Billboard Hot 100: 01/08/2022

[Groovy]

Radio is down today I'm assuming, I don't see any updates from Kworb.

[Rose "Payola" Nylund]

Sometimes I see things on sale or discounted at the mall and I wonder, what chart are they trying to make? Is there a chart for clothes? Maybe this new book is 25% off because the author is trying to make the bestseller’s list. Woah! DQ’s Blizzard of the Month is discounted today. Meh, it’s just a sham to make the Top Dessert Seller’s list.

[Lukas]

Dec 27, 2021 11:51:47 GMT -5 Groovy said:

Radio is down today I'm assuming, I don't see any updates from Kworb.

It is actually not. The format radio charts were posted hours ago in their respective threads today. Also, if that was the case, it would just be a +0.00 update again today like yesterday. Something else is happening.

[Lukas]

Dec 27, 2021 10:58:41 GMT -5 jenglisbe said:

Dec 27, 2021 10:46:37 GMT -5 phieaglesfan712 said:

And don’t forget about the iTunes discount. Dua’s team is trying to get this to re-enter the chart, lol.

An iTunes discount isn't really the way to do that; even if it jumped 2-3k in sales, that's not even equivalent to 1 million streams lol

It's funny because it's not even her team doing it. It's iTunes doing their genre discounts again like they did pretty much the entire year. Just because it's with pop songs this time doesn't mean her team is "trying" to re-enter the chart. It was locked to re-enter even before the discounts because it would easily be in the top 25 this week without Christmas.

[Choco]

Dua's team is only here for whatever is left of the gift card effect. It's not gonna reenter.

Edit:may reenter? Didn't know it was still top 25 without Xmas. Get it Dua.

[Baby Yoda Hot100Fan]

Dec 27, 2021 11:51:47 GMT -5 Groovy said:

Radio is down today I'm assuming, I don't see any updates from Kworb.

Yes, it is still dated 12/26. We'll see if that gets remedied during the day or else tomorrow's update assuming it works as it should will be for three days' worth of data.

[gikem]

Mediabase/AllAccess has updated all their formats for today, so it's not a problem on their end, it's whoever manages that page on Kworb. Not that I totally blame them, because there's going to be tons of weird spin/AI movements over the next few days due to year-end countdown season.

[aussie1]

If Blinding lights re-entered last year, Levitating should re-enter this year. That's if Billboard keeps it consistent.

[Choco]

I'm sure if it gets enough points to be top 25 it will show up. I'm not sure it does though. BL was a huge anomaly because it was like #3.

[Baby Yoda Hot100Fan]

^Yeah. But one big difference would be that BL had been #18 two weeks before with one week in Hot 100 Recurrents, while Levitating would have been four weeks recurrent before re-entering.

[gikem]

Since we're on the topic of songs that could return from recurrency, here's a list of songs that went recurrent since 12/4/21 (or are expected to go recurrent as of 1/1/22) and how likely I think they are to return as the Christmas music subsides.

Very Likely
Kiss Me More
You Right
Essence

Likely
Levitating
Beggin'

Slightly Likely
Save Your Tears
If I Didn't Love You
Pepas

Slightly Unlikely
Montero (Call Me By Your Name)
Cold As You
Wild Side

Unlikely
Leave the Door Open
Chasing After You


Obviously, this does not include any surprises we might get this week like Fancy Like, Essence, and Woman. The former two are right on the edge and might dip below the threshold if enough Christmas songs return the previous week, and the latter just hit its 20th week but is being pushed as Doja's next single despite being below #50 and minimal radio gains, so it's a crapshoot whether it actually leaves or not.

(EDIT: Forgot about Chasing After You)
(EDIT #2: Essence has been added in the Very Likely tier)

[phieaglesfan712]

Dec 27, 2021 17:23:41 GMT -5 gikem said:

Since we're on the topic of songs that could return from recurrency, here's a list of songs that went recurrent since 12/4/21 (or are expected to go recurrent as of 1/1/22) and how likely I think they are to return as the Christmas music subsides.

