Billboard Hot 100: 12/18/2021

[dremolus - solarpunk]

US Spotify - 12/09/21

1(+1) Brenda Lee - Rockin' Around The Christmas Tree 1,069,960 (+29,420)
2(-1) SZA - I Hate U 1,054,228 (-76,965)
3(=) Mariah Carey - All I Want for Christmas Is You 1,043,953 (+46,546)
4(=) Bobby Helms - Jingle Bell Rock 1,008,003 (+27,468)
5(=) Lil Nas X - INDUSTRY BABY 977,945 (+1,703)
6(=) Adele - Easy On Me 924,654 (+4,111)
7(=) Glass Animals - Heat Waves 906,682 (-78)
8(=) GAYLE - abcdefu 905,856 (+12,139)
9(=) The Kid LAROI - STAY 878,763 (+664)
10(=) Andy Williams - It's the Most Wonderful Time of the Year 872,332 (+1,082)

Others:
11(=) Taylor Swift - All Too Well (10 Minute Version) 840,206 (-7,448)
15(+1) Drake - Knife Talk 724,611 (+1,082)
18(+1) Kodak Black - Super Gremlin 671,690 (+22,961)
19(-1) Doja Cat - Need to Know 668,161 (+3,381)
24(-2) Bruno Mars, Anderson .Paak, Silk Sonic - Smokin Out The Window 622,967 (-6,193)
25(+2) Baby Keem - family ties 615,037 (+8,301)
27(-3) Imagine Dragons - Enemy 605,354 (-9,075)
28(-2) Juice WRLD - Wandered To LA 602,909 (-4,189)
31(=) Steve Lacy - Dark Red 548,330 (+3,938)
33(+1) Doja Cat - Woman 530,353 (+2,865)
36(+1) Ed Sheeran - Shivers 513,734 (+4,757)
37(-1) THE ANXIETY, WILLOW, Tyler Cole - Meet Me At Our Spot 512,109 (+2,253)
39(=) NEIKED - Better Days 503,216 (+1,607)
40(-2) Billie Eilish - Happier Than Ever 500,692 (-5,218)
42(-1) Elton John, Dua Lipa - Cold Heart (PNAU Remix) 497,032 (+4,648)
46(+1) Adele - Oh My God 473,314 (-473)
50(=) The Walters - I Love You So 461,628 (-1,282)
52(-1) Playboi Carti - Sky 457,589 (+5,212)
54(-1) Polo G - Bad Man (Smooth Criminal) 443,657 (+3,182)
56(+1) Post Malone - One Right Now 440,049 (+10,781)
60(=) Ed Sheeran - Bad Habits 422,782 (+569)
63(-1) Vundabar - Alien Blues 415,173 (+34)
68(=) Nardo Wick - Who Want Smoke?? 397,787 (+34)
77(=) Rod Wave - By Your Side 373,374 (+1)
78(=) Lil Nas X - THATS WHAT I WANT 373,046 (+379)
82(+7) Juice WRLD - Already Dead 364,689 (+19,247)
88(+3) Emmy Meli - I AM WOMAN 354,560 (+9,228)
94(=) Justin Bieber - Ghost 344,607 (+1,451)
96(-8) Olivia Rodrigo - favorite crime 344,328 (-4,226)

102(-2) BoyWithUke - Toxic 328,433 (+6,167)
114(+4) CKay - love nwantiti (ah ah ah) 307,858 (+3,298)
115(+5) Beach House - Space Song 305,750 (+5,683)
117(+5) ACRAZE, Cherish - Do It to It 302,612 (+3,941)
120(+39) The Rare Occasions - Notion 262,299 (+37,941)
122(-19) Shawn Mendes - It'll Be Okay 298,353 (-22,474)
129(-4) Polo G - Young N Dumb 286,443 (-4,632)
137(+21) Jordan Davis, Luke Bryan - Buy Dirt 281,861 (+17,566)
141(+3) Summer Walker - No Love 281,236 (+4,236)
144(+3) Joy Again - Looking Out for You 279,888 (+3,855)
145(-6) $uicideboy$ - ...And to Those I Love, Thanks for Sticking Around 279,779 (-655)
152(-44) Amaarae - SAD GIRLZ LUV MONEY Remix 273,612 (-42,555)
153(=) Jaymes Young - Infinity 273,175 (+1,745)
159(-7) Coldplay, BTS - My Universe 269,913 (-2,644)
174(+9) Baby Keem - lost souls 252,980 (+13,052)
178(-3) Swedish House Mafia - Moth To A Flame 248,157 (-1,040)
184(-16) Polo G - Don't Play 246,414 (-9,934)
185(-4) Morgan Wallen - Sand In My Boots 245,142 (+3,869)

