HITS: #1 Rod Wave 120K; #3 Megan 66K

[iHype.]

hitsdailydouble.com/news&id=332573&title=NEW-RELEASES%253A-IN-ROD-WE-TRUST

Mosco's Alamo hits another homerun with Rod Wave, who will easily open at #1 next week with his fourth studio album, Beautiful Mind. After one day of sales and streams, we’re projecting a first week opening of 120-140k with audio streams exceeding 150m.

Megan Thee Stallion will have the next top debut with Traumazine, which fulfills her deal with 1501 Certified. What's next for the Roc Nation-repped rap star as she entertains a new recording contract?

As for new singles, Republic's Nicki Minaj has the biggest new track at Spotify U.S. with "Super Freaky Girl." The track is also Top 20 at Apple Music.

Projections:
Rod Wave (Alamo) 120-140k
Megan Thee Stallion (Atlantic) 40-50k

[musicspy]

Ouch for Megan, I hope she trends upwards

[Choco]

Ouch Meg.

[Baby Yoda Hot100Fan]

TOP 20: RIDING THE WAVE

Tuesday, August 16, 2022

Rod Wave’s Beautiful Mind (Alamo) debuts at #1 this week as Megan Thee Stallion’s Traumazine (Atlantic) opens Top 5.

In addition to the top slot, Sony will have the Top 3 albums on the chart this week—including Bad Bunny’s Un Verano Sin Ti (Rimas) at #2 and Beyoncé’s RENAISSANCE (Parkwood/Columbia) at #3—and five of the Top 10 with Harry Styles’ Harry’s House (Columbia) and Future’s I NEVER LIKED YOU (Freebandz/Epic) at #7 and #8, respectively.

Now if you’ll excuse us, we’re late for happy hour.

[mms82]

tight race to see if Morgan Wallen can get another week in the top 5

[areyoureadytojump]

Bad Bunny over 100k again.

[kimberly]

are Harry's House and RENAISSANCE racing for #1 on Top Album Sales with 8,900 and 8,800 copies? 

[Baby Yoda Hot100Fan]

Bad Bunny's album will surpass 2 million SPS this week.

[HolidayGuy]

kimberly- unless another album sells more than that and is not projected to make the overall top 20?

[fridayteenage]

Aug 16, 2022 18:08:42 GMT -5 kimberly said:

are Harry's House and RENAISSANCE racing for #1 on Top Album Sales with 8,900 and 8,800 copies? 

apparently sour topped last year with 10k.

[Baby Yoda Hot100Fan]

^Correct. For the July 17, 2021 dated chart.

[strongerq]

hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming

LW	TW	Artist	Title	Label	Total	Change	Albums	TEA	SEA
--	1	ROD WAVE	BEAUTIFUL MIND	ALAMO (SME)	120,439	--	2,350	339	117,751
2	2	BAD BUNNY	UN VERANO SIN TI	RIMAS (THE ORCHARD)	107,379	-3%	3,089	573	103,716
--	3	MEGAN THEE STALLION	TRAUMAZINE	ATLANTIC (WMG)	66,444	--	10,333	950	55,160
3	4	BEYONCE	RENAISSANCE	PARKWOOD/COLUMBIA (SME)	62,639	-30%	7,478	1,210	53,950
1	5	YOUNGBOY NEVER BROKE AGAIN	THE LAST SLIMETO	NEVER BROKE AGAIN/ATLANTIC (WMG)	51,227	-55%	993	87	50,146
4	6	MORGAN WALLEN	DANGEROUS: THE DOUBLE ALBUM	BIG LOUD/REPUBLIC (UMG)	48,782	0%	930	812	47,040
6	7	HARRY STYLES	HARRY'S HOUSE	COLUMBIA (SME)	42,257	-2%	9,877	802	31,578
8	8	THE WEEKND	THE HIGHLIGHTS	XO/REPUBLIC (UMG)	26,945	-3%	836	330	25,779
7	9	FUTURE	I NEVER LIKED YOU	FREEBANDZ/EPIC (SME)	26,781	-8%	71	111	26,599
--	10	THE GAME	DRILLMATIC HEART VS. MIND	100 ENTERTAINMENT (TUNECORE)	24,959	--	3,386	318	21,255
12	11	OLIVIA RODRIGO	SOUR	GEFFEN (UMG)	24,381	1%	5,339	141	18,901
9	12	DRAKE	HONESTLY, NEVERMIND	OVO/REPUBLIC (UMG)	24,115	-11%	147	192	23,776
10	13	STEVE LACY	GEMINI RIGHTS	L-M/RCA (SME)	24,070	0%	77	136	23,858
5	14	EMINEM	CURTAIN CALL 2	SHADY/AFTERMATH/INTERSCOPE (UMG)	23,021	-49%	3,736	350	18,936
13	15	ZACH BRYAN	AMERICAN HEARTBREAK	WARNER (WMG)	22,389	-5%	548	322	21,519
11	16	LIL DURK	7220	ALAMO (SME)	22,318	-8%	22	91	22,205
14	17	POST MALONE	TWELVE CARAT TOOTHACHE	MERCURY/REPUBLIC (UMG)	20,782	-7%	882	462	19,439
16	18	DRAKE	CERTIFIED LOVER BOY	OVO/REPUBLIC (UMG)	20,632	-3%	28	58	20,546
17	19	KENDRICK LAMAR	MR. MORALE & THE BIG STEPPERS	PGLANG/TDE/AFTERMATH/INTERSCOPE (UMG)	18,961	-6%	1,384	70	17,508
19	20	LUKE COMBS	GROWIN' UP	RIVER HOUSE/COLUMBIA NASHVILLE (SME)	18,721	-6%	1,566	527	16,628
22	21	DOJA CAT	PLANET HER	KEMOSABE/RCA (SME)	18,443	-1%	628	184	17,631
20	22	NARDO WICK	WHO IS NARDO WICK?	FLAWLESS/RCA (SME)	18,310	-6%	25	51	18,235
23	23	LIL BABY	MY TURN	QUALITY CONTROL/MOTOWN (UMG)	17,716	-2%	51	36	17,629
15	24	SUICIDEBOYS	SING ME A LULLABY, MY SWEET TEMPTATION	G59 (THE ORCHARD)	17,329	-20%	730	36	16,563
25	25	POST MALONE	HOLLYWOOD'S BLEEDING	REPUBLIC (UMG)	16,955	-3%	791	185	15,979
21	26	LIZZO	SPECIAL	NICE LIFE/ATLANTIC (WMG)	16,832	-13%	4,407	765	11,660
32	27	THE WEEKND	STARBOY	XO/REPUBLIC (UMG)	16,253	0%	1,234	76	14,943
31	28	QUEEN	GREATEST HITS 1	HOLLYWOOD (UMG)	16,150	-1%	2,457	429	13,264
29	29	BRENT FAIYAZ	WASTELAND	LOST KIDS/VENICE (STEM)	16,077	-4%	88	38	15,952
28	30	MORGAN WALLEN	IF I KNOW ME	BIG LOUD (STEM)	16,058	-4%	359	219	15,479
33	31	LUKE COMBS	THIS ONE'S FOR YOU	RIVER HOUSE/COLUMBIA NASHVILLE (SME)	15,463	-5%	637	195	14,631
35	32	BAD BUNNY	YHLQMDLG	RIMAS (THE ORCHARD)	15,219	1%	89	38	15,092
39	33	FLEETWOOD MAC	RUMOURS	WARNER (WMG)	15,196	5%	4,059	254	10,883
34	34	LUKE COMBS	WHAT YOU SEE IS WHAT YOU GET	RIVER HOUSE/COLUMBIA NASHVILLE (SME)	15,159	-5%	488	250	14,421
26	35	CHRIS BROWN	BREEZY	RCA (SME)	14,968	-12%	141	140	14,687
41	36	POP SMOKE	SHOOT FOR THE STARS AIM FOR THE MOON	VICTOR VICTOR/REPUBLIC (UMG)	14,601	2%	142	55	14,403
36	37	ELTON JOHN	DIAMONDS	ISLAND (UMG)	14,589	-2%	1,131	443	13,015
44	38	KENDRICK LAMAR	GOOD KID M.A.A.D CITY	TDE/AFTERMATH/INTERSCOPE (UMG)	14,578	6%	2,821	40	11,716
49	39	ED SHEERAN	=	ATLANTIC (WMG)	14,546	12%	567	469	13,510
30	40	JUICE WRLD	GOODBYE & GOOD RIDDANCE	GRADE A/INTERSCOPE (UMG)	14,510	-12%	310	31	14,168
38	41	ENCANTO	SOUNDTRACK	WALT DISNEY (UMG)	14,446	-1%	1,021	170	13,256
--	42	ELVIS PRESLEY	ELVIS 30 NO. 1 HITS	RCA (SME)	14,312	--	1,685	851	11,777
42	43	IMAGINE DRAGONS	MERCURY - ACTS 1 & 2	KIDINAKORNER/INTERSCOPE (UMG)	14,208	0%	1,306	550	12,352
27	44	ENHYPEN	MANIFESTO : DAY 1	BELIFT LAB/GEFFEN (ISOLATION/INGROOVES)	13,988	-18%	13,206	8	774
43	45	TAYLOR SWIFT	FOLKLORE	REPUBLIC (UMG)	13,799	-2%	1,555	111	12,133
40	46	THE WEEKND	DAWN FM	XO/REPUBLIC (UMG)	13,554	-7%	1,974	92	11,488
45	47	THE KID LAROI	F*CK LOVE	COLUMBIA (SME)	13,427	0%	18	98	13,312
46	48	JUICE WRLD	LEGENDS NEVER DIE	GRADE A/INTERSCOPE (UMG)	13,287	0%	300	33	12,954
37	49	JACK HARLOW	COME HOME THE KIDS MISS YOU	GENERATION NOW/ATLANTIC (WMG)	13,255	-11%	176	222	12,857
47	50	TAYLOR SWIFT	LOVER	REPUBLIC (UMG)	13,250	0%	1,855	101	11,293

