Billboard Hot 100: 11/06/2021

[thegreatdivine]

I'd say it drops next year.

[kimberly]

they're really gunning for the Top 10. great performance tho, especially considering this is their US TV debut  



they also performed their new single:

[Abbaschand]

If only people listened to I Wanna Be Your Slave instead...

[After Minutes]

Moth to a Flame debuting lower than TMB despite having better streaming is honestly pretty bizarre, though maybe they're waiting for the radio push till TMB peaks there?

[iamsorare]

Oct 27, 2021 5:00:55 GMT -5 After Minutes said:

Moth to a Flame debuting lower than TMB despite having better streaming is honestly pretty bizarre, though maybe they're waiting for the radio push till TMB peaks there?

or maybe weeknd should take a break cause I'm tired to say it again and again ...

[gikem]

It’s extremely disconcerting to see that not only could that second version of LGB debut in the top 20 above MTAF, but also the version that debuted this past week could surge into the top 40.

My only hope is that either of these becoming legitimate hits on sales alone finally convinces Billboard to rebalance the weight of sales in their formula like they should have years ago.

[joshtheking]

Wouldn't the versions of Lets Go Brandon be combined??

[gikem]

Oct 27, 2021 6:44:50 GMT -5 joshtheking said:

Wouldn't the versions of Lets Go Brandon be combined??

The versions that occupy the top 2 of iTunes are by 2 different artists. If both versions were combined, it would be in the top 10.

[phieaglesfan712]

What will be interesting to see is if the Godz Child (Loza Alexander remix) version is counted with the other Loza Alexander versions, or if it is treated as a separate entry. Billboard has been very inconsistent with these types of situations before (just look at how they counted the pt 2’s of Donda).

[joshtheking]

Oct 27, 2021 7:04:12 GMT -5 gikem said:

Oct 27, 2021 6:44:50 GMT -5 joshtheking said:

Wouldn't the versions of Lets Go Brandon be combined??

The versions that occupy the top 2 of iTunes are by 2 different artists. If both versions were combined, it would be in the top 10.

Ohhh gotcha I thought it was the same artist

[Baby Yoda Hot100Fan]

^I think Winston's early predictions are combining all versions, which I think is not how I would expect Billboard to do so. To make matters more confusing, the two new versions of Loza Alexander are titled Let's Go Brandon rather than Lets Go Brandon.

[dremolus - solarpunk]

So the national nightmare seems to almost be over: Fancy Like seems to have started to peak in radio! Pop Radio is definitely dumping it, judging by the daily update on Mediabase. It still has Country support (unfortunately) but it'll definitely take a dip in radio for the next few weeks.

[Mayman]

Oct 27, 2021 8:52:53 GMT -5 dremolus - solarpunk said:

So the national nightmare seems to almost be over: Fancy Like seems to have started to peak in radio! Pop Radio is definitely dumping it, judging by the daily update on Mediabase. It still has Country support (unfortunately) but it'll definitely take a dip in radio for the next few weeks.

I was told by someone here that it was definitely going #1, what happened?

[Rose "Payola" Nylund]

Oct 27, 2021 8:57:10 GMT -5 Mayman said:

Oct 27, 2021 8:52:53 GMT -5 dremolus - solarpunk said:

So the national nightmare seems to almost be over: Fancy Like seems to have started to peak in radio! Pop Radio is definitely dumping it, judging by the daily update on Mediabase. It still has Country support (unfortunately) but it'll definitely take a dip in radio for the next few weeks.

I was told by someone here that it was definitely going #1, what happened?

They thought it was going to number one. ‘They’ being someone who is literally wrong about every prediction they make.

[enwhy]

Oct 27, 2021 2:27:34 GMT -5 iamsorare said:

You right #15,need to know #9 ...

Wow, Easy on Me down 50% week 2, that's definitely an underperformance compared to what most of us expected. STAY or IB could very well be back at #1 in the next couple weeks.

The other interesting thing, the top 7 songs Hot 100 songs are all declining right now. That opens up some real potential for another new #1 before Christmas songs take over. My money's on Shivers or Need to Know, but both still need at least a few more weeks to rise through the top 10.

[phieaglesfan712]

Oct 27, 2021 8:57:10 GMT -5 Mayman said:

Oct 27, 2021 8:52:53 GMT -5 dremolus - solarpunk said:

So the national nightmare seems to almost be over: Fancy Like seems to have started to peak in radio! Pop Radio is definitely dumping it, judging by the daily update on Mediabase. It still has Country support (unfortunately) but it'll definitely take a dip in radio for the next few weeks.

