) 26 3740 Best Friend By Saweetie (Doja Cat) 27 3669 Heartbreak Anniversary By Giveon 28 3580 Rapstar By Polo G 29 3464 For The Night By Pop Smoke (Lil Baby & DaBaby) 30 3369 Holy By Justin Bieber (Chance The Rapper) 31 3246 Calling My Phone By Lil Tjay (6LACK) 32 3104 Beautiful Mistakes By Maroon 5 (Megan Thee Stallion) 33 3058 Fancy Like By Walker Hayes 34 3027 Industry Baby By Lil Nas X (Jack Harlow) 35 2984 You Broke Me First. By Tate McRae 36 2973 I Hope By Gabby Barrett (Charlie Puth) 37 2900 On Me By Lil Baby 38 2846 Laugh Now Cry Later By Drake (Lil Durk) 39 2808 Back In Blood By Pooh Sheisty (Lil Durk) 40 2737 Dynamite By BTS 41 2680 Beat Box By SpotemGottem 42 2479 Wants and Needs By Drake (Lil Baby) 43 2473 Traitor By Olivia Rodrigo 44 2455 Whoopty By CJ 45 2449 Lemonade By Internet Money (Gunna, Don Toliver, & NAV) 46 2438 Wockesha By Moneybagg yo 47 2412 Good Days By SZA 48 2394 Telepatia By Kali Uchis 49 2391 Every Chance I Get By DJ Khaled (Lil Baby & Lil Durk) 50 2347 You're Mines Still By Yung Bleu (Drake) 51 2345 Bang! By AJR 52 2340 You Right By Doja Cat (The Weeknd) 53 2328 Body By Megan Thee Stallion 54 2296 Better Together By Luke Combs 55 2276 Glad You Exist By Dan + Shay 56 2271 Willow By Taylor Swift 57 2268 Starting Over By Chris Stapleton 58 2253 Leave Before You Love Me By Marshmello (Jonas Brothers) 59 2176 The Good Ones By Gabby Barrett 60 2111 Need To Know By Doja Cat 61 2109 Streets By Doja Cat 62 2107 Lonely By Justin Bieber (Benny Blanco) 63 2098 Lil Bit By Nelly (Florida Georgia Line) 64 2070 Famous Friends By Chris Young (Kane Brown) 65 1995 What's Next By Drake 66 1984 Thot S**t By Megan Thee Stallion 67 1972 Chasing After You By Ryan Hurd (Maren Morris) 68 1960 Late At Night By Roddy Ricch 69 1877 Anyone By Justin Bieber 70 1839 Essence By Wizkid (Tems) 71 1788 Arcade By Duncan Laurence 72 1767 Kings & Queens By Ava Max 73 1761 Time Today By Moneybagg yo 74 1756 All I Want For Christmas Is You By Mariah Carey 75 1747 One Too Many By Keith Urban (P!nk) 76 1745 What's Your Country Song By Thomas Rhett 77 1741 Track Star By Mooski 78 1737 Beggin' By Maneskin 79 1734 No More Parties By Coi Leray 80 1728 Good Time By Niko Moon 81 1723 Cry Baby By Megan Thee Stallion (DaBaby) 82 1715 Way 2 Sexy By Drake (Future & Young Thug) 83 1705 Yonaguni By Bad Bunny 84 1644 Single Saturday Night By Cole Swindell 85 1623 pov By Ariana Grande 86 1613 Rockin' Around The Christmas Tree By Brenda Lee 87 1611 We're Good By Dua Lipa 88 1607 Hell Of A View By Eric Church 89 1605 Things A Man Oughta Know By Lainey Wilson 90 1604 Tombstone By Rod Wave 91 1599 Just The Way By Parmalee (Blanco Brown) 92 1591 Drinkin' Beer. Talkin' God. Amen By Chase Rice (Florida Georgia Line) 93 1586 Throat Baby (Go Baby) By BRS Kash 94 1575 Put Your Records On By Ritt Momney 95 1572 Drunk (AIDWGH) By Elle King (Miranda Lambert) 96 1553 Todo De Ti By Rauw Alejandro 97 1523 Goosebumps By HVME (Travis Scott) 98 1523 Gone By Dierks Bentley 99 1513 Almost Maybes By Jordan Davis 100
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𝓲𝓽'𝓼.𝓰𝓿
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𝓪 𝓽𝓸𝓻𝓽𝓾𝓻𝓮𝓭 𝓹𝓸𝓮𝓽
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My Charts
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Post by 𝓲𝓽'𝓼.𝓰𝓿 on Oct 19, 2021 6:41:52 GMT -5
Ah Week #49, the chart week that got my interest in Year-End Predictions (and what really led to me here in Pulse)
Also it's nice that "Peaches" will be in the YE Top 10 instead of "Butter"
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Post by flextamcsignals on Oct 19, 2021 9:52:48 GMT -5
Drunk (And I Don't Wanna Go Home) would still be here if Nashville radio didn't abandon it while propping up pieces of garbage like Fancy Like, or giving Michael Ray's new song airtime while completely dropping Next Girl by Carly Pearce, his ex who roasted him on her last project. Not to mention the complete lack of recognition for Ingrid Andress who deserves SO much more. Yet another example of how females in country can't have anything nice. Sigh.