Very Likely
Kiss Me More
You Right

Likely
Levitating
Beggin'

Slightly Likely
Save Your Tears
If I Didn't Love You
Pepas

Slightly Unlikely
Montero (Call Me By Your Name)
Cold As You
Wild Side

Unlikely
Leave the Door Open


Obviously, this does not include any surprises we might get this week like Fancy Like, Essence, and Woman. The former two are right on the edge and might dip below the threshold if enough Christmas songs return the previous week, and the latter just hit its 20th week but is being pushed as Doja's next single despite being below #50 and minimal radio gains, so it's a crapshoot whether it actually leaves or not.

I’d move Save Your Tears to the unlikely category since it already has 52 weeks and needs to be in the Top 25 to re-enter.

[JukeboxJacob]

If a song from Encanto were to have chart success similar to Let It Go, I'd hope it's this one

[smiley22]

Is it possible for Mariah to squeak out another week at #1 based on the heavy streams 12/24-12/25?

[Ｓｏｕｎｄｃｌ🕤ｃｋ]

Dec 27, 2021 17:57:26 GMT -5 phieaglesfan712 said:

Dec 27, 2021 17:23:41 GMT -5 gikem said:

I’d move Save Your Tears to the unlikely category since it already has 52 weeks and needs to be in the Top 25 to re-enter.

just like Levitating? SYT was #41 when it dropped out, but 20 Xmas songs were ahead of it.

[gikem]

Dec 27, 2021 19:08:39 GMT -5 Ｓｏｕｎｄｃｌ🕤ｃｋ said:

Dec 27, 2021 17:57:26 GMT -5 phieaglesfan712 said:

I’d move Save Your Tears to the unlikely category since it already has 52 weeks and needs to be in the Top 25 to re-enter.

just like Levitating? SYT was #41 when it dropped out, but 20 Xmas songs were ahead of it.

Yeah, I put SYT there because this past week it probably would’ve been right on the cusp without Christmas songs, even with the new songs from Juice WRLD.

[nathanalbright]

Do we expect any songs to return from superrecurrency this year? I'm curious to see whether post-Christmas/YE will be enough for anything to hit the top 25.

[atg]

With the latest spotify update, there are songs from the mid to late 2010s that also got a chance to re enter the top 200 as well. There’s songs that are higher than most recent current hits on the charts such as Sweater Weather, Sunflower, and Lucid Dreams. It’s insane how streaming basically broke all barriers of an older song technically being a current recurring hit that could somewhat be called one of the biggest songs right now.

[Groovy]

Dec 27, 2021 20:25:39 GMT -5 atg said:

With the latest spotify update, there are songs from the mid to late 2010s that also got a chance to re enter the top 200 as well. There’s songs that are higher than most recent current hits on the charts such as Sweater Weather, Sunflower, and Lucid Dreams. It’s insane how streaming basically broke all barriers of an older song technically being a current recurring hit that could somewhat be called one of the biggest songs right now.

That's the power of streaming and TikTok for you. 

[kindofbiased]

Dec 27, 2021 18:02:18 GMT -5 JukeboxJacob said:

If a song from Encanto were to have chart success similar to Let It Go, I'd hope it's this one

I would loveee Surface Pressure to be the big hit from Encanto but I'm pretty confident We Don't Talk About Bruno is gonna be the one that sticks around especially considering it's got TikTok behind it and not just the hype from the movie 

[Baby Yoda Hot100Fan]

This is two day's worth of radio updates. My guess is that many stations shifted from holiday songs to year-end countdowns. Thus, I'll include some of the songs that went recurrent recently but gained and could potentially re-enter the Hot 100 soon, in addition to my usual non-recurrent gainers.

kworb's Billboard Radio Songs Estimates « 2021 » / « 12 » / « 27 »