[dremolus - solarpunk]

Christmas Songs outside the Top 10
12(=) Bing Crosby, Ken Darby Singers, John Scott Trotter & His Orchestra - White Christmas 812,450 (+10,925)
13(+1) Michael Bublé - It's Beginning to Look a Lot like Christmas 745,316 (+34,783)
14(+1) Wham! - Last Christmas 731,943 (+22,451)
17(=) Burl Ives - A Holly Jolly Christmas 697,133 (+6,831)
20(=) José Feliciano - Feliz Navidad 641,023 (+3,143)
21(=) Nat King Cole - The Christmas Song 635,431 (+151)
22(+6) Ariana Grande - Santa Tell Me 629,077 (+22,389)
23(=) The Ronettes - Sleigh Ride 628,558 (+1,265)
29(=) Frank Sinatra - Let It Snow! Let It Snow! Let It Snow! 601,013 (+3,739)
32(+3) Kelly Clarkson - Underneath the Tree 538,786 (+12,078)
35(-2) Perry Como, The Fontane Sisters - It's Beginning to Look a Lot Like Christmas 525,178 (-4,581)
41(+8) Justin Bieber - Mistletoe 500,458 (+35,387)
43(-3) Paul McCartney - Wonderful Christmastime 496,924 (+4,321)
45(+3) Michael Bublé - Holly Jolly Christmas 476,328 (+9,084)
49(-5) Darlene Love - Christmas (Baby Please Come Home) 466,498 (-12,305)
51(+3) Dean Martin - Let It Snow! Let It Snow! Let It Snow! 458,162 (+22,005)
53(+2) John Lennon, Yoko Ono - Happy Xmas (War Is Over) 444,035 (+8,417)
55(+1) Chuck Berry - Run Rudolph Run 441,256 (+8,817)
58(=) Elvis Presley - Blue Christmas 433,327 (+4,383)
61(-2) Band Aid - Do They Know It's Christmas 422,392 (-2,542)
62(+1) The Jackson 5 - Santa Claus Is Coming To Town 417,959 (+5,749)
66(-2) Eartha Kitt, Henri Rene & His Orchestra - Santa Baby 405,236 (-4,827)
72(-1) Mykola Dmytrovych Leontovych, John Williams - Carol of the Bells 385,356 (-3,082)
76(-1) Vince Guaraldi Trio - Christmas Time Is Here Vocal 374,586 (-2,423)
79(+6) Mariah Carey - Christmas (Baby Please Come Home) 371,767 (+14,807)
80(+27) Sia - Snowman 368,538 (+52,318)
81(+1) The Beach Boys - Little Saint Nick 365,351 (+5,239)
83(-2) Dean Martin - Baby, It's Cold Outside 364,370 (+4,109)
84(-4) Bing Crosby, The Andrews Sisters - Mele Kalikimaka 364,322 (+755)
86(-7) Andy Williams - Happy Holiday / The Holiday Season 360,235 (-4,304)
87(=) Bruce Springsteen - Santa Claus Is Comin' to Town (Live) 356,914 (+6,939)
93(-10) Judy Garland - Have Yourself A Merry Little Christmas 344,724 (-14,013)
95(-3) Vince Guaraldi Trio - O Tannenbaum 344,389 (-214)
98(-2) Nat King Cole - Joy To The World 339,250 (+1,653)
99(+2) Elton John - Step Into Christmas 338,396 (+16,790)

