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Post by phieaglesfan712 on Jan 5, 2021 10:32:25 GMT -5
I believe that radio and streams are perfect the way they are. I just think that sales need to be weighed less, and we can start by removing website sales.
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Post by Baby Yoda Hot100Fan on Jan 5, 2021 10:43:23 GMT -5
kworb's Billboard Radio Songs Estimates 2021/01/05
1(=) 24kGoldn - Mood (feat. iann dior) 134.72(+0.61)
2(=) Chris Brown & Young Thug - Go Crazy 124.42(+0.09)
3(=) Justin Bieber - Holy (feat. Chance the Rapper) 115.98(-0.25)
4(=) Ariana Grande - positions 112.36(+0.06)
5(=) Drake - Laugh Now Cry Later (feat. Lil Durk) 98.80(-0.35)
6(=) Ava Max - Kings & Queens 95.05(-0.76)
7(=) The Weeknd - Blinding Lights 94.39(-0.27)
8(=) Gabby Barrett - I Hope (feat. Charlie Puth) 92.68(-1.17)
9(=) AJR - Bang! 80.47(-0.30)
10(=) Dua Lipa - Levitating (feat. DaBaby) 72.33(-0.08)
13(=) Billie Eilish - Therefore I Am 62.94(+0.62) 27(+2) Ariana Grande - 34+35 42.83(+0.86)
65(+2) Machine Gun Kelly & blackbear - my ex's best friend 24.66(+0.42)
-(-) Usher - Bad Habits 13.98(+0.41)
-(-) Justin Bieber - Anyone 9.52(+3.01) + -(-) Cannons - Fire for You 7.76(+0.45)
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jan 5, 2021 10:48:45 GMT -5
s/o totc
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jenglisbe
Diamond Member
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Posts: 35,649
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Post by jenglisbe on Jan 5, 2021 11:00:32 GMT -5
There's just nothing to shake up the charts. There is no obvious reason for most of the top 10/20 to change for the foreseeable future.
When is the last time the #1 in streaming had under 20 million streams?
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Gary
Diamond Member
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Posts: 45,896
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Post by Gary on Jan 5, 2021 11:03:47 GMT -5
2016 Cold Water 19.6M at #1
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jenglisbe
Diamond Member
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Posts: 35,649
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Post by jenglisbe on Jan 5, 2021 11:12:30 GMT -5
2016 Cold Water 19.6M at #1 Wow. So that was well over 4 years ago and even then it looks to have been higher than what this next #1 will be. |
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gikem
3x Platinum Member
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Posts: 3,813
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Post by gikem on Jan 5, 2021 11:12:47 GMT -5
This is actually way closer to what I posted in the predictions thread than I was expecting. |
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kacpi
Charting
Joined: January 2019
Posts: 378
Pronouns: he/him
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Post by kacpi on Jan 5, 2021 11:37:51 GMT -5
There's just nothing to shake up the charts. There is no obvious reason for most of the top 10/20 to change for the foreseeable future. Certified Lover Boy is coming to change that for sure (however this will probably be a one-week case since the album tracks will plummet the week after) |
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Groovy
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Posts: 6,719 
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Post by Groovy on Jan 5, 2021 12:11:59 GMT -5
I went on Adele's Wikipedia page today just to see the accolades for 25 and I see people continuously changing the name of her next album if there even is one.
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Post by kcdawg13 on Jan 5, 2021 12:18:05 GMT -5
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thabb
Charting
hi
Joined: April 2016
Posts: 330
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Post by thabb on Jan 5, 2021 12:43:22 GMT -5
{Spoiler} I was actually shocked at the Save Your Tears music video. He looked like Donatella Versace  Such a fun use of prosthetics |
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dovahduck
Platinum Member
Kavinsky finally dropped! :)
Joined: April 2018
Posts: 1,871
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Post by dovahduck on Jan 5, 2021 12:44:40 GMT -5
Abel "Handsome Squidward" Tesfaye
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andrebra
Gold Member
Joined: June 2020
Posts: 661
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Post by andrebra on Jan 5, 2021 13:42:50 GMT -5
Morgan Wallen is about to obliterate the charts next week. Itβs definitely going to be one of the most anticipated country releases of the year and the previously released tracks are already starting to get boosts on streaming. I would not be surprised at all if one of the new songs manages to match Luke Combs #2 debut a couple weeks ago, or possibly go #1 due to the charts being so weak. I wish it was a different country artist, but it will be nice to see a different genre really shake up the hot 100 for a week.
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Post by nathanalbright on Jan 5, 2021 13:43:49 GMT -5
I went on Adele's Wikipedia page today just to see the accolades for 25 and I see people continuously changing the name of her next album if there even is one. 39..... |
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fridayteenage
5x Platinum Member
Shake it Off
Joined: April 2008
Posts: 5,493
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Post by fridayteenage on Jan 5, 2021 13:49:12 GMT -5
TOTC currently estimating dynamite #1 in sales again.
I expect website sales of Bieber vs. BTS will decide this.
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chartfreak
Diamond Member
Enter your message here...
