2023 Predictors Cup - This week: 4X POINTS FINAL WEEK

[Baby Yoda Hot100Fan]

1. #6
2. #8
3. #20
4. #50
5. #10
6. #25

[enwhy]

La Bebe: #5 - Will go top 10 this week, and probably has some room to grow still on streaming
Fast Car: #19 - Already dropping on streaming, I think this has peaked
Snooze: #18 - Wow this is actually Top 40 still purely off streaming. I think the radio will be slow to pick it up, but it should be able to outdo its current peak
Jaded: #25 - PLEASE let this be big. One of my favorite songs of hers, and my easy fave off the album
Chemical: #3 - Hard to say with the streaming dropping off, but wow is radio loving this. Should manage at least a week in the top 5.
Cruel Summer: Won't chart - Sadly she's pushing Karma pretty hard right now (which is trash) so I don't think Cruel Summer will get the single treatment

[85la]

1. #7
2. #8
3. #18
4. #56
5. #6
6. #31

[Deleted]

1. 6
2. 14
3. 20
4. 27
5. 2
6. 28

[atg]

1. 6

2. 9

3. 18

4. 56

5. 3

6. 12 (only if Taylor stops playing and it charts it could make a crazy play especially during summer)

[ephelia]

1: "La Bebe" - Yng Lvcas x Peso Pluma (#17 Peak so far)
6

2: "Fast Car" - Luke Combs (#23 Peak so far)
12

3: "Snooze" - SZA (#29 Peak so far)
9

4: "Jaded" - Miley Cyrus (#56 Peak so far)
20

5: "Chemical" - Post Malone
6

6: "Cruel Summer" - Taylor Swift
Won't chart

[rainie]

1. #5
2. #7
3. #20 total shot in the dark, could see this going a lot higher or lower)
4. i'm going with #56 as the "safe" option since the odds of it flopping are higher then the odds of me correctly guessing its peak, which could honestly be anywhere at this point (that said i do think this one might actually take off, in which case i'll unofficially guess a peak of #33)
5. #4 (with a chart run similar to i like you)
6. ala jaded, im going with the "safe" pick and saying this won't chart, though especially with her focusing on karma and a new taylor's version likely coming soon i feel more confident abt this one's fate (would love to be wrong tho !)

[1^∞]

Doja didn't get credit on Kill Bill, a moment of silence for my fellow Doja voters

[enwhy]

Starting off this week with a scoreboard update!

Jan 26: Will a k-pop group or singer have a song chart in the Top 10 of the Hot 100 this year?
Jimin’s “Like Crazy” hit #1 last month before breaking the record for largest drop from #1. Still counts! A total of 10 of 21, or 48% got this one right. Congrats to 1^∞ 85la Au$tin enwhy ephelia 𝓲𝓽'𝓼.𝓰𝓿 @imhappy259 jayhawk1117 khan rainie for guessing correctly. Each wins 21 points!

Feb 02: Which song will peak the highest: “Bloody Mary” or “Players”?
Fair to say that this one is settled at this point. While this seemed like it could be close in February, “Players” peaked at #9 as the radio and streaming picked up. “Bloody Mary” on the other hand, left its streaming back in 2022, while the radio just peaked recently - Gaga will have to settle for a #41 peak on her decade-old hit. A total of 16 of 18, or 89% got this one right. Congrats to 1^∞ 85la atg Baby Yoda Hot100Fan ephelia fengyu gikem jasper0102 jayhawk1117 joshtheking kindofbiased M5AGTS mms82 renfield75 rnb Rose "Payola" Nylund for guessing correctly. Each wins 11 points!

Feb 09: Which song will ultimately have the highest Hot 100 peak: “CUFF IT” or “Escapism”?
“CUFF IT” appears to have won this battle, having achieved a peak of #6 earlier this year. “Escapism” lost a lot of its early momentum as radio picked it up slowly, leaving Raye with a #22 peak. A total of 17 of 23, or 74% got this one right. Congrats to 1^∞ 85la annoymous1 atg Au$tin Baby Yoda Hot100Fan born cowboy13 enwhy ephelia 𝓲𝓽'𝓼.𝓰𝓿 jayhawk1117 joshtheking khan kindofbiased mms82 renfield75 for guessing correctly. Each wins 14 points!