1(=) Adele - Easy On Me 103.76(-1.07) +
2(=) The Kid LAROI & Justin Bieber - STAY 91.11(-3.21) +
3(=) Glass Animals - Heat Waves 75.57(-2.19) +
4(=) Doja Cat - Need To Know 73.60(-2.63) +
5(=) Ed Sheeran - Shivers 68.98(-1.40) +
6(=)  Lil Nas X & Jack Harlow - INDUSTRY BABY 60.97(-1.27) +
7(=) Bruno Mars, Anderson .Paak & Silk Sonic - Smokin Out The Window 57.75(-1.70)
8(+1) Ed Sheeran - Bad Habits 55.38(-0.17) +
9(-1) Elton John & Dua Lipa - Cold Heart (PNAU Remix) 55.04(-1.38) +
10(=) Lil Nas X - Thats What I Want 51.31(-2.17)

23(+2) Dua Lipa - Levitating (feat. DaBaby) 34.71(+0.84) +

32(+3) Doja Cat - Kiss Me More f/Sza 29.36(+0.43)

40(+6) The Weeknd - Save Your Tears 24.85(+1.83) +

52(+9) Bruno Mars/a .paak/silk Sonic - Leave The Door Open 19.49(+0.91)

57(+7) Moneybagg Yo - Scorpio 18.65(+0.53)

96(+8) J Balvin - Una Nota f/Sech 10.77(+0.67)

[waluigionascooter]

Dec 27, 2021 16:41:33 GMT -5 aussie1 said:

If Blinding lights re-entered last year, Levitating should re-enter this year. That's if Billboard keeps it consistent.

When it dropped out, there were barely any Christmas songs ahead of it on the charts, so I don't know if it will have enough points to make the Top 25 after the Christmas songs go away.

[forg]

Dec 27, 2021 20:51:51 GMT -5 kindofbiased said:

Dec 27, 2021 18:02:18 GMT -5 JukeboxJacob said:

If a song from Encanto were to have chart success similar to Let It Go, I'd hope it's this one

I would loveee Surface Pressure to be the big hit from Encanto but I'm pretty confident We Don't Talk About Bruno is gonna be the one that sticks around especially considering it's got TikTok behind it and not just the hype from the movie 

I didn't know We Don't Talk About Bruno is a TikTok thing too! Make this a hit now, it's such a jam! Disney should have submitted it too for the Oscar Original Song!

[Music Fan]

Dec 27, 2021 5:22:02 GMT -5 dremolus - solarpunk said:

Now that Christmas songs are gone, I can start my campaign to get either Enemy or abcdefu to number one (I'd love for both to top the charts though)

There's a clear #1 deserving song here. The other not so much.

[otaviohmg]

US Spotify - 12/27/21

1 (=) INDUSTRY BABY (feat. Jack Harlow) by Lil Nas X 881,516 (+118,321)
2 (+1) STAY (with Justin Bieber) by The Kid LAROI 817,219 (+117,952)
3 (+1) Heat Waves by Glass Animals 813,331 (+120,851)
4 (+2) Super Gremlin by Kodak Black 749,471 (+84,005)
5 (+3) abcdefu by GAYLE 741,963 (+105,387)
6 (+5) Easy On Me by Adele 714,530 (+116,623)
7 (+2) Broadway Girls (feat. Morgan Wallen) by Lil Durk 699,879 (+77,638)
8 (+19) We Don't Talk About Bruno by Carolina Gaitán - La Gaita, Mauro Castillo, Adassa, Rhenzy Feliz, Diane Guerrero, Stephanie Beatriz, Encanto - Cast 626,384 (+186,479)
9 (+4) Enemy (with JID) - from the series Arcane League of Legends by Imagine Dragons 613,024 (+80,607)
10 (+10) good 4 u by Olivia Rodrigo 593,484 (+94,281)