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Groovy
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Post by Groovy on Oct 19, 2021 10:27:08 GMT -5
Hopefully, Drunk (And I Don't Wanna Go Home), Todo De Ti and Drinkin' Beer. Talkin' Beer. Amen. all dropping out these past few weeks opens the door for Happier Than Ever making the YE.
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GP
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Post by GP on Oct 19, 2021 11:31:24 GMT -5
The way The Weeknd will be joining Santana and Usher and Bieber and Gaga and TLC and The Beatles a remarkable elite of artists who managed to have 2/3 songs on the Year-End top 3. 🔥 the way Dua would join too if DSN was #3 instead of #4 last year esp two years in a row
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Groovy
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Post by Groovy on Oct 19, 2021 13:28:24 GMT -5
Also The Weeknd and Dua Lipa will both will have consecutive top 3 appearances, some of the other acts to do that.
Post Malone - 2019 & 2020 Ed Sheeran - 2017 & 2018 Justin Bieber - 2016 & 2017 Monica - 1998 & 1999 Michael Jackson - 1983 & 1984 Andy Gibb - 1977 & 1978 Elton John - 1975 & 1976 Roberta Flack - 1972 & 1973 Elvis Presley - 1956, 1957 & 1958 (Funny enough he's the only person to do this three consecutive times.)
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Lost In Musical Reverie
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Post by Lost In Musical Reverie on Oct 19, 2021 13:29:37 GMT -5
This is the week that determines whether Drunk (AIDWGH) makes the year end or not. Predictions have it avoiding recurrency but you never know with Billboard. If it survives this week it should put it just over the cutoff. 🕯 Prayer circle it survives this week to make it 🕯 Yikes...it seems like I jinxed it. Sorry, folks... Hopefully, Drunk (And I Don't Wanna Go Home), Todo De Ti and Drinkin' Beer. Talkin' Beer. Amen. all dropping out these past few weeks opens the door for Happier Than Ever making the YE. Looking at the bright side of things - love this optimistic attitude! RIP "Drunk (And I Don't Wanna Go Home)" and "Todo De Ti", though - two songs that would have been great additions to this Year-End list. 😔
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Soundcl🕤ck
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Post by Soundcl🕤ck on Oct 19, 2021 13:36:03 GMT -5
Also The Weeknd and Dua Lipa will both have consecutive top 3 appearances, some of the other acts to do that. Post Malone - 2019 & 2020 Ed Sheeran - 2017 & 2018 Justin Bieber - 2016 & 2017 Monica - 1998 & 1999 Michael Jackson - 1983 & 1984 Andy Gibb - 1977 & 1978 Elton John - 1975 & 1976 Roberta Flack - 1972 & 1973 Elvis Presley - 1956, 1957 & 1958 (Funny enough he's the only person to do this three consecutive times.) Don't Start Now was #4 tho. also, Ed Sheeran is the only artist who wrote a YE top 3 hit for 4 consecutive years. (#2 Thinking Out Loud, #1 Love Yourself, #1 Shape Of You, #2 Perfect).
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Groovy
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Post by Groovy on Oct 19, 2021 13:36:52 GMT -5
Hopefully, Drunk (And I Don't Wanna Go Home), Todo De Ti and Drinkin' Beer. Talkin' Beer. Amen. all dropping out these past few weeks opens the door for Happier Than Ever making the YE. Looking at the bright side of things - love this optimistic attitude! RIP "Drunk (And I Don't Wanna Go Home)" and "Todo De Ti", though - two songs that would have been great additions to this Year-End list. 😔 Those three dropping out will really open the door for Billie to sneak in but I do agree the former two missing will be a loss but HTE is my favorite hit of the year so there's that.
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Groovy
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Post by Groovy on Oct 19, 2021 13:37:19 GMT -5
Also The Weeknd and Dua Lipa will both have consecutive top 3 appearances, some of the other acts to do that. Post Malone - 2019 & 2020 Ed Sheeran - 2017 & 2018 Justin Bieber - 2016 & 2017 Monica - 1998 & 1999 Michael Jackson - 1983 & 1984 Andy Gibb - 1977 & 1978 Elton John - 1975 & 1976 Roberta Flack - 1972 & 1973 Elvis Presley - 1956, 1957 & 1958 (Funny enough he's the only person to do this three consecutive times.) Don't Start Now was #4 tho. also, Ed Sheeran is the only artist who wrote a YE top 3 hit for 4 consecutive years. (#2 Thinking Out Loud, #1 Love Yourself, #1 Shape Of You, #2 Perfect). Yeah, you're right my mistake.
