85la
3x Platinum Member
Joined: July 2007
Posts: 3,921 
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Post by 85la on Jul 30, 2023 23:31:22 GMT -5
1a. D
1b. D
2. No
3. Yes
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khan
Platinum Member
Joined: July 2020
Posts: 1,107
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Post by khan on Jul 31, 2023 12:12:22 GMT -5
1a. D - Even before the weird fanbase controversy, Doja never had super high debuts.
1b. E - Kinda by default.
2. No - Will the evil ever be defeated?
3. Yes - Growth is slowing, but it's still growing.
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neogale
Charting
Joined: January 2023
Posts: 196
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Post by neogale on Jul 31, 2023 18:26:21 GMT -5
Q1a: D
Q1b: C
Q2: No
Q3: No
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annoymous1
7x Platinum Member
Joined: December 2017
Posts: 7,192 
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Post by annoymous1 on Aug 1, 2023 0:42:17 GMT -5
1a. E
1b. E
2. No
3. Yes
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Post by Rose "Payola" Nylund on Aug 1, 2023 8:38:43 GMT -5
Q1: Doja Cat
a) Where will “Paint The Town Red” debut? (8/19 Chart)
D: #11-20
b) How many weeks will “Paint The Town Red” spend in the Top 10? (8/19-12/30 Chart)
E: 0 Weeks
Q2: Olivia
Will Olivia’s next single* debut at #1? (Thru 12/30 Chart)
no
Q3: Snooze Top 10
Will SZA’s “Snooze” peak in the Top 10 on the Hot 100? (By 12/30 Chart)
no
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enwhy
Gold Member
Joined: January 2021
Posts: 642
Pronouns: he/him
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Post by enwhy on Aug 3, 2023 8:30:31 GMT -5
1a. C: #6-10 - I'm predicting a stronger debut for doja than most in this thread. I think with a poppier single and a strong radio push, she could crack the top 10.
1b. C: 5-9 weeks
2. Yes - Wow basically all nos for this one? I think it's less of a sure thing than her lead was, but idk if I would bet against her.
3. Yes - Still gaining on radio... should sneak in at some point
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joshtheking
Platinum Member
Joined: April 2020
Posts: 1,569
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Post by joshtheking on Aug 3, 2023 14:22:33 GMT -5
1a. E
1b. E
2. Yes
3. Yes
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ephelia
Charting
Joined: February 2022
Posts: 313
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Post by ephelia on Aug 3, 2023 19:07:32 GMT -5
Q1: Doja Cat
a) E: Outside the Top 20
b) E: 0 Weeks
Q2: Olivia
Yes
Q3: Snooze Top 10
No
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rainie
8x Platinum Member
the future disappears into memory
Joined: February 2016
Posts: 8,787
Pronouns: they / them
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Post by rainie on Aug 3, 2023 23:02:17 GMT -5
1. d, d
2. nope
3. sure
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Post by Baby Yoda Hot100Fan on Aug 4, 2023 0:29:04 GMT -5
1a. C
1b. D
2. Yes
3. No
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neel
Gold Member
Joined: February 2023
Posts: 570
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Post by neel on Aug 4, 2023 10:27:19 GMT -5
shit I forgot this week.
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enwhy
Gold Member
Joined: January 2021
Posts: 642
Pronouns: he/him
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Post by enwhy on Aug 4, 2023 13:03:50 GMT -5
you're free to send in predictions still for Olivia and Snooze since there have been no significant developments on either since midnight |
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enwhy
Gold Member
Joined: January 2021
Posts: 642
Pronouns: he/him
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Post by enwhy on Aug 8, 2023 22:45:23 GMT -5
This week's questions (Deadline Thu, Aug 10)Sorry about the late questions this week! Q1: bad idea right?Olivia’s new single “bad idea right?” will be here this Friday. Last week, the majority of you answered that you don’t think she will debut at #1. This week, I want to get your thoughts on how many streams this will open with. As a refresher: Driver’s License - 76.1M Deja Vu - 20.3M Good 4 U - 43.2M Vampire - 35.5M How many streams will “bad idea right?” open with? (8/26 Chart)
A: 40M+
B: 35 - 39.9M
C: 30 - 34.9M
D: 25 - 30.9M
E: Under 25MQ2: VBTS’s V will be releasing 2 lead singles from his debut solo album this Friday. “Love Me Again” and “Rainy Days” will each have a music video. With the success of Jungkook and Jimin on the charts this year, BTS is still causing mayhem on the charts, even in hiatus. a) Where will the top-charting V song debut on the Hot 100? (8/26 Chart)
A: #1
B: #2 - 5
C: #6 - 10
D: #11 - 40
E: Below Top 40b) How many digital sales will the top selling V song open with? (8/26 Chart)*
A: 200k+
B: 150 - 199k
C: 100 - 149k
D: 50 - 99k
E: 0 - 49k*If this isn’t published, I will use the final estimate from @lippredictsQ3: For All The DogsDrake’s “For All The Dogs” is maybe-probably coming this Friday? He said it was “2 weeks ago or some shit” at a concert a couple weeks ago, leading a few rappers to push their album releases back, but it’s been radio silence since. If or when he releases, we’ve pretty thoroughly covered his Hot 100 performance. But what about the Album chart? Scorpion - 732k Certified Lover Boy - 613k Honestly, Nevermind - 204k Her Loss - 404k How many units will Drake’s next album open with? (By 12/30 Chart) - Please round answer to the nearest 100k, i.e. 300k, 400k,...