108(-4) Perry Como - (There's No Place Like) Home for the Holidays 317,478 (-3,029)
110(=) Burl Ives - Rudolph The Red-Nosed Reindeer 315,597 (+628)
111(+3) The Jackson 5 - I Saw Mommy Kissing Santa Claus 314,744 (+5,855)
119(-3) Gene Autry - Here Comes Santa Claus (Right Down Santa Claus Lane) 300,714 (-5,077)
128(+2) Frank Sinatra - Mistletoe And Holly 287,115 (+1,912)
133(+9) Donny Hathaway - This Christmas 283,116 (+3,862)
136(+5) Eagles - Please Come Home for Christmas 282,024 (+1,774)
138(=) Bing Crosby - Do You Hear What I Hear? 281,805 (+751)
164(re-entry) Dean Martin - Rudolph The Red-Nosed Reindeer 262,099
176(+18) *NSYNC - Merry Christmas, Happy Holidays 249,526 (+14,814)
179(-13) Thurl Ravenscroft - You're A Mean One, Mr. Grinch 248,141 (-8,984)
190(debut) Amy Grant - White Christmas 240,770
192(re-entry) Ella Fitzgerald - Ella Fitzgerald 239,923
198(debut) Stevie Wonder - What Christmas Means To Me 237,495

Biggest Gains (50K+): Snowman

[dremolus - solarpunk]

US Spotify - Week 12/09/21

1(debut) SZA - I Hate U 9,091,658
2(+5) Brenda Lee - Rockin' Around The Christmas Tree 7,258,800
3(=) Lil Nas X - INDUSTRY BABY 7,056,347
4(+5) Bobby Helms - Jingle Bell Rock 6,934,316
5(+1) Mariah Carey - All I Want for Christmas Is You 6,927,290
6(-5) Adele - Easy On Me 6,553,792
7(-2) Glass Animals - Heat Waves 6,534,040
8(-4) The Kid LAROI - STAY 6,397,550
9(+2) GAYLE - abcdefu 6,074,599
10(+2) Andy Williams - It's the Most Wonderful Time of the Year 6,050,025

12(-10) Taylor Swift - All Too Well (10 Minute Version) 5,968,366
13(debut) Juice WRLD - Wandered to LA 5,210,088
16(-3) Drake - Knife Talk 4,783,339
17(-2) Doja Cat - Need to Know 4,755,327
20(-10) Bruno Mars, Anderson .Paak, Silk Sonic - Smokin Out The Window 4,568,881
26(-6) Baby Keem - family ties 4,128,062
27(-3) Imagine Dragons - Enemy 4,097,939
30(+129) Kodak Black - Super Gremlin 3,979,309
31(+1) Doja Cat - Woman 3,734,675
33(=) Steve Lacy - Dark Red 3,694,015
35(-14) NEIKED - Better Days 3,595,958
36(-11) THE ANXIETY, WILLOW, Tyler Cole - Meet Me At Our Spot 3,595,534
37(-9) Ed Sheeran - Shivers 3,579,347
38(-11) Elton John, Dua Lipa - Cold Heart (PNAU Remix) 3,542,474
41(-4) Billie Eilish - Happier Than Ever 3,456,855
43(-29) Adele - Oh My God 3,398,256
45(+21) Olivia Rodrigo - drivers license 3,340,176
48(+7) Polo G - Bad Man (Smooth Criminal) 3,244,324
49(-8) Playboi Carti - Sky 3,215,184
51(=) The Walters - I Love You So 3,132,051
55(-24) Post Malone - One Right Now 3,059,275
58(-14) Ed Sheeran - Bad Habits 3,024,534
60(-13) Nardo Wick - Who Want Smoke?? 2,968,683
72(+95) Vundabar - Alien Blues 2,706,456
77(-29) Lil Nas X - THATS WHAT I WANT 2,635,343
83(debut) Polo G - Don’t Play 2,554,329
85(-9) Rod Wave - By Your Side 2,544,397
92(-21) Justin Bieber - Ghost 2,408,230
97(+20) Emmy Meli - I AM WOMAN 2,392,427
98(debut) Polo G - Young N Dumb 2,391,264
100(debut) Shawn Mendes - It'll Be Okay 2,326,986