Feb 16: Will "Boy's a Liar Pt. 2" go #1 on the Hot 100 this year?
Sad about this one…Unless something really crazy happens, BAL2 will not go #1. The song has nearly fallen out of the Top 10 after its first 10 weeks, and will likely end up with a #3 peak. A total of 14 of 21, or 67% got this one right. Congrats to 1^∞ annoymous1 Baby Yoda Hot100Fan ephelia fengyu 𝓲𝓽'𝓼.𝓰𝓿 @imhappy259 jayhawk1117 joshtheking khan rainie renfield75 rnb Rose "Payola" Nylund for guessing correctly. Each wins 15 points!

Mar 16: What position will "Kill Bill" peak at?
On the bright side, SZA now has a #1 hit! “Kill Bill” reached #1 last week with the help of a Doja Cat remi. A total of 10 of 18, or 56% got this one right. Congrats to 1^∞ 85la Baby Yoda Hot100Fan enwhy @imhappy259 jasper0102 joshtheking mms82 rnb Rose "Payola" Nylund for guessing correctly. Each wins 50 points for guessing the exact peak!


Apr 06: Will SZA tie or break the record (10 weeks) for most weeks at #2 without hitting #1?
After 8 weeks at #2, “Kill Bill” rises to #1 to avoid breaking this record. A total of 16 of 18, or 89% got this one right. Congrats to 1^∞ 85la annoymous1 atg Baby Yoda Hot100Fan 💙𝖇𝖎𝖑𝖑𝖎𝖊𝖎𝖑𝖎𝖘𝖍𝖋𝖆𝖓 ephelia fengyu @imhappy259 joshtheking kindofbiased mms82 renfield75 rnb Rose "Payola" Nylund RoseColoredGirl for guessing correctly. Each wins 11 points!

Apr 20: Where on the Hot 100 will the top-charting song off SUGA’s “D-Day” debut?
All Predictions: B: 2-5 (x6) - C: 6-10 (x3) - D: 11-20 (x1) - E: 20+ (x9)
SUGA (or Agust D) debuted “Haegeum” at #58, a few weeks after Jimin’s #1 song. The BTS fandom works in mysterious ways. A total of 9 of 19, or 47% got this one right. Congrats to 1^∞ annoymous1 💙𝖇𝖎𝖑𝖑𝖎𝖊𝖎𝖑𝖎𝖘𝖍𝖋𝖆𝖓 jayhawk1117 joshtheking kindofbiased mms82 renfield75 rnb for guessing correctly. Each wins 21 points!

Apr 20: Where on the Hot 100 will “Alone” debut?
All Predictions: A: #1 (x1) - B: 2-5 (x3) - C: 6-10 (x3) - D: 11-20 (x7) - E: 20+ (x5)
“Alone” debuts at #44, just a week after Nicki’s collab with Ice Spice debuted at #4. A total of 5 of 19, or 26% got this one right. Congrats to enwhy joshtheking khan kindofbiased rainie for guessing correctly. Each wins 38 points!


Time for another 2-week update on the Pick 3 artist game!

• Grupo Frontera (Baby Yoda Hot100Fan ) breaks Morgan Wallen’s streak, earning the biggest update this week! The Mexican group debuts 3 songs, led by their collaboration with Bad Bunny, putting the group on the board with 48 points!
• Bad Bunny (khan , jasper0102 ) also has a big update. He earns another +38 points, primarily due to the success of “Un x100to.” Bad Bunny now totals 43 points!
• Morgan Wallen (rainie , renfield75 ) continues to rack up the points - he has charted more than 10 songs on the Hot 100 for 8 weeks now. Wallen increases his lead by another +34 to 579 points!
• Future (annoymous1 , joshtheking , khan , rainie , jasper0102 , Baby Yoda Hot100Fan , rnb ) & The Weeknd (khan ) each earn their first 15 points thanks to the top 40 debut of “Double Fantasy”.
• Peso Pluma (1^∞ ) earns another 14 points, bringing his total up to 19 points. He now has 3 eligible songs charting, in addition to several others which debuted earlier in the year.