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Lost In Musical Reverie
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Post by Lost In Musical Reverie on Oct 19, 2021 13:50:01 GMT -5
Also The Weeknd and Dua Lipa will both have consecutive top 3 appearances, some of the other acts to do that. Ed Sheeran - 2017 & 2018 Don't Start Now was #4 tho. also, Ed Sheeran is the only artist who wrote a YE top 3 hit for 4 consecutive years. (#2 Thinking Out Loud, #1 Love Yourself, #1 Shape Of You, #2 Perfect). Regardless of what one thinks of him, this is such an insane and lowkey iconic achievement. Talk about consistent success and having the GP on chokehold. 👏 Also, I was doing some quick research, and do correct me if I'm wrong, but I don't think any other artist or songwriter has come close to having consecutive top 3 YE hits like that. Sure, Max Martin will finally be getting his 2-year run thanks to Abel's behemoth smashes, but getting to the third year seems to be the tricky part. Edit: of course, this elite includes the artists mentioned by Groovy earlier this page, with Elvis Presley getting three consecutive years. As songwriters, whoever wrote their songs on their respective streaks + Max Martin, it seems. I'm sure there are more, though.
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Post by nathanalbright on Oct 19, 2021 14:30:40 GMT -5
Barry Gibb as a songwriter has a two-year streak, as he was a writer for both of Andy Gibb's top 3 hits (the second, as well as the Bee Gees' own top 3 hit in 1978, being co-writes with the other Brothers Gibb).
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joshtheking
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Post by joshtheking on Oct 19, 2021 14:39:02 GMT -5
Drunk (AIDWGH) was robbed :(
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Post by reputainbow on Oct 19, 2021 20:35:40 GMT -5
{Week 49}KEY: 1100+: Locked | 1000+: Very Likely/Near Locked | 900+: Likely | 800+: Possibly | 700+: In Consideration
1 Levitating (Dua Lipa) 6316 2 Save Your Tears (The Weeknd/Ariana Grande) 4961 3 Mood (24Kgoldn/Iann Dior) 4830 4 Blinding Lights (The Weeknd) 4667 5 Leave the Door Open (Silk Sonic/Bruno Mars/Anderson .Paak) 4134 6 Drivers License (Olivia Rodrigo) 4018 7 Kiss Me More (Doja Cat/SZA) 3732 8 Good 4 U (Olivia Rodrigo) 3666 9 Peaches (Justin Bieber/Giveon/Daniel Caesar) 3618 10 Butter (BTS) 3526 11 Montero (Call Me By Your Name) (Lil Nas X) 3379 12 Positions (Ariana Grande) 3133 13 Stay (Kid Laroi/Justin Bieber) 2920 14 Go Crazy (Chris Brown/Young Thug) 2762 15 34+35 (Ariana Grande) 2743 16 Deja Vu (Olivia Rodrigo) 2712 17 Without You (Kid Laroi) 2607 18 Forever After All (Luke Combs) 2513 19 What You Know Bout Love (Pop Smoke) 2511 20 Up (Cardi B) 2508 21 Astronaut In the Ocean (Masked Wolf) 2496 22 My Ex's Best Friend (Machine Gun Kelly/Blackbear) 2449 23 Bad Habits (Ed Sheeran) 2418 24 Heat Waves (Glass Animals) 2375 25 Dakiti (Bad Bunny/Jhay Cortez) 2216 26 Best Friend (Saweetie/Doja Cat) 2209 27 Therefore I Am (Billie Eilish) 2190 28 RAPSTAR (Polo G) 2183 29 Heartbreak Anniversary (Giveon) 2126 30 For the Night (Pop Smoke) 2012 31 Holy (Justin Bieber/Chance the Rapper) 1987 32 Calling My Phone (Lil Tjay/6LACK) 1890 33 Industry Baby (Lil Nas X/Jack Harlow) 1841 34 Beautiful Mistakes (Maroon 5/Megan Thee Stallion) 1830 35 Fancy Like (Walker Hayes) 1782 36 On Me (Lil Baby) 1759 37 You Broke Me First (Tate McRae) 1744 38 I Hope (Gabby Barrett/Charlie Puth) 1726 39 Laugh Now Cry Later (Drake/Lil Durk) 1690 40 Dynamite (BTS) 1637 41 Back In Blood (Pooh Shiesty/Lil Durk) 1612 42 Beat Box (Spotemgottem) 1547 43 Wants and Needs (Drake/Lil Baby) 1503 44 Wockesha (Moneybagg Yo) 1499 45 Telepatía (Kali Uchis) 1499 46 Good Days (SZA) 1499 47 Traitor (Olivia Rodrigo) 1482 48 Lemonade (Internet Money/Gunna/Toliver) 1445 49 Willow (Taylor Swift) 1424 50 Every Chance I Get (DJ Khaled/Lil Baby/Lil Durk) 1405 51 Bang! (AJR) 1404 52 Starting Over (Chris Stapleton) 1395 53 Whoopty (CJ) 1388 54 You're Mines Still (Yung Bleu/Drake) 1384 55 Better Together (Luke Combs) 1344 56 You Right (Doja Cat/The Weeknd) 1326 57 Leave Before You Love Me (Marshmello/Jonas Brothers) 1324 58 Body (Megan Thee Stallion) 1301 59 The Good Ones (Gabby Barrett) 1249 60 Lonely (Justin Bieber/Benny Blanco) 1235 61 Need to Know (Doja Cat) 1228 62 Late at Night (Roddy Ricch) 1209 63 Streets (Doja Cat) 1205 64 Famous Friends (Chris Young/Kane Brown) 1160 65 Thot s**t (Megan Thee Stallion) 1147 66 What's Next (Drake) 1135 67 All I Want for Christmas Is You (Mariah Carey) 1129 68 Glad You Exist (Dan + Shay) 1123 69 Anyone (Justin Bieber) 1123 70 Lil Bit (Nelly/Florida Georgia Line) 1106 71 Way 2 Sexy (Drake/Future/Young Thug) 1070 72 Time Today (Moneybagg Yo) 1067 73 Kings & Queens (Ava Max) 1044 74 Beggin' (Maneskin) 1039 75 Track Star (Mooski) 1038 76 Essence (Wizkid/Tems/Justin Bieber) 1021 77 Cry Baby (Megan Thee Stallion/DaBaby) 1014 78 What's Your Country Song (Thomas Rhett) 1011 79 No More Parties (Coi Leray) 998 80 Chasing After You (Ryan Hurd/Maren Morris) 997 81 Good Time (Niko Moon) 945 82 POV (Ariana Grande) 938 83 Just the Way (Parmalee/Blanco Brown) 909 84 We're Good (Dua Lipa) 908 85 Rockin' Around the Christmas Tree (Brenda Lee) 907 86 Yonaguni (Bad Bunny) 888 87 Rockstar (DaBaby/Roddy Ricch) 872 88 Arcade (Duncan Laurence) 862 89 Before You Go (Lewis Capaldi) 861 90 Throat Baby (Brs Kash) 853 91 Things a Man Oughta Know (Lainey Wilson) 847 92 Take My Breath (The Weeknd) 846 93 Todo de Ti (Rauw Alejandro) 846 94 Drinkin' Beer. Talkin' God. Amen. (Chase Rice/Florida Georgia Line) 842 95 Hell of a View (Eric Church) 828 96 Put Your Records On (Ritt Momney) 824 97 Single Saturday Night (Cole Swindell) 818 98 Goosebumps (Travis Scott/HVME) 815 99 Happier Than Ever (Billie Eilish) 813 100 Damage (H.E.R.) 805 101 More Than My Hometown (Morgan Wallen) 805 102 If I Didn't Love You (Jason Aldean/Carrie Underwood) 804 103 Settling Down (Miranda Lambert) 785 104 Breaking Up Was Easy In the 90's (Sam Hunt) 770 105 Jingle Bell Rock (Bobby Helms) 746 106 Gone (Dierks Bentley) 743 107 Tombstone (Rod Wave) 738 108 Knife Talk (Drake/21 Savage/Project Pat) 737 109 Down to One (Luke Bryan) 737 110 What's Poppin (Jack Harlow) 734 111 Whole Lotta Money (BiA/Nicki Minaj) 732 112 Pepas (Farruko) 731 113 My Life (J. Cole/21 Savage/Morray) 723 114 One Too Many (Keith Urban/Pink) 717 115 Savage Love (Laxed - Siren Beat) (Jawsh 685/Jason Derulo) 712 116 Made for You (Jake Owen) 711 117 Waves (Luke Bryan) 708 118 WAP (Cardi B/Megan Thee Stallion) 706