I was told by someone here that it was definitely going #1, what happened?

Don't celebrate too early. Walker Hayes still has some cards that are yet to be played, like iTunes discounting and putting out 8 versions like LNX did with IB.

[jebsib]

Any idea who the Hot 100 Artist of the Year will be (based on overall points - peaks & longevity)?

I'm assuming - based on the obvious - it will be Drake, but would I be forgetting someone obvious?

[Abbaschand]

Olivia? Bieber?

[phieaglesfan712]

Oct 27, 2021 9:13:26 GMT -5 enwhy said:

Oct 27, 2021 2:27:34 GMT -5 iamsorare said:

You right #15,need to know #9 ...

Wow, Easy on Me down 50% week 2, that's definitely an underperformance compared to what most of us expected. STAY or IB could very well be back at #1 in the next couple weeks.

The other interesting thing, the top 7 songs Hot 100 songs are all declining right now. That opens up some real potential for another new #1 before Christmas songs take over. My money's on Shivers or Need to Know, but both still need at least a few more weeks to rise through the top 10.

A few weeks will put us into the holiday season. That’s why I still think Fancy Like is in the best position to slide into #1 should EOM falter.

[heavensent]

lol i'm kinda hoping republicans figure out how to mass buy through website sales, i'd like to see how billboard would react

[dremolus - solarpunk]

US Spotify - 10/26/21

1(=) Adele - Easy On Me 1,706,779 (-22,354)
2(=) Lil Nas X - INDUSTRY BABY 1,186,831 (+10,295)
3(=) The Kid LAROI - STAY 1,027,495 (+7,487)
4(=) Glass Animals - Heat Waves 923,218 (+4,822)
5(+1) Drake - Knife Talk 887,561 (+9,115)
6(+1) NEIKED - Better Days 837,482 (-14,300)
7(+1) Drake - Way 2 Sexy 824,790 (+20,674)
8(-3) Swedish House Mafia - Moth To A Flame 821,174 (-90,937)
9(=) Doja Cat - Need to Know 777,212 (+6,957)
10(=) THE ANXIETY, WILLOW, Tyler Cole - Meet Me At Our Spot 735,587 (-11,160)