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jasper0102
2x Platinum Member
I CAN GET BY THE DAYS JUST FINE BUT THE NIGHTS
Joined: May 2022
Posts: 2,846
Pronouns: he/him
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Post by jasper0102 on Aug 8, 2023 23:25:08 GMT -5
1. C
2a. A
2b. B
3. 400k
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greggpo
Charting
Joined: May 2013
Posts: 390
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Post by greggpo on Aug 8, 2023 23:28:06 GMT -5
Bad Idea Right?
1. D
V (Not as popular as JUNGKOOK or JIMIN) Edit: Most of his sales will be for his Physical album, which will be at a latter date.
2a. D
2b. E (Apox 40K)
Drake
3. 500K
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neogale
Charting
Joined: January 2023
Posts: 196
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Post by neogale on Aug 9, 2023 0:35:37 GMT -5
Q1: D
Q2a: B
Q2b: B
Q3: 500k
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atg
3x Platinum Member
Joined: April 2016
Posts: 3,004
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Post by atg on Aug 9, 2023 1:31:11 GMT -5
1. D (Idk what’s in the air for the charts in 2023 but its causing mostly all big name artists to drastically underperform compared to what we know they’re capable of so its better to be safe and aim low).
2a. D
2b. E
3. 500k (all his projects that are actual proper studio albums and are to his usual sound tend to do the best numbers for him but he is on the decline so this seems like a safe estimate for this).
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1^∞
Charting
Joined: April 2018
Posts: 297
Pronouns: it/she
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Post by 1^∞ on Aug 9, 2023 2:46:02 GMT -5
1. E
2a. A (please please please please)
2b. C
3. 500k
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fengyu
Charting
Joined: August 2020
Posts: 290
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Post by fengyu on Aug 9, 2023 5:13:25 GMT -5
Q1: bad idea right?
How many streams will “bad idea right?” open with? (8/26 Chart)
D: 25 - 30.9M
Q2: V
BTS’s V will be releasing 2 lead singles from his debut solo album this Friday. “Love Me Again” and “Rainy Days” will each have a music video. With the success of Jungkook and Jimin on the charts this year, BTS is still causing mayhem on the charts, even in hiatus.
a) Where will the top-charting V song debut on the Hot 100? (8/26 Chart)
A: #1
b) How many digital sales will the top selling V song open with? (8/26 Chart)*
A: 200k+
Q3: For All The Dogs
How many units will Drake’s next album open with? (By 12/30 Chart)
600k
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mms82
Platinum Member
...
Joined: January 2019
Posts: 1,284
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Post by mms82 on Aug 9, 2023 5:36:59 GMT -5
1. E
2. D
2. D
3. 600k
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Post by imbuemyblue on Aug 9, 2023 6:32:42 GMT -5
1) D
2) D
3) D
4) 600K
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rnb
2x Platinum Member
Joined: December 2022
Posts: 2,682
Pronouns: he/him
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Post by rnb on Aug 9, 2023 6:59:05 GMT -5
1. d
2a. d
2b. d
3. 500k
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renfield75
Platinum Member
Joined: February 2009
Posts: 1,644
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Post by renfield75 on Aug 9, 2023 10:00:07 GMT -5
1.D
2a.D
2b.D
3.500k
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joshtheking
Platinum Member
Joined: April 2020
Posts: 1,569
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Post by joshtheking on Aug 9, 2023 13:21:39 GMT -5
1. E
2a. D
2b. D
3. 400K
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Post by Rose "Payola" Nylund on Aug 9, 2023 20:31:10 GMT -5
Q1: bad idea right?
How many streams will “bad idea right?” open with? (8/26 Chart)
D: 25 - 30.9M
Q2: V
BTS’s V will be releasing 2 lead singles from his debut solo album this Friday. “Love Me Again” and “Rainy Days” will each have a music video. With the success of Jungkook and Jimin on the charts this year, BTS is still causing mayhem on the charts, even in hiatus.
a) Where will the top-charting V song debut on the Hot 100? (8/26 Chart)
C: #6 - 10
b) How many digital sales will the top selling V song open with? (8/26 Chart)*
A: 200k+
Q3: For All The Dogs
How many units will Drake’s next album open with? (By 12/30 Chart) - Please round answer to the nearest 100k, i.e. 300k, 400k,...
500k
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85la
3x Platinum Member
Joined: July 2007
Posts: 3,921
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Post by 85la on Aug 9, 2023 21:21:35 GMT -5
1. D
2a. B. As recently shown, the power of BTS should never be underestimated, however V is a less popular member, and while ARMY will probably organize to focus more on one single, the fact that he's releasing two will split the vote somewhat and prevent one from reaching #1.
2b. C
3. 500k
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rainie
8x Platinum Member
the future disappears into memory
Joined: February 2016
Posts: 8,787
Pronouns: they / them
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Post by rainie on Aug 10, 2023 1:53:23 GMT -5
1. e 2. (hot) ac  3. 600k |
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Post by After Minutes on Aug 10, 2023 3:14:53 GMT -5
1. D
2.
a) A
b) C
3. 400k, It'll do slightly weaker than Utopia but will likely score a #1
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annoymous1
7x Platinum Member
Joined: December 2017
Posts: 7,192
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Post by annoymous1 on Aug 10, 2023 9:03:13 GMT -5
1.D
2a.D
2b.D
3.400k
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khan
Platinum Member
Joined: July 2020
Posts: 1,107
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Post by khan on Aug 10, 2023 14:04:31 GMT -5
1. C
2a. A - I am not doubting BTS solo performance for the third time the year or the continued power of sales for the fourth time this year.
2b. C
3. 500k - I know big names have been underperforming this year, but they still open with huge numbers, and this album even has the benefit of weeks of hype.
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