107(-25) BoyWithUke - Toxic 2,255,253
112(-25) CKay - love nwantiti (ah ah ah) 2,197,875
121(-43) The Rare Occasions - Notion 2,134,128
124(-36) ACRAZE, Cherish - Do It To It 2,125,758
133(-9) Beach House - Space Song 2,039,277
140(-17) $uicideboy$ - ...And to Those I Love, Thanks for Sticking Around 1,976,277
147(-40) Summer Walker - No Love 1,945,041
150(debut) Ariana Grande, Kid Cudi - Just Look Up 1,928,363
152(-20) Joy Again - Looking Out for You 1,917,366
156(-53) Coldplay, BTS - My Universe 1,891,505
157(debut) Brent Faiyaz - MERCEDES 1,890,840
167(debut) Jaymes Young - Infinity 1,807,709
176(+24) Morgan Wallen - Sand in My Boots 1,753,730
177(debut) Nardo Wick - Me or Sum 1,748,667
179(-70) Swedish House Mafia - Moth To A Flame 1,738,075
184(debut) Autumn! - One Way! 1,714,525
192(debut) Polo G - Unapologetic 1,680,139

Christmas Songs:
11(-3) Bing Crosby, Ken Darby Singers, John Scott Trotter & His Orchestra - White Christmas 5,972,645
15(+4) Michael Bublé - It's Beginning to Look a Lot like Christmas 4,875,863
18(+17) Burl Ives - A Holly Jolly Christmas 4,751,591
19(+4) Wham! - Last Christmas 4,712,680
22(-4) Nat King Cole - The Christmas Song 4,458,337
23(+3) José Feliciano - Feliz Navidad 4,418,997
24(+5) The Ronettes - Sleigh Ride 4,305,171
25(+5) Frank Sinatra - Let It Snow! Let It Snow! Let It Snow! 4,204,341
28(+6) Ariana Grande - Santa Tell Me 4,073,648
32(+11) Perry Como, The Fontane Sisters - It's Beginning to Look a Lot Like Christmas 3,707,109
42(+8) Kelly Clarkson - Underneath the Tree 3,425,870
46(+6) Darlene Love - Christmas (Baby Please Come Home) 3,335,599
47(+10) Paul McCartney - Wonderful Christmastime 3,300,489
50(+10) Michael Bublé - Holly Jolly Christmas 3,156,519
52(+1) Justin Bieber - Mistletoe 3,126,015
53(+8) Elvis Presley - Blue Christmas 3,092,107
54(+15) Chuck Berry - Run Rudolph Run 3,070,360
61(+9) Dean Martin - Let It Snow! Let It Snow! Let It Snow! 2,962,247
62(+10) Eartha Kitt, Henri Rene & His Orchestra - Santa Baby 2,946,868
63(+12) The Jackson 5 - Santa Claus Is Coming To Town 2,933,939
64(+17) John Lennon, Yoko Ono - Happy Xmas (War Is Over) 2,931,833
67(+17) Band Aid - Do They Know It's Christmas? 2,826,183
69(+14) Mykola Dmytrovych Leontovych, John Williams - Carol of the Bells 2,764,831
74(+44) Vince Guaraldi Trio - Christmas Time Is Here Vocal 2,670,980
81(+11) Andy Williams - Happy Holiday / The Holiday Season 2,573,095
84(+13) Bing Crosby, The Andrews Sisters - Mele Kalikimaka 2,551,254
86(+47) The Beach Boys - Little Saint Nick 2,524,035
88(+10) Dean Martin - Baby, It's Cold Outside 2,478,535
89(+101) Judy Garland - Have Yourself A Merry Little Christmas 2,444,553
90(+10) Mariah Carey - Christmas (Baby Please Come Home) 2,425,861
91(+13) Bruce Springsteen - Santa Claus Is Comin' to Town - Live 2,417,577
93(+20) Vince Guaraldi Trio - O Tannenbaum 2,406,746
99(+13) Nat King Cole - Joy To The World 2,369,075