[Choco]

That's actually OK for Megan. If she somehow gets a hit this is an OK result as she moves out of that label.

[areyoureadytojump]

This looks to include the chart above and pre-release SPS.

2022 YTD:

hitsdailydouble.com/ytd_project_activity

Chart Date: 08/19/2022 (WEEK ENDING: 08/18/2022)

RANK ARTIST | TITLE | LABEL YTD ACTIVITY

1 BAD BUNNY | UN VERANO SIN TI RIMAS (THE ORCHARD) 2,025,000
2 ENCANTO | SOUNDTRACK WALT DISNEY (UMG) 1,624,000
3 MORGAN WALLEN | DANGEROUS: THE DOUBLE ALBUM BIG LOUD/REPUBLIC (UMG) 1,560,000
4 HARRY STYLES | HARRY'S HOUSE COLUMBIA (SME) 1,519,000
5 THE WEEKND | THE HIGHLIGHTS XO/REPUBLIC (UMG) 1,118,000
6 OLIVIA RODRIGO | SOUR GEFFEN (UMG) 1,048,000
7 FUTURE | I NEVER LIKED YOU FREEBANDZ/EPIC (SME) 1,042,000
8 LIL DURK | 7220 ALAMO (SME) 1,039,000
9 GUNNA | DS4EVER YOUNG STONER LIFE/ELEKTRA (WMG) 1,012,000
10 DRAKE | CERTIFIED LOVER BOY OVO/REPUBLIC (UMG) 943,000

11 DOJA CAT | PLANET HER KEMOSABE/RCA (SME) 925,000
12 THE WEEKND | DAWN FM XO/REPUBLIC (UMG) 840,000
13 KENDRICK LAMAR | MR. MORALE & THE BIG STEPPERS PGLANG/TDE/AFTERMATH/INTERSCOPE (UMG) 822,000
14 BTS | PROOF BIGHIT/GEFFEN (UMG) 768,000
15 ED SHEERAN | = ATLANTIC (WMG) 694,000
16 LIL BABY | MY TURN QUALITY CONTROL/MOTOWN (UMG) 660,000
17 JACK HARLOW | COME HOME THE KIDS MISS YOU GENERATION NOW/ATLANTIC (WMG) 633,000
18 ADELE | 30 COLUMBIA (SME) 630,000
19 TAYLOR SWIFT | RED (TAYLOR'S VERSION) REPUBLIC (UMG) 614,000
20 JUICE WRLD | FIGHTING DEMONS GRADE A/INTERSCOPE (UMG) 610,000

