Billboard Hot 100: 02/06/2021

[𝕡𝕙𝕖𝕖𝕓𝕤]

I’m glad to see “You’re Mines Still” succeeding. One of my favorite rap cuts on the H100 at the moment.

“Damage” is also #27 on AM, which is AMAZING

[thegreatdivine]

Jan 25, 2021 19:13:17 GMT -5 atg said:

Jan 25, 2021 8:11:01 GMT -5 thegreatdivine said:

Yung Bleu's "You're Mines Still" is up to #8 on Apple Music. It previously peaked at #9. So nice to see it have some sort of longevity. With it being projected to rise into the top 40 this week, I wonder if it'll be able to eventually peak in the top 20.

I feel like since LNCL is losing in all categories, Drake stans went over to this song since its one of his more recent songs (lead or featured)

Yeah. Laugh Now Cry Later is old news by Drake standards (it's over 5 months old) and it came after a year of constant music releases from him whether as a lead artist or as a featured artist so it's not surprising to me that it burned out a bit faster than usual. You're Mines Still is both a newer tune and an R&B cut and it's slowly grown on people. It's success is due to a combination of all those factors.

[Groovy]

I completely forgot to mention Laugh Now Cry Later, it's falling in every category. It peaked on radio, its streaming is not good and it has no sales to speak of and just to show how Drake is overexposed, LNCL hasn't in the top 10 in months. If it weren't radio it would probably be much lower than what it is now.

Edit: I'm really bad at proof reading, I meant to say it hasn't been in the top 10 in other countries for months. 

[thegreatdivine]

Jan 25, 2021 20:01:31 GMT -5 Groovy said:

I completely forgot to mention Laugh Now Cry Later, it's falling in every category. It peaked on radio, its streaming is not good and it has no sales to speak of and just to show how Drake is overexposed, LNCL hasn't in the top 10 in months. If it weren't radio it would probably be much lower than what it is now.

The same can be said for almost every song in the top 10/20 that's a couple of months old. Apart from drivers license, Blinding Lights, Levitating and Bang!, no song is pulling much in pure sales. Streams are low for most songs (Laugh Now Cry Later has more streams this week than 3 songs currently in the top 10) and most songs are only charting as high as they are because of radio (this isn't exactly news). To add to that, 4 songs in the top 10 and 9 songs in the top 20 are currently losing points overall weekly.

I don't expect things to start picking up until we're a few months into the year.

[jthentic]

Jan 25, 2021 20:01:31 GMT -5 Groovy said:

I completely forgot to mention Laugh Now Cry Later, it's falling in every category. It peaked on radio, its streaming is not good and it has no sales to speak of and just to show how Drake is overexposed, LNCL hasn't in the top 10 in months. If it weren't radio it would probably be much lower than what it is now.

How did you draw this crazy interpretation? 🙃

[Groovy]

Jan 25, 2021 22:31:48 GMT -5 jthentic said:

Jan 25, 2021 20:01:31 GMT -5 Groovy said:

I completely forgot to mention Laugh Now Cry Later, it's falling in every category. It peaked on radio, its streaming is not good and it has no sales to speak of and just to show how Drake is overexposed, LNCL hasn't in the top 10 in months. If it weren't radio it would probably be much lower than what it is now.

How did you draw this crazy interpretation? 🙃

What's crazy about it? The only thing it's doing pretty good at right now is the radio and even there it's looked like it's peaked. 

[𝕡𝕙𝕖𝕖𝕓𝕤]

Radio picking up LNCL after it started lagging on streaming is normal, radio is always late. LNCL was also a pretty big success and would’ve hit number 1 if not for WAP, outperforming Toosie Slide by a wide margin. I... I don’t get your point. It’s not really overexposure, it’s just the public naturally burning on a song

[Groovy]

^I said Drake is overexposed.

[Choco]

Jan 25, 2021 22:59:58 GMT -5 Groovy said:

Jan 25, 2021 22:31:48 GMT -5 jthentic said:

How did you draw this crazy interpretation? 🙃

What's crazy about it? The only thing it's doing pretty good at right now is the radio and even there it's looked like it's peaked. 

The song did great. #2 peak only because WAP saved us. Otherwise, it did fairly well and had better legs than his last #1.

[nathanalbright]

Admittedly, though, the natural and gradual decline of LNCL does invite the question of whether there will be another single from Certifiable Lover Boy before the album is released.

[campbellssoup]

Jan 25, 2021 18:11:34 GMT -5 Groovy said:

This may be unpopular on Pulse but I’m upset that SO DONE probably won’t become a hit, it’s actually a pretty good song.