121 A-O-K (Tai Verdes) 661 122 Cold Beer Calling My Name (Jameson Rodgers/Luke Combs) 649 131 Girls Want Girls (Drake/Lil Baby) 612 132 Wild Side (Normani/Cardi B) 601 139 Ain't s**t (Doja Cat) 559 140 Fair Trade (Drake/Travis Scott) 557 143 I Was On a Boat That Day (Old Dominion) 545 148 Hurricane (Kanye West) 532 149 Sand In My Boots (Morgan Wallen) 530 151 Love Again (Dua Lipa) 525 159 2055 (Sleepy Hollow) 488 170 Memory (Kane Brown/blackbear) 451 172 Shivers (Ed Sheeran) 446 173 Family Ties (Baby Keem/Kendrick Lamar) 445 174 Memory I Don't Mess With (Lee Brice) 436 177 Volvi (Aventura/Bad Bunny) 423 178 My Universe (Coldplay/BTS) 422 180 Champagne Poetry (Drake) 420 184 My Boy (Elvie Shane) 405 189 Sharing Locations (Meek Mill/Lil Baby/Lil Durk) 366 190 Buy Dirt (Jordan Davis/Luke Bryan) 366 193 Gyalis (Capella Grey) 355 200 No Friends In the Industry (Drake) 335
{Formula #2}1 Levitating (Dua Lipa) 11553 2 Save Your Tears (The Weeknd/Ariana Grande) 9111 3 Blinding Lights (The Weeknd) 8611 4 Mood (24Kgoldn/Iann Dior) 8451 5 Leave the Door Open (Silk Sonic/Bruno Mars/Anderson .Paak) 7456 6 Drivers License (Olivia Rodrigo) 6883 7 Kiss Me More (Doja Cat/SZA) 6846 8 Good 4 U (Olivia Rodrigo) 6656 9 Peaches (Justin Bieber/Giveon/Daniel Caesar) 6574 10 Montero (Call Me By Your Name) (Lil Nas X) 6179 11 Butter (BTS) 5878.6 12 Positions (Ariana Grande) 5703 13 Go Crazy (Chris Brown/Young Thug) 5108 14 Deja Vu (Olivia Rodrigo) 4979 15 34+35 (Ariana Grande) 4973 16 Stay (Kid Laroi/Justin Bieber) 4941 17 Without You (Kid Laroi) 4746.8 18 Forever After All (Luke Combs) 4729.6 19 Astronaut In the Ocean (Masked Wolf) 4602 20 What You Know Bout Love (Pop Smoke) 4545.6 21 Up (Cardi B) 4511 22 Bad Habits (Ed Sheeran) 4439 23 Heat Waves (Glass Animals) 4372.2 24 My Ex's Best Friend (Machine Gun Kelly/Blackbear) 4354.4 25 Therefore I Am (Billie Eilish) 4062.8 26 Dakiti (Bad Bunny/Jhay Cortez) 3938 27 RAPSTAR (Polo G) 3937 28 Best Friend (Saweetie/Doja Cat) 3889 29 Heartbreak Anniversary (Giveon) 3803.6 30 For the Night (Pop Smoke) 3691 31 Holy (Justin Bieber/Chance the Rapper) 3640 32 Calling My Phone (Lil Tjay/6LACK) 3475 33 Industry Baby (Lil Nas X/Jack Harlow) 3310 34 Fancy Like (Walker Hayes) 3279.2 35 Beautiful Mistakes (Maroon 5/Megan Thee Stallion) 3237.8 36 I Hope (Gabby Barrett/Charlie Puth) 3156 37 You Broke Me First (Tate McRae) 3133.6 38 On Me (Lil Baby) 3079.6 39 Laugh Now Cry Later (Drake/Lil Durk) 3058 40 Back In Blood (Pooh Shiesty/Lil Durk) 2959.2 41 Dynamite (BTS) 2911 42 Beat Box (Spotemgottem) 2836.8 43 Good Days (SZA) 2684.8 44 Wants and Needs (Drake/Lil Baby) 2622 45 Whoopty (CJ) 2606.8 46 Wockesha (Moneybagg Yo) 2606.4 47 Lemonade (Internet Money/Gunna/Toliver) 2599 48 Traitor (Olivia Rodrigo) 2595 49 Telepatía (Kali Uchis) 2593.6 50 Bang! (AJR) 2506 51 Willow (Taylor Swift) 2482.4 52 You're Mines Still (Yung Bleu/Drake) 2476.8 53 Every Chance I Get (DJ Khaled/Lil Baby/Lil Durk) 2463.8 54 Glad You Exist (Dan + Shay) 2461.6 55 Starting Over (Chris Stapleton) 2448 56 Body (Megan Thee Stallion) 2445.8 57 You Right (Doja Cat/The Weeknd) 2426 58 Better Together (Luke Combs) 2400 59 Leave Before You Love Me (Marshmello/Jonas Brothers) 2370.8 60 The Good Ones (Gabby Barrett) 2333.4 61 Need to Know (Doja Cat) 2242.6 62 Lonely (Justin Bieber/Benny Blanco) 2237.8 63 Streets (Doja Cat) 2212.2 64 Lil Bit (Nelly/Florida Georgia Line) 2204 65 Famous Friends (Chris Young/Kane Brown) 2198 66 What's Next (Drake) 2185 67 Late at Night (Roddy Ricch) 2108.2 