11 (+5) Need to Know by Doja Cat 589,210 (+83,244)
12 (+6) I Hate U by SZA 585,589 (+82,487)
13 (+6) Knife Talk (with 21 Savage ft. Project Pat) by Drake 577,174 (+75,339)
14 (+10) Kiss Me More (feat. SZA) by Doja Cat 538,217 (+84,329)
15 (+11) All Too Well (10 Minute Version) (Taylor's Version) (From The Vault) by Taylor Swift 533,009 (+86,678)
16 (+13) Woman by Doja Cat 493,514 (+63,353)
17 (+14) Smokin Out The Window by Bruno Mars, Anderson .Paak, Silk Sonic 486,025 (+61,044)
18 (+16) Cold Heart - PNAU Remix by Elton John, Dua Lipa 479,417 (+75,943)
19 (+17) Shivers by Ed Sheeran 471,357 (+85,559)
20 (+13) family ties (with Kendrick Lamar) by Baby Keem 467,415 (+63,501)
21 (+7) Dark Red by Steve Lacy 464,483 (+33,269)
22 (+40) Surface Pressure by Jessica Darrow 455,155 (+137,807)
23 (+15) Better Days (NEIKED x Mae Muller x Polo G) by NEIKED 448,484 (+70,386)
24 (+8) I Love You So by The Walters 442,649 (+36,803)
26 (+17) Meet Me At Our Spot by THE ANXIETY, WILLOW, Tyler Cole 434,683 (+64,587)
27 (+12) RAPSTAR by Polo G 421,647 (+46,267)
28 (+9) Sky by Playboi Carti 410,648 (+27,739)
29 (+16) Happier Than Ever by Billie Eilish 406,416 (+46,158)
30 (+13) Way 2 Sexy (with Future & Young Thug) by Drake 403,373 (+47,720)
31 (+18) MONTERO (Call Me By Your Name) by Lil Nas X 398,574 (+54,741)
32 (+28) Bad Habits by Ed Sheeran 394,116 (+75,597)
33 (+11) 2055 by Sleepy Hallow 393,051 (+31,235)
34 (+18) traitor by Olivia Rodrigo 390,123 (+49,584)
35 (+32) One Right Now (with The Weeknd) by Post Malone 377,640 (+67,845)
37 (+16) Who Want Smoke?? (feat. G Herbo, Lil Durk & 21 Savage) by Nardo Wick 369,630 (+33,789)
38 (+13) Burn by Juice WRLD 367,517 (+26,442)
39 (+17) Already Dead by Juice WRLD 365,258 (+32,816)
40 (+42) Levitating by Dua Lipa 359,966 (+66,789)
41 (+23) By You Side by Rod Wave 356,185 (+40,502)
42 (+31) drivers license by Olivia Rodrigo 355,708 (+53,519)
43 (+25) Wandered To LA (with Justin Bieber) by Juice WRLD 352,538 (+44,266)
45 (+34) THATS WHAT I WANT by Lil Nas X 347,343 (+50,358)
46 (+25) You Right by Doja Cat, The Weeknd 343,294 (+40,609)
47 (+33) Get Into It (Yuh) by Doja Cat 335,489 (+39,545)
48 (+47) Oh My God by Adele 335,031 (+67,180)

51 (+22) Pepas by Farruko 331,021 (+39,081)
52 (+40) Ghost by Justin Bieber 329,827 (+57,018)
55 (+32) Freaks by Surf Curse 316,356 (+21,462)
57 (+31) Bad Man (Smooth Criminal) by Polo G 309,888 (+30,853)
58 (+52) Do It To It by ACRAZE, Cherish 307,546 (+53,369)
59 (+43) Fair Trade (with Travis Scott) by Drake 302,928 (+43,908)
61 (+37) love nwantiti (ah ah ah) by CKay 300,121 (+38,353)
62 (+27) Alien Blues by Vundabar 298,889 (+20,219)
70 (+50) Infinity by Jaymes Young 284,419 (+40,899)
71 (+51) Beggin' by Måneskin 283,998 (+42,630)
72 (+56) Buy Dirt by Jordan Davis, Luke Bryan 280,603 (+47,174)
74 (+70) My Universe by Coldplay, BTS 277,601 (+53,716)
75 (+29) Space Song by Beach House 276,926 (+18,455)
77 (+48) Leave The Door Open by Bruno Mars, Anderson .Paak, Silk Sonic 274,301 (+36,222)
79 (+44) Girl Of My Dreams (with SUGA of BTS) by Juice WRLD 273,257 (+34,552)
80 (+33) Toxic by BoyWithUke 272,781 (+22,362)
81 (+68) I AM WOMAN by Emmy Meli 271,764 (+50,481)
87 (+63) Life Goes On 259,817 (+39,042)
92 (+45) Ain't s**t by Doja Cat 254,155 (+27,439)
98 (+48) Man in the Mirror by A Boogie Wit da Hoodie 251,254 (+29,009)