Others:
11(=) Olivia Rodrigo - good 4 u 686,219 (+8,058)
12(+1) Baby Keem - family ties 643,958 (+20,828)
13(-1) Doja Cat - Kiss Me More 641,039 (+8,066)
14(=) Doja Cat - Woman 604,712 (+10,480)
15(=) Ed Sheeran - Shivers 598,566 (+4,762)
16(=) Lil Nas X - THATS WHAT I WANT 582,913 (-4,587)
18(-1) Billie Eilish - Happier Than Ever 541,096 (-6,218)
19(+2) Drake - Fair Trade 540,385 (+28,646)
20(-1) Ed Sheeran - Bad Habits 530,361 (+7,460)
21(-1) Olivia Rodrigo - traitor 513,332 (-1,097)
22(+4) Nardo Wick - Who Want Smoke?? 507,879 (+23,327)
24(-2) Elton John, Dua Lipa - Cold Heart (PNAU Remix) 493,971 (-5,147)
25(-1) Steve Lacy - Dark Red 491,128 (+847)
27(=) Eslabon Armado, DannyLux - Jugaste y Sufrí 474,939 (-8,352)
28(=) LISA - MONEY 473,858 (-2,831)
29(+2) CKay - love nwantiti (ah ah ah) 447,742 (+9,504)
30(=) Dua Lipa - Levitating 447,058 (+8,816)
31(+1) Young Thug - Bubbly 441,014 (+5,918)
32(-3) Coldplay, BTS - My Universe 431,980 (-14,788)
33(+3) Kanye West - Praise God 426,999 (+10,820)
34(=) Måneskin - Beggin' 426,444 (+6,387)
35(-2) Oliver Tree - Life Goes On 425,145 (+803)
37(-2) Farruko - Pepas 422,261 (+3,287)
38(=) Walker Hayes - Fancy Like 415,146 (+1,635)
39(=) Doja Cat - Get Into It (Yuh) 412,155 (+6,683)
40(=) Drake - Girls Want Girls 411,203 (+9,608)
41(=) Doja Cat, The Weeknd - You Right 410,497 (+10,540)
42(+7) Monsieur Periné, Vicente Garcia - Nuestra Canción 396,119 (+30,327)
43(=) Kanye West - Hurricane 395,464 (+6,631)
45(-1) The Walters - I Love You So 390,325 (+2,971)
47(=) Surf Curse - Freaks 373,725 (+6,256)
48(-2) Ivan Cornejo - Está Dañada 372,749 (+2,293)
51(=) Tainy - Lo Siento BB:/ 362,335 (+3,086)
53(-1) Justin Bieber - Ghost 357,314 (+20)
55(-10) Lil Tjay - Not in the Mood 355,202 (-22,956)
57(+3) Playboi Carti - Sky 339,838 (+3,754)
58(-1) $uicideboy$ - ...And to Those I Love, Thanks for Sticking Around 339,833 (-1,639)
59(=) Young Thug - Livin It Up 332,938 (-4,491)
61(+5) Meek Mill - Sharing Locations 331,044 (+24,381)
62(=) Yot Club - YKWIM? 327,573 (-214)
63(-5) Realestk - WFM 324,738 (-14,056)
69(+1) Gunna, Future - Too Easy 303,202 (+8,286)
70(-2) Tai Verdes - A-O-K 301,850 (+2,602)
73(+4) Lil Tecca - LOT OF ME 290,940 (+5,467)
74(-3) Billie Eilish - Happier Than Ever Edit 290,351 (-1,105)
82(-4) Beach House - Space Song 284,416 (+256)
83(+2) Jordan Davis, Luke Bryan - Buy Dirt 283,779 (+6,459)
84(-4) girl in red - we fell in love in october 281,182 (-1,146)
92(-18) Lana Del Rey - Dealer 272,702 (-16,662)
96(+7) Joy Again - Looking Out for You 268,724 (+6,673)
97(+8) Chlöe - Have Mercy 266,958 (+7,222)
98(+4) The Weeknd - Take My Breath 266,722 (+3,917)
100(-2) Billie Eilish - Bored 265,642 (-641)

101(-1) Drake - Champagne Poetry 263,534 (+20,570)
102(-5) Siouxxie - masquerade 262,733 (-4,400)
106(+37) Benson Boone - GHOST TOWN 259,327 (+28,885)
114(-31) Khalid - Present 252,717 (-26,761)
117(-13) PinkPantheress - Pain 251,974 (-8,441)
118(-6) CKay - love nwantiti remix 251,742 (-193)
137(-4) Don Toliver - Flocky Flocky 238,089 (+2,199)
138(+2) Tech N9ne, Joey Cool, King Iso, Dwayne Johnson - Face Off 237,433 (+5,004)
142(+3) bbno$ - edamame 234,953 (+5,432)
147(-13) TV Girl - Not Allowed 229,238 (-6,441)
149(-18) MoneyBagg Yo - Switches & Dracs 229,095 (-9,150)
176(-6) Jason Aldean, Carrie Underwood - If I Didn't Love You 217,014 (+1,216)
177(-2) The Rare Occasions - Notion 216,913 (+2,890)
181(-5) Blxst, Tyga - Chosen 215,820 (+2,217)
185(-18) Giveon - For Tonight 214,073 (-3,705)
197(+1) The Backseat Lovers - Kilby Girl 207,060 (+4,900)

Total Streams for Happier Than Ever: 831,447
Total Streams for love nwantiti: 699,484

[Baby Yoda Hot100Fan]

kworb's Billboard Radio Songs Estimates 2021/10/27

1(=) The Kid LAROI & Justin Bieber - STAY 112.78(+0.21)
2(=) Ed Sheeran - Bad Habits 89.73(-0.76)
3(=) Lil Nas X & Jack Harlow - INDUSTRY BABY 85.37(+0.03) +
4(=) Olivia Rodrigo - good 4 u 74.83(-0.31)
5(=) Walker Hayes - Fancy Like 73.88(-0.57)
6(+1) Adele - Easy On Me 70.96(+1.51)
7(-1) Måneskin - Beggin 70.82(+0.43)
8(=) Wizkid - Essence (feat. Justin Bieber & Tems) 66.50(+0.05)
9(=) Dua Lipa - Levitating 64.77(-0.33)
10(=) Doja Cat - Kiss Me More f/Sza 59.37(-0.74)