68 Thot s**t (Megan Thee Stallion) 2102.2 69 Chasing After You (Ryan Hurd/Maren Morris) 2088.8 70 One Too Many (Keith Urban/Pink) 2049.6 71 Anyone (Justin Bieber) 2036.6 72 Essence (Wizkid/Tems/Justin Bieber) 1954.8 73 All I Want for Christmas Is You (Mariah Carey) 1951 74 Track Star (Mooski) 1910.6 75 Arcade (Duncan Laurence) 1909.2 76 What's Your Country Song (Thomas Rhett) 1908.2 77 Way 2 Sexy (Drake/Future/Young Thug) 1901 78 Time Today (Moneybagg Yo) 1888.4 79 No More Parties (Coi Leray) 1878 80 Kings & Queens (Ava Max) 1866 81 Good Time (Niko Moon) 1860 82 Cry Baby (Megan Thee Stallion/DaBaby) 1850.2 83 Beggin' (Maneskin) 1842.6 84 Yonaguni (Bad Bunny) 1808.2 85 Just the Way (Parmalee/Blanco Brown) 1765.2 86 Hell of a View (Eric Church) 1758.6 87 POV (Ariana Grande) 1755.8 88 Tombstone (Rod Wave) 1754 89 Single Saturday Night (Cole Swindell) 1728 90 Throat Baby (Brs Kash) 1725.2 91 Drinkin' Beer. Talkin' God. Amen. (Chase Rice/Florida Georgia Line) 1721.2 92 Things a Man Oughta Know (Lainey Wilson) 1714.6 93 Put Your Records On (Ritt Momney) 1713.8 94 Todo de Ti (Rauw Alejandro) 1697 95 Drunk (And I Don't Wanna Go Home) (Elle King/Miranda Lambert) 1695.2 96 We're Good (Dua Lipa) 1658.4 97 Rockin' Around the Christmas Tree (Brenda Lee) 1657 98 Goosebumps (Travis Scott/HVME) 1650.2 99 Gone (Dierks Bentley) 1634.4 100 Almost Maybes (Jordan Davis) 1631.2 108 Take My Breath (The Weeknd) 1511 111 Waves (Luke Bryan) 1473.2 114 Happier Than Ever (Billie Eilish) 1444 115 If I Didn't Love You (Jason Aldean/Carrie Underwood) 1426.6 119 Knife Talk (Drake/21 Savage/Project Pat) 1361 121 Whole Lotta Money (BiA/Nicki Minaj) 1347 122 Cold Beer Calling My Name (Jameson Rodgers/Luke Combs) 1334.4 124 Pepas (Farruko) 1309.8 126 A-O-K (Tai Verdes) 1307.2 139 I Was On a Boat That Day (Old Dominion) 1186.8 144 Wild Side (Normani/Cardi B) 1173 145 Ain't s**t (Doja Cat) 1157.4 150 My Boy (Elvie Shane) 1133.2 152 Girls Want Girls (Drake/Lil Baby) 1118 154 Sand In My Boots (Morgan Wallen) 1107.6 158 Love Again (Dua Lipa) 1066 159 Memory (Kane Brown/blackbear) 1051.6 164 2055 (Sleepy Hollow) 1030 165 Fair Trade (Drake/Travis Scott) 1013 167 You Should Probably Leave (Chris Stapleton) 1003 173 Memory I Don't Mess With (Lee Brice) 965 182 Hurricane (Kanye West) 935 184 Volvi (Aventura/Bad Bunny) 915.8 191 Shivers (Ed Sheeran) 841 194 Gyalis (Capella Grey) 834.4
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atg
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Post by atg on Oct 19, 2021 21:01:33 GMT -5
Take My Breath making the year end list is a win honestly. Even if its the weakest lead single that Abel put out by far, I’m glad it had enough stability to make the list and the only way it could make the 2022 YE is when the album comes out and it gets a 2nd wind but hopefully it actually could.
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𝓲𝓽'𝓼.𝓰𝓿
Diamond Member
Unsteady Weirdo
𝓪 𝓽𝓸𝓻𝓽𝓾𝓻𝓮𝓭 𝓹𝓸𝓮𝓽
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My Charts
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Post by 𝓲𝓽'𝓼.𝓰𝓿 on Oct 19, 2021 21:04:41 GMT -5
^ I don't think it will scrape in the Bottom 10, maybe #81-#90 range for "Take My Breath"
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rockgolf
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Pop music fanatic since the days of 7" 45 RPM records.
