Billboard Hot 100: 01/15/2022

[gikem]

Jan 2, 2022 9:10:17 GMT -5 joshtheking said:

Are the kworb radio charts usually this chaotic at this time of year??

Pretty typical for the beginning of the year, I'd say. It's all AC, Hot AC, and Country resetting their playlists after Christmas and/or doing year-end countdowns.

[strongerq]

Jan 2, 2022 8:51:49 GMT -5 otaviohmg said:

Hope that armys go spend all the money for this chart and leave the Hot 100 alone.

That won't be necessary. On Spotify VN since the charts for most streamed artists/albums began being published, BTS is #1 each day (73 days straight), no other artist has reached #1 on Vietnam Spotify (artist chart). And this is with genuine streaming, now about...

I will provide a little update regarding the Spotify Testing that ARMYs around the world have been doing for some monhts. Vietnam was the one that started it and got results.

tl;dr you can stream a song 20 times a day and they will all count for the chart.

The 21st and oward gets filltered (it used to be 10, but on 22nd October Spotify changed the cap to 20 for whatever reason).

You can stream from however many accounts you want from the same IP adress, you can open dozen browsers with different accounts and stream simultaneously thanks to Spotify Web Player. Yup perfect mixture for chaos on the charts.

Yesterday VN ARMY obliterated the daily record, it used to be 241,021. They got 380,465 streams yesterday using their testing.

Of course this won't affect total streaming since it requires a lot of time and will only be done for first days of songs/albums. The same reason every song in the most viewed Youtube videos in the first 24 hours is a kpop song.

So Butter had 30,726 legit streams on the 31st, next day 380,465.

And this was done by 1.8k people only. 

There is an updated thread for this.

[magik]

Crazy how EOM could have been an 11th week or 12th week #1 without the Christmas flooding.

[Envoirment]

Jan 2, 2022 10:45:59 GMT -5 magik said:

Crazy how EOM could have been an 11th week or 12th week #1 without the Christmas flooding.

What's even crazier is that it could still get 11 or 12 weeks at #1 at this rate. I don't think there's anything that can challenge "Easy On Me" for the #1 spot currently. It looks on lock for 9 weeks at the very least.

[fridayteenage]

Too much weight on radio spamming.

Total of 5 weeks #1 streaming (6 if you exclude Christmas music), two of those overlapping with the two weeks topping sales.

[edward]

Jan 2, 2022 10:09:36 GMT -5 strongerq said:

Jan 2, 2022 8:51:49 GMT -5 otaviohmg said:

Hope that armys go spend all the money for this chart and leave the Hot 100 alone.

That won't be necessary. On Spotify VN since the charts for most streamed artists/albums began being published, BTS is #1 each day (73 days straight), no other artist has reached #1 on Vietnam Spotify (artist chart). And this is with genuine streaming, now about...

I will provide a little update regarding the Spotify Testing that ARMYs around the world have been doing for some monhts. Vietnam was the one that started it and got results.

tl;dr you can stream a song 20 times a day and they will all count for the chart.

The 21st and oward gets filltered (it used to be 10, but on 22nd October Spotify changed the cap to 20 for whatever reason).

You can stream from however many accounts you want from the same IP adress, you can open dozen browsers with different accounts and stream simultaneously thanks to Spotify Web Player. Yup perfect mixture for chaos on the charts.

Yesterday VN ARMY obliterated the daily record, it used to be 241,021. They got 380,465 streams yesterday using their testing.

Of course this won't affect total streaming since it requires a lot of time and will only be done for first days of songs/albums. The same reason every song in the most viewed Youtube videos in the first 24 hours is a kpop song.

So Butter had 30,726 legit streams on the 31st, next day 380,465.

And this was done by 1.8k people only. 

There is an updated thread for this.

This is so pathetic, these jobless stans really have nothing better to do

[dremolus - solarpunk]

US Spotify - 01/01/22

1(=) Heat Waves by Glass Animals 969,368 (+9,829)
2(+1) The Kid LAROI - STAY 932,576 (+7,764)
3(-1) Lil Nas X - INDUSTRY BABY 900,912 (-44,247)
4(=) Carolina Gaitán - La Gaita, Mauro Castillo, Adassa, Rhenzy Feliz, Diane Guerrero, Stephanie Beatriz, Encanto Cast - We Don't Talk About Bruno 761,568 (-117,502)
5(=) GAYLE - abcdefu 738,161 (-79,811)
6(+4) Doja Cat - Kiss Me More 735,971 (+48,159)
7(-1) Kodak Black - Super Gremlin 725,330 (-79,040)
8(=) Olivia Rodrigo - good 4 u 706,144 (+2,644)
9(+4) Elton John, Dua Lipa - Cold Heart (PNAU Remix) 683,288 (+47,340)
10(-3) Adele - Easy On Me 621,071 (-121,024)