I’d much rather have SO DONE be the Kid Laroi song blowing up over Without You

[𝕡𝕙𝕖𝕖𝕓𝕤]

Jan 26, 2021 2:42:18 GMT -5 campbellssoup said:

Jan 25, 2021 18:11:34 GMT -5 Groovy said:

This may be unpopular on Pulse but I’m upset that SO DONE probably won’t become a hit, it’s actually a pretty good song.

I’d much rather have SO DONE be the Kid Laroi song blowing up over Without You

CANT MAKE A WAIF OUT OF A HOE

[jthentic]

Thank god, Derulo x Adam- Lifestyle tanked.
Hope mfs on tiktok let it stay that way 😬

[phieaglesfan712]

Jan 26, 2021 1:25:07 GMT -5 nathanalbright said:

Admittedly, though, the natural and gradual decline of LNCL does invite the question of whether there will be another single from Certifiable Lover Boy before the album is released.

Anyone who thinks CLB's is going to be anywhere close to as big as Scorpion is going to be disappointed. I fully expect CLB's first week numbers to be a lot closer to the double album Morgan Wallen released a few weeks back.

[dremolus - solarpunk]

This'll be the last week for Dynamite, Savage Love, WAP, and Love You Like I Used To

[thegreatdivine]

Jan 26, 2021 6:46:33 GMT -5 phieaglesfan712 said:

Jan 26, 2021 1:25:07 GMT -5 nathanalbright said:

Admittedly, though, the natural and gradual decline of LNCL does invite the question of whether there will be another single from Certifiable Lover Boy before the album is released.

Anyone who thinks CLB's is going to be anywhere close to as big as Scorpion is going to be disappointed. I fully expect CLB's first week numbers to be a lot closer to the double album Morgan Wallen released a few weeks back.

Morgan Wallen - Dangerous (30 tracks): 265K SPS.

Drake - Dark Lane Demo Tapes (14 tracks): 223K SPS.

Dark Lane Demo Tapes wasn't even an album but rather a collection of leaks and demos compiled together and released.

No one is saying Drake's next album will see the kind of success Scorpion had but saying his next album's first week's numbers will "be a lot closer to the double album Morgan Wallen released a few weeks back" shows that you don't know anything about the history of Drake's debut numbers, especially when it comes to his actual studio albums.

[dremolus - solarpunk]

Btw is Justin ever going to release that album? He's got three hits right now, all of which are in the Top 50 on radio, why haven't they released that album?

[firefox]

Jan 26, 2021 6:53:24 GMT -5 dremolus - solarpunk said:

This'll be the last week for Dynamite, Savage Love, WAP, and Love You Like I Used To

Don't let the armys know this. They might bulkbuy again just to don't let it out.

[strongerq]

Based on Rolling stone chart (audio streams only - these are like 5% lower than actual ones, because RS doesn't include Music.YouTube or sth)

Toosie Slide had 42.9M Audio streams
Laugh Now Cry Later had 52.4M Audio streams

Nonstop the #1 song of Scorpion had ~57M.

It is obvious that Drake won't pull Scorpion streaming numbers(especially with less tracks as rumoured), but Morgan Wallen level ...

Morgan's highest song had 16.8M Audio streams (RS chart).

Drake should secure the second biggest streaming week with CLB, and if somehow the hype builds up to be huge and with enough tracks he has a chance to challenge Scorpion (although it is a small chance). His popularity hasn't declined that much since 2018.

[phieaglesfan712]

The problem here is that Drake (probably) waited too long to release CLB. Had he released it in the fall when the iron was hot and LNCL was in the Top 5 of the charts, I would have easily said 600k-750k SPS. But by the time CLB is released, LNCL will have gone recurrent and there likely won't be a hit to take its place. I put the ceiling at 400k for CLB, and it will only get lower the longer he waits.

[Ｓｏｕｎｄｃｌ🕤ｃｋ]

Jan 26, 2021 8:16:18 GMT -5 phieaglesfan712 said:

The problem here is that Drake (probably) waited too long to release CLB. Had he released it in the fall when the iron was hot and LNCL was in the Top 5 of the charts, I would have easily said 600k-750k SPS. But by the time CLB is released, LNCL will have gone recurrent and there likely won't be a hit to take its place. I put the ceiling at 400k for CLB, and it will only get lower the longer he waits.

Artists like Drake, Ariana and Taylor don't need promotion and hit singles before the album, people will buy and stream their stuff anyway.