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Post by rockgolf on Oct 19, 2021 22:35:55 GMT -5
Oct. 23, 2021 and we're 3 more charts from year end! Even so, there's still activity in the top ten as both Doja Cat and Olivia make steps up the chart. Where will this end? Here's what I think, based on current projections. Est. Y/E
| Song | Artist | YE Est Pts | 1
| Levitating | Dua Lipa | 11591 | 2 | Save Your Tears | The Weeknd & Ariana Grande | 9173 | 3 | Mood | 24kGoldn ft. iann dior | 8484 | 4 | Blinding Lights | The Weeknd | 8427 | 5 | Leave The Door Open | Silk Sonic (Bruno Mars & Anderson .Paak) | 7433 | 6 | Good 4 U | Olivia Rodrigo | 7172 | 7 | Drivers License | Olivia Rodrigo | 6936 | 8 | Kiss Me More | Doja Cat ft. SZA | 6862 | 9 | Montero (Call Me By Your Name) | Lil Nas X | 6727 | 10 | Peaches | Justin Bieber ft. Daniel Caesar & Giveon | 6328 | 11 | Butter | BTS | 5978 | 12 | Stay | The Kid LAROI & Justin Bieber | 5689 | 13 | Positions | Ariana Grande | 5621 | 14 | Deja Vu | Olivia Rodrigo | 5395 | 15 | Heat Waves | Glass Animals | 5032 | 16 | Without You | The Kid LAROI | 5022 | 17 | 34+35 | Ariana Grande | 4985 | 18 | Forever After All | Luke Combs | 4948 | 19 | Go Crazy | Chris Brown & Young Thug | 4925 | 20 | What You Know Bout Love | Pop Smoke | 4842 | 21 | Astronaut In The Ocean | Masked Wolf | 4774 | 22 | Bad Habits | Ed Sheeran | 4727 | 23 | My Ex's Best Friend | Machine Gun Kelly X blackbear | 4599 | 24 | Up | Cardi B | 4419 | 25 | Therefore I Am | Billie Eilish | 4247 | 26 | Best Friend | Saweetie ft. Doja Cat | 4199 | 27 | Dakiti | Bad Bunny & Jhay Cortez | 4182 | 28 | Heartbreak Anniversary | Giveon | 4131 | 29 | Industry Baby | Lil Nas X & Jack Harlow | 4128 | 30 | Fancy Like | Walker Hayes | 3992 | 31 | For The Night | Pop Smoke ft. Lil Baby & DaBaby | 3909 | 32 | Rapstar | Polo G | 3909 | 33 | Calling My Phone | Lil Tjay ft. 6LACK | 3565 | 34 | Holy | Justin Bieber ft. Chance The Rapper | 3523 | 35 | Beautiful Mistakes | Maroon 5 ft. Megan Thee Stallion | 3495 | 36 | You Broke Me First. | Tate McRae | 3329 | 37 | On Me | Lil Baby | 3299 | 38 | I Hope | Gabby Barrett ft. Charlie Puth | 3240 | 39 | Wockesha | Moneybagg Yo | 3185 | 40 | Traitor | Olivia Rodrigo | 3182 | 41 | Back In Blood | Pooh Shiesty ft. Lil Durk | 3137 | 42 | You Right | Doja Cat & The Weeknd | 3097 | 43 | Dynamite | BTS | 3010 | 44 | Laugh Now Cry Later | Drake ft. Lil Durk | 3007 | 45 | Beat Box | SpotemGottem ft. Pooh Shiesty Or DaBaby | 2982 | 46 | Good Days | SZA | 2913 | 47 | Need To Know | Doja Cat | 2872 | 48 | Wants And Needs | Drake ft. Lil Baby | 2831 | 49 | Telepatia | Kali Uchis | 2794 | 50 | Whoopty | CJ | 2749 | 51 | Lemonade | Internet Money & Gunna ft. Don Toliver & NAV | 2709 | 52 | Bang! | AJR | 2667 | 53 | You're Mines Still | Yung Bleu ft. Drake | 2649 | 54 | Every Chance I Get | DJ Khaled ft. Lil Baby & Lil Durk | 2625 | 55 | Better Together | Luke Combs | 2614 | 56 | Willow | Taylor Swift | 2609 | 57 | Starting Over | Chris Stapleton | 2605 | 58 | Body | Megan Thee Stallion | 2551 | 59 | Leave Before You Love Me | Marshmello X Jonas Brothers | 2519 | 60 | Beggin' | Maneskin | 2442 | 61 | The Good Ones | Gabby Barrett | 2404 | 62 | Way 2 Sexy | Drake ft. Future & Young Thug | 2389 | 63 | Chasing After You | Ryan Hurd With Maren Morris | 2375 | 64 | Lonely | Justin Bieber & benny blanco | 2350 | 65 | Streets | Doja Cat | 2325 | 66 | Glad You Exist | Dan + Shay | 2278 | 67 | Late At Night | Roddy Ricch | 2254 | 68 | Famous Friends | Chris Young + Kane Brown | 2240 | 69 | Lil Bit | Nelly & Florida Georgia Line | 2221 | 70 | Thot s**t | Megan Thee Stallion | 2217 | 71 | Essence | Wizkid ft. Justin Bieber & Tems | 2169 | 72 | Anyone | Justin Bieber | 2103 | 73 | What's Next | Drake | 2080 | 74 | Kings & Queens | Ava Max | 2004 | 75 | Time Today | Moneybagg Yo | 1997 | 76 | Track Star | Mooski | 1978 | 77 | If I Didn't Love You | Jason Aldean & Carrie Underwood | 1977 | 78 | What's Your Country Song | Thomas Rhett | 1956 | 79 | Take My Breath | The Weeknd | 1926 | 80 | No More Parties | Coi Leray ft. Lil Durk | 1918 | 81 | All I Want For Christmas Is You | Mariah Carey | 1916 | 82 | Happier Than Ever | Billie Eilish | 1907 | 83 | Cry Baby | Megan Thee Stallion ft. DaBaby | 1904 | 84 | Good Time | Niko Moon | 1815 | 85 | Knife Talk | Drake ft. 21 Savage & Project Pat | 1793 | 86 | pov | Ariana Grande | 1793 | 87 | Yonaguni | Bad Bunny | 1784 | 88 | Just The Way | Parmalee x Blanco Brown | 1779 | 89 | Arcade | Duncan Laurence | 1772 | 90 | Pepas | Farruko | 1758 | 91 | We're Good | Dua Lipa | 1708 | 92 | Throat Baby (Go Baby) | BRS Kash | 1708 | 93 | Hell Of A View | Eric Church | 1703 | 94 | Things A Man Oughta Know | Lainey Wilson | 1697 | 95 | Todo de Ti | Rauw Alejandro | 1676 | 96 | One Too Many | Keith Urban Duet With P!nk | 1667 | 97 | Put Your Records On | Ritt Momney | 1654 | 98 | Single Saturday Night | Cole Swindell | 1648 | 99 | A-O-K | Tai Verdes | 1647 | 100 | Goosebumps | Travis Scott & HVME | 1635 | 101 | Drinkin' Beer. Talkin' God. Amen. | Chase Rice ft. Florida Georgia Line | 1632 | 102 | Cold Beer Calling My Name | Jameson Rodgers ft. Luke Combs | 1627 | 103 | Rockstar | DaBaby ft. Roddy Ricch | 1627 | 104 | Damage | H.E.R. | 1620 | 105 | Before You Go | Lewis Capaldi | 1611 | 106 | Settling Down | Miranda Lambert | 1585 | 107 | Gone | Dierks Bentley | 1583 | 108 | Girls Want Girls | Drake ft. Lil Baby | 1575 | 109 | Rockin' Around The Christmas Tree | Brenda Lee | 1571 | 110 | More Than My Hometown | Morgan Wallen | 1550 |