Here are the artist-by-artist point totals to-date:
579 (+34) - Morgan Wallen (Selected by rainie, renfield75)
77 (+8) - Luke Combs (Selected by Baby Yoda Hot100Fan, jasper0102, mms82, renfield75, ephelia)
48 (+48) - Grupo Frontera (Selected by Baby Yoda Hot100Fan)
43 (+37) - Bad Bunny (Selected by khan, jasper0102)
42 (+7) - Drake (Selected by joshtheking, mms82, 1^∞, Au$tin, Baby Yoda Hot100Fan, ephelia, rnb)
37 (+37) - Ice Spice (Selected by jasper0102, rnb, jayhawk1117)
35 (+7) - Tyler the Creator (Selected by rainie, kindofbiased)
34 (+0) - Miley Cyrus (Selected by 1^∞, jasper0102, rnb, big2000, 💎 𝑔𝓋 💎, fengyu, khan, kindofbiased)
29 (+4) - Lil Baby (Selected by khan, mms82)
26 (+7) - Taylor Swift (Selected by Baby Yoda Hot100Fan, big2000, gikem, kindofbiased, 💎 𝑔𝓋 💎, 1^∞, 85la, enwhy, fengyu, jayhawk1117, renfield75, imhappy259, jasper0102, joshtheking, mms82, rainie)
25 (+0) - Rihanna (Selected by ephelia, jayhawk1117)
19 (+1) - Ed Sheeran (Selected by Baby Yoda Hot100Fan, ephelia)
19 (+14) - Peso Pluma (Selected by 1^∞)
19 (+5) - YoungBoy NBA (Selected by imhappy259)
17 (+2) - Zach Bryan (Selected by khan, gikem)
15 (+15) - Future (Selected by annoymous1, joshtheking, khan, rainie, jasper0102, Baby Yoda Hot100Fan, rnb)
15 (+15) - The Weeknd (Selected by khan)
14 (+1) - SZA (Selected by Rose Wintur)
10 (+0) - Lil Uzi Vert (Selected by 1^∞, joshtheking)
8 (+1) - Latto (Selected by Rose Wintur)
5 (+0) - J. Cole (Selected by gikem, atg)
5 (+0) - Polo G (Selected by enwhy, mms82)
5 (+0) - Rawu Alejandro (Selected by Baby Yoda Hot100Fan, annoymous1)
5 (+5) - Kim Petras (Selected by 1^∞)
5 (+5) - Nicki Minaj (Selected by 1^∞, Baby Yoda Hot100Fan, fengyu, imhappy259, jasper0102, 85la, annoymous1, kindofbiased, mms82, renfield75, Rose Wintur, 🖤𝖇𝖎𝖑𝖑𝖎𝖊𝖎𝖑𝖎𝖘𝖍𝖋𝖆𝖓, joshtheking, khan)


Click here to see full selections & scores
Some movement on the scoreboard this week! Baby Yoda Hot100Fan and 1^∞ each jump 2 spots in the Top 10 thanks to their Grupo Frontera & Peso Pluma picks. The Top 3 however, remains steady.

Scoreboard
1 (=) renfield75 1,014
2 (=) rainie 985
3 (=) mms82 666
4 (▲2) Baby Yoda Hot100Fan 587
5 (▼1) ephelia 581
6 (▼1) jasper0102 564
7 (▲1) joshtheking 551
8 (▼1) enwhy 500
9 (=) rnb 478
10 (▲2) 1^∞ 474
11 (=) kindofbiased 426
12 (▲2) khan 425
13 (=) imhappy259 399
14 (▼4) fengyu 380
15 (▲1) 85la 366
16 (▲2) Rose Wintur 317
17 (=) annoymous1 312
18 (▼3) atg 270
19 (▲2) jayhawk1117 251
20 (▼1) 💎 𝑔𝓋 💎 233
21 (▼1) Au$tin 163
22 (▲1) JukeboxJacob 102
23 (▼1) M5AGTS 96
24 (▲2) gikem 79
25 (▲4) 🖤𝖇𝖎𝖑𝖑𝖎𝖊𝖎𝖑𝖎𝖘𝖍𝖋𝖆𝖓 77

[enwhy]

This week's questions (Deadline Thu, May 4)
Sorry for the late questions this week (and lack of descriptions) - I’ve been busy IRL! I considered delaying the deadline, but really want to get a couple questions in on Ed Sheeran’s new album.