Others:
11(=) Doja Cat - Need to Know 607,482 (-46,298)
12(=) Imagine Dragons - Enemy 574,287 (-61,796)
13(+3) Drake - Knife Talk 562,835 (-32,146)
14(+7) NEIKED - Better Days 546,336 (+34,366)
15(-6) Lil Durk - Broadway Girls 545,769 (-144,590)
16(+15) Farruko - Pepas 545,141 (+100,797)
17(=) Doja Cat - Woman 543,484 (-25,784)
18(+1) Bruno Mars, Anderson .Paak, Silk Sonic - Smokin Out The Window 529,909 (+16,240)
19(-5) Jessica Darrow - Surface Pressure 518,885 (-86,749)
20(+7) Dua Lipa - Levitating 509,046 (+49,247)
21(-6) SZA - I Hate U 507,402 (-89,889)
22(+10) ACRAZE, Cherish - Do It To It 505,080 (+71,722)
23(+1) Ed Sheeran - Bad Habits 493,545 (+23,917)
24(+4) Lil Nas X - MONTERO (Call Me By Your Name) 486,073 (+28,675)
25(-5) Ed Sheeran - Shivers 476,540 (-46,167)
26(-4) Baby Keem - family ties 452,017 (-38,943)
27(-2) THE ANXIETY, WILLOW, Tyler Cole - Meet Me At Our Spot 448,732 (-18,264)
28(+13) The Weeknd - Blinding Lights 438,850 (+56,878)
30(-12) Taylor Swift - All Too Well (10 Minute Version) 430,717 (-99,706)
31(+6) Playboi Carti - Sky 427,069 (+14,886)
32(-9) Steve Lacy - Dark Red 414,999 (-55,711)
33(-7) The Walters - I Love You So 407,831 (-54,600)
34(-1) Post Malone - One Right Now 396,875 (-26,757)
35(+20) The Killers - Mr. Brightside 395,444 (+57,988)
37(+14) The Weeknd - Save Your Tears Remix 386,568 (+37,645)
39(+14) Bruno Mars, Anderson .Paak, Silk Sonic - Leave the Door Open 381,008 (+37,571)
41(+18) Walker Hayes - Fancy Like 357,768 (+28,470)
43(-7) Billie Eilish - Happier Than Ever 347,371 (-69,567)
44(+10) CKay - love nwantiti (ah ah ah) 347,123 (+9,028)
45(-2) Nardo Wick - Who Want Smoke?? 346,315 (-28,182)
48(-1) Lil Nas X - THATS WHAT I WANT 342,304 (-27,409)
50(-4) Justin Bieber - Ghost 326,359 (-43,585)
53(+101) Miley Cyrus - Party In The U.S.A. 316,684 (+97,413)
54(-5) Rod Wave - By You Side 311,654 (-44,231)
55(+20) Post Malone - Circles 307,294 (+15,312)
56(re-entry) Black Eyed Peas - I Gotta Feeling 304,478
57(+32) Bad Bunny, Jhay Cortez - DÁKITI 303,144 (+25,306)
60(+34) Fleetwood Mac - Dreams 300,444 (+28,923)
63(+1) Drake - Fair Trade 293,504 (-28,244)
64(-8) Juice WRLD - Already Dead 290,540 (-46,089)
66(-9) Juice WRLD - Burn 288,675 (-46,312)
67(-15) Adele - Oh My God 287,965 (-59,479)
68(+31) 24kGoldn - Mood 286,784 (+20,725)
69(-8) Juice WRLD - Wandered To LA 281,729 (-42,206)
70(+46) Harry Styles - Watermelon Sugar 281,332 (+32,521)
72(-9) Stephanie Beatriz, Olga Merediz, Encanto Cast - The Family Madrigal 280,224 (-41,924)
73(-8) Surf Curse - Freaks 279,504 (-39,561)
77(-15) Diane Guerrero, Stephanie Beatriz - What Else Can I Do? 274,559 (-48,646)
78(re-entry) Taylor Swift - 22 (Taylor's Version) 272,934
81(-47) ERNEST - Flower Shops 270,728 (-149,420)
83(+70) Nelly Furtado, Timbaland - Promiscuous 269,306 (+49,736)
84(+74) Journey - Don't Stop Believin' 269,251 (+51,792)
86(-17) Emmy Meli - I AM WOMAN 264,707 (-44,308)
89(-17) Jaymes Young - Infinity 261,699 (-44,389)
90(-13) Vundabar - Alien Blues 259,681 (-29,088)
96(+73) Dua Lipa - Don't Start Now 252,104 (+38,361)
97(-19) Beach House - Space Song 250,878 (-37,180)