12(=) Doja Cat - You Right f/The Weeknd 54.56(+0.87) +

13(=) Doja Cat - Need To Know 53.73(+0.76)

20(+2) Elton John & Dua Lipa - Cold Heart (PNAU Remix) 37.00(+1.38)

24(=) Luke Combs - Cold As You 34.36(+0.63)

66(+2) Coldplay X BTS - My Universe 19.96(+0.70)

-(-) For King & Country - Relate 7.84(+0.64)

-(-) We Are Messengers - Come What May 7.43(+0.72)

[Baby Yoda Hot100Fan]

Oct 27, 2021 5:00:55 GMT -5 After Minutes said:

Moth to a Flame debuting lower than TMB despite having better streaming is honestly pretty bizarre, though maybe they're waiting for the radio push till TMB peaks there?

Take My Breath definitely had a bigger first week radio push. It already pretty much peaked at radio, but could get a second wind in the formats that take longer to adopt relatively newer songs.

[chartfreak]

Let's hope this whole Brandon thing goes away. So annoying.

[dremolus - solarpunk]

Oct 27, 2021 9:36:35 GMT -5 jebsib said:

Any idea who the Hot 100 Artist of the Year will be (based on overall points - peaks & longevity)?

I'm assuming - based on the obvious - it will be Drake, but would I be forgetting someone obvious?

Going by points it could end up Drake or Olivia though if we're not going by arbitrary chart points, here are who I think we're the MVPs of this year (based on commercial and critical performance):

Olivia 
The Kid LAROI
Doja Cat
Lil Nas X
Maneskin 
Dua Lipa
The Weeknd
Kanye West
BTS
Justin Bieber
Ed Sheeran
Drake
Lil Durk
Bo Burnham
Lana Del Rey
Tyler the Creator
Billie Eilish
GIVEON 
SZA 
YOASOBI

Adele and Silk Sonic will also be included once their respective albums are out.

and here are the underground/ indie critical breakout stars of the year:
Black Country, New Road
Little Simz
Magdalena Bay
Japanese Breakfast
Porter Robinson
black midi
Injury Reserve
SPELLLING
Lingua Ignota
Genesis Owusu

[gikem]

Oct 27, 2021 10:47:33 GMT -5 chartfreak said:

Let's hope this whole Brandon thing goes away. So annoying.

I feel awful for the NASCAR driver for whom these songs are named after. I doubt he’s proud to have to share his legacy with any of this.

[Choco]

Oct 27, 2021 10:34:32 GMT -5 Baby Yoda Hot100Fan said:

Oct 27, 2021 5:00:55 GMT -5 After Minutes said:

Moth to a Flame debuting lower than TMB despite having better streaming is honestly pretty bizarre, though maybe they're waiting for the radio push till TMB peaks there?

Take My Breath definitely had a bigger first week radio push. It already pretty much peaked at radio, but could get a second wind in the formats that take longer to adopt relatively newer songs.

Lost over 250 spins today... this second wind in smaller formats (if it happens at all...) is probably not gonna be enough to offset the huge drops on it's biggest formats. And there's a new single streaming better(-ish).

It's done. At least he's still doing well on CHR with You Right.

[lazer]

The Weeknd doing synthwave is getting old. He should try experimenting with the sounds of the 90s/00s.

[iHype.]

Oct 27, 2021 9:36:35 GMT -5 jebsib said:

Any idea who the Hot 100 Artist of the Year will be (based on overall points - peaks & longevity)?

I'm assuming - based on the obvious - it will be Drake, but would I be forgetting someone obvious?

Per my estimations up to the October 23rd dated chart:

Hot 100 Artist of the Year
1. Olivia Rodrigo
2. Ariana Grande
3. The Weeknd
4. Drake
5. Justin Bieber
6. Doja Cat
7. BTS
8. Dua Lipa
9. Lil Nas X
10. Morgan Wallen

Drake should sneak up to #3, and could possibly sneak up to #2 by the end of tracking. Kid Laroi will likely knock Morgan out the top 10.

Olivia has a notably large lead and is locked #1. 


The most recent chart, next week's chart, and the week following are the last 3 charts of the tracking year not included.

[joshtheking]

Lovely on spotify 200 in 2021... this is already one of the most streamed songs of all time and will probably go down as a classic, future generations will be so confused on how it only peaked at #64 on the hot 100