I've said Adele won't be able to make it on this with the number of weeks left, but I wouldn't be surprised if she ends up on the actual Top 100 based on chart points, not inverse chart position. Ah, well.
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Post by nathanalbright on Oct 19, 2021 22:43:15 GMT -5
The bottom part of your top ten doesn't really add up: Good 4 U has more points than your #8 and #7 choice, after all.
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rockgolf
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Pop music fanatic since the days of 7" 45 RPM records.
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Post by rockgolf on Oct 19, 2021 23:08:11 GMT -5
The bottom part of your top ten doesn't really add up: Good 4 U has more points than your #8 and #7 choice, after all. Oops! Forgot to add the "extended run" at the top points before sorting. The points were right but the order wrong. I've refreshed the chart in question.
Thanks!
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Post by nathanalbright on Oct 19, 2021 23:09:40 GMT -5
No problem; you're welcome .
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Post by After Minutes on Oct 20, 2021 6:02:17 GMT -5
Beautiful Mistakes just wasn't a bigger hit this year than Industry Baby
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Post by twelvevinylrecords on Oct 20, 2021 7:54:42 GMT -5
I recall 2020, when the "music reviewer" community was very sad that Levitating seemed doom from the start to not be a hit. With Dua's album coming out just a few weeks into quarantine and it seemed like the deserved song of the year was going to be for not. It took a Dababy feature to make the song big, and then the whole 'Dababy being Dababy' thing happened, and now Dua gets to have the biggest song of 2021 all to herself. Funny how things end up
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Post by Baby Yoda Hot100Fan on Oct 20, 2021 9:55:04 GMT -5
Take My Breath making the year end list is a win honestly. Even if its the weakest lead single that Abel put out by far, I’m glad it had enough stability to make the list and the only way it could make the 2022 YE is when the album comes out and it gets a 2nd wind but hopefully it actually could. It seems to have peaked at radio which probably doesn't bode well for it making it in 2022, especially considering that Radio Songs is the only component chart where it is currently charting. It probably needs to stabilize there or even get a second wind there.
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Groovy
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Post by Groovy on Oct 20, 2021 10:12:02 GMT -5
At this point, I don't think Love Again will make it to 2022 before going recurrent.
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inverse
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Post by inverse on Oct 20, 2021 10:14:08 GMT -5
Beautiful Mistakes just wasn't a bigger hit this year than Industry Baby don't think anyone said it was
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Lost In Musical Reverie
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"Everything seems nice, but if you look twice, you can see it's all lies"
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Post by Lost In Musical Reverie on Oct 20, 2021 12:52:14 GMT -5
Take My Breath making the year end list is a win honestly. Even if its the weakest lead single that Abel put out by far, I’m glad it had enough stability to make the list and the only way it could make the 2022 YE is when the album comes out and it gets a 2nd wind but hopefully it actually could. It seems to have peaked at radio which probably doesn't bode well for it making it in 2022, especially considering that Radio Songs is the only component chart where it is currently charting. It probably needs to stabilize there or even get a second wind there. Don't forget it currently has surprisingly low callout scores. Reminds me of "Levitating" 's first run, although it benefitted from much stronger streaming. I'm just hoping it can safely make 2021's list, because only an unexpected TikTok challenge can give it enough boost for 2022.
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