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Post by chartfreak on Jan 5, 2021 13:52:22 GMT -5
I really thought Abel was peeing on that woman!!!!
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Gary
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Posts: 45,896
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Post by Gary on Jan 5, 2021 13:53:44 GMT -5
TOTC currently estimating dynamite #1 in sales again. I expect website sales of Bieber vs. BTS will decide this. Digital Songs longest running #1's 17 DESPACITO LUIS FONSI & DADDY YAKEE FEATURING JUSTIN BIEBER 16 OLD TOWN ROAD LIL NAS X FEATURING BILLY RAY CYRUS 13 LOW FLO RIDA FEATURING T-PAIN 13 UPTOWN FUNK! RONSON, MARK FEATURING BRUNO MARS 13 CLOSER CHAINSMOKERS FEATURING HALSEY 12 DYNAMITE BTS 11 HAPPY PHARRELL WILLIAMS |
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dovahduck
Platinum Member
Kavinsky finally dropped! :)
Joined: April 2018
Posts: 1,871
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Post by dovahduck on Jan 5, 2021 14:10:47 GMT -5
I really thought Abel was peeing on that woman!!!! I love how I know exactly what scene you're talking about! I was like damn, he must really be mad at the Grammys. |
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Post by thegreatdivine on Jan 5, 2021 14:58:09 GMT -5
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gikem
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Posts: 3,813
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Post by gikem on Jan 5, 2021 15:23:27 GMT -5
They need to figure out how to archive the 2019 lists. I tried accessing it via Wayback Machine, but I can only see the top 15 because of the way the site was (and still is) formatted. If anyone happens to have the full 2019 lists, let me know. |
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Groovy
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Post by Groovy on Jan 5, 2021 15:26:26 GMT -5
Does anyone know why the Spotify charts are so weak right now? We only had 1 day since Christmas where a song cracked 1M streams.
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Post by Baby Yoda Hot100Fan on Jan 5, 2021 15:28:44 GMT -5
One songs that seems a bit too high is I Hope at #8. |
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spiritboy
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Posts: 3,402
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Post by spiritboy on Jan 5, 2021 17:08:14 GMT -5
Is it true that due to a glitch on Billboard website, Madonna has another top 10 on Hot 100 thanks to Levitating? Someone on Atrl claims so.
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Post by areyoureadytojump on Jan 5, 2021 17:14:41 GMT -5
^No. It was not in the Hot 100 article.
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forg
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Posts: 2,356
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Post by forg on Jan 5, 2021 18:26:44 GMT -5
I think website sales are fine but they need better auditing and more transparency
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Deleted
Joined: January 1970
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Jan 5, 2021 19:07:44 GMT -5
Is it true that due to a glitch on Billboard website, Madonna has another top 10 on Hot 100 thanks to Levitating? Someone on Atrl claims so. Billboard website has a long history of not being able to handle and keep straight remix credits on their charts and thus their artist pages as well. |
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gikem
3x Platinum Member
Joined: October 2020
Posts: 3,813
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Post by gikem on Jan 5, 2021 20:09:13 GMT -5
Is it true that due to a glitch on Billboard website, Madonna has another top 10 on Hot 100 thanks to Levitating? Someone on Atrl claims so. Billboard website has a long history of not being able to handle and keep straight remix credits on their charts and thus their artist pages as well. Yep, it's very messy. Several of the remixes from just last year prove this. And it's even worse when you look at the Year-End lists. Why was the remix of I Hope given the credit on the 2020 YE when it only charted for 7 out of its 45 weeks during that window and thus clearly had fewer points than the original? |
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Deleted
Joined: January 1970
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Jan 5, 2021 21:17:09 GMT -5
damn. thinking about when people were begging for post to release circles,
then when blinding lights & heartless dropped the same week with both songs seemingly tanking at first & people thinking abelβs era would be a fluke
a year later, circles and blinding lights both broke the record for most weeks in the top 10 by a long shot and are the 2 biggest Hot 100 songs of the century ππ½
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dovahduck
Platinum Member
Kavinsky finally dropped! :)
Joined: April 2018
Posts: 1,871
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Post by dovahduck on Jan 5, 2021 21:29:47 GMT -5
The video for "Save Your Tears" is already outperforming the one for "In Your Eyes". It seems that Abel might have another hit under his belt if is this momentum keeps up. Especially since it apparently seems that people have been yearning for "Circles" and "Blinding Lights" to be combined into one song, and because of the number of memes spawning from the music video and Abel's profile picture on Instagram. Still, watch "Blinding Lights" go number one again while this peaks at the 12-4 range after the Superbowl.
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atg
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Posts: 3,004
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Post by atg on Jan 5, 2021 22:17:47 GMT -5
Something tells me Save Your Tears will be just fine and can even chart alongside BL. The music video sparking up controversial topics including the symbolism in the video itself about the figures of LA and the Grammys, and also his face as well. Him actually lip syncing in a main after hours music video, which might not seem much but that could appeal to more audiences than you think. The early (ish) radio push, which has this song be a sleeper hit until now where itβs going to get a power boost, and its final form which is the superbowl will launch this song to its strongest position and weβll see how it holds up
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