104(+17) Burl Ives - Rudolph The Red-Nosed Reindeer 2,271,000
106(+14) Perry Como - (There's No Place Like) Home for the Holidays 2,259,117
115(+7) The Jackson 5 - I Saw Mommy Kissing Santa Claus 2,185,289
117(+43) Sia - Snowman 2,164,560
120(+45) Gene Autry - Here Comes Santa Claus (Right Down Santa Claus Lane) 2,142,591
123(+23) Elton John - Step Into Christmas 2,130,022
135(+27) Frank Sinatra - Mistletoe And Holly 2,016,196
137(+33) Bing Crosby - Do You Hear What I Hear? 1,997,022
142(+33) Donna Hathaway - This Christmas 1,970,430
144(+34) Eagles - Please Come Home for Christmas 1,959,976
165(re-entry) Thurl Ravenscroft - You're A Mean One, Mr. Grinch 1,826,411
193(re-entry) Bing Crosby, Carol Richards - Silver Bells 1,672,731
195(re-entry) Dean Martin - Rudolph The Red-Nosed Reindeer 1,664,900

Once again, SZA has the most streamed song in a week no one was really streaming music.

[JukeboxJacob]

thanks for always posting these

[joshtheking]

Hope Pressure by Ari Lennox becomes a hit!

[NeRD]

33(+1) Doja Cat - Woman 530,353 (+2,865)

Hoping this blows up in 2022

[phieaglesfan712]

This might help explain why there have been no predictions from any predictor this week:

[spiritboy]

For people who claim ATW isn't a legit #1, good luck to your faves trying to make their 2 minute hits #1 while Taylor managed to score a 10 minute version of a 9 year old song. :kii:

[Groovy]

Why is All Too Well being brought up again, it went to 1 almost three weeks ago. Does it really matter that much whether it’s a hit or not?

[HolidayGuy]

For the Dec.11 chart, AIWFCIY's streaming numbers were only running slightly behind last year for the comparable chart week (25.8m vs. 26.4m, I think), so if there is any kind of issue, it's probably not a big, impactful one.

HITS' streaming chart, which predictors probably look to for final predictions, has not been updated as of yet.

[jenglisbe]

Dec 11, 2021 9:26:15 GMT -5 HolidayGuy said:

For the Dec.11 chart, AIWFCIY's streaming numbers were only running slightly behind last year for the comparable chart week (25.8m vs. 26.4m, I think), so if there is any kind of issue, it's probably not a big, impactful one.

HITS' streaming chart, which predictors probably look to for final predictions, has not been updated as of yet.

"AIWFCIY" is down 35% from last year on Pandora and apparently isn't showing up on many (any?) of their holiday stations and such. I don't know if that's a technical glitch, or just an editorial decision. Either way it seems odd considering how huge "AIWFCIY" is, of course. I don't see why that would cause a delay in streaming data, though.

[HolidayGuy]

Is that official Pandora info or an estimate, and is it just for this past week or season to date? In any event, it doesn't look like overall holiday streaming on the whole is exponentially bigger than last year, so who knows what kind of impact there is.

Sometimes info is delayed, so hopefully the HITS chart will be updated today. Though not sure if HITS has ever updated a chart over a weekend.

[Baby Yoda Hot100Fan]

[phieaglesfan712]

Dec 11, 2021 10:20:02 GMT -5 Baby Yoda Hot100Fan said:

I guess this confirms that the Butter Holiday remix was a bust after all. We won!

[Gary]

LOL - congratulations on your victory

[fridayteenage]

given how we already had 12k #1 sales weeks last year, i'm a bit surprised the low is barely lower this year.