Q1: Ed Sheeran Top 10
Will any songs from Ed Sheeran’s “-” chart in the Top 10 next week? (5/20 chart)

Q2: Ed Sheeran Longevity
Will any songs from Ed Sheeran’s “-” chart for 20+ weeks? (By 12/30 chart)*
*Note that this would include “Eyes Closed”, which just completed its 5th week.

Q3: Last Night
How many weeks will “Last Night” end up with at #1? (By 12/30 chart)*
*50 points if you get it exactly right, 25 if you’re the closest predictor.

SPOILER: Click to show

{Tag List}Please let me know if you'd like to be removed from or added to the tag list!
1^∞
85la
annoymous1
atg
Au$tin
Baby Yoda Hot100Fan
big2000
💙𝖇𝖎𝖑𝖑𝖎𝖊𝖎𝖑𝖎𝖘𝖍𝖋𝖆𝖓
born
cowboy13
enwhy
ephelia
fengyu
𝓲𝓽'𝓼.𝓰𝓿
gikem
@imhappy259
jasper0102
jayhawk1117
joshtheking
JukeboxJacob
khan
kindofbiased
M5AGTS
mms82
Music Fan
rainie
renfield75
rnb
Rose "Payola" Nylund
shadowthehedgehogfan
RoseColoredGirl

[rnb]

1. no
2. no
3. 8 


sorry for not doing the questions last week btw

[tekkenguy]

May 2, 2023 19:11:25 GMT -5 enwhy said:

This week's questions (Deadline Thu, May 4)
Sorry for the late questions this week (and lack of descriptions) - I’ve been busy IRL! I considered delaying the deadline, but really want to get a couple questions in on Ed Sheeran’s new album.

Q1: Ed Sheeran Top 10
Will any songs from Ed Sheeran’s “-” chart in the Top 10 next week? (5/20 chart)

Q2: Ed Sheeran Longevity
Will any songs from Ed Sheeran’s “-” chart for 20+ weeks? (By 12/30 chart)*
*Note that this would include “Eyes Closed”, which just completed its 5th week.

Q3: Last Night
How many weeks will “Last Night” end up with at #1? (By 12/30 chart)*
*50 points if you get it exactly right, 25 if you’re the closest predictor.

SPOILER: Click to show

{Tag List}Please let me know if you'd like to be removed from or added to the tag list!
1^∞
85la
annoymous1
atg
Au$tin
Baby Yoda Hot100Fan
big2000
💙𝖇𝖎𝖑𝖑𝖎𝖊𝖎𝖑𝖎𝖘𝖍𝖋𝖆𝖓
born
cowboy13
enwhy
ephelia
fengyu
𝓲𝓽'𝓼.𝓰𝓿
gikem
@imhappy259
jasper0102
jayhawk1117
joshtheking
JukeboxJacob
khan
kindofbiased
M5AGTS
mms82
Music Fan
rainie
renfield75
rnb
Rose "Payola" Nylund
shadowthehedgehogfan
RoseColoredGirl

1. No
2. No
3. 13

[M5AGTS]

1. No
2. No
3. 9

[enwhy]

1. No - I don't think he's going for big singles with this album. His streaming also isn't usually anything crazy.
2. Yes - Not too hard to imagine a song off this album catching on and becoming big on radio. Not sure if Eyes Closed has another 15 weeks in it though...it's already dropping pretty hard.
3. 10 - Not a big fan of the song, but the streaming has been really impressive. #1 on streaming with 30M+ streams in its 3rd month on the charts. That's really impressive, especially for a country song. And pop radio seems to be giving this a lot of spins as well?

[renfield75]

1.No
2.No
3.11

[mms82]

1. No
2. Yes
3. 10

[mms82]

Thanks again for tracking all!!Could you share the points that are just from questions? Like separate the leader rankings into three categories- total points, artists points, and question points. Would be interesting!