21 POST MALONE | HOLLYWOOD'S BLEEDING REPUBLIC (UMG) 595,000
22 LUKE COMBS | WHAT YOU SEE IS WHAT YOU GET RIVER HOUSE/COLUMBIA NASHVILLE (SME) 584,000
23 KENDRICK LAMAR | GOOD KID M.A.A.D CITY TDE/AFTERMATH/INTERSCOPE (UMG) 579,000
24 POP SMOKE | SHOOT FOR THE STARS AIM FOR THE MOON VICTOR VICTOR/REPUBLIC (UMG) 570,000
25 THE KID LAROI | F*CK LOVE COLUMBIA (SME) 563,000
26 JUICE WRLD | GOODBYE & GOOD RIDDANCE GRADE A/INTERSCOPE (UMG) 560,000
27 KODAK BLACK | BACK FOR EVERYTHING ATLANTIC (WMG) 557,000
28 FLEETWOOD MAC | RUMOURS WARNER (WMG) 554,000
29 BILLIE EILISH | HAPPIER THAN EVER DARKROOM/INTERSCOPE (UMG) 549,000
30 EMINEM | CURTAIN CALL 2 SHADY/AFTERMATH/INTERSCOPE (UMG) 546,000

31 BAD BUNNY | YHLQMDLG RIMAS (THE ORCHARD) 544,000
32 LUKE COMBS | THIS ONE'S FOR YOU RIVER HOUSE/COLUMBIA NASHVILLE (SME) 540,000
33 POST MALONE | TWELVE CARAT TOOTHACHE MERCURY/REPUBLIC (UMG) 540,000
34 POLO G | HALL OF FAME COLUMBIA (SME) 539,000
35 DUA LIPA | FUTURE NOSTALGIA WARNER (WMG) 538,000
36 BEYONCE | RENAISSANCE PARKWOOD/COLUMBIA (SME) 536,000
37 QUEEN | GREATEST HITS 1 HOLLYWOOD (UMG) 535,000
38 MORGAN WALLEN | IF I KNOW ME BIG LOUD (STEM) 522,000
39 JUSTIN BIEBER | JUSTICE RBMG/DEF JAM (UMG) 521,000
40 DRAKE | HONESTLY, NEVERMIND OVO/REPUBLIC (UMG) 521,000

41 JUICE WRLD | LEGENDS NEVER DIE GRADE A/INTERSCOPE (UMG) 499,000
42 HARRY STYLES | FINE LINE COLUMBIA (SME) 499,000
43 ELTON JOHN | DIAMONDS ISLAND (UMG) 487,000
44 ROD WAVE | SOULFLY ALAMO (SME) 481,000
45 ZACH BRYAN | AMERICAN HEARTBREAK WARNER (WMG) 474,000
46 LIL NAS X | MONTERO COLUMBIA (SME) 470,000
47 EMINEM | CURTAIN CALL SHADY/AFTERMATH/INTERSCOPE (UMG)460,000
48 KENDRICK LAMAR | DAMN. TDE/AFTERMATH/INTERSCOPE (UMG) 450,000
49 NARDO WICK | WHO IS NARDO WICK? FLAWLESS/RCA (SME) 446,000
50 KANYE WEST | DONDA G.O.O.D./DEF JAM (UMG) 446,000

[Glove Slap]

I'm surprised Lizzo is so low already given how much press she's been getting and how big of a hit she has.

[Push The Button]

Morgan Wallen almost being #2 with an album from Q1 2021.

[fridayteenage]

Aug 19, 2022 15:51:56 GMT -5 Glove Slap said:

I'm surprised Lizzo is so low already given how much press she's been getting and how big of a hit she has.

i mean...the single peaked #8 in streaming

[Baby Yoda Hot100Fan]

^Not only that, but the album itself has among the lowest SEAs for an album in HITS' top 50. Probably not surprising, given that it fell to #44 in the US weekly Spotify chart.

[85la]

Aug 19, 2022 17:42:46 GMT -5 Push The Button said:

Morgan Wallen almost being #2 with an album from Q1 2021.

His streak is unprecedented for a country or any artist, for better or worse.

Nice to see Megan perform a little better than expected, though I still haven't listened to the album yet.

Also not a terrible 3rd week hold for Beyonce!

[Envoirment]

Aug 19, 2022 15:51:56 GMT -5 Glove Slap said:

I'm surprised Lizzo is so low already given how much press she's been getting and how big of a hit she has.

I'm the opposite. I'm happy it's hanging on as well as it is. "About Damn Time" doesn't have large enough streaming numbers to keep the album very high and the album's overall streaming has dropped quite a bit. Hopefully the album will start climbing with the second single being pushed now.

Nice to see Megan trending up throughout the week. A solid debut for her and hopefully she'll have a number of successful singles on Urban/Rhythmic radio to help keep the album afloat for a while.

[Choco]

Not what anyone expected for Adele back during release.