101(-11) BoyWithUke - Toxic 248,659 (-27,136)
103(-1) Amaarae - SAD GIRLZ LUV MONEY Remix 244,603 (-19,743)
104(-4) Oliver Tree - Life Goes On 241,763 (-24,273)
107(re-entry) Drake - Passionfruit 240,413
108(re-entry) Riton, Nightcrawlers - Friday 239,424
110(re-entry) Outkast - Hey Ya! 238,197
112(-31) Jordan Davis, Luke Bryan - Buy Dirt 234,636 (-52,202)
116(-24) Sebastian Yatra - Dos Oruguitas 232,176 (-41,506)
117(re-entry) Kygo, Whitney Houston - Higher Love 231,433
119(re-entry) Whitney Houston - I Wanna Dance with Somebody (Who Loves Me) 227,437
123(+6) Latto - Big Energy 226,134 (-12,644)
125(-28) A Boogie Wit da Hoodie - Man in the Mirror 225,704 (-42,318)
127(re-entry) BTS - Dynamite 223,453
130(-22) Kodak Black - Love & War 221,901 (-42,318)
132(re-entry) Macklemore & Ryan Lewis - Can't Hold Us 220,602
134(-22) Stephanie Beatriz - Waiting on a Miracle 219,798 (-33,176)
136(+48) Post Malone - rockstar 218,978 (+9,951)
137(-16) The Rare Occasions - Notion 217,663 (-25,877)
139(-25) Summer Walker - No Love 216,464 (-33,032)
140(+9) Tiësto, Ava Max - The Motto 215,752 (-7,447)
146(re-entry) Britney Spears - Toxic 213,097
150(+40) Cardi B - Up 207,785 (+2,108)
151(re-entry) Doja Cat - Say So 207,447
152(-22) Joy Again - Looking Out For You 206,164 (-30,892)
153(-6) Megan Thee Stallion - Megan's Piano 206,138 (-18,452)
154(re-entry) Usher - Yeah! 205,852
156(re-entry) Megan Thee Stallion - Thot Shit 204,701
159(-36) Morgan Wallen - Sand in My 202,778 (-39,945)
166(re-entry) Chlöe - Have Mercy 199,106
167(re-entry) Kesha - TiK ToK 198,503
171(re-entry) The Notorious B.I.G. - Hypnotize 197,689
172(re-entry) Cardi B, Bad Bunny, J Balvin - I Like It 197,670
174(re-entry) Katy Perry - Firework 196,941
175(re-entry) Waka Flocka Flame - No Hands 195,754
179(re-entry) Tiësto - The Business 194,907
180(-62) Rainbow Kitten Surprise - It's Called: Freefall 194,870 (-52,237)
181(re-entry) Bruno Mars - 24K Magic 193,984
184(re-entry) Queen - Don't Stop Me Now 192,941
187(-45) SALES - Pope Is a Rockstar 191,236 (-35,284)
189(-64) Alesso - When I’m Gone 190,711 (-50,807)
190(re-entry) Drake - Drake, WizKid, Kyla 190,233
197(re-entry) Panic! At The Disco - High Hopes 188,263

Biggest Gains (50K+): Don't Stop Believin', Party in the U.S.A., Mr. Brightside Blinding Lights, Do It To It, Pepas

It'll never not be entertaining to see Mr. Brightside - a song that peaked at #10 in the U.S. - being more relevant and remembered than every number one hit from 2005

[gikem]

I believe this is the first time Cold Heart has entered the US Spotify top 10. With radio regaining after the holidays, it should be a solid bet to *finally* crack the Hot 100 top 10 this week.

[magik]

A lot of old songs on the list again, and even some mid-2021 hits resurging. Year-end playlists?

[spiritboy]

Some Taylor stans trying to come for Adele's success is funny to see. I'm sure they were happy when radio spammed TS songs during 1989 but when radio supports another female, they complain about it. :kii:

[Envoirment]

Jan 2, 2022 11:56:51 GMT -5 magik said:

A lot of old songs on the list again, and even some mid-2021 hits resurging. Year-end playlists?