[Baby Yoda Hot100Fan]

While HITS Streaming Songs chart has updated yet. I Hate U debuted at #3, Super Gremlin rose 31-8 and Easy on Me dropped 4-10. If I counted correct, holiday songs are 30 out of the top 50.

[jenglisbe]

Dec 11, 2021 14:31:58 GMT -5 Baby Yoda Hot100Fan said:

While HITS Streaming Songs chart has updated yet. I Hate U debuted at #3, Super Gremlin rose 31-8 and Easy on Me dropped 4-10. If I counted correct, holiday songs are 30 out of the top 50.

It looks like SZA only had a video to the audio? I was wondering if she could at least pass "RATCT" with video streams added in, but I'm not sure that can happen.

[colson]

[radio2009]

Dec 11, 2021 16:39:24 GMT -5 colson said:

Cold Heart foiled again.

[otaviohmg]

[Baby Yoda Hot100Fan]

Dec 11, 2021 14:56:30 GMT -5 jenglisbe said:

Dec 11, 2021 14:31:58 GMT -5 Baby Yoda Hot100Fan said:

While HITS Streaming Songs chart has updated yet. I Hate U debuted at #3, Super Gremlin rose 31-8 and Easy on Me dropped 4-10. If I counted correct, holiday songs are 30 out of the top 50.

It looks like SZA only had a video to the audio? I was wondering if she could at least pass "RATCT" with video streams added in, but I'm not sure that can happen.

Make that two audio videos. One for the SZA and another one for the SZAVevo channel. No official video for now. It might still edge RATCT and even AIWFCIY on Streaming Songs depending on their breakdown between free, ad-supported and paid streams.

[kindofbiased]

I feel like we as a forum are not entirely grasping how big Super Gremlin is rn and how there's a decent chance we're gonna have to deal with this song for a long time

Honestly it's not terrible as a song but I really thought we were free from Kodak Black

[kimberly]

Dec 11, 2021 17:11:01 GMT -5 otaviohmg said:

* hot 100 prediction *

c'mon now SZA! she seems to be a lock for a Top 10 debut. 

SZA album bomb will be one to watch, whenever she decides to drop it — hopefully sometime in the first half of 2022.

[Groovy]

That’s assuming we ever get a SZA album.

[otaviohmg]

SPOILER: Click to show

{Edit:}
Reading all the positions and comparing with Lip and my predictions, it's confusing due to the lack of data but at the same time sad that I went too early posting without any edit or waiting until the last hour. I Hate U is an incognita even being #1 at Spotify and AM every day. Christmas songs messed up all my theories about this Top 10.

[jenglisbe]

Hate on Christmas songs all you want (some of you), but those are the songs on the chart where airplay is the least % of their points. Based on that prediction, "EOM" is 47% radio, "Stay" is 56% radio, and "Heat Waves" is 47% radio. For the holiday songs in the top 10, radio is in the 13-17% range.

[gikem]

Looks like whatever Polo G songs we get this week will be confined to the bottom 50. I’m also expecting Wild Side, Sand In My Boots, and (most likely) You Should Probably Leave to exit this week, alongside a few other low-charting songs.

[joshtheking]

Dec 12, 2021 7:21:32 GMT -5 gikem said:

Looks like whatever Polo G songs we get this week will be confined to the bottom 50. I’m also expecting Wild Side, Sand In My Boots, and (most likely) You Should Probably Leave to exit this week, alongside a few other low-charting songs.

it's still gaining on radio though isn't it?

[gikem]

Dec 12, 2021 7:45:58 GMT -5 joshtheking said:

Dec 12, 2021 7:21:32 GMT -5 gikem said:

Looks like whatever Polo G songs we get this week will be confined to the bottom 50. I’m also expecting Wild Side, Sand In My Boots, and (most likely) You Should Probably Leave to exit this week, alongside a few other low-charting songs.

it's still gaining on radio though isn't it?

Yes, but Billboard’s recurrent rules are so inconsistent around this time of year that I can’t count on YSPL to continue to chart this week, especially as it’s already spent 2 straight weeks below the top 50.