Lizzo's album will live or die by the hits. The album itself isn't moving many copies. The 2nd single is off to an OK start.

[kimberly]

Aug 20, 2022 16:08:07 GMT -5 Choco said:

Not what anyone expected for Adele back during release.

I said RED (TAYLOR'S VERSION) would be tough competition for Adele and some people acted like I was insane... they opened with similar enough numbers, and now RED is surely surpassing it soon on the Year-End considering it's currently 80 spots higher on the Billboard 200 (No. 58 vs No. 138).

Aug 19, 2022 15:47:40 GMT -5 areyoureadytojump said:

2022 YTD:

18 ADELE | 30 COLUMBIA (SME) 630,000
19 TAYLOR SWIFT | RED (TAYLOR'S VERSION) REPUBLIC (UMG) 614,000

[HolidayGuy]

The bulk of Adele's activity happened in 2021- and with mediocre fanfare for the second single and nothing thereafter, her name alone can only do so much to keep the album afloat. Plus, all of the 30 vinyls were instantly available upon the album's release, so nothing later on to boost the album back up the charts.

[iHype.]

Even considering 2021 though, the lifetime numbers of Adele’s album are pretty disappointing imo.

The album total SPS has still not surpassed 25’s first week. The album is already out the top 100, so it’ll take years to even match the first week at this point.

Historically, any album that couldn’t pass the prior album’s opening week with its total sales would be seen as a hardcore decline.

[kimberly]

Aug 20, 2022 16:47:53 GMT -5 HolidayGuy said:

The bulk of Adele's activity happened in 2021- and with mediocre fanfare for the second single and nothing thereafter, her name alone can only do so much to keep the album afloat. Plus, all of the 30 vinyls were instantly available upon the album's release, so nothing later on to boost the album back up the charts.

well, all of this applies to RED, too, which was supposed to come out the same week as 30 until Taylor decided to move the release up a week. so based on how some people reacted when I said RED would challenge for the top against Adele, you would expect Adele to be selling much better in 2022 — especially considering "Easy On Me" was still #1 on the Hot 100 in January.

[Music Fan]

Aug 20, 2022 16:53:03 GMT -5 iHype. said:

Even considering 2021 though, the lifetime numbers of Adele’s album are pretty disappointing imo.

The album total SPS has still not surpassed 25’s first week. The album is already out the top 100, so it’ll take years to even match the first week at this point.

Historically, any album that couldn’t pass the prior album’s opening week with its total sales would be seen as a hardcore decline.

I mean Adele stopped at single 2 (which was never promoted except for a video). So, assuming there is a third single (and maybe a fourth) there's a possibility it can stay back afloat in the Top 50 for half a year or so. Of course, this is all hypothetical.

[HolidayGuy]

kimberly- Taylor Swift is an anomaly, so why compare? I don't think Adele has a hardcore fanbase akin to the Swifites. :)

iHype- it's definitely a notable decline, though with circumstances, for sure. Especially given how album sales have come down since the release of 25. And, let's face it- that's where her biggest strength was.

[Choco]

Adele is just as much of a sales anomaly as Taylor Swift imo.

I don't think people have to use the "she stopped at two singles card" when that's her and her team's fault. If she had promoted more, sure, it still wouldn't have matched 25 but it wouldn't be out of the top 10 YTD chart already and trending downward.

There's an I Drink Wine video on the vault, but other than that there's not a lot of promo lined up aside from the residency.

[kimberly]

Aug 20, 2022 17:28:39 GMT -5 HolidayGuy said:

kimberly- Taylor Swift is an anomaly, so why compare? I don't think Adele has a hardcore fanbase akin to the Swifites.

my initial comment is based on a personal anecdote of how people called it b.s. when I said "Taylor didn't necessarily have to move her album release, she would have challenged for #1 against 30" 

30's whole run so far is one of the greatest underperformances in recent memory, regardless of that comparison. I'm really curious to see how her next album will perform — if there even is a next album, that is. Her heart doesn't seem to be in it anymore and she's not managed to outsell 25's first week in 9 months, so why bother?

[Choco]

One of the funniest karma moments I've seen on Pulse is people writing in blood that there was no way it was opening under 1 million. I recall reading quite a few heated answers when someone suggested 800k range was more in line with the terrible shape of sales.

Adele ain't alone on the underperformance train either. From that list I'd say Ed Sheeran, The Weeknd, Post Malone and even Kendrick Lamar could use a boost for their next release.