[85la]

1. Sadly no. If Eyes Closed wasn't able to do it, I don't think anything else will debut there album release week.
2. Yes. Even if Eyes Closed doesn't make it, that doesn't mean something else won't catch on with decent longevity (though this is a bit more wishful thinking).
3. 8. Also not a fan of the song, and puzzled why this is catching on rather than so many other country songs with better cross-over appeal, but its streaming really is staying stable and it's still making impressive radio gains at multiple formats, so it has at least a few more weeks in the bag.

[kindofbiased]

1. No
2. Yes, even if this album is nowhere near as big as his other albums the radio will definitely latch onto something
3. 10 :/

[enwhy]

May 2, 2023 21:06:56 GMT -5 mms82 said:

Thanks again for tracking all!!Could you share the points that are just from questions? Like separate the leader rankings into three categories- total points, artists points, and question points. Would be interesting!

Sure - here's how this breaks out now. Top 3 for weekly questions is you, me, and joshtheking! I'll start providing this detail for the regular updates as well.

[fengyu]

1. no
2. no
3. 11

[jasper0102]

1. No
2. Yes (this is Ed Sheeran after all)
3. 11

[joshtheking]

1. no
2. no
3. 7

[1^∞]

Woo! Besides Alone's debut which I got terribly wrong, Got every question right!

1) No
2) Yes, lol it's wild how Eyes Closed is a stable top 15 hit here while across the border it topped at 26 and is out the top 40, but He's got something up his sleeve I feel
3) 8

[khan]

1. No - Yeah this looks real dire for Sheeran.

2. Yes - Eyes Closed has some radio. Even if it peaks low, I think it's good for the 20 weeks.

3. 10 - Why couldn't the Dangerous singles see this success?

[annoymous1]

1. No
2. Yes
3. 10

[enwhy]

Tagging anyone who hasn't submitted yet - responses are due tonight!

SPOILER: Click to show

Please let me know if you'd like to be removed from or added to the tag list!
atg
Au$tin
Baby Yoda Hot100Fan
big2000
💙𝖇𝖎𝖑𝖑𝖎𝖊𝖎𝖑𝖎𝖘𝖍𝖋𝖆𝖓
born
cowboy13
ephelia
𝓲𝓽'𝓼.𝓰𝓿
gikem
@imhappy259
jayhawk1117
JukeboxJacob
Music Fan
rainie
Rose "Payola" Nylund
shadowthehedgehogfan
RoseColoredGirl

[ephelia]

Q1: Ed Sheeran Top 10
No

Q2: Ed Sheeran Longevity
No

Q3: Last Night
11

[Rose "Payola" Nylund]

May 2, 2023 19:11:25 GMT -5 enwhy said:

This week's questions (Deadline Thu, May 4)
Sorry for the late questions this week (and lack of descriptions) - I’ve been busy IRL! I considered delaying the deadline, but really want to get a couple questions in on Ed Sheeran’s new album.

Q1: Ed Sheeran Top 10
Will any songs from Ed Sheeran’s “-” chart in the Top 10 next week? (5/20 chart)

Q2: Ed Sheeran Longevity
Will any songs from Ed Sheeran’s “-” chart for 20+ weeks? (By 12/30 chart)*
*Note that this would include “Eyes Closed”, which just completed its 5th week.

Q3: Last Night
How many weeks will “Last Night” end up with at #1? (By 12/30 chart)*
*50 points if you get it exactly right, 25 if you’re the closest predictor.

SPOILER: Click to show

{Tag List}Please let me know if you'd like to be removed from or added to the tag list!
1^∞
85la
annoymous1
atg
Au$tin
Baby Yoda Hot100Fan
big2000
💙𝖇𝖎𝖑𝖑𝖎𝖊𝖎𝖑𝖎𝖘𝖍𝖋𝖆𝖓
born
cowboy13
enwhy
ephelia
fengyu
𝓲𝓽'𝓼.𝓰𝓿
gikem
@imhappy259
jasper0102
jayhawk1117
joshtheking
JukeboxJacob
khan
kindofbiased
M5AGTS
mms82
Music Fan
rainie
renfield75
rnb
Rose "Payola" Nylund
shadowthehedgehogfan
RoseColoredGirl

1. No
2. Yes
3. 7

[𝓲𝓽'𝓼.𝓰𝓿]

1. No
2. Yes (there's no way we're saying no song will chart for 20+ weeks if it's Ed Sheeran)
3. probably 8