I think it's new years eve/new years playlists. Spotify's chart runs 1am-1am GMT which is 8pm-8pm USA (east coast). So the above would be 8pm December 31st - 8pm January 1st in the US.

[sheardbeard]

Jan 2, 2022 11:53:57 GMT -5 gikem said:

I believe this is the first time Cold Heart has entered the US Spotify top 10. With radio regaining after the holidays, it should be a solid bet to *finally* crack the Hot 100 top 10 this week.

Been waiting dang near 5 months since this song was released for Elton John to get his 28th Hot 100 top 10! Hope this is the week it finally happens! (And yes, I know… “Cold Heart” technically isn’t a ‘new’ recording of his… but he IS credited as co-lead artist, and it’s on HIS album… so a top 10 song with his name on it is a top 10, regardless.)

[fridayteenage]

Jan 2, 2022 12:42:59 GMT -5 spiritboy said:

Some Taylor stans trying to come for Adele's success is funny to see. I'm sure they were happy when radio spammed TS songs during 1989 but when radio supports another female, they complain about it. :kii:

I'm glad you brought that up to see if it's commensurate, rather than just to attack/troll while missing the point I assume.

Shake it Off:
4 weeks #1 sales
2 weeks #1 streams
= 4 weeks #1

Blank Space
7 weeks #1 sales
7 weeks #1 streams
= 7 weeks #1

Bad Blood
5 weeks #1 sales
= 1 week #1

Ratios:
Bad Blood 5:1 = 5
Blank Space 14:7 = 2
Shake it Off 6:4, = 1.5

Easy on Me
5 weeks #1 streams
2 weeks #1 sales
= 7 weeks #1 so far
Ratio 1:1 = 1

[spiritboy]

You are the one who is attacking childishly every artist that is not Taylor Swift. Grow up, many hugely successful female artists can co-exist you know.

[Groovy]

[NeRD]

Releasing on a Monday? Or would be an announcement for a Friday release?

[phieaglesfan712]

Just like TMB, I think we will see a preview tomorrow, and the album will drop on Friday.

[Baby Yoda Hot100Fan]

Most songs gained on the update. Several Country songs reached new radio audience peaks. Also, Easy on Me is the first song since Driver's License to reach a 120 Mediabase radio audience. Need to Know ended up with the biggest loss, which is the smallest one for the biggest loser I have noticed since I started doing them.

kworb's Billboard Radio Songs Estimates « 2022 » / « 01 » / « 02 »

1(=) Adele - Easy On Me 120.00(+5.84) +
2(=) The Kid LAROI & Justin Bieber - STAY 96.28(+1.31)
3(=) Glass Animals - Heat Waves 78.40(+0.58)
4(+1) Ed Sheeran - Shivers 72.98(+0.98) 41 12
5(-1) Doja Cat - Need To Know 72.90(-0.28)
6(=) Ed Sheeran - Bad Habits 66.95(+2.42)3
7(=) Elton John & Dua Lipa - Cold Heart (PNAU Remix) 63.65(+1.92)
8(=) Lil Nas X & Jack Harlow - INDUSTRY BABY 61.43(+0.33)
9(=) Bruno Mars, Anderson .Paak & Silk Sonic - Smokin Out The Window 61.11(+1.02)
10(=) Lil Nas X - Thats What I Want 53.61(+0.70)

12(+2) Dua Lipa - Levitating (feat. DaBaby) 48.82(+2.83)

15(=) Dustin Lynch - Thinking 'Bout You (feat. MacKenzie Porter) 44.81(+3.35)

16(+2) Michael Ray - Whiskey And Rain 41.88(+3.29)

18(+2) Chris Stapleton - You Should Probably Leave 40.69(+3.55)

23(+3) The Weeknd - Save Your Tears 37.56(+2.69)

26(+3) Jon Pardi - Tequila Little Time 36.05(+2.96)

34(+4) Jimmie Allen & Brad Paisley - Freedom Was A Highway 31.88(+2.96)

35(+2) Zac Brown Band - Same Boat 31.58(+2.39)

38(+2) Morgan Wallen - Sand In My Boots 29.85(+2.55)

40(+3) Kane Brown - One Mississippi 28.17(+2.47)

46(+2) Kelsea Ballerini - Half Of My Hometown f/KChesney 25.38(+2.31)