[Baby Yoda Hot100Fan]

Jan 26, 2021 7:45:07 GMT -5 firefox said:

Jan 26, 2021 6:53:24 GMT -5 dremolus - solarpunk said:

This'll be the last week for Dynamite, Savage Love, WAP, and Love You Like I Used To

Don't let the armys know this. They might bulkbuy again just to don't let it out.

Even if Dynamite does go recurrent this week, it might not be done. It could be back the week that Be Essential Edition comes out.

[chingaling]

Jan 26, 2021 8:16:18 GMT -5 phieaglesfan712 said:

The problem here is that Drake (probably) waited too long to release CLB. Had he released it in the fall when the iron was hot and LNCL was in the Top 5 of the charts, I would have easily said 600k-750k SPS. But by the time CLB is released, LNCL will have gone recurrent and there likely won't be a hit to take its place. I put the ceiling at 400k for CLB, and it will only get lower the longer he waits.

"there likely won't be a hit to take its place"... what makes you think that? If something Drake has is lots of hits... probably 2 o 3 new tracks will compete to top the streaming charts, let alone filling the whole top 10/top 20 with album tracks... probably the public's fav song will be topping spotify, apple and youtube and easily debuting at 1 in the Hot 100. We've seen this happen before.

[Baby Yoda Hot100Fan]

On a side note, Good Days managed to appear today with a 5.15 audience.

kworb's Billboard Radio Songs Estimates 2021/01/26

1(=) Chris Brown & Young Thug - Go Crazy 137.83(+0.21)
2(=) 24kGoldn - Mood (feat. iann dior) 127.30(-1.22)
3(=) Ariana Grande - positions 116.44(-0.78)
4(=) Justin Bieber - Holy (feat. Chance the Rapper) 115.32(-0.36)
5(=) The Weeknd - Blinding Lights 92.52(-0.39)
6(=) Dua Lipa - Levitating (feat. DaBaby) 86.16(-0.15)
7(=) AJR - Bang! 84.44(-0.49)
8(=) Justin Bieber & benny blanco - Lonely 84.27(+0.67)
9(=) Gabby Barrett - I Hope (feat. Charlie Puth) 78.39(-1.00)
10(+1) Ariana Grande - 34+35 (Remix) [feat. Doja Cat & Megan Thee Stallion] 77.96(+1.65)

14(+1) Luke Combs - Better Together 60.84(+0.51)

23(=) Kenny Chesney - Happy Does 46.66(+0.55)

27(=) Darius Rucker - Beers and Sunshine 43.30(+0.58)

31(+7) Olivia Rodrigo - drivers license 41.20(+3.11)

39(+1) Ritt Momney - Put Your Records On 37.54(+1.21)

43(+5) Parmalee & Blanco Brown - Just the Way 34.86(+0.75)

44(+1) The Weeknd - Save Your Tears 34.80(+0.55)

61(+1) Brs Kash - Th***t Baby (Go Baby) 28.51(+0.56)

72(+1) Brett Young - Lady 24.20(+0.54)

74(+1) Morgan Wallen - 7 Summers 23.95(+0.51)

-(-) Ozuna - Despeinada f/Camilo 13.10(+0.67)

-(-) Saweetie - Best Friend (feat. Doja Cat) 12.77(+0.68)

-(-) Lil Baby - On Me 9.58(+0.54)

-(-) Erica Banks - Buss It 8.88(+0.52)

-(-) Anuel AA & Ozuna - Antes 2.85(+1.10) +

[thegreatdivine]

🎧 | "drivers license" — Spotify Charts (01/25):

WW: #1 (=) — +9,330,331 (+657,163)
US: #1 (=) — +2,586,861 (+139,734)
UK: #1 (=) — +744,925 (+89,324)

[fridayteenage]

US Spotify: only 3 songs at 700k+ is pretty weak for the field.

[gikem]

Blinding Lights and Save Your Tears got big boosts on Spotify yesterday. Super Bowl halftime show hype?

[starlord]

 Hopefully this could be I feel it coming of this era with better longevity. 

[dovahduck]

Jan 26, 2021 10:35:42 GMT -5 starlord said:

 Hopefully this could be I feel it coming of this era with better longevity. 

"Save Your Tears" is already number four in Canada, which is where "I Feel It Coming" peaked stateside. I can see the song reaching that same peak after the Super Bowl (maybe even higher if radio starts to fully back it).

[lurker2]

Jan 26, 2021 10:35:42 GMT -5 starlord said:

 Hopefully this could be I feel it coming of this era with better longevity. 

If this has better longevity than Blinding Lights I'll sell one of my vital organs