112 (+54) SAD GIRLZ LUV MONEY Remix (feat. Kali Uchis and Moliy) by Amaarae 242,956 (+34,449)
114 (+38) Feline (with Polo G & Trippie Redd) by Juice WRLD 241,590 (+20,957)
173 (+16) Peru by Fireboy DML, Ed Sheeran 202,580 (+5,227)
146 (new) What Else Can I Do? by Diane Guerrero, Stephanie Beatriz 215,554
151 (new) The Family Madrigal by Stephanie Beatriz, Olga Merediz, Encanto - Cast 212,229
154 (re-entry) For Tonight by Giveon 209,638

Biggest Gains (50K+): I AM WOMAN, My Universe, Do It To It, Ghost, Oh My God, THATS WHAT I WANT, One Right Now, Bad Habits, MONTERO, Meet Me At Our Spot, Better Days, family ties, Shivers, Cold Heart, Smoking Out The Window, Woman, All Too Well, Kiss Me More, Knife Talk, I Hate U, Need To Know, good 4 u, Enemy, We Don't Talk About Bruno, Broadway Girls, Easy On Me, abcdefu, Super Gremlin, Heat Waves, STAY, INDUSTRY BABY

Christmas Songs:

101 (-99) Rockin' Around The Christmas Tree by Brenda Lee 249,197 (-509,022)
108 (-103) All I Want for Christmas Is You by Mariah Carey 244,698 (-422,622)
139 (-132) Jingle Bell Rock by Bobby Helms 220,079 (-444,393)
185 (-173) It's the Most Wonderful Time of the Year by Andy Williams 197,822 (-392,673)

Bye Xmas!

[jenglisbe]

Someone told me the recent web site sales for the Juice Wrld/BTS single didn't count toward the Hot 100. Is that true?

[Choco]

The Encanto song is kind of a bop? omg help me.

[fridayteenage]

Encanto soundtrack is also #1 on iTunes fwiw.

[Baby Yoda Hot100Fan]

kworb's Billboard Radio Songs Estimates « 2021 » / « 12 » / « 28 »

1(=) Adele - Easy On Me 104.10(+0.34) -
2(=) The Kid LAROI & Justin Bieber - STAY 92.03(+0.92)
3(=) Glass Animals - Heat Waves 75.97(+0.40)
4(=) Doja Cat - Need To Know 73.88(+0.28)
5(=) Ed Sheeran - Shivers 69.37(+0.39)
6(=) Lil Nas X & Jack Harlow - INDUSTRY BABY 61.07(+0.10)
7(=) Bruno Mars, Anderson .Paak & Silk Sonic - Smokin Out The Window 58.95(+1.19)
8(=) Ed Sheeran - Bad Habits 57.07(+1.70)
9(=) Elton John & Dua Lipa - Cold Heart (PNAU Remix) 56.28(+1.23)
10(=) Lil Nas X - Thats What I Want 51.76(+0.45) +

18(+5) Dua Lipa - Levitating (feat. DaBaby) 37.00(+2.29)

33(+1) Billie Eilish - Happier Than Ever 29.16(+0.55)

36(+4) The Weeknd - Save Your Tears 26.62(+1.77)

-(-) Farruko/v. Cardenas/dj Adonis - El Incomprendido 6.11(+1.44) +

[otaviohmg]

Off-Topic: The two Spotify updates that I made it is officially finished and now there's no error or song missing to consider for the Hot 100 Discussion. I'm really sorry for being dumb and don't know how to program basic things (for example Spoiler button, etc.) and save the data at the right place.