50(+6) Parker Mccollum - To Be Loved By You 23.52(+2.26)

57(+1) Eric Church - Heart On Fire 21.43(+1.88)

64(+4)Sam Hunt - 23 19.30(+1.69)

74(+2) Russell Dickerson - Home Sweet 17.22(+1.54)

82(+5) Blake Shelton - Come Back As A Country Boy 15.57(+1.54)

[degen]

There’s barely any competition on the charts right now, so The Weeknd is going for an easy #1 reach on both the Hot 100 and album charts (assuming the releases are on Friday). However I am concerned because “Take My Breath” was met with mild reception after it was hyped up to feel like a lead single. Dropping everything at once will probably only result in one hit this era, unless he’s got surprises like remixes or special guests on the album.

He has dropped so much content these last 2 years, I just worry this might feel like too much and too soon.

[NeRD]

I don't think a #1 debut for The Weeknd is a given at this point.

[Baby Yoda Hot100Fan]

[gikem]

Jan 2, 2022 19:12:54 GMT -5 Baby Yoda Hot100Fan said:

Most songs gained on the update. Several Country songs reached new radio audience peaks. Also, Easy on Me is the first song since Driver's License to reach a 120 Mediabase radio audience. Need to Know ended up with the biggest loss, which is the smallest one for the biggest loser I have noticed since I started doing them.

It should be noted that DL reached this threshold prior to the last big Mediabase recalibration that occurred in April of last year.

[atg]

Keep in mind when TMB was released, SYT was still going strong and even BL was still on the charts. I’m sure all of that has died down now 5 months later but at this point its definitely hit or miss. I know all of us might be tired of him featuring on everything and them underperforming but he doesn’t do that well in longevity of his featured content (with the exception of You Right, Love Me Harder and Low Life), but he might be fine in the long run.

A good example of this is his career in 2019, he featured on random songs and they all didn’t do well and people were quick to jump to conclusions and say his career was over, then Heartless got released and people still weren’t convinced as it didn’t stay too long in the top 10. But then Blinding Lights did a 180 and literally became the biggest hit of all time, therefore proving people wrong of course. For this upcoming era, it’s different as AH lasted way longer than all of his eras and the fact that he’s following the same era that has the biggest song could potentially hurt him. TMB was just released at the wrong time, but i think it’s justifiable if he releases something right now (After Hours is almost 2 years old already).

[Rose "Payola" Nylund]

I don’t even care if he’s ovwesaturated. I’m glad for new Weeknd era and hope it can shake things up a bit.

[pancakes]

It does feel like the charts are stale since Adele’s release. Rooting for Heat Waves to top the charts when they are weak right now.

[Limited Edition]

If The Weeknd doesn't switch his sound in this era, I'm afraid it will flop. He said The Dawn will be a continuation of After Hours, so I don't have high expectations in terms of commercial success. Actually, I don't have high quality expectations either considering his recent songs feel like After Hours leftovers. Happy to be proven wrong.

[JukeboxJacob]

I've been saying it for a while now, the GP is sick of his 80's throwback sound

[Envoirment]

I'm not sure what to make of The Weeknd's success chances given what happened to "Take My Breath". Although if he drops the entire album I can see it streaming really well.

I'm really hoping Adele can manage 10 weeks at #1 though.

[magik]

The Weeknd should easily dethrone Adele on Billboard 200, but it gets a little tricky with the Hot 100. If he drops the album all at once with no lead single, then the numbers amongst the tracks will probably be more spread out. Unless, of course, he releases an accompanying video.

[atg]

Jan 2, 2022 21:03:33 GMT -5 magik said:

The Weeknd should easily dethrone Adele on Billboard 200, but it gets a little tricky with the Hot 100. If he drops the album all at once with no lead single, then the numbers amongst the tracks will probably be more spread out. Unless, of course, he releases an accompanying video.

He has never dropped an album outside of the start of the tracking week although he makes every era unique and different.

I think the Lead Single-2nd Single-Promo Single-Album Drop-Post Album Single format is the best thing for him instead of dropping the project all at once. We’ve seen a textbook example of that with MDM even though if that was just an EP, but still there was barely any longevity charts wise besides the 20 weeks COMN had and it then just faded away in people’s heads. I just don’t want him to drop the entire thing, especially in the middle of the week and then it not aging well. If TMB is on The Dawn, then dropping a 2nd single would be the best choice to gain the hype for this upcoming project and then release the entire thing on a friday where it could get maximum exposure and last longer in the test of time.